How many physicians will be needed to provide medical care for older persons? Physician manpower needs for the twenty-first century

Identifying the Priority Topics for the Assessment of Competence in Care of the Elderly

Background

With Canada's senior population increasing, there is greater demand for family physicians with enhanced skills in Care of the Elderly (COE). The College of Family Physicians Canada (CFPC) has introduced Certificates of Added Competence (CACs), one being in COE. Our objective is to summarize the process used to determine the Priority Topics for the assessment of competence in COE.

Methods

A modified Delphi technique was used, with online surveys and face-to-face meetings. The Working Group (WG) of six physicians acted as the nominal group, and a larger group of randomly selected practitioners from across Canada acted as the Validation Group (VG). The WG, and then the VG, completed electronic write-in surveys that asked them to identify the Priority Topics. Responses were compiled, coded, and tabulated to identify the topics and to calculate the frequencies of their selection. The WG used face-to-face meetings and iterative discussion to decide on the final topic names.

Results

The correlation between the initial Priority Topic list identified by the VG and that identified by the WG is 0.6793. The final list has 18 Priority Topics.

Conclusion

Defining the required competencies is a first step to establishing national standards in COE.

Creating a Geriatrics Curriculum in a Continuing Care Retirement Community

INTRODUCTION

The new Accreditation Council for Graduate Medical Education (ACGME) guidelines for family medicine residencies increased training requirements for caring for older adults. These guidelines prompted changes to the current geriatrics curriculum at the Trident/Medical University of South Carolina (MUSC) Family Medicine Residency Program. Changes to the training requirements and the residency geriatric experiences reflect an increasingly aging population and many unmet needs in caring for older adults.

METHODS

To meet accreditation requirements and the needs of our population, the residency program established a new partnership with a continuing care retirement community (CCRC) and hired another provider to coordinate the curriculum. Changes to the curriculum included more time spent in our CCRC, better longitudinal patient visit continuity, a coordinated interprofessional didactic curriculum, more elective opportunities in geriatrics, and online pharmacotherapy quizzes. The curriculum was assessed with a validated 10-question pre/postresident survey.

RESULTS

Resident responses revealed increased comfort in caring for a geriatric population, increased desire to focus on geriatrics in their medical career, and increased participation in the geriatrics track.

CONCLUSIONS

With changes in ACGME requirements, family medicine residency programs must develop a comprehensive curriculum to care for an increasing elderly population. The Trident/MUSC Family Medicine Residency provides a model curriculum for other programs seeking to improve training for their residents and meet these requirements.

Incorporating prognosis in the care of older adults with multimorbidity: description and evaluation of a novel curriculum

BACKGROUND

Prognosis is a critical consideration in caring for older adults with multiple chronic conditions, or "multimorbidity". Clinicians are not adequately trained in this area. We describe an innovative curriculum that teaches internal medicine residents how to incorporate prognosis in the care of older adults with multimorbidity.

METHODS

The curriculum includes three small-group sessions and a clinical exercise; it focuses on the assessment, communication, and application of prognosis to inform clinical decisions. The curriculum was implemented with 20 first-year residents at one university-based residency (intervention group). Fifty-two first-year residents from a separate residency affiliated with the same university served as controls. Evaluation included three components. A survey assessed acceptability. A pre/post survey assessed attitude, knowledge, and self-reported skills (Impact survey). Comparison of baseline and follow-up results used paired t-test and McNemar test; comparison of inter-group differences used t-test and Fisher's exact test. A retrospective, blinded pre/post chart review assessed documentation behavior; abstracted outcomes were analyzed using Fisher's exact test.

RESULTS

The curriculum was highly rated (4.5 on 5-point scale). Eighteen intervention group residents (90 %) and 29 control group residents (56 %) responded to the Impact survey. At baseline, there were no significant inter-group differences in any of the responses. The intervention group improved significantly in prognosis communication skills (5.2 to 6.6 on 9-point scale, p < 0.001), usage of evidence-based prognostic tools (1/18 to 14/18 responses, p < 0.001), and prognostic accuracy (1/18 to 9/18 responses, p = 0.005). These responses were significantly different from the control group at follow-up. Of 71 charts reviewed in each group, prognosis documentation in the intervention group increased from 1/25 charts (4 %) at baseline to 8/46 charts (17 %) at follow-up (p = 0.15). No prognosis documentation was identified in the control group at either time point. Inter-group difference was significant at follow-up (p = 0.006).

