Changes in serum alpha fetoprotein in patients with recurrent hepatocellular carcinoma following hepatectomy

Nomogram for Predicting Postoperative Pulmonary Metastasis in Hepatocellular Carcinoma Based on Inflammatory Markers

BACKGROUND

Uncertainty surrounds the usefulness of inflammatory markers in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients for predicting postoperative pulmonary metastasis (PM). The purpose of this study was to assess the predictive value of inflammatory markers as well as to create a new nomogram model for predicting PM.

METHODS

Cox regression was utilized to identify independent prognostic variables and to create a nomogram that predicted PM for comparison with a validation cohort and other prediction systems. We retrospectively analyzed a total of 1109 cases with HCC were included.

RESULTS

The systemic inflammatory response index (SIRI) and aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index (APRI) were independent risk factors for PM, with a concordance index of .78 (95% CI: .74-.81) for the nomogram. The areas under the curve of the nomograms for PM predicted at 1-, 3-, and 5-year were .82 (95% CI: .77-.87), .82 (95% CI: .78-.87) and .81 (95% CI: .75-.86), respectively, which were better than those of Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer and China liver cancer stage. Decision curve analyses demonstrated a broader range of nomogram threshold probabilities.

CONCLUSION

A nomogram based on SIRI and APRI can accurately predict postoperative PM in HCC.

Toward a new taxonomy of obstetrical disease: improved performance of maternal blood biomarkers for the great obstetrical syndromes when classified according to placental pathology

BACKGROUND

The major challenge for obstetrics is the prediction and prevention of the great obstetrical syndromes. We propose that defining obstetrical diseases by the combination of clinical presentation and disease mechanisms as inferred by placental pathology will aid in the discovery of biomarkers and add specificity to those already known.

OBJECTIVE

To describe the longitudinal profile of placental growth factor (PlGF), soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase-1 (sFlt-1), and the PlGF/sFlt-1 ratio throughout gestation, and to determine whether the association between abnormal biomarker profiles and obstetrical syndromes is strengthened by information derived from placental examination, eg, the presence or absence of placental lesions of maternal vascular malperfusion.

STUDY DESIGN

This retrospective case cohort study was based on a parent cohort of 4006 pregnant women enrolled prospectively. The case cohort of 1499 pregnant women included 1000 randomly selected patients from the parent cohort and all additional patients with obstetrical syndromes from the parent cohort. Pregnant women were classified into six groups: 1) term delivery without pregnancy complications (n=540; control); 2) preterm labor and delivery (n=203); 3) preterm premature rupture of the membranes (n=112); 4) preeclampsia (n=230); 5) small-for-gestational-age neonate (n=334); and 6) other pregnancy complications (n=182). Maternal plasma concentrations of PlGF and sFlt-1 were determined by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assays in 7560 longitudinal samples. Placental pathologists, masked to clinical outcomes, diagnosed the presence or absence of placental lesions of maternal vascular malperfusion. Comparisons between mean biomarker concentrations in cases and controls were performed by utilizing longitudinal generalized additive models. Comparisons were made between controls and each obstetrical syndrome with and without subclassifying cases according to the presence or absence of placental lesions of maternal vascular malperfusion.

RESULTS

1) When obstetrical syndromes are classified based on the presence or absence of placental lesions of maternal vascular malperfusion, significant differences in the mean plasma concentrations of PlGF, sFlt-1, and the PlGF/sFlt-1 ratio between cases and controls emerge earlier in gestation; 2) the strength of association between an abnormal PlGF/sFlt-1 ratio and the occurrence of obstetrical syndromes increases when placental lesions of maternal vascular malperfusion are present (adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 13.6 vs 6.7 for preeclampsia; aOR, 8.1 vs 4.4 for small-for-gestational-age neonates; aOR, 5.5 vs 2.1 for preterm premature rupture of the membranes; and aOR, 3.3 vs 2.1 for preterm labor (all P<0.05); and 3) the PlGF/sFlt-1 ratio at 28 to 32 weeks of gestation is abnormal in patients who subsequently delivered due to preterm labor with intact membranes and in those with preterm premature rupture of the membranes if both groups have placental lesions of maternal vascular malperfusion. Such association is not significant in patients with these obstetrical syndromes who do not have placental lesions.

