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Analysing pneumococcal invasiveness using Bayesian models of pathogen progression rates. PLoS Comput Biol 2022; 18:e1009389. [PMID: 35176026 PMCID: PMC8901055 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1009389] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/12/2021] [Revised: 03/07/2022] [Accepted: 01/28/2022] [Indexed: 11/19/2022] Open
Abstract
The disease burden attributable to opportunistic pathogens depends on their prevalence in asymptomatic colonisation and the rate at which they progress to cause symptomatic disease. Increases in infections caused by commensals can result from the emergence of “hyperinvasive” strains. Such pathogens can be identified through quantifying progression rates using matched samples of typed microbes from disease cases and healthy carriers. This study describes Bayesian models for analysing such datasets, implemented in an RStan package (https://github.com/nickjcroucher/progressionEstimation). The models converged on stable fits that accurately reproduced observations from meta-analyses of Streptococcus pneumoniae datasets. The estimates of invasiveness, the progression rate from carriage to invasive disease, in cases per carrier per year correlated strongly with the dimensionless values from meta-analysis of odds ratios when sample sizes were large. At smaller sample sizes, the Bayesian models produced more informative estimates. This identified historically rare but high-risk S. pneumoniae serotypes that could be problematic following vaccine-associated disruption of the bacterial population. The package allows for hypothesis testing through model comparisons with Bayes factors. Application to datasets in which strain and serotype information were available for S. pneumoniae found significant evidence for within-strain and within-serotype variation in invasiveness. The heterogeneous geographical distribution of these genotypes is therefore likely to contribute to differences in the impact of vaccination in between locations. Hence genomic surveillance of opportunistic pathogens is crucial for quantifying the effectiveness of public health interventions, and enabling ongoing meta-analyses that can identify new, highly invasive variants.
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Colijn C, Corander J, Croucher NJ. Designing ecologically optimized pneumococcal vaccines using population genomics. Nat Microbiol 2020; 5:473-485. [PMID: 32015499 PMCID: PMC7614922 DOI: 10.1038/s41564-019-0651-y] [Citation(s) in RCA: 27] [Impact Index Per Article: 6.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/06/2019] [Accepted: 12/03/2019] [Indexed: 12/14/2022]
Abstract
Streptococcus pneumoniae (the pneumococcus) is a common nasopharyngeal commensal that can cause invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD). Each component of current protein-polysaccharide conjugate vaccines (PCVs) generally induces immunity specific to one of the approximately 100 pneumococcal serotypes, and typically eliminates it from carriage and IPD through herd immunity. Overall carriage rates remain stable owing to replacement by non-PCV serotypes. Consequently, the net change in IPD incidence is determined by the relative invasiveness of the pre- and post-PCV-carried pneumococcal populations. In the present study, we identified PCVs expected to minimize the post-vaccine IPD burden by applying Bayesian optimization to an ecological model of serotype replacement that integrated epidemiological and genomic data. We compared optimal formulations for reducing infant-only or population-wide IPD, and identified potential benefits to including non-conserved pneumococcal carrier proteins. Vaccines were also devised to minimize IPD resistant to antibiotic treatment, despite the ecological model assuming that resistance levels in the carried population would be preserved. We found that expanding infant-administered PCV valency is likely to result in diminishing returns, and that complementary pairs of infant- and adult-administered vaccines could be a superior strategy. PCV performance was highly dependent on the circulating pneumococcal population, further highlighting the advantages of a diversity of anti-pneumococcal vaccination strategies.
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Affiliation(s)
- Caroline Colijn
- Department of Mathematics, Simon Fraser University, Burnaby, BC, Canada.
- Department of Mathematics, Imperial College London, London, UK.
