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Mulders MCF, Vural S, Boekhoud L, Olgers TJ, Ter Maaten JC, Bouma HR. A clinical prediction model for safe early discharge of patients with an infection at the emergency department. Am J Emerg Med 2025; 87:8-15. [PMID: 39461264 DOI: 10.1016/j.ajem.2024.10.014] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/06/2024] [Revised: 08/22/2024] [Accepted: 10/10/2024] [Indexed: 10/29/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Every hospital admission is associated with healthcare costs and a risk of adverse events. The need to identify patients who do not require hospitalization has emerged with the profound increase in hospitalization rates due to infectious diseases during the last decades, especially during the COVID-19 pandemic. This study aimed to identify predictors of safe early discharge (SED) in patients presenting to the emergency department (ED) with a suspected infection meeting the Systemic Inflammatory Response Syndrome (SIRS) criteria. METHODS We conducted a prospective cohort study on adult non-trauma patients with a suspected infection and at least two SIRS criteria. We defined SED as hospital discharge within 24 h (e.g. direct ED discharge or rapid ward discharge) without disease-related readmission to our hospital or death during the first seven days. A prediction model for SED was developed using multivariate logistic regression analysis and tested with k-fold cross-validation. RESULTS We included 1381 patients, of whom 1027 (74.4 %) were hospitalized for longer than 24 h or re-admitted within seven days and 354 (25.6 %) met SED criteria. Parameters associated with SED were relatively young age, absence of comorbidities, living independently, yellow or green triage urgency, lack of ambulance transport or general practitioner referral, normal clinical impression scores, and risk scores (i.e., qSOFA, PIRO, MEDS, NEWS, and SIRS), normal vital sign measurements and absence of kidney and respiratory failure. The model performance metrics showed an area under the curve of 0.824. The validation showed a minimal drop in performance and indicated a good fit. CONCLUSION We developed and validated a model to identify patients with an infection at the ED who can be safely discharged early.
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Affiliation(s)
- Merijn C F Mulders
- Department of Internal Medicine, University of Groningen, University Medical Center Groningen, Groningen, the Netherlands
| | - Sevilay Vural
- Department of Internal Medicine, University of Groningen, University Medical Center Groningen, Groningen, the Netherlands; Department of Emergency Medicine, Yozgat Bozok University, Yozgat, Turkey.
| | - Lisanne Boekhoud
- Department of Clinical Pharmacy & Pharmacology, University of Groningen, University Medical Center Groningen, Groningen, the Netherlands
| | - Tycho J Olgers
- Department of Internal Medicine, University of Groningen, University Medical Center Groningen, Groningen, the Netherlands
| | - Jan C Ter Maaten
- Department of Internal Medicine, University of Groningen, University Medical Center Groningen, Groningen, the Netherlands
| | - Hjalmar R Bouma
- Department of Internal Medicine, University of Groningen, University Medical Center Groningen, Groningen, the Netherlands; Department of Clinical Pharmacy & Pharmacology, University of Groningen, University Medical Center Groningen, Groningen, the Netherlands
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Razack BS, Mahabir NB, Iyeke LO, Jordan L, Willis H, Gizzi-Murphy M, Davis F, Berman AJ, Richman M, Kwon NS. Evaluating an Emergency Department Discharge Center: A Learning Organization Approach for Efficiency and Future Directions. Cureus 2024; 16:e73470. [PMID: 39664152 PMCID: PMC11634050 DOI: 10.7759/cureus.73470] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 11/09/2024] [Indexed: 12/13/2024] Open
Abstract
Introduction Our pilot Emergency Department Discharge Center (EDDC) facilitates post-discharge appointments, and screens for social determinants of health (SDoH) with a long, paper-based tool. No criteria guide which patients to refer to EDDC for appointment-making. Patients screening positive for SDoH are texted or emailed a list of community-based organizations (CBOs) to contact; the screening tool doesn't assess patients' interest or ability to contact CBOs. Additionally, our ED's clinical and operational administrators run a follow-up call program for discharged patients to inquire about their recovery. This program is associated with improved patient satisfaction, a strategic initiative tied to reimbursement. Owing to high volume, only 8.6% (4,877 of 56,591) of discharged patients are called. We describe an application of Learning Organization principles and practices to evaluate EDDC efficiency and identify opportunities to create time for EDDC staff to participate in and expand the follow-up call program. Methods A "Learning Organization" follows five principles (systems thinking, personal mastery, mental models, shared vision, and team learning) to facilitate its members' learning and continuously transform itself. To evaluate EDDC processes ("systems thinking"), the overriding Learning Organization principle we adopted was "integrate learning into the business process." We established "team