A multicentre comparison between Child Pugh and Albumin-Bilirubin scores in patients treated with sorafenib for Hepatocellular Carcinoma

The Performance of a Survival Nomogram and Albumin-Bilirubin Grade as Prognostic Tools in Advanced Hepatocellular Carcinoma Treated with FOLFOX4

BACKGROUND

The ability of the survival nomogram developed in the EACH study and albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grade to predict the survival of advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients receiving oxaliplatin plus 5-fluorouracil/leucovorin (FOLFOX4) remains unvalidated. Here, we comprehensively evaluated these prognostic tools.

METHODS

The survival nomogram and ALBI grade of each patient were assessed, and the area under the receiver operating curve (AUROC) and Harrell's C-index for the risk classification model were calculated.

RESULTS

Overall, 76 HCC patients who received FOLFOX4 between August 2017 and June 2023 were included. The survival nomogram classified patients into low-, intermediate-, and high-risk groups, with a median overall survival (OS) of 9.82, 10.64, and 3.70 months, respectively (p = 0.23). The AUROC was 0.621 and Harrell's C-index was 0.589. However, the ALBI grade categorized all patients into grade 1, 2, and 3, with a median OS of 9.82, 6.83, and 1.58 months, respectively (p = 0.00024). The AUROC was 0.663 and Harrell's C-index was 0.663.

CONCLUSION

The ALBI grade can be a potential prognostic tool. However, the survival nomogram does not provide clear discrimination. Therefore, FOLFOX4 should be an option for patients with ALBI grade 1 who cannot receive immunotherapy or targeted therapy. Additional prospective studies with a larger cohort are warranted to validate the survival nomogram and ALBI grade as prognostic tools.

Loss of ATOH1 in Pit Cell Drives Stemness and Progression of Gastric Adenocarcinoma by Activating AKT/mTOR Signaling through GAS1

Gastric cancer stem cells (GCSCs) are self-renewing tumor cells that govern chemoresistance in gastric adenocarcinoma (GAC), whereas their regulatory mechanisms remain elusive. Here, the study aims to elucidate the role of ATOH1 in the maintenance of GCSCs. The preclinical model and GAC sample analysis indicate that ATOH1 deficiency is correlated with poor GAC prognosis and chemoresistance. ScRNA-seq reveals that ATOH1 is downregulated in the pit cells of GAC compared with those in paracarcinoma samples. Lineage tracing reveals that Atoh1 deletion strongly confers pit cell stemness. ATOH1 depletion significantly accelerates cancer stemness and chemoresistance in Tff1-CreERT2; Rosa26Tdtomato and Tff1-CreERT2; Apcfl/fl ; p53fl/fl (TcPP) mouse models and organoids. ATOH1 deficiency downregulates growth arrest-specific protein 1 (GAS1) by suppressing GAS1 promoter transcription. GAS1 forms a complex with RET, which inhibits Tyr1062 phosphorylation, and consequently activates the RET/AKT/mTOR signaling pathway by ATOH1 deficiency. Combining chemotherapy with drugs targeting AKT/mTOR signaling can overcome ATOH1 deficiency-induced chemoresistance. Moreover, it is confirmed that abnormal DNA hypermethylation induces ATOH1 deficiency. Taken together, the results demonstrate that ATOH1 loss promotes cancer stemness through the ATOH1/GAS1/RET/AKT/mTOR signaling pathway in GAC, thus providing a potential therapeutic strategy for AKT/mTOR inhibitors in GAC patients with ATOH1 deficiency.

Non-invasive model for predicting high-risk esophageal varices based on liver and spleen stiffness

BACKGROUND

Acute bleeding due to esophageal varices (EVs) is a life-threatening complication in patients with cirrhosis. The diagnosis of EVs is mainly through upper gastrointestinal endoscopy, but the discomfort, contraindications and complications of gastrointestinal endoscopic screening reduce patient compliance. According to the bleeding risk of EVs, the Baveno VI consensus divides varices into high bleeding risk EVs (HEVs) and low bleeding risk EVs (LEVs). We sought to identify a non-invasive prediction model based on spleen stiffness measurement (SSM) and liver stiffness measurement (LSM) as an alternative to EVs screening.

AIM

To develop a safe, simple and non-invasive model to predict HEVs in patients with viral cirrhosis and identify patients who can be exempted from upper gastrointestinal endoscopy.

METHODS

Data from 200 patients with viral cirrhosis were included in this study, with 140 patients as the modelling group and 60 patients as the external validation group, and the EVs types of patients were determined by upper gastrointestinal endoscopy and the Baveno VI consensus. Those patients were divided into the HEVs group (66 patients) and the LEVs group (74 patients). The effect of each parameter on HEVs was analyzed by univariate and multivariate analyses, and a non-invasive prediction model was established. Finally, the discrimination ability, calibration ability and clinical efficacy of the new model were verified in the modelling group and the external validation group.

RESULTS

Univariate and multivariate analyses showed that SSM and LSM were associated with the occurrence of HEVs in patients with viral cirrhosis. On this basis, logistic regression analysis was used to construct a prediction model: Ln [P/(1-P)] = -8.184 -0.228 × SSM + 0.642 × LSM. The area under the curve of the new model was 0.965. When the cut-off value was 0.27, the sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value and negative predictive value of the model for predicting HEVs were 100.00%, 82.43%, 83.52%, and 100%, respectively. Compared with the four prediction models of liver stiffness-spleen diameter to platelet ratio score, variceal risk index, aspartate aminotransferase to alanine aminotransferase ratio, and Baveno VI, the established model can better predict HEVs in patients with viral cirrhosis.

CONCLUSION

Based on the SSM and LSM measured by transient elastography, we established a non-invasive prediction model for HEVs. The new model is reliable in predicting HEVs and can be used as an alternative to routine upper gastrointestinal endoscopy screening, which is helpful for clinical decision making.

Clinical Utility of Albumin Bilirubin Grade as a Prognostic Marker in Patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma Undergoing Transarterial Chemoembolization: a Systematic Review and Meta-analysis

PURPOSE

Hepatic function is a key prognostic marker in patients with hepatocellular cancer (HCC) and central to patient selection for transarterial chemoembolization (TACE). We investigated the clinical utility of the Albumin-Bilirubin (ALBI) grade, an emerging prognostic model, in this heterogenous cohort via a meta-analysis of published studies.

METHODS

Publications including full text articles and abstracts regarding ALBI grade were sourced by two independent researchers from databases including PubMed, Embase, Medline and Cochrane Library. Studies analysing patients with HCC undergoing TACE treatment were systematically screened utilising the PRISMA tool for data extraction and synthesis, after exclusion of duplicates, irrelevant studies and overlapping cohorts. The primary outcome was overall survival (OS), as determined by ALBI grade and assessed by hazard ratio (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs), with analysis of collated data using comprehensive meta-analysis, version 3.0 software.

RESULTS

Eight studies were included, with a pooled population of 6538 patients with HCC that underwent TACE treatment. Higher pre-treatment grade was associated with poor OS, with median OS of 12.0 months (P < 0.001) in ALBI grade 3, compared to 33.5 months in ALBI grade 1 (P < 0.001). Significant heterogeneity within each ALBI grade was associated with age and tumour size (P < 0.001) in ALBI grades 1 and 2. In contrast, age and alcohol-related liver disease were significant in the ALBI grade 3 group (P < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

High pre-treatment ALBI grade is associated with poorer prognosis in patients with HCC undergoing TACE therapy. The ALBI grade demonstrates clinical utility for clinical prognostication and patient selection for TACE.

A Novel ypTLM Staging System Based on LODDS for Gastric Cancer After Neoadjuvant Therapy: Multicenter and Large-Sample Retrospective Study

BACKGROUND

The accuracy of the eighth AJCC ypTNM staging system on the prognosis of gastric cancer (GC) patients after neoadjuvant therapy (NAT) is controversial. This study aimed to develop and validate a novel staging system using the log odds of positive lymph nodes scheme (LODDS).

METHODS

A retrospective analysis of 606 GC patients who underwent radical gastrectomy after neoadjuvant therapy was conducted as the development cohort. (Fujian Medical University Affiliated Union Hospital (n = 183), Qinghai University Affiliated Hospital (n = 169), Mayo Clinic (n = 236), Lanzhou University First Hospital (n = 18)). The validation cohort came from the SEER database (n = 1701). A novel ypTLoddsS (ypTLM) staging system was established using the 3-year overall survival. The predictive performance of two systems was compared.

RESULTS

Two-step multivariate Cox regression analysis in both cohorts showed that ypTLM was an independent predictor of overall survival of GC patients after neoadjuvant therapy (HR: 1.57, 95% CI: 1.30-1.88, p < 0.001). In the development cohort, ypTLM had better discrimination ability than ypTNM (C-index: 0.663 vs 0.633, p < 0.001), better prediction homogeneity (LR: 97.7 vs. 70.9), and better prediction accuracy (BIC: 3067.01 vs 3093.82; NRI: 0.36). In the validation cohort, ypTLM had a better prognostic predictive ability (C-index: 0.614 vs 0.588, p < 0.001; LR: 11,909.05 vs. 11,975.75; BIC: 13,263.71 vs 13,328.24; NRI: 0.22). The time-dependent ROC curve shows that the predictive performance of ypTLM is better than ypTNM, and the analysis of the decision curve shows that ypTLM achieved better net benefits.

