Minimal increases of serum alpha-foetoprotein herald HCC detection in Caucasian HBV cirrhotic patients under long-term oral therapy

Hepatocellular Carcinoma After HCV Eradication with Direct-Acting Antivirals: A Reappraisal Based on New Parameters to Assess the Persistence of Risk

Approximately 95% of patients with chronic hepatitis C achieve viral eradication through direct-acting antiviral (DAA) treatment. Ensuing clinical benefits include halting liver fibrosis, thereby reducing the need for liver transplantation, and decreasing both liver-related and overall mortality. It is well established that, although ameliorated, the risk of developing hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) persists, particularly among patients with pre-treatment advanced fibrosis/cirrhosis. Current guidelines recommend indefinite HCC surveillance in these patients. However, a recent Markov model evaluation shows that HCC surveillance is cost-effective only for patients with cirrhosis but not so for those with F3 fibrosis, a finding which points out the need to better define the risk of HCC in hepatitis C patients after cure and further characterize pre- and post-treatment factors that might affect the incidence of HCC in this setting. We reviewed the literature analyzing this aspect. Here we summarize the main findings: male gender and older age are independent predictors of increased risk of post-cure HCC development. Moreover, non-invasive tests for hepatic fibrosis, namely FIB4, APRI, and liver stiffness, measured before and after treatment and their post-therapy change, contribute to better stratifying the risk of HCC occurrence. Furthermore, low serum albumin, as well as an AFP above 7 ng/mL prior to and after DAA therapy, also constitute independent predictors of HCC development. Considering these findings, we propose to classify patients with HCV viral eradication and advanced fibrosis/cirrhosis into groups of low, medium, or high risk of HCC and to adopt adequate surveillance strategies for each group, including protocols for abbreviated magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) for those at the highest risk.

Effect of potent nucleos(t)ide analog on alpha fetoprotein changes and occurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma in patients with chronic hepatitis B

BACKGROUND

Successful antiviral therapy significantly decreases the incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB). Alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) in the serum is a valuable early indicator of HCC. However, it is unclear whether different antiviral medications have varying effects on AFP levels. The purpose of this study was to evaluate this issue in those treated with entecavir (ETV) versus tenofovir disoproxil fumarate (TDF).

METHODS

We prospectively enrolled treatment-naive CHB adults who commenced treatment with ETV or TDF. Their changes in biochemical, virological, and fibrosis parameters and the elevation of AFP or development of HCC during follow-up were analyzed.

RESULTS

A total of 1942 CHB patients were included (10-90% follow-up time 3-60 months), and 104 patients with elevated AFP (5.3%) and 27 patients with HCC development (1.4%) were identified during the follow-up. The difference in the cumulative incidence of AFP abnormalities and HCC was statistically significant between patients who received ETV or TDF therapy. Multivariate Cox regression showed that elevated liver stiffness with shear wave elastography (Hazard ratio (HR) = 1.05, 95% Confidence interval (CI) 1.03-1.08, P < 0.001) and abnormal AFP at baseline (HR = 1.00, 95% CI 1.00-1.00, P < 0.001) were independent risk factors for abnormal AFP in CHB patients, while shear wave elastography (HR = 1.07, 95% CI 1.02-1.12, P < 0.001) was also independent risk factor for HCC. Similar results were obtained after propensity score matching (PSM) analysis. The combination of shear wave elastography (SWE), mPage-B score, age and type 2 diabetes mellitus had an area under the curve of 0.838 (P < 0.001) in predicting the occurrence of HCC.

CONCLUSIONS

Similar AFP elevation and HCC development rates were observed in CHB patients treated with ETV or TDF. Elevated SWE and abnormal AFP at baseline were independent risk factors for abnormal AFP in CHB patients.

Surveillance for Hepatocellular Carcinoma

This article reviews surveillance for the detection of early stage hepatocellular carcinoma, covering the rationale for surveillance, optimal selection of persons needing surveillance, methods and frequency of screening, strategies for addressing barriers to surveillance, and trends for future improvement in surveillance leading to more effective cancer control and improved patient outcomes. The importance of integrating liver cancer surveillance as a core component of national public health programs is emphasized. The impact of emerging technologies for identifying persons at risk, stratifying individual risk to improve the cost-effectiveness of surveillance programs, and improving the performance, accessibility, and convenience of surveillance are discussed.

