Evaluation of the seventh edition of the American Joint Committee on Cancer tumour-node-metastasis (TNM) staging system for patients undergoing curative resection of hepatocellular carcinoma: implications for the development of a refined staging system

Decoding the Prognostic Significance and Therapeutic Implications of Inflammation-Based Scores in Hepatocellular Carcinoma: A Comprehensive Review

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the most common primary liver cancer, posing a significant global health challenge with an increasing incidence. In recent years, multiple staging systems and scores have been proposed, emphasising the necessity for the development of precise prognostic tools. The well-documented etiological relationship between chronic inflammation and carcinogenesis has prompted researchers to explore novel prognostic markers associated with the inflammatory status of HCC patients. This review summarises the current data about inflammation-based scores in the context of HCC. We discuss established scores like the Glasgow Prognostic Score (GPS), modified GPS (mGPS) and the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and others not as extensively studied, examining their utility in predicting survival outcomes and treatment response in HCC patients. Furthermore, we explore emerging scores, including the prognostic nutritional index (PNI) and other lymphocyte-based scores, assessing their potential in refining risk stratification and guiding therapeutic decisions in the era of precision medicine. As research progresses and these scores undergo further refinement and integration into the evolving landscape of HCC management, they carry significant potential for improving patient outcomes.

Efficacy of Transarterial Chemoembolization (TACE) for Early-Stage Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Backgound and Objectives: The treatments of choice for patients with early-stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) are surgical resection, local ablation therapy, and liver transplantation; however, transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) is commonly performed due to variations among patients and liver diseases. This study aimed to assess the efficacy of TACE in patients with early-stage HCC. Materials and Methods: A retrospective analysis was performed of all TACE procedures performed at Kyung Hee University Hospital at Gangdong over a 15-year period (July 2006 to November 2021). The study included a total of 97 eligible patients with early-stage HCC ≤ 5 cm initially treated with TACE. The mean participant age was 63.47 ± 11.02 years; 69 were men (71.1%). The number of Child-Pugh class A patients was the highest (74 patients [76.3%]), followed by Child-Pugh class B (19 patients [19.6%]) and Child-Pugh class C (4 patients [4.12%]). Results: A complete response was achieved in 84 (86.6%) patients after the first TACE procedure, with 1-, 2-, and 3-year survival rates of 91.8%, 87.3%, and 75.4%, respectively. In the multivariate analysis, the patients with a low initial alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) ≤ 20 ng/mL (p = 0.02) and a complete response after the first TACE (p = 0.03) were associated with favorable overall survival. Conclusions: TACE can be used to treat patients with early-stage HCC who are unsuitable for ablation or surgery. If patients are well selected, TACE may be an alternative treatment for patients with low AFP levels who respond well to the initial TACE procedure.

Development and validation of a model to predict the risk of distant metastases from hepatocellular carcinoma: a real-world retrospective study

PURPOSE

This study aimed to construct a novel clinical prediction model to predict the risk of distant metastases (DM) in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

METHODS

We included 3869 HCC patients, comprising 3076 patients from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database and 793 patients from a hospital in China. Variables with a P-value < 0.05 in the univariate logistic analysis were entered into the multivariate analysis to determine the independent predictive factors for DM in HCC. A nomogram was created based on the independent predictive factors. The predictive performance of the model was assessed using the receiver operating characteristics (ROCs) curve, decision curve analysis (DCA), calibration curves, and clinical impact curve analysis (CIC). Additionally, we developed a user-friendly web-based calculator based on the model.

RESULTS

The multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that tumor size (P < 0.001), type of treatment (P < 0.001), T stage (P = 0.001), N stage (P < 0.001), and grade (P = 0.043) were identified as independent predictive factors. A nomogram was constructed based on these factors. The area under the ROC curves (AUC) value was 0.845 (95% CI 0.815-0.874) for the training set, 0.818 (95% CI 0.774-0.863) for the internal validation set, and 0.823 (95% CI 0.770-0.876) for the external validation set. Moreover, DCA analysis, calibration curves, and CIC analysis demonstrated the favorable predictive performance of the nomogram. Finally, a more user-friendly web-based calculator was developed.

CONCLUSION

We developed a nomogram and showed its favorable predictive performance in predicting DM in HCC. Furthermore, we developed a more user-friendly web-based calculator, which has the potential to aid clinicians in individualized diagnosis and make better clinical decisions for HCC patients.

Effect of ABO blood group on postoperative overall survival and recurrence-free survival rate in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma after hepatectomy: a multi-center retrospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is one of the most common malignancies worldwide. The survival rate after hepatectomy as the first line of treatment for HCC depends on various factors. This study evaluated the association of the ABO blood group and Rh with overall survival (OS) and Recurrence-free survival (RFS) rate after hepatectomy.

METHODS

This multicenter retrospective cohort study reviewed the medical files of 639 HCC patients who underwent hepatectomy from 2010 to 2022 in three medical centers affiliated with the Iran University of Medical Sciences. Patient data, including demographic, clinical, tumor characteristics, and post-surgery outcomes, were collected by referring to the patient's medical profiles. The Cox proportional hazard investigated the relationship between ABO blood group type and OS and RFS rate after hepatectomy.

RESULTS

The five-year OS and RFS rates were 25.4% and 18.7%, respectively. The five-year OS (Lok rank:40.89, P:0.001) and RFS rate in patients with blood type A were significantly lower than in non-A patients. (Lok rank:10.8, P:0.001) The multivariate Cox analysis showed that blood type A, age < 45 years, tumor size > 5 cm, Poor tumor differentiation, presence of metastasis, The number of involved lymph nodes ≤ 2, and serum Alpha-Fetoprotein)AFP( level ≥ 400 were significantly related to the decreased survival rate of HCC patients after hepatectomy (P < 0.05) There was no significant association between Rh with OS and RFS (P > 0.05).

CONCLUSION

Blood group type A, compared to non-A, can be associated with decreased OS and RFS rates in patients with HCC after hepatectomy.

Advances in post-operative prognostic models for hepatocellular carcinoma

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is one of the most common malignancies and a leading cause of cancer-related death worldwide. Surgery remains the primary and most successful therapy option for the treatment of early- and mid-stage HCCs, but the high heterogeneity of HCC renders prognostic prediction challenging. The construction of relevant prognostic models helps to stratify the prognosis of surgically treated patients and guide personalized clinical decision-making, thereby improving patient survival rates. Currently, the prognostic assessment of HCC is based on several commonly used staging systems, such as Tumor-Node-Metastasis (TNM), Cancer of the Liver Italian Program (CLIP), and Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC). Given the insufficiency of these staging systems and the aim to improve the accuracy of prognostic prediction, researchers have incorporated further prognostic factors, such as microvascular infiltration, and proposed some new prognostic models for HCC. To provide insights into the prospects of clinical oncology research, this review describes the commonly used HCC staging systems and new models proposed in recent years.

Clinical implications and biological features of a novel postoperative recurrent HCC classification: A multi-centre study

BACKGROUND & AIMS

The multiplicity of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) recurrence patterns is the most important determinant of patients' postsurgical survival. A systematic HCC recurrence classification is needed to help prevent and treat postoperative HCC recurrence in the era of precision medicine.

METHODS

A total of 1319 patients with recurrent HCC from four hospitals were enrolled and divided into a development cohort (n = 916), internal validation cohort (n = 225) and external validation cohort (n = 178). A comprehensive study of patients' clinicopathological factors and biological features was conducted.