CONCLUSION

We developed and implemented a novel prognosis curriculum that had significant short-term impact on the residents' knowledge and communication skills as compared to a control group. This innovative curriculum addresses an important educational gap in incorporating prognosis in the care of older adults with multimorbidity.

Current Practices and Opportunities in a Resident Clinic Regarding the Care of Older Adults with Multimorbidity

OBJECTIVES

Multimorbidity (≥2 chronic conditions) affects more than half of all older adults. The American Geriatrics Society developed and published guiding principles for the care of older adults with multimorbidity in 2012. Improved clinician training in caring for older adults with multimorbidity is needed, but it is not clear what opportunities arise within clinical encounters to apply the guiding principles or how clinicians at all stages of training currently practice in this area. This project aimed to characterize current practice and opportunities for improvement in an internal medicine residency clinic regarding the care of older adults with multimorbidity.

DESIGN

Qualitative content analysis of audio-recorded clinic visits.

SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS

Thirty clinic visits between 21 internal medicine residents and 30 of their primary care patients aged 65 and older with two or more chronic conditions were audio-recorded. Patients' mean age was 73.6, and they had on average 3.7 chronic conditions and took 12.6 medications.

MEASUREMENTS

Transcripts of the audio-recorded visit discussions were analyzed using standard techniques of qualitative content analysis to describe the content and frequency of discussions in the clinic visits related to the five guiding principles: patient preferences, interpreting the evidence, prognosis, clinical feasibility, and optimizing therapies.

RESULTS AND CONCLUSIONS

All visits except one included discussions that were thematically related to at least one guiding principle, suggesting regular opportunities to apply the guiding principles in primary care encounters with internal medicine residents. Discussions related to some guiding principles occurred much more frequently than others. Patients presented a number of opportunities to incorporate the guiding principles that the residents missed, suggesting target areas for future educational interventions.

Differential characteristics in polypathological inpatients in internal medicine departments and acute geriatric units: the PLUPAR study

AIM

To determine whether there are any differences between polypathological patients attended in Internal Medicine departments and acute Geriatric units.

METHODS

A cross-sectional multicenter study was performed. Polypathological patients admitted to an internal medicine or geriatrics department and attended by investigators consecutively between March 1 and June 30, 2011 were included. Data of age, sex, living in a nursing residence or at home, diagnostic category, use of chronic medication, Charlson, Barthel and Lawton-Brody indexes, Pfeiffer questionnaire, delirium during last admission, need of a caregiver, and having a caregiver were gathered. The need of a caregiver was defined when the Barthel index was<60 or Pfeiffer questionnaire ≥ 3 errors.

RESULTS

471 polypathological patients, 337 from internal medicine and 144 from geriatrics units were included. Geriatrics inpatients were older and more frequently female. Cardiac (62.1% vs 49.6%; p=.01), digestive (8.3% vs 3.0%; p=.04) and oncohematological diseases (30.2% vs 18.8%; p=.01) were more frequent in patients of internal medicine units and neurological (66.2% vs 40.2%; p<.001) and locomotive ones (39.1% vs 20.4%; p<.001) in geriatrics inpatients. Charlson index was higher for internal medicine inpatients [4.0(2.1) vs 3.5(2.1); p=.04). Patients attended in geriatrics scored higher in Pfeiffer questionnaire [5.5(3.7) vs 3.8(3.3); p<.001], and lower in Barthel [38.8(32.5) vs 61.2(34.3); p=.001] and Lawton-Brody indexes [0.9(1.6) vs 3.0(2.9); p<.001], and more frequently needed a caregiver (87.8% vs 53.6%; p<.001) and had it.

CONCLUSIONS

There are differences in disease profile and functional and cognitive situation between polypathological patients of internal medicine and geriatrics departments.

John PD, Sclater AL, Stultz T, Woolmore-Goodwin S. Specialist physicians in geriatrics-report of the canadian geriatrics society physician resource work group

BACKGROUND

At the 2011 Annual Business Meeting of the Canadian Geriatrics Society (CGS), an ad hoc Work Group was struck to submit a report providing an estimate of the number of physicians and full-time equivalents (FTEs) currently working in the field of geriatrics, an estimate of the number required (if possible), and a clearer understanding of what has to be done to move physician resource planning in geriatrics forward in Canada.

METHODS

It was decided to focus on specialist physicians in geriatrics (defined as those who have completed advanced clinical training or have equivalent work experience in geriatrics and who limit a significant portion of their work-related activities to the duties of a consultant).

