Dialogue: Early predictors of long-term lupus nephritis outcomes: looking into the future

Glomerular Expression of Some Profibrotic Factors in Progressive Childhood Lupus Nephritis

BACKGROUND

Lupus nephritis (LN) is a major cause of mortality and morbidity in both adult and pediatric patients. However, studies regarding pathogenesis and predictors of renal outcomes in childhood LN are limited. Transforming growth factor-β1 (TGF-β1) and Connective tissue growth factor (CTGF) have an important role in proliferative and fibrotic changes in many renal diseases. We aim to evaluate the role of such two profibrotic factors in the progression of childhood onset LN and to detect if their glomerular expression could represent an early predictor of future deterioration of renal function.

METHODS

34 children with new onset of LN were included. Glomerular expressions of TGF-β1 and CTGF were evaluated by immunohistochemical analysis in the renal tissue of such patients and in control tissue. GFR was estimated at time of renal biopsy at the onset of LN and after 2 years of follow-up. Rate of GFR change (ΔGFR) was calculated and used as indicative of degree of renal disease progression.

RESULTS

Glomerular TGF-β1 and CTGF expressions in children with LN were significantly higher than in control tissue (LN 15.41 ± 9.84 and 15.56 ± 10.51 vs. 2.15 ± 1.45 and 1.35 ± 1.07 in control respectively, with p < 0.001 in both). In addition, the glomerular expressions of TGF-β1 and CTGF were significantly higher in patients with further decline in GFR (20.68 ± 7.73 and 21.05 ± 8.75) versus (5.75 ± 4.37 and 5.50 ± 3.78) in those without change in GFR with (p = 0.000 for both of them).

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with LN have increased glomerular expressions of TGF-β1 and CTGF, which were higher in those with further decline in GFR. These profibrotic factors are suspected to be involved in pathogenesis of LN and could be evaluated as a target for therapeutic intervention to stop progression of LN. In addition, their glomerular expression could be used as an early predictor of progression of LN, to justify early aggressive therapy in those with suspected rapid progression.

High plasma mycophenolate acid concentration in the early phase of induction therapy predicts good renal outcome in lupus nephritis

Objectives: To identify the prognostic predictive factor of complete renal response (CR) at week 12 by focusing on the plasma mycophenolic acid (MPA) concentration in induction therapy in lupus nephritis.Methods: We prospectively enrolled patients with biopsy-proven LN class III/IV who were hospitalized between 2016 and 2017. As an induction therapy, mycophenolate mofetil was continuously introduced at 2000 mg/day. We measured the MPA plasma concentration at two time points depending on the induction therapy phase, early (week 4) or middle (week 12). The association between these concentrations and CR rate at week 12 was evaluated.Results: Ten patients were enrolled. A significantly higher AUC_0-12 between 0 and 12 h of MPA at the early phase was observed in the patients with CR at week 12 than in those without (p = .03). All the patients with high MPA-AUC_0-12 (> 40 mg h/L) at the early phase achieved CR at week 12, but no such association was found at the middle phase. The multivariate analysis revealed that MPA-AUC0-12 was selected as an independent predictive factor of CR at week 12 (odds ratio: 1.12; 95% confidence interval: 1.01-1.45, p = .02).Conclusion: The high AUC_0-12 of MPA at the early phase of induction therapy may predict good renal response.