Role of ‘angle of progression’ in prediction of delivery mode

Automated Approach for Enhancing Fetal Head Station Assessment in Labor with Transperineal Ultrasound

RATIONALE AND OBJECTIVES

Accurate assessment of fetal head station (FHS) is crucial during labor management to reduce the risk of complications and plan the mode of delivery. Although digital vaginal examination (DVE) has been associated with inaccuracies in FHS assessment, ultrasound (US) evaluation remains dependent on sonographer expertise. This study aimed at investigating the reliability and accuracy of an automatic approach to assess the FHS during labor with transperineal US (TPU).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

In this prospective observational study, 27 pregnant women in the second stage of labor, with fetuses in cephalic presentation, underwent conventional labor management with additional TPU examination. A total of 45 2D B-mode TPU acquisitions were performed at different FHS, before performing DVE. The FHS was assessed by the algorithm (FHSaut) on TPU images and by DVE (FHSdig). The sonographic assessment of FHS by expert sonographer (FHSexp) on the same TPU acquisition used for the automatic measurement served as gold standard. The performance and accuracy were assessed through Spearman's ρ, the coefficient of determination (R2), root mean square error (RMSE), and Bland-Altman analysis.

RESULTS

A strong correlation between FHSaut and FHSexp (ρ = 0.97, p < 0.001) and a high coefficient of determination (R2 = 0.95) were found. A lower correlation with FHSexp (ρ = 0.66, p < 0.001) and coefficient of determination (R2 = 0.52) was found for DVE. Moreover, the RMSE reported higher accuracy of FHSaut (RMSE = 0.32 cm) compared to FHSdig (RMSE = 0.97 cm). Bland-Altman analysis showed that the algorithm performed with smaller bias and narrower limits of agreement compared to DVE.

CONCLUSION

The proposed algorithm can evaluate FHS with high accuracy and low RMSE. This approach could facilitate the use of US in labor, supporting the clinical staff in labor management.

A machine learning model to predict spontaneous vaginal delivery failure for term nulliparous women: An observational study

OBJECTIVE

This study aims to construct and evaluate a model to predict spontaneous vaginal delivery (SVD) failure in term nulliparous women based on machine learning algorithms.

METHODS

In this retrospective observational study, data on nulliparous women without contraindications for vaginal delivery with a singleton pregnancy ≥37 weeks and before the onset of labor from September 2020 to September 2021 were divided into a training set and a temporal validation set. Transperineal ultrasound was performed to collect angle of progression, head-perineum distance, subpubic arch angle, and their levator hiatal dimensions. The cervical length was measured via transvaginal ultrasound. The delivery methods were later recorded. Through LASSO regression analysis, indicators that can affect SVD failure were selected. Seven common machine learning algorithms were selected for model training, and the optimal algorithm was selected based on the area under the curve (AUC) to evaluate the effectiveness of the validation model.

RESULTS

Four indicators related to SVD failure were identified through LASSO regression screening: angle of progression, cervical length, subpubic arch angle, and estimated fetal weight. The Gaussian NB algorithm was found to yield the highest AUC (0.82, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.65-0.98) during model training, and hence it was chosen for verification with the temporal validation set, in which an AUC of 0.79 (95% CI 0.64-0.95) was obtained with accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity rates of 80.9%, 72.7%, and 75.0%, respectively.

CONCLUSION

The Gaussian NB model showed good predictive effect, proving its potential as a clinical reference for predicting SVD failure of term nulliparous women before actual delivery.

Predictive Value of Angle of Progression in Term Nulliparous Women: A Comprehensive Study on Spontaneous Vaginal Delivery Correlation and Clinical Implications

OBJECTIVES

This study aims to explore the correlation between the angle of progression (AOP) and spontaneous vaginal delivery (SVD) for term nulliparous women before the onset of labor. Additionally, it evaluates the diagnostic efficacy of AOP in predicting SVD in term nulliparous women.

METHODS

In this retrospective observational study, data from nulliparous women without contraindications for vaginal delivery, with a singleton pregnancy ≥37 weeks, and before the onset of labor were included. Transperineal ultrasound was performed to collect AOP. The date and mode of delivery were tracked, to assess the correlation between AOP and SVD in term nulliparous women. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was used to evaluate the diagnostic efficacy of AOP in predicting SVD for term nulliparous women.