RESULTS

In 2012, there are 230-242 certified specialists in geriatric medicine and approximately 326.15 FTE functional specialists in geriatrics. While this is less than the number required, no precise estimate of present and future need could be provided, as no attempts at a national physician resource plan in geriatrics based on utilization and demand forecasting, needs-based planning, and/or benchmarking have taken place.

CONCLUSIONS

This would be an opportune time for the CGS to become more involved in physician resource planning. In addition to this being critical for the future health of our field of practice, there is increasing interest in aligning specialty training with societal needs (n = 216).

Promoting exercise in Parkinson's disease through community-based participatory research

Parkinson's disease (PD) is a chronic, progressive, as-of-yet incurable, neurodegenerative condition affecting the nigro-striatal dopaminergic system. Emerging evidence suggests the importance of exercise in improving the trajectory of PD. Yet few people with PD are physically active. One challenge that healthcare professionals face in the 21st century is how to deliver physical activity programs to the population of individuals living with PD. A novel approach to delivering physical activity to people with PD is introduced - termed community-based participatory research (CBPR) - which engages people with PD and patient advocates as co-researchers in the development and implementation of community-based exercise programs. The authors describe the CBPR approach and provide several recent examples of community exercise programs that are steps in the direction of developing the CBPR model. This is followed by a discussion of what a more fully realized CBPR model might look like. Finally, the authors describe some obstacles to conducting CBPR and suggest strategies for overcoming them. It is argued that people with PD are an integral component of delivering the exercise intervention.

Introducing geriatric health in medical training in Ajman, United Arab Emirates: A co-curricular approach

BACKGROUND

Medical students' knowledge and understanding of the elderly will affect the quality of care to the rising population of older adults which points to a need to identify geriatric health training methods appropriate for the region and curriculum. Therefore the study assessed the effect of a co- curricular introductory workshop on knowledge regarding geriatric health and attitude towards the elderly among fourth year medical students in a medical university

METHOD

A quasi-experimental before-after study, with control was conducted at Gulf Medical College among 60 medical students from discipline-based curriculum in year IV during May-June 2010 of whom 16 had opted (attendees) to undergo the introductory course, a five day workshop of 10 hours duration. Pre- and post-testing used self-administered questionnaires for demographic variables: age, gender, nationality, close contact with older people; a quiz on old people's health, and Kogan's Old People Scale (KOPS) for attitude. The difference in scores on quiz and KOPS were compared for the attendees and 26 non-attendees who participated in both pre and post testing.

RESULTS

The attendees group had 38% male and 62% female participants and the non-attendees group had 21% and 79% respectively. The groups were not significantly different in age, sex, nationality and close contact with the elderly. The scores on the quiz and KOPS showed no statistically significant difference between the two groups before or after the workshop. Almost all the participants evaluated the workshop very positively especially the interaction with healthy elderly and inmates of old people's home.

CONCLUSION

A 10-hour introductory co-curricular workshop made no significant change in the knowledge on geriatric health or attitude of fourth year medical students though they reported it as a very enriching experience. A reflective report may have been a better assessment tool and the impact on their clinical practice cannot be predicted.

Changing the course of geriatrics education: an evaluation of the first cohort of Reynolds geriatrics education programs

PURPOSE

To describe geriatric training initiatives implemented as a result of Reynolds Foundation grants awarded in 2001 (and concluding in 2005) and evaluate the resulting structure, process, and outcome changes.

METHOD

Cross-sectional survey of program directors at 10 academic institutions augmented by review of reports and secondary analyses of existing databases to identify structural and process measures of curriculum implementation, participation rates, and students' responses to Association of American Medical Colleges Medical School Graduation Questionnaires about geriatrics training.

RESULTS

All 10 institutions reported structural changes, including newly developed or revised geriatric rotations or courses for their trainees. Most used online Internet educational materials, sent students to new training venues, incorporated geriatric case discussions, implemented standardized patients, and used digital media. On average, each institution trained more than 1,000 medical students, 500 residents, 100 faculty, and 700 nonfaculty community physicians during the award period. Reynolds institutions also provided geriatrics training across 22 non-primary-care disciplines. Eight schools implemented formal faculty development programs. By 2005, students at Reynolds-supported schools reported higher levels of geriatrics/gerontology education and more exposure to expert geriatric care by the attending faculty compared with students at non-Reynolds schools. Innovations and products were disseminated via journal publications, conference presentations, and the Portal of Geriatric Online Education.