CONCLUSION

Classification of obstetrical syndromes according to the presence or absence of placental lesions of maternal vascular malperfusion allows biomarkers to be informative earlier in gestation and enhances the strength of association between biomarkers and clinical outcomes. We propose that a new taxonomy of obstetrical disorders informed by placental pathology will facilitate the discovery and implementation of biomarkers as well as the prediction and prevention of such disorders.

Nomograms Incorporating the CNLC Staging System Predict the Outcome of Hepatocellular Carcinoma After Curative Resection

Purpose

Prediction models of postoperative outcomes of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after surgery based on the China liver cancer (CNLC) staging system are rare. This study aimed to compare the prognostic abilities of CNLC, Tumor-Node-Metastasis (TNM) 8th edition, and Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) staging systems for HCC after curative resection. We developed two nomograms incorporating the CNLC staging system to predict the postoperative recurrence-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS) of HCC patients.

Patients and methods

The prognostic abilities of the CNLC, TNM and BCLC staging systems for HCC after curative resection were compared using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves. Two nomograms incorporating five selected risk factors were constructed based on multivariate Cox regression in the primary cohort of 312 HCC patients. It was validated with an independent validation cohort of 130 HCC patients. The predictive performance and discrimination ability of the two nomograms were further evaluated and compared with those of the TNM and BCLC staging systems.

Results

The CNLC staging system had a higher area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) value for both OS (AUC=0.692) and RFS (AUC=0.673) than the TNM (ROC=0.667 for OS and 0.652 for RFS) and BCLC (ROC=0.671 for OS and 0.670 for RFS) staging systems. The independent predictors of OS (cirrhosis, gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase (GGT), tumor differentiation and CNLC staging system) and RFS (α-fetoprotein (AFP) and CNLC staging system) were incorporated into the two nomograms. The OS and RFS nomograms consistently outperformed the TNM and BCLC staging systems in the primary cohort. These results were verified in the validation cohort. In the 442 patients with HCC, the RFS nomogram could predict early recurrence very well.

Conclusion

The two proposed nomograms incorporating the CNLC staging system can predict the outcomes of patients with HCC after curative hepatectomy in clinical practice.

A-G Score Associated With Outcomes in Solitary Hepatocellular Carcinoma Patients After Hepatectomy

Aim: The study aimed to investigate the clinical significance of preoperative alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) and gamma-glutamyl transferase (GGT) (A-G score) on hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients.

Methods: A total of 474 solitary HCC patients were included. Survival analysis was evaluated by Kaplan-Meier method. Prognostic factors were analyzed in a multivariate model. The comparison of the predictive value of AFP, GGT, and A-G score was performed by receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) analysis and decision curve analysis (DCA).

Results: Of the 474 patients, 137(28.9%), 241(50.8%), and 96(20.3%) patients were assigned to A-G score 0, 1, and 2, respectively. In multivariate analysis, A-G score, tumor size, microvascular invasion, tumor differentiation, satellite lesion, and state of HBV infection were independently predictive factors for RFS of solitary HCC patients. The A-G score could significantly stratify solitary HCC patients with a distinguished prognosis. The 1-, 3-, and 5-year RFS and OS among patients with A-G score 1 was better than that of patients with A-G score 2 and worse than that of patients with A-G score 0(all p < 0.05). Based on the result from the ROC analysis and DCA analysis, the A-G score appeared to be superior to either AFP or GGT alone in the prediction of prognosis of solitary HCC patients. In the subgroup analysis, the A-G score could accurately predict the prognosis of solitary HCC patients without MVI or with liver cirrhosis.

Conclusions: Preoperative A-G score could effectively and simply predict prognosis of solitary HCC patients after hepatectomy, especially for those with non-MVI solitary HCC or those with liver cirrhosis.

