Prognostic role of the Donor Risk Index, the Eurotransplant Donor Risk Index, and the Balance of Risk score on graft loss after liver transplantation

Viability assessment and transplantation of extended criteria donor liver grafts using normothermic machine perfusion

BACKGROUND

The scarcity of available liver grafts necessitates the use of organs from extended criteria donors, a practice associated with an increased risk of graft failure. A notable percentage of deceased donor liver allografts are rejected due to subjective criteria. Normothermic machine perfusion holds promise for introducing objective parameters into this decision-making process. The aim of this study was to compare the outcomes of standard criteria and extended criteria donor allografts after liver transplantation, following viability assessment, using normothermic machine perfusion.

METHODS

Liver allografts preserved by normothermic machine perfusion before liver transplantation at the University Hospital of Münster were retrospectively analyzed. Organs were stratified according to the Eurotransplant Donor Risk Index. In total, 101 liver grafts were included in this study and divided into 2 groups: (1) standard criteria donors with a Donor Risk Index <1.8 (DRI-low) and (2) extended criteria donors with a Donor Risk Index ≥1.8 (DRI-high).

RESULTS

An increased risk profile of donor livers, as assessed by the Eurotransplant Donor Risk Index, did not correlate with patient or graft survival. High-risk liver grafts were effectively transplanted into recipients with different risk levels after viability assessment by normothermic machine perfusion. However, the recipients' model for end-stage liver disease scores showed a significant association with both overall patient and graft survival.

CONCLUSION

The use of normothermic machine perfusion for viability assessment allows safe transplantation of high-risk donor livers and effectively addresses the disparity between donor liver availability and transplantation demand.

A new prediction model for acute kidney injury following liver transplantation using grafts from donors after cardiac death

Acute kidney injury (AKI) is a major complication following liver transplantation (LT), which utilizes grafts from donors after cardiac death (DCD). We developed a machine-learning-based model to predict AKI, using data from 894 LT recipients (January 2015-March 2021), split into training and testing sets. Five machine learning algorithms were employed to construct the prediction models using 17 clinical variables. The performance of the models was assessed by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), accuracy, F1-score, sensitivity and specificity. The best-performing model was further validated in an independent cohort of 195 LT recipients who received DCD grafts between April 2021 and December 2021. The Shapley additive explanations method was utilized to elucidate the predictions and identify the most crucial features. The gradient boosting machine (GBM) model demonstrated the highest AUC (0.76, 95% CI: 0.70-0.82), F1-score (0.73, 95% CI: 0.66-0.79) and sensitivity (0.74, 95% CI: 0.66-0.80) in the testing set and a comparable AUC (0.75, 95% CI: 0.67-0.81) in the validation set. The GBM model identified high preoperative indirect bilirubin, low intraoperative urine output, prolonged anesthesia duration, low preoperative platelet count and graft steatosis graded NASH Clinical Research Network 1 and above as the top five important features for predicting AKI following LT using DCD grafts. The GBM model is a reliable and interpretable tool for predicting AKI in recipients of LT using DCD grafts. This model can assist clinicians in identifying patients at high risk and providing timely interventions to prevent or mitigate AKI.

Association of donor hepatectomy time with liver transplantation outcomes: A multicenter retrospective study

BACKGROUND

Prolonged donor hepatectomy time may be implicated in early and late complications of liver transplantation.

AIM

To evaluate the impact of donor hepatectomy time on outcomes of liver transplant recipients, mainly early allograft dysfunction.

METHODS

This multicenter retrospective study included brain-dead donors and adult liver graft recipients. Donor-recipient matching was obtained through a crossover list. Clinical and laboratory data were recorded for both donors and recipients. Donor hepatectomy, cold ischemia, and warm ischemia times were recorded. Primary outcome was early allograft dysfunction. Secondary outcomes included need for retransplantation, length of intensive care unit and hospital stay, and patient and graft survival at 12 months.