learning" by engaging EDDC staff and ED leadership ("leadership commitment"), thereby "promoting ownership at every level." We shadowed EDDC staff and analyzed data for 3,616 patients receiving appointment assistance, 342 offered SDoH screening, and 4,877 called by phone. We identified the validated SHOUT tool (which predicts discharge failure) and its highly weighted criteria (no home, insurance, or primary care physician). We randomly surveyed 50 patients to determine: 1) what percent met those highly-weighted criteria, with the idea being to guide providers about which patients particularly benefit from EDDC assistance, and 2) what percent had not only SDoH social service needs but also interest and ability to contact CBOs, as this would be their responsibility. Adopting these two changes (SHOUT tool and assessing interest/ability to contact CBOs) might yield more judicious utilization of EDDC personnel, freeing up time to staff the follow-up call program. Results EDDC staff spend ~35 minutes/patient. They don't make appointments but instead liaise with physicians' offices, which yields fewer ED returns and admissions. Only 6% (3 of 50) of surveyed patients met SHOUT criteria for EDDC assistance. Of 342 patients screened for SDoH, 31% (106) completed the survey, 20% (68) identified a need, and only 4.5% (15) completed it, identified a need, and followed up on their own after receiving CBO names and contact information. Only 50% of call-back patients were contactable: 77% had improved, 21% were unchanged; ~50% had made appointments without EDDC assistance; and 12.5% had clinical questions. Conclusion Learning Organization exercises identified the SHOUT tool and revealed the potential for SHOUT criteria and QR-code-accessible two-step SDoH surveys to create significant time for EDDC to staff follow-up program expansion. Thousands more patients would be screened for SDoH, saving 95% of the effort while retaining 100% of the benefit. EDDC staff would serve as a safety net for follow-up calls for patients unable to secure an appointment.
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Affiliation(s)
- Bibi S Razack
- Emergency Medicine, Valley Stream Hospital, Valley Stream, USA
| | - Naya B Mahabir
- Emergency Medicine, Northwell Health Long Island Jewish Medical Center, New Hyde Park, USA
| | - Lisa O Iyeke
- Emergency Medicine, Northwell Health Long Island Jewish Medical Center, New Hyde Park, USA
| | - Lindsay Jordan
- Emergency Medicine, Northwell Health Long Island Jewish Medical Center, New Hyde Park, USA
| | - Helena Willis
- Emergency Medicine, Northwell Health Long Island Jewish Medical Center, New Hyde Park, USA
| | - Marina Gizzi-Murphy
- Emergency Medicine, Northwell Health Long Island Jewish Medical Center, New Hyde Park, USA
| | - Frederick Davis
- Emergency Medicine, Northwell Health Long Island Jewish Medical Center, New Hyde Park, USA
| | - Adam J Berman
- Emergency Medicine, Northwell Health Long Island Jewish Medical Center, New Hyde Park, USA
| | - Mark Richman
- Internal Medicine, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York City, USA
| | - Nancy S Kwon
- Emergency Medicine, Northwell Health Long Island Jewish Medical Center, New Hyde Park, USA
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Iyeke LO, Razack B, Richman M, Berman AJ, Davis F, Willis H, Gizzi-Murphy M, Guilherme S, Johnson S, Njoku C, Ramjattan G, Krol K, Kwon N. Novel Discharge Center for Transition of Care in Vulnerable Emergency Department Treat and Release Patients. Cureus 2023; 15:e34937. [PMID: 36938288 PMCID: PMC10017056 DOI: 10.7759/cureus.34937] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 02/13/2023] [Indexed: 02/15/2023] Open
Abstract
Introduction The majority of emergency department (ED) patients are discharged following evaluation and treatment. Most patients are recommended to follow up with a primary care provider (PCP) or specialist. However, there is considerable variation between providers and EDs in discharge process practices that might facilitate such follow-up (e.g., simply discharging patients with follow-up physician names/contact information vs. making appointments for patients). Patients who do not follow up with their PCPs or specialists are more likely to be readmitted within 30 days than those who do. Furthermore, vulnerable patients have difficulty arranging transitional care appointments due to poor health literacy, inadequate insurance, appointment availability, and self-efficacy. Our innovative ED discharge process utilizes an Emergency Department Discharge Center (EDDC) staffed by ED Care Coordinators and assists patients with scheduling post-discharge appointments to improve rates of follow-up with outpatient providers. This study describes the structure and activities of the EDDC, characterizes the EDDC patient population, and demonstrates the volume and specialties of appointments scheduled by EDDC Care Coordinators. The impact of the EDDC on operational metrics (72-hour returns, 30-day admissions, and length-of-stay [LOS]) and the impact of the EDDC on patient satisfaction are evaluated. Methods The Long Island Jewish Medical Center (LIJMC) EDDC is an intervention developed in July 2020 within a 583-bed urban hospital serving a racially, ethnically, and socio-economically diverse population, with many patients having limited