Does continuous ST-segment monitoring add prognostic information to the TIMI, PURSUIT, and GRACE risk scores?

Usefulness of Serial 12-Lead Electrocardiograms in Predicting 30-Day Outcomes in Patients With Undifferentiated Chest Pain (the ASAP CATH Study)

An initial electrocardiogram (ECG) and serial troponin measurements are both independently and incrementally predictive of acute coronary syndrome in patients presenting with undifferentiated chest pain in the Emergency Department (ED). However, it is unclear if serial (ECGs) add significant to the contemporary diagnostic evaluation of this patient group. The ASAP CATH study was a single center, prospective study that enrolled patients presenting to an ED with undifferentiated chest pain. In addition to standard clinical evaluation, serial ECGs were performed at 90-minute intervals to evaluate whether serial changes suggestive of ischemia developed (Q waves, ST elevation or depression, or T-wave inversion). Total 365 subjects were enrolled from March 2014 to May 2015. Serial ECG changes developed in 6.6% (n = 24 of 365), the most common being the development of T-wave inversion (66.7%, n = 16 of 24). The sensitivity and positive predictive value of serial ECG changes were poor (<30%), with a less areas under the curve (0.55) compared with serial troponins alone (0.83). The addition of serial ECG changes to Thrombolysis In Myocardial Infarction risk scoring showed a decrease in the net reclassification index for major adverse cardiovascular events (-0.04, p <0.1) and was not significant for the prediction of major adverse cardiovascular events and/or acute coronary syndrome in 30 days (-0.003, p = 0.94). In conclusion, routine serial ECG evaluation for patients presenting with undifferentiated chest pain in the ED may not significantly improved diagnostic prognosis beyond current standard evaluation modalities.

Evaluation of ECG algorithms designed to improve detect of transient myocardial ischemia to minimize false alarms in patients with suspected acute coronary syndrome

BACKGROUND

Patients hospitalized for suspected acute coronary syndrome (ACS) are at risk for transient myocardial ischemia. During the "rule-out" phase, continuous ECG ST-segment monitoring can identify transient myocardial ischemia, even when asymptomatic. However, current ST-segment monitoring software is vastly underutilized due to false positive alarms, with resultant alarm fatigue. Current ST algorithms may contribute to alarm fatigue because; (1) they are not designed with a delay (minutes), rather alarm to brief spikes (i.e., turning, heart rate changes), and (2) alarm to changes in a single ECG lead, rather than contiguous leads.

PURPOSE

This study was designed to determine sensitivity, and specificity, of ST algorithms when accounting for; ST magnitude (100μV vs 200μV), duration, and changes in contiguous ECG leads (i.e., aVL, I, - aVR, II, aVF, III; V1, V2, V3, V4, V5, V6, V6, I).

METHODS

This was a secondary analysis from the COMPARE Study, which assessed occurrence rates for transient myocardial ischemia in hospitalized patients with suspected ACS using 12-lead Holter. Transient myocardial ischemia was identified from Holter using >100μV ST-segment ↑ or ↓, in >1 ECG lead, >1min. Algorithms tested against Holter transient myocardial ischemia were done using the University of California San Francisco (UCSF) ECG algorithm and included: (1)100μV vs 200μV any lead during a 5-min ST average; (2)100μV vs 200μV any lead >5min, (3) 100μV vs 200μV any lead during a 5-min ST average in contiguous leads, and (4) 100μV vs 200μV>5min in contiguous leads (Table below).

RESULTS

In 361 patients; mean age 63+12years, 63% male, 56% prior CAD, 43 (11%) had transient myocardial ischemia. Of the 43 patients with transient myocardial ischemia, 17 (40%) had ST-segment elevation events, and 26 (60%) ST-segment depression events. A higher proportion of patients with ST segment depression has missed ischemic events. Table shows sensitivity and specificity for the four algorithms tested.

CONCLUSIONS

Sensitivity was highly variable, due to the ST threshold selected, with the 100μV measurement point being superior to the 200μV amplitude threshold. Of all the algorithms tested, there was moderate sensitivity and specificity (70% and 68%) using the 100μV ST-segment threshold, integrated ST-segment changes in contiguous leads during a 5-min average.

Among Unstable Angina and Non-ST-Elevation Myocardial Infarction Patients, Transient Myocardial Ischemia and Early Invasive Treatment Are Predictors of Major In-hospital Complications

BACKGROUND

Treatment for unstable angina (UA) or non-ST-elevation myocardial infarction (NSTEMI) is aimed at plaque stabilization to prevent infarction. Two treatment strategies are (1) invasive (ie, cardiac catheterization laboratory <24 hours after admission) or (2) selectively invasive (ie, medications with cardiac catheterization laboratory >24 hours for recurrent symptoms). However, it is not known if the frequency of transient myocardial ischemia (TMI) or complications during hospitalization varies by treatment.

