Predictors of futile recanalization in patients undergoing endovascular treatment in the DIRECT-MT trial

Association between blood pressure variability and clinical outcomes after successful thrombectomy in acute basilar artery occlusion stroke patients: A multicenter cohort study

BACKGROUND

Limited data are available on the appropriate choice of blood pressure management strategy for patients with acute basilar artery occlusion (BAO) treated with mechanical thrombectomy (MT). We evaluated the impact of blood pressure variability on clinical outcomes after MT in patients with acute BAO.

METHODS

This multicenter cohort study included 108 patients with acute BAO who underwent successful emergency thrombectomy at two comprehensive stroke centers from 2016 to 2021. Blood pressure was measured hourly during the first 24 h after successful reperfusion. Blood pressure variability was calculated as mean arterial pressure (MAP) assessed by the standard deviation (SD). Multivariate logistic models were used to investigate the association between BPV, the primary outcome (futile recanalization, 90-day modified Rankin Scale score 3-6), and the secondary outcome (30-day mortality). Subgroup analysis was performed as a sensitivity test.

RESULTS

Futile recanalization occurred in 60 (56 %) patients, while 26 (24 %) patients died within 30 days. In the fully adjusted model, MAP SD was associated with a higher risk of futile recanalization (OR adj=1.36, per 1 mmHg increase, 95 % CI: 1.09-1.69, P=0.006) and 30-day mortality (OR adj=1.56, per 1 mmHg increase, 95 % CI: 1.20-2.04, P=0.001). A significant interaction between MAP SD and the lack of hypertension history on futile recanalization (P<0.05) was observed.

CONCLUSIONS

Among recanalized acute BAO ischemic patients, higher blood pressure variability during the first 24 h after MT was associated with worse outcomes. This association was stronger in patients without a history of hypertension.

Arterial Stiffness Predicts the Outcome of Endovascular Treatment in Patients with Acute Ischemic Stroke

Background: The association between arterial stiffness and outcome after endovascular treatment (EVT) is unknown. This study investigated whether arterial stiffness predicts post-EVT outcome in patients with acute ischemic stroke. Methods: This retrospective and observational cohort study included consecutive patients treated with EVT for acute ischemic stroke from June 2020 to November 2022. Arterial stiffness was assessed by brachial-ankle pulse wave velocity. Poor functional outcome was defined as a modified Rankin Scale score ≥3 at 3 months. Results: The mean age of patients included in this study was 71.9 ± 11.8 years, and 57.3% were men. Poor functional outcome was present in 46.8%. Multivariable logistic regression analysis showed that arterial stiffness was independently associated with poor functional outcome (odds ratio 8.640, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.581-47.228) after adjusting for age, initial stroke severity, hypertension, atrial fibrillation, device pass number, and successful recanalization. A nomogram based on the multivariable statistic model showed a better prediction of poor functional outcome compared to classic risk factor models without arterial stiffness (net reclassification improvement 0.529, 95% CI 0.186-0.873; integrated discrimination improvement 0.046, 95% CI 0.009-0.083). Conclusions: We found that arterial stiffness was an independent predictor of poor functional outcome in patients treated with EVT following acute ischemic stroke.

Futile recanalization is associated with increased risk of post-stroke epilepsy

BACKGROUND

Endovascular treatment (EVT) is the standard of care of ischaemic stroke due to occlusion of large vessels. Although EVT can significantly improve short- and long-term outcomes, functional dependence can persist despite the achievement of a successful recanalization. The evidence about the predictors of post-stroke epilepsy (PSE) in patients with stroke treated by EVT is limited. We aimed to evaluate the relationship between futile recanalization and the risk of PSE.

METHODS

We retrospectively identified consecutive adults with first-ever ischaemic stroke of anterior circulation who were treated with EVT. Futile recanalization was defined as poor 3-month functional status (modified Rankin scale score ≥ 3) despite complete or near-complete recanalization. Study outcome was the occurrence of PSE during the follow-up.

RESULTS

The study included 327 patients with anterior circulation ischaemic stroke treated with EVT. Futile recanalization occurred in 116 (35.5%) patients and 26 (8.0%) developed PSE during a median follow-up of 35 [interquartile range, 22.7-55.2] months. Futile recanalization was more common among patients who developed PSE compared to those who did not (76.9% versus 31.9%; p < 0.001). Futile recanalization [hazard ratio (HR) = 5.63, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.88-16.84; p = 0.002], large artery atherosclerosis (HR = 3.48, 95% CI: 1.44-8.40; p = 0.006), cortical involvement (HR = 15.51, 95% CI: 2.06-116.98; p = 0.008), and acute symptomatic status epilepticus (HR = 14.40, 95% CI: 2.80-73.98; p = 0.001) increased the risk of PSE.

