Evaluation and comparison of thirty noninvasive models for diagnosing liver fibrosis in chinese hepatitis B patients

Liver fibrosis as a predictor of liver failure and outcome following ALPPS among patients with primary liver cancer

The influence of liver fibrosis on the rate of liver regeneration and complications following ALPPS has yet to be fully understood. This study aimed to scrutinize the effects of liver fibrosis on the postoperative complications, and prognosis subsequent to ALPPS. Clinical data were collected from patients with primary liver cancer who underwent ALPPS at Peking Union Medical College Hospital between May 2014 and October 2022. The degree of liver fibrosis was assessed using haematoxylin-eosin staining and Sirius red staining. This study encompassed thirty patients who underwent ALPPS for primary liver cancer, and there were 23 patients with hepatocellular carcinoma, 5 with cholangiocarcinoma, and 2 with combined hepatocellular-cholangiocarcinoma. The impact of severe liver fibrosis on the rate of liver regeneration was not statistically significant (P = 0.892). All patients with severe complications belonged to the severe liver fibrosis group. Severe liver fibrosis exhibited a significant association with 90 days mortality (P = 0.014) and overall survival (P = 0.012). Severe liver fibrosis emerges as a crucial risk factor for liver failure and perioperative mortality following the second step of ALPPS. Preoperative liver function impairment is an important predictive factor for postoperative liver failure.

A non-invasive diagnostic nomogram for CHB-related early cirrhosis: a prospective study

This study aimed to construct a non-invasive diagnostic nomogram based on high-frequency ultrasound and magnetic resonance imaging results for early liver cirrhosis patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB) which cannot be detected by conventional non-invasive examination methods but can only be diagnosed through invasive liver puncture for pathological examination. 72 patients with CHB were enrolled in this prospective study, and divided into S4 stage of liver cirrhosis and S0-S3 stage of non-liver cirrhosis according to pathological findings. Binary logistic regression analysis was performed to identify independent predictors, and a diagnostic nomogram was constructed for CHB-related early cirrhosis. It was validated and calibrated by bootstrap self-extraction. Binary logistic regression analysis showed that age (OR 1.14, 95% CI (1.04-1.27)), right hepatic vein diameter (OR 0.43, 95% CI 0.23-0.82), presence or absence of nodules (OR 31.98, 95% CI 3.84-266.08), and hepatic parenchymal echogenicity grading (OR 12.82, 95% CI 2.12-77.51) were identified as independent predictive indicators. The nomogram based on the 4 factors above showed good performance, with a sensitivity and specificity of 90.70% and 89.66%, respectively. The area under the curve (AUC) of the prediction model was 0.96, and the predictive model showed better predictive performance than APRI score (AUC 0.57), FIB-4 score (AUC 0.64), INPR score (AUC 0.63), and LSM score (AUC 0.67). The calibration curve of the prediction model fit well with the ideal curve, and the decision curve analysis showed that the net benefit of the model was significant. The nomogram in this study can detect liver cirrhosis in most CHB patients without liver biopsy, providing a direct, fast, and accurate practical diagnostic tool for clinical doctors.

Liver histological changes in untreated chronic hepatitis B patients in indeterminate phase

BACKGROUND

Studies with large size samples on the liver histological changes of indeterminate phase chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients were not previously conducted.

AIM

To assess the liver histological changes in the indeterminate phase CHB patients using liver biopsy.

METHODS

The clinical and laboratory data of 1532 untreated CHB patients were collected, and all patients had least once liver biopsy from January 2015 to December 2021. The significant differences among different phases of CHB infection were compared with t-test, and the risk factors of significant liver histological changes were analyzed by the multivariate logistic regression analysis.

RESULTS

Among 1532 untreated CHB patients, 814 (53.13%) patients were in the indeterminate phase. Significant liver histological changes (defined as biopsy score ≥ G2 and/or ≥ S2) were found in 488/814 (59.95%) CHB patients in the indeterminate phase. Significant liver histological changes were significant differences among different age, platelets (PLTs), and alanine aminotransferase (ALT) subgroup in indeterminate patient. Multivariate logistic regression analysis indicated that age ≥ 40 years old [adjust odd risk (aOR), 1.44; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.06-1.97; P = 0.02], PLTs ≤ 150 × 109/L (aOR, 2.99; 95%CI: 1.85-4.83; P < 0.0001), and ALT ≥ upper limits of normal (aOR, 1.48; 95%CI: 1.08, 2.05, P = 0.0163) were independent risk factors for significant liver histological changes in CHB patients in the indeterminate phase.

