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Combining simple blood tests to identify primary care patients with unexpected weight loss for cancer investigation: Clinical risk score development, internal validation, and net benefit analysis. PLoS Med 2021; 18:e1003728. [PMID: 34464384 PMCID: PMC8407560 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1003728] [Citation(s) in RCA: 12] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/14/2021] [Accepted: 07/12/2021] [Indexed: 02/06/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Unexpected weight loss (UWL) is a presenting feature of cancer in primary care. Existing research proposes simple combinations of clinical features (risk factors, symptoms, signs, and blood test data) that, when present, warrant cancer investigation. More complex combinations may modify cancer risk to sufficiently rule-out the need for investigation. We aimed to identify which clinical features can be used together to stratify patients with UWL based on their risk of cancer. METHODS AND FINDINGS We used data from 63,973 adults (age: mean 59 years, standard deviation 21 years; 42% male) to predict cancer in patients with UWL recorded in a large representative United Kingdom primary care electronic health record between January 1, 2000 and December 31, 2012. We derived 3 clinical prediction models using logistic regression and backwards stepwise covariate selection: Sm, symptoms-only model; STm, symptoms and tests model; Tm, tests-only model. Fifty imputations replaced missing data. Estimates of discrimination and calibration were derived using 10-fold internal cross-validation. Simple clinical risk scores are presented for models with the greatest clinical utility in decision curve analysis. The STm and Tm showed improved discrimination (area under the curve ≥ 0.91), calibration, and greater clinical utility than the Sm. The Tm was simplest including age-group, sex, albumin, alkaline phosphatase, liver enzymes, C-reactive protein, haemoglobin, platelets, and total white cell count. A Tm score of 5 balanced ruling-in (sensitivity 84.0%, positive likelihood ratio 5.36) and ruling-out (specificity 84.3%, negative likelihood ratio 0.19) further cancer investigation. A Tm score of 1 prioritised ruling-out (sensitivity 97.5%). At this threshold, 35 people presenting with UWL in primary care would be referred for investigation for each person with cancer referred, and 1,730 people would be spared referral for each person with cancer not referred. Study limitations include using a retrospective routinely collected dataset, a reliance on coding to identify UWL, and missing data for some predictors. CONCLUSIONS Our findings suggest that combinations of simple blood test abnormalities could be used to identify patients with UWL who warrant referral for investigation, while people with combinations of normal results could be exempted from referral.
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Request of laboratory liver tests in primary care in Spain: potential savings if appropriateness indicator targets were achieved. Eur J Gastroenterol Hepatol 2015; 27:1130-6. [PMID: 26193053 DOI: 10.1097/meg.0000000000000427] [Citation(s) in RCA: 9] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/10/2022]
Abstract
AIMS Liver laboratory tests are used to screen for liver disease, suggest the underlying cause, estimate the severity, assess prognosis, and monitor the efficacy of therapy. The aim of this study was to compare the liver laboratory tests requesting patterns by GPs in Spain, according to geographic and hospital characteristics, to investigate the degree of requesting appropriateness. MATERIALS AND METHODS One hundred and forty-one clinical laboratories were invited to participate from diverse regions across Spain. They filed out the number of laboratory liver tests requested by GPs for the year 2012. Two types of appropriateness indicators were calculated: every test request per 1000 inhabitants or ratios of related tests requests. The indicator results obtained were compared between the different hospitals, according to their setting, location, and management. The savings generated, if each area would have achieved indicator targets, were calculated. RESULTS We recruited 76 laboratories covering a population of 17,679,195 inhabitants. GPs requested 20,916,780 laboratory liver tests in the year 2012. No differences were obtained according to their setting. Lactate dehydrogenase and direct bilirubin per 1000 inhabitants were significantly higher in institutions with private management. Largest differences were observed between communities. Nine, 31, 0, and 13 laboratories, respectively, achieved the aspartate aminotransferase, lactate dehydrogenase, γ-glutamyl transpeptidase, and total bilirubin-related alanine aminotransferase indicator targets. Reaching ratios would have resulted in savings of €1,028,468. CONCLUSION There was a high variability in the request of liver tests. This emphasizes the need to implement interventions to improve appropriate use of liver tests.
