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Stein DT, Reitsma MB, Geldsetzer P, Agoudavi K, Aryal KK, Bahendeka S, Brant LCC, Farzadfar F, Gurung MS, Guwatudde D, Houehanou YCN, Malta DC, Martins JS, Saeedi Moghaddam S, Mwangi KJ, Norov B, Sturua L, Zhumadilov Z, Bärnighausen T, Davies JI, Flood D, Marcus ME, Theilmann M, Vollmer S, Manne-Goehler J, Atun R, Sudharsanan N, Verguet S. Hypertension care cascades and reducing inequities in cardiovascular disease in low- and middle-income countries. Nat Med 2024; 30:414-423. [PMID: 38278990 DOI: 10.1038/s41591-023-02769-8] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/19/2023] [Accepted: 12/15/2023] [Indexed: 01/28/2024]
Abstract
Improving hypertension control in low- and middle-income countries has uncertain implications across socioeconomic groups. In this study, we simulated improvements in the hypertension care cascade and evaluated the distributional benefits across wealth quintiles in 44 low- and middle-income countries using individual-level data from nationally representative, cross-sectional surveys. We raised diagnosis (diagnosis scenario) and treatment (treatment scenario) levels for all wealth quintiles to match the best-performing country quintile and estimated the change in 10-year cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk of individuals initiated on treatment. We observed greater health benefits among bottom wealth quintiles in middle-income countries and in countries with larger baseline disparities in hypertension management. Lower-middle-income countries would see the greatest absolute benefits among the bottom quintiles under the treatment scenario (29.1 CVD cases averted per 1,000 people living with hypertension in the bottom quintile (Q1) versus 17.2 in the top quintile (Q5)), and the proportion of total CVD cases averted would be largest among the lowest quintiles in upper-middle-income countries under both diagnosis (32.0% of averted cases in Q1 versus 11.9% in Q5) and treatment (29.7% of averted cases in Q1 versus 14.0% in Q5) scenarios. Targeted improvements in hypertension diagnosis and treatment could substantially reduce socioeconomic-based inequalities in CVD burden in low- and middle-income countries.
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Affiliation(s)
- Dorit Talia Stein
- Department of Global Health and Population, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA
| | - Marissa B Reitsma
- Department of Health Policy, Stanford School of Medicine, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA
| | - Pascal Geldsetzer
- Division of Primary Care and Population Health, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA
- Chan Zuckerberg Biohub, San Francisco, CA, USA
| | - Kokou Agoudavi
- Noncommunicable Disease Program, Ministry of Health, Lomé, Togo
| | - Krishna Kumar Aryal
- Bergen Centre for Ethics and Priority Setting in Health, Department of Global Public Health and Primary Care, University of Bergen, Bergen, Norway
- Public Health Promotion and Development Organization, Kathmandu, Nepal
| | - Silver Bahendeka
- MKPGMS-Uganda Martyrs University, Kampala, Uganda
- St. Francis Hospital, Nsambya, Kampala, Uganda
| | - Luisa C C Brant
- Faculty of Medicine, Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais, Belo Horizonte, Brazil
| | - Farshad Farzadfar
- Non-Communicable Diseases Research Center, Endocrinology and Metabolism Population Sciences Institute, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
| | | | - David Guwatudde
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Makerere University, Kampala, Uganda
| | | | - Deborah Carvalho Malta
- Department Maternal Child and Public Health, Nursing School, Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais, Belo Horizonte, Brazil
| | - João Soares Martins
- Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, Universidade Nacional Timor Lorosa'e, Díli, Timor-Leste
| | - Sahar Saeedi Moghaddam
- Endocrinology and Metabolism Research Center, Endocrinology and Metabolism Clinical Sciences Institute, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
- Kiel Institute for the World Economy, Kiel, Germany
| | - Kibachio Joseph Mwangi
- World Health Organization, Pretoria, South Africa
- Division of Non-Communicable Diseases, Ministry of Health, Nairobi, Kenya
| | - Bolormaa Norov
- Nutrition Department, National Center for Public Health, Ulaanbaatar, Mongolia
| | - Lela Sturua
- National Center for Disease Control and Public Health, Tbilisi, Georgia
- Petre Shotadze Tbilisi Medical Academy, Tbilisi, Georgia
| | | | - Till Bärnighausen
- Heidelberg Institute of Global Health, Faculty of Medicine and University Hospital, Heidelberg University, Heidelberg, Germany
- Harvard Center for Population and Development Studies, Cambridge, MA, USA
- Africa Health Research Institute, KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa
| | - Justine I Davies
- Institute of Applied Health Research, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, UK
- Department of Global Health, Centre for Global Surgery, Stellenbosch University, Cape Town, South Africa
| | - David Flood
- Department of Internal Medicine, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, USA
- Center for Indigenous Health Research, Wuqu' Kawoq, Tecpán, Guatemala
| | - Maja E Marcus
- Brigham and Women's Hospital, Boston, MA, USA
- Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA
| | - Michaela Theilmann
- Heidelberg Institute of Global Health, Faculty of Medicine and University Hospital, Heidelberg University, Heidelberg, Germany
- Professorship of Behavioral Science for Disease Prevention and Health Care, TUM School of Medicine and Health, Technical University of Munich, Munich, Germany
| | - Sebastian Vollmer
- Department of Economics & Centre for Modern Indian Studies, University of Göttingen, Göttingen, Germany
| | - Jennifer Manne-Goehler
- Division of Infectious Diseases, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Boston, MA, USA
- Medical Practice Evaluation Center, Massachusetts General Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA
| | - Rifat Atun
- Department of Global Health and Population, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA
- Department of Global Health and Social Medicine, Harvard Medical School, Harvard University, Boston, MA, USA
| | - Nikkil Sudharsanan
- Heidelberg Institute of Global Health, Faculty of Medicine and University Hospital, Heidelberg University, Heidelberg, Germany
- Professorship of Behavioral Science for Disease Prevention and Health Care, TUM School of Medicine and Health, Technical University of Munich, Munich, Germany
| | - Stéphane Verguet
- Department of Global Health and Population, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA.
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