CONCLUSIONS

Futile recanalization after EVT is associated with increased risk of PSE in patients with ischaemic stroke due to occlusion of large vessel of the anterior circulation.

Development and validation of outcome prediction model for reperfusion therapy in acute ischemic stroke using nomogram and machine learning

OBJECTIVE

To develop logistic regression nomogram and machine learning (ML)-based models to predict 3-month unfavorable functional outcome for acute ischemic stroke (AIS) patients undergoing reperfusion therapy.

METHODS

Patients undergoing reperfusion therapy (intravenous thrombolysis and/or endovascular treatment) were prospectively recruited. Unfavorable outcome was defined as 3-month modified Rankin Scale (mRS) score 3-6. The independent risk factors associated with unfavorable outcome were obtained by regression analysis and included in the prediction model. The performance of nomogram was assessed by the area under the curve (AUC), calibration curve, and decision curve analysis (DCA). ML models were compared with nomogram using AUC; the generalizability of all models was ascertained in an external cohort.

RESULTS

A total of 505 patients were enrolled, with 256 in the model construction, and 249 in the external validation. Five variables were identified as prognostic factors: baseline NIHSS, D-dimer level, random blood glucose (RBG), blood urea nitrogen (BUN), and systolic blood pressure (SBP) before reperfusion. The AUC values of nomogram were 0.865, 0.818, and 0.779 in the training set, test set, and external validation, respectively. The calibration curve and DCA indicated appreciable reliability and good net benefits. The best three ML models were extra trees (ET), CatBoost, and random forest (RF) models; all of them showed favorable discrimination in the training cohort, and confirmed in the test and external sets.

CONCLUSION

Baseline NIHSS, D-dimer, RBG, BUN, and SBP before reperfusion were independent predictors for 3-month unfavorable outcome after reperfusion therapy in AIS patients. Both nomogram and ML models showed good discrimination and generalizability.

Introducing the Futile Recanalization Prediction Score (FRPS): A Novel Approach to Predict and Mitigate Ineffective Recanalization after Endovascular Treatment of Acute Ischemic Stroke

Objective: This study aims to develop and validate the Futile Recanalization Prediction Score (FRPS), a novel tool designed to predict the severity risk of FR and aid in pre- and post-EVT risk assessments. Methods: The FRPS was developed using a rigorous process involving the selection of predictor variables based on clinical relevance and potential impact. Initial equations were derived from previous meta-analyses and refined using various statistical techniques. We employed machine learning algorithms, specifically random forest regression, to capture nonlinear relationships and enhance model performance. Cross-validation with five folds was used to assess generalizability and model fit. Results: The final FRPS model included variables such as age, sex, atrial fibrillation (AF), hypertension (HTN), diabetes mellitus (DM), hyperlipidemia, cognitive impairment, pre-stroke modified Rankin Scale (mRS), systolic blood pressure (SBP), onset-to-puncture time, sICH, and NIHSS score. The random forest model achieved a mean R-squared value of approximately 0.992. Severity ranges for FRPS scores were defined as mild (FRPS < 66), moderate (FRPS 66-80), and severe (FRPS > 80). Conclusions: The FRPS provides valuable insights for treatment planning and patient management by predicting the severity risk of FR. This tool may improve the identification of candidates most likely to benefit from EVT and enhance prognostic accuracy post-EVT. Further clinical validation in diverse settings is warranted to assess its effectiveness and reliability.

Predictive effect of net water uptake on futile recanalisation in patients with acute large-vessel occlusion stroke

AIM

To determine whether net water uptake (NWU) based on automated software evaluation could predict futile recanalisation in patients with acute anterior circulation large-vessel occlusion (LVO).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Patients with acute anterior circulation LVO undergoing mechanical thrombectomy in Jinling Hospital were evaluated retrospectively. NWU and other baseline data were evaluated by performing univariate and multivariate analyses. The primary endpoint was 90-day modified Rankin scale score ≥3. A nomogram to predict poor clinical outcomes was developed based on multivariate logistic regression analysis.