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Abstract
Demand for laboratory testing is increasing disproportionately to medical activity, and the tests involved are becoming increasingly complex. When this phenomenon is seen in parallel with declining teaching of laboratory medicine in the medical curriculum, a need emerges to manage demand to avoid unnecessary expenditure and improve the use of laboratory services: 'the right test in the right patient at the right time.' Various methods have been tried to manage demand, with success depending on the medical context, type of health service and preintervention situation. Because many factors contribute to demand, and the different settings in which these exist, it is not realistic to meta-analyse the studies and we are limited to trying to identify trends in results in particular situations. The studies suggest that education combined with facilitating interventions, such as feedback, prompts and changes to laboratory request forms are the most successful. From the perspective of a whole health service, it is important that results are not exaggerated by assessing benefits in terms of total rather than marginal cost. It would be desirable, although difficult, to include the impact on downstream clinical activity caused or avoided by the interventions. Advances in information and web technology may make the elusive goal of achieving substantial demand control more achievable.
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Affiliation(s)
- W S A Smellie
- Department of Chemical Pathology, Bishop Auckland General Hospital, Cockton Hill Road, Bishop Auckland, County Durham DL14 6AD, UK.
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Wick MR, Marchevsky AM. Evidence-Based Principles in Pathology: Existing Problem Areas and the Development of “Quality” Practice Patterns. Arch Pathol Lab Med 2011; 135:1398-404. [DOI: 10.5858/arpa.2011-0181-sa] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/06/2022]
Abstract
Context.—Contrary to the intuitive impressions of many pathologists, several areas exist in laboratory medicine where evidence-based medicine (EBM) principles are not applied. These include aspects of both anatomic and clinical pathology. Some non-EBM practices are perpetuated by clinical “consumers” of laboratory services because of inadequate education, habit, or overreliance on empirical factors. Other faulty procedures are driven by pathologists themselves.
Objectives.—To consider (1) several selected problem areas representing non-EBM practices in laboratory medicine; such examples include ideas and techniques that concern metastatic malignancies, “targeted” oncologic therapy, general laboratory testing and data utilization, evaluation of selected coagulation defects, administration of blood products, and analysis of hepatic iron-overload syndromes; and (2) EBM principles as methods for remediation of deficiencies in hospital pathology, and implements for the construction of “quality” practices in our specialty.
Data Sources.—Current English literature relating to evidence-based principles in pathology and laboratory medicine, as well as the authors' experience.
Conclusions.—Evidence-based medicine holds the promise of optimizing laboratory services to produce “quality” practices in pathology. It will also be a key to restraining the overall cost of health care.
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Smellie WSA. Liver function tests. Br J Hosp Med (Lond) 2009; 70:M26-8. [PMID: 19294811 DOI: 10.12968/hmed.2009.70.sup2.38988] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/11/2022]
Abstract
The term ‘liver function tests’, used typically to describe the liver profile on a laboratory request form, is in fact a misnomer as several of the tests involved are not tests of liver function, but of hepatic enzyme release either as a result of induction or damage. This article will refer to liver profile tests except when specifically referring to liver function. As the body's hepatic reserve is considerable, liver function generally only begins to decline in the face of advanced or severe acute disease, and the liver profile is used to detect abnormalities that may indicate disease. They rarely diagnose the cause of the liver disease in question but can throw light on the category of disease, i.e. obstructive or hepatic.
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Affiliation(s)
- W S A Smellie
- Bishop Auckland General Hospital, Bishop Auckland, Co Durham
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6
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Abstract
A busy GP will encounter patients with liver function tests (LFTs) outside the normal range very frequently. Some LFTs may be raised physiologically, for example in pregnancy, or for reasons not associated with liver disease. However, suboptimal investigation of LFT abnormalities may lead to important treatable causes of liver disease being missed. This article should help to provide a rational approach for interpretation of LFTs, further investigation and management of various abnormalities.