CONCLUSIONS

The investment of extramural and institutional funds in geriatrics education has substantially influenced undergraduate, graduate, and practicing physician education at Reynolds-supported schools. The full impact of these programs on care of older persons will not be known until these trainees enter practice and educational careers.

A comparison of how generalists and fellowship-trained geriatricians provide "geriatric" care

OBJECTIVES

To determine whether outpatient care provided to older patients by fellowship-trained geriatricians is distinguishable from that provided by generalists.

DESIGN

Observational study.

SETTING

Three primary care clinics of an academic medical center.

PARTICIPANTS

Random sample of 140 adults aged 65 and older receiving primary care at one of the clinics.

MEASUREMENTS

A medical chart review involving records of 69 patients receiving primary care from a fellowship-trained geriatrician and 71 patients receiving primary care from a generalist (general internal medicine or family practice) was conducted; information pertaining to two practice behaviors relevant to the care of older adults--avoidance of inappropriate prescribing and proactive assessments for geriatric syndromes--was abstracted.

RESULTS

Geriatricians scored 17.6 out of a possible 24 points, on average; generalists scored 14.2 (P<.001). Geriatricians scored higher than generalists on prescribing and geriatric syndrome assessments. In a linear regression model adjusting for patient age and number of comorbidities and clustering according to provider, provider specialty was strongly associated with overall score (beta coefficient for specialty=6.75, P<.001; 95% confidence interval=4.57-8.94).

CONCLUSION

The practice style of fellowship-trained geriatricians caring for older adults appears to differ from that of generalists with regard to prescribing behavior and assessment for geriatric syndromes.

Caring for Older Americans: The Future of Geriatric Medicine

In response to the needs and demands of an aging population, geriatric medicine has grown rapidly during the past 3 decades. The discipline has defined its core values as well as the knowledge base and clinical skills needed to improve the health, functioning, and well-being of older persons and to provide appropriate palliative care. Geriatric medicine has developed new models of care, advanced the treatment of common geriatric conditions, and advocated for the health and health care of older persons. Nevertheless, at the beginning of the 21st century, the health care of older persons is at a crossroads. Despite the substantial progress that geriatric medicine has made, much more remains to be done to meet the healthcare needs of our aging population. The clinical, educational, and research approaches of the 20th century are unable to keep pace and require major revisions. Maintaining the status quo will mean falling further and further behind. The healthcare delivery and financing systems need fundamental redesign to improve quality and eliminate waste. The American Geriatrics Society (AGS) Task Force on the Future of Geriatric Medicine has identified five goals aimed at optimizing the health of older persons: To ensure that every older person receives high-quality, patient-centered health care; To expand the geriatrics knowledge base; To increase the number of healthcare professionals who employ the principles of geriatric medicine in caring for older persons; To recruit physicians and other healthcare professionals into careers in geriatric medicine; To unite professional and lay groups in the effort to influence public policy to continually improve the health and health care of seniors. Geriatric medicine cannot accomplish these goals alone. Accordingly, the Task Force has articulated a set of recommendations primarily aimed at the government, organizations, agencies, foundations, and other partners whose collaboration will be essential in accomplishing these goals. The vision described in this document and the accompanying recommendations are only the broad outline of an agenda for the future. Geriatric medicine, through its professional organizations and its partners, will need to mobilize resources to identify and implement the specific steps that will make the vision a reality. Doing so will require broad participation, consensus building, creativity, and perseverance. The consequences of inaction will be profound. The combination of a burgeoning number of older persons and an inadequately prepared, poorly organized physician workforce is a recipe for expensive, fragmented health care that does not meet the needs of our older population. By virtue of their unique skills and advocacy for the health of older persons, geriatricians can be key leaders of change to achieve the goals of geriatric medicine and optimize the health of our aging population. Nevertheless, the goals of geriatric medicine will be accomplished only if geriatricians and their partners work in a system that is designed to provide high-quality, efficient care and recognizes the value of geriatrics.

Development and validation of a geriatric knowledge test for medical students

OBJECTIVES

To assesses the reliability and validity of a geriatrics knowledge test designed for medical students.

DESIGN

Cross-sectional studies.

SETTING

An academic medical center.

PARTICIPANTS

A total of 343 (86% of those sampled) medical students participated in the initial study, including 137 (76%) first-year, 163 (96%) third-year, and 43 (86% of those sampled) fourth-year students in the 2000-2001 academic year. To cross-validate the instrument, another 165 (92%) third-year and 137 (76%) first-year students participated in the study in the 2001-2002 academic year.