RESULTS

Overall, 135 patients who underwent thrombectomy with a TICI grade ≥2b were enrolled. In multivariate logistic regression analysis, the following factors were identified as independent predictors of futile recanalisation: age (odds ratio [OR]: 1.055, 95 % confidence interval [CI]: 1.004-1.110, p=0.035), female (OR: 0.289, 95 % CI: 0.098-0.850, p=0.024), hypertension (OR: 3.182, 95 % CI: 1.160-8.728, p=0.025), high blood glucose level (OR: 1.36, 95 % CI: 1.087-1.701, p=0.007), admission National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale score (OR: 1.082, 95 % CI: 1.003-1.168, p=0.043), and NWU (OR: 1.312, 95 % CI: 1.038-1.659, p=0.023).

CONCLUSIONS

NWU based on Alberta Stroke Program Early Computed Tomography (CT) Score (ASPECTS) could be used to predict the occurrence of futile recanalisation in patients with acute anterior circulation LVO ischaemic stroke.

Futile reperfusion of endovascular treatment for acute anterior circulation large vessel occlusion in the ANGEL-ACT registry

BACKGROUND

Some patients with large vessel occlusion (LVO) still cannot achieve functional independence despite successful reperfusion after endovascular treatment (EVT), named futile reperfusion. We aimed to explore the incidence and predictors of futile reperfusion of EVT for anterior circulation LVO in the Chinese population based on a nationwide prospective multicenter registry.

METHODS

We selected patients from the ANGEL-ACT (Endovascular Treatment Key Technique and Emergency Workflow Improvement of Acute Ischemic Stroke) registry. Successful reperfusion was defined as modified Treatment In Cerebral Ischemia (mTICI) 2b-3 after EVT, and functional independence was defined as 90-day modified Rankin Scale (mRS) 0-2. A multivariable regression model was performed to identify the independent predictors of futile reperfusion in anterior circulation LVO patients.

RESULTS

A total of 1158 anterior circulation LVO patients were included in our study. 600 of the 1158 patients (51.8%) suffered futile reperfusion. Age ≥69 (adjusted OR (aOR) 1.69, 95% CI 1.21 to 2.35, P=0.002), baseline National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) ≥14 (aOR 2.36, 95% CI 1.71 to 3.27, P<0.001), baseline serum glucose ≥6.5 mmol/L (aOR 1.73, 95% CI 1.27 to 2.36, P=0.001), drip and ship (aOR 1.56, 95% CI 1.11 to 2.18, P=0.011), and general anesthesia (aOR 2.28, 95% CI 1.66 to 3.14, P<0.001) were associated with a high risk of futile reperfusion in the anterior LVO patients after EVT, whereas baseline Alberta Stroke Program Early CT Score (ASPECTS) ≥8 (aOR 0.65, 95% CI 0.47 to 0.91, P=0.011) and complete reperfusion (aOR 0.62, 95% CI 0.43 to 0.89, P=0.010) were associated with a low risk of futile reperfusion in the anterior LVO patients after EVT.

CONCLUSIONS

In the ANGEL-ACT registry, 51.8% of anterior circulation LVO patients suffered futile reperfusion after EVT. Age ≥69 years, baseline NIHSS ≥14, baseline serum glucose ≥6.5 mmol/L, drip and ship, general anesthesia, baseline ASPECTS <8, and incomplete reperfusion were the independent predictors of futile reperfusion.

Postoperative blood glucose increase is associated with futile recanalization in patients with successful thrombectomy: a retrospective study

BACKGROUND

Timely recognition of futile recanalization might enable a prompt response and an improved outcome in post-thrombectomy patients. This study aims to evaluate whether postoperative blood glucose increase (BGI) could act as an indicator of futile recanalization in patients receiving a successful thrombectomy.

METHODS

This is a single-center, retrospective analysis of patients with anterior circulation large-vessel occlusion and successful thrombectomy between February 2019 and June 2022. BGI was defined as a higher level of blood glucose at the first postoperative morning than at admission. Futile recanalization was defined as patients with a modified Rankin Scale score of 3-6 at 90 days after onset. Multivariable binary logistic regression was used to assess the association of BGI with futile recanalization.

RESULTS

A total of 276 patients were enrolled, amongst which 120 patients (43.5%) had BGI. Futile recanalization was more prevalent among patients with BGI compared to those without (70.0 vs. 49.4%, P = 0.001). After adjusting for potential confounders, BGI was associated with a higher likelihood of futile recanalization (adjusted OR: 2.97, 95%CI: 1.50-5.86, P = 0.002). This association was consistently observed regardless of diabetes history, occlusion site, time from symptom onset to groin puncture, or reperfusion status.