CONCLUSION

A LODDS-based ypTLM staging system based on multicenter data was established and validated. The predictive performance was superior to the eighth AJCC ypTNM staging system.

A Single Nucleotide Polymorphism rs1010816 Predicts Sorafenib Therapeutic Outcomes in Advanced Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Sorafenib is currently a targeted agent widely used in the treatment of advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (aHCC). However, to date there is still a lack of a reliable marker capable of predicting sorafenib therapeutic responses. Here, we conducted a genome-wide association study (GWAS) to identify candidate single-nucleotide polymorphism outcome predictors in aHCC patients. A total of 74 real-world sorafenib-treated aHCC patients were enrolled for GWAS and outcome analysis. GWAS showed that rs1010816 (p = 2.2 × 10^-7) was associated with sorafenib therapeutic response in aHCC patients. Kaplan-Meier analysis indicated that the "TT" genotype was significantly associated with a favorable therapeutic response but not significantly associated with overall survival (OS). Univariate followed by multivariate Cox proportional hazard analysis showed that ascites, main portal vein thrombosis, lower platelet count, lower total sorafenib doses, higher PALBI score in model A and higher ALBI grade in model B were significantly associated with a shorter OS. Subgroup analysis showed that only in alcoholic aHCC patients treated by sorafenib, rs1010816 "TT" genotype was significantly associated with longer OS (p = 0.021). Sorafenib had a favorable therapeutic outcome in alcoholic aHCC patients carrying rs1010816 "TT" genotype.

The ALBI score: From liver function in patients with HCC to a general measure of liver function

The (albumin-bilirubin) ‘ALBI’ score is an index of ‘liver function’ that was recently developed to assess prognosis in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma, irrespective of the degree of underlying liver fibrosis. Other measures of liver function, such as model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) and Child-Pugh score, which were introduced for specific clinical scenarios, have seen their use extended to other areas of hepatology. In the case of ALBI, its application has been increasingly extended to chronic liver disease in general and in some instances to non-liver diseases where it has proven remarkably accurate in terms of prognosis. With respect to chronic liver disease, numerous publications have shown that ALBI is highly prognostic in patients with all types and stages of chronic liver disease. Outside of liver disease, ALBI has been reported as being of prognostic value in conditions ranging from chronic heart failure to brain tumours. Whilst in several of these reports, explanations for the relationship of liver function to a clinical condition have been proposed, it has to be acknowledged that the specificity of ALBI for liver function has not been clearly demonstrated. Nonetheless, and similar to the MELD and Child-Pugh scores, the lack of any mechanistic basis for ALBI’s clinical utility does not preclude it from being clinically useful in certain situations. Why albumin and bilirubin levels, or a combination thereof, are prognostic in so many different diseases should be studied in the future.

Prognostic models for outcome prediction in patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma treated by systemic therapy: a systematic review and critical appraisal

Objective

To describe and analyze the predictive models of the prognosis of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) undergoing systemic treatment.

Design

Systematic review.

Data sources

PubMed and Embase until December 2020 and manually searched references from eligible articles.

Eligibility criteria for study selection

The development, validation, or updating of prognostic models of patients with HCC after systemic treatment.

Results

The systematic search yielded 42 eligible articles: 28 articles described the development of 28 prognostic models of patients with HCC treated with systemic therapy, and 14 articles described the external validation of 32 existing prognostic models of patients with HCC undergoing systemic treatment. Among the 28 prognostic models, six were developed based on genes, of which five were expressed in full equations; the other 22 prognostic models were developed based on common clinical factors. Of the 28 prognostic models, 11 were validated both internally and externally, nine were validated only internally, two were validated only externally, and the remaining six models did not undergo any type of validation. Among the 28 prognostic models, the most common systemic treatment was sorafenib (n = 19); the most prevalent endpoint was overall survival (n = 28); and the most commonly used predictors were alpha-fetoprotein (n = 15), bilirubin (n = 8), albumin (n = 8), Child–Pugh score (n = 8), extrahepatic metastasis (n = 7), and tumor size (n = 7). Further, among 32 externally validated prognostic models, 12 were externally validated > 3 times.

Conclusions

This study describes and analyzes the prognostic models developed and validated for patients with HCC who have undergone systemic treatment. The results show that there are some methodological flaws in the model development process, and that external validation is rarely performed. Future research should focus on validating and updating existing models, and evaluating the effects of these models in clinical practice.

Systematic review registration

PROSPERO CRD42020200187.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12885-022-09841-5.

Hepatitis C virus eradication ameliorates the prognosis of advanced hepatocellular carcinoma treated with sorafenib

The risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) occurrence following hepatitis C virus (HCV) eradication has been previously reported, but the impact of HCV eradication on advanced HCC patient survival remains unclear. Therefore, the present study aimed to evaluate the effect of HCV eradication on the survival outcome of patients with advanced HCC treated with sorafenib. One hundred and three HCV-related advanced HCC patients who were treated with sorafenib were enrolled in this study. Of these, 43 patients were administered antiviral therapy before sorafenib treatment (HCV eradication group), while 60 patients remained HCV-infected (HCV non-eradication group). We analysed the impact of HCV eradication on survival in advanced HCC treated with sorafenib. Median overall survival (OS) was significantly longer in the HCV eradication group than in the HCV non-eradication group (24.0 months vs. 14.1 months; p = 0.001). Although there was no significant difference in the albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) score at the start of treatment between the HCV eradication group and the non-eradication group (p = 0.065), the ALBI score at 2 months after initiation of sorafenib treatment was significantly decreased in the HCV non-eradication group (p < 0.001), but not in the HCV eradication group (p = 0.121). Multivariate logistic analysis revealed HCV eradication (hazard ratio [HR], 0.5; p = 0.006) and ALBI score at the start of treatment (HR, 2.47; p = 0.002) as factors that may contribute to OS. HCV eradication may serve an important role in the survival outcome of advanced HCC patients treated with sorafenib.

Child-Pugh Score and ABCG2-rs2231142 Genotype Independently Predict Survival in Advanced Hepatoma Patients Treated with Sorafenib

Patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) are treated by immunotherapy and/or targeted agents, such as sorafenib. Several single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) and clinical scores have been proposed as prognostic markers in HCC patients treated with sorafenib. This study aimed to validate the prognostic values of these markers in a tertiary referral medical center. Two independent cohorts (cohort-1 [n = 97] and cohort-2 [n = 60]) of advanced HCC patients treated with sorafenib monotherapy were enrolled. Univariate followed by multivariate Cox proportional hazard analysis identified Child−Pugh (CP) score (p < 0.001) and renal insufficiency during treatment (p < 0.001) as independent predictors in cohort-1 patients. The same analytic method revealed ascites (p = 0.000), CP score (p = 0.001), infection during treatment (p < 0.001), and ATP-binding cassette subfamily G member 2 (ABCG2)-rs2231142 genotype (p = 0.003) as independent predictors in cohort-2 patients. ABCG2-rs2231142 genotype “CC” was associated with unfavorable overall survival in sorafenib-treated HCC patients. In conclusion, the CP score and ABCG2-rs2231142 genotype served as independent survival predictors for advanced HCC patients receiving sorafenib treatment.

Prognostic significance of albumin-bilirubin score in patients with unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma undergoing combined immunotherapy and radiotherapy

INTRODUCTION

We aimed to explore the prognostic value of albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) scores in unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) treated with combined immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) and radiotherapy (RT).

METHODS

Patients with unresectable HCC receiving combined ICI and RT (July 2018 to February 2021) were retrospectively enrolled and analysed. Cox regression modelling was implemented to identify prognostic factors. Survival analysis was performed using the Kaplan-Meier method. Survival was compared using log-rank tests.

RESULTS

A total of 38 patients were enrolled. The median follow-up was 16.5 months (range: 6.7-29.9). The objective response rate (ORR) was 28.9%, including complete response in three (7.9%) patients. The median progression-free survival (PFS) was 5.6 months (95% confidence interval (CI): 3.2-8.0), and the median overall survival (OS) was 12.9 months (95% CI: 8.3-17.6). In the multivariate Cox regression analysis, ALBI score and age were identified as independent prognostic factors for PFS and OS. Patients with grade 1 ALBI scores who were ≥53 years of age (the low-risk group) had statistically significantly higher ORRs (50.0% vs. 13.6%) and prolonged median PFS (15.3 vs. 2.7 months) and OS (not reached vs. 10.1 months). Grade 3 haematological toxicities and/or liver function abnormalities occurred in 15 (39.5%) patients; treatment was not interrupted. No grade 4 or higher side effects were observed.

CONCLUSION

Combined ICI and RT is an effective modality for treating unresectable HCC with moderate side effects. ALBI scores merits consideration when applying this combined treatment modality. These results should be validated within large cohort studies.

Comparative study between sorafenib and lenvatinib as the first-line therapy in the sequential treatment of unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma in a real-world setting

Aims

There is a paucity of comparative data on the use of sorafenib and lenvatinib for unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma. We assessed the real‐world treatment outcomes between using sorafenib and lenvatinib for unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma in the multiple molecular‐targeted therapy era.

