Seasonal trends in donor heart availability: an analysis of the UNOS database

Impact of post-transplant stroke and subsequent functional independence on outcomes following heart transplantation under the 2018 United States heart allocation system

BACKGROUND

This study evaluates the clinical trends, risk factors, and effects of post-transplant stroke and subsequent functional independence on outcomes following orthotopic heart transplantation under the 2018 heart allocation system.

METHODS

The United Network for Organ Sharing registry was queried to identify adult recipients from October 18, 2018 to December 31, 2021. The cohort was stratified into 2 groups with and without post-transplant stroke. The incidence of post-transplant stroke was compared before and after the allocation policy change. Outcomes included post-transplant survival and complications. Multivariable logistic regression was performed to identify risk factors for post-transplant stroke. Sub-analysis was performed to evaluate the impact of functional independence among recipients with post-transplant stroke.

RESULTS

A total of 9,039 recipients were analyzed in this study. The incidence of post-transplant stroke was higher following the policy change (3.8% vs 3.1%, p = 0.017). Thirty-day (81.4% vs 97.7%) and 1-year (66.4% vs 92.5%) survival rates were substantially lower in the stroke cohort (p < 0.001). The stroke cohort had a higher rate of post-transplant renal failure, longer hospital length of stay, and worse functional status. Multivariable analysis identified extracorporeal membrane oxygenation, durable left ventricular assist device, blood type O, and redo heart transplantation as strong predictors of post-transplant stroke. Preserved functional independence considerably improved 30-day (99.2% vs 61.2%) and 1-year (97.7% vs 47.4%) survival rates among the recipients with post-transplant stroke (p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

There is a higher incidence of post-transplant stroke under the 2018 allocation system, and it is associated with significantly worse post-transplant outcomes. However, post-transplant stroke recipients with preserved functional independence have improved survival, similar to those without post-transplant stroke.

Improved waitlist and comparable post-transplant outcomes in simultaneous heart-kidney transplantation under the 2018 heart allocation system

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to investigate the clinical trends and the impact of the 2018 heart allocation policy change on both waitlist and post-transplant outcomes in simultaneous heart-kidney transplantation in the United States.

METHODS

The United Network for Organ Sharing registry was queried to compare adult patients before and after the allocation policy change. This study included 2 separate analyses evaluating the waitlist and post-transplant outcomes. Multivariable analyses were performed to determine the 2018 allocation system's risk-adjusted hazards for 1-year waitlist and post-transplant mortality.

RESULTS

The initial analysis investigating the waitlist outcomes included 1779 patients listed for simultaneous heart-kidney transplantation. Of these, 1075 patients (60.4%) were listed after the 2018 allocation policy change. After the policy change, the waitlist outcomes significantly improved with a shorter waitlist time, lower likelihood of de-listing, and higher likelihood of transplantation. In the subsequent analysis investigating the post-transplant outcomes, 1130 simultaneous heart-kidney transplant recipients were included, where 738 patients (65.3%) underwent simultaneous heart-kidney transplantation after the policy change. The 90-day, 6-month, and 1-year post-transplant survival and complication rates were comparable before and after the policy change. Multivariable analyses demonstrated that the 2018 allocation system positively impacted risk-adjusted 1-year waitlist mortality (sub-hazard ratio, 0.66, 95% CI, 0.51-0.85, P < .001), but it did not significantly impact risk-adjusted 1-year post-transplant mortality (hazard ratio, 1.03; 95% CI, 0.72-1.47, P = .876).

CONCLUSIONS

This study demonstrates increased rates of simultaneous heart-kidney transplantation with a shorter waitlist time after the 2018 allocation policy change. Furthermore, there were improved waitlist outcomes and comparable early post-transplant survival after simultaneous heart-kidney transplantation under the 2018 allocation system.

The 2-year postoperative left heart function in marginal donor heart recipients assessing by speckle tracking echocardiography

This study analyzed the differences and explored the donor/recipient factors between marginal and standard donor heart recipients after heart transplantation (HT) by speckle tracking echocardiography (STE). Seventy-two HT patients were enrolled: 25 standard and 47 marginal donor heart recipients. Thirty HT patients completed 2-year continuous follow-up (1, 6, 12, 24 months). Thirty healthy volunteers were controls. STE was used to track the strain characteristics of the left ventricle and atrium for detecting early changes in marginal donor heart recipients, including left ventricular global longitudinal, circumferential and radial strain (LVGLS, LVGCS, LVGRS) and left atrial strain in systole (LAS-S) and late diastole (LAS-A). The perioperative parameters were similar between the standard and marginal groups. No significant differences were found in left heart size, systolic and diastolic function parameters. Left ventricular systolic strain (LVGLS, LVGCS, LVGRS) and systolic and late diastolic left atrial strain (LAS-S, LAS-A) were lower in the HT recipients than the control group (P < 0.05), but there was no difference between the marginal and standard groups (P > 0.05). LVGLS, LVGCS, and LAS-S were low in the marginal group 1 month after surgery but recovered gradually at 6 months. The patients with donor/recipient body weight ratio < 0.8 group had lower LVGLS and LAS-S. STE showed no significant difference between marginal and standard donor recipients. The LVGLS and LAS-S were lower in those with a smaller donor/recipient body weight ratio. The cardiac function of HT patients was lower in the early postoperative period but gradually recovered over time.

The current and future role of artificial intelligence in optimizing donor organ utilization and recipient outcomes in heart transplantation

Heart failure (HF) is a leading cause of morbidity and mortality in the United States. While medical management and mechanical circulatory support have undergone significant advancement in recent years, orthotopic heart transplantation (OHT) remains the most definitive therapy for refractory HF. OHT has seen steady improvement in patient survival and quality of life (QoL) since its inception, with one-year mortality now under 8%. However, a significant number of HF patients are unable to receive OHT due to scarcity of donor hearts. The United Network for Organ Sharing has recently revised its organ allocation criteria in an effort to provide more equitable access to OHT. Despite these changes, there are many potential donor hearts that are inevitably rejected. Arbitrary regulations from the centers for Medicare and Medicaid services and fear of repercussions if one-year mortality falls below established values has led to a current state of excessive risk aversion for which organs are accepted for OHT. Furthermore, non-standardized utilization of extended criteria donors and donation after circulatory death, exacerbate the organ shortage. Data-driven systems can improve donor-recipient matching, better predict patient QoL post-OHT, and decrease needless organ waste through more uniform application of acceptance criteria. Thus, we propose a data-driven future for OHT and a move to patient-centric and holistic transplantation care processes.