access to healthcare. Data from the Emergency Medicine Service Line (EMSL), an ED Care Coordinator database, and manual chart review were collected from July 2020 to July 2021 to examine the impact of the EDDC on 72-hour returns, 30-day admissions, and Press Ganey's® "likelihood to recommend ED" score (a widely used patient satisfaction survey question). The EDDC pilot cohort was compared to non-EDDC discharged patients during the same period. Results In unadjusted analysis, EDDC patients were moderately less likely to return to the ED within 72 hours (5.3% vs. 6.5%; p = 0.0044) or be admitted within 30 days (3.4% vs. 4.2%). The program was particularly beneficial for uninsured and elderly patients. For both EDDC and non-EDDC patients, most revisits and 30-day admissions were for the same chief complaint as the index visit. The length-of-stay increased by ~10 minutes with no impact on satisfaction with ED visits. Musculoskeletal conditions (~20%) and specialties (~15%) were the most commonly represented. Approximately 10% of referrals were to obtain a PCP. Nearly 90% were to new providers or specialties. Most scheduled appointments occurred within a week. Conclusion This novel EDDC program, developed to facilitate outpatient follow-up for discharged ED patients, produced a modest but statistically significant difference in 72-hour returns and 30-day admissions for patients with EDDC-scheduled appointments vs. those referred to outpatient providers using the standard discharge process. ED LOS increased by ~10 minutes for EDDC vs. non-EDDC patients, with no difference in satisfaction. Future analyses will investigate impacts on 72-hour returns, 30-day admissions, LOS, and satisfaction after adjusting for characteristics such as age, insurance, having a PCP, and whether the scheduled appointment was attended.
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Affiliation(s)
- Lisa O Iyeke
- Emergency Medicine, Long Island Jewish Medical Center, New Hyde Park, USA
| | - Bibi Razack
- Emergency Medicine, Long Island Jewish Medical Center, New Hyde Park, USA
| | - Mark Richman
- Emergency Medicine, Long Island Jewish Medical Center, New Hyde Park, USA
| | - Adam J Berman
- Medical Toxicology, Long Island Jewish Medical Center, New Hyde Park, USA
| | - Frederick Davis
- Emergency Medicine, Long Island Jewish Medical Center, New Hyde Park, USA
| | - Helena Willis
- Emergency Medicine, Long Island Jewish Medical Center, New Hyde Park, USA
| | | | - Stephen Guilherme
- Emergency Medicine, Long Island Jewish Medical Center, New Hyde Park, USA
| | - Sarah Johnson
- Emergency Medicine, Long Island Jewish Medical Center, New Hyde Park, USA
| | - Chinna Njoku
- Emergency Medicine, Long Island Jewish Medical Center, New Hyde Park, USA
| | - Genelle Ramjattan
- Emergency Medicine, Long Island Jewish Medical Center, New Hyde Park, USA
| | - Katarzyna Krol
- Emergency Medicine, Long Island Jewish Medical Center, New Hyde Park, USA
| | - Nancy Kwon
- Emergency Medicine, Long Island Jewish Medical Center, New Hyde Park, USA
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Adekoya N, Roberts H, Truman BI. Characteristics of Emergency Department Patient Visits Referred for Follow-Up Medical Care After Discharge, National Hospital Ambulatory Medicare Care Survey-United States, 2018. Health Serv Res Manag Epidemiol 2022; 9:23333928221111269. [PMID: 35846946 PMCID: PMC9284197 DOI: 10.1177/23333928221111269] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/04/2022] [Revised: 05/03/2022] [Accepted: 06/15/2022] [Indexed: 11/15/2022] Open
Abstract
Objective To describe characteristics of a nationally representative sample of patient visits that ended with a referral for follow-up medical care after discharge from hospital emergency department (ED) visits. Methods We used 2018 National Hospital Ambulatory Medical Care Survey data to identify patient characteristics associated with higher rates of visits with referrals for follow-up medical care after ED discharge from nonfederal short-stay and general hospitals throughout the United States. Referral included categories of all disposition variables that indicated referral to a source of care consistent with the patient's clinical condition at ED discharge. Results Approximately 97 million of 130 million visits (29 700/100 000 US resident population) were referred for follow-up medical care during 2018. Visit referral rates were higher among females (33 100) than among males (26 300/100 000 population); higher among Black patients (61 700) than among White patients (25 600/100 000 population); highest in the South (33 200/100 000 population); and similar rates in Nonmetropolitan (29 900/100 000 population) and Metropolitan Statistical Areas (30 200/100 000 population). Visit referral rates were higher for patients with Medicaid/Children's Health Insurance Program (CHIP) (66 900) than those with Medicare (31 500) or private insurance (14 000/100 000 population). Abnormal clinical findings and injuries were the discharge diagnoses most often referred for follow-up medical care. Conclusion Higher visit referral rates were observed among female sex, non-Hispanic Black race, Medicaid/CHIP, abnormal clinical findings, and injuries. Future studies might reveal reasons that prompted higher referral rates among various patients' characteristics.