Methods and Results

We enrolled 386 patients treated with sorafenib or lenvatinib as the first‐line therapy for unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma at multiple centers. Propensity score matching was performed to adjust for differences in baseline and tumor characteristics between the two groups. Propensity score matching identified 110 patients in each treatment group. The median overall survival was similar between lenvatinib and sorafenib (14.8 and 13.0 months, respectively; P = 0.352). The median progression‐free survival was longer with lenvatinib than with sorafenib (7.6 and 3.9 months, respectively; P < 0.001). The overall response rate (P < 0.001) and disease control rate (P = 0.015), as defined by the modified Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors, were significantly better with lenvatinib than with sorafenib. The median overall survival was longer in patients who received subsequent treatment than in those who did not in the sorafenib group (23.1 and 5.7 months, respectively; P < 0.001), whereas the median overall survival with or without subsequent treatment did not differ significantly in the lenvatinib group (17.8 and 14.7 months, respectively; P = 0.439).

Conclusion

Overall survival with sorafenib and lenvatinib was not significantly different. However, patients who received subsequent treatments had longer overall survival than those who received only first‐line treatment with sorafenib, whereas lenvatinib did not show this effect.

Efficacy and safety of cabozantinib for patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma based on albumin-bilirubin grade

Background

Albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grade is an objective measure of liver function for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). The tyrosine kinase inhibitor cabozantinib is approved for patients with advanced HCC who have received prior sorafenib based on the phase 3 CELESTIAL trial (NCT01908426). Cabozantinib improved overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) versus placebo in patients with previously treated HCC.

Methods

Patients were randomised 2:1 to receive cabozantinib 60 mg or placebo orally every day. Clinical outcomes in patients with ALBI grade 1 or 2 at baseline were evaluated in CELESTIAL. ALBI scores were retrospectively calculated based on baseline serum albumin and total bilirubin, with an ALBI grade of 1 defined as  ≤ −2.60 score and a grade of 2 as a score of > −2.60 to  ≤ −1.39.

Results

Cabozantinib improved OS and PFS versus placebo in both ALBI grade 1 (hazard ratio [HR] [95% CI]: 0.63 [0.46–0.86] and 0.42 [0.32–0.56]) and ALBI grade 2 (HR [95% CI]: 0.84 [0.66–1.06] and 0.46 [0.37–0.58]) subgroups. Adverse events were consistent with those in the overall population. Rates of grade 3/4 adverse events associated with hepatic decompensation were generally low and were more common among patients in the ALBI grade 2 subgroup.

Discussion

These results provide initial support of cabozantinib in patients with advanced HCC irrespective of ALBI grade 1 or 2.

Trial registration number

ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT01908426.

ALBI grade: Evidence for an improved model for liver functional estimation in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) usually arises in the context of a chronically damaged liver. Liver functional estimation is of paramount importance in clinical decision making. The Child-Pugh score (CPS) can be used to categorise patients into 3 classes (A to C) based on the severity of liver functional impairment according to 5 parameters (albumin, bilirubin, prothrombin time, presence of ascites and hepatic encephalopathy). The albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grade has emerged as an alternative, reproducible and objective measure of liver functional reserve in patients with HCC, defining worsening liver impairment across 3 grades (I to III). The ALBI score can identify different subgroups of patients with different prognoses across the diverse Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stages and CP classes, making it an appealing clinical predictor. In patients treated with potentially curative approaches (resection, transplantation, radiofrequency ablation, microwave ablation), ALBI grade has been shown to correlate with survival, tumour relapse, and post-hepatectomy liver failure. ALBI grade also predicts survival, toxicity and post-procedural liver failure in patients treated with transarterial chemoembolisation, radioembolisation, external beam radiotherapy as well as multi-kinase inhibitors (sorafenib, lenvatinib, cabozantinib, regorafenib) and immune checkpoint inhibitor therapy. In this review, we summarise the body of evidence surrounding the role of ALBI grade as a biomarker capable of optimising patient selection and therapeutic sequencing in HCC.

Review article: time to revisit Child-Pugh score as the basis for predicting drug clearance in hepatic impairment

BACKGROUND

Prescription information for many drugs entering the market lacks dosage guidance for hepatic impairment. Dedicated studies for assessing the fate of drugs in hepatic impairment commonly stratify patients using Child-Pugh score. Child-Pugh is a prognostic clinical score with limitations in reflecting the liver's metabolic capacity.

AIMS

To demonstrate the need for better drug dosing approaches in hepatic impairment, summarise the current status, identify knowledge gaps related to drug kinetic parameters in hepatic impairment, propose solutions for predicting the liver disease impact on drug exposure and discuss barriers to dosing guidance in those patients.

METHODS

Relevant reports on dosage adjustment in hepatic impairment were analysed concerning the prediction of the impairment impact on drug kinetics using physiologically-based pharmacokinetic (PBPK) modelling.

RESULTS

PBPK models are suggested as a potential framework to understand drug clearance changes in hepatic impairment. Quantifying changes in abundance and activity of drug-metabolising enzymes and transporters, understanding the impact of shunting, and accounting for interindividual variations in drug absorption could help in extending the success of these models in hepatically-impaired populations. These variables might not correlate with Child-Pugh score as a whole. Therefore, new metabolic activity markers, imaging techniques and other scoring systems are proposed to either support or substitute Child-Pugh score.

CONCLUSIONS

Many physiological changes in hepatic impairment determining the fate of drugs do not necessarily correlate with Child-Pugh score. Quantifying these changes in individual patients is essential in future hepatic impairment studies. Further studies assessing Child-Pugh alternatives are recommended to allow better prediction of drug exposure.

ALBI Score Is a Strong Predictor of Toxicity Following SIRT for Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Simple Summary

SIRT, also known as radioembolization, is a new treatment for hepatocellular carcinoma. However, the precise role is still not clearly determined. Here, we describe how a new score, ALBI, used to better assess liver functions, can help to select patients for this treatment. We clearly showed that the ALBI grade was associated with toxicity and survival after this treatment.

Abstract

Background: Selective internal radiation therapy (SIRT) is an innovative treatment of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). The albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) score was designed to better evaluate liver functions in HCC. Methods: We studied, retrospectively, data from patients treated with SIRT for HCC. The primary endpoint was the occurrence of radioembolization-induced liver disease (REILD). The secondary endpoint was overall survival (OS). Results: 222 patients were studied. The ALBI grade 1 patients had significantly less REILD (3.4%) after the first SIRT than ALBI grade 2 or 3 patients (16.8%, p = 0.002). Of the 207 patients with data, 77 (37.2%) had a worsening of ALBI grade after one SIRT. The baseline ALBI grade was significantly associated with OS (p = 0.001), also in the multivariable analysis. The ALBI grade after the first SIRT was significantly associated with OS (p ≤ 0.001), with median OS of 26.4 months (CI 95% 18.2–34.7) for ALBI grade 1 patients (n = 48) versus 17.3 months (CI 95% 12.9–21.8) for ALBI grade 2 patients (n = 123) and 8.1 months (CI 95% 4.1–12.1) for ALBI grade 3 patients (n = 36). Conclusions: The baseline ALBI grade is a strong predictor of REILD. The baseline ALBI score and variations of ALBI are prognostic after SIRT.

Prognostic significance of pre-treatment ALBI grade in advanced non-small cell lung cancer receiving immune checkpoint therapy

The liver is an essential organ for regulating innate and acquired immunity. We hypothesized that the pre-treatment hepatic function affects the clinical outcome of immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) in non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). We analyzed 140 patients with NSCLC who received ICIs. We investigated the association between pre-treatment liver function, assessed using the albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grade, and clinical outcomes in univariate, multivariate, and propensity score matching analyses. Patients were divided into four grades according to pre-treatment liver function. Eighty-eight patients had good hepatic reserve (ALBI grade 1 or 2a), whereas 52 patients had poor hepatic reserve (ALBI grade 2b or 3). In the univariate Kaplan-Meier analysis, the ALBI grade 1, 2a group had a significantly prolonged progression-free survival (PFS, 5.3 versus 2.5 months, p = 0.0019) and overall survival (OS, 19.6 vs. 6.2 months, p = 0.0002). These results were consistent, regardless of whether the analysis was performed in patients with a performance status of 0 or 1 at pre-treatment (N = 124) or in those selected using propensity score matching (N = 76). In the multivariate analysis, pre-treatment ALBI grade was an independent prognostic factor for both PFS (hazard ratio [HR] 0.57, 95% confidence interval [95% CI] 0.38-0.86, p = 0.007) and OS (HR 0.45, 95% CI 0.29-0.72, p = 0.001). Our results suggest that pre-treatment hepatic function assessed by ALBI grade could be an essential biomarker for predicting the efficacy of treatment with ICIs in NSCLC.

Locoregional therapies in the era of molecular and immune treatments for hepatocellular carcinoma

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the fourth leading cause of cancer-related mortality and has an increasing incidence worldwide. Locoregional therapies, defined as imaging-guided liver tumour-directed procedures, play a leading part in the management of 50-60% of HCCs. Radiofrequency is the mainstay for local ablation at early stages and transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) remains the standard treatment for intermediate-stage HCC. Other local ablative techniques (microwave ablation, cryoablation and irreversible electroporation) or locoregional therapies (for example, radioembolization and sterotactic body radiation therapy) have been explored, but have not yet modified the standard therapies established decades ago. This understanding is currently changing, and several drugs have been approved for the management of advanced HCC. Molecular therapies dominate the adjuvant trials after curative therapies and combination strategies with TACE for intermediate stages. The rationale for these combinations is sound. Local therapies induce antigen and proinflammatory cytokine release, whereas VEGF inhibitors and tyrosine kinase inhibitors boost immunity and prime tumours for checkpoint inhibition. In this Review, we analyse data from randomized and uncontrolled studies reported with ablative and locoregional techniques and examine the expected effects of combinations with systemic treatments. We also discuss trial design and benchmarks to be used as a reference for future investigations in the dawn of a promising new era for HCC treatment.