RESULTS

The SVD-failure (SVD-f) group exhibited a significantly lower AOP compared with the SVD group (88.43° vs 95.72°, P < .001). Logistic regression analysis revealed that AOP was associated with SVD in term nulliparous women (OR = 1.051). ROC curve analysis demonstrated that the area under the ROC curve with AOP 84° as the threshold was 0.663, with a sensitivity of 85.25% and specificity of 43.18%. Considering a sensitivity and specificity of 90%, the dual cut-off values for term nulliparous women for SVD were 81° and 104°, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

A positive correlation was identified between AOP and SVD for nulliparous women after 37 weeks and before the onset of labor. Notably, term nulliparous women with AOP exceeding 104° exhibited a higher probability of SVD.

Prediction of spontaneous vaginal delivery in the prolonged second stage using the delta angle of progression

BACKGROUND

It is clinically challenging to determine when to intervene in the prolonged second stage. Although individualized prediction of spontaneous vaginal delivery is crucial to avoid maternal and neonatal complications associated with operative deliveries, the approach has not been fully established.

OBJECTIVE

We aimed to evaluate the predictability of spontaneous vaginal delivery using the difference in angle of progression between pushing and rest, delta angle of progression, to establish a novel method to predict spontaneous vaginal delivery during the prolonged second stage in nulliparous women with epidural anesthesia.

STUDY DESIGN

We retrospectively analyzed deliveries of nulliparous women with epidural anesthesia between September 2018 and October 2023. Women were included if their delta angle of progression during the second stage was available. Operative deliveries were defined as the cases that required forceps, vacuum, and cesarean deliveries due to labor arrest. Women requiring operative deliveries due to fetal and maternal concerns, or women with fetal occiput posterior presentation were excluded. The second stage was stratified into the prolonged second stage, the period after 3 hours in the second stage, and the normal second stage, the period from the beginning until the third hour of the second stage. The association of the delta angle of the progression measured during each stage with spontaneous vaginal delivery and operative deliveries was investigated. Furthermore, the predictability of spontaneous vaginal delivery was evaluated by combining the delta and rest angle of progression.

RESULTS

A total of 129 women were eligible for analysis. The delta angle of progression measured during the prolonged second stage and normal second stage were significantly larger in women who achieved spontaneous vaginal delivery compared to operative deliveries (p<.001 and p<.05, respectively). During the prolonged second stage, a cutoff of 18.8 derived from the receiver operative characteristic curves in the context of the delta angle of progression predicted the possibility of spontaneous vaginal delivery (sensitivity, 81.8%; specificity, 60.0%; AUC, 0.76). Combining the rest angle of progression (>140) and delta angle of progression (>18.8) also provided quantitative prediction of spontaneous vaginal delivery (sensitivity, 86.7%; specificity, 70.0%; AUC, 0.80).

CONCLUSION

The delta angle of progression alone or in combination with the rest angle of progression can be used to predict spontaneous vaginal delivery in the second stage in nulliparous women with epidural anesthesia. Quantitative analysis of the effect of pushing using the delta angle of progression provides an objective guide to assist with an assessment of labor dystocia in the prolonged second stage on an individualized basis, which may optimize labor management in the prolonged second stage by reducing neonatal and maternal complications related to unnecessary operative deliveries and prolonged second stage of labor.

Ultrasonographic Evaluation of the Second Stage of Labor according to the Mode of Delivery: A Prospective Study in Greece

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

Accurate diagnosis of labor progress is crucial for making well-informed decisions regarding timely and appropriate interventions to optimize outcomes for both the mother and the fetus. The aim of this study was to assess the progress of the second stage of labor using intrapartum ultrasound.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

This was a prospective study (December 2022-December 2023) conducted at the Third Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, School of Medicine, Faculty of Health Sciences, Aristotle University of Thessaloniki, Greece. Maternal-fetal and labor characteristics were recorded, and two ultrasound parameters were measured: the angle of progression (AoP) and the head-perineum distance (HPD). The correlation between the two ultrasonographic values and the maternal-fetal characteristics was investigated. Multinomial regression analysis was also conducted to investigate any potential predictors of the mode of delivery.