CONCLUSION

Our results suggested that significant liver histological changes were not rare among the untreated CHB patients in indeterminate phase, and additional strategies are urgently required for the management of these patients.

Research advances in serum chitinase-3-like protein 1 in liver fibrosis

While liver fibrosis remains a serious, progressive, chronic liver disease, and factors causing damage persist, liver fibrosis may develop into cirrhosis and liver cancer. However, short-term liver fibrosis is reversible. Therefore, an early diagnosis of liver fibrosis in the reversible transition phase is important for effective treatment of liver diseases. Chitinase-3-like protein 1 (CHI3L1), an inflammatory response factor that participates in various biological processes and is abundant in liver tissue, holds promise as a potential biomarker for liver diseases. Here, we aimed to review research developments regarding serum CHI3L1 in relation to the pathophysiology and diagnosis of liver fibrosis of various etiologies, providing a reference for the diagnosis, treatment, and prognosis of liver diseases.

Noninvasive Models to Assess Liver Inflammation and Fibrosis in Chronic HBV Infected Patients with Normal or Mildly Elevated Alanine Transaminase Levels: Which One Is Most Suitable?

The prevalence of substantial inflammation or fibrosis in treatment-naïve patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB) and normal alanine transaminase (ALT) levels is high. A retrospective analysis was conducted on 559 consecutive patients with hepatitis B virus infection, who underwent liver biopsy, to investigate the value of noninvasive models based on routine serum markers for evaluating liver histology in CHB patients with normal or mildly elevated ALT levels and to provide treatment guidance. After comparing 55 models, we identified the top three models that exhibited excellent performance. The APGA model, based on the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC), demonstrated a superior ability to evaluate significant (AUROC = 0.750) and advanced fibrosis (AUROC = 0.832) and demonstrated a good performance in assessing liver inflammation (AUROCs = 0.779 and 0.874 for stages G ≥ 2 and G ≥ 3, respectively). APGA also exhibited significant correlations with liver inflammation and fibrosis stage (correlation coefficients, 0.452 and 0.405, respectively (p < 0.001)). When the patients were stratified into groups based on HBeAg status and ALT level, APGA consistently outperformed the other 54 models. The other top two models, GAPI and XIE, also outperformed models based on other chronic hepatitis diseases. APGA may be the most suitable option for detecting liver fibrosis and inflammation in Chinese patients with CHB.

Guidelines for the Prevention and Treatment of Chronic Hepatitis B (version 2022)

To facilitate the achieving of the goal of "eliminating viral hepatitis as a major public health threat by 2030" set by the World Health Organization, the Chinese Society of Hepatology together with the Chinese Society of Infectious Diseases (both are branches of the Chinese Medical Association) organized a panel of experts and updated the guidelines for prevention and treatment of chronic hepatitis B in China (version 2022). With the support of available evidence, this revision of the guidelines focuses on active prevention, large scale testing, and expansion of therapeutic indication of chronic hepatitis B with the aim of reducing the hepatitis B related disease burden.

GPR, King's Score and S-Index are superior to other non-invasive fibrosis markers in predicting the liver fibrosis in chronic Hepatitis B patients

Background and study aims

In this study, we investigated the efficacy of nine non-invasive fibrosis markers in the assessment of the degree of fibrosis in patients with chronic Hepatitis B (CHB) in comparison with liver biopsy.

Patients and methods

A total of 1454 untreated CHB patients from two different centers who underwent liver biopsy were included in the study. Laboratory results of patients were reviewed retrospectively and the pathology slides were re-evaluated in accordance with the Ishak score. Degree of fibrosis ≥ 3 was accepted as "significant fibrosis", ≥ 4 as "advanced fibrosis", and ≥ 5 as cirrhosis. The diagnostic performance of the markers Aspartate aminotransferase to Platelet Ratio Index (APRI), Fibrosis-4 score (FIB-4), Aspartate aminotransferase to Alanine aminotransferase Ratio (AAR), AAR to Platelet Ratio Index (AAPRI), Gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase to Platelet Ratio (GPR), King's Score, Fibro quotient (Fibro-Q), S Index and Platelet to Lymphocyte Ratio (PLR) were evaluated with ROC analysis.

Results

In detecting significant fibrosis, APRI, GPR, King's Score and S Index had AUROC values over 0.70. For advanced fibrosis, all of the models except AAPRI; and for cirrhosis, all of the models had AUROC values over 0.70. In accordance with the chosen staging system, GPR, King's Score and S Index had high diagnostic efficacy whereas APRI, FIB-4, FibroQ and PLR had moderate diagnostic efficacy, AAR and AAPRI had low diagnostic efficacy.