Systemic therapy of liver cancer

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a lethal malignancy with poor prognosis. More than 80% of patients are diagnosed at an advanced stage, and most patients with HCC also have liver cirrhosis that complicates cancer management. No targeted treatment options currently exist outside genomics-based clinical trials. Multiple tyrosine kinase inhibitors (mTKIs) such as sorafenib, lenvatinib, cabozantinib, and regorafenib have been used to treat advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (aHCC). Immune checkpoint inhibitors including nivolumab and pembrolizumab have shown survival benefit. More recently, atezolizumab in combination with bevacizumab resulted in improved overall survival and progression-free survival, compared with sorafenib in patients with aHCC in the first-line setting. The combination of nivolumab with ipilimumab as an alternative in the treatment of patients treated with sorafenib has inspired various combination studies of immune checkpoint inhibitors. Currently, ongoing studies of systemic therapy consist of various immune-based combination therapies. Finally, there is no established adjuvant and neoadjuvant therapy although a few early phase studies show promising results. In this chapter, we summarize current approaches of systemic treatment in patients with liver cancer.

Prognostic Performance of Albumin-Bilirubin Grade With Artificial Intelligence for Hepatocellular Carcinoma Treated With Transarterial Chemoembolization Combined With Sorafenib

Purpose

To establish albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grade-based and Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CTP) grade-based nomograms, as well as to develop an artificial neural network (ANN) model to compare the prognostic performance and discrimination of these two grades for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) treated with transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) combined with sorafenib as an initial treatment.

Methods

This multicenter retrospective study included patients from three hospitals between January 2013 and August 2018. In the training cohort, independent risk factors associated with overall survival (OS) were identified by univariate and multivariate analyses. The nomograms and ANN were established and then validated in two validation cohorts.

Results

A total of 504 patients (319, 61, and 124 patients from hospitals A, B, and C, respectively) were included. The median OS was 15.2, 26.9, and 14.8 months in the training cohort and validation cohorts 1 and 2, respectively (P = 0.218). In the training cohort, both ALBI grade and CTP grade were identified as independent risk factors. The ALBI grade-based and CTP grade-based nomograms were established separately and showed similar prognostic performance and discrimination when validated in the validation cohorts (C-index in validation cohort 1: 0.799 vs. 0.779, P = 0.762; in validation cohort 2: 0.700 vs. 0.693, P = 0.803). The ANN model showed that the ALBI grade had higher importance in survival prediction than the CTP grade.

Conclusions

The ALBI grade and CTP grade have comparable prognostic performance for HCC patients treated with TACE combined with sorafenib. ALBI grades 1 and 2 have the potential to act as a stratification factor for clinical trials on the combination therapy of TACE and systemic therapy.

Effect of ramucirumab on ALBI grade in patients with advanced HCC: Results from REACH and REACH-2

Background & Aims

The albumin–bilirubin (ALBI) grade/score is derived from a validated nomogram to objectively assess prognosis and liver function in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). In this post hoc analysis, we assessed prognosis in terms of survival by baseline ALBI grade and monitored liver function during treatment with ramucirumab or placebo using the ALBI score in patients with advanced HCC.

Methods

Patients with advanced HCC, Child-Pugh class A with prior sorafenib treatment were randomised in REACH trials to receive ramucirumab 8 mg/kg or placebo every 2 weeks. Data were analysed by trial and as a meta-analysis of individual patient-level data (pooled population) from REACH (alpha-fetoprotein ≥400 ng/ml) and REACH-2. Patients from REACH with Child-Pugh class B were analysed as a separate cohort. The ALBI grades and scores were calculated at baseline and before each treatment cycle.

Results

Baseline characteristics by ALBI grade were balanced between treatment arms among patients in the pooled population (ALBI-1, n = 231; ALBI-2, n = 296; ALBI-3, n = 7). Baseline ALBI grade was prognostic for overall survival (OS; ALBI grade 2 vs. 1; hazard ratio [HR]: 1.38 [1.13–1.69]), after adjusting for other significant prognostic factors. Mean ALBI scores remained stable in both treatment arms compared with baseline and were unaffected by baseline ALBI grade, macrovascular invasion, tumour response, geographical region, or prior locoregional therapy. Baseline ALBI grades 2 and 3 were associated with increased incidence of liver-specific adverse events and discontinuation rates in both treatments. Ramucirumab improved OS in patients with baseline ALBI grade 1 (HR 0.605 [0.445–0.824]) and ALBI grade 2 (HR 0.814 [0.630–1.051]).

Conclusions

Compared with placebo, ramucirumab did not negatively impact liver function and improved survival irrespective of baseline ALBI grade.

Lay summary

Hepatocellular carcinoma is the third leading cause of cancer-related death worldwide. Prognosis is affected by many clinical factors including liver function both before and during anticancer treatment. Here we have used a validated approach to assess liver function using 2 laboratory parameters, serum albumin and bilirubin (ALBI), both before and during treatment with ramucirumab in 2 phase III placebo-controlled studies. We confirm the practicality of using this more simplistic approach in assessing liver function prior to and during anticancer therapy, and demonstrate ramucirumab did not impair liver function when compared with placebo.

•

In patients with HCC, the severity of coexisting liver dysfunction is usually categorised using the Child-Pugh system.

•

We demonstrate that the simpler albumin–bilirubin (ALBI) nomogram can be used for pre-treatment prognostication and on-treatment assessment.

•

Ramucirumab did not negatively impact on liver function compared to placebo in patients with advanced HCC and elevated AFP.

•

Liver-specific adverse events were reported more frequently in patients with more severe liver disfunction at baseline.

•

Ramucirumab provided a survival benefit irrespective of baseline liver function in patients with advanced HCC and elevated AFP.

An Intraoperative Model for Predicting Survival and Deciding Therapeutic Schedules: A Comprehensive Analysis of Peritoneal Metastasis in Patients With Advanced Gastric Cancer

Background and Objective: No specialized prognostic model for patients with gastric cancer with peritoneal metastasis (GCPM) exists for intraoperative clinical decision making. This study aims to establish a new prognostic model to provide individual treatment decisions for patients with GCPM.

Method: This retrospective analysis included 324 patients with GCPM diagnosed pathologically by laparoscopy from January 2007 to January 2018 who were randomly assigned to different sets (227 in the training set and 97 in the internal validation set). A nomogram was established from preoperative and intraoperative variables determined by a Cox model. The predictive ability and clinical applicability of the PM nomogram (PMN) were compared with the 15th Japanese Classification of Gastric Carcinoma (JCGC) Staging Guidelines for PM (P1abc). Additional external validation was performed using a dataset (n = 39) from the First Affiliated Hospital of University of Science and Technology of China.

Results: The median survival time was 8 (range, 1–90) months. In the training set, each PMN substage had significantly different survival curves (P < 0.001), and the PMN was superior to the P1abc based on the results of time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curve, C-index, Akaike information criterion and likelihood ratio chi-square analyses. In the internal and external validation sets, the PMN was also better than the P1abc in terms of its predictive ability. Of the PMN1 patients, those undergoing palliative resection had better overall survival (OS) than those undergoing exploratory surgery (P < 0.05). Among the patients undergoing exploratory surgery, those who received chemotherapy exhibited better OS than those who did not (P < 0.05). Among the patients who received palliative resection, only PMN1 patients exhibited better OS following chemotherapy (P < 0.05).

Conclusion: We developed and validated a simple, specific PM model for patients with GCPM that can predict prognosis well and guide treatment decisions.

Modified ypTNM Staging Classification for Gastric Cancer after Neoadjuvant Therapy: A Multi-Institutional Study

BACKGROUND

The benefits of neoadjuvant therapy for patients with locally advanced gastric cancer (GC) are increasingly recognized. The 8th edition of the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) Staging Manual first proposed ypTNM staging, but its accuracy is controversial. This study aims to develop a modified ypTNM staging.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Clinicopathological data of 1,791 patients who underwent curative-intent gastrectomy after neoadjuvant therapy in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database, as the development cohort, were retrospectively analyzed. Modified ypTNM staging was established based on overall survival (OS). We compared the prognostic performance of the AJCC 8th edition ypTNM staging and the modified staging for patients after neoadjuvant therapy.

RESULTS

In the development cohort, the 5-year OS for AJCC stages I, II, and III was 58.8%, 39.1%, and 21.6%, respectively, compared with 69.9%, 54.4%, 34.4%, 24.1%, and 13.6% for modified ypTNM stages IA, IB, II, IIIA, and IIIB. The modified staging had better discriminatory ability (C-index: 0.620 vs. 0.589, p < .001), predictive homogeneity (likelihood ratio chi-square: 140.71 vs. 218.66, p < .001), predictive accuracy (mean difference in Bayesian information criterion: 64.94; net reclassification index: 35.54%; integrated discrimination improvement index: 0.032; all p < .001), and model stability (time-dependent receiver operating characteristics curves) over AJCC. Decision curve analysis showed that the modified staging achieved a better net benefit than AJCC. In external validation (n = 266), the modified ypTNM staging had superior prognostic predictive power (all p < .05).