Effectiveness and safety of irreversible electroporation for recurrent hepatocellular carcinoma ineligible for thermal ablation after surgery

Objectives

To preliminarily evaluate the clinical effectiveness and safety of computed tomography (CT) image-guided irreversible electroporation (IRE) for the treatment of recurrent hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after surgical resection.

Methods

From January 2016 to February 2018, 18 patients diagnosed with recurrent HCC after surgical resection received IRE under CT image guidance for 22 tumors. Patients were enrolled for IRE when ineligible for thermal ablation due to tumor location. Clinical records and imaging data were reviewed to assess complete ablation rate, local tumor progression free rate (LTPFR), local tumor progression free survival (LTPFS) and complications after a median follow-up time of 14 months.

Results

Successful complete ablations were achieved in 20/22 (90.1%) tumors. Mean LTPFS was 10.5 ​± ​9.4 months. Overall 3-, 6- and 12-months LTPFR in 22 tumors following IRE were 68.2% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 45%–83%), 59.1% (95% CI: 33%–76%) and 36.4% (95% CI: 17%–56%), respectively. Complications included pneumothorax (2/18, 11.1%), localized pain (3/18, 16.7%), bile duct dilation (1/18, 5.6%) and transient hypertension (1/18, 5.6%). No major complications or treatment-related deaths were observed. The alpha-fetoprotein levels of two patients decreased to the normal range at 3 and 4 months, respectively.

Conclusions

This study showed that percutaneous CT image-guided IRE can serve as a safe and effective treatment for recurrent HCC not suitable for thermal ablation.

Seven-senescence-associated gene signature predicts overall survival for Asian patients with hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Cellular senescence is a recognized barrier for progression of chronic liver diseases to hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). The expression of a cluster of genes is altered in response to environmental factors during senescence. However, it is questionable whether these genes could serve as biomarkers for HCC patients.

AIM

To develop a signature of senescence-associated genes (SAGs) that predicts patients’ overall survival (OS) to improve prognosis prediction of HCC.

METHODS

SAGs were identified using two senescent cell models. Univariate COX regression analysis was performed to screen the candidate genes significantly associated with OS of HCC in a discovery cohort (GSE14520) for the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator modelling. Prognostic value of this seven-gene signature was evaluated using two independent cohorts retrieved from the GEO (GSE14520) and the Cancer Genome Atlas datasets, respectively. Time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was conducted to compare the predictive accuracy of the seven-SAG signature and serum α-fetoprotein (AFP).

RESULTS

A total of 42 SAGs were screened and seven of them, including KIF18B, CEP55, CIT, MCM7, CDC45, EZH2, and MCM5, were used to construct a prognostic formula. All seven genes were significantly downregulated in senescent cells and upregulated in HCC tissues. Survival analysis indicated that our seven-SAG signature was strongly associated with OS, especially in Asian populations, both in discovery and validation cohorts. Moreover, time-dependent ROC curve analysis suggested the seven-gene signature had a better predictive accuracy than serum AFP in predicting HCC patients’ 1-, 3-, and 5-year OS.

CONCLUSION

We developed a seven-SAG signature, which could predict OS of Asian HCC patients. This risk model provides new clinical evidence for the accurate diagnosis and targeted treatment of HCC.

Alpha-fetoprotein response following transarterial chemoembolization indicates improved survival for intermediate-stage hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND

To investigate the clinical value of the alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) response following transcatheter arterial chemoembolization (TACE) in intermediate-stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

METHODS

Data on patients with Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer B staging system were analyzed. An AFP response was defined as a decrease in AFP of more than 20% after a TACE session. The association between AFP response and treatment outcome regarding imaging response and overall survival (OS) was explored. Cox proportional hazards models were applied to identify independent risk factors for OS after TACE.

RESULTS

Of the enrolled 376 patients with elevated serum AFP >20 ng/mL, 214 (57%) with AFP responses were identified. AFP responders had improved median survival than non-responders (20 vs. 12 months, P = 0.002). AFP response was significantly correlated with imaging response (P < 0.001). The Cox proportional hazards model revealed that AFP response was an independent factor for OS (hazard ratio, 0.59; 95% confidence interval, 0.45-0.78; P < 0.001). In stratified analyses, an AFP response achieved improved survival in patients with tumor diameters ≤5 cm, diameters >5 cm, tumor number ≤3 and without underlying cirrhosis.