Conclusions

GPR, King's Score and S Index had moderate diagnostic performance in detecting significant fibrosis and advanced fibrosis, and high diagnostic performance in detecting cirrhosis.

Advanced Liver Fibrosis Is Associated with Necroinflammatory Grade but Not Hepatic Steatosis in Chronic Hepatitis B Patients

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB) are at an increased risk of disease progression. The influence of hepatic steatosis (HS) to liver fibrosis was controversial. We aim to investigate the association between HS and liver fibrosis and explore the predicting factors for advanced fibrosis.

METHODS

CHB patients undergoing liver biopsy with complete assessments of HS, necroinflammation grade [histological activity index (HAI) score], and fibrosis stage were retrospectively recruited. Logistic regression analysis was performed to determine the factors associated with advanced liver fibrosis.

RESULTS

In this cohort of 672 patients, 342 (50.9%) had HS and 267 (39.4%) were of advanced liver fibrosis. Age [odds ratio (OR) 1.026, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.007-1.046, p = 0.008], body mass index (BMI, OR 1.091, 95% CI 1.026-1.159, p = 0.005), genotype (C vs. B) (OR 2.790, 95% CI 1.847-4.214, p < 0.001), platelet (OR 0.986, 95% CI 0.982-0.991, p < 0.001), and HAI score (OR 1.197, 95% CI 1.114-1.285, p < 0.001) were independent factors for advanced liver fibrosis in multivariate logistic regression analysis. HAI score was also a significantly associated factor for significant liver fibrosis in non-cirrhotic subpopulation (OR 1.578, 95% CI 1.375-1.810, p < 0.001). HS was not related to advanced/significant liver fibrosis in overall/non-cirrhotic population (p > 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

Significant or advanced liver fibrosis is associated with grade of necroinflammation but not with HS in CHB patients.

Development and evaluation of a novel noninvasive index for predicting significant fibrosis, advanced fibrosis, and cirrhosis in patients with chronic hepatitis B infection

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Development of noninvasive liver fibrosis indexes has been research of interest due to the limitations of liver biopsy. Therefore, we aimed to develop and evaluate the diagnostic accuracy of a novel noninvasive index for predicting significant fibrosis, advanced fibrosis and cirrhosis in patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB) infection based on age and routine clinical laboratory tests.

METHODS

A total of 396 treatment naïve liver biopsy performed patients were divided into training (n = 262) and validation cohorts (n = 134). Histological staging was assessed by Ishak fibrosis scoring system.

RESULTS

In training cohort, we developed a novel fibrosis index, GAPI, using γ-glutamyl transpeptidase (GGT), age, platelet, and international normalized ratio (INR) results. The diagnostic accuracies of alanine aminotransferase ratio, age platelet index, aspartate aminotransferase to platelet ratio index, GGT to platelet ratio index, AST to lymphocyte ratio index, fibrosis index based on the four factors, Fibro Q, Goteborg University Cirrhosis Index, King's score, Pohl score, Wang I, fibrosis index, fibrosis cirrhosis index, cirrhosis discriminant score, Lok score, Doha score, Mehdi's model, GqHBsAg, neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio, platelet to lymphocyte ratio, RDW to lymphocyte ratio, RDW to platelet ratio, GGT/INR, GGT/albumin, white blood cell/platelet distribution width (PDW), mean platelet volume/PDW and platelet/PDW indexes were compared to GAPI index. For the prediction of significant fibrosis, advanced fibrosis and cirrhosis, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUROCs) of GAPI index were 0.776, 0.868, and 0.885 in training cohort, and 0.731, 0.883, and 0.919 in validation cohort, respectively. The AUROCs of the GAPI index were higher than those of the evaluated 27 noninvasive indexes to predict significant fibrosis, advanced fibrosis, and cirrhosis.

CONCLUSION

In resource limited settings, GAPI is a promising noninvasive liver fibrosis index for predicting significant fibrosis, advanced fibrosis and cirrhosis, and for decreasing the need for liver biopsy in patients with CHB infection using cutoff points of 2.00 and 3.50.

Guidelines for Prevention and Treatment of Chronic Hepatitis B

To achieve the goal of the World Health Organization to eliminate viral hepatitis as a major public health threat by 2030, the Chinese Society of Infectious Diseases and the Chinese Society of Hepatology convened an expert panel in 2019 to update the guidelines for the prevention and treatment of chronic hepatitis B (CHB). The current guidelines cover recent advances in basic, clinical, and preventive studies of CHB infection and consider the actual situation in China. These guidelines are intended to provide support for the prevention, diagnosis, and treatment of CHB.

