Validation and comparison of seventeen noninvasive models for evaluating liver fibrosis in Chinese hepatitis B patients

Non-Invasive Monitoring of the Impact of Low-Level Viremia on Liver Fibrosis in Treated Chronic Hepatitis B Patients

Background

Chronic hepatitis B (CHB) presents a global health challenge due to its potential to cause severe liver conditions such as hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and cirrhosis. Prior research has established a correlation between CHB infection with low-level viremia (LLV) and liver disease progression, such as increased HCC incidence. This study aims to investigate whether LLV during treatment with nucleos(t)ide analogs (NAs) contributes to the accelerated progression of liver fibrosis (LF).

Methods

This retrospective cohort study at Jinhua Central Hospital focused on CHB patients undergone NA monotherapy for over 96 weeks. Patients were categorized into maintained virological response (MVR) and LLV groups based on hepatitis B virus (HBV) DNA levels. The study assessed LF using various markers and methods, including chitinase 3-like 1 protein (CHI3L1), aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index (APRI), fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) score, and transient elastography.

Results

Analysis was conducted on 92 CHB patients, categorized into LLV (n=42) and MVR (n=50) groups, following the exclusion of 101 patients for various reasons. Significant findings included lower baseline HBV DNA in MVR (<20 IU/mL) compared to LLV (67.8 IU/mL, P<0.001) and different AST/ALT ratios (LLV: 1.1, MVR: 1.36, P=0.011). LF was assessed using CHI3L1, FIB-4, and APRI, with LLV showing a higher baseline CHI3L1 (LLV:83.3 ng/mL vs MVR: 54.5 ng/mL, P=0.016) and scores compared to MVR, indicative of fibrosis. CHI3L1 levels in LLV were higher at baseline and weeks 48, 72, and 96 than MVR, with significance at baseline (P=0.038) and week 48 (P=0.034). Liver stiffness measurement (LSM) showed a time-dependent decline in both groups but no significant intergroup differences.

Conclusion

Non-invasive monitoring of CHB patients who have received treatment indicates that LLV contributes to the progression of LF, necessitating proactive adjustment of antiviral treatment strategies.

Hepatitis delta coinfection in persons with HIV: misdiagnosis and disease burden in Italy

Hepatitis Delta virus (HDV) causes severe liver disease. Due to similarities in transmission routes, persons living with HIV (PLWH) are at risk of HDV infection. This analysis investigates the prevalence and the long-term clinical outcome of people with HDV in a large cohort of PLWH. We retrieved HBsAg ± anti-HDV positive PLWH enrolled from 1997 to 2015 in the multicentre, prospective ICONA study. The primary endpoint was a composite clinical outcome (CCO = having experienced ≥1 of the following: Fib4 score >3.25; diagnosis of cirrhosis; decompensation; hepatocellular carcinoma or liver-related death). Kaplan-Meier curves and unweighted and weighted Cox regression models were used for data analysis. Less than half of HBsAg positive patients had been tested for anti-HDV in clinical practice. After testing stored sera, among 617 HBV/HIV cases, 115 (19%) were anti-HDV positive; 405 (65%) HBV monoinfected; 99 (16%) undeterminate. The prevalence declined over the observation period. HDV patients were more often males, intravenous drug users, HCV coinfected. After a median of 26 months, 55/115 (48%) developed CCO among HDV+; 98/403 (24%) among HBV monoinfected; 18/99 (18%) in HDV unknown (p < 0.001). After controlling for geographical region, alcohol consumption, CD4 count, anti-HCV status and IFN-based therapies, the association with HDV retained statistical significance [HR = 1.67 (1.15, 2.95; p = 0.025)]. HDV infection among PLWH is underdiagnosed, although HDV entails an high risk of liver disease progression. Because effective drugs to treat HDV are now available, it is even more crucial to identify PLWH at an early stage of liver disease.

Serum biomarkers for liver fibrosis

Liver fibrosis is a common pathway in most chronic liver diseases, characterized by excessive extracellular matrix accumulation. Without treatment, fibrosis will ultimately result in cirrhosis, portal hypertension, and even liver failure. It is considered that liver fibrosis is reversible while cirrhosis is not, making it significant to diagnose and evaluate liver fibrogenesis timely. As the gold standard, liver biopsy is imperfect due to its invasiveness and sampling error. Therefore, attempts at uncovering noninvasive tests have become a hot topic in liver fibrosis. Nowadays, as an important category of noninvasive tests, serum biomarkers, which are safer, convenient, repeatable, and more acceptable, are widely discussed and commonly used in clinical practice. Serum biomarkers of liver fibrosis can be divided into class I (direct) and classⅡ (indirect) markers. However, the diagnostic efficiency still varies among studies. This article summarizes the most established and newly discovered serum biomarkers for hepatic fibrogenesis.

Preoperative aspartate aminotransferase to albumin ratio correlates with tumor characteristics and predicts outcome of hepatocellular carcinoma patients after curative hepatectomy: a multicenter study

Aims

This study aimed to evaluate the clinical significance of the preoperative aminotransferase to albumin ratio (AAR) in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after hepatectomy.

Methods

From five hospitals, a total of 991 patients with HCC admitted between December 2014 and December 2019 were included as the primary cohort and 883 patients with HCC admitted between December 2010 and December 2014 were included as the validation cohort. The X-tile software was conducted to identify the optimal cut-off value of AAR.

Results

In the primary cohort, the optimal cut-off value of the AAR was defined as 0.7 and 1.6, respectively. Compared to patients with AAR 0.7–1.6, those with AAR > 1.6 showed significantly worse overall survival (OS) and RFS, whereas those with AAR < 0.7 showed significantly better OS and RFS (all p < 0.001). Pathologically, patients with AAR > 1.6 had more aggressive tumour characteristics, such as larger tumour size, higher incidence of microvascular invasion, and severe histologic activity, and higher AFP level than patients with AAR < 0.7. Consistently, the abovementioned clinical significance of AAR was confirmed in the validation cohort.

Conclusions

A high AAR was significantly correlated with advanced tumours and severe hepatic inflammation, and a worse prognosis of HCC.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12893-022-01751-4.

Gamma-Glutamyl Transpeptidase-to-Platelet ratio predicts liver fibrosis in patients with concomitant chronic hepatitis B and nonalcoholic fatty liver disease

OBJECTIVES

The aim of this study was to compare the correlation of gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase-to-platelet ratio (GPR), aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index (APRI), fibrosis index-4 (FIB-4), and liver stiffness measurement (LSM) in the diagnosis of liver fibrosis, and perform a diagnostic value of GPR for predicting fibrosis in CHB patients with NAFLD.

