Effect of baseline disease severity on achievement of treatment target with apremilast: results from a pooled analysis

Using Automated Machine Learning to Predict Necessary Upcoming Therapy Changes in Patients With Psoriasis Vulgaris and Psoriatic Arthritis and Uncover New Influences on Disease Progression: Retrospective Study

BACKGROUND

Psoriasis vulgaris (PsV) and psoriatic arthritis (PsA) are complex, multifactorial diseases significantly impacting health and quality of life. Predicting treatment response and disease progression is crucial for optimizing therapeutic interventions, yet challenging. Automated machine learning (AutoML) technology shows promise for rapidly creating accurate predictive models based on patient features and treatment data.

OBJECTIVE

This study aims to develop highly accurate machine learning (ML) models using AutoML to address key clinical questions for PsV and PsA patients, including predicting therapy changes, identifying reasons for therapy changes, and factors influencing skin lesion progression or an abnormal Bath Ankylosing Spondylitis Disease Activity Index (BASDAI) score.

METHODS

Clinical study data from 309 PsV and PsA patients were extensively prepared and analyzed using AutoML to build and select the most accurate predictive models for each variable of interest.

RESULTS

Therapy change at 24 weeks follow-up was modeled using the extreme gradient boosted trees classifier with early stopping (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve [AUC] of 0.9078 and logarithmic loss [LogLoss] of 0.3955 for the holdout partition). Key influencing factors included the initial systemic therapeutic agent, the Classification Criteria for Psoriatic Arthritis score at baseline, and changes in quality of life. An average blender incorporating three models (gradient boosted trees classifier, ExtraTrees classifier, and Eureqa generalized additive model classifier) with an AUC of 0.8750 and LogLoss of 0.4603 was used to predict therapy changes for 2 hypothetical patients, highlighting the significance of these factors. Treatments such as methotrexate or specific biologicals showed a lower propensity for change. An average blender of a random forest classifier, an extreme gradient boosted trees classifier, and a Eureqa classifier (AUC of 0.9241 and LogLoss of 0.4498) was used to estimate PASI (Psoriasis Area and Severity Index) change after 24 weeks. Primary predictors included the initial PASI score, change in pruritus levels, and change in therapy. A lower initial PASI score and consistently low pruritus were associated with better outcomes. BASDAI classification at onset was analyzed using an average blender of a Eureqa generalized additive model classifier, an extreme gradient boosted trees classifier with early stopping, and a dropout additive regression trees classifier with an AUC of 0.8274 and LogLoss of 0.5037. Influential factors included initial pain, disease activity, and Hospital Anxiety and Depression Scale scores for depression and anxiety. Increased pain, disease activity, and psychological distress generally led to higher BASDAI scores.

CONCLUSIONS

The practical implications of these models for clinical decision-making in PsV and PsA can guide early investigation and treatment, contributing to improved patient outcomes.

Long-Term Effectiveness of Brodalumab for the Treatment of Moderate-To-Severe Psoriasis: A Real-Life Multicenter Study of Up to 3 Years in a Real-Life Italian Cohort

INTRODUCTION

Data about the long-term effectiveness of brodalumab could be valuable in assessing patient adherence to treatment and improving psoriasis management.

OBJECTIVE

The aim of our study was to evaluate the drug survival of brodalumab and identify any predictive factors for discontinuation.

METHODS

A multicenter retrospective study was conducted in patients with moderate-to-severe psoriasis who were treated for up to 3 years. We extracted data from patient files, related to the characteristics of the patients and the disease. Drug survival analysis was descriptively analyzed using Kaplan-Meier survival curves. Univariable and multivariable analyses were performed to assess baseline patient characteristics that predicted clinical response.