A meta-analysis and of clinical values of 11 blood biomarkers, such as AFP, DCP, and GP73 for diagnosis of hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Hepatocellular carcinoma lacks ideal diagnostic biomarkers. There is a lack of scientific evaluation of relevant promising biomarkers as well. Therefore this study reanalyzes the related studies of 11 blood biomarkers of HCC, and compares the diagnostic value of these biomarkers for HCC systematically.

METHODS

The relevant literatures on the diagnostic value in HCC of 11 blood indexes in recent 5 years were searched in PubMed, Embase, and Cochrane libraries. Data were extracted and analyzed.

RESULTS

Finally, 83 literature studies were brought into meta-analysis. The pooled sensitivity and specificity of AFP were 0.61 and 0.87, respectively. The AUC of AFP were 0.78. The AUC and sum of sensitivity and specificity of the combination of AFP and other biomarkers were all significantly higher than that of AFP, including AFP + AFP-L3 + DCP, AFP + DCP, AFP/DCP, AFP + GPC3. Among other biomarkers, the AUC and sum of sensitivity and specificity of biomarkers including DCP, GPC3, GP73, Hsp90alpha, midkine, and OPN were significantly higher than that of AFP. In this study, GP73 had the highest sum of sensitivity and specificity (1.78) and AUC (0.95).

CONCLUSIONS

The pooled sensitivity and specificity of AFP were 0.61 and 0.87, respectively. The AUC of AFP were 0.78. The combination of AFP and other biomarkers improved the diagnostic efficiency. The diagnostic value of biomarkers including DCP, GPC3, GP73, Hsp90alpha, midkine, and OPN was higher than that of AFP. GP73 had the best diagnostic value for HCC with the highest sum of sensitivity and specificity (1.78) and AUC (0.95).KEY MESSAGESThe pooled sensitivity and specificity of AFP were 0.61 and 0.87, respectively. The AUC of AFP were 0.78. The combination of AFP and other biomarkers improved the diagnostic efficiency of HCC.The diagnostic value of biomarkers including DCP, GPC3, GP73, Hsp90alpha, midkine, and OPN was higher than that of AFP.GP73 had the best diagnostic value for HCC.

Dynamic changes in three biomarkers predict early-stage hepatocellular carcinoma in patients with chronic hepatitis B receiving antiviral therapy

PURPOSE

Patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB) remain at risk for hepatocellular carcinoma during antiviral therapy. We aimed to clarify the values of alpha-fetoprotein (AFP), lectin-reactive fraction of AFP (AFP-L3), and des-γ-carboxyprothrombin (DCP) for early warning of HCC.

METHODS

A total of 1348 CHB patients received antiviral therapy and follow-up every 26 weeks. Eighty-four patients with HCC were age-, sex-, and cirrhosis-matched with 168 controls. AFP, AFP-L3, and DCP were compared between the groups from 104 weeks before HCC diagnosis (- 104 w) to the time of diagnosis (0 w).

RESULTS

Of the 84 HCC patients, 60 (71.4%) had early-stage HCC, AFP increased from - 26 w, and AFP-L3 and DCP increased from - 78 w. However, levels were unchanged in controls. ΔAFP, ΔAFP-L3, and ΔDCP showed similar abilities for predicting HCC (P > 0.05). Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis showed that AFP had better diagnostic performance for HCC than AFP-L3, DCP, or their combination. The cut-off values of AFP, AFP-L3, and DCP were 5.3 ng/mL, 1.05%, and 31.5 mAU/mL, respectively. Notably, lower AFP values were required to diagnose HCC in patients with detectable HBV DNA (4.1 ng/mL) or elevated alanine aminotransferase (5.2 ng/mL).

CONCLUSIONS

Changes in AFP, AFP-L3, and DCP can help to predict HCC in CHB patients receiving antiviral therapy. A lower AFP value is needed to diagnose HCC, especially in patients with detectable HBV DNA or elevated alanine aminotransferase.

A clinically feasible circulating tumor cell sorting system for monitoring the progression of advanced hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Hematogenous metastasis is essential for the progression of advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and can occur even after patients receive multidisciplinary therapies, including immunotherapy and hepatectomy; circulating tumor cells (CTCs) are one of the dominant components of the metastatic cascade. However, the CTC capture efficiency for HCC is low due to the low sensitivity of the detection method. In this study, epithelial cell adhesion molecule (EpCAM)/vimentin/Glypican-3 (GPC3) antibody-modified lipid magnetic spheres (LMS) were used to capture tumor cells with epithelial phenotype, mesenchymal phenotype and GPC3 phenotype, respectively, in order to capture more CTCs with a more comprehensive phenotype for monitoring tumor metastasis.