RESULTS

A total of 82 women at the second stage of labor were clinically and sonographically assessed. The mean duration of the second stage of labor differed between vaginal and cesarean deliveries (65.3 vs. 160 min; p-value < 0.001) and between cesarean and operative vaginal deliveries (160 vs. 88.6 min; p-value = 0.015). The occiput anterior position was associated with an increased likelihood of vaginal delivery (OR: 24.167; 95% CI: 3.8-152.5; p-value < 0.001). No significant differences were identified in the AoP among the three different modes of delivery (vaginal: 145.7° vs. operative vaginal: 139.9° vs. cesarean: 132.1°; p-value = 0.289). The mean HPD differed significantly between vaginal and cesarean deliveries (28.6 vs. 41.4 mm; p-value < 0.001) and between cesarean and operative vaginal deliveries (41.4 vs. 26.9 mm; p-value = 0.002); it was correlated significantly with maternal BMI (r = 0.268; p-value = 0.024) and the duration of the second stage of labor (r = 0.256; p-value = 0.031). Low parity (OR: 12.024; 95% CI: 6.320-22.876; p-value < 0.001) and high HPD (OR: 1.23; 95% CI: 1.05-1.43; p-value = 0.007) were found to be significant predictors of cesarean delivery.

CONCLUSIONS

The use of intrapartum ultrasound as an adjunctive technique to the standard clinical evaluation may enhance the diagnostic approach to an abnormal labor progress and predict the need for operative vaginal or cesarean delivery.

Intrapartum transperineal ultrasound: angle of progression to evaluate and predict the mode of delivery and labor progression

Intrapartum ultrasonography serves as a valuable tool for the objective evaluation of labor progression and effectively identifies underlying factors, such as asynclitism, in cases of abnormal labor progression. Among the various ultrasound measurement techniques, the angle of progression (AOP) demonstrates favorable reproducibility and accuracy in assessing fetal head descent. In the context of abnormal labor, interventions differ across different stages of labor, emphasizing the importance of investigating the utility of AOP according to labor stages in this review article. Pre-labor assessment of AOP can be beneficial in terms of counseling for the timing of induction of labor, while a wider AOP value during the prolonged first stage of labor has demonstrated a positive correlation with successful vaginal delivery and shorter time to delivery. In the second stage of labor, the AOP has exhibited efficacy in predicting the mode of delivery and complicated operative deliveries. Furthermore, it has assisted in predicting the duration of labor, thereby highlighting its potential as a decision-making model for labor progression. However, further research is needed to investigate aspects, such as the determination of cutoff values, of AOP, considering the multifaceted characteristics of labor progression, which are influenced by complex interactions among maternal, fetal, and other contributing factors.

The sonopartogram

The assessment of labor progress from digital vaginal examination has remained largely unchanged for at least a century, despite the current major advances in maternal and perinatal care. Although inconsistently reproducible, the findings from digital vaginal examination are customarily plotted manually on a partogram, which is composed of a graphical representation of labor, together with maternal and fetal observations. The partogram has been developed to aid recognition of failure to labor progress and guide management-specific obstetrical intervention. In the last decade, the use of ultrasound in the delivery room has increased with the advent of more powerful, portable ultrasound machines that have become more readily available for use. Although ultrasound in intrapartum practice is predominantly used for acute management, an ultrasound-based partogram, a sonopartogram, might represent an objective tool for the graphical representation of labor. Demonstrating greater accuracy for fetal head position and more objectivity in the assessment of fetal head station, it could be considered complementary to traditional clinical assessment. The development of the sonopartogram concept would require further undertaking of serial measurements. Advocates of ultrasound will concede that its use has yet to demonstrate a difference in obstetrical and neonatal morbidity in the context of the management of labor and delivery. Taking a step beyond the descriptive graphical representation of labor progress is the question of whether a specific combination of clinical and demographic parameters might be used to inform knowledge of labor outcomes. Intrapartum cesarean deliveries and deliveries assisted by forceps and vacuum are all associated with a heightened risk of maternal and perinatal adverse outcomes. Although these outcomes cannot be precisely predicted, many known risk factors exist. Malposition and high station of the fetal head, short maternal stature, and other factors, such as caput succedaneum, are all implicated in operative delivery; however, the contribution of individual parameters based on clinical and ultrasound assessments has not been quantified. Individualized risk prediction models, including maternal characteristics and ultrasound findings, are increasingly used in women's health-for example, in preeclampsia or trisomy screening. Similarly, intrapartum cesarean delivery models have been developed with good prognostic ability in specifically selected populations. For intrapartum ultrasound to be of prognostic value, robust, externally validated prediction models for labor outcome would inform delivery management and allow shared decision-making with parents.

