Follow up and evaluation of the Victorian first-trimester combined screening programme for Down syndrome and trisomy 18

First-trimester maternal serum biomarkers and the risk of cerebral palsy

AIM

To investigate whether combined first-trimester screening (cFTS) biomarkers are associated with cerebral palsy (CP) and to identify CP characteristics associated with abnormal biomarker levels.

METHOD

In this retrospective case-control data linkage study, we matched mothers of 435 singletons with CP from a population register to their cFTS records and selected 10 singleton pregnancy controls per case. We compared mean and abnormal levels (expressed as multiples of the median [MoMs]) of pregnancy-associated plasma protein-A (PAPP-A), beta subunit of human chorionic gonadotrophin (β-hCG), and nuchal translucency between cases and controls and between CP subgroups.

RESULTS

Compared with control pregnancies, CP pregnancies had lower mean levels of PAPP-A (0.95 vs 1.01 MoM, p=0.02) and β-hCG (0.93 vs 0.99 MoM, p=0.02). Biomarker levels in CP pregnancies were 1.8 times more likely to be associated with abnormally low levels of PAPP-A (p<0.01), 1.4 times for β-hCG (p=0.12), and 2.6 times for low PAPP-A and β-hCG together (p=0.04). In cases with CP, an abnormally low PAPP-A level was associated with moderate preterm birth, low Apgar scores, and Gross Motor Function Classification System level V. Low β-hCG was associated with very low birthweight.

INTERPRETATION

Low first-trimester biomarker levels suggest a role for early pregnancy factors in some causal pathways to CP.

WHAT THIS PAPER ADDS

Low first-trimester levels of biomarkers in maternal serum are associated with later cerebral palsy (CP). Early pregnancy factors have potential importance in causal pathways to CP. Causal pathways involving preterm birth, term neonatal encephalopathy, and genetic syndromes may be implicated.

The utility of pregnancy associated plasma protein-A MoM values in prediction of term respiratory distress syndrome

This study aimed to investigate if the pregnancy associated plasma Protein-A (PAPP-A) multiples of median (MoM) levels could be used as a marker for the early prediction of RDS. The present study was designed with data gathered from 1773 patients who were referred to our institution for first trimester fetal chromosomal anomaly screening. First trimester PAPP-A MoM values and postnatal RDS occurrences in these pregnancies were retrospectively analysed. Of the 1773 neonates that were included in the study, 28 were delivered at or beyond 37 weeks, and 42 were delivered less than 37 weeks of gestation. In the group of neonates at or beyond 37 weeks, the cut-off value for RDS prediction was determined as 1.02. For this cut-off value, sensitivity was 72.41% and specificity was 91.84%. The area under curve (AUC) was determined to be statistically significant (p < .01). In conclusion, it was determined that in neonates that were delivered at or beyond 37 weeks of gestation, RDS occurrence could be predicted at a significant rate by utilising PAPP-A MoM values.IMPACT STATEMENTWhat is already known on this subject? Respiratory distress syndrome (RDS) is one of the major global healthcare problems, and continues to effect newborns despite the improvements in diagnosis and treatments of the disease. Studies have shown that pregnancy associated plasma protein-A (PAPP-A) has a critical role in cellular proliferation and differentiation, and it is closely associated with many physiological and pathological processes via regulation of local insulin like growth factor (IGF) concentrations. In majority of the past studies in the literature regarding PAPP-A values in pregnancies, the association between low values of PAPP-A MoM and maternal-fetal complications were investigated.What do the results of this study add? This study retrospectively examines the PAPP-A MoM levels and the occurence of RDS. In neonates that were delivered at or beyond 37 weeks of gestation, RDS occurrence could be predicted at a significant rate by utilising PAPP-A MoM values which was measured at the first trimester fetal anomaly screening test.What are the implications of these findings for clinical practice and/or further research? In the light of these findings, in order to reduce RDS related neonatal morbidity and mortality, pregnancies with PAPP-A MoM values greater than 1.02 at the first trimester fetal anomaly screening should be more closely followed up and a higher rate of suspicion should be kept for RDS occurrence.