METHODS

A retrospective study was conducted on CHB patients concurrent with NAFLD between September 2019 and December 2020. They were divided into control group (LSM ≤ 9.7 kpa) and fibrosis group (LSM ≥ 9.8 kpa). Demographic data were collected; ALT, AST, and PLT were also detected. LSM was measured by transient elastography (TE). The GPR, APRI, and FIB-4 were calculated. The correlation between GPR, APRI, FIB-4, and LSM was compared. The accuracy of predicting liver fibrosis using GPR, APRI, and FIB-4 was assessed.

RESULTS

Eighty-five CHB patients with NAFLD were enrolled. Multivariate analysis showed that age (p = 0.005), GGT (p = 0.001), and PLT (p = 0.013) were the independent risk factors for LSM. The GPR (p = 0.008), APRI (p = 0.001), and FIB-4 (p = 0.001) values in fibrosis group were higher than control group. Pearson linear correlation was used to analyze the correlations between LSM and GPR, APRI, and FIB-4. LSM was correlated with GPR, APRI, and FIB-4. The AUCs of GPR, APRI, and FIB4 were 0.805, 0.766, and 0.826 in assessing liver fibrosis, respectively. No significant differences in the areas of GPR were comparable to that of APRI and FIB-4.

CONCLUSION

GPR has a good correlation with LSM in assessing liver fibrosis and can be used as a noninvasive index for the assessment of liver fibrosis in patients with concomitant CHB and NAFLD.

Optimized cutoffs of gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase-to-platelet ratio, aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index, and fibrosis-4 scoring systems for exclusion of cirrhosis in patients with chronic hepatitis B

Accurate prediction of the extent of fibrosis is of great clinical importance in patients infected with chronic hepatitis B (CHB). This study aimed to compare the performance of gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase-to-platelet ratio (GPR), aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index (APRI), and fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) in evaluating liver fibrosis stages and to identify optimized cutoffs to exclude cirrhosis. Consecutive patients with CHB with liver biopsies were enrolled and randomly divided into derivation and validation cohorts. Areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve were used to evaluate the diagnostic performance of APRI, FIB-4, and GPR to distinguish fibrosis stages. New cutoffs with a sensitivity of at least 90% and a negative predictive value (NPV) of more than 95% were identified. A total of 880 individuals were enrolled in this study. The derivation data set consisted of 617 patients, with 82 patients with cirrhosis. In the validation cohort (n = 263), 29 patients had cirrhosis. APRI, FIB-4, and GPR had comparable diagnostic performance for diagnosing significant fibrosis. GPR outperformed APRI (p < 0.05) in the prediction of cirrhosis. A newly identified GPR score of 0.35 had a sensitivity and NPV of 93.9% and 98.0%, respectively, and misclassified 5 of 82 (6.1%) patients with cirrhosis in the derivation group. All new cutoffs identified in this study also reached our goal in the validation cohort. The new GPR score could rule out a larger proportion of individuals without cirrhosis, and the subgroup analysis showed more stable performance. However, the lower cutoff dose increases the need for further testing compared to the conventional cutoff. Conclusion: A newly identified cutoff for GPR (<0.35) could rule out more patients without cirrhosis compared to APRI and FIB-4 and have low misclassification rates.

Aspartate Aminotransferase to Platelet Ratio Index and Fibrosis-4 Index for Detecting Liver Fibrosis in Patients With Autoimmune Hepatitis: A Meta-Analysis

Background

Aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index (APRI) and fibrosis-4 index (FIB-4) are the two most widely studied noninvasive markers of liver fibrosis. We aimed to assess the diagnostic accuracy of APRI and FIB-4 for liver fibrosis in patients with autoimmune hepatitis (AIH) using liver biopsy as the reference standard.

Methods

PubMed, EMBASE, Cochrane Library and Web of Science databases were searched for studies (published as of May 1st, 2021) that assessed the diagnostic performance of APRI and FIB-4 for liver fibrosis in AIH. The summary area under receiver operating characteristics curve (AUROC), sensitivity, specificity, diagnostic odds ratios were used to assess the diagnostic accuracy of APRI and FIB-4 for detecting liver fibrosis.

Results

Fourteen studies (including 1015 patients) were selected with 13 studies each evaluating the use of APRI and FIB-4 for detecting different stages of fibrosis in AIH. For prediction of significant fibrosis, advanced fibrosis, and cirrhosis, the summary AUROC value was 0.66 [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.61-0.70], 0.71 (95% CI: 0.67-0.75), and 0.75 (95% CI: 0.71-0.79) for APRI, and the summary AUROC value was 0.75 (95% CI: 0.71-0.79), 0.73 (95% CI: 0.69-0.77) and 0.79 (95% CI: 0.75-0.82) for FIB-4, respectively. The summary sensitivity and specificity for diagnosis of significant fibrosis, advanced fibrosis, and cirrhosis were 90% and 36%, 78% and 55%, and 77% and 61% for APRI, and 70% and 70%, 65% and 70%, and 78% and 65% for FIB-4, respectively.

Conclusions

APRI and FIB-4 showed suboptimal diagnostic performance for identifying liver fibrosis in AIH with mediocre sensitivity and specificity.

A novel non-invasive score for the prediction of advanced fibrosis in patients with chronic hepatitis B

INTRODUCTION AND OBJECTIVES

Evaluation of liver fibrosis is important for treatment decisions, complications and to predict prognosis in patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB). Our aim was to develop a new non-invasive fibrosis scoring method and prove its accuracy in the differentiation of no/low grade and advanced fibrosis in patients with CHB.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Our study included 273 chronic hepatitis B patients who underwent liver biopsy from February, 2007 to February, 2019 with medical records retrospectively reviewed. Preparations of these patients were divided into two groups as ≤ 3 no-low grade fibrosis (n=236) and ≥ 4 advanced fibrosis (n=37) according to histological ISHAK fibrosis scoring system.

RESULTS

The newly developed AGAP score and other non-invasive fibrosis scores; Fibrosis-4 index, Aspartate aminotransferase to platelets ratio, Gamma glutamyl transpeptidase to platelet ratio, Goteborg University Cirrhosis Index, King's score, Albumin-bilirubin index, Fibrosis cirrhosis index, Fibrosis index, Fibrosis quotient, Lok score and mean and/or median values of Fibroindex were significantly higher in the advanced fibrosis group compared to the no/low grade fibrosis group (p<0.001). However, there was no significant difference in AAR score among the groups (p=0.265). With cut-off value of 4.038, AUROC value of 0.803, sensitivity of 75.7%, specificity of 73.7% and accuracy of 0.740, AGAP score showed the best performance in advanced fibrosis differentiation compared to 12 other non-invasive fibrosis scoring methods.