MEASUREMENTS

An 18-item geriatrics knowledge test was developed. The items were selected from a pool of 23 items. An established instrument assessing the clinical skills of medical students was included in the validation procedure.

RESULTS

The instrument demonstrated good reliability (Cronbach alpha=0.80) and known-groups and concurrent validity. Geriatrics knowledge scores increased progressively with the higher level of medical training (mean percentage correct=31.3, 65.3, and 66.5 for the first-year, third-year, and fourth-year classes, respectively, P<.001). A significant (P<.01) relationship was found between the third-year students' geriatrics knowledge and their clinical skills. Similar results, except the relationship between knowledge and clinical skills, were found in the cross-validation study, supporting the reliability and known-groups validity of the test.

CONCLUSION

The 18-item geriatrics knowledge test demonstrated sound reliability and validity. The average scores of the student groups indicated substantial room for growth. The relationship between geriatrics knowledge and overall clinical skills needs further investigation.

Caregiver and clinician shortages in an aging nation

Despite a burgeoning elderly population, the number of nurses and other providers of direct care has declined to critical levels at many health care facilities. There are also insufficient medical clinicians to meet the demand for health services. A shrinking workforce, an aging population, financial pressures, and increased consumer demand will translate into severe personnel deficits in the future. Similarly, family fragmentation and the trend toward bureaucratization of long-term care have reduced the availability of informal caregivers. Younger workers should be considered a scarce resource for health care organization and planning purposes. The ability of the United States to meet its entitlement promises is likely to be compromised by a reduced labor pool and simultaneous budgetary constraints. Because good geriatric care is often labor-intensive, meeting this goal poses an increasing challenge.

The training of geriatricians in the United States: three decades of progress

During the past 3 decades, significant progress has been made in preparing U.S. physicians to care for the growing elderly population. This paper reviews progress in training and certifying internists and family physicians in geriatric medicine. The establishment of the National Institute on Aging, a series of Institute of Medicine reports, Veterans Health Administration initiatives, and leadership and investment by the public sector and private foundations have supported the development of geriatric medicine training programs. In 1988, the Accreditation Council for Graduate Medical Education initially accredited 62 internal medicine (IM) and 16 family practice (FP) geriatric medicine fellowship programs. By academic year 2001-2002, 120 geriatric medicine fellowships were training 338 fellows. A recent survey of U.S. medical schools found a total of 869 full-time equivalent (FTE) geriatrics faculty members. Their geriatrics programs had a median of 5.0 FTE physician faculty members, with a range of 0 to 42. Recent surveys of IM and FP residency programs found 803 geriatrician faculty members teaching in IM residency programs (53% response rate) and 453 teaching in FP residency programs (75% response rate). From 1988 through 2002, 10,207 Certificates of Added Qualifications in Geriatrics were awarded. The distribution of these practicing geriatricians varied considerably by state, with the national average being 5.5 per 10,000 persons aged 75 and older. Individual state rates ranged from 2.2 to 15.9. Although geriatric medicine training has grown remarkably over the past 3 decades, this growth is still not producing the number of geriatricians needed to care for the growing elderly population. Thus, expanded investment in the training of geriatricians as faculty and practitioners is needed.

Geriatric medicine curriculum consultations for family practice residency programs: american academy of family physicians residency assistance program/hartford geriatrics initiative

Increasing the quality and quantity of geriatric medicine training for family practice residents is a particular challenge for community-based programs. These programs have an average of only seven full-time equivalent physician faculty. This report summarizes results of the Residency Assistance Program/Hartford Geriatric Initiative (RAP/HGI) geriatric medicine curriculum consultations for family practice (FP) residency programs conducted from 1996 to 2001. This project was developed as part of the RAP in family practice. Ten experienced FP educators were selected and trained as special consultants. Between 1996 and 2001, 39 FP residency programs participated in the 1- to 4-day RAP/HGI consultations. The programs were diverse in size and location. The consultations reached 308 family practice residency faculty members involved in training 807 residents. Program evaluations of the consultants were uniformly in the very good to excellent range, with a mean rating of 4.6 (5-point scale, with 5 indicating excellent). At the end of the initial consultation visit, the residency program faculty and the consultant developed short-term goals for geriatrics program development. Eighty-five percent (33/39) of the programs submitted their curriculum goals in writing. The mean number of goals per program was 4.8 (range = 3-11). Of the 33 programs with written goals, follow-up was documented for 29 programs. Seventy-nine percent of the programs' self-defined educational goals were met during the 6 to 12 months of follow-up (range 50-100%). Ten of the programs implemented all of their educational goals. The RAP/HGI project demonstrated that achievable geriatric medicine curriculum improvements could occur as part of an onsite consultation process.