First trimester ultrasound tests alone or in combination with first trimester serum tests for Down's syndrome screening

BACKGROUND

Down's syndrome occurs when a person has three, rather than two copies of chromosome 21; or the specific area of chromosome 21 implicated in causing Down's syndrome. It is the commonest congenital cause of mental disability and also leads to numerous metabolic and structural problems. It can be life-threatening, or lead to considerable ill health, although some individuals have only mild problems and can lead relatively normal lives. Having a baby with Down's syndrome is likely to have a significant impact on family life.Non-invasive screening based on biochemical analysis of maternal serum or urine, or fetal ultrasound measurements, allows estimates of the risk of a pregnancy being affected and provides information to guide decisions about definitive testing.Before agreeing to screening tests, parents need to be fully informed about the risks, benefits and possible consequences of such a test. This includes subsequent choices for further tests they may face, and the implications of both false positive and false negative screening tests (i.e. invasive diagnostic testing, and the possibility that a miscarried fetus may be chromosomally normal). The decisions that may be faced by expectant parents inevitably engender a high level of anxiety at all stages of the screening process, and the outcomes of screening can be associated with considerable physical and psychological morbidity. No screening test can predict the severity of problems a person with Down's syndrome will have.

OBJECTIVES

To estimate and compare the accuracy of first trimester ultrasound markers alone, and in combination with first trimester serum tests for the detection of Down's syndrome.

SEARCH METHODS

We carried out extensive literature searches including MEDLINE (1980 to 25 August 2011), Embase (1980 to 25 August 2011), BIOSIS via EDINA (1985 to 25 August 2011), CINAHL via OVID (1982 to 25 August 2011), and The Database of Abstracts of Reviews of Effects (the Cochrane Library 2011, Issue 7). We checked reference lists and published review articles for additional potentially relevant studies.

SELECTION CRITERIA

Studies evaluating tests of first trimester ultrasound screening, alone or in combination with first trimester serum tests (up to 14 weeks' gestation) for Down's syndrome, compared with a reference standard, either chromosomal verification or macroscopic postnatal inspection.

DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS

Data were extracted as test positive/test negative results for Down's and non-Down's pregnancies allowing estimation of detection rates (sensitivity) and false positive rates (1-specificity). We performed quality assessment according to QUADAS criteria. We used hierarchical summary ROC meta-analytical methods to analyse test performance and compare test accuracy. Analysis of studies allowing direct comparison between tests was undertaken. We investigated the impact of maternal age on test performance in subgroup analyses.

MAIN RESULTS

We included 126 studies (152 publications) involving 1,604,040 fetuses (including 8454 Down's syndrome cases). Studies were generally good quality, although differential verification was common with invasive testing of only high-risk pregnancies. Sixty test combinations were evaluated formed from combinations of 11 different ultrasound markers (nuchal translucency (NT), nasal bone, ductus venosus Doppler, maxillary bone length, fetal heart rate, aberrant right subclavian artery, frontomaxillary facial angle, presence of mitral gap, tricuspid regurgitation, tricuspid blood flow and iliac angle 90 degrees); 12 serum tests (inhibin A, alpha-fetoprotein (AFP), free beta human chorionic gonadotrophin (ßhCG), total hCG, pregnancy-associated plasma protein A (PAPP-A), unconjugated oestriol (uE3), disintegrin and metalloprotease 12 (ADAM 12), placental growth factor (PlGF), placental growth hormone (PGH), invasive trophoblast antigen (ITA) (synonymous with hyperglycosylated hCG), growth hormone binding protein (GHBP) and placental protein 13 (PP13)); and maternal age. The most frequently evaluated serum markers in combination with ultrasound markers were PAPP-A and free ßhCG.Comparisons of the 10 most frequently evaluated test strategies showed that a combined NT, PAPP-A, free ßhCG and maternal age test strategy significantly outperformed ultrasound markers alone (with or without maternal age) except nasal bone, detecting about nine out of every 10 Down's syndrome pregnancies at a 5% false positive rate (FPR). In both direct and indirect comparisons, the combined NT, PAPP-A, free ßhCG and maternal age test strategy showed superior diagnostic accuracy to an NT and maternal age test strategy (P < 0.0001). Based on the indirect comparison of all available studies for the two tests, the sensitivity (95% confidence interval) estimated at a 5% FPR for the combined NT, PAPP-A, free ßhCG and maternal age test strategy (69 studies; 1,173,853 fetuses including 6010 with Down's syndrome) was 87% (86 to 89) and for the NT and maternal age test strategy (50 studies; 530,874 fetuses including 2701 Down's syndrome pregnancies) was 71% (66 to 75). Combinations of NT with other ultrasound markers, PAPP-A and free ßhCG were evaluated in one or two studies and showed sensitivities of more than 90% and specificities of more than 95%.High-risk populations (defined before screening was done, mainly due to advanced maternal age of 35 years or more, or previous pregnancies affected with Down's syndrome) showed lower detection rates compared to routine screening populations at a 5% FPR. Women who miscarried in the over 35 group were more likely to have been offered an invasive test to verify a negative screening results, whereas those under 35 were usually not offered invasive testing for a negative screening result. Pregnancy loss in women under 35 therefore leads to under-ascertainment of screening results, potentially missing a proportion of affected pregnancies and affecting test sensitivity. Conversely, for the NT, PAPP-A, free ßhCG and maternal age test strategy, detection rates and false positive rates increased with maternal age in the five studies that provided data separately for the subset of women aged 35 years or more.