| | - Jukka Corander
- Department of Biostatistics, University of Oslo, Oslo, Norway
- Helsinki Institute of Information Technology, Department of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Helsinki, Helsinki, Finland
- Parasites & Microbes, Wellcome Sanger Institute, Wellcome Genome Campus, Cambridge, UK
| | - Nicholas J Croucher
- MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Imperial College London, London, UK
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Zhang L, Li Z, Wan Z, Kilby A, Kilby JM, Jiang W. Humoral immune responses to Streptococcus pneumoniae in the setting of HIV-1 infection. Vaccine 2015; 33:4430-6. [PMID: 26141012 DOI: 10.1016/j.vaccine.2015.06.077] [Citation(s) in RCA: 17] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/03/2015] [Revised: 06/07/2015] [Accepted: 06/19/2015] [Indexed: 02/06/2023]
Abstract
Streptococcus pneumoniae (pneumococcus) remains one of the most commonly identified causes of bacterial infection in the general population, and the risk is 30-100 fold higher in HIV-infected individuals. Both innate and adaptive host immune responses to pneumococcal infection are important against pathogen invasion. Pneumococcal-specific IgA antibody (Ab) is key to control infection at the mucosal sites. Ab responses against pneumococcal infection by B cells can be generated through T cell-dependent or T cell-independent pathways. Depletion of CD4+ T cells is a hallmark of immunodeficiency in HIV infection and this defect also contributes to B cell dysfunction, which predisposes to infections such as the pneumococcus. Two pneumococcal vaccines have been demonstrated to have potential benefits for HIV-infected patients. One is a T cell dependent 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV13); the other is a T cell independent 23-valent pneumococcal polysaccharide vaccine (PPV23). However, many questions remain unknown regarding these two vaccines in the clinical setting in HIV disease. Here we review the latest research regarding B cell immune responses against pneumococcal antigens, whether derived from potentially invading pathogens or vaccinations, in the setting of HIV-1 infection.
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Affiliation(s)
- Lumin Zhang
- Department of Microbiology and Immunology, Medical University of South Carolina, Charleston, SC 29425, United States
| | - Zihai Li
- Department of Microbiology and Immunology, Medical University of South Carolina, Charleston, SC 29425, United States
| | - Zhuang Wan
- Hollings Cancer Center, Medical University of South Carolina, Charleston, SC 29425, United States
| | - Andrew Kilby
- Division of Infectious Diseases, Department of Medicine, Medical University of South Carolina, Charleston, SC 29425, United States
| | - J Michael Kilby
- Department of Microbiology and Immunology, Medical University of South Carolina, Charleston, SC 29425, United States; Division of Infectious Diseases, Department of Medicine, Medical University of South Carolina, Charleston, SC 29425, United States
| | - Wei Jiang
- Department of Microbiology and Immunology, Medical University of South Carolina, Charleston, SC 29425, United States; Division of Infectious Diseases, Department of Medicine, Medical University of South Carolina, Charleston, SC 29425, United States.
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The serotype distribution among healthy carriers before vaccination is essential for predicting the impact of pneumococcal conjugate vaccine on invasive disease. PLoS Comput Biol 2015; 11:e1004173. [PMID: 25879748 PMCID: PMC4400047 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1004173] [Citation(s) in RCA: 30] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/13/2014] [Accepted: 02/05/2015] [Indexed: 11/24/2022] Open
Abstract
Pneumococcal conjugate vaccines (PCVs) have substantially reduced morbidity and mortality of pneumococcal disease. The impact of the 7-valent PCV on all-serotype invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) among children was reported to vary between high-income countries. We investigate the ability to predict this heterogeneity from pre-vaccination data. We propose a parsimonious model that predicts the impact of PCVs from the odds of vaccine serotype (VT) among carriers and IPD cases in the pre-PCV period, assuming that VT are eliminated in a mature PCV programme, that full serotype replacement occurs in carriage and that invasiveness of the NVT group is unchanged. We test model performance against the reported impact of PCV7 on childhood IPD in high-income countries from a recent meta-analysis. The odds of pre-PCV7 VT IPD, PCV schedule, PCV coverage and whether a catch up campaign was used for introduction was gathered from the same analysis. We conducted a literature review and meta-analysis to obtain the odds of pre-PCV7 VT carriage in the respective settings. The model predicted the reported impact on childhood IPD of mature PCV programmes; the ratio of predicted and observed incidence risk ratios was close to 1 in all settings. In the high income settings studied differences in schedule, coverage, and catch up campaigns were not associated with the observed heterogeneity in impact of PCV7 on childhood all-serotype IPD. The pre-PCV7 proportion of VT IPD alone also had limited predictive value. The pre-PCV7 proportion of VT carriage and IPD are the main determinants for the impact of PCV7 on childhood IPD and can be combined in a simple model to provide predictions of the vaccine preventable burden of IPD. Pneumococcal vaccines (PCVs) that protect children against 7, 10 and 13 of the most pathogenic pneumococcal serotypes have substantially reduced childhood morbidity and mortality. A recent analysis that evaluated the impact of the 7 valent PCV in multiple high income settings in North America, Europe and Oceania found that the magnitude of all-serotype invasive pneumococcal disease reduction varied greatly between settings (24%-83%). We explored potential sources for that variation, including differences in disease epidemiology before vaccination, vaccine coverage, vaccine schedules and the use of catch-up campaigns for introduction. We find that differences in reported disease impact among mature PCV programmes are likely to be unrelated to the differences in the vaccine programme but can be predicted from a simple model based on pre-vaccination epidemiology, in particular the proportion of vaccine serotypes detected among patients with invasive pneumococcal disease and the proportion of vaccine serotypes that are found in the nasopharynx of healthy individuals. This model presents a useful tool to estimate the potential impact of PCVs (as a relative rate reduction), highlights the essential role of pre-vaccination carriage in healthy individuals for disease impact of PCVs and can estimate the prevented burden of disease where disease surveillance is unavailable.