Can assessing the angle of progression before labor onset assist to predict vaginal birth after cesarean?: A prospective cohort observational study

OBJECTIVE

To assess whether pre-labor measurement of the angle of progression (AOP) can assist in predicting a successful vaginal birth after cesarean in women without a previous vaginal birth.

METHODS

A prospective observational cohort study performed in a single tertiary center including women at term with a single previous cesarean delivery (CD), without prior vaginal births, who desire a trial of labor. Transperineal ultrasound was used to measure the AOP before the onset of labor. The managing staff in the delivery suite was blinded to the ultrasound measurements. Clinical data and delivery outcome were retrieved from medical records. The study was approved by the institutional ethics committee (KMC 0117-10).

RESULTS

Of the 111 women included in the study, 67 (60.4%) had a successful vaginal birth after CD. Women were sonographically assessed at a median of 3 days [interquartile range (IQR) 1-3 days] prior to delivery. The median AOP was significantly narrower in women who eventually underwent a CD than in those who delivered vaginally (88°, IQR 78-96° vs. 99°, IQR 89-107°, respectively; p < .001). An AOP >98° (derived from a receiver operating characteristic curve) was associated with a successful vaginal birth after CD in 87.5% of women. Multivariable regression analysis demonstrated that each additional 1° in the AOP increases the chance for a successful vaginal birth after CD by 6%.

CONCLUSIONS

Pre-labor AOP may be a useful sonographic tool for predicting vaginal birth after CD and can assist in consulting primiparous women with a prior CD opting for a trial of labor.

Intrapartum ultrasound measurement of angle of progression at the onset of the second stage of labor for prediction of spontaneous vaginal delivery in term singleton pregnancies: a systematic review and meta-analysis

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to investigate the diagnostic performance of transperineal ultrasound-measured angles of progression at the onset of the second stage of labor for the prediction of spontaneous vaginal delivery in singleton term pregnancies with cephalic presentation.

DATA SOURCES

We performed a predefined systematic search in PubMed, Embase, Scopus, Web of Science, and Google Scholar from inception to February 5, 2021.

STUDY ELIGIBILITY CRITERIA

Prospective cohort studies that evaluated the diagnostic performance of transperineal ultrasound-measured angles of progression (index test) at the onset of the second stage of labor (ie, when complete cervical dilation is diagnosed) for the prediction of spontaneous vaginal delivery (reference standard) were eligible for inclusion. Eligible studies were limited to those published as full-text articles in the English language and those that included only parturients with a singleton healthy fetus at term with cephalic presentation.

STUDY APPRAISAL AND SYNTHESIS METHODS

Study quality was assessed using the Quality Assessment of Diagnostic Accuracy Studies 2 tool. Summary receiver operating characteristic curves, pooled sensitivities and specificities, area under the curve, and summary likelihood ratios were calculated using the Stata software. Subgroup analyses were done based on angle of progression ranges of 108° to 119°, 120° to 140°, and 141° to 153°.