RESULTS

From January 2019 to December 2021, a total of 243 patients underwent a liver transplant from a brain-dead donor. Of these, 57 (25%) developed early allograft dysfunction. The median donor hepatectomy time was 29 (23-40) min. Patients with early allograft dysfunction had a median hepatectomy time of 25 (22-38) min, whereas those without it had a median time of 30 (24-40) min (P = 0.126).

CONCLUSION

Donor hepatectomy time was not associated with early allograft dysfunction, graft survival, or patient survival following liver transplantation.

Age and liver graft: a systematic review with meta-regression

Increasing organ shortage results in extended criteria donors (ECD) being used to face the growing demand for liver grafts. The demographic change leads to greater use of elderly donors for liver transplantation, historically considered marginal donors. Age is still considered amongst ECD in liver transplantation as it could affect transplant outcomes. However, what is the cutoff for donor age is still unclear and debated. A search of PubMed, Scopus and Cochrane Library was performed. The primary outcome was 1-year graft survival (GS). The secondary outcome was overall biliary complications and 3-5 years of graft and overall survival. A meta-regression model was used to analyse the temporal trend relation in the survival outcome. The meta-analysis included 11 studies. Hazard ratios for 1-year (age cutoff of 70 and 80,) and 5-year GS (I2:0%) were similar irrespectively of the age group. The meta-regression analysis showed a significant correlation between the 1-year graft survival and the year of publication. (coef. 0.00027, 95% CI - 0.0001 to - 0.0003 p = 0.0009). Advanced-age donors showed an increased risk of overall biliary complications with an odd ratio (OR) of 1.89 (95% CI 1-3.65). Liver grafts potentially discharged because of high-risk failure show encouraging results, and GS in ECD has progressively improved with a temporal trend. Currently, the criteria of marginality vary amongst centres. Age alone cannot be considered amongst the extended criteria. First of all, because of the positive results in terms of septuagenarian graft survival. Moreover, the potential elderly donor-related adjunctive risk can be balanced by reducing other risk factors. A prospective multicentre study should investigate a multi-factorial model based on donor criteria, recipient features and new functional biomarkers to predict graft outcome, as proper donor-recipient matching seems to be the critical point for good outcomes.

Declined Organs for Liver Transplantation: A Right Decision or a Missed Opportunity for Patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma?

BACKGROUND

Liver transplantation is the only promising treatment for end-stage liver disease and patients with hepatocellular carcinoma. However, too many organs are rejected for transplantation.

METHODS

We analyzed the factors involved in organ allocation in our transplant center and reviewed all livers that were declined for transplantation. Reasons for declining organs for transplantation were categorized as major extended donor criteria (maEDC), size mismatch and vascular problems, medical reasons and risk of disease transmission, and other reasons. The fate of the declined organs was analyzed.

RESULTS

1086 declined organs were offered 1200 times. A total of 31% of the livers were declined because of maEDC, 35.5% because of size mismatch and vascular problems, 15.8% because of medical reasons and risk of disease transmission, and 20.7% because of other reasons. A total of 40% of the declined organs were allocated and transplanted. A total of 50% of the organs were completely discarded, and significantly more of these grafts had maEDC than grafts that were eventually allocated (37.5% vs. 17.7%, p < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

Most organs were declined because of poor organ quality. Donor-recipient matching at time of allocation and organ preservation must be improved by allocating maEDC grafts using individualized algorithms that avoid high-risk donor-recipient combinations and unnecessary organ declination.

Calcification of the visceral aorta and celiac trunk is associated with renal and allograft outcomes after deceased donor liver transplantation

PURPOSE

Atherosclerosis affects clinical outcomes in the setting of major surgery. Here we aimed to investigate the prognostic role of visceral aortic (VAC), extended visceral aortic (VAC+), and celiac artery calcification (CAC) in the assessment of short- and long-term outcomes following deceased donor orthotopic liver transplantation (OLT) in a western European cohort.

METHODS

We retrospectively analyzed the data of 281 consecutive recipients who underwent OLT at a German university medical center (05/2010-03/2020). The parameters VAC, VAC+, or CAC were evaluated by preoperative computed tomography-based calcium quantification according to the Agatston score.