RESULTS

Four subtypes of recurrence were identified, which integrated recurrence features, survival, effects on systemic and liver function and potential therapeutics after recurrence: type I (solitary-intrahepatic oligorecurrence); type II (multi-intrahepatic oligorecurrence); type III (progression recurrence) and type IV (hyper-progression recurrence). Type III~IV recurrence indicated exceptionally poor prognosis. Subsequently, two nomogram models were established for type III~IV recurrence prediction, and both demonstrated excellent predictive performance and applicability of pre and postoperative strategy formulation. Multiple biological analyses revealed that HCC cases with type III~IV recurrence were characterized by enrichment in p53 mutations, CCND1 amplification, high proliferation/metastasis potential, inactive metabolism and immune exhaustion features. Over-expression of high mobility group protein 2 (HMGA2) enhanced the highly malignant behaviour of HCC through multiple molecular pathways, making it a potential prognostic predictor and therapeutic target.

CONCLUSIONS

This 'recurrent HCC classification' has important potential value in identifying patients with surgical benefit, predicting postsurgical survival and guiding treatment strategies. Multidimensional biological insights also increased knowledge of factors associated with HCC recurrence.

Long-Term Survival and Risk Factors in Patients with Hepatitis B-Related Hepatocellular Carcinoma: A Real-World Study

A retrospective cohort study was conducted to collect 465 patients with hepatitis B-related hepatocellular carcinoma who had undergone radical hepatectomy from January 1, 2012, to August 31, 2018, at the First Affiliated Hospital of the University of Science and Technology of China. The clinical, pathological, and follow-up information was collected to compare the basic characteristics of death and nondeath after radical resection. Kaplan-Meier curves were used for survival analysis and male and female subgroup analysis. The multivariate Cox proportional-hazards regression model was used to analyze independent risk factors related to postoperative death. Of the 465 patients with radical resection of hepatitis B-related hepatocellular carcinoma, 132 died, and 1-, 3-, and 5-year cumulative survival rates after operation were 92.1%, 78%, and 64%, respectively. In the male and female subgroup, 115 and 17 patients died, respectively. The 1-, 3-, and 5-year cumulative survival rates were 92.6%, 77.0%, and 62.6%, respectively, in men, and 89.6%, 78.8%, and 70.2%, respectively, in women. Multivariate Cox proportional-hazards regression analysis showed that microvascular invasion (MVI), Edmondson III/IV, BCLC stage B, and total bilirubin (TB) > 20.5 μmol/L were independent risk factors in patients with hepatitis B-related hepatocellular carcinoma after radical hepatectomy.

Development and Validation of Nomogram for Predicting Survival of Primary Liver Cancers Using Machine Learning

Background and Aims

Primary liver cancer (PLC) is a common malignancy with poor survival and requires long-term follow-up. Hence, nomograms need to be established to predict overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) from different databases for patients with PLC.

Methods

Data of PLC patients were downloaded from Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) and the Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) databases. The Kaplan Meier method and log-rank test were used to compare differences in OS and CSS. Independent prognostic factors for patients with PLC were determined by univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses. Two nomograms were developed based on the result of the multivariable analysis and evaluated by calibration curves and receiver operating characteristic curves.

Results

OS and CSS nomograms were based on age, race, TNM stage, primary diagnosis, and pathologic stage. The area under the curve (AUC) was 0.777, 0.769, and 0.772 for 1-, 3- and 5-year OS. The AUC was 0.739, 0.729 and 0.780 for 1-, 3- and 5-year CSS. The performance of the two new models was then evaluated using calibration curves.

Conclusions

We systematically reviewed the prognosis of PLC and developed two nomograms. Both nomograms facilitate clinical application and may benefit clinical decision-making.

A Practical Nomogram and Risk Stratification System Predicting Cancer-Specific Survival for Hepatocellular Carcinoma Patients With Severe Liver Fibrosis

Objective

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the second leading cause of cancer-related deaths worldwide. This study aims to construct a novel practical nomogram and risk stratification system to predict cancer-specific survival (CSS) in HCC patients with severe liver fibrosis.

Methods

Data on 1,878 HCC patients with severe liver fibrosis in the period 1975 to 2017 were extracted from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database (SEER). Patients were block-randomized (1,316 training cohort, 562 validation cohort) by setting random seed. Univariate and multivariate COX regression analyses were employed to select variables for the nomogram. The consistency index (C-index), the area under time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curve (time-dependent AUC), and calibration curves were used to evaluate the performance of the nomogram. Decision curve analysis (DCA), the C-index, the net reclassification index (NRI), and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) were used to compare the nomogram with the AJCC tumor staging system. We also compared the risk stratification of the nomogram with the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) staging system.

Results

Seven variables were selected to establish the nomogram. The C-index (training cohort: 0.781, 95%CI: 0.767–0.793; validation cohort: 0.793, 95%CI = 95%CI: 0.779–0.798) and the time-dependent AUCs (the training cohort: the values of 1-, 3-, and 5 years were 0.845, 0.835, and 0.842, respectively; the validation cohort: the values of 1-, 3-, and 5 years were 0.861, 0.870, and 0.876, respectively) showed satisfactory discrimination. The calibration plots also revealed that the nomogram was consistent with the actual observations. NRI (training cohort: 1-, 2-, and 3-year CSS: 0.42, 0.61, and 0.67; validation cohort: 1-, 2-, and 3-year CSS: 0.26, 0.52, and 0.72) and IDI (training cohort: 1-, 3-, and 5-year CSS:0.16, 0.20, and 0.22; validation cohort: 1-, 3-, and 5-year CSS: 0.17, 0.26, and 0.30) indicated that the established nomogram significantly outperformed the AJCC staging system (P < 0.001). Moreover, DCA also showed that the nomogram was more practical and had better recognition.

Conclusion

A nomogram for predicting CSS for HCC patients with severe liver fibrosis was established and validated, which provided a new system of risk stratification as a practical tool for individualized treatment and management.

Predicting microvascular invasion in hepatocellular carcinoma: A dual-institution study on gadoxetate disodium-enhanced MRI

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Microvascular invasion (MVI) is an important risk factor in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), but its diagnosis mandates postoperative histopathologic analysis. We aimed to develop and externally validate a predictive scoring system for MVI.

METHODS

From July 2015 to November 2020, consecutive patients underwent surgery for HCC with preoperative gadoxetate disodium (EOB)-enhanced MRI was retrospectively enrolled. All MR images were reviewed independently by two radiologists who were blinded to the outcomes. In the training centre, a radio-clinical MVI score was developed via logistic regression analysis against pathology. In the testing centre, areas under the receiver operating curve (AUCs) of the MVI score and other previous MVI schemes were compared. Overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS) were analysed by the Kaplan-Meier method with the log-rank test.

RESULTS

A total of 417 patients were included, 195 (47%) with pathologically-confirmed MVI. The MVI score included: non-smooth tumour margin (odds ratio [OR] = 4.4), marked diffusion restriction (OR = 3.0), internal artery (OR = 3.0), hepatobiliary phase peritumoral hypointensity (OR = 2.5), tumour multifocality (OR = 1.6), and serum alpha-fetoprotein >400 ng/mL (OR = 2.5). AUCs for the MVI score were 0.879 (training) and 0.800 (testing), significantly higher than those for other MVI schemes (testing AUCs: 0.648-0.684). Patients with model-predicted MVI had significantly shorter OS (median 61.0 months vs not reached, P < .001) and RFS (median 13.0 months vs. 42.0 months, P < .001) than those without.

CONCLUSIONS

A preoperative MVI score integrating five EOB-MRI features and serum alpha-fetoprotein level could accurately predict MVI and postoperative survival in HCC. Therefore, this score may aid in individualized treatment decision making.

A signature of saliva-derived exosomal small RNAs as predicting biomarker for esophageal carcinoma: a multicenter prospective study

BACKGROUND

The tRNA-derived small RNAs (tsRNAs) are produced in a nuclease-dependent manner in responses to variety of stresses that are common in cancers. We focus on a cancer-enriched tsRNA signature to develop a salivary exosome-based non-invasive biomarker for human esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC).