The current state of geriatric medicine: a national survey of fellowship-trained geriatricians, 1990 to 1998

The rapid growth of the older population has focused national attention on the need for physicians trained in geriatric medicine. To gain insight into the evolving status of the field, with particular focus on career decision-making and academic career development of trainees, we conducted a survey of physicians recently completing geriatric fellowships. The 107 accredited extant geriatric fellowship programs in the United States and Puerto Rico were contacted to identify trainees from 1990 to 1998. A mailed survey addressed relevant career development and training issues. Four hundred ninety out of 787 (62%) physicians responded; 20% completed 1 year and 80% 2 or more years of training. Half made the decision to pursue a career in geriatrics during residency, 27% decided before/during medical school, and a mentor influenced 48%. Currently, 80% have a Certificate of Added Qualifications in geriatric medicine, 69% hold academic appointments, 78% teach, 39% participate in research, and 44% author publications. Most are doing predominantly clinical work in multiple settings. Further analysis of the 1996-to-1998 cohort revealed that those completing fellowships of 2 or more years are more likely to identify all geriatrics as their professional focus, conduct and author research, work with multidisciplinary teams, and participate in professional geriatric societies. This national survey documents career decision-making and the academic and clinical profiles of physicians completing geriatric fellowship training in the past decade. Longer fellowship training is associated with academic career development. Although there is a national need to train clinical geriatricians, the additional need to train and fund future geriatric academic leaders requires increased attention.

Issues of intervention aimed at preventing prospective surplus of physicians in Japan

OBJECTIVES

In Japan, regulatory intervention aimed at preventing a prospective surplus of physicians is an important medical issue. The study committees organized by the Ministry of Health and Welfare (MHW) in 1986, 1993 and 1998, concluded that the number of physicians would exceed demand for their services in the future. As a result, the government planned to reduce the number of medical students. However, MHW has not been successful in the intervention so far, as shown by the fact that their initial plan for a 10% reduction in the number of students enrolled in medical school has not been attained. In this paper, we examine why the MHW policy failed.

METHODS

We reviewed those forecasts performed by past MHW study committees and examined whether the government policy of controlling physician training was appropriate. Additionally, we did a preliminary projection of specialty-specific demand for physician services as a reference for future physician manpower policies in Japan.

RESULTS

We found that both conflicts among various interest groups and a lack of precise projections of physician services hampered the proper formation and implementation of a physician manpower policy in Japan.

CONCLUSIONS

It might be necessary to examine the appropriateness of the MHW policy in reducing the overall number of students enrolled in medical schools. As a first step in formulating and implementing a physician manpower policy, we should begin to consolidate the necessary data to conduct precise and proper projections of future physician demand.

Predicting functional status outcomes in hospitalized patients aged 80 years and older

OBJECTIVE

To develop a model estimating the probability of a patient aged 80 years or older having functional limitations 2 months and 12 months after being hospitalized.

DESIGN

A prospective cohort study.

SETTING

Four teaching hospitals in the US.

PARTICIPANTS

Enrolled patients were nonelective hospital admissions aged 80 years or older who stayed in hospital at least 48 hours. The 804 patients who survived and completed an interview at 2 months and the 450 who completed an interview at 12 months were from the 1266 patients in the Hospitalized Elderly Longitudinal Project (HELP) (76% and 47% of survivors, respectively). Median age of the 2-month survivors was 84.7 years.

MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN OUTCOMES

Patient function 2 and 12 months after enrollment was defined by the number of dependencies in Activities of Daily Living (ADLs). Ordinal logistic regression models were constructed to predict functional status. Predictors included demographic characteristics, disease category, geriatric conditions, severity of physiologic imbalance, current quality of life, and exercise capacity and ADLs 2 weeks before study admission.