CONCLUSIONS

The AFP response indicates enhanced survival after TACE in patients with intermediate-stage BCLC.

Comparison and validation of the prognostic value of preoperative systemic immune cells in hepatocellular carcinoma after curative hepatectomy

In this study, we aimed to compare and validate the prognostic abilities of preoperative systemic immune cells in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after curative hepatectomy. We developed two nomograms to predict the postoperative recurrence‐free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS) after comparisons of the systemic immune cell prognostic scores. The two nomograms were constructed based on 305 patients who underwent curative hepatectomy for HCC. The predictive accuracy and discriminative ability of the nomograms were compared with six commonly used staging systems for HCC. The results were validated using bootstrap resampling and an internal validation cohort of 142 patients and an external validation cohort of 169 patients. Necroinflammatory activity in peritumoral liver tissues in the primary cohort was evaluated by hematoxylin and eosin (H&E) staining. Neutrophil, monocyte, and lymphocyte ratio (NMLR) had a higher area under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUROC) value at both RFS (AUC = 0.603) and OS (AUC = 0.726) compared to that of other systemic immune cell prognostic scores. The independent predictors of RFS or OS, including α‐fetoprotein (AFP), tumor size, tumor number, microvascular invasion, and NMLR, were incorporated into the two nomograms. In the primary cohort, the C‐indexes of the RFS and OS nomograms were 0.705 and 0.797, respectively. The ROC analyses showed that the two nomograms had larger AUC values (0.664 for RFS and 0.821 for OS) than those of the American Joint Commission on Cancer seventh edition, Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer, Cancer of the Liver Italian Program, Japan Integrated Staging Score, Okuda stage, and the Vauthey's system. These results were verified by internal and external validations. The nomogram‐predicted probability of RFS was associated with peritumoral necroinflammatory activity scores (r = 0.304, P < 0.001). The proposed nomograms had accurate prognostic prediction in patients with HCC after curative hepatectomy.

Changes of alpha-fetoprotein levels could predict recurrent hepatocellular carcinoma survival after trans-arterial chemoembolization

Background

There is paucity of information concerning whether AFP change is a predictor of prognosis for recurrent hepatocellular carcinoma (RHCC) patients after trans-arterial chemoembolization (TACE).

Methods

A total of 177 RHCC patients who received TACE as first-line therapy were retrospectively analyzed. The patients were classified into three groups according to their pre-TACE and post-TACE AFP levels (group A: AFP decreased, group B: AFP consistent normal, and group C: AFP increased). The recurrence to death survival (RTDS) and overall survival (OS) were estimated by the Kaplan-Meier method, and compared by the log-rank test. Multivariate analyses were performed to identify prognostic factors for OS and RTDS.

Results

There was no significant difference among the three groups concerning the baseline characteristics. The median overall survival (OS) was 74.5 months in group A (95% confidence interval (CI): 63.5, 85.6), 64.0 months in group B (95% CI: 52.3, 75.7) and 29.0 months in group C (95% CI: 24.1, 33.9; P<0.001). The median recurrence to death survival (RTDS) was 66.5 months (95% CI: 53.4, 79.6) in group A, 50.4 months (95% CI: 39.5, 61.4) in group B and 17.7 months (95% CI: 13.4, 22.1; P<0.001) in group C. Multivariate analysis revealed that tumor size at resection stage, tumor number at recurrent stage, cycles of TACE, mRECIST response and AFP change after TACE were significant independent risk factors for RTDS and OS.

Conclusions

AFP change could predict the prognoses of patients with RHCC who received trans-arterial chemoembolization, which may help clinicians make subsequent treatment decision.

Immunohistochemical markers for hepatocellular carcinoma prognosis after liver resection and liver transplantation

AIM

There were differences in progression and prognosis of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after surgery between liver resection (LR) and liver transplantation (LT). In this study, immunohistochemical (IHC) markers associated with the prognosis of HCC were assessed.