CONCLUSION

Our findings support BGI serving as an indicator of futile recanalization in patients with anterior circulation large-vessel occlusion and successful thrombectomy.

Predictors of futile recanalization in basilar artery occlusion patients undergoing endovascular treatment: a post hoc analysis of the ATTENTION trial

Background

Few studies have focused on factors associated with futile recanalization in patients with an acute basilar artery occlusion (BAO) that was treated with modern endovascular therapy (EVT). The aim of this study was to explore the factors associated with futile recanalization in patients with an acute BAO presented within 12 h.

Methods

This is a post-hoc analysis of the ATTENTION trial (The Trial of Endovascular Treatment of Acute Basilar-Artery Occlusion, ClinicalTrials.gov, number NCT04751708). Demographics, clinical characteristics, acute stroke workflow interval times, and imaging characteristics were compared between the futile recanalization and favorable recanalization groups. The favorable outcome was defined as a modified Rankin scale (mRS) score of 0-3 at 90 days, successful reperfusion was defined as thrombolysis in cerebral infarction (TICI) 2b and 3 on the final angiogram, and futile recanalization was defined as failure to achieve a favorable outcome despite successful reperfusion. A multivariate analysis was performed to identify the predictors of futile recanalization.

Results

In total, 185 patients were included in the final analysis: 89 (48.1%) patients had futile recanalization and 96 (51.9%) patients had favorable recanalization. In the multivariable logistic regression analysis, older age (OR 1.04, 95% CI 1.01 to 1.08, p = 0.01) and diabetes mellitus (OR 3.35, 95% CI 1.40 to 8.01, p = 0.007) were independent predictors of futile recanalization.

Conclusion

Futile recanalization occurred in nearly half of patients with acute BAO following endovascular treatment. Old age and diabetes mellitus were identified as independent predictors of futile recanalization after endovascular therapy for acute BAO.

Comprehensive Meta-Analysis of Futile Recanalization in Acute Ischemic Stroke Patients Undergoing Endovascular Thrombectomy: Prevalence, Factors, and Clinical Outcomes

BACKGROUND

Futile recanalization (FR) continues to raise concern despite the success of endovascular thrombectomy (EVT) in acute ischemic stroke (AIS). Understanding the prevalence of FR and identifying associated factors are crucial for refining patient prognoses and optimizing management strategies.

OBJECTIVES

This study aims to comprehensively assess the pooled prevalence of FR, explore the diverse factors connected with FR, and establish the association of FR with long-term clinical outcomes among AIS patients undergoing EVT.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Incorporating studies focusing on FR following EVT in AIS patients, we conducted a random-effect meta-analysis to assess the pooled prevalence and its association with various clinical and imaging risk factors linked to FR. Summary estimates were compiled and study heterogeneity was explored.

RESULTS

Our comprehensive meta-analysis, involving 11,700 AIS patients undergoing EVT, revealed a significant pooled prevalence of FR at 51%, with a range of 48% to 54% (Effect Size [ES]: 51%; 95% Confidence Interval [CI]: 48-54%; z = 47.66; p < 0.001). Numerous clinical factors demonstrated robust correlations with FR, including atrial fibrillation (Odds Ratio [OR]: 1.39, 95% CI 1.22 1.59; p < 0.001), hypertension (OR 1.65, 95% CI 1.41 1.92; p < 0.001), diabetes mellitus (OR 1.71, 95% CI 1.47 1.99; p < 0.001), previous stroke or transient ischemic attack (OR 1.298, 95% CI 1.06 1.59; p = 0.012), prior anticoagulant usage (OR 1.33, 95% CI 1.08 1.63; p = 0.007), cardioembolic strokes (OR 1.34, 95% CI 1.10 1.63; p = 0.003), and general anesthesia (OR 1.53, 95% CI 1.35 1.74; p < 0.001). Conversely, FR exhibited reduced likelihoods of smoking (OR 0.66, 95% CI 0.57 0.77; p < 0.001), good collaterals (OR 0.33, 95% CI 0.23 0.49; p < 0.001), male sex (OR 0.87, 95% CI 0.77 0.97; p = 0.016), and intravenous thrombolysis (IVT) (OR 0.75, 95% CI 0.66 0.86; p < 0.001). FR was strongly associated with increasing age (standardized mean difference [SMD] 0.49, 95% CI 0.42 0.56; p < 0.0001), baseline systolic blood pressure (SMD 0.20, 95% CI 0.13 0.27; p < 0.001), baseline National Institute of Health Stroke Severity Score (SMD 0.75, 95% CI: 0.65 0.86; p < 0.001), onset-to-treatment time (SMD 0.217, 95% CI 0.13 0.30; p < 0.001), onset-to-recanalization time (SMD 0.38, 95% CI 0.19; 0.57; p < 0.001), and baseline blood glucose (SMD 0.31, 95% CI 0.22 0.41; p < 0.001), while displaying a negative association with reduced baseline Alberta Stroke Program Early CT Score (ASPECTS) (SMD -0.37, 95% CI -0.46 -0.27; p < 0.001). Regarding clinical outcomes, FR was significantly associated with increased odds of symptomatic intracranial hemorrhages (OR 7.37, 95% CI 4.89 11.12; p < 0.001), hemorrhagic transformations (OR 2.98, 95% CI 2.37 3.75; p < 0.001), and 90-day mortality (OR 19.24, 95% CI 1.57 235.18; p = 0.021).