A Generic Nomogram Predicting the Stage of Liver Fibrosis Based on Serum Biochemical Indicators Among Chronic Hepatitis B Patients

Introduction: Liver fibrosis staging is of great importance for reducing unnecessary injuries and prompting treatment in chronic viral hepatitis B patients. Liver biopsy is not suitable to act a screening method although it is a gold standard because of various shortcomings. This study aimed to establish a predictive nomogram as a convenient tool to effectively identify potential patients with different stages of liver fibrosis for patients with chronic hepatitis B.

Methods: A nomogram for multinomial model was developed in a training set to calculate the probability for each stage of fibrosis and tested in a validation set. Fibrosis stages were subgrouped as followed: severe fibrosis/cirrhosis (F3–F4), moderate fibrosis (F2), and nil-mild fibrosis (F0–F1). The indicators were demographic characteristics and biochemical indicators of patients. Continuous indicators were divided into several groups according to the optimal candidate value generated by the decision tree.

Results: This study recruited 964 HBV patients undergoing percutaneous liver biopsy. The multinomial model with 10 indicators was transformed into the final nomogram. The calibration plot showed a good agreement between nomogram-predicted and observed probability of different fibrosis stages. Areas under the receiver operating characteristics (AUROCs) for severe fibrosis/cirrhosis were 0.809 for training set and 0.879 for validation set. For moderate fibrosis, the AUROCs were 0.75 and 0.781. For nil-mild fibrosis, the AUROCs were 0.792 and 0.843. All the results above showed great predictive performance in predicting the stage of fibrosis by our nomogram.

Conclusion: Our model demonstrated good discrimination and extensibility in internal and external validation. The proposed nomogram in this study resulted in great reliability and it can be widely used as a convenient and efficient way.

Liver Stiffness Is a Predictor of Rebleeding in Patients With Hepatitis B-Related Cirrhosis: A Real-World Cohort Study

Background: Esophageal vein rebleeding is a life-threatening complication of liver cirrhosis. However, the role of non-invasive methods that were developed to evaluate the severity of chronic liver disease, especially in rebleeding, remains unclear. Aims: To evaluate the performance of liver stiffness and non-invasive fibrosis scores in predicting esophageal vein rebleeding in hepatitis B virus (HBV) cirrhotic patients. Methods: A prospective analysis of 194 HBV patients between 2017 and 2021 was performed. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves and time-dependent ROC curves were used to assess the power for predicting rebleeding with non-invasive fibrosis score and liver stiffness. Results: During the median follow-up time of 68.28 weeks, 55 patients experienced rebleeding. In the entire cohort, the area under the ROC curve for liver stiffness measurement (LSM) predicting for rebleeding was 0.837, with a cut-off value of 17.79 kPa, and the time-dependent ROC curve also showed stable prediction performance of LSM. The predictive ability of the non-invasive fibrosis score was less than that of LSM, and there were statistical differences. Moreover, patients using non-selective beta-blockers and HBV DNA-negative patients experienced significantly reduced rebleeding. Conclusions: Compared with non-invasive fibrosis scores, LSM can more simply and accurately predict rebleeding events of hepatitis B liver cirrhosis.

A noninvasive model to predict liver histology for antiviral therapy decision in chronic hepatitis B with alanine aminotransferase < 2 upper limit of normal

BACKGROUND

At present, most assessments of liver fibrosis staging mainly focus on non-invasive diagnostic methods. This study aims to construct a noninvasive model to predict liver histology for antiviral therapy in chronic hepatitis B (CHB) with alanine aminotransferase (ALT) < 2 times upper limit of normal (ULN).

METHODS

We retrospectively analyzed 577 patients with CHB who received liver biopsy and whose ALT was less than 2 ULN. Then they were randomly divided into a training group and a validation group. Through logistic regression analysis, a novel predictive model was constructed in the training group to predict significant changes in liver histology [necro-inflammatory activity grade (G) ≥ 2 or fibrosis stage (S) ≥ 2] and then validated in the validation group.

RESULTS

If liver biopsy showed moderate or severe inflammation or significant fibrosis, antiviral treatment was recommended. Aspartate aminotransferase (AST), anti-hepatitis B virus core antibody (anti-HBC) and glutamine transpeptidase (GGT) were identified as independent predictors for antiviral therapy, with area under the ROC curve (AUROC) of 0.649, 0.647 and 0.616, respectively. Our novel model index, which combined AST, anti- HBC and GGT with AUROC of 0.700 and 0.742 in training set and validation set.