METHODS

Cancer-enriched small RNAs were identified by RNA sequencing of salivary exosomes obtained from ESCC patients (n = 3) and healthy controls (n = 3) in a pilot study and further validated in discovery cohort (n = 66). A multicenter prospective observational study was conducted in two ESCC high-incidence regions (n = 320 and 200, respectively) using the newly developed biomarker signature.

RESULTS

The tsRNA (tRNA-GlyGCC-5) and a previously undocumented small RNA were specifically enriched in salivary exosomes of ESCC patients, ESCC tissues and ESCC cells. The bi-signature composed of these small RNAs was able to discriminate ESCC patients from the controls with high sensitivity (90.50%) and specificity (94.20%). Based on the bi-signature Risk Score for Prognosis (RSP), patients with high-RSP have both shorter overall survival (OS) (HR 4.95, 95%CI 2.90-8.46) and progression-free survival (PFS) (HR 3.69, 95%CI 2.24-6.10) than those with low-RSP. In addition, adjuvant therapy improved OS (HR 0.47, 95%CI 0.29-0.77) and PFS (HR 0.36, 95%CI 0.21-0.62) only for patients with high but not low RSP. These findings are consistent in both training and validation cohort.

CONCLUSIONS

The tsRNA-based signature not only has the potential for diagnosis and prognosis but also may serve as a pre-operative biomarker to select patients who would benefit from adjuvant therapy.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

A prospective study of diagnosis biomarkers of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma, ChiCTR2000031507 . Registered 3 April 2016 - Retrospectively registered.

Prognostic Value of Microvascular Invasion in Eight Existing Staging Systems for Hepatocellular Carcinoma: A Bi-Centeric Retrospective Cohort Study

Background

Microvascular invasion (MVI) is a significant risk factor affecting survival outcomes of patients after R0 liver resection (LR) for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). However, whether the existing staging systems of hepatocellular carcinoma can distinguish the prognosis of patients with MVI and the prognostic value of MVI in different subtypes of hepatocellular carcinoma remains to be clarified.

Methods

A dual-center retrospective data set of 1,198 HCC patients who underwent R0 LR was included in the study between 2014 and 2016. Baseline characteristics and staging information were collected. Homogeneity and modified Akaike information criterion (AICc) were compared between each system. And the prognostic significance of MVI for overall survival (OS) was studied in each subgroup.

Results

In the entire cohort, there were no significant survival differences between Cancer of the Liver Italian Program (CLIP) score 2 and 3 (p = 0.441), and between Taipei Integrated Scoring System (TIS) score 3 and 4 (p = 0.135). In the MVI cohort, there were no significant survival differences between Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stages B and C (p=0.161), CLIP scores 2 and 3 (p = 0.083), TIS scores 0 and 1 (p = 0.227), TIS scores 2 and 3 (p =0.794), Tokyo scores 3 and 4 (p=0.353), and American Joint Committee on Cancer Tumor-Node-Metastasis 7^th stage I and II (p=0.151). Among the eight commonly used HCC staging systems, the Hong Kong Liver Cancer (HKLC) staging system showed the highest homogeneity and the lowest AICc value in both the entire cohort and MVI cohort. In each subgroup of the staging systems, MVI generally exhibited poor survival outcomes.

Conclusions

The HKLC staging system was the most accurate model for discriminating the prognosis of MVI patients, among the eight staging systems. Meanwhile, our findings suggest that MVI may be needed to be incorporated into the current HCC staging systems as one of the grading criteria.

ENO1 suppresses cancer cell ferroptosis by degrading the mRNA of iron regulatory protein 1

α-Enolase 1 (ENO1) is a critical glycolytic enzyme whose aberrant expression drives the pathogenesis of various cancers. ENO1 has been indicated as having additional roles beyond its conventional metabolic activity, but the underlying mechanisms and biological consequences remain elusive. Here, we show that ENO1 suppresses iron regulatory protein 1 (IRP1) expression to regulate iron homeostasis and survival of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) cells. Mechanistically, we demonstrate that ENO1, as an RNA-binding protein, recruits CNOT6 to accelerate the messenger RNA decay of IRP1 in cancer cells, leading to inhibition of mitoferrin-1 (Mfrn1) expression and subsequent repression of mitochondrial iron-induced ferroptosis. Moreover, through in vitro and in vivo experiments and clinical sample analysis, we identified IRP1 and Mfrn1 as tumor suppressors by inducing ferroptosis in HCC cells. Taken together, this study establishes an important role for the ENO1-IRP1-Mfrn1 pathway in the pathogenesis of HCC and reveals a previously unknown connection between this pathway and ferroptosis, suggesting a potential innovative cancer therapy.

Tumor size may influence the prognosis of solitary hepatocellular carcinoma patients with cirrhosis and without macrovascular invasion after hepatectomy

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is usually associated with varying degrees of cirrhosis. Among cirrhotic patients with solitary HCC in the absence of macro-vascular invasion, whether tumor size drives prognosis or not after hepatectomy remains unknown. This study aimed to investigate the prognostic impact of tumor size on long-term outcomes after hepatectomy for solitary HCC patients with cirrhosis and without macrovascular invasion. A total of 813 cirrhotic patients who underwent curative hepatectomy for solitary HCC and without macrovascular invasion between 2001 and 2014 were retrospectively studied. We set 5 cm as the tumor cut-off value. Propensity score matching (PSM) was performed to minimize the influence of potential confounders including cirrhotic severity that was histologically assessed according to the Laennec staging system. Recurrence-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS) were compared between the two groups before and after PSM. Overall, 464 patients had tumor size ≤ 5 cm, and 349 had tumor size > 5 cm. The 5-year RFS and OS rates were 38.3% and 61.5% in the  ≤ 5 cm group, compared with 25.1% and 59.9% in the > 5 cm group. Long-term survival outcomes were significantly worse as tumor size increased. Multivariate analysis indicated that tumor size > 5 cm was an independent risk factor for tumor recurrence and long-term survival. These results were further confirmed in the PSM cohort of 235 pairs of patients. In cirrhotic patients with solitary HCC and without macrovascular invasion, tumor size may significantly affect the prognosis after curative hepatectomy.

Comparison of Modified Child-pugh (MCP), Albumin-bilirubin (ALBI), and Child-pugh (CP) score for predicting of survival in Hepatocellular Carcinoma Patients Treated with Transcatheter Arterial Chemoembolization

BACKGROUND

Both modified Child-Pugh (MCP) and Albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grade were reported that simpler, more objective and evidence-based alternative to the Child-Pugh (CP) class for assessing liver function.

AIMS

To investigate whether the MCP and ALBI grade could better evaluate the liver reserve of Hepatocellular Carcinoma (HCC) patients treated with TACE (transcatheter arterial chemoembolization) than CP grade.

METHODS

Three hundred seventy-six consecutive HCC patients treated with TACE between December 2007 and October 2011 were enrolled. The baseline characteristics and clinical information were collected. Homogeneity and discriminatory ability were compared between the MCP grade and ALBI class or CP grade.

RESULTS

Compared with the CP and ALBI, the MCP grade had a higher predictive accuracy for overall survival (OS) in terms of homogeneity and discriminatory ability. Most of the HCC patients had CP class A disease (84.0%) at presentation, and within this CP class, although the ALBI grade revealed two clear and nonoverlapping groups, the MCP grade revealed three clearly different prognostic groups. Both in the ALBI grade 1 or ALBI grade 2 group, the MCP grade still showed a significant progressive decrease in OS from the smallest to the largest grades, but the CP class was unsatisfactory in stratifying these patients.

CONCLUSIONS

The stratification ability and prognostic predictive power of the MCP grade for HCC patients treated with TACE may be better than that of the ALBI grade or CP class.