CONCLUSIONS

The substantial prevalence of FR, standing at approximately 51%, warrants clinical consideration. These findings underscore the complexity of FR in AIS patients and highlight the importance of tailoring management strategies based on individual risk factors and clinical profiles.

Predictors of Futile Recanalization in Patients with Intracranial Atherosclerosis-Related Stroke Undergoing Endovascular Treatment

OBJECTIVE

The predictors of futile recanalization in patients with intracranial atherosclerosis (ICAS)-related stroke are not understood. This study aimed to identify the predictors of futile recanalization after endovascular treatment (EVT) in patients who experience an acute stroke caused by ICAS-related occlusion.

METHODS

We retrospectively reviewed the data of patients with ICAS-related stroke who underwent EVT from January 2018 to July 2021. Futile recanalization was defined as functional dependence (modified Rankin scale 3-6) despite successful reperfusion (modified Thrombolysis in Cerebral Infarction score of 2 b/3). Multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to determine the risk factors associated with futile recanalization. The receiver operating characteristic curve was used to examine the predictive value of the risk prediction model for futile recanalization.

RESULTS

Of the 87 patients enrolled, futile recanalization was observed in 32 (36.8%). Multivariate logistic analysis showed that older age (OR, 1.05; 95% CI, 1.01-1.10; P = 0.026), a higher National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) score on admission (OR, 1.25; 95% CI, 1.08-1.45; P = 0.003), and poor collaterals (OR, 5.49; 95% CI, 1.70-17.79; P = 0.004) were independently associated with futile recanalization after EVT in patients with ICAS-related stroke. The receiver operating characteristic curve showed that the model in combination with age, admission NIHSS score, and collateral status could accurately predict futile recanalization in these patients (areas under the curve, 0.85; 95% CI, 0.76-0.92; P < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Older age, higher NIHSS score on admission, and poor collaterals are predictors of futile recanalization in patients with ICAS-related stroke.

Impacts of stress hyperglycemia ratio on early neurological deterioration and functional outcome after endovascular treatment in patients with acute ischemic stroke

Background and Purpose

Hyperglycemia has been associated with unfavorable outcome of acute ischemic stroke, but this association has not been verified in patients with endovascular thrombectomy treatment. This study aimed to assess the impact of stress hyperglycemia ratio on early neurological deterioration and favorable outcome after thrombectomy in patients with acute ischemic stroke.

Methods

Stroke patients with endovascular thrombectomy in two comprehensive centers were enrolled. Early neurological deterioration was defined as ≥4 points increase of National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) at 24 hours after endovascular procedure. Favorable outcome was defined as modified Rankin Scale (mRS) score of 0-2 at 90 days of stroke onset. Multivariate regression analysis was used to identify the predictors for early neurological deterioration and favorable outcome.