RESULTS

The novel CTC detection system of Ep-LMS/Vi-LMS/GPC3-LMS was characterized by low toxicity, strong specificity (96.94%), high sensitivity (98.12%) and high capture efficiency (98.64%) in vitro. A sudden increase in CTC counts accompanied by the occurrence of lung metastasis was found in vivo, which was further validated by a clinical study. During follow-up, the rapid increase in CTCs predicted tumor progression in HCC patients. Additionally, genetic testing results showed common genetic alterations in primary tumors, CTCs and metastatic tissues. The proportion of patients predicted to benefit from immunotherapy with the CTC detection method was higher than that for the tissue detection method (76.47% vs. 41.18%, P = 0.037), guiding the application of clinical individualized therapy.

CONCLUSIONS

The Ep-LMS/Vi-LMS/GPC3-LMS sequential CTC capture system is convenient and feasible for the clinical prediction of HCC progression. CTCs captured by this system could be used as a suitable alternative to HCC tissue detection in guiding immunotherapy, supporting the clinical application of CTC liquid biopsy.

Screening for Lipid-Metabolism-Related Genes and Identifying the Diagnostic Potential of ANGPTL6 for HBV-Related Early-Stage Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Lipid metabolic reprogramming is one of the hallmarks of hepatocarcinogenesis and development. Therefore, lipid-metabolism-related genes may be used as potential biomarkers for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). This study aimed to screen for genes with dysregulated expression related to lipid metabolism in HCC and explored the clinical value of these genes. We screened differentially expressed proteins between tumorous and adjacent nontumorous tissues of hepatitis B virus (HBV)-related HCC patients using a Nanoscale Liquid Chromatography–Tandem Mass Spectrometry platform and combined it with transcriptomic data of lipid-metabolism-related genes from the GEO and HPA databases to identify dysregulated genes that may be involved in lipid metabolic processes. The potential clinical values of these genes were explored by bioinformatics online analysis tools (GEPIA, cBioPortal, SurvivalMeth, and TIMER). The expression levels of the secreted protein (angiopoietin-like protein 6, ANGPTL6) in serum were analyzed by ELISA. The ability of serum ANGPTL6 to diagnose early HCC was assessed by ROC curves. The results showed that serum ANGPTL6 could effectively differentiate between HBV-related early HCC patients with normal serum alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) levels and the noncancer group (healthy participants and chronic hepatitis B patients) (AUC = 0.717, 95% CI: from 0.614 to 0.805). Serum ANGPTL6 can be used as a potential second-line biomarker to supplement serum AFP in the early diagnosis of HBV-related HCC.

Prothrombin induced by vitamin K absence or antagonist-II and alpha foetoprotein to predict development of hepatocellular carcinoma in Caucasian patients with hepatitis C-related cirrhosis treated with direct-acting antiviral agents

BACKGROUND

Prothrombin induced by vitamin K absence or antagonist-II (PIVKA-II) and alpha fetoprotein (AFP) are biomarkers for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). However, their performance in patients with cirrhosis related to hepatitis C virus (HCV) treated with direct-acting antiviral agents (DAA) is unknown.

AIM

To evaluate PIVKA-II and AFP as HCC predictors in DAA-treated patients with HCV-related cirrhosis METHODS: In this single centre study, patients with cirrhosis from chronic HCV infection and with a sustained virological response (SVR) to DAA were tested for PIVKA-II and AFP (Fujirebio, Japan) at the start of DAA treatment (baseline), end of treatment (EOT) and at HCC diagnosis.

RESULTS

We included 400 patients with mean age 65 (24-92); 56% were men. From baseline to EOT, PIVKA-II did not change (35 vs 35 mAU/mL, P = 0.43) while AFP significantly decreased (12 vs 6 ng/mL, P < 0.0001). After 52 (3-66) months from baseline, 34 (8.5%) patients developed de novo HCC; median AFP 9 (2-12 868) ng/mL and PIVKA-II 80 (22-1813) mAU/mL. EOT-PIVKA-II (HR 3.05, P < 0.0001) and AFP (HR 2.77, P = 0.001) independently predicted HCC together with diabetes (HR 6.12, P < 0.001) and GGT (HR 1.01, P = 0.03). The 4-year cumulative probability of HCC was 24% vs 2% in patients with EOT-PIVKA-II > or ≤41 mAU/mL (P < 0.0001), and 26% vs 9% for EOT-AFP > or ≤15 ng/mL (P = 0.02). By combining EOT-PIVKA-II and AFP, the 4-year probabilities of HCC were 3% in patients testing negative for both markers, 18% in patients positive for both, and 38% in patients positive for at least one (P < 0.0001).