Critical appraisal of TNM versus HKU staging system for postoperative prognostic evaluation of hepatocellular carcinoma

Background

The 8^th edition of the American Joint Committee on Cancer tumor-node-metastasis staging system (AJCC 8^th) has been launched with modifications in T staging. The University of Hong Kong liver cancer staging system (HKUSS) has been proven to better categorize hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) into different T stages. This study aimed to compare the two systems’ predictive ability for HCC recurrence after primary surgical resection.

Methods

Patients who had primary, curative resection for HCC between 1989 and 2017 were reviewed. The Kaplan-Meier plot was used to estimate disease-free survival (DFS), and the log-rank test was used for survival comparison between subgroups. The two systems’ prediction of recurrence was evaluated by the Cox regression model.

Results

Totally 1,815 patients were included. With AJCC 8^th, the 5-year DFS was 58.9% for T1a, 52.3% for T1b, 30% for T2, 16.9% for T3, and 14.4% for T4. No survival difference was demonstrated between T1a and T1b (P=0.668) or between T3 and T4 (P=0.562). With HKUSS, the 5-year DFS was 57.7% for T1, 43.4% for T2, 28.9% for T3, and 15.7% for T4. The T staging in HKUSS showed significant survival differences (T1 vs. T2, T2 vs. T3, and T3 vs. T4; P<0.001). Using receiver operating characteristic curves to show the recurrence status in the two systems, HKUSS had the largest area under curve (AUC) (HKUSS: AUC =0.655, SE 0.014, P<0.001, 95% CI, 0.628–0.681; AJCC 8^th: AUC =0.652, SE 0.013, P<0.001, 95% CI, 0.625–0.677).

Conclusions

HKUSS showed better categorization of HCC. In the context of primary surgical resection, HKUSS may be more appropriate for stratification of patients with HCC with various T stages, and thus the choice of staging system when primary surgical resection is considered for patients of HCC.

Preoperative MR imaging for predicting early recurrence of solitary hepatocellular carcinoma without microvascular invasion

OBJECTIVES

This study aimed to identify preoperative MR imaging features for predicting early recurrence after curative resection of solitary hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) without microvascular invasion (MVI).

METHODS

124 patients with MVI-negative HCC who underwent preoperative dynamic contrast-enhanced 1.5-T MR imaging before surgical resection were included. Liver Imaging Reporting and Data System (LI-RADS v2018) imaging features and three non-LI-RADS MR imaging features for predicting early recurrence (intrahepatic recurrence<2 years) were identified by univariable and multivariable analyses. A nomogram was constructed for individualized risk estimation, and its predictive accuracy and discriminative ability were identified by concordance index (C-index) and calibration curve.

RESULTS

In multivariable analysis, tumor size (p = 0.045), nonsmooth tumor margin (p = 0.013), and presence of mosaic architecture (p = 0.035) were independent significant variables associated with early recurrence. These were all incorporated to establish the nomogram. The C-index of the nomogram was 0.743 (95 % CI: 0.697-0.788).

CONCLUSION

At dynamic contrast-enhanced MR imaging, tumor size, nonsmooth tumor margin, and presence of mosaic architecture may be helpful to predict early recurrence of solitary HCC without MVI after curative resection.

Prognosis of hepatocellular carcinoma patients diagnosed under regular surveillance: potential implications for surveillance goal

AIMS

The goal of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) surveillance is to diagnose cancer at an early stage when treatment is likely to provide the best outcome and thereby, reduce mortality. However, no specific criteria define the 'early stage' for tumors diagnosed under HCC surveillance. We aimed to analyze factors that determined the outcome of HCC patients diagnosed under regular surveillance, to find out how early it is necessary to detect tumors during surveillance.

METHODS

A retrospective cohort of 874 HCC patients with preserved liver function (Child-Pugh A) who were diagnosed under regular HCC surveillance at Samsung Medical Center from 2014 to 2016 and did not receive liver transplantation as an initial treatment were analyzed. The primary outcome was overall survival (OS).

RESULTS

Tumor size, presence of vascular invasion, albumin-bilirubin grade, and initial treatment modality were independent factors for OS in multivariable analysis. When categorized according to the tumor size, the risk of mortality increased for tumors of > 3 cm, while tumors of 2-3 cm showed similar mortality risks as tumors of ≤2 cm. When categorized according to the tumor factors, curative-intent treatment (resection or ablation) can be applied to 84.5% with excellent outcomes (5-year OS rate, 93.4%), for tumors of ≤3 cm without vascular invasion.

CONCLUSIONS

When tumors of ≤3 cm were detected and had no vascular invasion, curative-intent treatment was applied for most patients and showed excellent OS. This finding suggests that to detect tumors of <3 cm without vascular invasion may be considered as the goal of HCC surveillance.

Establishment of a Genomic-Clinicopathologic Nomogram for Predicting Early Recurrence of Hepatocellular Carcinoma After R0 Resection

BACKGROUND

A high rate of postoperative recurrence, especially early recurrence (ER) occurring within 1 year, seriously impedes patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) from achieving long-term survival. This study aimed to establish a genomic-clinicopathologic nomogram for precisely predicting ER in HCC patients after R0 resection.

METHODS

Two reliable datasets from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) and the Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) databases were selected as the training and validation cohorts, respectively. The prognostic genes related to ER were screened out by univariate Cox regression analysis and differential expression analysis. The gene-based prognostic index was constructed using LASSO and Cox regression analyses, and its independent prognostic value was assessed by Kaplan-Meier and multivariate Cox analyses. Gene set enrichment analysis (GSEA) was performed to explore the biological pathways related to the prognostic index. Finally, the nomogram integrating all the independent prognostic factors was established and comprehensively evaluated by calibration plots, the C-index, receiver operating characteristic curves, and decision curve analysis.

RESULTS

Nine dysregulated and prognostic genes related to ER (ZNF131, TATDN2, TXN, DDX55, KPNA2, ZNF30, TIMELESS, SFRP1, and COLEC11) were identified (all P < 0.05). The prognostic index model based on the 9 genes was successfully constructed using the TCGA cohort and showed a certain capability to discriminate the ER group from the non-ER group (P < 0.05) and good independent prognostic value in terms of predicting poor early recurrence-free survival (P < 0.05). Eight biological pathways significantly related to ER were identified by GSEA, such as "cell cycle", "homologous recombination" and "p53 signaling pathway." The genomic-clinicopathologic nomogram integrating the 9-gene-based prognostic index and TNM stage displayed significantly higher predictive accuracy and clinical application value than that of TNM stage model both in the training and validation cohorts (all P < 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

The novel genomic-clinicopathologic nomogram may be a convenient and powerful tool for accurately predicting ER in HCC patients after R0 resection.

Comparison between hepatocellular carcinoma prognostic scores: A 10-year single-center experience and brief review of the current literature

BACKGROUND

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) represents the most common primitive liver malignancy. A relevant concern involves the lack of agreement on staging systems, prognostic scores, and treatment allocation algorithms. 

AIM

To compare the survival rates among already developed prognostic scores.

METHODS

We retrospectively evaluated 140 patients with HCC diagnosed between February 2006 and November 2017. Patients were categorized according to 15 prognostic scoring systems and estimated median survivals were compared with those available from the current medical literature.