RESULTS

A total of 8 studies reporting on 887 pregnancies were included. Summary estimates of the sensitivity and specificity of transperineal ultrasound-measured angle of progression at the onset of the second stage of labor for predicting spontaneous vaginal delivery were 94% (95% confidence interval, 88%-97%) and 47% (95% confidence interval, 18%-78%), respectively, for an angle of progression of 108° to 119°, 81% (95% confidence interval, 70%-89%) and 73% (95% confidence interval, 57%-85%), respectively, for an angle of progression of 120° to 140°, and 66% (95% confidence interval, 56%-74%) and 82% (95% confidence interval, 66%-92%), respectively, for an angle of progression of 141° to 153°. Likelihood ratio syntheses gave overall positive likelihood ratios of 1.8 (95% confidence interval, 1-3.3), 3 (95% confidence interval, 2-4.7), and 3.7 (95% confidence interval, 1.7-8.1) and negative likelihood ratios of 0.13 (95% confidence interval, 0.07-0.22), 0.26 (95% confidence interval, 0.18-0.38), and 0.42 (95% confidence interval, 0.29-0.60) for angle of progression ranges of 108° to 119°, 120° to 140°, and 141° to 153°, respectively.

CONCLUSION

Angle of progression measured by transperineal ultrasound at the onset of the second stage of labor may predict spontaneous vaginal delivery in singleton, term, cephalic presenting pregnancies and has the potential to be used along with physical examinations and other clinical factors in the management of labor and delivery.

Association between ultrasound measured angle of progression and remaining time in labor: a systematic review

OBJECTIVES

To evaluate the association between ultrasound measured angle of progression (AoP) during labor and time to delivery (TTD) or second stage of labor duration (SSLD).

METHODS

This systematic review (SR) was reported according to PRISMA statement 2020. Databases investigated were MEDLINE, CINHAL, Embase, Scopus, Web of Science. Other sources were references or related articles of included studies, Google Scholar, clinicaltrials.gov, thesis, expert groups. Main keywords: angle of progression, transperineal ultrasound, delivery, labor. Inclusion criteria were observational studies, single term pregnancy, cephalic presentation, AoP measurement during the first stage of labor or at the beginning of the second stage, without date restrictions. Language included: English, Italian, French, Spanish. Studies selection, evaluation of the risk of bias with Quality in Prognosis Studies (QUIPS) tool, and data extraction were carried out by two authors blindly and independently, with disagreement resolution by a third author. Qualitative summary of the results. This SR was registered on PROSPERO, number CDR42021232015.

RESULTS

Of 428 records, 14 were included, published from 2009 to 2021, cumulatively analyzing 2498 women. All studies highlighted an inverse relationship between AoP and TTD. Some have identified an AoP cutoff, contained in a range between 110° and 129°, beyond which the duration of labor is significantly shorter. Others, a range between 137° and 160°, beyond which the duration of the expulsive period is significantly shorter. Finally, some factors influence this association: parity, epidural, and oxytocin.

CONCLUSIONS

This SR confirms a significant association between AoP in labor and TTD. In clinical practice, AoP could help to predict the duration of labor, facilitating decision-making. The main limitations of this SR were the low number of included studies, their heterogeneity, and the high risk of bias related to confounding factors. For future research, further studies are needed to increase the strength of the evidence, obtain stratified results according to patients' characteristics and investigate groups of patients who have not yet been evaluated.

Can ultrasound on admission in active labor predict labor duration and a spontaneous delivery?

BACKGROUND

Identifying predictive factors for a normal outcome at admission in the labor ward would be of value for planning labor care, timing interventions, and preventing labor dystocia. Clinical assessments of fetal head station and position at the start of labor have some predictive value, but the value of ultrasound methods for this purpose has not been investigated. Studies using transperineal ultrasound before labor onset show possibilities of using these methods to predict outcomes.

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to investigate whether ultrasound measurements during the first examination in the active phase of labor were associated with the duration of labor phases and the need for operative delivery.

STUDY DESIGN

This was a secondary analysis of a prospective cohort study at Landspitali University Hospital, Reykjavík, Iceland. Nulliparous women at ≥37 weeks' gestation with a single fetus in cephalic presentation and in active spontaneous labor were eligible for the study. The recruitment period was from January 2016 to April 2018. Women were examined by a midwife on admission and included in the study if they were in active labor, which was defined as regular contractions with a fully effaced cervix, dilatation of ≥4 cm. An ultrasound examination was performed by a separate examiner within 15 minutes; both examiners were blinded to the other's results. Transabdominal and transperineal ultrasound examinations were used to assess fetal head position, cervical dilatation, and fetal head station, expressed as head-perineum distance and angle of progression. Duration of labor was estimated as the hazard ratio for spontaneous delivery using Kaplan-Meier curves and Cox regression analysis. The hazard ratios were adjusted for maternal age and body mass index. The associations between study parameters and mode of delivery were evaluated using receiver operating characteristic curves.