CONCLUSIONS

The newly developed AGAP score showed better performance in patients with CHB compared to 12 other non-invasive fibrosis scores in differentiation of no/low grade fibrosis and advanced fibrosis.

GPR, King's Score and S-Index are superior to other non-invasive fibrosis markers in predicting the liver fibrosis in chronic Hepatitis B patients

Background and study aims

In this study, we investigated the efficacy of nine non-invasive fibrosis markers in the assessment of the degree of fibrosis in patients with chronic Hepatitis B (CHB) in comparison with liver biopsy.

Patients and methods

A total of 1454 untreated CHB patients from two different centers who underwent liver biopsy were included in the study. Laboratory results of patients were reviewed retrospectively and the pathology slides were re-evaluated in accordance with the Ishak score. Degree of fibrosis ≥ 3 was accepted as "significant fibrosis", ≥ 4 as "advanced fibrosis", and ≥ 5 as cirrhosis. The diagnostic performance of the markers Aspartate aminotransferase to Platelet Ratio Index (APRI), Fibrosis-4 score (FIB-4), Aspartate aminotransferase to Alanine aminotransferase Ratio (AAR), AAR to Platelet Ratio Index (AAPRI), Gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase to Platelet Ratio (GPR), King's Score, Fibro quotient (Fibro-Q), S Index and Platelet to Lymphocyte Ratio (PLR) were evaluated with ROC analysis.

Results

In detecting significant fibrosis, APRI, GPR, King's Score and S Index had AUROC values over 0.70. For advanced fibrosis, all of the models except AAPRI; and for cirrhosis, all of the models had AUROC values over 0.70. In accordance with the chosen staging system, GPR, King's Score and S Index had high diagnostic efficacy whereas APRI, FIB-4, FibroQ and PLR had moderate diagnostic efficacy, AAR and AAPRI had low diagnostic efficacy.

Conclusions

GPR, King's Score and S Index had moderate diagnostic performance in detecting significant fibrosis and advanced fibrosis, and high diagnostic performance in detecting cirrhosis.

Comparison of two-dimensional shear wave elastography, magnetic resonance elastography, and three serum markers for diagnosing fibrosis in patients with chronic hepatitis B: a meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Two-dimensional shear wave elastography (2D-SWE), magnetic resonance elastography (MRE), aspartate transaminase-to-platelet ratio index (APRI), fibrosis index based on 4 factors (FIB-4), and King's score have been proposed for diagnosing fibrosis.

METHODS

Literature databases were searched until October 1st, 2020. The summary area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC), the summary diagnostic odds ratios, and the summary sensitivities and specificities were used to assess the performance of these noninvasive methods for staging fibrosis.

RESULTS

Our final data contained 72 studies. The prevalence of significant fibrosis, advanced fibrosis, and cirrhosis was 58.3%, 36.2%, and 20.5%, respectively, in chronic hepatitis B (CHB). For 2D-SWE and MRE, the summary AUROCs were 0.89 and 0.97, 0.95 and 0.97, and 0.94 and 0.97 for significant fibrosis, advanced fibrosis, and cirrhosis, respectively. The summary AUROCs using APRI and FIB-4 for detecting significant fibrosis, advanced fibrosis, and cirrhosis were 0.76 and 0.75, 0.74 and 0.77, and 0.77 and 0.82, respectively. The summary AUROCs of King's score for detecting significant fibrosis and cirrhosis were 0.77 and 0.83, respectively.

CONCLUSION

MRE and 2D-SWE may show the best diagnostic accuracy for predicting fibrosis in CHB. Among the three serum markers, King's score may be more useful for diagnosing fibrosis.

The Combination of Age, International Standardized Ratio, Albumin and γ-Glutamyl Transpeptidase (AIAG), Tumor Size and Alpha Fetoprotein (AFP) Stage as the Prognostic Model for Hepatitis B-Related Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Background

Advanced liver fibrosis can lead to cirrhosis, portal hypertension and liver failure. Besides, advanced liver fibrosis and cirrhosis are the major risk factors for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Almost all patients with HCC also have liver cirrhosis. This study aims to predict the survival rate of hepatitis B-related hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) by age, international standardized ratio, albumin and γ-glutamyl transpeptidase (AIAG), an indicator measuring the degree of cirrhosis.

Methods

A total of 501 hepatitis B-related HCC patients experiencing radical surgery were analyzed, retrospectively. General data about demographics and labs were collected at the date of diagnosis to calculate AIAG [age, international standardized ratio (INR), albumin and gamma-glutamyl transferase (GGT)]. The Kaplan–Meier curves and Cox analysis were used to evaluate overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS). The C-index was calculated in R software (version 4.0.3) to evaluate the accuracy of the prognostic model.

Results

During a median follow-up period of 30 months, 31.1% (156/501) of the patients died, and 34.3% (172/501) experienced the recurrence of HCC. Compared with patients with lower AIAG score, patients with higher AIAG score had higher Child-Pugh grade and were at higher Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) stage (both P<0.05). Multivariate analysis suggested that GGT, alpha fetoprotein (AFP), tumor size, BCLC stage and AIAG grade were independent predictors of OS and RFS. Furthermore, the combined use of tumor size, AFP and AIAG stage could predict survival significantly better (C-index=0.710, 95% CI: 0.669–0.751) than BCLC stage.

Conclusion

AIAG is significantly associated with survival of HCC patients, and provides additional prognostic information for patients with HCC. Our findings suggest that the combination of AIAG, tumor size and AFP stage has a better predictive value for the prognosis of patients with hepatitis B-related hepatocellular carcinoma. However, it is necessary for more external evidences to determine clinical utility.

Clinical Non-invasive Model to Predict Liver Inflammation in Chronic Hepatitis B With Alanine Aminotransferase ≤ 2 Upper Limit of Normal

Background and Aim: Liver biopsy remains the gold standard for evaluating liver histology. However, it has certain limitations, and many patients refuse it. Non-invasive methods of liver evaluation are thus attracting considerable interest. In this study, we sought predictors of liver inflammation in chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients with alanine aminotransferase (ALT) levels ≤ 2-fold the upper limit of normal (ULN); these may guide decisions on whether to commence antiviral therapy.