AUTHORS' CONCLUSIONS

Test strategies that combine ultrasound markers with serum markers, especially PAPP-A and free ßhCG, and maternal age were significantly better than those involving only ultrasound markers (with or without maternal age) except nasal bone. They detect about nine out of 10 Down's affected pregnancies for a fixed 5% FPR. Although the absence of nasal bone appeared to have a high diagnostic accuracy, only five out of 10 affected Down's pregnancies were detected at a 1% FPR.

Screening for Down syndrome in the second trimester of pregnancy

Antenatal screening for fetal anomalies has provided women and their partners with information to make reproductive choices based on the risk of serious chromosomal or structural defects since the 1990s. Alternative tests include first-trimester screening (combined ultrasound and maternal serum markers), second-trimester maternal serum markers and noninvasive cell-free DNA testing. The recent recommendations by the Royal Australian and New Zealand College of Obstetrics and Gynaecology and the Human Genetics Society of Australasia against second-trimester triple testing are based on unsound performance criteria, raise several contestable issues around access and equity and challenge the principles of governments providing affordable options.

Does diurnal variation affect the first trimester fetal aneuploidy screening test biochemical parameters of fetuses with normal nuchal translucency?

OBJECTIVE

The purpose of this study was to investigate the effect of diurnal variation on biochemical results of first trimester aneuploidy screening test.

METHODS

A total of 2725 singleton pregnant female, who had normal fetal nuchal translucency (NT) thickness, were included in the study during this period. Individuals were divided into two groups according to the sampling time (morning group: 09:00-11:00 am and afternoon group: 02:00-04:00 pm). Hormonal parameters (free-beta human chorionic gonadotropin [free β-hCG] and pregnancy-associated plasma protein-A [PAPP-A] multiples of median [MoM] levels) of first trimester (11(+0)-13(+6) weeks) combined aneuploidy screening test were compared between morning and afternoon groups.

RESULTS

PAPP-A MoM levels were significantly lower in the afternoon group when compared to the morning group (p = 0.001), whereas free β-hCG MoM levels were similar in the both groups (p = 0.392). Rate of high risk for Down syndrome (Combine risk >1/300) and amniocentesis ratio were found higher in the afternoon group than morning group, but there were no difference between groups for the number of fetuses with Down syndrome.

CONCLUSION

Receiving the venous blood sample for first trimester aneuploidy screening test in the afternoon causes low PAPP-A MoM levels.

Population-based trends in prenatal screening and diagnosis for aneuploidy: a retrospective analysis of 38 years of state-wide data

OBJECTIVE

To analyse population-based trends over the entire history of prenatal testing for aneuploidy.

DESIGN

Retrospective analysis of state-wide data sets.

SETTING

Australian state of Victoria with ~70 000 annual births.

POPULATION

All pregnant women undergoing invasive prenatal testing at <25 weeks' gestation from 1976 to 2013.

METHODS

Analysis of three state-wide data sets: (1) Prenatal diagnosis data set of 119 404 amniocenteses and chorionic villus samplings from 1976 to 2013; (2) central serum screening laboratory data set from 1996 to 2013; (3) government birth statistics from 1976 to 2013.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Annual numbers and uptake rates of invasive prenatal tests and serum screening, indications for invasive prenatal testing, prenatal diagnoses of aneuploidy, diagnostic yield of invasive tests.

RESULTS

Annual numbers of invasive prenatal tests climbed steadily from 1976, then declined from 2000. In 2013, the number of invasive prenatal tests was the lowest in 25 years, while the number of trisomy 21 diagnoses was the highest ever recorded. Annual uptake of serum screening climbed from 1.6 to 83% over 1996-2013. Results from 2013 showed a high diagnostic yield (15.8%) for a low rate of invasive testing (3.4% of births). Over four decades, the number of invasive procedures performed for each diagnosis of major chromosome abnormality declined from 100 to six.

CONCLUSIONS

This study demonstrates historic reductions in the proportion of women undergoing invasive testing and dramatic improvements in diagnostic yield. Monitoring the impact of new prenatal technologies on this progress remains an important research priority.