CONCLUSIONS

This study established a noninvasive model to predict liver histology for antiviral treatment decision in patients with CHB with ALT < 2 ULN, which can reduce the clinical needs of liver biopsy.

Noninvasive assessment of liver fibrosis for predicting acute-on-chronic liver failure in patients with chronic hepatitis B

BACKGROUND AND AIM

The aim of this study was to evaluate the accuracy of serum markers of liver fibrosis for predicting progression to acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) in patients with acute exacerbation (AE) and severe AE (SAE) of chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection.

METHODS

The predictive accuracy of aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index (APRI), Fibrosis-4, Lok index, and Forns index for progression to ACLF was evaluated via receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and area under the ROC (AUROC) in 441 and 130 patients with AE and SAE.

RESULTS

After admission, 24 (5.8%) and 25 (19.2%) patients with AE and SAE, respectively, progressed to ACLF. The Lok index was one of the independent risk factors associated with progression to ACLF in patients with AE and SAE. The AUROC of Lok index for diagnosing liver cirrhosis was 0.815 (0.774-0.851) in patients with AE and 0.715 (0.629-0.791) in patients with SAE. The AUROC of Lok index for predicting progression to ACLF in patients with AE and SAE was 0.756 (0.711-0.797) and 0.866 (0.795-0.919), respectively. In patients with AE and SAE, the cut-off values of the Lok index for predicting ACLF were higher and lower, respectively, than those for diagnosing liver cirrhosis.

CONCLUSION

The Lok index has predictive accuracy regarding progression to ACLF in patients with AE and SAE. Different thresholds of liver fibrosis are needed for determining progression to ACLF in patients with different severity of liver injury during acute exacerbation of chronic HBV infection.

Predictive performance of eLIFT for liver inflammation and fibrosis in chronic liver diseases

Objective: The easy liver fibrosis test (eLIFT) is a novel predictor of liver fibrosis in chronic liver disease (CLD). This study aimed to evaluate the predictive value of the eLIFT for liver inflammation and fibrosis in CLD patients. Methods: We enrolled 1125 patients with CLD who underwent liver biopsy. The predictive accuracy for liver inflammation and fibrosis of the eLIFT was assessed and compared to that of the aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index (APRI), fibrosis-4 score (FIB-4), and gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase-to-platelet ratio (GPR) by ROC (Receiver Operating Characteristic) analysis and decision curve analysis (DCA). Results: The areas under the ROC curves (AUROCs) of the eLIFT for assessing liver inflammation G ≥ 2 and G ≥ 3 were 0.77 (0.75-0.80) and 0.81 (0.79-0.84), with cut-offs of 8.0 and 11.0, respectively. The AUROCs of the eLIFT for predicting fibrosis stages S ≥ 2 and S4 were 0.72 (0.70-0.76) and 0.76 (0.72-0.80), with cut-offs of 9.0 and 10.0, respectively. In discriminating G≥2 inflammation, the AUROC of the eLIFT was better than that of the FIB-4, with no difference compared with the GPR, but lower than that of the APRI. When discriminating G≥3 inflammation, the AUROC of the eLIFT was comparable to that of the APRI and GPR but superior to that of the FIB-4. There were no significant differences between the four indexes for predicting S≥2 and S4. Conclusion: The eLIFT is a potentially useful noninvasive predictor of liver inflammation and fibrosis in patients with CLD.

Predictive Performances of Blood Parameter Ratios for Liver Inflammation and Advanced Liver Fibrosis in Chronic Hepatitis B Infection

OBJECTIVE

Blood parameter ratios, including neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet to lymphocyte ratio (PLR), and monocyte to lymphocyte ratio (MLR), have been reported that they are correlated to the progression of liver disease. This study is aimed at evaluating the predictive value of PLR, NLR, and MLR for liver inflammation and fibrosis in patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB).

METHODS

We recruited 457 patients with CHB who underwent a liver biopsy and routine laboratory tests. Liver histology was assessed according to the Scheuer scoring system. The predictive accuracy for liver inflammation and fibrosis was assessed by receiver operating characteristics (ROC) analysis.