Methods: We retrospectively analyzed 720 patients with CHB who underwent liver biopsy and whose ALT levels were ≤2 ULN. The patients were randomly divided into a training and validation set. We used univariate and multivariate regression analyses of data from the training set to construct a model that predicted significant (grade ≥2) liver inflammation, and validated the model employing the validation set.

Results: Aspartate aminotransferase (AST) level, prothrombin time (PT), glutamyl transpeptidase (GGT) level, and anti-hepatitis B virus core antibody (anti-HBC) level were independent predictors of significant liver inflammation in CHB patients with ALT levels ≤ 2 ULN. A model featuring these four parameters afforded areas under the ROC curve of 0.767 and 0.714 for the training and validation sets. The model was more predictive than were the individual factors.

Conclusion: AST, GGT, anti-HBC, and PT reflect significant liver inflammation among CHB patients with ALT levels ≤ 2 ULN. Their combination indicates whether antiviral therapy is required.

A non-invasive model for predicting liver fibrosis in HBeAg-positive patients with normal or slightly elevated alanine aminotransferase

ABSTRACT

Early and accurate diagnosis of liver fibrosis is necessary for HBeAg-positive chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients with normal or slightly increased alanine aminotransferase (ALT), Liver biopsy and many non-invasive predicting markers have several application restrictions in grass-roots hospitals. We aimed to construct a non-invasive model based on routinely serum markers to predict liver fibrosis for this population.A total of 363 CHB patients with HBeAg-positive, ALT ≤2-fold the upper limit of normal and liver biopsy data were randomly divided into training (n = 266) and validation groups (n = 97). Two non-invasive models were established based on multivariable logistic regression analysis in the training group. Model 2 with a lower Akaike information criterion (AIC) was selected as a better predictive model. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) was used to evaluate the model and was then independently validated in the validation group.The formula of Model 2 was logit (Model value) = 5.67+0.08 × Age -2.44 × log10 [the quantification of serum HBsAg (qHBsAg)] -0.60 × log10 [the quantification of serum HBeAg (qHBeAg)]+0.02 × ALT+0.03 ×  aspartate aminotransferase (AST). The area under the ROC curve (AUC) was 0.89 for the training group and 0.86 for the validation group. Using 2 cut-off points of -2.61 and 0.25, 59% of patients could be identified with liver fibrosis and antiviral treatment decisions were made without liver biopsies, and 149 patients were recommended to undergo liver biopsy for accurate diagnosis.In this study, the non-invasive model could predict liver fibrosis and may reduce the need for liver biopsy in HBeAg-positive CHB patients with normal or slightly increased ALT.

Noninvasive assessment of liver fibrosis for predicting acute-on-chronic liver failure in patients with chronic hepatitis B

BACKGROUND AND AIM

The aim of this study was to evaluate the accuracy of serum markers of liver fibrosis for predicting progression to acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) in patients with acute exacerbation (AE) and severe AE (SAE) of chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection.

METHODS

The predictive accuracy of aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index (APRI), Fibrosis-4, Lok index, and Forns index for progression to ACLF was evaluated via receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and area under the ROC (AUROC) in 441 and 130 patients with AE and SAE.

RESULTS

After admission, 24 (5.8%) and 25 (19.2%) patients with AE and SAE, respectively, progressed to ACLF. The Lok index was one of the independent risk factors associated with progression to ACLF in patients with AE and SAE. The AUROC of Lok index for diagnosing liver cirrhosis was 0.815 (0.774-0.851) in patients with AE and 0.715 (0.629-0.791) in patients with SAE. The AUROC of Lok index for predicting progression to ACLF in patients with AE and SAE was 0.756 (0.711-0.797) and 0.866 (0.795-0.919), respectively. In patients with AE and SAE, the cut-off values of the Lok index for predicting ACLF were higher and lower, respectively, than those for diagnosing liver cirrhosis.

CONCLUSION

The Lok index has predictive accuracy regarding progression to ACLF in patients with AE and SAE. Different thresholds of liver fibrosis are needed for determining progression to ACLF in patients with different severity of liver injury during acute exacerbation of chronic HBV infection.

Predictive performance of eLIFT for liver inflammation and fibrosis in chronic liver diseases

Objective: The easy liver fibrosis test (eLIFT) is a novel predictor of liver fibrosis in chronic liver disease (CLD). This study aimed to evaluate the predictive value of the eLIFT for liver inflammation and fibrosis in CLD patients. Methods: We enrolled 1125 patients with CLD who underwent liver biopsy. The predictive accuracy for liver inflammation and fibrosis of the eLIFT was assessed and compared to that of the aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index (APRI), fibrosis-4 score (FIB-4), and gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase-to-platelet ratio (GPR) by ROC (Receiver Operating Characteristic) analysis and decision curve analysis (DCA). Results: The areas under the ROC curves (AUROCs) of the eLIFT for assessing liver inflammation G ≥ 2 and G ≥ 3 were 0.77 (0.75-0.80) and 0.81 (0.79-0.84), with cut-offs of 8.0 and 11.0, respectively. The AUROCs of the eLIFT for predicting fibrosis stages S ≥ 2 and S4 were 0.72 (0.70-0.76) and 0.76 (0.72-0.80), with cut-offs of 9.0 and 10.0, respectively. In discriminating G≥2 inflammation, the AUROC of the eLIFT was better than that of the FIB-4, with no difference compared with the GPR, but lower than that of the APRI. When discriminating G≥3 inflammation, the AUROC of the eLIFT was comparable to that of the APRI and GPR but superior to that of the FIB-4. There were no significant differences between the four indexes for predicting S≥2 and S4. Conclusion: The eLIFT is a potentially useful noninvasive predictor of liver inflammation and fibrosis in patients with CLD.

Predictive Performances of Blood Parameter Ratios for Liver Inflammation and Advanced Liver Fibrosis in Chronic Hepatitis B Infection

OBJECTIVE

Blood parameter ratios, including neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet to lymphocyte ratio (PLR), and monocyte to lymphocyte ratio (MLR), have been reported that they are correlated to the progression of liver disease. This study is aimed at evaluating the predictive value of PLR, NLR, and MLR for liver inflammation and fibrosis in patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB).

METHODS

We recruited 457 patients with CHB who underwent a liver biopsy and routine laboratory tests. Liver histology was assessed according to the Scheuer scoring system. The predictive accuracy for liver inflammation and fibrosis was assessed by receiver operating characteristics (ROC) analysis.