METHODS

Data were collected from 167 patients who underwent LT (n=41) or LR (n=126) for HCC. IHC markers including alpha-fetoprotein (AFP), p53, Ki-67, cytokeratin 7 (CK7), and cytokeratin 19 (CK19) were compared between the treatment methods in tumor tissue.

RESULTS

AFP- and p53-negative patients had a significantly higher survival rate than AFP- and p53-positive patients (AFP: disease-free survival [DFS] P=.006, overall survival [OS] P=.016; p53: DFS P=.005, OS P=.038) in the LR group. CK19 was related to DFS (P=.005), while CK7 (P=.014) and CK19 (P=.06) were related to OS in the LT group. When we combined factors that were significant in both groups (LR: AFP and p53, LT: CK7 and CK19), all-negative patients had a higher survival rate (LR: DFS P=.025, OS P=.043, LT: DFS P=.034, OS P=.008).

CONCLUSION

p53 and AFP were predictors for poor prognosis of HCC after LR; CK7 and CK19 could be predictors for poor prognosis of patients with HCC after LT.

Alpha fetoprotein changes predict hepatocellular carcinoma survival beyond the Milan criteria after hepatectomy

BACKGROUND

Assessing the outcomes of surgeries for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients who exceed the Milan criteria is necessary. Some studies have demonstrated that preoperative or postoperative alpha fetoprotein (AFP) can predict HCC patients' prognoses.

METHODS

A total of 280 HCC patients who were positive for AFP and received curative resection were retrospectively analyzed. The patients were classified into three groups according to their preoperative and postoperative AFP levels (group A: normalized AFP; group B: AFP decreases >50%, but continued abnormality; and group C: AFP decreases <50%). Disease-free survival and overall survival rates were analyzed using the Kaplan-Meier method. The factors associated with AFP changes were evaluated by logistic regression.

RESULTS

AFP dynamic changes were independently associated with disease-free survival and overall survival rates. Group A had better 3- and 5-y survivals than groups B or C (58.7% and 39.5% versus 31.3% and 14.9% versus 17.1% and 8.8%, P < 0.001). Preoperative AFP, tumor differentiation, tumor diameter, microvascular invasion, and satellite nodules remained significant risk factors that were associated with AFP changes. Furthermore, in group A, the disappearances of AFP within and beyond 8 wk resulted in similar overall survival rates (P > 0.05). Among those with HCC recurrence, the patients treated with resurgery or radiofrequency ablation achieved the best recurrence to death survivals. Those treated with transcatheter arterial chemoembolization achieved the next best survivals.

CONCLUSIONS

AFP changes predicted the prognoses of patients with HCC beyond the predictions of the Milan criteria. Preoperative AFP (>400 ng/mL), tumor differentiation, tumor diameter, and satellite nodules were the risk factors related to AFP normalization. The regular follow-up and early detection of recurrent HCCs that are suitable for curative therapies, such as resurgery and radiofrequency ablation, might improve the prognoses. Other therapies, such as transcatheter arterial chemoembolization, might also be effective.

Alpha-foetoprotein (AFP): A multi-purpose marker in hepatocellular carcinoma

Alpha-foetoprotein (AFP), one of the first protein tumour markers discovered, is widely used today in clinical practice. Its application for the screening and diagnosis of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), the most frequent form of primary liver tumour, is a matter of extensive debate. In addition to the studies focused on the role of the AFP in the diagnosis of HCC, in recent years AFP has been used to guide the therapeutic choice in HCC and monitor the treatment. Here, we summarize the latest studies that show the interest of AFP quantification in determining the suitability of liver transplantation or to follow-up on patients receiving the targeted treatment sorafenib. We also highlight the recent studies showing the active role of AFP in tumour progression, and the new modes of regulation of this tumour marker. Among these is the regulation of AFP through tumour proteostasis and the Unfolded Protein Response (UPR). We discuss the implications of this new knowledge in the therapeutic context, in terms of interpreting serum levels of AFP, and the new perspectives offered by AFP for the study of tumour proteostasis.