PURPOSE

We aimed to (1) examine occurrence of TMI in UA/NSTEMI, (2) compare frequency of TMI by treatment pathway, and (3) determine predictors of in-hospital complications (ie, death, myocardial infarction [MI], pulmonary edema, shock, dysrhythmia with intervention).

METHODS

Hospitalized patients with coronary artery disease (ie, history of MI, percutaneous coronary intervention/stent, coronary artery bypass graft, >50% lesion via angiogram, or positive troponin) were recruited, and 12-lead electrocardiogram Holter initiated. Clinicians, blinded to Holter data, decided treatment strategy; offline analysis was done after discharge. Transient myocardial ischemia was defined as more than 1-mm ST segment ↑ or ↓, in more than 1 electrocardiographic lead, more than 1 minute.

RESULTS

Of 291 patients, 91% were white, 66% were male, 44% had prior MI, and 59% had prior percutaneous coronary intervention/stent or coronary artery bypass graft. Treatment pathway was early in 123 (42%) and selective in 168 (58%). Forty-nine (17%) had TMI: 19 (15%) early invasive, 30 (18%) selective (P = .637). Acute MI after admission was higher in patients with TMI regardless of treatment strategy (early: no TMI 4% vs yes TMI 21%; P = .020; selective: no TMI 1% vs yes TMI 13%; P = .0004). Predictors of major in-hospital complication were TMI (odds ratio, 9.9; 95% confidence interval, 3.84-25.78) and early invasive treatment (odds ratio 3.5; 95% confidence interval, 1.23-10.20).

CONCLUSIONS

In UA/NSTEMI patients treated with contemporary therapies, TMI is not uncommon. The presence of TMI and early invasive treatment are predictors of major in-hospital complications.

Discrepancy between clinician and research assistant in TIMI score calculation (TRIAGED CPU)

Introduction

Several studies have attempted to demonstrate that the Thrombolysis in Myocardial Infarction (TIMI) risk score has the ability to risk stratify emergency department (ED) patients with potential acute coronary syndromes (ACS). Most of the studies we reviewed relied on trained research investigators to determine TIMI risk scores rather than ED providers functioning in their normal work capacity. We assessed whether TIMI risk scores obtained by ED providers in the setting of a busy ED differed from those obtained by trained research investigators.

Methods

This was an ED-based prospective observational cohort study comparing TIMI scores obtained by 49 ED providers admitting patients to an ED chest pain unit (CPU) to scores generated by a team of trained research investigators. We examined provider type, patient gender, and TIMI elements for their effects on TIMI risk score discrepancy.

Results

Of the 501 adult patients enrolled in the study, 29.3% of TIMI risk scores determined by ED providers and trained research investigators were generated using identical TIMI risk score variables. In our low-risk population the majority of TIMI risk score differences were small; however, 12% of TIMI risk scores differed by two or more points.

Conclusion

TIMI risk scores determined by ED providers in the setting of a busy ED frequently differ from scores generated by trained research investigators who complete them while not under the same pressure of an ED provider.

Assessment of short-term prognosis by sinus heart rate turbulence in patients with unstable angina

The aim of this study was to explore the correlation between sinus heart rate turbulence (HRT) and short-term prognosis in patients with unstable angina (UA). Seventy-five patients with UA received Holter monitoring for 24 h, within 48 h of hospitalization to obtain parameters of HRT, including turbulence onset (TO) and turbulence slope (TS), as well as parameters of heart rate variability (HRV), including standard deviation of all NN intervals (SDNN) and average R-R interval. The left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) was measured with an ultrasound cardiogram. Patients were divided into a stable group and a refractory group based on the prognosis during a 7- to 21-day hospital stay. The correlation between the prognosis and each risk factor was analyzed. Of the 75 patients with UA, the pathogenetic condition was stable in 50 patients (stable group) and cardiac events occurred in 25 patients (refractory group). Univariate analysis indicated that the risk factors of short-term poor prognosis of UA include TS ≤2.5 msec/R-R, age ≥70 years, LVEF <40% and SDNN <70 msec. Logistic multivariate regression analysis revealed that only TS ≤2.5 msec/R-R and LVEF <40% were independent risk factors of short-term poor prognosis. Our study revealed that weakening or disappearance of HRT is an independent predictor of short-term poor prognosis in patients with UA.