RESULTS

PLR and NLR presented significantly reverse correlation to liver inflammation and fibrosis. However, these correlations were not observed for MLR and liver histology. The AUROCs of PLR for assessing G2-3 and G3 were 0.676 and 0.705 with cutoffs 74.27 and 68.75, respectively. The AUROCs of NLR in predicting inflammatory scores G2-3 and G3 were 0.616 and 0.569 with cutoffs 1.36 and 1.85, respectively. The AUROCs of PLR for evaluating fibrosis stages S3-4 and S4 were 0.723 and 0.757 with cutoffs 79.67 and 74.27, respectively. The AUROCs of NLR for evaluating fibrosis stages S3-4 and S4 were 0.590 with cutoff 1.14.

CONCLUSION

Although PLR has similar predictive power of progressive liver fibrosis compared with APRI, FIB-4, and GPR in CHB patients, it has the advantage of less cost and easy application with the potential to be widely used in clinical practice.

Evaluation of liver fibrosis by non-invasive diagnostic indexes in patients with chronic hepatitis B

BACKGROUND

Liver biopsy is the gold standard for determining the degree of fibrosis in patients with chronic hepatitis B, but it has certain limitations in clinical application because of its invasive nature. Hence, non-invasive assessment is essential.

AIM

To compare the diagnostic value of ten noninvasive models indexes for liver fibrosis in patients with chronic hepatitis B.

METHODS

A total of 1030 patients with chronic hepatitis B admitted during June 2003 and August 2019 were enrolled in the study. All the patients received liver biopsy and blood and ultrasound examinations. The AST-to-ALT ratio, AST-to-platelet ratio index, age platelet index, cirrhosis discriminant score, fibrosis index based on four factors, gamma-glutamyltranspeptidase-to-platelet ratio, S-index, spleen-to-platelet ratio index, age-spleen-to-platelet ratio index (ASPRI), and FV (our model) were calculated. Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) was used to assess the clinical value of noninvasive models in diagnosis of liver fibrosis.

RESULTS

All the models were correlated with the stage of liver fibrosis (r = 0.215, 0.382, 0.629, 0.449, 0.612, 0.618, 0.654, 0.658, 0.707, and 0.775, respectively; P < 0.05). The best AUROCs of FV and ASPRI for diagnosis of significant liver fibrosis (F2-3) were 0.834 and 0.796, with sensitivities of 78.8% and 70.2%, specificities of 74.0% and 76.1%, and accuracies of 76.3% and 73.3%, respectively. The best AUROCs for diagnosis of early liver cirrhosis (F4) were 0.928 and 0.912, with sensitivities of 85.4% and 89.4%, specificities of 85.0% and 77.3%, accuracies of 85.1% and 79.7%, negative predictive values of 96.2% and 96.5%, and negative likelihood ratios of 0.172 and 0.137, respectively.

CONCLUSION

FV and ASPRI have better accuracies than other noninvasive diagnostic indexes in diagnosing significant liver fibrosis in patients with chronic hepatitis B, especially in the diagnosis of early liver cirrhosis.

Identification and external validation of the optimal FIB-4 and APRI thresholds for ruling in chronic hepatitis B related liver fibrosis in tertiary care settings

BACKGROUND

With the initially defined thresholds, the most widely used serum biomarkers for staging liver fibrosis (ie, APRI and FIB-4 scores) proved to be ineffective among patients with chronic hepatitis B virus infection (CHB). Whether optimizing the FIB-4 and APRI thresholds could improve their diagnostic accuracy requires further research.

METHODS

Using data of treat-naïve CHB patients from three tertiary hospitals, we explored the optimal FIB-4 and APRI thresholds to rule in liver fibrosis accurately. Subsequently, we validated the applicability of the newly defined thresholds to the CHB patients from another two tertiary hospitals.

RESULTS

The fibrosis stages between discovery cohort (n = 433) and the external validation cohort (n = 568) were statistically different (P < .001). When ruling in significant fibrosis and advanced fibrosis by the newly defined FIB-4 thresholds (2.25 and 3.00, respectively), 24.0% and 14.3% of patients, respectively, could be classified with excellent accuracy (PPVs of 91.3% and 80.6%, respectively; misdiagnosis rates of 6.0% and 5.4%, respectively), supported by the internal and external validation tests. Regrettably, the more accurate and robust thresholds of APRI score for ruling in significant fibrosis and advanced fibrosis could not be found. Besides, the FIB-4 and APRI scores should not be recommended for ruling in cirrhosis because of poor clinical diagnostic performance.

CONCLUSION

The newly defined FIB-4 thresholds for ruling in significant fibrosis and advanced fibrosis showed superior and reproducible clinical diagnostic accuracy. The well-validated threshold (≥2.25) of FIB-4 score could aid in antiviral treatment decisions for treat-naïve adult CHB patients by accurately ruling in significant fibrosis in tertiary care settings.

