Characteristics of paediatric frequent presenters at emergency departments: A whole-of-population study

Defining a threshold above which an adult can be considered to frequently use ambulance services: a retrospective cross-sectional study of emergency calls to an ambulance service in England

Objective

There is no empirical definition of adult frequent use of ambulance services. This study aimed to define a threshold, and utilise this to explore characteristics of people frequently using services.

Methods

This was a retrospective cross-sectional study in a single ambulance service in England. Routinely collected, pseudo-anonymised call- and patient-level data were collected for two months (January and June 2019). Incidents, defined as independent episodes of care, were analysed using a zero-truncated Poisson regression model to determine a suitable frequent-use threshold, with comparisons subsequently made between frequent and non-frequent users.

Results

A total of 101,356 incidents involving 83,994 patients were included in the analysis. Two potentially appropriate thresholds were identified: five incidents per month (A); and six incidents per month (B). Threshold A produced 3137 incidents from 205 patients, with five patients likely false-positive identifications. Threshold B produced 2217 incidents from 95 patients, with no false-positive identifications but 100 false-negatives compared to threshold A. Regardless of threshold, frequent users compared to non-frequent users had relatively reduced service use between 08:00 and 15:00, were younger and were more likely to receive lower-priority responses (all p < 0.001). We identified several chief complaints indicative of increased frequent use, including chest pain, psychiatric/suicide attempt and abdominal pains/problems.

Conclusions

We suggest a threshold of five incidents per month, with recognition that a small number of patients may be incorrectly identified as using ambulance services frequently. The rationale for this choice is discussed. This threshold may be applicable in wider UK settings and could be used for the routine automated identification of people using ambulance services frequently. The identified characteristics can help inform interventions. Future research should examine applicability of this threshold in other UK ambulance services and countries where patterns and determinants of frequent ambulance use may differ.

Can social risks in early life predict children’s health and academic outcomes? An analysis of the Longitudinal Study of Australian Children

Exposure to social risk in early life negatively impacts the health and wellbeing of children. While screening for social determinants of health is recommended, there is little evidence that identifying social risk early in life predicts longer-term poorer outcomes. The purpose of this study is to examine the extent to which assessing social risk using a standardized tool in young children up to age 6 years might predict poor health and academic performance at 10–11 years old. The social risk domains studied were housing instability, food insecurity, financial strain, transport problems, safety, lack of support and unemployment. The predictive validity of these social risk domains measured at 0–5 years was examined using data from the Longitudinal Study of Australian Children. Outcomes at 10–11 years included ongoing diseases and mental health conditions, hospitalization, injury, dental problems, overweight or obesity and academic achievement. Financial strain and inability to access support were the most sensitive measures of poor outcomes. Across all social risks, the positive predictive value was highest for academic outcomes. Across all domains, there was higher sensitivity for children with 2 or more social risks. Items in the social risk screening tool were moderate predictors of academic outcomes, but weak predictors of health outcomes at 10–11 years. This data will be useful for informing screening for social determinants of health.

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Social risks from 0 to 5 y were moderate predictors of 8-year-old school assessments.

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Financial strain and a lack of social support had modest sensitivity.

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Sensitivity is increased by applying a threshold of 2 or more social risks.

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The positive predictive value of social needs was highest for academic outcomes.

The Tasmanian Conception to Community (C2C) Study Database 2008-09 to 2013-14: Using linked health administrative data to address each piece in the puzzle

BACKGROUND

Tasmania, Australia has a small widely dispersed regional and rural population. The Conception to Community (C2C) Study Database was established as a research platform to inform service planning and policy development and improve health outcomes for Tasmanian mothers and children. The aims of this study were to establish by maternal socio-demographic characteristics: 1) the distribution of births in Tasmania; 2) hospital utilisation for children from birth to 5-years; and 3) the association between child and maternal emergency department (ED) presentation rates.

METHODS

Perinatal and public hospital ED and admitted patient data were linked for every child born in Tasmania between 2008-09 to 2013-14, and their mothers. Individualised rates of ED presentations and hospital admissions were calculated from birth to 5-years. Frequent presenters to ED were defined as having at least four presentations per annum. Ratios of ED presentation and hospital admission rates by sociodemographic characteristics (region (north, north-west, south), rurality, maternal age, and area socioeconomic disadvantage) were estimated using mixed-effects negative binomial models, with random intercepts for each child and family.

RESULTS

The C2C Database is comprised of records for 37,041 children and 27,532 mothers. One-in-ten Tasmanian babies lived in a remote area. The mean yearly rate of ED presentations per child varied by sex, age, region and rurality. Frequent presenters were more likely to reside in the north-west or north, in urban areas, have mothers under 20- years, be male, and live in more disadvantaged areas, with 2.3% of children frequent presenters in their first year of life. The odds of a child being a frequent presenter during their first-year was 6.1- times higher if the mother was a frequent presenter during this period.

CONCLUSION

Associations between maternal and child health service use and combined effects of regionality and rurality highlight opportunities for targeted intervention and service innovations.