CONCLUSION

We have developed and validated a modified ypTNM staging through multicenter data that is superior to the AJCC 8th edition ypTNM staging, allowing more accurate assessment of the prognosis of patients with GC after neoadjuvant therapy.

IMPLICATIONS FOR PRACTICE

The 8th edition of the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) Staging Manual first proposed ypTNM staging, but its accuracy is controversial. Based on multi-institutional data, this study developed a modified ypTNM staging, which is superior to the AJCC 8th edition ypTNM staging, allowing more accurate assessment of the prognosis of patients with gastric cancer after neoadjuvant therapy.

Neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio and albumin bilirubin grade in hepatocellular carcinoma: A systematic review

BACKGROUND

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a frequent cause of cancer related death globally. Neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and albumin bilirubin (ALBI) grade are emerging prognostic indicators in HCC.

AIM

To study published literature of NLR and ALBI over the last five years, and to validate NLR and ALBI locally in our centre as indicators of HCC survival.

METHODS

A systematic review of the published literature on PubMed of NLR and ALBI in HCC over the last five years. The search followed the guidelines of the preferred reporting items for systematic reviews and meta-analyses. Additionally, we also investigated HCC cases between December 2013 and December 2018 in our centre.

RESULTS

There were 54 studies describing the relation between HCC and NLR and 95 studies describing the relation between HCC and ALBI grade over the last five years. Our local cohort of patients showed NLR to have a significant negative relationship to survival (P = 0.011). There was also significant inverse relationship between the size of the largest HCC nodule and survival (P = 0.009). Median survival with alpha fetoprotein (AFP) < 10 KU/L was 20 mo and with AFP > 10 KU/L was 5 mo. We found that AFP was inversely related to survival, this relationship was not statically significant (P = 0.132). Mean survival for ALBI grade 1 was 37.7 mo, ALBI grade 2 was 13.4 months and ALBI grade 3 was 4.5 mo. ALBI grades performed better than Child Turcotte Pugh score in detecting death from HCC.

CONCLUSION

NLR and ALBI grade in HCC predict survival better than the conventional alpha fetoprotein. ALBI grade performs better than Child Turcotte Pugh score. These markers are done as part of routine clinical care and in cases of normal alpha fetoprotein, these markers could give a better understanding of the patient disease progression. NLR and ALBI grade could have a role in modified easier to learn staging and prognostic systems for HCC.

Analysis of Post-Progression Survival in Patients with Unresectable Hepatocellular Carcinoma Treated with Lenvatinib

BACKGROUND

Although a strong antitumor effect of lenvatinib (LEN) has been noted for patients with unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), there are still no reports on the prognosis for patients with disease progression after first-line LEN therapy.

METHODS

Patients (n = 141) with unresectable HCC, Child-Pugh class A liver function, and an Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status (ECOG-PS) of 0 or 1 who were treated with LEN from March 2018 to December 2019 were enrolled.

RESULTS

One hundred and five patients were treated with LEN as first-line therapy, 53 of whom had progressive disease (PD) at the radiological evaluation. Among the 53 patients with PD, there were 27 candidates for second-line therapy, who had Child-Pugh class A liver function and an ECOG-PS of 0 or 1 at progression. After progression on first-line LEN, 28 patients were treated with a molecular targeted agent (MTA) as second-line therapy (sorafenib: n = 26; ramucirumab: n = 2). Multivariate analysis identified modified albumin-bilirubin grade 1 or 2a at LEN initiation (odds ratio 5.18, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.465-18.31, p = 0.011) as a significant and independent factor for candidates. The median post-progression survival after PD on first-line LEN was 8.3 months. Cox hazard multivariate analysis showed that a low alpha-fetoprotein level (<400 ng/mL; hazard ratio [HR] 0.297, 95% CI 0.099-0.886, p = 0.003), a relative tumor volume <50% at the time of progression (HR 0.204, 95% CI 0.07-0.592, p = 0.03), and switching to MTAs as second-line treatment after LEN (HR 0.299, 95% CI 0.12-0.746, p = 0.01) were significant prognostic factors.

CONCLUSION

Among patients with PD on first-line LEN, good liver function at introduction of LEN was an important and favorable factor related to eligibility for second-line therapy. In addition, post-progression treatment with MTAs could improve the prognosis for patients who had been treated with first-line LEN.

Factors Associated With Detection and Survival of T1 Hepatocellular Carcinoma in the United States: National Cancer Database Analysis

Background: It remains unknown to what extent hepatocellular carcinomas (HCCs) are detected very early (T1 stage; ie, unifocal <2 cm) in the United States. The aim of this study was to investigate the trends and factors associated with very early detection of HCC and resultant outcomes. Methods: Patients with HCC diagnosed from 2004 through 2014 were identified from the National Cancer Database. Logistic regression was used to identify factors associated with T1 HCC detection, and Cox proportional hazard analyses identified factors associated with overall survival among patients with T1 HCC. Results: Of 110,182 eligible patients, the proportion with T1 HCC increased from 2.6% in 2004 to 6.8% in 2014 (P<.01). The strongest correlate of T1 HCC detection was receipt of care at an academic institution (odds ratio, 3.51; 95% CI, 2.31–5.34). Older age, lack of insurance, high Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score, high alpha-fetoprotein, increased Charlson-Deyo comorbidity score, and nonsurgical treatment were associated with increased mortality, and care at an academic center (hazard ratio [HR], 0.27; 95% CI, 0.15–0.48) was associated with reduced mortality in patients with T1 HCC. Liver transplantation (HR, 0.27; 95% CI, 0.20–0.37) and surgical resection (HR, 0.67; 95% CI, 0.48–0.93) were independently associated with improved survival compared with ablation. This is the first study to examine the trend of T1 HCC using the National Cancer Database, which covers approximately 70% of all cancer diagnoses in the United States, using robust statistical analyses. Limitations of the study include a retrospective study design using administrative data and some pertinent data that were not available. Conclusions: Despite increases over time, <10% of HCCs are detected at T1 stage. The strongest correlates of survival among patients with T1 HCC are receiving care at an academic institution and surgical treatment.

Hepatocellular carcinoma, novel therapies on the horizon

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the most common primary liver cancer and is associated with high mortality rate. Incidence remains high due to the persistent prevalence of viral hepatitis, alcoholic cirrhosis, and non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NFLD). Despite screening efforts, the majority of patients present with advanced disease, add to the high risk of recurrence after curative surgery. Conventional chemotherapy did not alter the nature history of advanced and metastatic HCC. The discovery of multiple tyrosine kinase inhibitors (TKIs) led to the approval of sorafenib as first efficacious therapy. A new era in the treatment paradigm of HCC is evolving. Since the advent of sorafenib as an active treatment option for patients presenting with advanced or metastatic disease, several agents have been examined. This was linked with many failures, and success stories to celebrate. Herein, we describe the historical progress and current advances of systemic therapies post-sorafenib. Lenvatinib, regorafenib, cabozantinib, ramucirumab, pembrolizumab, and nivolumab, are all presently added and available therapeutic options in the advanced setting. The evaluation of novel treatment combinations including anti-angiogenic, TKIs plus checkpoint inhibitors, add to dual checkpoint inhibitors is evolving rapidly starting with the advent of the combination of atezolizumab plus bevacizumab. Combining local and systemic therapies is being actively investigated, as an option for locally advanced disease conventionally treated with locoregional approaches. The horizon remains promising and continues to evolve for HCC a disease long considered with unmet needs.

A differential risk assessment and decision model for Transarterial chemoembolization in hepatocellular carcinoma based on hepatic function

BACKGROUND

The decision of transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) initiation and/or repetition remains challenging in patients with unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). The aim was to develop a prognostic scoring system to guide TACE initiation/repetition.

METHODS

A total of 597 consecutive patients who underwent TACE as their initial treatment for unresectable HCC were included. We derived a prediction model using independent risk factors for overall survival (OS), which was externally validated in an independent cohort (n = 739).

RESULTS

Independent risk factors of OS included Albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grade, maximal tumor size, alpha-fetoprotein, and tumor response to initial TACE, which were used to develop a scoring system ("ASAR"). C-index values for OS were 0.733 (95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.570-0.871) in the derivation, 0.700 (95% CI = 0.445-0.905) in the internal validation, and 0.680 (95% CI = 0.652-0.707) in the external validation, respectively. Patients with ASAR< 4 showed significantly longer OS than patients with ASAR≥4 in all three datasets (all P < 0.001). Among Child-Pugh class B patients, a modified model without TACE response, i.e., "ASA(R)", discriminated OS with a c-index of 0.788 (95% CI, 0.703-0.876) in the derivation, and 0.745 (95% CI, 0.646-0.862) in the internal validation, and 0.670 (95% CI, 0.605-0.725) in the external validation, respectively. Child-Pugh B patients with ASA(R) < 4 showed significantly longer OS than patients with ASA(R) ≥ 4 in all three datasets (all P < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

ASAR provides refined prognostication for repetition of TACE in patients with unresectable HCC. For Child-Pugh class B patients, a modified model with baseline factors might guide TACE initiation.

[Prediction model of mid-term fatality risk after radical resection in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma based on ALBI-grade]

OBJECTIVE

To establish a clinical prediction model of the mid-term fatality risk after radical resection in patients with primary hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) based on the albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grade and to assess its prediction value.