RESULTS

PLR and NLR presented significantly reverse correlation to liver inflammation and fibrosis. However, these correlations were not observed for MLR and liver histology. The AUROCs of PLR for assessing G2-3 and G3 were 0.676 and 0.705 with cutoffs 74.27 and 68.75, respectively. The AUROCs of NLR in predicting inflammatory scores G2-3 and G3 were 0.616 and 0.569 with cutoffs 1.36 and 1.85, respectively. The AUROCs of PLR for evaluating fibrosis stages S3-4 and S4 were 0.723 and 0.757 with cutoffs 79.67 and 74.27, respectively. The AUROCs of NLR for evaluating fibrosis stages S3-4 and S4 were 0.590 with cutoff 1.14.

CONCLUSION

Although PLR has similar predictive power of progressive liver fibrosis compared with APRI, FIB-4, and GPR in CHB patients, it has the advantage of less cost and easy application with the potential to be widely used in clinical practice.

INR-to-platelet ratio (INPR) as a novel noninvasive index for predicting liver fibrosis in chronic hepatitis B

Objective: We aimed to investigate whether a novel noninvasive index, i.e., the international normalized ratio-to-platelet ratio (INPR), was a variable in determining liver fibrosis stage in patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB). Methods: A total of 543 treatment-naïve CHB patients were retrospectively enrolled. Liver histology was assessed according to the Metavir scoring scheme. All common demographic and clinical parameters were analyzed. Results: Based on routine clinical parameters (age, sex, HBeAg status, HBV DNA, hematological parameters, coagulation index, and liver biochemical indicators), a novel index, i.e., the INR-to-platelet ratio (INPR), was developed to magnify the unfavorable effects of liver fibrosis on INR and platelets. The AUCs of INPR for predicting significant fibrosis, advanced fibrosis, and cirrhosis were 0.74, 0.76 and 0.86, respectively. Compared with APRI, FIB-4, and GPR, the INPR had comparable predictive efficacy for significant fibrosis and better predictive performance for advanced fibrosis and cirrhosis. Conclusion: INPR could be an accurate, easily calculated and inexpensive index to assess liver fibrosis in patients with CHB. Further studies are needed to verify this indicator and compare it with other noninvasive methods for predicting liver fibrosis in CHB patients.

Evaluation of liver fibrosis by non-invasive diagnostic indexes in patients with chronic hepatitis B

BACKGROUND

Liver biopsy is the gold standard for determining the degree of fibrosis in patients with chronic hepatitis B, but it has certain limitations in clinical application because of its invasive nature. Hence, non-invasive assessment is essential.

AIM

To compare the diagnostic value of ten noninvasive models indexes for liver fibrosis in patients with chronic hepatitis B.

METHODS

A total of 1030 patients with chronic hepatitis B admitted during June 2003 and August 2019 were enrolled in the study. All the patients received liver biopsy and blood and ultrasound examinations. The AST-to-ALT ratio, AST-to-platelet ratio index, age platelet index, cirrhosis discriminant score, fibrosis index based on four factors, gamma-glutamyltranspeptidase-to-platelet ratio, S-index, spleen-to-platelet ratio index, age-spleen-to-platelet ratio index (ASPRI), and FV (our model) were calculated. Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) was used to assess the clinical value of noninvasive models in diagnosis of liver fibrosis.

RESULTS

All the models were correlated with the stage of liver fibrosis (r = 0.215, 0.382, 0.629, 0.449, 0.612, 0.618, 0.654, 0.658, 0.707, and 0.775, respectively; P < 0.05). The best AUROCs of FV and ASPRI for diagnosis of significant liver fibrosis (F2-3) were 0.834 and 0.796, with sensitivities of 78.8% and 70.2%, specificities of 74.0% and 76.1%, and accuracies of 76.3% and 73.3%, respectively. The best AUROCs for diagnosis of early liver cirrhosis (F4) were 0.928 and 0.912, with sensitivities of 85.4% and 89.4%, specificities of 85.0% and 77.3%, accuracies of 85.1% and 79.7%, negative predictive values of 96.2% and 96.5%, and negative likelihood ratios of 0.172 and 0.137, respectively.

CONCLUSION

FV and ASPRI have better accuracies than other noninvasive diagnostic indexes in diagnosing significant liver fibrosis in patients with chronic hepatitis B, especially in the diagnosis of early liver cirrhosis.

Comparison and evaluation of non-invasive models in predicting liver inflammation and fibrosis of chronic hepatitis B virus-infected patients with high hepatitis B virus DNA and normal or mildly elevated alanine transaminase levels

Few studies have paid attention to the performances of non-invasive models in diagnosing stages of liver fibrosis and inflammation, which are critical for early and accurate assessment of prognostication and decisions on antiviral treatment in chronic hepatitis B infection patients with high hepatitis B virus DNA and normal or mildly elevated alanine transaminase levels (≤2 times upper limit of normal (ULN)). This study aimed to investigate the value of routine serum markers in evaluation of liver inflammation and fibrosis in these patients.A total of 370 consecutive chronic hepatitis B virus-infected patients who underwent liver biopsy were retrospectively analyzed. The Scheuer scoring system was adopted as the pathological standard for diagnosing liver inflammation and fibrosis. The receiver-operating characteristic curves (ROC) and the area under the ROC curves (AUROCs) were used to analyze the performances of the models, including aspartate transaminase to platelet ratio index (APRI), fibrosis index based on the 4 factors (FIB-4), red cell volume distribution width-to-platelet ratio (RPR), globulin-platelet model (GP), and gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase to platelet ratio index (GPR).To predict significant inflammation (G ≥2), the AUROC of APRI was higher than that of FIB-4 (0.705 vs 0.629, P = .001), RPR (0.705 vs 0.593, P < .001) and GP (0.705 vs 0.620, P = .002), equivalent to that of GPR (0.705 vs 0.690, P = .606). As for severe inflammation (≥G3) and significant fibrosis (≥S2), there was no statistic difference among them. To predict severe fibrosis (≥ S3), the AUROC of FIB-4 was higher than that of RPR (0.805 vs 0.750, P = .006) and GP (0.805 vs 0.755, P = .046), comparable to that of APRI (0.805 vs 0.785, P = .550) and GPR (0.805 vs 0.818, P = .694). As for significant liver histological changes (G ≥ 2 or/and S ≥ 2), the performance of APRI was higher than that of RPR (0.717 vs 0.652, P = .006), GP (0.717 vs 0.659, p = .011), equivalent to that of FIB-4 (0.717 vs 0.692, P = .254) and GPR (0.717 vs 0.680, P = .166).We found that APRI, GPR, and FIB-4 were more effective than RPR and GP for diagnosing liver inflammation and fibrosis.