RESULTS

Median times to spontaneous delivery were 490 minutes for a head-perineum distance of ≤45 mm and 682 minutes for a head-perineum distance of >45 mm (log-rank test, P=.009; adjusted hazard ratio for a shorter head-perineum distance, 1.47 [95% confidence interval, 0.83-2.60]). The median durations were 506 minutes for an angle of progression of ≥93° and 732 minutes for an angle of progression of <93° (log-rank test, P=.008; adjusted hazard ratio, 2.07 [95% confidence interval, 1.15-3.72]). The median times to delivery were 506 minutes for nonocciput posterior positions and 677 minutes for occiput posterior positions (log-rank test, P=.07; adjusted hazard ratio, 1.52 [95% confidence interval, 0.96-2.38]) Median times to delivery were 429 minutes for a dilatation of ≥6 cm and 704 minutes for a dilatation of 4 to 5 cm (log-rank test, P=.002; adjusted hazard ratio, 3.11 [95% confidence interval, 1.68-5.77]). Overall, there were 75 spontaneous deliveries; among those deliveries, 16 were instrumental vaginal deliveries (1 forceps delivery and 15 ventouse deliveries), and 8 were cesarean deliveries. Head-perineum distance and angle of progression were associated with a spontaneous delivery with area under the receiver operating characteristic curves of 0.68 (95% confidence interval, 0.55-0.80) and 0.67 (95% confidence interval, 0.55-0.80), respectively. Ultrasound measurement of cervical dilatation or position at inclusion was not significantly associated with spontaneous delivery.

CONCLUSION

Ultrasound examinations showed that fetal head station and cervical dilatation were associated with the duration of labor; however, measurements of fetal head station were the variables best associated with operative deliveries.

Assessment of the angle of progression and distance perineum-head in the prediction of type of delivery and duration of labor using intrapartum ultrasonography

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the relevance of the angle of progression (AOP) and head-perineum distance (HPD) for predicting the type of delivery and duration of the second stage of labor using intrapartum ultrasonography.

METHODS

In total, 221 women in labor with a single gestational sac at ≥37 weeks of gestation and fetuses in cephalic presentation underwent two-dimensional ultrasonography by transperineal route for measurements of AOP and HPD. Correlations between the type of delivery (vaginal or surgical (cesarean section and forceps)), duration of the second stage of labor, and fetal and maternal characteristics were assessed. AOP and HPD variables were separately studied in the first and second stages of labor. Multivariate logistic regression was followed in stages to identify the predictors for the surgical delivery outcome - stepwise forward method.

RESULTS

In total, 153 (69.2%) women underwent vaginal deliveries, 7 (3.2%) underwent forceps deliveries, and 61 (27.6%) underwent cesarean deliveries. AOP was a statistically significant parameter in first and second stages of labor (107.8 ± 12.1° versus 100.8 ± 13.7°; p = .017), with an inverse correlation with the occurrence of vaginal delivery. HPD was a statistically significant parameter in the second stage of labor (3.42 ± 0.84 cm versus 4.17 ± 0.54 cm; p < .003), with a direct correlation with the occurrence of surgical delivery. The value of AOP that optimized the curve was 129.9° with 85% specificity and 63% sensitivity for the vaginal delivery endpoint. The value of HPD that optimized the curve was 4.3 cm with 69% specificity and 89% sensitivity for the surgical delivery endpoint. In the first phase, the variables defining the type of delivery were the following: height, body mass index, and AOP. In the second phase, the variables defining were the following: height, labor analgesia, HPD, and position of the fetal occiput.

CONCLUSION

AOP and HPD determined by intrapartum ultrasonography were associated with duration of labor, which may aid in predicting the type of delivery in association with clinical parameters.