RESULTS

The median overall survival of the cohort of patients was 35 (17; 67) mo, and it was statistically different in relation to treatment choice, ultrasound surveillance, and serum alpha-fetoprotein. The Italian Liver Cancer (ITA.LI.CA) tumor staging system performed best in predicting survival according to stage allocation among all 15 evaluated prognostic scores. Using the ITA.LI.CA prognostic system, 28.6%, 40.7%, 22.1%, and 8.6% of patients fell within stages 0-1, 2-3, 4-5 and > 5 respectively. The median survival was 57.9 mo for stages 0-1, 43 mo for stages 2-3, 21.7 mo for stages 4-5, and 10.4 mo for stage > 5. The 1-, 3-, and 5-year survival rates were respectively 95%, 65%, and 20%, for stages 0-1; 94.7%, 43.9% and 26.3% for stages 2-3; 71%, 25.8% and 16.1% for stages 4-5; and 50%, 16.7% and 8.3% for stage > 5. At the same time, although statistically significant in prognostic stratification, the most commonly used Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer system showed one of the most relevant differences in median survival, especially for stages A and C, when compared to the medical literature. In fact, 10.7%, 59.3%, 27.1%, 1.4%, and 0% of patients were stratified into stages 0, A, B, C, and D respectively. The median survival was > 81.1 mo for stage 0, 44.9 mo for stage A, 21.3 mo for stage B, and 3.1 mo for stage C. The 1-, 3-, and 5-year survival rates were respectively 86.7%, 60%, and 46.7% for stage 0; 91.6%, 50.6%, and 20.5% for stage A; 73.7%, 23.7% and 13.2% for stage B; and 2%, 0% and 0% for stage C.

CONCLUSION

Survival analysis shows excellent prognostic ability of the ITA.LI.CA scoring system compared to other staging systems.

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC): Epidemiology, etiology and molecular classification

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), the primary malignancy of hepatocytes, is a diagnosis with bleak outcome. According to National Cancer Institute's SEER database, the average five-year survival rate of HCC patients in the US is 19.6% but can be as low as 2.5% for advanced, metastatic disease. When diagnosed at early stages, it is treatable with locoregional treatments including surgical resection, Radio-Frequency Ablation, Trans-Arterial Chemoembolization or liver transplantation. However, HCC is usually diagnosed at advanced stages when the tumor is unresectable, making these treatments ineffective. In such instances, systemic therapy with tyrosine kinase inhibitors (TKIs) becomes the only viable option, even though it benefits only 30% of patients, provides only a modest (~3months) increase in overall survival and causes drug resistance within 6months. HCC, like many other cancers, is highly heterogeneous making a one-size fits all option problematic. The selection of liver transplantation, locoregional treatment, TKIs or immune checkpoint inhibitors as a treatment strategy depends on the disease stage and underlying condition(s). Additionally, patients with similar disease phenotype can have different molecular etiology making treatment responses different. Stratification of patients at the molecular level would facilitate development of the most effective treatment option. With the increase in efficiency and affordability of "omics"-level analysis, considerable effort has been expended in classifying HCC at the molecular, metabolic and immunologic levels. This review examines the results of these efforts and the ways they can be leveraged to develop targeted treatment options for HCC.

Management and survival for patients with stage-I hepatocellular carcinoma: An observational study based on SEER database

It is controversial regarding the treatment allocation for patients with stage I hepatocellular carcinoma (SI-HCC). The aim of the present study was to compare the long-term survival in SI-HCC patients undergoing liver transplantation (LT), liver resection (LR), local tumor destruction (LTD), or none. SI-HCC patients diagnosed between 2004 and 2015 were extracted from the SEER 18 registry database. Multivariable Cox models and propensity score matching (PSM) method were used to explore the association between surgical methods and long-term prognosis. A total of 5165 patients with stage I (AJCC, 6th or 7th) HCC were included in the study. Only 36.9% of patients diagnosed with HCC in stage I received surgical therapy. The incidence of LT was decreased over time (P < .001). In the multivariable-adjusted cohort (n = 5165), after adjusting potential confounding factors, a clear prognostic advantage of LT was observed in OS (P < .0001) compared with patients after LR. Patients undergoing LTD had a worse OS in comparison with patients who underwent LR (P < .0001). Patients who received no surgical treatment had the worst OS (P < .0001) among 4 treatment groups. In stratified analyses, the salutary effects of LT vs LR on OS were consistent across all subgroups except for a similar result in the noncirrhotic subgroup (P = .4414). The inferior survival effects of LTD vs LR on OS were consistent across all subgroups, and even in the subgroup with tumor size < 3 cm (P = .0342). In the PSM cohort, patients in LT group showed a better OS (P < .001) than patients in LR group (P < .0001) and patients undergoing LTD had a worse OS compared with patients who underwent LR (P = .00059). In conclusion, LT offered a survival advantage compared with LR among patients with Stage I HCC. LT is the best surgical treatment for stage I HCC in patients with advanced fibrosis, whereas LR provides comparable long-term outcomes to LT in patients without advanced fibrosis and should be considered as the first-line surgical option. LTD can be used as an alternative method when LR and LT are unavailable.

Upregulation of ERCC6L is associated with tumor progression and unfavorable prognosis in hepatocellular carcinoma

Background

The oncogenic role of excision repair cross-complementation group 6-like (ERCC6L) has been revealed in several cancers recently, but little is known about its expression and function in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

Methods

Utilizing public data from Human Protein Atlas (HPA) and The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) databases, ERCC6L dysregulation in HCC and its clinical significance were determined by t-test and Chi-square test. Comprehensive survival analyses (such as nomogram, Cox regression model and Kaplan-Meier analysis) were performed to assess prognostic value of ERCC6L for HCC patients. Integrated bioinformatics analyses [including copy number alterations (CNA), DNA methylation, miRNA prediction and gene set enrichment analysis (GSEA)] were conducted to explore the mechanisms and biological roles underlying ERCC6L dysregulation in HCC.

Results

ERCC6L upregulation was identified in HCC tissues compared to normal controls (P<0.05). In addition, overexpression of ERCC6L not only correlated with elevated alpha fetoprotein (AFP), vascular invasion (VI), and advanced histologic grade and TNM stage, but also had an independent prognostic value for the poorer overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS) of HCC patients (all P<0.05). Besides, nomogram integrating ERCC6L expression and TNM stage showed superior prognostic ability than that of TNM stage (P<0.05). Moreover, ERCC6L promoter hypomethylation and miR-5589 downregulation in HCC might result in ERCC6L overexpression (all P<0.05). Furthermore, eight biological pathways (including the DNA replication, cell cycle and p53 pathways) related to ERCC6L upregulation in HCC were found to be enriched by GSEA, and ERCC6L upregulation was positively correlated with PLK1 (polo-like kinase 1) expression and TP53 mutation in HCC, which preliminarily shed light on the roles of ERCC6L in HCC.

Conclusions

ERCC6L may serve as a promising prognostic indicator and therapeutic target for HCC patients.

Evaluation of the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) 8th Edition Staging System for Hepatocellular Carcinoma in 1,008 Patients with Curative Resection

Purpose

Recently, the 8th edition staging system of the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) was released, including a change in T category. We aimed to validate the new AJCC system.

Materials and Methods

The predictive value of the new AJCC was validated in comparison to the previous edition, in a total 1,008 patients who underwent curative resection for HCC as initial treatment.

Results

The 2-year area under the curve values for recurrence-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS) were comparable in the 7th and 8th editions. Stage migration was observed in 63 patients (6.3%); from T2 to T1a for 44 patients and from T3 to T4 for 19 patients. The RFS and OS were not different between T1a and T1b in the 8th edition. For solitary tumors ≤ 2 cm, those with microvascular invasion had lower RFS and OS values than those without although they were all classified as T1a in the 8th edition. Tumors involving a major branch of the portal or hepatic vein (T4 by the 8th edition and T3b by the 7th edition) had shorter RFS and OS than multifocal tumors, at least one of which was > 5 cm (T3 by the 8th edition and T3a by the 7th edition).

Conclusion

The AJCC 8th edition staging system for HCC showed comparable predictive performance to the 7th edition. It is desirable in a future revision to consider sub-stratification of solitary tumors ≤ 2 cm (T1a) depending on the presence of vascular invasion, which is not included in the 8th edition.