Pharmacological Inhibition of Transient Receptor Potential Vanilloid 4 (TRPV4) Channel Alleviates Carbon Tetrachloride-Induced Liver Fibrosis in Mice

BACKGROUND

Transient receptor potential vanilloid 4 (TRPV4) is a member of the TRP channel family and is involved in diverse physiological and pathological processes. Accumulating evidence from in vitro studies indicates that TRPV4 has a potential role in liver fibrosis, but its precise role in the pathophysiological development of this condition is unclear. Exogenous interventions and endogenous reactions should be considered.

METHODS

This study used a mouse model of carbon tetrachloride (CCl4)-induced liver fibrosis to investigate the effects of intraperitoneal injection of the novel TRPV4 channel selective agonist GSK1016790A (GSK) and antagonist HC-067047 (HC).

RESULTS

As compared with the CCl4 group, collagen fiber deposition and alpha-smooth muscle actin (α-SMA) levels were markedly higher and hepatic lobule disorganization was worse in the CCl4+GSK group, while collagen fiber deposition was significantly lower and hepatic lobule disorganization was less severe in the CCl4+HC group.

CONCLUSIONS

The present findings suggest that activation of TRPV4 channels worsens liver fibrosis and that inhibition of TRPV4 channels may alleviate liver fibrosis in vivo.

Optimizing the Use of the Gamma-Glutamyl Transpeptidase-to-Platelet Ratio and Transient Elastography to Identify Liver Cirrhosis in Patients with Chronic Hepatitis B Concurrent with Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease

Background and Aim

Little information is available about the assessment and optimal use of the gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase-to-platelet ratio (GPR) and transient elastography (TE) in predicting liver cirrhosis in patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB) and concurrent nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). This study is aimed at comparing their diagnostic performances and developing an optimal approach for predicting liver cirrhosis in CHB patients with NAFLD.

Methods

Consecutive CHB patients with NAFLD were enrolled. The GPR was calculated, and TE was performed using liver biopsy as a reference standard. The accuracy of predicting liver cirrhosis using GPR and TE was assessed and compared, and an optimal approach was developed.

Results

Both TE and GPR correlated significantly with the histological fibrosis stage. TE and GPR had excellent performance in predicting liver cirrhosis, and the comparison of areas under the receiver operating characteristic curves revealed that TE was superior to GPR (0.95 vs. 0.85, P = 0.039). Moreover, the dual cutoffs established by the likelihood ratio showed that GPR had a similar misclassification but higher indeterminate rate than TE (54.5% vs. 11.7%, P < 0.001). Additionally, a 2-step approach using GPR followed by TE had comparable performance to that of both GPR and TE tests for all patients (misclassification: 8.9% vs. 8.3%, P = 0.866; indeterminate rate: 15.2% vs. 17.2%, P = 0.750) but could reduce TE scans by approximately one-third.

Conclusions

Both TE and GPR show excellent performance in predicting liver cirrhosis in CHB patients with NAFLD. The 2-step approach using GPR followed by TE may be optimal for the assessment of cirrhosis in CHB patients with NAFLD.

Gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase-to-platelet ratio and the fibrosis-4 index in predicting hepatitis B virus-related hepatocellular carcinoma development in elderly chronic hepatitis B patients in China: A single-center retrospective study

Gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase-to-platelet ratio (GPR) and fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) index have been reported to be useful predictors in predicting hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) development in chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients. However, their predictive performances on HCC development have not been validated in elderly patients. Thus, the aim of this study was to evaluate the predictive values of the GPR and FIB-4 index on HCC in elderly CHB patients with in China.Between January 2007 and December 2016, 1011 CHB patients older than 60 years were enrolled in the study, and their data were retrospectively analyzed. Receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was used to determine the optimal cutoff points of GPR and the FIB-4 index. Cumulative HCC incidence rates were calculated by the Kaplan-Meier method and compared by the log-rank test. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to detect risk factors for HCC development. The prediction performances of GPR and FIB-4 index were compared based on time-dependent ROC analyses.After a median follow-up of 6.8 (interquartile range 3.9-8.4) years, 39 (3.9%) patients developed HCC. The ROC analysis of GPR and the FIB-4 index at the 5-year time point revealed that the optimal cutoff point was 0.23 for GPR and 4.15 for the FIB-4 index. When stratified by low and high GPR values and FIB-4 indices, the patients' subgroups showed significantly different cumulative incidences of HCC. The multivariate analysis revealed that high GPR (hazard ratio [HR] 4.224; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.891-9.434, P < .001) was an independent risk factor for HCC development, whereas a high FIB-4 index was not (HR 0.470; 95% CI 0.212-1.043; P = .063). In the time-dependent ROC analysis, GPR showed higher area under curve (AUC) values than the FIB-4 index did at all time points and reached statistical significance at the 5-, 7-, and 10-year time points (GPR vs FIB-4 index, AUC 0.725 vs 0.549 at 5 years, P = .005; GPR vs FIB-4 index, AUC 0.733 vs 0.578 at 7 years, P = .001; GPR vs FIB-4 index, AUC 0.837 vs 0.475 at 10 years, P < .001).In conclusion, our study suggests GPR is superior to the FIB-4 index in predicting HCC development in elderly CHB patients in China.

Liver stiffness and serum markers for excluding high-risk varices in patients who do not meet Baveno VI criteria

BACKGROUND

The Baveno VI criteria for predicting esophageal varices, i.e., liver stiffness measurement (LSM) < 20 kPa and platelet (PLT) count > 150 × 10⁹/L, identify patients who can safely avoid gastroscopy screening. However, they require further refinement.

AIM

To evaluate the utility of LSM and serum markers of liver fibrosis in ruling out high-risk varices (HRV) in patients who do not meet Baveno VI criteria.

METHODS

Data from 132 patients with hepatitis B virus (HBV)-related compensated liver cirrhosis who did not meet the Baveno VI criteria were retrospectively reviewed. MedCalc 15.8 was used to calculate receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, and the accuracy of LSM, PLT count, aspartate aminotransferase (AST)-to-PLT ratio index, Fibrosis-4, and the Lok index in predicting HRV were evaluated according to the area under each ROC curve (AUROC). The utility of LSM, PLT, and serum markers of liver fibrosis stratified by alanine transaminase (ALT) and total bilirubin (TBil) levels was evaluated for ruling out HRV.

