The dynamics of monkeypox transmission

Sexual Exposures Associated With Mpox Infection: California, November 2022 to June 2023

BACKGROUND

Exposures associated with mpox infection remain imperfectly understood.

METHODS

We conducted a case-control study enrolling participants who received molecular tests for mpox/orthopoxvirus in California from November 2022 through June 2023. We collected data on behaviors during a 21-day risk period before symptom onset or testing among mpox case patients and test-negative controls.

RESULTS

Thirteen of 54 case patients (24.1%) and 5 of 117 controls (4.3%) reported sexual exposure to individuals they identified as potential mpox case patients ("index contacts"; odds ratio [OR], 7.7 [95% confidence interval (CI), 2.5-19.3] relative to individuals who did not report exposure to potential mpox case patients). Among these participants, 10 of 13 case patients (76.9%) and 2 of 5 controls (40.0%) reported that their index contacts were not experiencing symptoms visible to participants during sex (OR, 14.9 [95% CI, 3.6-101.8]). Only 3 of 54 case patients (5.6%) reported exposure to symptomatic index contacts. Case patients reported more anal/vaginal sex partners than did controls (adjusted OR, 2.2 [95% CI, 1.0-4.8] for 2-3 partners and 3.8 [1.7-8.8] for ≥4 partners). Male case patients with penile lesions more commonly reported insertive anal/vaginal sex than those without penile lesions (adjusted OR, 9.3 [95% CI, 1.6-54.8]). Case patients with anorectal lesions more commonly reported receptive anal sex than those without anorectal lesions (adjusted OR, 14.4 [95% CI, 1.0-207.3]).

CONCLUSIONS

Sexual exposure to contacts known or suspected to have experienced mpox was associated with increased risk of infection, often when index contacts lacked apparent symptoms. Exposure to more sex partners, including those whom participants did not identify as index contacts, was associated with increased risk of infection in a site-specific manner. While participants' assessment of symptoms in partners may be imperfect, these findings suggest that individuals without visibly prominent mpox symptoms transmit infection.

Rapid Detection of the Monkeypox Virus Genome and Antigen Proteins Based on Surface-Enhanced Raman Spectroscopy

The conventional detection methods cannot satisfy the need for early and rapid detection of monkeypox virus (MPXV) infection. This is due to complicated pretreatment, time consumption, and complex operation of the diagnostic tests. Based on surface-enhanced Raman spectroscopy (SERS), this study attempted to capture the characteristic fingerprints of the MPXV genome and multiple antigenic proteins without the need to design specific probes. The minimum detection limit of this method is 100 copies/mL, with good reproducibility and signal-to-noise ratio. Therefore, the relationship between characteristic peak intensity and the protein and nucleic acid concentration can be used to construct a concentration-dependent spectral line with a good linear relationship. Additionally, principal component analysis (PCA) could identify the SERS spectra of four different MPXV proteins in serum. Therefore, this rapid detection method in the current outbreak of monkeypox control and the future response to possible new outbreaks has broad application prospects.

Estimated incubation period distributions of mpox using cases from two international European festivals and outbreaks in a club in Berlin, May to June 2022

BackgroundSince May 2022, an mpox outbreak affecting primarily men who have sex with men (MSM) has occurred in numerous non-endemic countries worldwide. As MSM frequently reported multiple sexual encounters in this outbreak, reliably determining the time of infection is difficult; consequently, estimation of the incubation period is challenging.AimWe aimed to provide valid and precise estimates of the incubation period distribution of mpox by using cases associated with early outbreak settings where infection likely occurred.MethodsColleagues in European countries were invited to provide information on exposure intervals and date of symptom onset for mpox cases who attended a fetish festival in Antwerp, Belgium, a gay pride festival in Gran Canaria, Spain or a particular club in Berlin, Germany, where early mpox outbreaks occurred. Cases of these outbreaks were pooled; doubly censored models using the log-normal, Weibull and Gamma distributions were fitted to estimate the incubation period distribution.ResultsWe included data on 122 laboratory-confirmed cases from 10 European countries. Depending on the distribution used, the median incubation period ranged between 8 and 9 days, with 5th and 95th percentiles ranging from 2 to 3 and from 20 to 23 days, respectively. The shortest interval that included 50% of incubation periods spanned 8 days (4-11 days).ConclusionCurrent public health management of close contacts should consider that in approximately 5% of cases, the incubation period exceeds the commonly used monitoring period of 21 days.

Presymptomatic viral shedding in high-risk mpox contacts: A prospective cohort study

The risk of infection after exposure to clade IIb mpox virus (MPXV) is unknown, and potential presymptomatic shedding of MPXV remains to be demonstrated. High-risk contacts of mpox patients were followed-up in a prospective longitudinal cohort study. Individuals reporting sexual contact, >15 min skin-to-skin contact, or living in the same household with an mpox patient were recruited in a sexual health clinic in Antwerp, Belgium. Participants kept a symptom diary, performed daily self-sampling (anorectal, genital, and saliva), and presented for weekly clinic visits for physical examination and sampling (blood and oropharyngeal). Samples were tested for MPXV by PCR. Between June 24 and July 31, 2022, 25 contacts were included, of which 12/18 (66.0%) sexual and 1/7 (14.0%) nonsexual contacts showed evidence of infection by MPXV-PCR. Six cases had typical mpox symptoms. Viral DNA was detected as early as 4 days before symptom onset in 5 of them. In 3 of these cases, replication-competent virus was demonstrated in the presymptomatic phase. These findings confirm the existence of presymptomatic shedding of replication-competent MPXV and emphasize the high risk of transmission during sexual contact. Sexual contacts of mpox cases should abstain from sex during the incubation period, irrespective of symptoms.

A dermatologic assessment of 101 mpox (monkeypox) cases from 13 countries during the 2022 outbreak: Skin lesion morphology, clinical course, and scarring

BACKGROUND

In the 2022 mpox (monkeypox) outbreak, 79,000 global cases have been reported. Yet, limited dermatologic data have been published regarding lesion morphology and progression.

OBJECTIVE

The objective of this study was to characterize skin lesion morphology, symptomatology, and outcomes of mpox infection over time.

METHODS

The American Academy of Dermatology/International League of Dermatological Societies Dermatology COVID-19, Mpox, and Emerging Infections Registry captured deidentified patient cases of mpox entered by health care professionals.

RESULTS

From August 4 to November 13, 2022, 101 cases from 13 countries were entered, primarily by dermatologists (92%). Thirty-nine percent had fewer than 5 lesions. In 54% of cases, skin lesions were the first sign of infection. In the first 1-5 days of infection, papules (36%), vesicles (17%), and pustules (20%) predominated. By days 6-10, pustules (36%) were most common, followed by erosions/ulcers (27%) and crusts/scabs (24%). Crusts/scabs were the predominant morphology after day 11. Ten cases of morbilliform rash were reported. Scarring occurred in 13% of the cases.

LIMITATIONS

Registry-reported data cannot address incidence. There is a potential reporting bias from the predilection to report cases with greater clinical severity.

DISCUSSION

These findings highlight differences in skin findings compared to historical outbreaks, notably the presence of skin lesions prior to systemic symptoms and low overall lesion counts. Scarring emerged as a major possible sequela.