Are predictive models for cancer volume clinically useful in localized prostate cancer?

Impact of the Proportion of Biopsy Positive Core in Predicting Biochemical Recurrence in Patients with Pathological Pt2 and Negative Resection Margin Status after Radical Prostatectomy

This study aimed to determine the prognostic factors associated with biochemical recurrence (BCR) after radical prostatectomy (RP) in patients with pathological T2 (pT2) prostate cancer (PCa) and negative resection margin (RM) status at a single institution. In this retrospective study, we examined 386 patients who were diagnosed with pT2 PCa with negative RM after RP. The length of the tumor was provided for each biopsy core and the overall percentage of PCa was calculated by a pathologist at our institution. We estimated the BCR-free survival (BRFS) in these patients. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed using the Cox proportional hazard model to determine the risk factors of BCR. The median age of the participants was 68 years, and their initial prostate-specific antigen level was 6.55 ng/mL. The median follow-up period was 85.7 months. The 5-year BRFS rate of the participants was 89.0%. The 5-year BRFS rates were 89.8% in patients with a biopsy Gleason score of 6, 90.4% in those with 7, and 64.1% in those with ≥8 (P = 0.007). The BRFS rate was 93.3% in patients who had a biopsy positive core ≤20% and 82.0% in those who had ≥21% (P = 0.001). Based on the multivariate analysis, the proportion of biopsy positive core was significantly associated with BCR. The proportion of biopsy positive core may predict preoperative covariates in patients with pT2 PCa and negative RM status after RP.

Predictive values for extracapsular extension in prostate cancer patients with PSA values below 10 ng/mL

OBJECTIVE

We aimed to determine predictive values of extracapsular extension (ECE) in patients who had undergone radical retropubic prostatectomy (RRP) with prostate-specific antigen (PSA) values below 10 ng/mL.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

We retrospectively scanned data of 167 patients with PSA values below 10 ng/mL who had undergone radical retropubic prostatectomy (RRP) between April 2004 and August 2011 in our clinic. Age, PSA, PSA ratio, PSA density, digital rectal examination (DRE) findings, biopsy total Gleason score, perineural invasion (PNI), and lymphovascular invasion (LVI) were analyzed. Parameters of the groups with or without extracapsular extension in RRP pathology specimens were compared.

RESULTS

The mean age of patients was 66.4±12.3 years. According to histopathological analysis of the specimens of RRP of 167 patients, 45 (26.9%) had extracapsular extension (pT3-4) (Group 1); 122 (73.1%) were confined to the prostate (pT2) (Group 2). The mean PSA level was high in Group 1 (p= 0.114), PSA ratio was higher in Group 2 (p=0.09). PSA density was 0.17 in Group 1 and 0.24 in Group 2 (p=0.03). DRE positivity was 53.3% and 57.1%, respectively (p=0.71). Biopsy total Gleason score was higher in Group 1 than Group 2 with a statistically significant difference (p=0.04). A statistically significant difference was found between the rates of PNI and LVI (28.9% and 1.63%, respectively) (p=0.002). There was no statistically significant difference between both groups as for surgical margin positivity (p=0.18).

CONCLUSION

In PCa patients with PSA values below 10 ng/mL, PSA density, lymphovascular invasion and biopsy Gleason total score were statistically significant in predicting extracapsular invasion. Therefore, these results must be considered in preoperative evaluation.

Prostate-specific antigen density predicts extracapsular extension and increased risk of biochemical recurrence in patients with high-risk prostate cancer who underwent radical prostatectomy

BACKGROUND

Patients with advanced local-stage, high-grade prostate cancer (Pca) and high pretreatment prostate-specific antigen (PSA) levels have inferior outcomes compared to their counterparts with more favorable clinical characteristics. However, some patients exhibit favorable pathological features or experience long-term PSA-free survival after radical prostatectomy (RP). We retrospectively examined the ability of preoperative characteristics to predict pathological and oncological outcomes in high-risk Pca patients who underwent RP.

METHODS

We examined data of 1,268 consecutive Pca patients treated with RP alone at 4 hospitals from the Michinoku Urological Cancer Study Group database. Preoperative predictors included age, PSA level, biopsy Gleason score, clinical T stage, and PSA density (PSAD). The outcome measures pathological T stage and PSA-free survival were evaluated by multivariate analysis.

RESULTS

We identified 380 high-risk Pca patients, of which 44 % patients had extracapsular extension. Logistic regression analysis indicated that PSAD was an independent predictor of adverse pathologic stage. The 5-year PSA-free survival rates were 82.9 % for patients with PSAD ≤0.468 ng mL(-1) cm(-2) and 50.7 % for those with PSAD >0.468 ng mL(-1) cm(-2) (P < 0.0001). Multivariate analyses revealed that PSAD, cT, and the number of preoperative high-risk Pca criteria were independent predictors of PSA-free survival.

CONCLUSIONS

PSAD may be an independent predictor of advanced pathological features and biochemical recurrence in high-risk Pca patients treated with RP alone. PSAD may be used for further risk stratification of high-risk Pca patients.

Prostate-Specific Antigen Density as a Powerful Predictor of Extracapsular Extension and Positive Surgical Margin in Radical Prostatectomy Patients with Prostate-Specific Antigen Levels of Less than 10 ng/ml

Purpose

To assess the ability of preoperative variables to predict extracapsular extension (ECE) and positive surgical margin (PSM) in radical prostatectomy patients with prostate-specific antigen (PSA) levels of less than 10 ng/ml.

Materials and Methods

From January 2008 to December 2009, 121 patients with prostate cancer with PSA levels lower than 10 ng/ml who underwent radical prostatectomy were enrolled in the study. The differences in clinical factors (age, PSA, PSA density [PSAD], digital rectal examination [DRE] positivity, positive magnetic resonance imaging [MRI], Gleason sum, positive core number, and positive biopsy core percentage) with ECE and the presence of positive margins were determined and their independent predictive significances were analyzed.

Results

The ECE-positive patients had higher PSA, PSAD, and MRI-positive percentages, and PSM patients had higher PSA, PSAD, MRI-positive percentages, Gleason sum, and positive biopsy core percentages for prostate cancer. In the multivariate analysis, PSAD and MRI positivity were the best independent predictors for ECE, and PSA and PSAD were the best independent predictors of PSM. By receiver operating characteristic curve analysis, PSAD had better discriminative area under the curve value than did PSA for ECE (0.765 vs 0.661) and PSM (0.780 vs 0.624). The best predictive PSAD value was 0.29 ng/ml/cc for ECE and 0.27 ng/ml/cc for PSM.

Conclusions

PSAD has relevance to ECE (plus MRI findings) and PSM (plus PSA). PSAD might be a powerful predictor of ECE and PSM preoperatively in patients undergoing a radical prostatectomy with PSA levels of less than 10 ng/ml.