METHODS

Clinical data of 533 patients who received HCC radical resection in Jinhua Hospital of Zhejiang University, Jinhua People's Hospital, Jinhua Hospital of Traditional Chinese Medicine and Jinhua Guangfu Hospital from January 2010 to August 2016 were retrospectively reviewed. In the training group ( n=407), Cox model was used to screen the clinical risk factors of postoperative death, and a predictive model based on ALBI grade was established and then examined in the validation group ( n=126). The value of the prediction model was assessed by ROC curve and calibration curve; the prediction results of the model were visualized by the nomogram for the convenience of clinical use.

RESULTS

Cox model showed that ALT ≥ 80 U/L, tumor maximum diameter ≥ 5 cm, portal vein tumor thrombus and ALBI grade 2 were independent risk factors for the prognosis of patients with HCC radical resection. The prognosis index (PI) was 0.550×ALT+0.512×ALBI grade+0.872×maximum tumor diameter+1.377×portal vein tumor thrombus. The AUCs for predicting the risk of death in 12, 36 and 60 months were 0.872, 0.814 and 0.810, respectively (all P < 0.01), and the goodness of fit ( r 2) of the established model were 0.953, 0.976 and 0.994. AUC of the established model for predicting risk of death in 36 months after resection was 0.814, which was higher than those of ALBI (AUC=0.683), BCLC (AUC=0.713), CLIP (AUC=0.689), Child-Pugh (AUC=0.645), TNM (AUC=0.612) ( P < 0.05 or P < 0.01).

CONCLUSIONS

ALT ≥ 80 U/L, maximum tumor diameter ≥ 5 cm, portal vein tumor thrombus and ALBI grade 2 are independent risk factors of patients after HCC resection, and ALBI grade-based prediction model is satisfactory in prediction of mid-term death risk of the patients.

Comparison between Child-Pugh Score and albumin-bilirubin grade in patients treated with the combination therapy of transarterial chemoembolization and sorafenib for hepatocellular carcinoma

Background

Albumin-Bilirubin (ALBI) grade has been proposed for the evaluation of liver function in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). The combination therapy of transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) and sorafenib is widely used for HCC patients with preserved liver function; our study aimed to investigate and compare the discriminating values of ALBI grade and Child-Pugh score in overall survival (OS).

Methods

A total of 173 HCC patients with preserved liver function (Child-Pugh A) were enrolled. The prognostic values of OS for ALBI grade and Child-Pugh score were separately investigated.

Results

In multivariate analyses, both ALBI grade and Child-Pugh score could significantly stratify the patients with different OS [adjusted hazard ratio (HR) 2.15 and 1.48, P<0.001 and P=0.035 for ALBI grade and Child-Pugh score]. In addition, time-dependent ROC analysis demonstrated that the ALBI grade had a better discriminatory ability than Child-Pugh score in predicting survival, especially for long-term outcomes. According to the subgroup analyses, the ALBI grade remained significant in more patient subsets and was more consistent than Child-Pugh score for the prediction of OS.

Conclusions

ALBI grade was better than Child-Pugh score in stratifying prognosis for HCC patients with preserved liver function (Child-Pugh A) and treated by the combination therapy of TACE and sorafenib.

ALBI versus child-pugh in predicting outcome of patients with HCC: A systematic review

INTRODUCTION

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is an aggressive tumor type which results in poor prognosis. ALBI and Child-Pugh score have been widely applied for predicting prognosis in patients with liver diseases. We conducted a systematic review to compare the prognostic ability of ALBI versus Child-Pugh in HCC patients.

AREAS COVERED

PubMed, EMBASE and Cochrane Library were explored. The data were extracted from every study. Studies investigating HCC patients and comparing the predicting ability between ALBI and Child-Pugh were analyzed.

EXPERT OPINION

This systematic review revealed that ALBI showed better discriminative ability than Child-Pugh for predicting the prognosis in HCC patients. However, the predictive abilities of two scores should be improved. Except for the most common used serum biomarker AFP for diagnosis and surveillance of HCC, recent studies have also explored all aspects of HCC through genome-wide sequencing, exome sequencing, RNA sequencing and genome-wide methylation analysis which provide essential clues for genotyping of HCC. Further studies should explore biomarkers by advanced techniques to validate new prognostic tools for early diagnosis and prognosis of HCC. Moreover, multicenter prospective studies should be carried out to compare the prognostic values of predictive indicators in HCC population in the future.

Prognostic value of the albumin-bilirubin grade in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma and other liver diseases

One of the most commonly used systems for grading liver function in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients is the Child-Pugh (CP) score. However, the CP scoring system is not without its shortcomings: for example, the cut-off values for the parameters are calculated arbitrarily and the assessment of ascites and hepatic encephalopathy is subjective. More recently, an alternative to traditional CP grade has emerged in the form of albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grade. The predictive value provided for HCC patients by the ALBI grade is comparable to that of the CP grade; however, it can also surpass CP grade by greatly reducing subjectivity and further subdividing CP A patients into several different groups, thus improving the prognosis judgment and helping to inform clinicians’ optimal decision-making. The application of the ALBI grade into currently used HCC staging systems such as the Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) staging system, the Cancer of the Liver Italian Program (CLIP) staging system, and the Japan Integrated Staging (JIS) score, etc., as well as newly produced systems like the ALBI-PLT grade, the ALBI and progression disease (ALBI-PD) grade and Modified Intermediate Stage of Liver Cancer (MICAN) criteria, greatly elevates prognostic power.

Serum Zinc Level Grading System: A Useful Model for Composite Hepatic Events in Hepatitis C Virus-Associated Liver Cirrhosis

We aimed to clarify the impact of the serum zinc (Zn) level grading system proposed by the Japanese society of clinical nutrition (JSCN: 80 μg/dL < serum Zn level <130 μg/dL (type A), 60 μg/dL < serum Zn level <80 μg/dL (type B), and serum Zn level <60 μg/dL (type C)) in patients with hepatitis C virus (HCV)-related liver cirrhosis (LC) on the incidence of composite hepatic events (Com-HEs) compared with Child-Pugh (C-P) classification or albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grade. (n = 275, median age = 67 years). The Akaike information criterion (AIC) was compared among three prognostic models. Factors associated with the incidence of Com-HEs were also studied. The first incidence of any HE was confirmed in 112 patients (40.7%). The AIC value for Com-HEs by the Zn level grading system was the lowest among the three prognostic models (AIC: 301.788 in Zn level grading system, 303.372 in ALBI grade, and 333.953 in C-P classification). In the multivariate analysis, male (p = 0.0031), ALBI grade 3 (p = 0.0041), type B (p = 0.0238), type C (p = 0.0004), and persistent viremia (p < 0.0001) were significant factors associated with the incidence of Com-HEs. In conclusion, the serum Zn level grading system proposed by JSCN can be helpful for estimating the incidence of Com-HEs in HCV-related LC patients.

Prognostic Value of Albumin-to-Alkaline Phosphatase Ratio in Hepatocellular Carcinoma Patients Treated with Liver Transplantation

Background: The albumin-to-alkaline phosphatase ratio (AAPR) is a newly developed index which was used to predict prognosis of HCC patients. However, its prognostic role in HCC patients undergoing liver transplantation (LT) remains unclear. This study aimed to investigate the correlation between AAPR and prognosis of these patients. Methods: A total of 210 patients who underwent LT from January 2003 to January 2014 were retrospectively analyzed (149 for discovery and 61 for validation). Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to determine the discriminative ability of the AAPR in predicting long-term survival. The area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUC) was calculated to compare the accuracy of different factors. Results: Patients with high AAPR level were associated with less ascites rate (30.6% versus 53.2%, P=0.033) as well as more frequencies of Child-Pugh class A (73.6% versus 35.1%, P=0.001). Univariate and multivariate analyses suggested the AAPR was independent prognostic factor in predicting overall survival (HR: 0.585, 95% CI: 0.363-0.941, P=0.027). Validation cohort confirmed prognostic value of AAPR. Subgroup analysis demonstrated that reduced AAPR level was associated with worse prognosis in HCC patients categorized in Child-Pugh class A (P=0.029). The AUCs of the AAPR were 0.710 and 0.744 in predicting 3-year and 5-year survival outcomes, respectively. Conclusions: The study showed in two independent cohorts of HCC patients treated by LT that elevated AAPR was associated with better OS. As a low-cost routine laboratory test, it should be considered as biomarker in the clinical management of HCC.

Implications for restaging in gastric cancer with peritoneal metastasis based on the 15th Japanese Classification of Gastric Carcinoma: An analysis from a comprehensive center

BACKGROUND

and purpose: For gastric cancer patients with peritoneal metastasis (GCPM), there is no universally accepted prognostic staging system. This study aimed to validate the predictive ability of the 15th peritoneal metastasis staging system (P1abc) of the Japanese Classification of Gastric Carcinoma (JCGC).

METHODS

The data of 309 GCPM patients from July 2007 to July 2017 were retrospectively analyzed. This study compared the prognosis prediction performances of P1abc, the previous JCGC PM staging (P123) and Gilly staging systems.