RESULTS

The study included 90 patients. Among them, 28 (31.1%) suspended brodalumab through the observation period. At weeks 52, 104 and 156 the median PASI score were 0.0 [0.0 - 0.8], 0.0 [0.0 - 1.0] and 0.0 [0.0 - 0.0], respectively. The estimated cumulative survival rates at weeks 52 and 104 were 86.32% and 78.09%, respectively. In the multivariable survival analysis, predictor factors for overall discontinuation included body mass index (BMI) (OR 1.10, 95% CI 1.03 - 1.18), baseline PASI (OR 1.06, 95% CI 1.02 - 1.10), and psoriatic arthritis (OR 5.05, 95% CI 0.89 - 13.50).

CONCLUSIONS

Brodalumab has shown long-term effectiveness for up to 3 years. Considering baseline disease severity and patient characteristics could aid in optimizing the long-term management of psoriasis.

PDE4 Gene Family Variants Are Associated with Response to Apremilast Treatment in Psoriasis

Moderate-to-severe psoriasis (Ps) treatment includes systemic drugs and biological agents. Apremilast, a small molecule primarily metabolized by cytochrome CYP3A4, modulates the immune system by specifically inhibiting phosphodiesterase type 4 (PDE4) isoforms and is currently used for the treatment of Ps and psoriatic arthritis (PsA). Clinical trials and real-world data showed variable efficacy in response among Ps patients underlying the need for personalized therapy. This study implements a candidate-gene and a network-based approach to identify genetic markers associated with apremilast response in forty-nine Greek Ps patients. Our data revealed an association of sixty-four SNPs within or near PDE4 and CYP3A4 genes, four SNPs in ncRNAs ANRIL, LINC00941 and miR4706, which influence the abundance or function of PDE4s, and thirty-three SNPs within fourteen genes whose protein products either interact directly with PDE4 proteins or constitute components of the cAMP signaling pathway which is modulated by PDE4s. Notably, fifty-six of the aforementioned SNPs constitute eQTLs for the respective genes in relevant to psoriasis tissues/cells implying that these variants could be causal. Our analysis provides a number of novel genetic variants that, upon validation in larger cohorts, could be utilized as predictive markers regarding the response of Ps patients to apremilast treatment.

Prevalence of Tobacco Smoking and Its Association With Disease Severity Among Patients With Psoriasis in China: A Cross-Sectional Study

Introduction

Tobacco smoking is associated with the onset and severity of psoriasis, and understanding the prevalence of tobacco smoking among patients with psoriasis is critical due to its high physical and mental influence and heavy disease burden. However, evidence on the association between tobacco smoking and psoriasis severity is still limited in China.

Objectives

The objective of this study was to examine the prevalence of tobacco smoking and explore the association between tobacco smoking and diseases severity among patients with psoriasis.

Methods

A total of 4,529 patients with psoriasis in 200 selected hospitals were recruited in China between January 2020 and September 2021. Detailed information covering demographic feature, tobacco smoking, and psoriasis history were collected through an electronic questionnaire, and clinical data were extracted from the health information system (HIS). SAS 9.4 was used for data analysis, and a p-value of <0.05 was considered statistically significant.

Results

The prevalence of tobacco smoking was 30.8%, with 24.6% for current smoking. The average Psoriasis Area and Severity Index (PASI) score for patients with psoriasis was 9.4, with male patients having a higher PASI score than female patients. The odds ratio (OR) of former tobacco smoking prevalence was 1.5 [95% confidence interval (CI): (1.0-2.3)] for PASI score (3.0-7.0), 2.2 for PASI score (7.1-13.0), and 4.2 for PASI score >13, when compared with patients with PASI score < 3.0. Similarly, the OR of current tobacco smoking prevalence was 1.8 [95% CI: (1.5-2.2)] for PASI score (3.0-7.0), 1.9 for PASI score (7.1-13.0), and 3.1 for PASI score >13, when compared with patients with PASI score <3.0. The Spearman correlation analysis indicated that both tobacco smoking intensity and smoking duration were positively correlated with psoriasis severity (p < 0.05).