Comparison and evaluation of non-invasive models in predicting liver inflammation and fibrosis of chronic hepatitis B virus-infected patients with high hepatitis B virus DNA and normal or mildly elevated alanine transaminase levels

Few studies have paid attention to the performances of non-invasive models in diagnosing stages of liver fibrosis and inflammation, which are critical for early and accurate assessment of prognostication and decisions on antiviral treatment in chronic hepatitis B infection patients with high hepatitis B virus DNA and normal or mildly elevated alanine transaminase levels (≤2 times upper limit of normal (ULN)). This study aimed to investigate the value of routine serum markers in evaluation of liver inflammation and fibrosis in these patients.A total of 370 consecutive chronic hepatitis B virus-infected patients who underwent liver biopsy were retrospectively analyzed. The Scheuer scoring system was adopted as the pathological standard for diagnosing liver inflammation and fibrosis. The receiver-operating characteristic curves (ROC) and the area under the ROC curves (AUROCs) were used to analyze the performances of the models, including aspartate transaminase to platelet ratio index (APRI), fibrosis index based on the 4 factors (FIB-4), red cell volume distribution width-to-platelet ratio (RPR), globulin-platelet model (GP), and gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase to platelet ratio index (GPR).To predict significant inflammation (G ≥2), the AUROC of APRI was higher than that of FIB-4 (0.705 vs 0.629, P = .001), RPR (0.705 vs 0.593, P < .001) and GP (0.705 vs 0.620, P = .002), equivalent to that of GPR (0.705 vs 0.690, P = .606). As for severe inflammation (≥G3) and significant fibrosis (≥S2), there was no statistic difference among them. To predict severe fibrosis (≥ S3), the AUROC of FIB-4 was higher than that of RPR (0.805 vs 0.750, P = .006) and GP (0.805 vs 0.755, P = .046), comparable to that of APRI (0.805 vs 0.785, P = .550) and GPR (0.805 vs 0.818, P = .694). As for significant liver histological changes (G ≥ 2 or/and S ≥ 2), the performance of APRI was higher than that of RPR (0.717 vs 0.652, P = .006), GP (0.717 vs 0.659, p = .011), equivalent to that of FIB-4 (0.717 vs 0.692, P = .254) and GPR (0.717 vs 0.680, P = .166).We found that APRI, GPR, and FIB-4 were more effective than RPR and GP for diagnosing liver inflammation and fibrosis.

Consensus on the diagnosis and treatment of hepatic fibrosis (2019)

Hepatic fibrosis is a reparative response of diffuse over-deposition and abnormal distribution of extracellular matrix (collagen, glycoprotein and proteoglycans) after exposure to various kinds of liver injuries, and is a key step in the developmental process of various chronic liver diseases leading to cirrhosis. Recently, many advances in our understanding of hepatic fibrosis have been obtained through basic and clinical research. Therefore, this consensus summarizes and offers 15 evidence-based recommendations on the diagnosis and evaluation of hepatic fibrosis, its treatment, drug development and applications.

Liver stiffness and serum markers for excluding high-risk varices in patients who do not meet Baveno VI criteria

BACKGROUND

The Baveno VI criteria for predicting esophageal varices, i.e., liver stiffness measurement (LSM) < 20 kPa and platelet (PLT) count > 150 × 10⁹/L, identify patients who can safely avoid gastroscopy screening. However, they require further refinement.

AIM

To evaluate the utility of LSM and serum markers of liver fibrosis in ruling out high-risk varices (HRV) in patients who do not meet Baveno VI criteria.

METHODS

Data from 132 patients with hepatitis B virus (HBV)-related compensated liver cirrhosis who did not meet the Baveno VI criteria were retrospectively reviewed. MedCalc 15.8 was used to calculate receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, and the accuracy of LSM, PLT count, aspartate aminotransferase (AST)-to-PLT ratio index, Fibrosis-4, and the Lok index in predicting HRV were evaluated according to the area under each ROC curve (AUROC). The utility of LSM, PLT, and serum markers of liver fibrosis stratified by alanine transaminase (ALT) and total bilirubin (TBil) levels was evaluated for ruling out HRV.