A review of changes to and clinical implications of the eighth TNM classification of hepatobiliary and pancreatic cancers

Hepatobiliary and pancreatic cancers have poor outcomes. Clinical staging is useful for predicting survival and selecting treatment options. The 8th edition of tumor-node metastasis (TNM) was published in 2016 and came into effect from 2018. Regarding liver cancer (hepatocellular carcinoma), tumour size and vascular invasion were more emphasized adding numbers. Tumour size was included for intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma. T2 for gallbladder cancer was divided into two categories based on the side of invasion, and lymph node metastasis was classified according to the number of lymph nodes, not the site. The N category for perihilar cholangiocarcinoma was changed to the same as that for gallbladder cancer (total number of regional lymph nodes). The depth of tumour invasion using cut-off values of 5 and 12 mm was adopted as the T category for distal cholangiocarcinoma. The N category was also changed (the total number of regional lymph nodes). Regarding cancer of the ampulla of Vater, the T category was classified in more detail and the N category was also changed to the total number of regional lymph nodes. T1 for pancreatic cancer was separated into T1 subcategories (T1a, T1b and T1c) based on cut-off values of 5 and 10 mm. T1-T3 were classified with cut-off values of ≤2 cm, >2 to 4 cm and >4 cm. Furthermore, the N category was changed to the total number of regional lymph nodes. Although there are limitations due to treatment decisions only being based on imaging interpretation, this classification predicts the prognosis of patients more accurately than the previous edition.

Identification of cancer/testis antigen 2 gene as a potential hepatocellular carcinoma therapeutic target by hub gene screening with topological analysis

The 5-year survival rate of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is <20%; thus, identifying new potential therapeutic targets or novel biomarkers for prognosis prediction is crucial. The present study aimed to screen hub genes by constructing protein-protein interaction (PPI) subnetworks using topological analysis methods, as well as reveal their clinical significance through big data analytics and their association with the clinicopathological features. Firstly, the PPI subnetworks were constructed using four topological analysis methods, including the MCC, DMNC, MNC and degree methods, to obtain 6 hub genes. Subsequently, the hub gene cancer/testis antigen 2 (CTAG2), which affects the prognosis of HCC (overall survival, P=0.035), was acquired by analysing clinical data in The Cancer Genome Atlas database. Meanwhile, CTAG2 expression was significantly associated with the age at diagnosis (P=0.003), T stage (P=0.028), TNM stage (P=0.028) and α-fetoprotein (AFP) expression (P=0.045). Further immunohistochemical analysis of samples collected in our hospital revealed that the expression level of CTAG2 in 46 HCC tissues was significantly higher in comparison with that in paired adjacent tissues. The clinical data indicated that the expression of CTAG2 was significantly correlated with the hepatitis B virus status (P=0.010) and AFP expression (P=0.004). These results were then found to be consistent with the results of big data analytics. Furthermore, Gene Set Enrichment Analysis demonstrated that the function of CTAG2 in HCC may be associated with the cell cycle. Taken together, these findings suggest that CTAG2 may serve as a new potential therapeutic target for HCC patients.

DIS3L2 Promotes Progression of Hepatocellular Carcinoma via hnRNP U-Mediated Alternative Splicing

DIS3-like 3'-5' exoribonuclease 2 (DIS3L2) degrades aberrant RNAs, however, its function in tumorigenesis remains largely unexplored. Here, aberrant DIS3L2 expression promoted human hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) progression via heterogeneous nuclear ribonucleoproteins (hnRNP) U-mediated alternative splicing. DIS3L2 directly interacted with hnRNP U through its cold-shock domains and promoted inclusion of exon 3b during splicing of pre-Rac1 independent of its exonuclease activity, yielding an oncogenic splicing variant, Rac1b, which is known to stimulate cellular transformation and tumorigenesis. DIS3L2 regulated alternative splicing by recruiting hnRNP U to pre-Rac1. Rac1b was critical for DIS3L2 promotion of liver cancer development both in vitro and in vivo. Importantly, DIS3L2 and Rac1b expression highly correlated with HCC progression and patient survival. Taken together, our findings uncover an oncogenic role of DIS3L2, in which it promotes liver cancer progression through a previously unappreciated mechanism of regulating hnRNP U-mediated alterative splicing. SIGNIFICANCE: These findings establish the role and mechanism of the 3'-5' exoribonuclease DIS3L2 in hepatocellular carcinoma carcinogenesis.

Prognostic value of preoperative computed tomography in HBV-related hepatocellular carcinoma patients after curative resection

Background: Preoperative treatments are considered for patients with worse outcome to improve overall survival and reduce tumor relapse. This study developed a prognostic risk estimation for patients with hepatitis B virus (HBV)-related solitary hepatocellular carcinoma after curative resection, including preoperative computed tomography (CT) signatures. Methods: Preoperative multiphasic CTs for 166 patients with operable HCC were performed in our hospital from 15 November 2013 through 15 May 2015. Follow-up information, until 5 June 2017, included: CT, pathological and clinical characteristics, and recurrence and metastases of HCC confirmed by pathological or radiological diagnosis. The parameters were analyzed by the Kaplan-Meier method and Cox proportional hazards regression analysis. Results: In multivariate analyses, overall survival was not significantly associated with any of the analyzed prognostic risk factors, but did show that the following were significant prognostic risk factors for disease-free survival: larger tumor size, positive radiogenomic venous invasion, non-smooth tumor margin, and histological microvascular invasion. These were all incorporated into the nomogram. The calibration curves for predicting the probability of disease-free survival between the nomogram and actual observation showed good conformity. Conclusion: In patients with HBV-related HCC, CT signatures were a noninvasive significant indicator of disease-free survival. Thus, consideration of CT signatures may optimize preoperative treatment strategies for the individual patient.

Evaluation of Salivary Exosomal Chimeric GOLM1-NAA35 RNA as a Potential Biomarker in Esophageal Carcinoma

PURPOSE

Transcriptionally induced chimeric RNAs are an important emerging area of research into molecular signatures for biomarker and therapeutic target development. Salivary exosomes represent a relatively unexplored, but convenient, and noninvasive area of cancer biomarker discovery. However, the potential of cancer-derived exosomal chimeric RNAs in saliva as biomarkers is unknown. Here, we explore the potential clinical utility of salivary exosomal GOLM1-NAA35 chimeric RNA (seG-NchiRNA) in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC).

EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN

In a retrospective study, the prognostic significance of G-NchiRNA was determined in ESCC tissues. The correlation between seG-NchiRNA and circulating exosomal or tumoral G-NchiRNA was ascertained in cultured cells and mice. In multiple prospective cohorts of patients with ESCC, seG-NchiRNA was measured by qRT-PCR and analyzed for diagnostic accuracy, longitudinal monitoring of treatment response, and prediction of progression-free survival (PFS).

RESULTS

Exosomal G-NchiRNA was readily detectable in ESCC cells and nude mouse ESCC xenografts. SeG-NchiRNA levels reflected tumor burden in vivo and correlated with tumor G-NchiRNA levels. In prospective studies of a training cohort (n = 220) and a validation cohort (n = 102), seG-NchiRNA levels were substantially reduced after ESCC resection. Moreover, seG-NchiRNA was successfully used to evaluate chemoradiation responsiveness, as well as to detect disease progression earlier than imaging studies. Changes in seG-NchiRNA levels also predicted PFS of patients after chemoradiation.

CONCLUSIONS

SeG-NchiRNA constitutes an effective candidate noninvasive biomarker for the convenient, reliable assessment of therapeutic response, recurrence, and early detection.

