Moloney NR, Faranda D, Sato Y. An overview of the extremal index.
CHAOS (WOODBURY, N.Y.) 2019;
29:022101. [PMID:
30823712 DOI:
10.1063/1.5079656]
[Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/01/2018] [Accepted: 01/23/2019] [Indexed: 06/09/2023]
Abstract
For a wide class of stationary time series, extreme value theory provides limiting distributions for rare events. The theory describes not only the size of extremes but also how often they occur. In practice, it is often observed that extremes cluster in time. Such short-range clustering is also accommodated by extreme value theory via the so-called extremal index. This review provides an introduction to the extremal index by working through a number of its intuitive interpretations. Thus, depending on the context, the extremal index may represent (i) the loss of independently and identically distributed degrees of freedom, (ii) the multiplicity of a compound Poisson point process, and (iii) the inverse mean duration of extreme clusters. More recently, the extremal index has also been used to quantify (iv) recurrences around unstable fixed points in dynamical systems.
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