TWEETABLE ABSTRACT

Invasive prenatal testing has reached historic lows due to dramatic improvements in Down syndrome screening.

Beyond Trisomy 21: Additional Chromosomal Anomalies Detected through Routine Aneuploidy Screening

Prenatal screening is often misconstrued by patients as screening for trisomy 21 alone; however, other chromosomal anomalies are often detected. This study aimed to systematically review the literature and use diagnostic meta-analysis to derive pooled detection and false positive rates for aneuploidies other than trisomy 21 with different prenatal screening tests. Non-invasive prenatal testing had the highest detection (DR) and lowest false positive (FPR) rates for trisomy 13 (DR: 90.3%; FPR: 0.2%), trisomy 18 (DR: 98.1%; FPR: 0.2%), and 45,X (DR: 92.2%; FPR: 0.1%); however, most estimates came from high-risk samples. The first trimester combined test also had high DRs for all conditions studied (trisomy 13 DR: 83.1%; FPR: 4.4%; trisomy 18 DR: 91.9%; FPR: 3.5%; 45,X DR: 70.1%; FPR: 5.4%; triploidy DR: 100%; FPR: 6.3%). Second trimester triple screening had the lowest DRs and highest FPRs for all conditions (trisomy 13 DR: 43.9%; FPR: 8.1%; trisomy 18 DR: 70.5%; FPR: 3.3%; 45,X DR: 77.2%; FPR: 9.3%). Prenatal screening tests differ in their ability to accurately detect chromosomal anomalies. Patients should be counseled about the ability of prenatal screening to detect anomalies other than trisomy 21 prior to undergoing screening.

Non-Invasive Screening Tools for Down's Syndrome: A Review

Down's syndrome (DS) is the most common genetic cause of developmental delay with an incidence of 1 in 800 live births, and is the predominant reason why women choose to undergo invasive prenatal diagnosis. However, as invasive tests are associated with around a 1% risk of miscarriage new non-invasive tests have been long sought after. Recently, the most promising approach for non-invasive prenatal diagnosis (NIPD) has been provided by the introduction of next generation sequencing (NGS) technologies. The clinical application of NIPD for DS detection is not yet applicable, as large scale validation studies in low-risk pregnancies need to be completed. Currently, prenatal screening is still the first line test for the detection of fetal aneuploidy. Screening cannot diagnose DS, but developing a more advanced screening program can help to improve detection rates, and therefore reduce the number of women offered invasive tests. This article describes how the prenatal screening program has developed since the introduction of maternal age as the original "screening" test, and subsequently discusses recent advances in detecting new screening markers with reference to both proteomic and bioinformatic techniques.

First-trimester screening for trisomy 21 in Denmark: implications for detection and birth rates of trisomy 18 and trisomy 13

OBJECTIVES

In Denmark a new national guideline for prenatal screening and diagnosis was issued in 2004 according to which all pregnant women should be offered a first-trimester combined risk assessment for trisomy 21 (T21). The aim of this study was to investigate whether the new screening strategy for T21 has changed the gestational age at which trisomy 18 (T18) and trisomy 13 (T13) are diagnosed prenatally, and the number of infants born with T18 or T13.

METHODS

We collected from the Danish Cytogenetic Central Register information on all prenatal and postnatal chromosome analyses for T18 or T13, registered from 1997 to 2007. Information on first-trimester screening results was collected from each department of obstetrics and gynecology performing the nuchal translucency scans. The cut-off used for referral to invasive diagnostic testing for T21 and for T18/T13 was 1 : 300 and 1 : 150 at screening, respectively.

RESULTS

In total, there were 435 cases with T18 and 168 cases with T13 between 1997 and 2007 in Denmark. The estimated incidence of T18 and T13 at the time of delivery was calculated as 2.5 and 1.6 per 10 000 deliveries, respectively. The number (proportion) of cases diagnosed before week 18 increased significantly, from 63 (59.4%) in 1997 and 1998 to 90 (80.4%) in 2006 and 2007 (P < 0.001). In addition, the number of T18 and T13 cases diagnosed prenatally after week 22 or postnatally decreased significantly, from 34 (32.1%) in 1997 and 1998 to seven (6.3%) in 2006 and 2007 (P < 0.0001). For women participating in first-trimester risk assessment in 2006 and 2007, the detection rate of T18 and T13 was 78.8% (95% CI, 71.0-86.7%).