RESULTS

In all patients who did not meet the Baveno VI criteria, the independent risk factors for HRV were LSM and ALT. Only the AUROC of Lok index was above 0.7 for predicting HRV, and at a cutoff value of 0.4531 it could further spare 24.2% of gastroscopies without missing HRVs. The prevalence of HRV was significantly lower in patients with ALT or TBil ≥ 2 upper limit of normal (ULN) (14.3%) than in patients with both ALT and TBil < 2 ULN (34.1%) (P = 0.018). In the 41 patients with ALT and TBil < 2 ULN, LSM had an AUROC for predicting HRV of 0.821. LSM < 20.6 kPa spared 39.0% of gastroscopies without missing HRVs. In the 91 patients with ALT or TBiL ≥ 2 ULN, the Lok index and PLT had AUROCs of 0.814 and 0.741, respectively. Lok index ≤ 0.5596 or PLT > 100 × 10⁹/L further spared 39.6% and 43.9% of gastroscopies, respectively, without missing HRVs.

CONCLUSION

In HBV-related compensated cirrhosis patients who do not meet Baveno VI criteria, the LSM, PLT, or Lok index cutoff stratified by ALT and TBil accurately identifies more patients without HRV.

Evaluation and comparison of the diagnostic performance of routine blood tests in predicting liver fibrosis in chronic hepatitis B infection

Background & aims: Biopsy is the gold standard for staging liver fibrosis, but it may be accompanied by complications. As an alternative, non-invasive markers such as transient elastography (for liver fibrosis) and certain combinations of routine blood markers (liver function tests, full blood count) have been developed although their clinical significance remains controversial. Here, we compare the diagnostic values of non-invasive markers for liver fibrosis in patients with chronic hepatitis B infection. Methods: Transient elastography and routine laboratory tests were performed in 196 patients. Diagnostic performances were compared and were assessed based on the area under the curve (AUC) of a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis. Results: Elevated GGT to platelet ratio (GPR), the fibrosis index FIB-4 [based on age, AST, platelets and ALT], platelet to lymphocyte ratio (PLR) and total bilirubin were independent predictors of liver stiffness defined by transient elastography (all P < 0.001). The AUCs of GPR in predicting both advanced fibrosis and cirrhosis were significantly larger than that of FIB-4 (P = 0.037 and P = 0.008, respectively) and AST-to-platelet ratio index (APRI) (P = 0.008 and P = 0.005). FIB-4, APRI and red cell volume distribution width-to-platelet ratio (RPR) had similar diagnostic values in discriminating different levels of liver fibrosis. Conclusions: GPR showed the best diagnostic value and RPR and PLR are easily available and inexpensive markers in evaluating fibrosis and cirrhosis. The diagnostic values of these laboratory markers are useful in diagnosing advanced fibrosis or cirrhosis, and in confirming the different levels of liver fibrosis.

Optimisation of the use of APRI and FIB-4 to rule out cirrhosis in patients with chronic hepatitis B: results from the SONIC-B study

BACKGROUND

Ruling out the presence of cirrhosis is important for the management of chronic hepatitis B. We aimed to study and optimise the performance of two non-invasive indices for ruling out cirrhosis: the aspartate aminotransferase-platelet ratio index (APRI) and fibrosis score based on four factors (FIB-4).

METHODS

We applied established cutoffs to rule in (APRI >2·00; FIB-4 >3·25) or rule out (APRI <1·00; FIB-4 <1·45) cirrhosis to data from eight global randomised trials that required baseline biopsy, and identified new cutoffs aiming for a sensitivity for detection of cirrhosis greater than 90% and a negative predictive value (NPV) of greater than 95% in the same dataset. We externally validated the new cutoffs using data from all consecutive biopsied patients from two tertiary referral hospitals in the Netherlands and Canada.

FINDINGS

In the derivation dataset (n=2926; of whom 1750 were Asian); 340 (12%) individuals had cirrhosis. The validation cohort consisted of 1034 individuals (of whom 575 were Asian), with 155 (15%) individuals with cirrhosis. Application of conventional cutoffs for FIB-4 in the derivation dataset yielded unclassifiable results in 686 (23%) individuals, and 139 (41%) of the 340 patients with cirrhosis were misclassified as having no cirrhosis. Similarly, conventional cutoffs for APRI in the derivation dataset yielded unclassifiable results in 706 (24%) individuals, and 153 (45%) were misclassified as having no cirrhosis. An APRI of 0·45 or less had sensitivity of 91·5%, an NPV of 95·4%, and misclassified 29 (9%) of 340 individuals with cirrhosis in the derivation dataset, but performance was reduced in the validation set (22 [14%] of 155 individuals with cirrhosis misclassified). A FIB-4 score of 0·70 had a sensitivity of 90·9%, an NPV of 96·6%, and misclassified 31 (9%) of individuals with cirrhosis in the derivation dataset. In the validation cohort, the same score gave a sensitivity of 94·2%, an NPV of 97·3%, and misclassified nine (6%) of the individuals with cirrhosis. Subgroup analysis indicated that the new FIB-4 cutoff performed acceptably in all subgroups except for individuals aged 30 years or younger.

INTERPRETATION

Conventional cutoffs for APRI and FIB-4 should not be used to guide management of patients with chronic hepatitis B due to high rates of misclassification. A newly identified and externally validated cutoff for FIB-4 (≤0·70) can be used to exclude cirrhosis in patients over 30 years of age.

FUNDING

Foundation for Liver and Gastrointestinal Research, Rotterdam, Netherlands.

Development and Validation of a Novel Model to Predict Liver Histopathology in Patients with Chronic Hepatitis B

It is still vague for chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients with normal or mildly increasing alanine aminotransferase (ALT) level to undergo antiviral treatment or not. The purpose of our study was to establish a noninvasive model based on routine blood test to predict liver histopathology for antiviral therapy. This retrospective study enrolled 258 CHB patients with liver biopsy from the First Hospital of Quanzhou (training cohort, n=126) and Huashan Hospital (validation cohort, n=132). Histologic grading of necroinflammation (G) and liver fibrosis (S) was performed according to the Scheuer scoring system. A novel model, ATPI, including aspartate aminotransferase (AST), total bilirubin (TBil), and platelets (PLT), was developed in training cohort. The area under ROC curves (AUC) of ATPI for predicting antiviral therapy indication was 0.83 in training cohort and was 0.88 in the validation cohort, respectively. Similarly, ATPI also displayed the highest AUC in predicting antiviral therapy indication in CHB patients with normal or mildly increasing ALT level. In conclusion, ATPI is a novel independent model to predict liver histopathology for antiviral therapy in CHB patients with normal and mildly increased ALT levels.