Results

Among the 559 enrolled, 74 (13.2%) patients developed early neurological deterioration. The predictors for early neurological deterioration were high stress hyperglycemia ratio at baseline (OR =5.77; 95% CI, 1.878-17.742; P =0.002), symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage (OR =4.90; 95% CI, 2.439-9.835; P <0.001) and high NIHSS score after 24 hours (OR =1.11; 95% CI, 1.071-1.151; P <0.001). The predictors for favorable outcome were stress hyperglycemia ratio (OR =0.196, 95% CI, 0.077-0.502; P =0.001), age (OR =0.942, 95% CI, 0.909-0.977; P =0.001), NIHSS score 24 hours after onset (OR =0.757, 95% CI =0.693-0.827; P <0.001), groin puncture to recanalization time (OR =0.987, 95% CI, 0.975-0.998; P =0.025), poor collateral status before treatment (ASITN/SIR grade 0-3, OR =62.017, 95% CI, 25.920-148.382; P <0.001), successful recanalization (mTICI 2b or 3, OR =7.415, 95% CI, 1.942-28.313; P =0.001).

Conclusion

High stress hyperglycemia ratio may be related to early neurological deterioration and decreased likelihood of favourable outcomes after endovascular thrombectomy in patients with acute ischemic stroke.

Nomogram-Based Prediction of the Futile Recanalization Risk Among Acute Ischemic Stroke Patients Before and After Endovascular Therapy: A Retrospective Study

Background and Purpose

Futile recanalization (FRC) is common among large artery occlusion (LAO) patients after endovascular therapy (EVT). We developed nomogram models to identify LAO patients at a high risk of FRC pre- and post-EVT to help neurologists select the optimal candidates for EVT.

Methods

From April 2020 to July 2022, EVT and mTICI score ≥2b LAO patients were recruited. Nomogram models was developed by two-step approach for predicting the outcomes of LAO patients. First, the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression analysis was to optimize variable selection. Then, a multivariable analysis was to construct an estimation model with significant indicators from the LASSO. The accuracy of the model was verified using receiver operating characteristic (ROC), calibration curve, and decision curve analyses (DCA), along with validation cohort (VC).

Results

Using LASSO, age, sex, hypertension history, baseline NIHSS, ASPECTS and baseline SBP upon admission were identified from the pre-EVT variables. Model 1 (pre-EVT) showed good predictive performance, with an area under the ROC curve (AUC) of 0.815 in the training cohort (TrC) and 0.904 in VC. Under the DCA, the generated nomogram was clinically applicable where risk cut-off was between 15%-85% in the TrC and 5%-100% in the VC. Moreover, age, ASPECTS upon admission, onset duration, puncture-to-recanalization (PTR) duration, and lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio (LMR) were screened by LASSO. Model 2 (post-EVT) also demonstrated good predictive performance with AUCs of 0.888 and 0.814 for TrC and VC, respectively. Under the DCA, the generated nomogram was clinically applicable if the risk cut-off was between 13-100% in the TrC and 22-85% of VC.

Conclusion

In this study, two nomogram models were generated that showed good discriminative performance, improved calibration, and clinical benefits. These nomograms can potentially accurately predict the risk of FRC in LAO patients pre- and post-EVT and help to select appropriate candidates for EVT.

Association of platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio with outcomes in stroke patients achieving successful recanalization by endovascular thrombectomy

Objective

Serum inflammatory biomarkers play crucial roles in the development of acute ischemic stroke (AIS). In this study, we explored the association between inflammatory biomarkers including platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), and monocyte-to-lymphocyte ratio (MLR), and clinical outcomes in AIS patients who achieved successful recanalization.

Methods

Patients with AIS who underwent endovascular thrombectomy (EVT) and achieved a modified thrombolysis in the cerebral infarction scale of 2b or 3 were screened from a prospective cohort at our institution between January 2013 and June 2021. Data on blood parameters and other baseline characteristics were collected. The functional outcome was an unfavorable outcome defined by a modified Rankin Scale of 3-6 at the 3-month follow up. Other clinical outcomes included symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage (sICH) and 3-month mortality. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was performed to evaluate the effects of PLR, NLR, and MLR on clinical outcomes.

Results

A total of 796 patients were enrolled, of which 89 (11.2%) developed sICH, 465 (58.4%) had unfavorable outcomes at 3 months, and 168 (12.1%) died at the 3-month follow up. After adjusting for confounding variables, a higher NLR (OR, 1.076; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.037-1.117; p < 0.001) and PLR (OR, 1.001; 95%CI, 1.000-1.003; p = 0.045) were significantly associated with unfavorable outcomes, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of NLR and PLR was 0.622 and 0.564, respectively. However, NLR, PLR, and MLR were not independently associated with sICH and 3-month mortality (all adjusted p > 0.05).