RESULTS

In all patients who did not meet the Baveno VI criteria, the independent risk factors for HRV were LSM and ALT. Only the AUROC of Lok index was above 0.7 for predicting HRV, and at a cutoff value of 0.4531 it could further spare 24.2% of gastroscopies without missing HRVs. The prevalence of HRV was significantly lower in patients with ALT or TBil ≥ 2 upper limit of normal (ULN) (14.3%) than in patients with both ALT and TBil < 2 ULN (34.1%) (P = 0.018). In the 41 patients with ALT and TBil < 2 ULN, LSM had an AUROC for predicting HRV of 0.821. LSM < 20.6 kPa spared 39.0% of gastroscopies without missing HRVs. In the 91 patients with ALT or TBiL ≥ 2 ULN, the Lok index and PLT had AUROCs of 0.814 and 0.741, respectively. Lok index ≤ 0.5596 or PLT > 100 × 10⁹/L further spared 39.6% and 43.9% of gastroscopies, respectively, without missing HRVs.

CONCLUSION

In HBV-related compensated cirrhosis patients who do not meet Baveno VI criteria, the LSM, PLT, or Lok index cutoff stratified by ALT and TBil accurately identifies more patients without HRV.

On-treatment monitoring of liver fibrosis with serum hepatitis B core-related antigen in chronic hepatitis B

BACKGROUND

Non-invasive evaluation for liver fibrosis is clinically important, especially in patients with undetectable hepatitis B virus (HBV) DNA treated with nucleoside analogs.

AIM

To clarify the monitoring power of hepatitis B core-related antigen (HBcrAg) for hepatic histologic changes in patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB) treated with entecavir.

METHODS

This prospective multicenter study used multiple ordinal and multivariate logistics regression analysis to assess variables associated with Ishak fibrosis score and regression for fibrosis regression, respectively, in 403 CHB patients, including 374 with entecavir for 72 weeks (291 underwent paired liver biopsy) and 29 as controls.

RESULTS

Level of HBcrAg correlated negatively with liver fibrosis staging (γ = -0.357, P < 0.001) in hepatitis B e antigen (HBeAg)-positive patients, and positively with liver fibrosis staging in HBeAg-negative patients. Higher HBcrAg concentration was associated with younger age, HBeAg positive status, high HBV DNA loads, high level of hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) and higher necroinflammation, but not with HBV genotype. Serum concentration of HBcrAg, basal core promoter/precore (BCP/PC) mutant, quantitation of HBsAg (qHBsAg) and platelet counts were independently associated with Ishak fibrosis score on multiple ordinal regression. HBV DNA was undetectable in 88.37% of patients treated with entecavir at week 72, while their level of HBcrAg was still detectable. A greater reduction in post-treatment HBcrAg concentration was associated with the regression of hepatic fibrosis and histological improvement. HBcrAg concentration > 6.33 log IU/mL at baseline and logarithmic reduction > 1.03 log IU/mL at week 72 were associated with a higher chance of regression of liver fibrosis and histological improvement, respectively.

CONCLUSION

HBcrAg level is associated with liver fibrosis progression. HBcrAg is an excellent monitor of hepatic histological changes, especially in CHB patients treated with nucleoside analogs.

Evaluation and comparison of the diagnostic performance of routine blood tests in predicting liver fibrosis in chronic hepatitis B infection

Background & aims: Biopsy is the gold standard for staging liver fibrosis, but it may be accompanied by complications. As an alternative, non-invasive markers such as transient elastography (for liver fibrosis) and certain combinations of routine blood markers (liver function tests, full blood count) have been developed although their clinical significance remains controversial. Here, we compare the diagnostic values of non-invasive markers for liver fibrosis in patients with chronic hepatitis B infection. Methods: Transient elastography and routine laboratory tests were performed in 196 patients. Diagnostic performances were compared and were assessed based on the area under the curve (AUC) of a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis. Results: Elevated GGT to platelet ratio (GPR), the fibrosis index FIB-4 [based on age, AST, platelets and ALT], platelet to lymphocyte ratio (PLR) and total bilirubin were independent predictors of liver stiffness defined by transient elastography (all P < 0.001). The AUCs of GPR in predicting both advanced fibrosis and cirrhosis were significantly larger than that of FIB-4 (P = 0.037 and P = 0.008, respectively) and AST-to-platelet ratio index (APRI) (P = 0.008 and P = 0.005). FIB-4, APRI and red cell volume distribution width-to-platelet ratio (RPR) had similar diagnostic values in discriminating different levels of liver fibrosis. Conclusions: GPR showed the best diagnostic value and RPR and PLR are easily available and inexpensive markers in evaluating fibrosis and cirrhosis. The diagnostic values of these laboratory markers are useful in diagnosing advanced fibrosis or cirrhosis, and in confirming the different levels of liver fibrosis.