Age as a prognostic factor in thick and ultrathick melanomas without lymph node metastasis

The Impact of Clinical and Histopathological Factors on Disease Progression and Survival in Thick Cutaneous Melanomas

Thick cutaneous melanomas (Breslow depth > 4 mm) are locally advanced tumors, generally associated with poor prognosis. Nevertheless, these tumors sometimes display unpredictable behavior. This study aims to analyze clinical and histopathological features that can influence the prognosis of thick melanomas. This is a retrospective study on 94 thick primary cutaneous melanomas diagnosed between 2012 and 2018 that were followed-up for at least five years to assess disease progression and survival. We evaluated the age, gender, tumor location, histological subtype, Breslow depth, Clark level, resection margins, mitotic index, the presence/absence of ulceration, necrosis, regression, microsatellites, neurotropism, lymphovascular invasion, and the pattern of tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes, and their association with disease progression and survival. By conducting univariate analysis, we found that progression-free survival (PFS) was significantly associated with female gender, the superficial spreading melanoma (SSM) subtype, mitotic index, necrosis, microsatellites, and perineural invasion. Overall survival (OS) was significantly associated with female gender, Breslow depth, SSM subtype, necrosis, microsatellites, and perineural invasion. Through multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression, we found that the only factors associated with PFS were Breslow depth, necrosis, microsatellites, and perineural invasion, while the factors associated with OS were Breslow depth, necrosis, microsatellites, and perineural invasion. Certain histopathological features such as Breslow depth, necrosis, microsatellites, and perineural invasion could explain differences in disease evolution. This is one of the first studies to demonstrate an association between necrosis and perineural invasion and outcomes in patients with thick melanomas. By identifying high-risk patients, personalized therapy can be provided for improved prognosis.

Estimated Effect of COVID-19 Lockdown on Skin Tumor Size and Survival: An Exponential Growth Model

Background and objectives

Spain is in a situation of indefinite lockdown due to the ongoing coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic. One of the consequences of this lockdown is delays in medical and surgical procedures for common diseases. The aim of this study was to model the impact on survival of tumor growth caused by such delays in patients with squamous cell carcinoma (SCC) and melanoma.

Material and methods

Multicenter, retrospective, observational cohort study. We constructed an exponential growth model for both SCC and melanoma to estimate tumor growth between patient-reported onset and surgical excision at different time points.

Results

Data from 200 patients with SCC of the head and neck and 1000 patients with cutaneous melanoma were included. An exponential growth curve was calculated for each tumor type and we estimated tumor size after 1, 2, and 3 months of potential surgical delay. The proportion of patients with T3 SCC (diameter > 4 cm or thickness > 6 mm) increased from 41.5% (83 patients) in the initial study group to an estimated 58.5%, 70.5%, and 72% after 1, 2, and 3 months of delay. Disease-specific survival at 2, 5, and 10 years in patients whose surgery was delayed by 3 months decreased by 6.2%, 8.2%, and 5.2%, respectively. The proportion of patients with ultrathick melanoma (> 6 mm) increased from 6.9% in the initial study group to 21.9%, 30.2%, and 30.2% at 1, 2, and 3 months. Five- and 10-year disease-specific survival both decreased by 14.4% in patients treated after a potential delay of 3 months.

Conclusions

In the absence of adequate diagnosis and treatment of SCC and melanoma in the current lockdown situation in Spain, we can expect to see to a considerable increase in large and thick SCCs and melanomas. Efforts must be taken to encourage self-examination and facilitate access to dermatologists in order to prevent further delays.

[Estimated Effect of COVID-19 Lockdown on Skin Tumor Size and Survival: An Exponential Growth Model]

Antecedentes y objetivos

La pandemia del coronavirus SARS-CoV-2 ha provocado un confinamiento indefinido. Una posible consecuencia de esta situación es un retraso en los procedimientos asistenciales de las enfermedades oncológicas. El objetivo de este estudio es estimar el hipotético impacto en la supervivencia que tendría el aumento del tamaño tanto para los carcinomas de células escamosas (CCE) como de los melanomas.

Material y método

Estudio observacional retrospectivo de cohorte multicéntrico. Se desarrolló un modelo de crecimiento exponencial para cada tumor basado en el tiempo de evolución que refiere el paciente.

Resultados

Se incluyeron un total de 200 pacientes con CCE localizados en la cabeza y el cuello y 1.000 pacientes con melanoma cutáneo. Se calculó una curva de crecimiento exponencial para cada tumor y se estimó el tamaño del tumor tras 1, 2 y 3 meses tras el diagnóstico. En la muestra, los CCE mayores de 4 cm o > 6 mm de grosor (definidos como T3) pasaron de 83 (41,5%) en el grupo de estudio real a una estimación del 58,5, 70,5 y 72% tras 1, 2 y 3 meses de retraso quirúrgico estimado, respectivamente. Se estimó una disminución de la supervivencia específica de enfermedad (SEE) de un 6,2, 8,2 y 5,2% a los 2, 5 y 10 años, respectivamente, tras 3 meses de retraso. Para los melanomas ultragruesos (> 6 mm de Breslow) pasaron del 6,9% en el grupo de estudio al 21,9, 30,2 y 30,2% tras 1, 2 y 3 meses de demora. La SEE a los 5 y 10 años del grupo de estudio descendió un 14,4% en ambos tiempos.

Conclusiones

En ausencia de un adecuado diagnóstico y tratamiento de los pacientes con CCE y melanoma en la actual situación de confinamiento en España, podemos llegar a asistir a un considerable aumento de los casos de CCE y melanomas gruesos y de gran tamaño. Se deben fomentar los esfuerzos para promocionar la autoexploración y facilitar el acceso a los dermatólogos para no aumentar la demora de estos pacientes.