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Rose M, Zielen S. Impact of infant immunization programs with pneumococcal conjugate vaccine in Europe. Expert Rev Vaccines 2014; 8:1351-64. [PMID: 19803758 DOI: 10.1586/erv.09.78] [Citation(s) in RCA: 36] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/08/2022]
Affiliation(s)
- Markus Rose
- Children's Hospital, Goethe University, Theodor Stern Kai 7, 60590 Frankfurt, Germany.
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Kuo CY, Hwang KP, Hsieh YC, Cheng CH, Huang FL, Shen YH, Huang YC, Chiu CH, Chen PY, Lin TY. Nasopharyngeal carriage of Streptococcus pneumoniae in Taiwan before and after the introduction of a conjugate vaccine. Vaccine 2011; 29:5171-7. [PMID: 21621578 DOI: 10.1016/j.vaccine.2011.05.034] [Citation(s) in RCA: 41] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/01/2010] [Revised: 05/11/2011] [Accepted: 05/12/2011] [Indexed: 10/18/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND The heptavalent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine was introduced in Taiwan in October 2005. To evaluate the effect of the vaccination, we conducted an active, prospective, large-scale, long-term, and multicenter study to assess the prevalence of nasopharyngeal Streptococcus pneumoniae carriage in Taiwanese children. METHODS This study was performed at three tertiary teaching hospitals in northern, central, and southern Taiwan. Questionnaires provided demographic, family/household, and medical history data. Pneumococcal isolates were tested for their susceptibility to various antimicrobial agents and serotypes. In addition, influenza virus and Staphylococcus aureus were recovered from nasopharyngeal and nasal swabs, respectively. RESULTS Between July 2005 and July 2008, 857 pneumococcal strains were recovered from a total of 6057 children aged >2 months to 5 years (carriage rate, 14.1%). Carriage rates differed geographically and varied with subject age. In a multivariate analysis, having at least one sibling, attendance at day-care centers, a history of otitis media, and history of upper respiratory tract infection in the previous 2 weeks were each associated with a higher risk of pneumococcal colonization of the nasopharynx. Staphylococcus aureus nasal colonization was inversely associated with nasopharyngeal carriage of pneumococcus (p=0.000; odds ratio [OR]: 0.48; 95% CI: 0.39-0.58). Daycare attendance was the only risk factor for carriage of penicillin non-susceptible S. pneumoniae (OR: 2.37; 95% CI: 1.22-4.88). Although vaccination rates rose from 2005 to 2008, no concomitant decrease in S. pneumoniae carriage occurred. The rate of penicillin resistance among S. pneumoniae isolates was 92.8% (using the meningitis criteria). The prevalence of cefotaxime resistance (21.6%) was higher than that of penicillin (6.9%; non-meningitis criteria). Slightly more than half (57.4%) of the isolates belonged to strains covered by the heptavalent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine when both vaccine and vaccine-related serotypes were included. CONCLUSIONS Although vaccination rates rose from 2005 to 2008, no concomitant decrease occurred in S. pneumoniae carriage. Interaction between S. aureus and S. pneumoniae may influence vaccination efficacy. These findings provide baseline data to further compare pneumococcal carriage rates and antibiotic resistance patterns in Taiwanese children as vaccination rates continue to increase.