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Smellie WSA, Shaw N, Bowley R, Stewart MF, Kelly AM, Twomey PJ, Chadwick PR, Houghton JB, Ng JP, McCulloch AJ. Best practice in primary care pathology: review 10. J Clin Pathol 2007; 60:1195-204. [PMID: 17496187 PMCID: PMC2095485 DOI: 10.1136/jcp.2007.048512] [Citation(s) in RCA: 8] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 04/24/2007] [Indexed: 01/03/2023]
Abstract
This tenth best practice review examines four series of common primary care questions in laboratory medicine: (i) antenatal testing in pregnant women; (ii) estimated glomerular filtration rate calculation; (iii) safety testing for methotrexate; and (iv) blood glucose measurement in diabetes. The review is presented in question-answer format, referenced for each question series. The recommendations represent a precis of guidance found using a standardised literature search of national and international guidance notes, consensus statements, health policy documents and evidence-based medicine reviews, supplemented by Medline Embase searches to identify relevant primary research documents. They are not standards but form a guide to be set in the clinical context. Most are consensus rather than evidence-based. They will be updated periodically to take account of new information.
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Affiliation(s)
- W S A Smellie
- Department of Chemical Pathology, Bishop Auckland General Hospital, Bishop Auckland, UK.
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Smellie WSA, Vanderpump MPJ, Fraser WD, Bowley R, Shaw N. Best practice in primary care pathology: review 11. J Clin Pathol 2007; 61:410-8. [PMID: 17965216 DOI: 10.1136/jcp.2007.052738] [Citation(s) in RCA: 10] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/03/2022]
Abstract
This eleventh best practice review examines two series of common primary care questions in laboratory medicine: (i) thyroid testing, and (ii) hypercalcaemia and hypocalcaemia. The review is presented in the same question-answer format as in the previous reviews. These questions and answers deal with common situations in men and non-pregnant women. The recommendations represent a précis of guidance found using a standardised literature search of national and international guidance notes, consensus statements, health policy documents and evidence-based medicine reviews, supplemented by Medline Embase searches to identify relevant primary research documents. In the case of the thyroid series, the recommendations are drawn from the 2006 guidelines published by the Association for Clinical Biochemistry, the British Thyroid Association and the British Thyroid Foundation. They are not standards but form a guide to be set in the clinical context. Most are consensus rather than evidence based. They will be updated periodically to take account of new information.
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Affiliation(s)
- W S A Smellie
- Department of Chemical Pathology, Bishop Auckland General Hospital, Cockton Hill Road, Bishop Auckland, County Durham DL14 6AD, UK
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Smellie WSA, Shaw N, Bowlees R, Taylor A, Howell-Jones R, McNulty CAM. Best practice in primary care pathology: review 9. J Clin Pathol 2007; 60:966-74. [PMID: 17259298 PMCID: PMC1972434 DOI: 10.1136/jcp.2006.044883] [Citation(s) in RCA: 9] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 01/23/2007] [Indexed: 11/03/2022]
Abstract
This ninth best-practice review examines two series of common primary care questions in laboratory medicine: (i) potassium abnormalities and (ii) venous leg ulcer microbiology. The review is presented in question-and-answer format, referenced for each question series. The recommendations represent a précis of guidance found using a standardised literature search of national and international guidance notes, consensus statements, health policy documents and evidence-based medicine reviews, supplemented by MEDLINE EMBASE searches to identify relevant primary research documents. They are not standards but form a guide to be set in the clinical context. Most are consensus rather than evidence-based. They will be updated periodically to take account of new information.
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Affiliation(s)
- W S A Smellie
- Department of Chemical Pathology, Bishop Auckland General Hospital, Cockton Hill Road, Bishop Auckland, County Durham DL14 6AD, UK
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Smellie WSA, Hampton KK, Bowley R, Bowlees R, Martin SC, Shaw N, Hoffman J, Ng JP, Mackenzie SM, van Heyningen C. Best practice in primary care pathology: review 8. J Clin Pathol 2007; 60:740-8. [PMID: 17172476 PMCID: PMC1995784 DOI: 10.1136/jcp.2006.044719] [Citation(s) in RCA: 13] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 12/06/2006] [Indexed: 11/04/2022]
Abstract
This eighth best practice review examines four series of common primary care questions in laboratory medicine: (i) sodium abnormalities; (ii) faecal occult blood testing; (iii) warfarin management; and (iv) sputum cytology in diagnosis of bronchopulmonary malignancy. The review is presented in question-answer format, referenced for each question series. The recommendations represent a précis of guidance found using a standardised literature search of national and international guidance notes, consensus statements, health policy documents and evidence-based medicine reviews, supplemented by Medline Embase searches to identify relevant primary research documents. They are not standards but form a guide to be set in the clinical context. Most are consensus rather than evidence-based. They will be updated periodically to take account of new information.