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Affiliation(s)
- Nelson Adekoya
- National Center for HIV/AIDS, Viral Hepatitis, STD, and TB
Prevention, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA
| | - Henry Roberts
- National Center for HIV/AIDS, Viral Hepatitis, STD, and TB
Prevention, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA
| | - Benedict I. Truman
- National Center for HIV/AIDS, Viral Hepatitis, STD, and TB
Prevention, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA
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Hospital or Home?: A Pandemic Decision Tool in Context. Chest 2021; 160:1155-1156. [PMID: 34625158 PMCID: PMC8490856 DOI: 10.1016/j.chest.2021.06.024] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/15/2021] [Accepted: 06/15/2021] [Indexed: 11/22/2022] Open
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Jaffe TA, Wang D, Loveless B, Lai D, Loesche M, White B, Raja AS, He S. A Scoping Review of Emergency Department Discharge Risk Stratification. West J Emerg Med 2021; 22:1218-1226. [PMID: 34787544 PMCID: PMC8597698 DOI: 10.5811/westjem.2021.6.52969] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/27/2021] [Revised: 04/27/2021] [Accepted: 06/25/2021] [Indexed: 11/11/2022] Open
Abstract
INTRODUCTION Although emergency department (ED) discharge presents patient-safety challenges and opportunities, the ways in which EDs address discharge risk in the general ED population remains disparate and largely uncharacterized. In this study our goal was to conduct a review of how EDs identify and target patients at increased risk at time of discharge. METHODS We conducted a literature search to explore how EDs assess patient risk upon discharge, including a review of PubMed and gray literature. After independently screening articles for inclusion, we recorded study characteristics including outcome measures, patient risk factors, and tool descriptions. Based on this review and discussion among collaborators, major themes were identified. RESULTS PubMed search yielded 384 potentially eligible articles. After title and abstract review, we screened 235 for potential inclusion. After full text and reference review, supplemented by Google Scholar and gray literature reviews, we included 30 articles for full review. Three major themes were elucidated: 1) Multiple studies include retrospective risk assessment, whereas the use of point-of-care risk assessment tools appears limited; 2) of the point-of-care tools that exist, inputs and outcome measures varied, and few were applicable to the general ED population; and 3) while many studies describe initiatives to improve the discharge process, few describe assessment of post-discharge resource needs. CONCLUSION Numerous studies describe factors associated with an increased risk of readmission and adverse events after ED discharge, but few describe point-of-care tools used by physicians for the general ED population. Future work is needed to investigate standardized tools that assess ED discharge risk and patients' needs upon ED discharge.
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Affiliation(s)
- Todd A. Jaffe
- Massachusetts General Hospital and Brigham and Women’s Hospital, Harvard Affiliated Emergency Medicine Residency, Boston, Massachusetts
| | - Daniel Wang
- Kansas City University School of Medicine, Kansas City, Missouri
| | - Bosten Loveless
- Rocky Vista University College of Osteopathic Medicine, Ivins, Utah
| | - Debbie Lai
- University College of London, Division of Psychology and Language Sciences, London, England
| | - Michael Loesche
- Massachusetts General Hospital and Brigham and Women’s Hospital, Harvard Affiliated Emergency Medicine Residency, Boston, Massachusetts
| | - Benjamin White
- Massachusetts General Hospital, Department of Emergency Medicine, Boston, Massachusetts
- Harvard Medical School, Department of Emergency Medicine, Boston, Massachusetts
| | - Ali S. Raja
- Massachusetts General Hospital, Department of Emergency Medicine, Boston, Massachusetts
- Harvard Medical School, Department of Emergency Medicine, Boston, Massachusetts
| | - Shuhan He
- Massachusetts General Hospital, Department of Emergency Medicine, Boston, Massachusetts
- Harvard Medical School, Department of Emergency Medicine, Boston, Massachusetts
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