Conclusion

The prevalence of tobacco smoking was high, especially among male patients with psoriasis and those with senior high education. Tobacco smoking was positively associated with psoriasis severity; moreover, both smoking intensity and smoking duration were positively correlated with the severity of psoriasis in a dose-dependent fashion.

A real-world, non-interventional, prospective study of the effectiveness and safety of apremilast in bio-naïve adults with moderate plaque psoriasis treated in the routine care in Greece - The 'APRAISAL' study

BACKGROUND

Real-world data in patients with moderate psoriasis treated with apremilast is limited.

OBJECTIVES

To evaluate the effectiveness and safety of apremilast in bio-naïve patients with moderate psoriasis in real-world clinical settings.

METHODS

This was a 52-week multicenter, observational, prospective study of adult outpatients with moderate psoriasis {[10%<body surface area<20% or 10<psoriasis area severity index (PASI)<20] and 10<dermatology quality of life index (DLQI)<20} initiated on apremilast ≤7 days before enrollment. Missing data were imputed using the last observation carried forward method.

RESULTS

A total of 287 eligible patients (median age: 54.2 years; median psoriasis duration: 9.8 years) were consecutively enrolled. At baseline, the median DLQI and PASI scores were 12.0 and 11.8, respectively. The 52-week DLQI ≤5 and PASI75 response rates were 68.3% and 61.0%. At 52 weeks, 70.8% and 72.7% of the patients shifted from moderate/severe/very severe to clear/minimal scalp and palmoplantar psoriasis involvement, respectively; the pruritus severity state improved in 67.2%. The 52-week Kaplan-Meier estimated drug continuation rate was 85.3%. The adverse drug reaction rate was 19.9%.

CONCLUSIONS

Apremilast is a safe and effective treatment for bio-naïve patients with moderate psoriasis and specific psoriasis manifestations.

Childhood Trauma and Psychosocial Stress Affect Treatment Outcome in Patients With Psoriasis Starting a New Treatment Episode

OBJECTIVE

Traumatic childhood experiences and psychosocial stress may predispose the evolvement of somatic diseases. Psoriasis is a multifactorial chronic inflammatory skin disease that often associates with current and past stress. Both may entail pathological alterations in major stress axes and a balance shift in the level of T helper type 1 (Th1) and 2 (Th2) cytokines, affecting the development and course of psoriasis. Until now, it is unclear whether traumatic stress experiences during the childhood or current stress are more frequent in psoriatic compared to skin-healthy individuals, and if they interact with treatment outcome.

METHOD

In a prospective cohort study, the impact of acute and early childhood stress on the course of dermatological treatment were studied in patients with moderate to severe psoriasis (PSO). Patients were examined before (T1) and about 3 months after (T2) the beginning of a new treatment episode. Assessments included clinical outcomes (Psoriasis Area and Severity Index-PASI, Structured Clinical Interview SCID-I) and patient-reported outcomes (PRO) (Childhood Trauma Questionnaire-CTQ, Perceived Stress Scale-PSS, itching/scratching, Dermatology Life Quality Index-DLQI, Hospital Anxiety and Depression Scale, Body Surface Area, Self-Administered PASI).

RESULTS

N = 83 PSO patients (median age 53.7, IQR 37.8, 62.5) and n = 66 skin-healthy control subjects (HC) (median age 51.5, IQR 33.3, 59.2) participated. PSO had higher CTQ physical neglect than HC, as well as higher PRO levels. The positive impact of improved skin on the skin-related quality of life was moderated by the perceived stress. Acute stress at T1 had a positive effect both on the skin severity and the skin-related quality of life. CTQ total closely interacted with baseline psoriasis severity, and was associated with higher improvement from T1 to T2.

CONCLUSION

One might tentatively conclude, that chronic psychosocial stressors like childhood maltreatment may predispose the manifestation of psoriasis. The latter may be amplified by acute psychological stressors. In addition, the present evidence suggests that systemic therapies work well in PSO, with childhood trauma and acute psychosocial stress. Both should therefore be routinely assessed and addressed in PSO.