CONCLUSIONS

In patients with HCV-related cirrhosis treated with DAA, PIVKA-II and AFP independently predicted HCC, while their combination improved risk stratification.

Abdominal ultrasound and alpha-foetoprotein for the diagnosis of hepatocellular carcinoma in adults with chronic liver disease

BACKGROUND

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) occurs mostly in people with chronic liver disease and ranks sixth in terms of global instances of cancer, and fourth in terms of cancer deaths for men. Despite that abdominal ultrasound (US) is used as an initial test to exclude the presence of focal liver lesions and serum alpha-foetoprotein (AFP) measurement may raise suspicion of HCC occurrence, further testing to confirm diagnosis as well as staging of HCC is required. Current guidelines recommend surveillance programme using US, with or without AFP, to detect HCC in high-risk populations despite the lack of clear benefits on overall survival. Assessing the diagnostic accuracy of US and AFP may clarify whether the absence of benefit in surveillance programmes could be related to under-diagnosis. Therefore, assessment of the accuracy of these two tests for diagnosing HCC in people with chronic liver disease, not included in surveillance programmes, is needed.

OBJECTIVES

Primary: the diagnostic accuracy of US and AFP, alone or in combination, for the diagnosis of HCC of any size and at any stage in adults with chronic liver disease, either in a surveillance programme or in a clinical setting. Secondary: to assess the diagnostic accuracy of abdominal US and AFP, alone or in combination, for the diagnosis of resectable HCC; to compare the diagnostic accuracy of the individual tests versus the combination of both tests; to investigate sources of heterogeneity in the results.

SEARCH METHODS

We searched the Cochrane Hepato-Biliary Group Controlled Trials Register, the Cochrane Hepato-Biliary Group Diagnostic-Test-Accuracy Studies Register, Cochrane Library, MEDLINE, Embase, LILACS, Science Citation Index Expanded, until 5 June 2020. We applied no language or document-type restrictions.

SELECTION CRITERIA

Studies assessing the diagnostic accuracy of US and AFP, independently or in combination, for the diagnosis of HCC in adults with chronic liver disease, with cross-sectional and case-control designs, using one of the acceptable reference standards, such as pathology of the explanted liver, histology of resected or biopsied focal liver lesion, or typical characteristics on computed tomography, or magnetic resonance imaging, all with a six-months follow-up.

DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS

We independently screened studies, extracted data, and assessed the risk of bias and applicability concerns, using the QUADAS-2 checklist. We presented the results of sensitivity and specificity, using paired forest-plots, and tabulated the results. We used a hierarchical meta-analysis model where appropriate. We presented uncertainty of the accuracy estimates using 95% confidence intervals (CIs). We double-checked all data extractions and analyses.