RESULTS

Significant VAC or CAC were associated with impaired postoperative renal function (p = 0.0016; p = 0.0211). Patients with VAC suffered more frequently from early allograft dysfunction (EAD) (38 vs 26%, p = 0.031), while CAC was associated with higher estimated procedural costs (p = 0.049). In the multivariate logistic regression analysis, VAC was identified as an independent predictor of EAD (2.387 OR, 1.290-4.418 CI, p = 0.006). Concerning long-term graft and patient survival, no significant difference was found, even though patients with calcification showed a tendency towards lower 5-year survival compared to those without (VAC: 65 vs 73%, p = 0.217; CAC: 52 vs 72%, p = 0.105). VAC+ failed to provide an additional prognostic value compared to VAC.

CONCLUSION

This is the first clinical report to show the prognostic role of VAC/CAC in the setting of deceased donor OLT with a particular value in the perioperative phase. Further studies are warranted to validate these findings. CT computed tomography, OLT orthotopic liver transplantation.

Liver Transplant Recipient Characteristics Associated With Worse Post-Transplant Outcomes in Using Elderly Donors

Advanced age of liver donor is a risk factor for graft loss after transplant. We sought to identify recipient characteristics associated with negative post-liver transplant (LT) outcomes in the context of elderly donors. Using 2014–2019 OPTN/UNOS data, LT recipients were classified by donor age: ≥70, 40–69, and <40 years. Recipient risk factors for one-year graft loss were identified and created a risk stratification system and validated it using 2020 OPTN/UNOS data set. At transplant, significant recipient risk factors for one-year graft loss were: previous liver transplant (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 4.37, 95%CI 1.98–9.65); mechanical ventilation (aHR 4.28, 95%CI 1.95–9.43); portal thrombus (aHR 1.87, 95%CI 1.26–2.77); serum sodium <125 mEq/L (aHR 2.88, 95%CI 1.34–6.20); and Karnofsky score 10–30% (aHR 2.03, 95%CI 1.13–3.65), 40–60% (aHR 1.65, 95%CI 1.08–2.51). Using those risk factors and multiplying HRs, recipients were divided into low-risk (n = 931) and high-risk (n = 294). Adjusted risk of one-year graft loss in the low-risk recipient group was similar to that of patients with younger donors; results were consistent using validation dataset. Our results show that a system of careful recipient selection can reduce the risks of graft loss associated with older donor age.

Normothermic Machine Perfusion—Improving the Supply of Transplantable Livers for High-Risk Recipients

The effectiveness of liver transplantation to cure numerous diseases, alleviate suffering, and improve patient survival has led to an ever increasing demand. Improvements in preoperative management, surgical technique, and postoperative care have allowed increasingly complicated and high-risk patients to be safely transplanted. As a result, many patients are safely transplanted in the modern era that would have been considered untransplantable in times gone by. Despite this, more gains are possible as the science behind transplantation is increasingly understood. Normothermic machine perfusion of liver grafts builds on these gains further by increasing the safe use of grafts with suboptimal features, through objective assessment of both hepatocyte and cholangiocyte function. This technology can minimize cold ischemia, but prolong total preservation time, with particular benefits for suboptimal grafts and surgically challenging recipients. In addition to more physiological and favorable preservation conditions for grafts with risk factors for poor outcome, the extended preservation time benefits operative logistics by allowing a careful explant and complicated vascular reconstruction when presented with challenging surgical scenarios. This technology represents a significant advancement in graft preservation techniques and the transplant community must continue to incorporate this technology to ensure the benefits of liver transplant are maximized.

