Greater age and hepatocellular aging are independent risk factors for hepatocellular carcinoma arising from non-B non-C non-alcoholic chronic liver disease

Non-B, Non-C Hepatocellular Carcinoma in an HBV- and HCV-Endemic Area: A Community-Based Prospective Longitudinal Study

A large community cohort of adults who participated in a health screening program from 2003 to 2013 were prospectively analyzed for the risk factors of non-B, non-C (NBNC) hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). The serostatus of hepatitis B and C of 52,642 participants was linked to the mortality and cancer registration data of the Health and Welfare Data Science Center, Ministry of Health and Welfare, Taiwan. During a median follow-up of 6 years, 35 of the 43,545 participants who were negative for both HBsAg and anti-HCV antibody developed HCC. Multivariate Cox regression analysis revealed that old age (hazard ratio, 95% CI: 1.058, 1.019−1.098, p = 0.003); male sex (2.446, 1.200−4.985, p = 0.014); high aspartate aminotransferase levels (6.816, 2.945−15.779, p < 0.001); fibrosis index based on four factor score (1.262, 1.154−1.381, p < 0.001); blood sugar (1.009, 1.002−1.015, p = 0.006); and alpha-fetoprotein ≥15 ng/mL (143.938, 43.094−480.760, p < 0.001) were independent risk factors for HCC. By contrast, triglyceride >150 mg/dL was associated with a decreased risk of HCC (0.216, 0.074−0.625, p = 0.005). This prospective community-based study provided insights into the potential HCC risk factors which may shed some light in HCC prevention and screening.

Influence of Demographic Factors on Long-Term Trends of Premature Mortality and Burden Due to Liver Cancer: Findings From a Population-Based Study in Shanghai, China, 1973–2019

Objective

Liver cancer is one of the most common causes of cancer-related death. Understanding how demographic factors influence mortality due to liver cancer is crucial for optimizing disease-control strategies. We aimed to characterize the long-term trends in the mortality and years of life lost (YLL) of liver cancer in Shanghai, China, 1973–2019, and quantitatively analyze the contributions of demographic and non-demographic factors on the mortality of liver cancer.

Methods

Using mortality data from the Mortality Registration System of Pudong New Area, the largest district of Shanghai with a population of permanent resident of 5.68 million, during 1973–2019, we analyzed the temporal trends for the mortality rates and YLL by Joinpoint Regression Program. The difference decomposition method was employed to estimate the increasing mortality rates related to demographic and non-demographic factors.

Results

A total of 21,530 deaths from liver cancer occurred from 1973 to 2019. The crude mortality rates (CMR) and age-standardized mortality rate by Segi's world standard population (ASMRW) of liver cancer were 26.73/10⁵ person-years and 15.72/10⁵ person-years, respectively. The CMR, ASMRW, and YLL rates of liver cancer showed significantly decreasing trends in males, females and the total population from 1973 to 2019, whereas the upward trends in the YLL were seen in males, females and the total population (all P < 0.05). A significant upward trend was observed in the increased CMR caused by demographic factors, but the changing rate caused by non-demographic factors decreased.

Conclusions

The CMR and ASMRW of liver cancer continually decreased although YLL increased during 1973–2019 in Pudong New Area, Shanghai. The demographic factors, especially aging, might be responsible for the increase in the mortality of liver cancer. More effective prevention strategies tailored to liver cancer are needed to further reduce its disease burden in the elderly population.

Time trends of clinical characteristics in hepatocellular carcinoma patients with chronic hepatitis B virus infection: A field survey between 2000 and 2012

The hepatitis B virus (HBV) carrier rate has decreased in Japan; however, the incidence of HBV infection among hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients has not decreased accordingly. In this study, we aimed to assess the time trends of the clinical characteristics in HCC patients with chronic HBV infection. Between 2000 and 2012, we enrolled a total of 156 HCC patients with chronic HBV infection in our field survey. The HCC risk was evaluated using the HCC prediction score, which is constructed from the characteristics of age, presence of liver cirrhosis and serum levels of albumin, bilirubin and HBV DNA. Lifestyle factors and the presence of diabetes mellitus were also evaluated. The time trends of patient characteristics were analyzed using the Jonckheere-Terpstra proportion trend test. Among HCC patients with chronic HBV infection, the proportion of patients at high risk according to the HCC prediction score significantly decreased during the study period (P=0.0005). Similarly, the proportion of patients with liver cirrhosis, ≤3.5 g/dl serum albumin level, >4 log copies/ml serum HBV DNA level and ≥60 g/day alcohol intake were also significantly decreased. The proportion of male and obese patients was not significantly altered, whereas the proportion of elderly (≥65 years) and diabetic patients tended to increase during the study period (P=0.0654 and P=0.0528, respectively). In this study, we analyzed the time trends of the clinical characteristics in HCC patients with chronic HBV infection and demonstrated that aging and diabetes mellitus may be involved in the hepatocarcinogenesis in patients with chronic HBV infection.

Nationwide study of 4741 patients with non-B non-C hepatocellular carcinoma with special reference to the therapeutic impact

OBJECTIVE

To examine the prognostic factors and outcomes after several types of treatments in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) negative for hepatitis B surface antigen and hepatitis C antibody, so-called "non-B non-C HCC" using the data of a nationwide survey.

BACKGROUND

The proportion of non-B non-C HCC is rapidly increasing in Japan.

METHODS

A total of 4741 patients with non-B non-C HCC, who underwent hepatic resection (HR, n = 2872), radiofrequency ablation (RFA, n = 432), and transcatheter arterial chemoembolization (TACE, n = 1437) as the initial treatment, were enrolled in this study. The exclusion criteria included extrahepatic metastases and/or Child-Pugh C. Significant prognostic variables determined by a univariate analysis were subjected to a multivariate analysis using a Cox proportional hazard regression model.

RESULTS

The degree of liver damage in the HR group was significantly lower than that in the RFA and TACE groups. The HR and TACE groups had significantly more advanced HCC than the RFA group. The 5-year survival rates after HR, RFA, and TACE were 66%, 49%, and 32%, respectively. Stratifying the survival rates, according to the TNM stage and the Japan Integrated Staging (JIS) score, showed the HR group to have a significantly better prognosis than the RFA group in the stage II and in the JIS scores "1" and "2." The multivariate analysis showed 12 independent prognostic factors. HR offers significant prognostic advantages over TACE and RFA.

CONCLUSIONS

The findings of this large prospective cohort study indicated that HR may be recommended, especially in patients with TNM stage II and JIS scores "1" and "2" of non-B non-C HCC.

Liver physiology and liver diseases in the elderly

The liver experiences various changes with aging that could affect clinical characteristics and outcomes in patients with liver diseases. Both liver volume and blood flow decrease significantly with age. These changes and decreased cytochrome P450 activity can affect drug metabolism, increasing susceptibility to drug-induced liver injury. Immune responses against pathogens or neoplastic cells are lower in the elderly, although these individuals may be predisposed to autoimmunity through impairment of dendritic cell maturation and reduction of regulatory T cells. These changes in immune functions could alter the pathogenesis of viral hepatitis and autoimmune liver diseases, as well as the development of hepatocellular carcinoma. Moreover, elderly patients have significantly decreased reserve functions of various organs, reducing their tolerability to treatments for liver diseases. Collectively, aged patients show various changes of the liver and other organs that could affect the clinical characteristics and management of liver diseases in these patients.