RESULTS

The survival curve revealed a significant difference in overall survival (OS) predicted by P1abc, P123 and Gilly staging (all P < 0.05), and the survival of the two adjacent substages were well distinguished by P1abc but not by P123 and Gilly staging. Both P123 and Gilly staging were substituted with P1abc staging in a 2-step multivariate analysis. The results showed that P1abc staging was superior to both P123 and Gilly staging in its discriminatory ability (C-index), predictive accuracy (AIC) and predictive homogeneity (likelihood ratio chi-square). A stratified analysis by different therapies indicated that for the P1a and P1b patients, OS following palliative resection combined with palliative chemotherapy (PRCPC) was better than that after palliative resection (PR) or palliative chemotherapy (PC) alone (P < 0.05). For the P1c patients, OS after receiving PC was significantly superior to that after receiving PRCPC or PR (P = 0.021).

CONCLUSION

P1abc staging is superior to P123 and Gilly staging in predicting the survival of GCPM patients. Surgeons can provide these patients with appropriate treatment options according to the corresponding substages within P1abc.

Improved survival prediction and comparison of prognostic models for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma treated with sorafenib

BACKGROUND

The 'Prediction Of Survival in Advanced Sorafenib-treated HCC' (PROSASH) model addressed the heterogeneous survival of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) treated with sorafenib in clinical trials but requires validation in daily clinical practice. This study aimed to validate, compare and optimize this model for survival prediction.

METHODS

Patients treated with sorafenib for HCC at five tertiary European centres were retrospectively staged according to the PROSASH model. In addition, the optimized PROSASH-II model was developed using the data of four centres (training set) and tested in an independent dataset. These models for overall survival (OS) were then compared with existing prognostic models.

RESULTS

The PROSASH model was validated in 445 patients, showing clear differences between the four risk groups (OS 16.9-4.6 months). A total of 920 patients (n = 615 in training set, n = 305 in validation set) were available to develop PROSASH-II. This optimized model incorporated fewer and less subjective parameters: the serum albumin, bilirubin and alpha-foetoprotein, and macrovascular invasion, extrahepatic spread and largest tumour size on imaging. Both PROSASH and PROSASH-II showed improved discrimination (C-index 0.62 and 0.63, respectively) compared with existing prognostic scores (C-index ≤0.59).

CONCLUSIONS

In HCC patients treated with sorafenib, individualized prediction of survival and risk group stratification using baseline prognostic and predictive parameters with the PROSASH model was validated. The refined PROSASH-II model performed at least as good with fewer and more objective parameters. PROSASH-II can be used as a tool for tailored treatment of HCC in daily practice and to define pre-planned subgroups for future studies.

Combined albumin-bilirubin grade and Mac-2 binding protein glycosylation isomer as a useful predictor in compensated liver cirrhosis

We aimed to compare the impact on survival among albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grade, modified ALBI (mALBI) and our proposed combined ALBI grade and Mac-2 binding protein glycosylation isomer (M2BPGi) or FIB4 index grading system in chronic hepatitis C (CHC) related compensated liver cirrhosis (n = 165, 93 men and 72 women, median age = 67 years). Patients with ALBI grade 1, 2, and 3 were allocated a score of 1, 2, and 3 points, respectively. Patients with mALBI grade 1, 2A, and 2B were allocated a score of 1, 2, and 3 points, respectively. Patients with a high or low M2BPGi were allocated a score of 1 and 0 point. Patients with a high or low FIB4 index were allocated a score of 1 and 0 point. Sum of the point of ALBI (1, 2, or 3) and M2BPGi (0 or 1) or FIB4 index (0 or 1) was defined as ALBI-M2BPGi grade or ALBI-FIB4 grade. Prognostic accuracy was compared using the Akaike information criterion (AIC) value and time dependent receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curve analysis. The median follow-up duration was 5.422 years. AIC value for survival by ALBI-M2BPGi grade was the lowest among 4 prognostic models (AIC: 205.731 in ALBI grade, 200.913 in mALBI grade, 189.816 in ALBI-M2BPGi grade, and 204.671 in ALBI-FIB4 grade). All area under the ROC curves of ALBI-M2BPGi grade in each time point were higher than those of ALBI grade, mALBI grade, and ALBI-FIB4 grade. In conclusion, our proposed ALBI-M2BPGi grading system seems to be helpful for estimating prognosis in patients with CHC related compensated LC.

Serum Zinc Level Classification System: Usefulness in Patients with Liver Cirrhosis

Currently, the Japanese society of clinical nutrition (JSCN) defines serum zinc (Zn) level < 60 μg/dL as Zn deficiency and 60 μg/dL ≤ serum Zn level < 80 μg/dL as subclinical Zn deficiency, and 80 μg/dL ≤ serum Zn level < 130 μg/dL as normal Zn range. We aimed to elucidate the prognostic impact of this Zn classification system in patients with liver cirrhosis (LC) compared to the Child–Pugh classification and the albumin–bilirubin (ALBI) grading system (n = 441, median age = 66 years). The Akaike information criterion (AIC) with each evaluation method was tested in order to compare the overall survival (OS). The median serum Zn level was 65 μg/dL. There were 56 patients with normal Zn level, 227 with subclinical Zn deficiency and 158 with Zn deficiency. OS was well stratified among three groups of serum Zn level (p < 0.0001). The AIC value for survival by the Zn classification system was the lowest among three prognostic models (AIC: 518.99 in the Child–Pugh classification, 502.411 in ALBI grade and 482.762 in the Zn classification system). Multivariate analyses of factors associated with OS revealed that serum Zn classification by JSCN was an independent factor. In conclusion, the serum Zn classification proposed by JSCN appears to be helpful for estimating prognosis in LC patients.

Application of preoperative artificial neural network based on blood biomarkers and clinicopathological parameters for predicting long-term survival of patients with gastric cancer

BACKGROUND

Because of the powerful abilities of self-learning and handling complex biological information, artificial neural network (ANN) models have been widely applied to disease diagnosis, imaging analysis, and prognosis prediction. However, there has been no trained preoperative ANN (preope-ANN) model to preoperatively predict the prognosis of patients with gastric cancer (GC).

AIM

To establish a neural network model that can predict long-term survival of GC patients before surgery to evaluate the tumor condition before the operation.

METHODS

The clinicopathological data of 1608 GC patients treated from January 2011 to April 2015 at the Department of Gastric Surgery, Fujian Medical University Union Hospital were analyzed retrospectively. The patients were randomly divided into a training set (70%) for establishing a preope-ANN model and a testing set (30%). The prognostic evaluation ability of the preope-ANN model was compared with that of the American Joint Commission on Cancer (8^th edition) clinical TNM (cTNM) and pathological TNM (pTNM) staging through the receiver operating characteristic curve, Akaike information criterion index, Harrell's C index, and likelihood ratio chi-square.

RESULTS

We used the variables that were statistically significant factors for the 3-year overall survival as input-layer variables to develop a preope-ANN in the training set. The survival curves within each score of the preope-ANN had good discrimination (P < 0.05). Comparing the preope-ANN model, cTNM, and pTNM in both the training and testing sets, the preope-ANN model was superior to cTNM in predictive discrimination (C index), predictive homogeneity (likelihood ratio chi-square), and prediction accuracy (area under the curve). The prediction efficiency of the preope-ANN model is similar to that of pTNM.

CONCLUSION

The preope-ANN model can accurately predict the long-term survival of GC patients, and its predictive efficiency is not inferior to that of pTNM stage.

Application of the Albumin-Bilirubin Grade in Predicting the Prognosis of Patients With Hepatocellular Carcinoma: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

BACKGROUND

The albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grade has exhibited an equal excellence with the Child-Pugh (C-P) grade in predicting overall survival (OS) of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). However, available published results of the ALBI grade in predicting the prognosis of HCC are still limited. The goal of this study is to perform a systematic review and meta-analysis of the available data to comprehensively evaluate the ALBI grade in predicting OS of patients with HCC.

METHODS

Multiple databases were systematically searched for eligible studies. Studies analyzing the relationship between the ALBI grade and survival outcome were identified. Hazard ratio (HR) with 95% confidence interval (CI) was calculated to assess the risk. All statistical analyses were conducted by R version 3.3.1 (The R Foundation for Statistical Computing, Vienna, Austria).

RESULTS

A total of 8 studies were enrolled in the meta-analysis. The pooled estimates demonstrated a significant relationship between elevated ALBI grade and inferior OS in patients with HCC (grade 1 vs 2: HR = 1.71, 95% CI: 1.52-1.92; grade 1 vs 3: HR = 3.81, 95% CI: 2.75-5.29.). In addition, the same tendency was observed when performing subgroup analysis, including treatment strategies (surgical resection, transcatheter arterial chemoembolization, radiofrequency ablation, and sorafenib) and study regions (Japan, Europe, China, and the USA). Moreover, the ALBI grade was able to classify patients with C-P grade A into 2 distinct prognostic cohorts-ALBI grade 1 and ALBI grade 2-with distinguishing survival outcomes (surgical resection: grade 1 vs 2: HR = 1.74, 95% CI: 1.55-2.06, P < .001; sorafenib: grade 1 vs 2: HR = 1.54, 95% CI: 1.30-1.82, P < .001).

CONCLUSION

The ALBI grade has the potency of becoming an independent prognostic factor in patients with HCC. More well-designed studies should be performed to evaluate the ALBI grade as a complementary prognostic tool to current staging systems in routine clinical practice.

Sorafenib for Patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma and Child-Pugh B Liver Cirrhosis: Lessons Learned from a Terminated Study

Lessons Learned

Recruitment of patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma and Child‐Pugh B for sorafenib treatment and additional pharmacokinetic studies is challenging.

Patients with Child‐Pugh B liver cirrhosis have high rates of cirrhosis‐related adverse events.