Outcome of Extended Right Lobe Liver Transplantations

Split-liver transplantation offers a solution to the organ shortage problem. However, the outcomes of extended right lobe liver transplantation (ERLT) and whether it is a suitable alternative to full-size liver transplantation (FSLT) remain controversial. We compared the outcomes of ERLT and FSLT in adult recipients of 43,409 first deceased donor liver transplantations using Cox regression. We also analyzed 612 ERLT and 1224 FSLT 1:2 matched cases to identify factors that affect ERLT outcome. The risk of graft loss was significantly higher following ERLT than following FSLT during the first posttransplantation year in the matched and unmatched collective (hazard ratio [HR], 1.39 and 1.27 and P = 0.01 and 0.006, respectively). Every additional hour of cold ischemia time (CIT) increased the risk of 1-year graft loss by 10% in the ERLT group compared with only 3% in the FSLT group (P = 0.003 and <0.001, respectively). Importantly, the outcome of ERLT and FSLT did not differ significantly if the CIT was below 10 hours (HR, 0.71; P = 0.22). One-year graft and patient survival were lower in high-risk ERLT recipients with a Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score of ≥20 (HR, 1.88; P = 0.03 and HR, 2.03; P = 0.02). In the male recipient-male donor combination, ERLT recipients had a higher risk of 1-year graft loss than FSLT recipients (HR, 2.44; P = 0.006). This was probably because of the significantly higher MELD score in ERLT recipients (P = 0.004). ERLT in adults is an adequate alternative to FSLT and offers an elegant solution to the problem of organ shortage as long as the cold storage is less than 10 hours and the recipient's MELD score is <20.

Prognostic role of selection criteria for liver transplantation in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma: a network meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) are selected for transplantation if they have a low tumour burden and low risk of recurrence. The morphometric Milan criteria have been the cornerstone for patient selection, but dynamic morphological and biological tumour characteristics surfaced as an encouraging tool to refine the selection of patients with HCC and to support the expansion of the Milan criteria. The outcomes of the most prevalent models that select patients with HCC for liver transplantation were analysed in this study, which aimed to identify the selection model that offered the best recurrence-free and overall survival after transplantation.

METHODS

Studies that compared Milan, University of California San Francisco (UCSF), up-to-seven (UPTS), alpha-fetoprotein (AFP), and MetroTicket 2.0 (MT2) models were included. One-year, 3-year, and 5-year recurrence-free and overall survival rates of patients selected for transplantation using different models were analysed.

RESULTS

A total of 60 850 adult patients with HCC selected for liver transplantation using Milan, UCSF, UPTS, AFP, or MT2 criteria were included. Patients selected for transplantation using the MT2 model had the highest 1-, 3-, and 5-year recurrence-free survival. In addition, patients selected for transplantation using MT2 criteria had the best 1- and 3-year overall survival, whereas patients selected for transplantation using the Milan criteria had the best 5-year overall survival rates.

CONCLUSION

The MT2 model offered the best post-transplant outcomes in patients with HCC, highlighting the importance of considering tumour morphology and biology when selecting patients with HCC for liver transplantation.

Clinical value and limitations of the preoperative C-reactive-protein-to-albumin ratio in predicting post-operative morbidity and mortality after deceased-donor liver transplantation: a retrospective single-centre study

Liver transplantation is still associated with a high risk of severe complications and post-operative mortality. This study examines the predictive value of the preoperative C-reactive-protein-to-albumin ratio (CAR) regarding perioperative morbidity and mortality in deceased-donor liver transplantation (DDLT) recipients. In total, 390 DDLT recipients between 05/2010 and 03/2020 were eligible. Predictive abilities of CAR were examined through receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) analyses. Groups were compared using parametric and non-parametric tests as appropriate. Independent risk factors for morbidity and mortality were identified using uni- and multivariable logistic regression analyses. A good predictive ability for CAR was shown regarding perioperative morbidity (comprehensive complication index ≥75, Clavien-Dindo score ≥4a) and 12-month mortality, with an ideal cut-off of CAR = 26%. Patients with CAR>26% had significantly higher median CCI scores (60 vs. 43, P < 0.001), longer intensive care unit (ICU, 5 vs. 4 days, P < 0.001) and hospital (28 vs. 21 days, P < 0.001) stays and higher 12-month mortality rates (20% vs 6%, P < 0.001). Multivariable analyses identified CAR>26%, pre-OLT inpatient hospitalization (including ICU) and post-operative red blood cell transfusions as independent predictors of severe cumulative morbidity (CCI≥75). Preoperative CAR might be a reliable additional tool to predict perioperative morbidity and mortality in DDLT recipients.