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Affiliation(s)
- Chen-Yen Kuo
- Department of Pediatrics, Chang Gung Children's Hospital, College of Medicine, Chang Gung University, 5 Fu-Hsin Street, Kwei-Shan Hsiang, Taoyuan, Taiwan
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Darboe MK, Fulford AJ, Secka O, Prentice AM. The dynamics of nasopharyngeal streptococcus pneumoniae carriage among rural Gambian mother-infant pairs. BMC Infect Dis 2010; 10:195. [PMID: 20602782 PMCID: PMC2910019 DOI: 10.1186/1471-2334-10-195] [Citation(s) in RCA: 40] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/03/2009] [Accepted: 07/05/2010] [Indexed: 11/10/2022] Open
Abstract
Background Streptococcus pneumoniae is an important cause of community acquired pneumonia, sepsis, meningitis and otitis media globally and has been incriminated as a major cause of serious childhood bacterial infections in The Gambia. Better understanding of the dynamics of transmission and carriage will inform control strategies. Methods This study was conducted among 196 mother-infant pairs recruited at birth from six villages in the West Kiang region of The Gambia. Nasopharyngeal swabs were collected from mother-infant pairs at birth (within 12 hours of delivery), 2, 5 and 12 months. Standard techniques of culture were used to identify carriage and serotype S. pneumoniae. Results Of 46 serotypes identified, the 6 most common, 6A, 6B, 14, 15, 19F and 23F, accounted for 67.3% of the isolates from infants. Carriage of any serotype among infants rose from 1.5% at birth to plateau at approximately 80% by 2 m (prevalence at 2 m = 77%; 5 m = 86%; 12 m = 78%). Likewise, maternal carriage almost doubled in the first 2 months post-partum and remained elevated for the next 10 m (prevalence at birth = 13%; 2 m = 24%; 5 m = 22%; 12 m = 21%). Carriage was significantly seasonal in both infants and mothers with a peak in December and lowest transmission in August. The total number of different serotypes we isolated from each infant varied and less than would be expected had the serotypes assorted independently. In contrast, this variability was much as expected among mothers. The half-life of a serotype colony was estimated to be 1.90 m (CI95%: 1.66-2.21) in infants and 0.75 m (CI95%: 0.55-1.19) in mothers. While the odds for a serotype to be isolated from an infant increased by 9-fold if it had also been isolated from the mother, the population attributable fraction (PAF) of pneumococcal carriage in infants due to maternal carriage was only 9.5%. Some marked differences in dynamics were observed between vaccine and non-vaccine serotypes. Conclusions Colonisation of the nasopharynx in Gambian infants by S. pneumoniae is rapid and highly dynamic. Immunity or inter-serotype competition may play a role in the dynamics. Reducing mother-infant transmission would have a minimal effect on infant carriage.
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Affiliation(s)
- Momodou K Darboe
- MRC International Nutrition Group, Keneba Field Station, P. O. Box 273, Banjul, The Gambia.
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Burden of invasive pneumococcal disease and serotype distribution among Streptococcus pneumoniae isolates in young children in Europe: impact of the 7-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine and considerations for future conjugate vaccines. Int J Infect Dis 2010; 14:e197-209. [DOI: 10.1016/j.ijid.2009.05.010] [Citation(s) in RCA: 240] [Impact Index Per Article: 17.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/26/2008] [Revised: 04/10/2009] [Accepted: 05/15/2009] [Indexed: 12/24/2022] Open
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Dinleyici EC, Yargic ZA. Current knowledge regarding the investigational 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine. Expert Rev Vaccines 2009; 8:977-986. [DOI: 10.1586/erv.09.68] [Citation(s) in RCA: 39] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 08/30/2023]
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Soley C, Arguedas A. Understanding the link between pneumococcal serotypes and invasive disease. Vaccine 2009; 27 Suppl 3:C19-21. [PMID: 19535183 DOI: 10.1016/j.vaccine.2009.06.003] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 10/20/2022]
Abstract
To determine the relationship between serotypes and the burden of pneumococcal disease in Latin American children, population- and laboratory-based surveillance data for the region were evaluated. Streptococcus pneumoniae continues to be an important bacterial pathogen causing infections in children. A seven-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV7) has been documented to be extremely effective in the prevention of invasive and non-invasive S. pneumoniae infections due to vaccine serotypes. However, due to evolving epidemiology, there is a need to enhance S. pneumoniae serotype coverage in future generation vaccines, complemented by ongoing surveillance of pneumococcal serotypes following vaccine introduction.
