A novel random forest integrative approach based on endogenous CYP3A4 phenotype for predicting tacrolimus concentrations and dosages in Chinese renal transplant patients

The Role of Vitamin D Metabolism Genes and Their Genomic Background in Shaping Cyclosporine A Dosage Parameters after Kidney Transplantation

Background: Kidney transplantation is followed by immunosuppressive therapy involving calcineurin inhibitors (CNIs) such as cyclosporin A. However, long-term high CNIs doses can lead to vitamin D deficiency, and genetic variations influencing vitamin D levels can indirectly impact the necessary CNIs dosage. This study investigates the impact of genetic variations of vitamin D binding protein (DBP) rs2282679 and CYP2R1 hydroxylase rs10741657 polymorphisms on the cyclosporin A dosage in kidney transplant recipients. Additional polymorphisims of genes that are predicted to influence the pharmacogenetic profile were included. Methods: Gene polymorphisms in 177 kidney transplant recipients were analyzed using data mining techniques, including the Random Forest algorithm and Classification and Regression Trees (C&RT). The relationship between the concentration/dose (C/D) ratio of cyclosporin A and genetic profiles was assessed to determine the predictive value of DBP rs2282679 and CYP2R1 rs10741657 polymorphisms. Results: Polymorphic variants of the DBP (rs2282679) demonstrated a strong predictive value for the cyclosporin A C/D ratio in post-kidney transplantation patients. By contrast, the CYP2R1 polymorphism (rs10741657) did not show predictive significance. Additionally, the immune response genes rs231775 CTLA4 and rs1800896 IL10 were identified as predictors of cyclosporin A response, though these did not result in statistically significant differences. Conclusions:DBP rs2282679 polymorphisms can significantly predict the cyclosporin A C/D ratio, potentially enhancing the accuracy of CNI dosing. This can help identify patient groups at risk of vitamin D deficiency, ultimately improving the management of kidney transplant recipients. Understanding these genetic influences allows for more personalized and effective treatment strategies, contributing to better long-term outcomes for patients.

Cherry on Top or Real Need? A Review of Explainable Machine Learning in Kidney Transplantation

Research on solid organ transplantation has taken advantage of the substantial acquisition of medical data and the use of artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) to answer diagnostic, prognostic, and therapeutic questions for many years. Nevertheless, despite the question of whether AI models add value to traditional modeling approaches, such as regression models, their "black box" nature is one of the factors that have hindered the translation from research to clinical practice. Several techniques that make such models understandable to humans were developed with the promise of increasing transparency in the support of medical decision-making. These techniques should help AI to close the gap between theory and practice by yielding trust in the model by doctors and patients, allowing model auditing, and facilitating compliance with emergent AI regulations. But is this also happening in the field of kidney transplantation? This review reports the use and explanation of "black box" models to diagnose and predict kidney allograft rejection, delayed graft function, graft failure, and other related outcomes after kidney transplantation. In particular, we emphasize the discussion on the need (or not) to explain ML models for biological discovery and clinical implementation in kidney transplantation. We also discuss promising future research paths for these computational tools.

Individualized dosing algorithms for tacrolimus in kidney transplant recipients: current status and unmet needs

INTRODUCTION

Tacrolimus is a potent immunosuppressive drug with many side effects including nephrotoxicity and post-transplant diabetes mellitus. To limit its toxicity, therapeutic drug monitoring (TDM) is performed. However, tacrolimus' pharmacokinetics are highly variable within and between individuals, which complicates their clinical management. Despite TDM, many kidney transplant recipients will experience under- or overexposure to tacrolimus. Therefore, dosing algorithms have been developed to limit the time a patient is exposed to off-target concentrations.

AREAS COVERED

Tacrolimus starting dose algorithms and models for follow-up doses developed and/or tested since 2015, encompassing both adult and pediatric populations. Literature was searched in different databases, i.e. Embase, PubMed, Web of Science, Cochrane Register, and Google Scholar, from inception to February 2023.

EXPERT OPINION

Many algorithms have been developed, but few have been prospectively evaluated. These performed better than bodyweight-based starting doses, regarding the time a patient is exposed to off-target tacrolimus concentrations. No benefit in reduced tacrolimus toxicity has yet been observed. Most algorithms were developed from small datasets, contained only a few tacrolimus concentrations per person, and were not externally validated. Moreover, other matrices should be considered which might better correlate with tacrolimus toxicity than the whole-blood concentration, e.g. unbound plasma or intra-lymphocytic tacrolimus concentrations.