MAIN RESULTS

We included 373 studies. The index-test was AFP (326 studies, 144,570 participants); US (39 studies, 18,792 participants); and a combination of AFP and US (eight studies, 5454 participants). We judged at high-risk of bias all but one study. Most studies used different reference standards, often inappropriate to exclude the presence of the target condition, and the time-interval between the index test and the reference standard was rarely defined. Most studies with AFP had a case-control design. We also had major concerns for the applicability due to the characteristics of the participants. As the primary studies with AFP used different cut-offs, we performed a meta-analysis using the hierarchical-summary-receiver-operating-characteristic model, then we carried out two meta-analyses including only studies reporting the most used cut-offs: around 20 ng/mL or 200 ng/mL. AFP cut-off 20 ng/mL: for HCC (147 studies) sensitivity 60% (95% CI 58% to 62%), specificity 84% (95% CI 82% to 86%); for resectable HCC (six studies) sensitivity 65% (95% CI 62% to 68%), specificity 80% (95% CI 59% to 91%). AFP cut-off 200 ng/mL: for HCC (56 studies) sensitivity 36% (95% CI 31% to 41%), specificity 99% (95% CI 98% to 99%); for resectable HCC (two studies) one with sensitivity 4% (95% CI 0% to 19%), specificity 100% (95% CI 96% to 100%), and one with sensitivity 8% (95% CI 3% to 18%), specificity 100% (95% CI 97% to 100%). US: for HCC (39 studies) sensitivity 72% (95% CI 63% to 79%), specificity 94% (95% CI 91% to 96%); for resectable HCC (seven studies) sensitivity 53% (95% CI 38% to 67%), specificity 96% (95% CI 94% to 97%). Combination of AFP (cut-off of 20 ng/mL) and US: for HCC (six studies) sensitivity 96% (95% CI 88% to 98%), specificity 85% (95% CI 73% to 93%); for resectable HCC (two studies) one with sensitivity 89% (95% CI 73% to 97%), specificity of 83% (95% CI 76% to 88%), and one with sensitivity 79% (95% CI 54% to 94%), specificity 87% (95% CI 79% to 94%). The observed heterogeneity in the results remains mostly unexplained, and only in part referable to different cut-offs or settings (surveillance programme compared to clinical series). The sensitivity analyses, excluding studies published as abstracts, or with case-control design, showed no variation in the results. We compared the accuracy obtained from studies with AFP (cut-off around 20 ng/mL) and US: a direct comparison in 11 studies (6674 participants) showed a higher sensitivity of US (81%, 95% CI 66% to 90%) versus AFP (64%, 95% CI 56% to 71%) with similar specificity: US 92% (95% CI 83% to 97%) versus AFP 89% (95% CI 79% to 94%). A direct comparison of six studies (5044 participants) showed a higher sensitivity (96%, 95% CI 88% to 98%) of the combination of AFP and US versus US (76%, 95% CI 56% to 89%) with similar specificity: AFP and US 85% (95% CI 73% to 92%) versus US 93% (95% CI 80% to 98%).

AUTHORS' CONCLUSIONS

In the clinical pathway for the diagnosis of HCC in adults, AFP and US, singularly or in combination, have the role of triage-tests. We found that using AFP, with 20 ng/mL as a cut-off, about 40% of HCC occurrences would be missed, and with US alone, more than a quarter. The combination of the two tests showed the highest sensitivity and less than 5% of HCC occurrences would be missed with about 15% of false-positive results. The uncertainty resulting from the poor study quality and the heterogeneity of included studies limit our ability to confidently draw conclusions based on our results.

A novel electrochemical immunosensor for hepatitis B surface antigen based on Fe3O4 nanoflowers and heterogeneous chain reaction signal amplification strategy

Herein, a novel sandwich-type electrochemical immunosensor was fabricated based on Fe₃O₄ nanoflowers (Fe₃O₄ NFs) and heterogeneous chain reaction (HCR) signal amplification strategy for the sensitive detection of hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg). The aldehyde-functionalized Fe₃O₄ NFs are used as a supporting matrix to immobilize the hepatitis B surface antibody 1 (HBsAb1). The biotin-modified single-strand DNA (biotin-S0) was connected onto the biotin-HBsAb2 via linkage of streptavidin (SA), followed by addition of methylene blue (MB) modified single strand DNA1 (MB-S1) and DNA2 (MB-S2) for HCR signal amplification. The designed immunosensor exhibited a detection linear range of 0.5 pg mL^-1-0.25 ng mL^-1 and a low detection limit of 0.16 pg mL^-1, with excellent stability, selectivity and reproducibility. Furthermore, HBsAg is detected in the serum samples with a stable and fast response, indicating that the proposed immunosensor has a promising potential application in clinical analysis.

Dynamic Change in Serum Alpha-fetoprotein Level Predicts Treatment Response and Prognosis of Alpha-fetoprotein-producing Gastric Cancer

Alpha-fetoprotein (AFP)-producing gastric cancer (AFPGC) is rare and associated with a suboptimal prognosis. The aim of this retrospective study was to identify prognostic factors, with a particular focus on the dynamics of serum AFP levels during treatment, in AFPGC patients.Data of patients with pathologically diagnosed primary gastric cancer treated with various modalities electronically collected in the medical management systems of 2 hospitals (ie, Shihezi People's Hospital and Shihezi Hospital) in Shihezi city, northwest China, from January 2007 to October 2018 were reviewed. Patients with AFPGC were identified based on serum AFP levels. Associations of the change in serum AFP levels and clinicopathological parameters with treatment response, including the overall response rate and disease control rate, and outcomes, including overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS), were compared among different groups.Of 2354 patients diagnosed with gastric cancer, 96 patients with AFPGC were identified. The objective response rate and disease control rate were significantly higher in patients whose AFP level decreased by ≥50% than in patients whose AFP level decreased by <50% (68.8% vs. 40.6%, and 87.5% vs. 53.1%, respectively, both P < .05). The median OS and PFS were 32.0 (4-74) and 24.0 (1-66) months, respectively, in patients with a ≥50% decline in AFP, and 12.5 (0-69) and 9.0 (0-63) months, respectively, in those with a <50% decline in AFP (both P < .05). On univariate and multivariate analyses, tumor, node, metastasis staging classification stage, liver metastasis, curable surgery, and the decline in the serum AFP level were associated with OS and PFS.A significant decline in the serum AFP level was associated with good treatment response and prognosis in AFPGC. Along with a decline in the serum AFP level, tumor, node, metastasis staging classification stage, liver metastasis, and curable surgery were also independent factors associated with prognosis.

