Transfusion-transmitted human immunodeficiency virus infection by a Danish blood donor with a very low viral load in the preseroconversion window phase

Modeling the Risk of HIV Transfusion Transmission

BACKGROUND

Blood donations are routinely screened for HIV to prevent an infectious unit from being released to the blood supply. Despite improvements to blood screening assays, donations from infected donors remain undetectable during the window period (WP), when the virus has not yet replicated above the lower limit of detection (LOD) of a screening assay. To aid in the quantitative risk assessments of WP donations, a dose-response model describing the probability of transfusion-transmission of HIV over a range of viral RNA copies was developed.

METHODS

An exponential model was chosen based on data fit and parsimony. A data set from a HIV challenge study using a nonhuman primate model and another data set from reported human blood transfusions associated with HIV infected donors were separately fit to the model to generate parameter estimates. A Bayesian framework using No-U-Turn Sampling (NUTS) and Monte Carlo simulations was performed to generate posterior distributions quantifying uncertainty in parameter estimation and model predictions.

RESULTS

The parameters of the exponential model for both nonhuman primate and human data were estimated with a mean (95% credible intervals) of 2.70 × 10 -2 (7.74 × 10 -3 , 6.06 × 10 -2 ) and 7.56 × 10 -4 (3.68 × 10 -4 , 1.31 × 10 -3 ), respectively. The predicted ID 50 for the animal and human models was 26 (12, 90) and 918 (529, 1886) RNA copies transfused, respectively.

CONCLUSION

This dose-response model can be used in a quantitative framework to estimate the probability of transfusion-transmission of HIV through WP donations. These models can be especially informative when assessing risk from blood components with low viral load.

Transfusion of HIV-infected blood products despite highly sensitive nucleic acid testing

BACKGROUND

In France, the risk of HIV transmission by transfusion was reduced by implementing pooled nucleic acid testing (NAT) in 2001 and individual NAT in 2010. We report here the first case in France of transfusion of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-infected blood donated during HIV pre-ramp-up phase that tested individual NAT negative.

METHODS

Blood donations are screened for HIV antibodies and HIV RNA (ProcleixUltrio, Grifols; limit of detection at 95%, 23 copies/mL). When a repeat donor tests positive for HIV, a repository sample from the previous donation is tested with the Cobas Taqman HIV-1 test (CTM, Roche; limit of detection at 95%, 17 copies/mL).

RESULTS

In August 2017, a 57-year-old male repeat donor was screened positive for HIV antibodies and RNA (plasma viral load, 11,599 copies/mL). The previous donation had tested negative with Ultrio in March 2017 but was positive with an unquantifiable plasma viral load when tested with CTM. Sequencing showed no mismatch between Ultrio primers/probes and the target sequence. HIV transmission was excluded by lookback studies in the recipient of platelets, which had been pathogen reduced, but not in the recipient of RBCs due to premature death.

CONCLUSION

This case demonstrates that the risk of contaminated donations due to the early HIV infection phase going undetected by highly sensitive NAT is real but exceptional. The absence of transmission to the platelets recipient could be due to the very low viral inoculum and/or to the efficacy of the viral inactivation. This case also highlights the additional value of a systematic donation archiving and the importance of donor education and predonation selection.

The cost-effectiveness of introducing nucleic acid testing to test for hepatitis B, hepatitis C, and human immunodeficiency virus among blood donors in Sweden

BACKGROUND

The purpose of this study was to estimate the cost-effectiveness of using individual-donor nucleic acid testing (ID-NAT) in addition to serologic tests compared with the sole use of serologic tests for the identification of hepatitis B virus (HBV), hepatitis C virus (HCV), and human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) among blood donors in Sweden.

STUDY DESIGN AND METHODS

The two strategies analyzed were serologic tests and ID-NAT plus serologic tests. A health-economic model was used to estimate the lifetime costs and effects. The effects were measured as infections avoided and quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) gained. A societal perspective was used.

RESULTS

The largest number of viral transmissions occurred with serologic testing only. However, the risks for viral transmissions were very low with both strategies. The total cost was mainly influenced by the cost of the test carried out. The cost of using ID-NAT plus serologic tests compared to serologic tests alone was estimated at Swedish Krona (SEK) 101 million (USD 12.7 million) per avoided viral transmission. The cost per QALY gained was SEK 22 million (USD 2.7 million).

CONCLUSION

Using ID-NAT for testing against HBV, HCV, and HIV among blood donors leads to cost-effectiveness ratios that are far beyond what is usually considered cost-effective. The main reason for this is that with current methods, the risks for virus transmission are very low in Sweden.