Evaluation of the impact of the NICE head injury guidelines on inpatient mortality from traumatic brain injury: an interrupted time series analysis

Traumatic brain injury in elderly population: A global systematic review and meta-analysis of in-hospital mortality and risk factors among 2.22 million individuals

BACKGROUND

Traumatic brain injury (TBI) among elderly individuals poses a significant global health concern due to the increasing ageing population.

METHODS

We searched PubMed, Cochrane Library, and Embase from database inception to Feb 1, 2024. Studies performed in inpatient settings reporting in-hospital mortality of elderly people (≥60 years) with TBI and/or identifying risk factors predictive of such outcomes, were included. Data were extracted from published reports, in-hospital mortality as our main outcome was synthesized in the form of rates, and risk factors predicting in-hospital mortality was synthesized in the form of odds ratios. Subgroup analyses, meta-regression and dose-response meta-analysis were used in our analyses.

FINDINGS

We included 105 studies covering 2217,964 patients from 30 countries/regions. The overall in-hospital mortality of elderly patients with TBI was 16 % (95 % CI 15 %-17 %) from 70 studies. In-hospital mortality was 5 % (95 % CI, 3 %-7 %), 18 % (95 % CI, 12 %-24 %), 65 % (95 % CI, 59 %-70 %) for mild, moderate and severe subgroups from 10, 7, and 23 studies, respectively. A decrease in in-hospital mortality over years was observed in overall (1981-2022) and in severe (1986-2022) elderly patients with TBI. Older age 1.69 (95 % CI, 1.58-1.82, P < 0.001), male gender 1.34 (95 % CI, 1.25-1.42, P < 0.001), clinical conditions including traffic-related cause of injury 1.22 (95 % CI, 1.02-1.45, P = 0.029), GCS moderate (GCS 9-12 compared to GCS 13-15) 4.33 (95 % CI, 3.13-5.99, P < 0.001), GCS severe (GCS 3-8 compared to GCS 13-15) 23.09 (95 % CI, 13.80-38.63, P < 0.001), abnormal pupillary light reflex 3.22 (95 % CI, 2.09-4.96, P < 0.001), hypotension after injury 2.88 (95 % CI, 1.06-7.81, P = 0.038), polytrauma 2.31 (95 % CI, 2.03-2.62, P < 0.001), surgical intervention 2.21 (95 % CI, 1.22-4.01, P = 0.009), pre-injury health conditions including pre-injury comorbidity 1.52 (95 % CI, 1.24-1.86, P = 0.0020), and pre-injury anti-thrombotic therapy 1.51 (95 % CI, 1.23-1.84, P < 0.001) were related to higher in-hospital mortality in elderly patients with TBI. Subgroup analyses according to multiple types of anti-thrombotic drugs with at least two included studies showed that anticoagulant therapy 1.70 (95 % CI, 1.04-2.76, P = 0.032), Warfarin 2.26 (95 % CI, 2.05-2.51, P < 0.001), DOACs 1.99 (95 % CI, 1.43-2.76, P < 0.001) were related to elevated mortality. Dose-response meta-analysis of age found an odds ratio of 1.029 (95 % CI, 1.024-1.034, P < 0.001) for every 1-year increase in age on in-hospital mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

In the field of elderly patients with TBI, the overall in-hospital mortality and its temporal-spatial feature, the subgroup in-hospital mortalities according to injury severity, and dose-response meta-analysis of age were firstly comprehensively summarized. Substantial key risk factors, including the ones previously not elucidated, were identified. Our study is thus of help in underlining the importance of treating elderly TBI, providing useful information for healthcare providers, and initiating future management guidelines. This work underscores the necessity of integrating elderly TBI treatment and management into broader health strategies to address the challenges posed by the aging global population.

REVIEW REGISTRATION

PROSPERO CRD42022323231.

Evaluation of severe traumatic brain injury referrals to the National Tertiary Neurosurgical Centre in the Republic of Ireland

BACKGROUND

Transfer of all severe TBI patients to a neurosurgical unit (NSU) has been advocated irrespective of levels of complexity and prognostic factors. Previous publications have suggested that only 50% of severe TBI patients in Ireland were managed in NSUs.

AIMS

This study aims to audit severe TBI referrals to the National Neurosurgical Centre, to evaluate reasons for nonacceptance, assess for differences in the transferred and not transferred cohorts and to analyse observed and expected mortality rates.

METHODS

Data on all patients with TBI referred in 2021 were prospectively collected using an electronic referral system. Patients with severe TBI (GCS ≤ 8 and AIS ≥ 3) were included and dichotomised into transferred and not transferred cohorts.