Magnitude of and prediction for risk of hepatocellular carcinoma in patients with chronic hepatitis B taking entecavir or tenofovir therapy: A systematic review

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Entecavir (ETV) and tenofovir disoproxil fumarate (TDF) have been shown to reduce incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB). This systematic review aims to evaluate the magnitude, change over time, and prediction of residual HCC risks in CHB patients treated with ETV/TDF therapy.

METHODS

Available literature was systematically reviewed through searches of PubMed and EMBASE databases from January 1, 2006 to September 1, 2019, to identify cohort studies that reported HCC incidence in CHB patients during ETV/TDF therapy. Studies were screened by title and abstract and then evaluated for eligibility in terms of full text.

RESULTS

We identified 141 studies for full-text review, and 34 were eligible for analysis. From 19 studies with data separated by cirrhosis status, the 5-year cumulative incidence of HCC was 0.5-6.9% in patients without cirrhosis, 4.5-21.6% in compensated cirrhosis, and 36.3-46.5% in decompensated cirrhosis. All four studies that addressed temporal changes in HCC risks consistently found the incidence rate decreased over time in patients with cirrhosis, although the findings were inconsistent in patients without cirrhosis. Six predictive scores were developed and validated to predict incident HCC during ETV/TDF therapy in CHB patients. Common scoring variables included age, sex, cirrhosis (fibrosis grade), and hepatic function. Conflicting results were reported in seven individual studies and two meta-analyses that compared ETV versus TDF.

CONCLUSIONS

The residual risk of HCC remains during ETV/TDF treatment in CHB patients with cirrhosis but declines over time. Risk stratification is attainable by validated predictive scores.

The combination of PIVKA-II and AFP improves the detection accuracy for HCC in HBV caucasian cirrhotics on long-term oral therapy

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Protein induced by vitamin K absence or antagonist-II (PIVKA-II) has been suggested as a serum biomarker for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in Asian hepatitis B virus (HBV)-treated subjects but no studies tested it in Caucasian cirrhotics long-term nucleos(t)ide analogues (NUCs)-treated. We assessed the detection accuracy of PIVKA-II alone or in combination with alpha-foetoprotein (AFP) in patients under surveillance.

METHODS

This cross-sectional, single centre case-control study was conducted in 212 NUC-treated cirrhotics: 64 HCC and 148 HCC-free controls for 84 (60-107) months. PIVKA-II was determined by a CMIA immunoassay (Abbott; limit of quantification: 8.2 mAU/mL).

RESULTS

Protein induced by vitamin K absence or agonist II (PIVKA-II) and AFP levels were significantly higher in HCC patients [Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer staging system stage 0/A in 91%, diameter 20 (6-50) mm] compared to controls: 109 (17-12 157) vs 31 (13-82) mAU/mL and 5 (1-1163) vs 2 (1-7) ng/mL (P < .001 for both markers), with a cut-off of 48 mAU/mL and 4.2 ng/mL by AUROC analysis. The PIVKA-II 82 mAU/mL and AFP 7 ng/mL cut-offs showed 100% specificity, with the former more sensitive (54% vs 42%), accurate (86% vs 83%), with higher negative predictive value (80% vs 76%) compared to AFP for HCC detection. PIVKA-II more frequently than AFP levels exceeded the cut-off 6-18 months before HCC diagnosis. Combining PIVKA-II with AFP increased sensitivity, accuracy and negative predictive values to 67%, 90% and 85%, preserving 100% specificity. PIVKA-II was associated with lesions >20 mm or neoplastic thrombosis.

CONCLUSIONS

Combination of PIVKA-II and AFP increases the detection rate for HCC in NUC-treated HBV Caucasian cirrhotics, a potential new approach for surveillance.