RESULTS

Before admission, 39% of patients were functionally independent in ADLs. Of patients who survived and were interviewed at 2 months, 32% were functionally independent, and at 12 months, 36% were independent. Among patients with no baseline dependencies, 42% had developed one or more limitations 2 months later, and 41 % had limitations 12 months later. The patient's ability to perform activities of daily living at baseline was the most important predictor of functional status at both 2 and 12 months. In a multivariable predictive model, independent predictors of poorer functional status at 2 months included: worse baseline functional status and quality of life; depth of coma, if any; lower serum albumin level; presence of dementia, depression, or incontinence; being bedridden; medical record documentation of need for nursing home; and older age. Model performance, assessed using Somers' D, was 0.61 for 2 months and 0.57 for 12 months (Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) area = 0.81 and .79, respectively.) Bootstrap validation of the month 2 model also yielded a Somers' D = 0.60. The models were well calibrated over the entire risk range. The ROC area for prediction of the loss of independence was 0.76 for 2 months and 0.68 for 12 months.

CONCLUSIONS

Many older patients are functionally impaired at the time of hospitalization, and many develop new functional limitations. A limited amount of readily available clinical information can yield satisfactory predictions of functional status 2 months after hospitalization. Models like this may prove to be useful in clinical care. This work illuminates a potential method for risk adjustment in research studies and for monitoring quality of care.

The physician's role in directing long-term care. Understanding the rules is important for protecting your patients and your practice

Meeting the healthcare needs of patients who require long-term care presents many challenges, not the least of which are local and federal regulations, a formidable bureaucracy, and confusing paperwork. Despite these obstacles, long-term care patients often are among those with the greatest need for well-trained physicians and high-quality medical services. This article reviews elements of long-term care, with an emphasis on how primary care physicians should order and provide services.

Medical practice with nursing home residents: results from the National Physician Professional Activities Census

OBJECTIVE

The study describes the prevalence of medical nursing home practice. Further, it examines the extent to which physician characteristics and local county health care resources predict nursing home involvement. This information is relevant to evaluating and devising strategies that address the future provision of medical care in institutionalized long-term care.

DESIGN

A cross-sectional survey.

SETTING

A national sample of all licensed practicing physicians was obtained from a special Professional Activities (PPA) survey conducted by the American Medical Association (AMA) in 1991.

PARTICIPANTS

Respondents were 21,578 physicians involved in direct patient care.

MEASURES

The typical number of hours spent weekly caring for nursing home patients was obtained from the PPA survey, and physician demographics were obtained from the AMA Masterfile. County health care resources were obtained from the National Institutes of Health Area Resources File.

RESULTS

Most (77%) physicians reported spending no measurable time caring for nursing home patients. In all disciplines, a majority of physicians with a nursing home practice spent less than 2 hours per week with patients. Logistic regressions indicted that family practitioners and internists were most likely to have a nursing home practice, but general practitioners were most likely to spend more time in practice. Only 15% of specialists reported having a nursing home practice. Prevalence of practice was greatest among solo practitioners and physicians in partnerships and least among academic and hospital-based physicians and physicians in group practice or employed by the government. Most county of practice resources were not associated or were modestly associated with nursing home practice, but having a nursing home practice became much more likely as the number of nursing home residents increased and hospital beds decreased. A pattern was found for nursing home practice to be slightly less likely as the county's per capita income and the proportion of proprietary nursing facilities increased.

CONCLUSIONS

With increasing numbers of older and frailer residents, nursing homes will continue to be integral components of the future healthcare system. However, physicians currently spend minimal time caring for nursing home patients, with physician characteristics best predicting involvement. Questions remain about the future of nursing home medical practice and how to best recruit, staff, and train future cadres of physicians to provide sufficient quality care for nursing home patients in an evolving health care system.

Attitudes of beginning medical students toward older persons: a five-campus study. The University of California Academic Geriatric Resource Program Student Survey Research Group

OBJECTIVE

To examine the attitudes of beginning medical students toward older persons and their medical care.

DESIGN

Cross-sectional survey.

SETTING

Five University of California medical schools.

PARTICIPANTS

Beginning medical school students from the Class of 1994.

MEASUREMENTS

Demographic characteristics, personal contacts with older persons, and previous coursework or research experience with older persons were assessed. Knowledge with regard to aging was measured with a group of 10 questions, which were modified from the Facts on Aging Quiz. The attitudes of students toward older persons were assessed using the Aging Semantic Differential (ASD), the Maxwell-Sullivan Attitude Scale (MSAS), and two case scenarios.

