Turu’ Allo IJ, Pramudyo M, Akbar MR. Anemia, Hyperglycemia, and Reduced Left Ventricular Ejection Fraction Improve the GRACE Score's Predictability for In-hospital Mortality in Acute Coronary Syndrome; Single-Centre Cross-Sectional Study.
Open Access Emerg Med 2025;
17:67-83. [PMID:
39927301 PMCID:
PMC11806914 DOI:
10.2147/oaem.s493878]
[Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/30/2024] [Accepted: 01/14/2025] [Indexed: 02/11/2025] Open
Abstract
Purpose
This study investigates the predictive value of incorporating anemia, hyperglycemia, and left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) into the Global Registry of Acute Coronary Events (GRACE) score for in-hospital mortality in Acute Coronary Syndrome (ACS).
Patients and Methods
We conducted a single-center, cross-sectional study involving 634 ACS patients admitted to Dr. Hasan Sadikin General Hospital between 2021 and 2023. Anemia was defined as hemoglobin <13 g/dL in men and <12 g/dL in women, while hyperglycemia was indicated with random blood glucose (RBG) ≥200 mg/dL at admission. Patients with LVEF <50% were classified as having reduced LVEF. The primary outcome was in-hospital mortality. Model goodness-of-fit was assessed using R2 and the Hosmer-Lemeshow's test. The predictive accuracy of the GRACE score alone and combined with these parameters were evaluated through receiver operating characteristic curve analysis, an area under the curve (AUC), and concordance (C)-statistics. Reclassification improvement was quantified using continuous net reclassification improvement (cNRI) and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI).
Results
Among 634 patients (mean age 58.10±11.08 years old; 80.3% male), anemia, hyperglycemia, and reduced LVEF were observed in 197 (31.1%), 123 (19.4%), and 364 (57.4%) patients, respectively. The in-hospital mortality rate was 6.6%. Regression analysis identified nine predictors of mortality, with anemia, hyperglycemia, and reduced LVEF confirmed as independent predictors. The GRACE score showed an AUC of 0.839 (95% confidence interval/CI 0.77-0.0.90). Incorporating anemia, hyperglycemia, and reduced LVEF increased the AUC to 0.862 (95% CI 0.81-0.91), enhancing predictive accuracy (p = 0.590). Combining these variables yielded an NRI of 0.075 (p = 0.070) and an IDI of 0.035 (p = 0.029).
Conclusion
Incorporating anemia, hyperglycemia, and reduced LVEF into the GRACE score improves its predictive capacity for in-hospital mortality in ACS patients. The modified GRACE score offers a more robust risk stratification tool for clinical practice and decision-making.
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