RESULTS

Of 118 patients referred with severe TBI, 45 patients (38.1%) were transferred to the neurosurgical centre. Patients in the transferred cohort were significantly younger (p < 0.001), had a higher GCS score (p < 0.001) and a lower proportion of bilaterally unreactive pupils (p < 0.001) compared to the not transferred cohort. 93% (68/73) of those not transferred were either >65 years old, or had bilaterally unreactive pupils, or both. Based on the IMPACT model, the observed to expected mortality ratios in the transferred and not transferred cohorts were 0.65 (95% CI 0.25-1.05) and 0.88 (95% CI 0.65-1.11) respectively.

CONCLUSION

The observed mortality rate for severe TBI in Ireland was similar to or better than expected mortality rates when adjusted for important prognostic factors. 93% of severe TBI patients not transferred to a neurosurgical centre were either elderly or had bilaterally unreactive pupils or both. These patients have an extremely poor prognosis and recommendation for transfer cannot be made based on current available evidence.

A scoping review on the challenges, improvement programs, and relevant output metrics for neurotrauma services in major trauma centers

Background:

For a neurotrauma unit to be defined as a structured neurotrauma service (NS) the following criteria must be satisfied: A dedicated neurointensive care unit, endovascular neuroradiology, in-hospital neurorehabilitation unit and helicopter platform within the context of a Level I trauma center. Designing an effective NS can be challenging, particularly when considering the different priorities and resources of countries across the globe. In addition the impact on clinical outcomes is not clearly established.

Methods:

A scoping review of the literature spanning from 2000 to 2020 meant to identify protocols, guidelines, and best practices for the management of traumatic brain injury (TBI) in NS was conducted on the US National Library of Medicine and National Institute of Health databases.

Results:

Limited evidence is available regarding quantitative and qualitative metrics to assess the impact of NSs and specialist follow-up clinics on patients’ outcome. Of note, the available literature used to lack detailed reports for: (a) Geographical clusters, such as low-to-middle income countries (LMIC); (b) clinical subgroups, such as mild TBI; and (c) long-term management, such as rehabilitation services. Only in the last few years more attention has been paid to those research topics.

Conclusion:

NSs can positively impact the management of the broad spectrum of TBI in different clinical settings; however more research on patients’ outcomes and quality of life metrics is needed to establish their efficacy. The collaboration of global clinicians and the development of international guidelines applicable also to LMIC are warranted.

Nationwide improvements in geriatric mortality due to traumatic brain injury in Japan

BACKGROUND

Traumatic brain injury (TBI), both isolated and in combination with extracranial lesions, is a global health problem associated with high mortality. Among various risk factors for poor clinical outcomes, age is the most important independent predictor of mortality in patients with TBI. TBI-related mortality is expected to increase as the society ages. However, in a super-aged society such as Japan, little is known about the trend of TBI-related mortality among older adults. Herein, we assessed the nationwide trend of the incidence and clinical outcomes of geriatric patients with TBI in Japan using the national Japanese Trauma Data Bank (JTDB) registry.

METHODS

In this retrospective cohort study, cases of TBI (aged ≥65 years) in hospitals registered with the JTDB database between January 2004 and December 2018 were included. In-hospital mortality was the primary outcome, and mortality in the emergency department was the secondary outcome. The odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for in-hospital deaths with respect to 3-year periods were assessed using multivariable analysis after adjusting for potential confounders.

RESULTS

The main cause of TBI in older individuals was falls. The proportion of patients who died after hospitalization during the study period decreased markedly from 29.5% (194/657) during 2004-2006 to 14.2% (1309/9240) during 2016-2018 in the isolated TBI group (adjusted OR = 0.42, 95% CI: 0.33-0.53) and from 48.0% (119/248) during 2004-2006 to 21.7% (689/3172) during 2016-2018 in the multiple trauma group (adjusted OR = 0.32, 95% CI: 0.23-0.45). The adjusted ORs for the 3-year increment were 0.84 (95% CI: 0.81-0.88) and 0.78 (95% CI: 0.75-0.83) for the isolated TBI and multiple trauma groups, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Using the national JTDB registry, we demonstrated a nationwide reduction in TBI-related mortality. Our findings in the super-aged society of Japan may provide insight for the treatment of geriatric patients with TBI worldwide.

Prognostic significance of preinjury anticoagulation in patients with traumatic brain injury: A systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Traumatic brain injury (TBI) is a leading cause of injury-related deaths and neurological disability globally. Considering the widespread anticoagulant use among the aging population, we aimed to perform a systematic review and meta-analysis to evaluate the prognostic significance of preinjury anticoagulation in TBI patients.

METHODS

This systematic review was conducted according to a predefined protocol (International Prospective Register of Systematic Reviews CRD42020192323). In compliance with Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses and Meta-Analysis of Observational Studies in Epidemiology standards, a structured electronic database search was undertaken to identify all observational studies comparing preinjury anticoagulation with no preinjury anticoagulation in TBI patients. The primary outcome measure was overall mortality. The secondary outcome measures comprised in-hospital mortality, length of hospital stay, length of intensive care unit stay, need for neurosurgical procedure, and number of patients discharged home. All outcome data were analyzed using random effects modeling.