RESULTS

Ninety-two percent of the participants (554 of 603) responded; 93% of these responses were usable. Students were much less likely to admit an acutely ill 85-year-old woman to an intensive care unit, intubate her, and treat her aggressively than they were to treat an acutely ill 10-year-old girl with underlying chronic leukemia. In multivariate models, male gender and younger student age were both independently predictive of less favorable attitudes regarding a 70-year-old person on the ASD Instrumental-Ineffective subscale. Asian-Americans and males had less favorable attitudes on the Autonomous-Dependent and the Personal Acceptability-Unacceptability subscales. More knowledge with regard to aging was predictive of more favorable attitudes on the Autonomous-Dependent and Personal Acceptability-Unacceptability subscales. Male gender and Asian-American ethnicity were significantly associated with less favorable attitudes on the two scales derived from the MSASs. Students who had previously visited a long-term care facility were more likely to disagree that it takes too much time to care for older persons.

CONCLUSION

Beginning medical students have already formed some unfavorable attitudes about older persons. Few independent predictors (either sociodemographic or students' previous experiences) of student attitudes could be identified that would help in the selection of students who had more favorable attitudes toward older persons. Hence, attempts to generate physicians with good attitudes must rely on curricular efforts during medical school and residency training.

Medical care of nursing home residents

OBJECTIVE

To present an overview of the special challenges of providing medical care for nursing home residents.

DESIGN

After researching the current medical literature, we summarized information on nursing home demographics, government regulations, and specific care issues for medical practice in nursing homes.

RESULTS

Almost 2 million Americans currently live in more than 20,000 nursing homes nationwide, and these nursing home residents are increasingly older and more frail than in the past. Most nursing home residents receive multiple prescription medications, and many are cognitively and functionally impaired. Nursing home-acquired infections are a frequent occurrence, as are falls and fall-related injuries. Recent federal laws have had a major effect on medical care in the nursing home and have made physicians more accountable for the care provided. The use of physical restraints and psychotropic drugs has been severely restricted.

CONCLUSION

The medical care of nursing home residents presents many challenges to primary-care physicians. Nevertheless, nursing home residents are among those patients in greatest need of competent, compassionate care. Despite numerous disincentives, provision of medical care for nursing home residents can be gratifying.

Resident training in nursing home care: survey of successful educational strategies

OBJECTIVE

To identify educational strategies for resident training in nursing home care deemed successful by a large number of programs.

DESIGN

A mail survey with three follow-up mailings.

PARTICIPANTS

Directors of accredited internal medicine and family practice residency programs.

MEASUREMENTS

Open- and closed-ended questionnaire eliciting curricular content, instructional strategies, and evaluation techniques from programs offering a nursing home experience. Identification of barriers to implementation of a nursing home curriculum and recommendations for success were requested.

MAIN RESULTS

Of the 814 surveys mailed, 537 were returned for a response rate of 66%. Nursing home experiences were required in 86% of family practice residency programs but in only 25% of internal medicine programs. Most geriatric medicine curricular content areas were taught in the nursing home; however, relatively little emphasis was given to rehabilitation, organization, and financing of health care, and coordination of care between acute and chronic settings. Direct patient care, bedside rounds, and lectures were the most common instructional strategies reported. Evaluation approaches included faculty observations, resident attendance, and chart reviews with written and skill-based examinations infrequent. Availability of faculty and conflict with other rotations were identified as the principal barriers to implementation of nursing home rotations. An organized nursing home curriculum supervised by enthusiastic faculty using a longitudinal rotation format with resident involvement in an interdisciplinary team was recommended.

CONCLUSIONS

Educational strategies exist for successful implementation of a residency nursing home curriculum. Greater priority must be given to training residents in nursing home care and developing nursing home faculty to substantially increase the number and quality of physicians who practice in this setting.

Projecting the need for physicians to care for older persons: effects of changes in demography, utilization patterns, and physician productivity

OBJECTIVE

To determine the influence of differing assumptions of population growth, visit rates, prevalence of functional impairment, physician productivity, and hospitalization rates on projected need for physicians to provide medical care for older persons.

DESIGN

Sensitivity analysis of a manpower model.

MAIN RESULTS

The factors that appear to have the most impact on projections of physician need are related to physician productivity, especially delegation to mid-level providers, and case-mix. Other factors, such as the variability of census projections and per capita visit rates, are likely to have less effect on overall physician supply needs.

CONCLUSIONS

Although case mix and delegation to mid-level providers may both substantially affect the need for physician supply to care for older persons, only the latter can be directly affected by health policy decisions. Consideration should be given to increasing the supply of mid-level providers and providing incentives for patients and physicians to receive and provide care in delivery systems that utilize mid-level providers extensively.