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Affiliation(s)
- W S A Smellie
- Department of Chemical Pathology, Bishop Auckland General Hospital, Bishop Auckland, UK.
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Riley P, O'Donohue J, Crook M. A growing burden: the pathogenesis, investigation and management of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease. J Clin Pathol 2007; 60:1384-91. [PMID: 17483247 PMCID: PMC2095560 DOI: 10.1136/jcp.2006.044891] [Citation(s) in RCA: 19] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/11/2022]
Abstract
Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is the most common hepatic disorder in western countries, and its incidence is increasing. This review outlines the significant health burden posed by NAFLD and discusses what is presently known about its pathogenesis, including the roles of the metabolic syndrome, obesity, insulin resistance, hepatic steatosis, reactive oxygen species, inflammatory cytokines and adipocytokines. The way in which NAFLD is clinically diagnosed is described, and areas of uncertainty surrounding its investigation are identified, before discussing the relative merits of the limited treatment options available and looking ahead to potential therapeutic strategies for the future.
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Affiliation(s)
- P Riley
- Department of Gastroenterology, University Hospital Lewisham, London, UK.
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Smellie WSA, Forth J, Smart SRS, Galloway MJ, Irving W, Bareford D, Collinson PO, Kerr KG, Summerfield G, Carey PJ, Minhas R. Best practice in primary care pathology: review 7. J Clin Pathol 2007; 60:458-65. [PMID: 17046843 PMCID: PMC1994553 DOI: 10.1136/jcp.2006.042994] [Citation(s) in RCA: 10] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 10/02/2006] [Indexed: 11/04/2022]
Abstract
This seventh best-practice review examines four series of common primary care questions in laboratory medicine: (1) blood count abnormalities 2; (2) cardiac troponins; (3) high-density lipoprotein cholesterol; and (4) viral diseases 2. The review is presented in a question-answer format, with authorship attributed for each question series. The recommendations are a précis of guidance found using a standardised literature search of national and international guidance notes, consensus statements, health policy documents and evidence-based medicine reviews, supplemented by Medline Embase searches to identify relevant primary research documents. The recommendations are not standards, but form a guide to be set in the clinical context. Most are consensus based rather than evidence based. They will be updated periodically to take account of new information.
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Affiliation(s)
- W S A Smellie
- Department of Chemical Pathology, Bishop Auckland General Hospital, Cockton Hill Road, Bishop Auckland, County Durham, UK.
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Smellie WSA, Forth J, Coleman JJ, Irvine W, Dore PC, Handley G, Williams DG, Galloway PJ, Kerr KG, Herriot R, Spickett GP, Reynolds TM. Best practice in primary care pathology: review 6. J Clin Pathol 2007; 60:225-34. [PMID: 16822875 PMCID: PMC1860559 DOI: 10.1136/jcp.2006.040014] [Citation(s) in RCA: 19] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 06/13/2006] [Indexed: 12/22/2022]
Abstract
This sixth best practice review examines four series of common primary care questions in laboratory medicine: (1) laboratory monitoring in hypertension and heart failure abnormalities; (2) markers of inflammatory joint disease; (3) laboratory investigation of chronic diarrhoea; and (4) mumps and chickenpox. The review is presented in question-answer format, referenced for each question series. The recommendations represent a precis of guidance found using a standardised literature search of national and international guidance notes, consensus statements, health policy documents and evidence-based medicine reviews, supplemented by Medline Embase searches to identify relevant primary research documents. They are not standards but form a guide to be set in the clinical context. Most are consensus based rather than evidence based. They will be updated periodically to take account of new information.
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Affiliation(s)
- W S A Smellie
- Department of Chemical Pathology, Bishop Auckland General Hospital, Cockton Hill Road, Bishop Auckland, County Durham, UK.
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