Background

Few data are available on the pharmacokinetics (PK) of sorafenib in patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and Child‐Pugh B liver cirrhosis. This study aimed to explore the sorafenib PK and its relationship with efficacy and toxicity in these patients.

Methods

Patients with advanced HCC and Child‐Pugh B7‐8 liver function were prospectively recruited at a tertiary center. Adverse events (AEs), progression‐free survival (PFS), and overall survival (OS) were recorded. Patients received a starting dose of 200 b.i.d. with toxicity‐adjusted dose escalation to a target dose of 400 mg b.i.d. with PK sampling at fixed time points.

Results

Between May 2014 and March 2017, 12 patients were screened, of whom 7 progressed to a terminal stage during the screening (n = 6) or shortly after recruitment (n = 1). The five included patients had median PFS of 3.8 months (range, 1.7–10.8) and OS of 7.4 months (range, 1.7–25.8). Three patients had severe AEs and one patient had a partial response with an OS of 25.8 months. In 2017, the trial was aborted for lack of accrual.

Conclusion

Because of low accrual, no conclusion can be drawn on the sorafenib PK in patients with advanced HCC and Child‐Pugh B liver cirrhosis. The poor survival and frequent cirrhosis‐related AEs suggest limited benefit for most of these patients.

Newly Proposed ALBI Grade and ALBI-T Score as Tools for Assessment of Hepatic Function and Prognosis in Hepatocellular Carcinoma Patients

BACKGROUND

Because of the rapid progression of antiviral treatment options and the increasing frequency of nonviral-related hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) due to the aging of society, the number of HCC patients with good hepatic function has been increasing and a more detailed method of assessment of hepatic function is needed. The Child-Pugh classification (CP) is used worldwide as an assessment tool for hepatic reserve function, even though it has some weaknesses. Recently, the albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grade, calculated based on only albumin and total bilirubin, was proposed, and recent investigations have suggested that ALBI grade instead of CP can be used as an assessment tool for hepatic function as part of therapeutic strategies such as Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer staging and a practical guideline presented by the Japan Society of Hepatology as well for total staging scoring systems. There has been an increasing number of reports showing that it has better capability than CP for HCC patients who undergo not only curative but also palliative treatments. Transcatheter arterial chemoembolization (TACE) is a major palliative treatment used for unresectable HCC, and the idea of TACE-refractory status has been proposed to indicate the possibility of switching to a tyrosine kinase inhibitor (TKI). However, TKI administration requires a maintained hepatic reserve function, thus the importance of assessment of hepatic function in patients undergoing TACE treatments has increased. We consider that ALBI grade might also play a significant role as part of a detailed assessment of relative changes in hepatic function during treatment. In this review, we evaluate the practical usefulness of ALBI grade for assessing hepatic function and HCC prognosis.

KEY MESSAGE

A detailed assessment of hepatic function is required for recent HCC therapeutic strategies. ALBI grade may be a powerful tool to improve treatment options for affected patients.

Comparison of new prognostic systems for patients with resectable hepatocellular carcinoma: Albumin-Bilirubin grade and Albumin-Indocyanine Green Evaluation grade

AIM

We aimed to compare the prognostic abilities of two novel liver function-estimating models, Albumin-Bilirubin (ALBI) and Albumin-Indocyanine Green Evaluation (ALICE) grades, in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma.

METHODS

Data of 1270 patients who underwent initial hepatectomy for hepatocellular carcinoma between 1986 and 2016 were retrospectively collected from a multi-institutional database. The prognostic impact of each system was analyzed according to the results of the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, the Cox regression model and the linear trend χ² -test.

RESULTS

The ALBI and ALICE scores, which were obtained before grading status, were significantly correlated (correlation coefficient 0.930; P < 0.001). Both ALBI and ALICE grades stratified well in terms of overall survival, and were found to be independent prognostic factors on multivariate analysis (P < 0.05). The area under the receiver operating characteristic curves for 5-year survival in both groups were equivalent (0.602 vs. 0.614, P = 0.402); however, homogeneity, discriminatory ability, and the Akaike information criterion were superior for the ALICE grade than for the ALBI grade (73.8 vs. 65.7, 43.4 vs. 34.9, and 7204.1 vs. 7212.2, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

Both grading systems could estimate the liver function of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma. Regarding hepatectomy patients, the ALICE grade was a more suitable model than the ALBI grade.

Association between Albumin-Bilirubin Grade and Non-Protein Respiratory Quotient in Patients with Chronic Liver Diseases

We sought to elucidate the relationship between albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grade and non-protein respiratory quotient (npRQ) calculated by indirect calorimetry in chronic liver disease (CLD) patients (n = 601, median age = 63 years). Factors linked to npRQ < 0.85, which is reported to be an optimal cutoff point for the prognosis in liver cirrhosis (LC) patients, were also investigated using univariate and multivariate analyses. The median npRQ for all cases was 0.86. In total, 253 patients (42.1%) had npRQ < 0.85. The proportions of patients with npRQ < 0.85 in LC and non-LC patients were 51.9% (166/320) in LC patients and 31.0% (87/281) in non-LC patients (p < 0.0001). The median npRQ in ALBI grades 1, 2, and 3 for all cases were: 0.89, 0.85, and 0.82 (overall p < 0.0001). The proportions of patients with npRQ < 0.85 were 31.0% (71/229) in ALBI grade 1, 46.34% (152/328) in ALBI grade 2, and 68.18% (30/44) in ALBI grade 3 (overall p < 0.0001). In multivariate analyses of factors linked to npRQ < 0.85, ALBI grade 3 (p = 0.0095, hazard ratio = 3.242, ALBI grade 1 as a reference) was an independent predictor along with prothrombin time (p = 0.0139). In conclusion, ALBI grade can be a useful marker for npRQ in patients with CLDs.

Prognostic Role of Albumin, Bilirubin, and ALBI Scores: Analysis of 1000 Patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma Undergoing Radioembolization

Introduction: We compared the efficacy of the ALBI (albumin-bilirubin) score to the established Child-Pugh (CP) grade in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients treated with yttrium-90 radioembolization (Y90). We further assessed the individual contributions of albumin and bilirubin to survival prediction. Methods: 1000 consecutive HCC patients treated with Y90 were included. Overall survival (OS) was assessed using Kaplan Meier analysis. Sub-stratification analyses were performed using CP and ALBI and in subgroups determined by United Network for Organ Sharing (UNOS) or Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) staging. The independent impact (hazard ratio (HR)) of ALBI, CP, albumin, and bilirubin on survival was assessed using Cox proportional hazards analysis. Results: Median OS for ALBI 1, 2, and 3 grades was 46.7, 19.1, and 8.8 months, respectively. The HR for death for ALBI 2 vs. ALBI 1 was 3.39 (1.75-6.57); ALBI 3 vs. ALBI 1 was 7.58 (3.89-14.79); and the c-index was 0.623. Median OS for CP A, B, and C was 21.7, 11.3, and 6.0 months, respectively. The HR for death for CP B vs. CP A was 2.04 (1.71-2.43); CP C vs. CP A was 3.27 (2.08-5.14); and the c-index was 0.616. Stratified OS showed unique prognostic groups identified by ALBI within CP-B and CP-C. Median OS for albumin grades 1, 2, and 3 was 46.0, 17.1, and 9.1 months, respectively. Median OS for bilirubin grades 1, 2, and 3 was 15.6, 21.0, and 5.8 months, respectively. The HR for death for albumin 2 vs. 1 was 2.48 (1.81-3.41); albumin 3 vs. 1 was 4.74 (3.44-6.54); and the c-index was 0.640. The HR for death for bilirubin 2 vs. 1 was 1.09 (0.82-1.44); bilirubin 3 vs. 1 was 2.37 (1.66-3.40); and the c-index was 0.533. Conclusions: ALBI outperforms CP in survival prognosis in Y90 treated patients. On sub-analyses, serum albumin (not bilirubin) appears to be the main driver of survival prediction. Our study supports the prognostic ability of ALBI and may suggest a role of albumin alone as a biomarker for patients with HCC.

Combined Albumin-Bilirubin Grade and Skeletal Muscle Mass as a Predictor in Liver Cirrhosis

We aimed to compare the prognostic impact among albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grade, the Child-Pugh classification and our proposed combined ALBI grade and skeletal muscle mass (SMM) grading system in patients with liver cirrhosis (LC) (n = 468, 254 males and 214 females) using the Akaike information criterion (AIC) and time-dependent receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curve analysis. SMM was tested using bioimpedance analysis. Male subjects with skeletal muscle mass index (SMI) <7.0 cm²/m² and female subjects with SMI <5.7 cm²/m² were defined as having low SMM. Patients with ALBI grade 1, 2 and 3 were given 1, 2 and 3 points. Patients with and without low SMM were given 1 and 0 point, respectively. The sum of the point of ALBI (1, 2, or 3) and SMM (0 or 1) was defined as the ALBI-SMM grade. The value obtained with the AIC for survival by the ALBI-SMM grade was the lowest among three assessment methods (AIC: 513.418 in ALBI grade, 533.584 in Child-Pugh classification and 493.72 in ALBI-SMM grade). In time-dependent ROC analysis, all area under the ROCs of the ALBI-SMM grade in each time point were the highest among three assessment methods. In conclusion, the ALBI-SMM grading system can be helpful for LC patients.