CONCLUSION

The number of T18 and T13 fetuses diagnosed before week 18 increased significantly after the introduction of a combined first-trimester screening strategy for T21 in Denmark. In addition, the total number of fetuses diagnosed late in pregnancy and infants born with T18 or T13 decreased significantly. The national detection rate for T18 and T13 in the first trimester is comparable with detection rates found in modeled datasets and other prospective studies.

Uptake of prenatal diagnostic testing and the effectiveness of prenatal screening for Down syndrome

OBJECTIVES

To map prenatal screening and diagnostic testing pathways in Victorian pregnant women during 2003 to 2004; measure the impact of prenatal diagnostic testing uptake on the effectiveness of prenatal screening for Down syndrome; and assess factors influencing uptake of diagnostic testing following screening.

METHODS

State-wide data collections of prenatal screening and diagnostic tests were linked to all Victorian births and pregnancy terminations for birth defects.

RESULTS

Overall, 52% of women had a prenatal test (65 692/126 305); screening (44.9%), diagnostic testing (3.9%), or both (3.2%). Uptake of diagnostic testing was 71.4% (2390/3349) after an increased risk screen result, and 2.5% (1381/54 286) after a low risk result. Variation in uptake of diagnostic testing reduced the effectiveness of the screening program by 11.2%: from 87.4% (sensitivity - 125/143) to 76.2% (prenatal diagnoses of Down syndrome - 109/143). In both the increased and low risk groups, uptake was influenced by absolute numerical risk, as well as by the change in numerical risk from a priori risk.

CONCLUSIONS

This comprehensive follow-up demonstrates clearly that numerical risk is being used to aid in decision making about confirmatory diagnostic testing. Collectively, these fundamental individual decisions will impact on the overall effectiveness of screening programmes for Down syndrome.

Using population-based data to predict the impact of introducing noninvasive prenatal diagnosis for Down syndrome

PURPOSE

To compare the number and types of chromosome abnormalities prenatally diagnosed and the number of invasive procedures between current prenatal testing pathways and a pathway where noninvasive prenatal diagnosis for Down syndrome replaces Down syndrome screening tests.

METHODS

Numbers and types of chromosome abnormalities for each referral category were extracted from prenatal diagnostic testing reports routinely collected in Victoria, Australia, in 2006 and 2007. These data were then applied to the proposed implementation strategy.

RESULTS

If noninvasive prenatal diagnosis for Down syndrome had replaced Down syndrome screening tests in 2006 and 2007, in Victoria, there would have been 25 (7%) additional Down syndrome diagnosed, 6896 (84%) fewer invasive procedures, and 231 (56%) non-Down syndrome chromosome abnormalities no longer detected. These include trisomy 13, trisomy 18, sex chromosome abnormalities, balanced and unbalanced rearrangements, polyploidy, and mosaic results.

CONCLUSIONS

The potential loss of information about chromosome abnormalities other than Down syndrome with noninvasive prenatal diagnosis compared with full karyotyping with traditional prenatal diagnosis should be considered when planning for the implementation of new technologies.

First-trimester Down syndrome screening in women younger than 35 years old and cost-effectiveness analysis in Taiwan population

OBJECTIVES

Outcome of the first-trimester Down syndrome screening in younger population was less reported before. We present the outcome of this screening in Taiwanese women younger than 35 years old. We also test whether or not the first-trimester Down syndrome screening of women <35 years of age and women >35 years old routinely receiving amniocentesis is cost-effective compared with all pregnant women screened with this test in the setting of increased maternal age.

METHODS

From 1999 to 2007, the first-trimester Down syndrome screening including nuchal thickness, pregnancy-associated plasma protein A and free beta-hCG are provided to 10 811 singleton women <35 years of age with the cut-off of 1/270. A cost-effectiveness analysis of young women receiving this screening and older women undergo amniocentesis versus all women undergo this screening was performed in Taiwan population from 1987 to 2006, in which advanced age pregnancies increased from 2.8% to 11.6% of total pregnancies.

RESULTS

Detection rates of trisomy 21, trisomy 18, Turner syndrome and other chromosome anormalies in women <35 years of age are 87.5% (14/16), 50% (2/4), 80% (8/10) and 63% (12/19), respectively, with a false-positive rate of 5.5% (590/10 811). As advanced age pregnancies reached 11.6%, the average cost per one case averted for all women screened ranged from $77 204 to $98 421, while the cost ranged from $99 647 to $116 433 for only women <35 years of age receiving this screening.

CONCLUSIONS

In an aging population, the first-trimester Down syndrome screening should be implemented for all pregnant women when it is available.