RESULTS

Twelve comparative studies enrolling a total of 4,417 patients were included. Preinjury anticoagulation was associated with higher risk of overall mortality (odds ratio [OR], 2.39; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.63-3.50, p < 0.00001), in-hospital mortality (OR, 2.47; 95% CI, 1.56-3.93, p = 0.0001), and longer length of intensive care unit stay (mean difference, 1.06; 95% CI, 0.54-1.57; p < 0.0001) compared with no preinjury anticoagulation. No statistical difference was observed in length of hospital stay (mean difference, -2.15; 95% CI, -5.36 to 1.05, p = 0.19), need for neurosurgical procedure (OR, 1.30; 95% CI, 0.70-2.44; p = 0.41), and discharged home (OR, 0.76; 95% CI, 0.55-1.04; p = 0.09) between the two groups.

CONCLUSION

Preinjury anticoagulation is a powerful prognosticator of mortality in TBI patients. This highlights the need for dedicated triage and trauma team activation protocols considering earlier intervention and more aggressive imaging in all anticoagulated patients. Future studies should focus on strategies that can potentially reduce the risk of mortality in this population. The prognostic significance of direct oral anticoagulants versus warfarin remains unanswered.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

Systematic review and meta-analysis of observational studies, level III.

Pre-injury health status and excess mortality in persons with traumatic brain injury: A decade-long historical cohort study

An increasing number of patients are able to survive traumatic brain injuries (TBIs) with advanced resuscitation. However, the role of their pre-injury health status in mortality in the following years is not known. Here, we followed 77,088 consecutive patients (59% male) who survived the TBI event in Ontario, Canada for more than a decade, and examined the relationships between their pre-injury health status and mortality rates in excess to the expected mortality calculated using sex- and age-specific life tables. There were 5792 deaths over the studied period, 3163 (6.95%) deaths in male and 2629 (8.33%) in female patients. The average excess mortality rate over the follow-up period of 14 years was 1.81 (95% confidence interval = 1.76-1.86). Analyses of follow-up time windows showed different patterns for the average excess rate of mortality following TBI, with the greatest rates observed in year one after injury. Among identified pre-injury comorbidity factors, 33 were associated with excess mortality rates. These rates were comparable between sexes. Additional analyses in the validation dataset confirmed that these findings were unlikely a result of TBI misclassification or unmeasured confounding. Thus, detection and subsequent management of pre-injury health status should be an integral component of any strategy to reduce excess mortality in TBI patients. The complexity of pre-injury comorbidity calls for integration of multidisciplinary health services to meet TBI patients' needs and prevent adverse outcomes.

Development of a Clinical Decision Rule for the Early Safe Discharge of Patients with Mild Traumatic Brain Injury and Findings on Computed Tomography Brain Scan: A Retrospective Cohort Study

International guidelines recommend routine hospital admission for all patients with mild traumatic brain injury (TBI) who have injuries on computed tomography (CT) brain scan. Only a small proportion of these patients require neurosurgical or critical care intervention. We aimed to develop an accurate clinical decision rule to identify low-risk patients safe for discharge from the emergency department (ED) and facilitate earlier referral of those requiring intervention. A retrospective cohort study of case notes of patients admitted with initial Glasgow Coma Scale 13-15 and injuries identified by CT was completed. Data on a primary outcome measure of clinically important deterioration (indicating need for hospital admission) and secondary outcome of neurosurgery, intensive care unit admission, or intubation (indicating need for neurosurgical admission) were collected. Multi-variable logistic regression was used to derive models and a risk score predicting deterioration using routinely reported clinical and radiological candidate variables identified in a systematic review. We compared the performance of this new risk score with the Brain Injury Guideline (BIG) criteria, derived in the United States. A total of 1699 patients were included from three English major trauma centers. A total of 27.7% (95% confidence interval [CI], 25.5-29.9) met the primary and 13.1% (95% CI, 11.6-14.8) met the secondary outcomes of deterioration. The derived clinical decision rule suggests that patients with simple skull fractures or intracranial bleeding <5 mm in diameter who are fully conscious could be safely discharged from the ED. The decision rule achieved a sensitivity of 99.5% (95% CI, 98.1-99.9) and specificity of 7.4% (95% CI, 6.0-9.1) to the primary outcome. The BIG criteria achieved the same sensitivity, but lower specificity (5%). Our empirical models showed good predictive performance and outperformed the BIG criteria. This would potentially allow ED discharge of 1 in 20 patients currently admitted for observation. However, prospective external validation and economic evaluation are required.