Prognostic Implications of Arginase and Cytokeratin 19 Expression in Hepatocellular Carcinoma After Curative Hepatectomy: Correlation With Recurrence-Free Survival

BACKGROUND

The prognostic value of arginase expression in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) has been evaluated previously. However, no clear distinction exists yet on the role of arginase-1 as a predictor of recurrence in HCC. Cytokeratin 19 (CK19), a cholangiocytic marker, is occasionally expressed in HCC, but the combination of arginase-1 and CK19 expression has never been evaluated. The aim of the study was to investigate the usefulness of arginase-1 and CK19 expression alone and in combination for prognosticating HCC tumor recurrence after surgical resection.

METHODS

Tissue sections from 112 HCCs were immunostained using an automated method and the mouse monoclonal arginase-1 and mouse monoclonal CK19 antibodies. The clinicopathologic variables, including alpha-fetoprotein levels, viral hepatitis, cirrhosis, tumor size, grade and number, vascular invasion, tumor-node-metastasis (TNM) stage, and tumor recurrence and survival, were obtained from each patient's medical records. The variables were assessed for correlation with the immunochemical results. Comparisons of recurrence-free and overall survival were performed using univariate and multivariate regression analyses. A P-value of ≤ 0.05 was considered statistically significant.

RESULTS

High arginase-1 expression was detected in the HCCs of 93 patients (83%), whereas CK19 was positive in the HCCs of only 19 patients (17%). In the univariate analyses, CK19 positivity in HCC was associated with decreased recurrence-free survival compared with CK19-negative HCC (P = 0.0002). Arginase-1 expression was associated with decreased recurrence-free survival when patients were stratified over advanced TNM stage and presence of vascular invasion. The combination of arginase-1 and CK19 expression was a better predictor of decreased recurrence-free survival (P = 0.00008). Arginase-1/CK19 expressions when combined with multiple tumors, TNM stage and vascular invasion were also associated with decreased recurrence-free survival. In the multivariate analysis, tumor grade, CK19 and arginase-1/CK19 expressions were identified as independent prognostic indicators for decreased recurrence-free survival.

CONCLUSION

Arginase-1 and CK19 combination immunoreactivity is a potential biomarker of adverse prognosis in HCC, correlating with the presence of multiple tumors, vascular invasion and advanced stage.

Microvascular invasion predicts a poor prognosis of solitary hepatocellular carcinoma up to 2 cm based on propensity score matching analysis

AIM

Microvascular invasion (MVI) is not discussed for solitary hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) up to 2 cm in the 8th Edition of the American Joint Committee on Cancer Staging Manual. The present study aimed to reappraise the influence of MVI on solitary HCC up to 2 cm in diameter.

METHODS

Between January 2010 and December 2012, a retrospective cohort of 496 HCC patients from the Eastern Hepatobiliary Surgery Hospital was analyzed. Propensity score matching was carried out to balance the baseline characteristics. Survival analysis was carried out using the Kaplan-Meier method. Risk factors were evaluated using the Cox proportional hazards model. Multivariate logistic regression was used to identify the risk factors associated with MVI.

RESULTS

All patients were classified into either an MVI-negative group (n = 332) or an MVI-positive group (n = 164). The MVI-positive group had poorer recurrence-free survival and overall survival before and after propensity score matching. The multivariate analysis showed that MVI; being male; increased total bilirubin levels, alanine transaminase levels and γ-glutamyl transpeptidase levels; decreased albumin levels; and HBV DNA load >10³  IU/mL were risk factors for recurrence-free survival. MVI, older age, lower albumin levels, and cirrhosis were risk factors for overall survival. Age <50 years, alpha-fetoprotein >20 ng/mL, and lack of or an incomplete capsule were significantly independent predictors for MVI.

CONCLUSIONS

MVI had a negative impact on the prognosis of solitary HCC up to 2 cm after curative hepatectomy. The 8th edition of the American Joint Committee on Cancer staging system could be improved by subdividing solitary HCC up to 2 cm according to MVI.

The prognosis of bulky hepatocellular carcinoma with nonmajor branch portal vein tumor thrombosis

A bulky, solitary hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) with nonmajor branch portal vein tumor thrombosis (PVTT) was staged as T2 in the tumor-node-metastasis (TNM) system. We aimed to evaluate the prognosis of this group of patients.A total of 2643 patients with HCC in a medical center were consecutively enrolled. The stage of HCC was determined according to the 7th edition of American Joint Committee on Cancer staging system. Patients who were diagnosed as having solitary HCC larger than 5 cm with nonmajor portal vein thrombosis (VP1-VP2) and no lymphadenopathy or metastasis were included.Bulky HCC with nonmajor branch PVTT and without metastasis and lymphadenopathy was identified in 0.15% (4 out of 2643 patients) of the patients with HCC. Child-Pugh scores of the patients were A to B. Tumor sizes all were larger than 5 cm (mean: 6.8 ± 1.0 cm). All patients had nonmajor branch of PVTT. Three patients initially received trans-arterial chemoembolization (TACE) therapy, and 1 patient refused treatment because of old age. The response to TACE was poor: 2 patients rapidly progressed to main portal vein thrombosis, and their tumors enlarged within a half year. Only 1 patient's disease remained stable but progressed gradually 2 years later. The median survival time was 16.5 months. The 1- year, 2-year, and 3-year survival rate was 100%, 50%, and 0%, respectively.Solitary HCC > 5 cm with PVTT of a nonmajor branch gave dismal prognoses and required aggressive treatment such as hepatic resection or combination therapy. In our opinion, it should be staged as T3 rather than a T2 in the TNM staging system.

The 7th/8th American Joint Committee on Cancer and the Modified Union for International Cancer Control Staging System for Hepatocellular Carcinoma

PURPOSE

Although many staging systems have been proposed for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), there is no globally accepted system due to the extreme heterogeneity of the disease. We aimed to compare the results of the 7th/8th American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) and the modified Union for International Cancer Control (mUICC) staging systems in patients with HCC.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We collected data from 792 patients who underwent hepatic resection at our center. The Kaplan-Meier method was used to determine disease-free survival and overall survival. To evaluate homogeneity, '-2 log likelihood' was calculated using Cox proportional hazards regression. To measure discriminatory ability, the linear trend chi method and the Cochran-Armitage test for trend were used. The ability to accurately predict survival was verified by cross-validation analysis.

RESULTS

Kaplan-Meier curves for disease-free survival and overall survival showed mUICC to be superior to the 7th/8th AJCC. The homogeneity test indicated that mUICC was the best for both disease-free survival and overall survival. In the discriminatory ability test, the chi-square value of mUICC was the best for disease-free survival, while the 7th AJCC had the best value for overall survival. In the cross-validation analysis, all three staging systems had significant predictive power.

CONCLUSION

mUICC seemed to be superior to the 7th/8th AJCC after analyzing the data of our surgical patients, although the geographic heterogeneity of HCC might result in differences between the staging systems. We believe that, while the three staging systems allow for the clear stratification of patients into prognostic groups, mUICC may be more appropriate in HCC.

The power of tumor sizes in predicting the survival of solitary hepatocellular carcinoma patients

Background

Vascular invasion, rather than tumor size, was applied into the 7th edition of the AJCC TNM staging system to predict survival of solitary hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients. However, does this mean tumor size is of little value in prognostic prediction? The current study was designed to explore the prognostic ability of tumor sizes in solitary HCC.

Methods

A total of 18 591 patients with solitary HCC categorized as T1 and T2 were retrieved from the Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) database. The Cox proportional hazards regression model was adopted to evaluate the impact of tumor sizes on overall survival (OS) and disease‐specific survival (DSS) in general and in subgroups stratified by vascular invasion and surgery type.