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Affiliation(s)
- Carolina Soley
- Instituto de Atención Pediátrica, Universidad de Ciencias Médicas, P.O. Box 607-1150, San Jose, Costa Rica
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Global serotype distribution among Streptococcus pneumoniae isolates causing otitis media in children: potential implications for pneumococcal conjugate vaccines. Vaccine 2009; 27:3802-10. [PMID: 19446378 DOI: 10.1016/j.vaccine.2009.04.021] [Citation(s) in RCA: 84] [Impact Index Per Article: 5.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/29/2008] [Accepted: 04/07/2009] [Indexed: 11/20/2022]
Abstract
Acute otitis media (AOM) is the most common infection following pneumococcal colonization of the upper respiratory tract. Streptococcus pneumoniae causes 30-60% of AOM cases worldwide. However, not all pneumococcal serotypes cause disease and an association exists with nasopharyngeal colonization by certain serotypes and their propensity to cause AOM. This review examines the global serotype distribution relationship between pneumococcal serotypes and AOM in children aged <18 years and demonstrates that the most common pneumococcal serotypes causing AOM globally are 3, 6A, 6B, 9V, 14, 19A, 19F, and 23F.
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Serotype distribution and penicillin resistance of Streptococcus pneumoniae isolates from middle ear fluids of pediatric patients with acute otitis media in Japan. J Clin Microbiol 2008; 46:3808-10. [PMID: 18832131 DOI: 10.1128/jcm.01782-08] [Citation(s) in RCA: 29] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/29/2022] Open
Abstract
Out of 175 pneumococcal isolates from middle ear fluids, 26.3% were penicillin-resistant S. pneumoniae (PRSP). Serotypes 19F and 23F occurred most frequently among PRSP strains. The 7-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV) showed better coverage of PRSP strains (87.0%). The 7-valent PCV may reduce the prevalence of PRSP in Japan.
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Ozdemir B, Beyazova U, Camurdan AD, Sultan N, Ozkan S, Sahin F. Nasopharyngeal carriage of Streptococcus pneumoniae in healthy Turkish infants. J Infect 2008; 56:332-9. [PMID: 18377994 DOI: 10.1016/j.jinf.2008.02.010] [Citation(s) in RCA: 13] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/13/2007] [Revised: 11/20/2007] [Accepted: 02/16/2008] [Indexed: 10/22/2022]
Abstract
OBJECTIVES The aims of this study were to determine nasopharyngeal carriage rates, serotype distribution and antimicrobial resistance patterns of Streptococcus pneumoniae in healthy 0 to 2 year-old infants who live within a rural or urban locale and not attending daycare centers. In order to evaluate the possible impact of pneumococcal conjugate vaccine in this population, coverage of the isolated serotypes by the vaccine was also calculated. METHODS The study was conducted on 564 healthy infants attending 2 different well child clinics, one of which is located in an urban region and the other in a rural region. Specimens were collected with nasopharyngeal swabs. Serotyping was performed with standard antisera. Penicillin susceptibility was determined with E-test. Chi-square tests and logistic regression were used for data analysis. RESULTS The pneumococcal carriage rate was 22.5%. Age (>2 months age) [2.98 (1.41-6.29) p=0.004] and presence of another child within the house who attends school [1.72 (1.13-2.62) p=0.01] increased the carriage rate. The most frequently isolated serotypes were 11 (11.8%), 23 (7.9%), 19F (7.1%), 22 (6.3%), 9 (5.5%), 19 (5.5%) and 23B (5.5%). The total coverage of vaccine and vaccine-related serotypes by 7, 11 and 13 valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccines were 51.2, 59.0 and 59.0%, respectively. Of the isolated pneumococci, 10 (8.5%) were intermediately resistant and 8 (6.8%) were highly resistant to penicillin. CONCLUSION This study provides data about the local carriage rate and serotype distribution of S. pneumoniae strains in Turkish children, which is important in predicting the possible effects of different valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccines in this population.
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Affiliation(s)
- Bengu Ozdemir
- Department of Pediatrics, Bilgi Medical Center, Batikent, Ankara, Turkey
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