The role of race in rural-urban suicide disparities

Development and validation of a prognostic index for mental health and substance use disorder burden

OBJECTIVE

To develop an accessible index which quantifies MHSUD burden among patients of Veterans Affairs hospitals.

METHOD

We used 21 disorder categories provided by the diagnostic and statistical manual (DSM) to characterize diagnoses among primary care (PC) patients. For each patient, we generated counts of unique disorder categories present during the PC encounter or in the year prior. We used these counts to generate multiple indexes, which we compared in a 60% training sample of our population. Using model fit statistics generated from ordered multinomial logistic regressions, we identified the subset of DSM categories which, structured as index, were most predictive of MHSUD hospitalization and death. We validated and fine-tuned the form of the selected index in the full population using measures of calibration and discrimination.

RESULTS

In model development, the index (I-6) which best fit the data (R2 = 0.191) included the following six disorder categories: substance use, depressive, psychotic, bipolar, trauma, and personality. When applied in the full population and weighted by disorder severity, this index demonstrated good predictive discrimination for MHSUD death (C = 0.66) and hospitalization (C = 0.88) and was well calibrated in comparisons of observed versus predicted outcomes.

CONCLUSIONS

We recommend the I-6 as a parsimonious and effective tool for MHSUD burden risk adjustment.

Rural and Urban Hispanic Patients of the Veterans Health Administration

Hispanic Veterans are the largest growing racial and ethnic minority group in the Veterans Health Administration (VA) system. Though recent research has found increasing suicide rates in this population and a growing rural-urban disparity, literature on core population characteristics remains sparse. We used extensive patient demographic and clinical data from VA's electronic medical record repository to examine geographic and longitudinal variation in Hispanic VA patients from 2001 to 2018. As the first such detailed characterization of this population, this study was largely descriptive in nature, and included heatmaps of Hispanic patient residence across rural and urban US counties, along with descriptive measures of patient characteristics by rurality, and first year of VA use. We found that Hispanic patients (n = 722,893) represented 5.2% of new VA users between 2001 and 2018, a proportion which grew nearly 90% from 4.0% (2001-2006) to 7.5% (2013-2018). Hispanic patients were largely White, male, under age 50, and had minimal illness or disability. The highest prevalence of Hispanic patients was in the Southwest US/Mexico border region, while the Midwest experienced the largest growth of Hispanic patients. Rural Hispanic patients were more likely to be older, male, and to live in areas characterized by small foreign-born populations and high socioeconomic deprivation. Compared with Hispanic patients entering the VA system in 2001-2006, patients in 2013-2018 were younger, more likely to be female, and to live in urban areas. These findings illustrate the wide range of demographic, clinical, and geographic experiences in the growing VA Hispanic population and demonstrate that culturally competent care for Hispanic Veterans must reflect their intra-ethnic diversity.

Examination of increasing suicide rates among rural Hispanic VA patients

PURPOSE

Death by suicide is increasing more rapidly among Hispanics than non-Hispanics who use United States Department of Veterans Affairs (VA) health services, and the increase is most rapid among those living in rural areas. Our goal was to identify characteristics of rural Hispanic VA patients that contribute to this emerging disparity.

METHODS

We linked electronic medical records from the VA, personnel data from the US Department of Defense, mortality data from the US National Death Index, and data on area characteristics from the US Census Bureau to examine suicide trends among Hispanic VA patients from 2005 through 2019. After identifying the strongest predictors of suicide in the rural and urban Hispanic populations, we examined how those characteristics changed over time.

FINDINGS

Age and sex-adjusted suicide mortality rates were consistently higher for rural versus urban Hispanic patients beginning in 2012, with the most recent rolling 5-year average rates being 31.0 per 100,000 for rural compared to 20.3 per 100,000 for urban in 2019. Models to predict suicide had fair performance in the rural (accuracy = 0.62, 95% CI: 0.51, 0.73) and urban (accuracy = 0.67, 95% CI: 0.63, 0.70) groups. Mental health diagnoses were predictive of suicide among rural Hispanic patients, but there was no evidence that mental health diagnoses were increasing more rapidly in rural compared to urban patients.

CONCLUSIONS

While we confirmed that there is a higher rate of death by suicide among rural Hispanic VA patients relative to their urban counterparts, we were unable to identify clear drivers of this finding.

Rural-Urban Comparisons in the Rates of Self-Harm, U.S., 2018

INTRODUCTION

This study compares rural and urban differences in the rates of nonfatal self-harm in the U.S. in 2018.

METHODS

Nationwide Emergency Department Sample and Census data were analyzed to calculate the RR of emergency department visits for self-harm between rural and urban residents. The analyses were conducted in 2021.

RESULTS

Among a weighted total of 488,000 emergency department visits for self-harm in the U.S., 80.5% were urban residents, and 18.3% were rural residents. In both settings, poisoning was the most common mechanism for self-harm, followed by cutting. Firearm-related self-harm and suffocation each accounted for <2% of total self-harm cases. Overall, the age-adjusted emergency department visit rate for self-harm was 252.3 per 100,000 for rural residents, which was 1.5 (95% CI=1.4, 1.6) times greater than the rate for urban residents (170.8 per 100,000 residents). The rates of self-harm among rural residents were higher than those of urban residents for both male and female residents, for all age groups except people aged ≥65 years, and by all mechanisms.

CONCLUSIONS

Comprehensive suicide prevention strategies tailored to rural communities may mitigate the rural-urban disparity in morbidity from suicidal behavior.