Comparison of non-invasive models for predicting liver damage in chronic hepatitis B patients

INTRODUCTION

Inexpensive blood tests have been well established as alternatives to liver biopsies to evaluate liver fibrosis in CHB patients. Here, we aim to compare their diagnostic accuracy in assessing liver fibrosis and necroinflammation.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

A retrospective study was performed to evaluate the predictive value of non-invasive models in chronic hepatitis B patients with liver fibrosis by the area under receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC). The clinical data of 160 patients were collected from medical records.

RESULTS

Of the 160 consecutive treatment-naïve CHB patients, 29 (16%) had significant fibrosis and 34 (21%) had severe necroinflammation. The AUROC of the gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase to platelet ratio (GPR) (0.761, 95% CI 0.671-0.850) for predicting significant fibrosis was significantly higher than that of the aspartate transaminase-to-platelet ratio index (APRI) (0.680, 95% CI 0.585-0.774, p=0.034), but comparable with the fibrosis index based on four factors (Fib-4) (0.746, 95% CI 0.656-0.836, p=0.703), while for predicting severe necroinflammation, the performance of the GPR (AUROC=0.869, 95% CI 0.800-0.937) was better than the APRI (AUROC=0.816, 95% CI 0.740-0.892, p=0.085) and Fib-4 (0.792, 95% CI 0.711-0.873, p=0.023).

DISCUSSION

GPR is a satisfactory model to stage liver fibrosis and to grade necroinflammation activity, representing a convenient non-invasive alternative to liver biopsy in China.

Clinical noninvasive markers for antiviral therapy decision in chronic hepatitis B with alanine aminotransferase less than two times upper limit of normal

Liver biopsy is the reference method for antiviral therapy decision-making in chronic hepatitis B (CHB) when alanine aminotransferase (ALT) is less than two times of upper limit of normal (<2ULN). Our aim was to explore noninvasive markers for antiviral therapy decision in CHB with ALT <2ULN. A total of 452 treatment-naïve CHB patients with ALT < 2ULN who had undergone liver biopsy were analysed in this prospective multi-centre study. If liver biopsy showed moderate or severe inflammation (histology activity index ≥ 5) or significant fibrosis (Ishak fibrosis score ≥ 3), antiviral treatment was recommended. We analysed data using univariate and multivariate analyses and receiver operating characteristic curves (ROC). Two hundred and sixty-nine (59.5%) of 452 cases with ALT < 2ULN had moderate, severe or significant inflammation. Aspartate aminotransferase (AST) (P = 0.03), anti-hepatitis B virus core antibody (anti-HBc) (P = 0.003) and liver stiffness measurement (LSM) (P = 0.000) were independent variables for antiviral therapy decision-making, with area under the ROC curve (AUROC) of 0.718, 0.703 and 0.819, respectively. Our novel AAF index, which combined AST, anti-HBc and LSM, showed better performance with AUROC of 0.876, 0.877 and 0.876 in estimation, validation and total set. Finally, 247 (54.6%) of 452 patients could avoid liver biopsy based on AAF index. Furthermore, performances of 23 noninvasive models were unsatisfactory for antiviral therapy decision with AUROC < 0.800, which were inferior to AAF index. In conclusion, AST, anti-HBc and LSM were related to antiviral therapy decision-making among CHB patients with ALT < 2ULN. Thus, the novel AAF index was a more reliable noninvasive model for antiviral therapy decision-making.

Evaluation and comparison of thirty noninvasive models for diagnosing liver fibrosis in chinese hepatitis B patients

The limitations of liver biopsy have led to the development of indirect noninvasive models for liver fibrosis assessment. We aimed to evaluate and compare the performance of 30 noninvasive models to predict fibrosis stage in treatment-naïve and treated chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients. A total of 576 Chinese treatment-naïve CHB patients and 236 treated CHB patients who had undergone percutaneous liver biopsy were included in the analysis. Histological grading and staging was assessed by the Ishak scoring system. The diagnostic accuracies of 30 noninvasive models were assessed by area under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUROCs). In treatment-naïve CHB patients, the AUROCs of the 30 noninvasive models for discriminating significant fibrosis (SF) were less than 0.800, and only the AUROC of the PP score for diagnosing advanced fibrosis (AF) was more than 0.800, while the AUROCs of FIB-4, FibroQ, HB-F, Lok index, PHP score and PP score for predicting cirrhosis were greater than 0.800. In treated CHB patients, only the AUROCs of APRI, GUCI, King's score and Wang I for identifying cirrhosis were more than 0.800. The Spearman correlation analysis identified that only the changes in FCI and Virahep-C model values were weakly correlated with changes in Ishak fibrosis scores before and after treatment (r = 0.206, p = 0.008; r = 0.187, p = 0.016, respectively). In conclusion, in Chinese CHB patients, the 30 existing noninvasive models were not suitable for assessing each stage of fibrosis except cirrhosis before and after antiviral therapy, especially in gauging progression and regression of liver fibrosis following therapy.

A Noninvasive Score to Predict Liver Fibrosis in HBeAg-Positive Hepatitis B Patients with Normal or Minimally Elevated Alanine Aminotransferase Levels

Noninvasive fibrosis tests are highly needed but have not been well studied in chronic hepatitis B patients with normal or minimally elevated alanine aminotransferase (ALT) levels. This study is aimed at developing a noninvasive score system to predict liver fibrosis in these patients. HBeAg-positive chronic hepatitis B patients with ALT levels of <80 IU/l and liver histology (n = 290) were assigned to training (n = 203) or validation (n = 87) groups. Training group patients were divided into nonsignificant (F0–1) and significant fibrosis (F2–4) according to METAVIR stages. Logistic regression was performed to identify factors for liver fibrosis and develop a score system. The capacity of the score to identify the severity of fibrosis was displayed by receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) and area under ROC (AUROC) values. Multivariate logistic regression showed that HBeAg (ratios of the sample to the cutoff values (S/CO)) and liver stiffness measurement (LSM; kilopascals (kPa)) were independent factors of liver fibrosis. A score system composed of HBeAg and LSM by assigning a point of 1, 2, or 3 to different HBeAg and LSM levels, respectively, was developed. The scores 2-3, 4, and 5-6 of the sum of HBeAg and LSM points indicated nonsignificant, indeterminate, and significant fibrosis, respectively. The score system had an AUROC of 0.880 and showed similar performance in validation group patients. The accuracy for identifying significant and nonsignificant fibrosis was 77.14% in validation group patients and 71.26% in the entire group of patients. It is suggested that this noninvasive score system can accurately predict hepatic fibrosis and may reduce the need for liver biopsy in HBeAg-positive patients with normal or minimally elevated ALT levels.