Results

Large tumor sizes (>39 mm) were associated with unfavorable clinicopathologic characteristics. Compared with tumors ≤30 mm, tumors between 31‐50 mm and tumors >50 mm showed significantly worse OS and DSS in general using multivariate analysis (all P < 0.001). In subgroup analyses, for patients without vascular invasion, tumor size was a notable prognostic indicator for OS in the radiofrequency ablation group (P < 0.001), rather than in the liver resection or transplantation group. Nevertheless, for patients with vascular invasion, tumor sizes exhibited a notable impact on OS in the liver resection and transplantation group.

Conclusions

The AJCC TNM staging system for solitary HCC would be more comprehensive if tumor sizes were integrated into the T2 classification. Additionally, for T1 patients, tumor sizes play no role in the choice between resection and transplantation.

The Prognosis of Single Large Hepatocellular Carcinoma Was Distinct from Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer Stage A or B: The Role of Albumin-Bilirubin Grade

BACKGROUND/AIMS

Whether single large hepatocellular carcinoma (SLHCC) is classified as Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) stage A or B is still controversial. We aimed to compare the clinical manifestations, treatment modalities, and prognoses among patients with SLHCC and those in BCLC stage A and B.

METHODS

We enrolled 2,285 treatment-naive hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients with BCLC stage A or B from October 2007 to December 2015. Factors in terms of prognoses were analyzed by multivariate analysis.

RESULTS

We enrolled 1,210, 466, and 609 patients in a BCLC-A, SLHCC, and BCLC-B group, respectively. After a median follow-up duration of 21.2 months, 898 patients had died. The cumulative 5-year survival rates were 57.0, 42.6, and 27.3% for patients in the BCLC-A, SLHCC, and BCLC-B groups, respectively, which were significantly different (p < 0.001). Multivariate analysis indicated that the following independent risk factors were associated with poor prognosis: age > 65 years, alkaline phosphatase > 100 U/L, creatinine > 1.0 mg/dL, alpha-fetoprotein > 20 mg/mL, noncurative treatment, albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grade, and HCC staging. Subgroup analysis also confirmed that patients in the SLHCC group had a survival rate intermediate to those in the BCLC-A and BCLC-B groups. However, for patients in the SLHCC group and with ALBI grade 1, outcomes were close to those in the BCLC-A group, especially in the setting of curative treatment. For those with ALBI grades 2 or 3, the prognoses were similar to those of the SLHCC and BCLC-B groups.

CONCLUSION

Patients in the SLHCC group had an overall survival rate intermediate to those of the BCLC-A and BCLC-B groups. It is suggested that the SLHCC group could be classified as occupying a different stage from the BCLC stages A and B. The ALBI grade could help to stratify SLHCC into a different prognostic group. However, the results need to be validated externally in other regions of the world.

The prognostic significance of serum HBeAg on the recurrence and long-term survival after hepatectomy for hepatocellular carcinoma: A propensity score matching analysis

The effects of serum hepatitis B e antigen (HBeAg) on the prognosis of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients after hepatectomy remain controversial. Our aim was to explore the prognostic significance of serum HBeAg on the prognosis of patients with HCC using a propensity matching model. Between January 2009 and March 2015, 953 patients with HCC who underwent hepatectomy in West China Hospital were analysed. Propensity matching analysis was applied, and survival analysis was performed using the Kaplan-Meier method. Risk factors were identified by the Cox proportional hazards model. All patients with HCC were classified into an HBeAg(-) group (n = 775, 81.3%) or an HBeAg(+) group (n = 178, 18.7%). Patients with positive serum HBeAg had poorer recurrence-free survival and overall survival before and after propensity matching. Similar results were found in patients within the Milan criteria. For patients beyond the Milan criteria, the HBeAg(+) group had poor overall survival before and after propensity matching. In term of recurrence-free survival, there was no statistically significant impact after propensity matching (P = .055), although there was a trend for HBeAg(+) patient to have reduced recurrence-free survival. Positive serum HBeAg, positive HBV-DNA load, largest tumour size, multiple tumours, microvascular invasion and a high serum level of preoperative alpha-fetoprotein were risk factors for recurrence. Our propensity model confirmed that positive serum HBeAg had a negative impact on the recurrence and long-term survival irrespective of tumour stages. HBeAg seroconversion might be beneficial for reducing the rate of recurrence.

Outcomes of anterior approach major hepatectomy with diaphragmatic resection for single huge right lobe HCC with diaphragmatic invasion

The outcomes following anterior approach (AA) hepatectomy in huge hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients with diaphragmatic invasion (DI) remain unclear. This study compared the outcomes of single huge right HCC patients with and without DI after AA hepatectomy. A total of 203 consecutive patients with single huge right lobe HCC who underwent AA major hepatectomy were included. They were divided into group PDI (n = 53) and group ADI (n = 150) according to the presence or the absence of DI. Their short- and long-term outcomes were compared, and a subgroup analysis was performed. There were no significant differences regarding postoperative complications and 90-day mortality between the 2 groups. The overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS) rates were similar between the 2 groups. The subgroup analysis also showed that patients with tumor resection en bloc with part of the diaphragm had similar OS and RFS rates as those who underwent diaphragmatic resection after hepatectomy. Tumor diameter ≥ 15 cm, serum AFP level ≥ 400 ng/mL, and tumor grade of G4 and microvascular invasion are independent predictors of poor prognosis. For the single huge right lobe HCC patients with DI, AA major hepatectomy combined with diaphragmatic resection could offer similar OS and RFS as those without diaphragmatic invasion.

Shanghai Score: A Prognostic and Adjuvant Treatment-evaluating System Constructed for Chinese Patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma after Curative Resection

Background:

For Chinese patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), surgical resection is the most important treatment to achieve long-term survival for patients with an early-stage tumor, and yet the prognosis after surgery is diverse. We aimed to construct a scoring system (Shanghai Score) for individualized prognosis estimation and adjuvant treatment evaluation.

Methods:

A multivariate Cox proportional hazards model was constructed based on 4166 HCC patients undergoing resection during 2001–2008 at Zhongshan Hospital. Age, hepatitis B surface antigen, hepatitis B e antigen, partial thromboplastin time, total bilirubin, alkaline phosphatase, γ-glutamyltransferase, α-fetoprotein, tumor size, cirrhosis, vascular invasion, differentiation, encapsulation, and tumor number were finally retained by a backward step-down selection process with the Akaike information criterion. The Harrell's concordance index (C-index) was used to measure model performance. Shanghai Score is calculated by summing the products of the 14 variable values times each variable's corresponding regression coefficient. Totally 1978 patients from Zhongshan Hospital undergoing resection during 2009–2012, 808 patients from Eastern Hepatobiliary Surgery Hospital during 2008–2010, and 244 patients from Tianjin Medical University Cancer Hospital during 2010–2011 were enrolled as external validation cohorts. Shanghai Score was also implied in evaluating adjuvant treatment choices based on propensity score matching analysis.

Results:

Shanghai Score showed good calibration and discrimination in postsurgical HCC patients. The bootstrap-corrected C-index (confidence interval [CI]) was 0.74 for overall survival (OS) and 0.68 for recurrence-free survival (RFS) in derivation cohort (4166 patients), and in the three independent validation cohorts, the CIs for OS ranged 0.70–0.72 and that for RFS ranged 0.63–0.68. Furthermore, Shanghai Score provided evaluation for adjuvant treatment choices (transcatheter arterial chemoembolization or interferon-α). The identified subset of patients at low risk could be ideal candidates for curative surgery, and subsets of patients at moderate or high risk could be recommended with possible adjuvant therapies after surgery. Finally, a web server with individualized outcome prediction and treatment recommendation was constructed.

Conclusions:

Based on the largest cohort up to date, we established Shanghai Score – an individualized outcome prediction system specifically designed for Chinese HCC patients after surgery. The Shanghai Score web server provides an easily accessible tool to stratify the prognosis of patients undergoing liver resection for HCC.