Conclusion

Overall, our results indicate that higher PLR and NLR were independently associated with unfavorable functional outcomes in AIS patients with successful recanalization after EVT; however, the underlying mechanisms are yet to be elucidated.

Predictors of futile recanalization in patients with acute ischemic stroke undergoing mechanical thrombectomy in late time windows

Background and purpose

Futile recanalization (FR), defined as functional dependence despite successful reperfusion, is common in patients who experience an acute stroke after thrombectomy. We aimed to determine the predictors of FR in patients who underwent thrombectomy in late time windows (6 h or more after symptom onset).

Methods

This retrospective review included patients who underwent thrombectomy for acute anterior circulation large vessel occlusion from October 2019 to June 2021. Successful reperfusion was defined as a modified Thrombolysis in Cerebral Infarction (mTICI) score of 2b/3. Functional dependence at 90 days was defined as a modified Rankin scale score of 3–6. Multivariate analysis and a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve were used to identify the predictors of FR in patients treated in delayed time windows.

Results

Of the 99 patients included, FR was observed in 51 (51.5%). In the multivariate analysis, older age (OR, 1.12; 95% CI, 1.04–1.22; P = 0.005), female sex (OR, 3.79; 95% CI, 1.08–13.40; P = 0.038), a higher National Institutes of Health Stroke Score (NIHSS) score upon admission (OR, 1.11; 95% CI, 1.02–1.22; P = 0.023), and an increased number of passes per procedure (OR, 2.07; 95% CI, 1.11–3.86; P = 0.023) were independently associated with FR after thrombectomy. The ROC curve indicated that the model that combined age, female sex, baseline NIHSS score, and the number of passes per procedure (area under the curve, 0.84; 95% CI, 0.75–0.90, P < 0.001) was able to predict FR accurately.

Conclusions

Older age, female sex, higher NIHSS score upon admission, and an increased number of passes per procedure were independent predictors of FR in patients who experienced acute ischemic strokes after thrombectomy in late time windows.

Multivariable Prediction Model for Futile Recanalization Therapies in Patients With Acute Ischemic Stroke

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

Very poor outcome despite IV thrombolysis (IVT) and mechanical thrombectomy (MT) occurs in approximately 1 of 4 patients with ischemic stroke and is associated with a high logistic and economic burden. We aimed to develop and validate a multivariable prognostic model to identify futile recanalization therapies (FRTs) in patients undergoing those therapies.

METHODS

Patients from a prospectively collected observational registry of a single academic stroke center treated with MT and/or IVT were included. The data set was split into a training (N = 1,808, 80%) and internal validation (N = 453, 20%) cohort. We used gradient boosted decision tree machine learning models after k-nearest neighbor imputation of 32 variables available at admission to predict FRT defined as modified Rankin scale 5-6 at 3 months. We report feature importance, ability for discrimination, calibration, and decision curve analysis.

RESULTS

A total of 2,261 patients with a median (interquartile range) age of 75 years (64-83 years), 46% female, median NIH Stroke Scale 9 (4-17), 34% IVT alone, 41% MT alone, and 25% bridging were included. Overall, 539 (24%) had FRT, more often in MT alone (34%) as compared with IVT alone (11%). Feature importance identified clinical variables (stroke severity, age, active cancer, prestroke disability), laboratory values (glucose, C-reactive protein, creatinine), imaging biomarkers (white matter hyperintensities), and onset-to-admission time as the most important predictors. The final model was discriminatory for predicting 3-month FRT (area under the curve 0.87, 95% CI 0.87-0.88) and had good calibration (Brier 0.12, 0.11-0.12). Overall performance was moderate (F1-score 0.63 ± 0.004), and decision curve analyses suggested higher mean net benefit at lower thresholds of treatment (up to 0.8).

CONCLUSIONS

This FRT prediction model can help inform shared decision making and identify the most relevant features in the emergency setting. Although it might be particularly useful in low resource healthcare settings, incorporation of further multifaceted variables is necessary to further increase the predictive performance.

A visualized nomogram to online predict futile recanalization after endovascular thrombectomy in basilar artery occlusion stroke

Background and purpose

Futile recanalization occurs in a significant proportion of patients with basilar artery occlusion (BAO) after endovascular thrombectomy (EVT). Therefore, our goal was to develop a visualized nomogram model to early identify patients with BAO who would be at high risk of futile recanalization, more importantly, to aid neurologists in selecting the most appropriate candidates for EVT.

Methods

Patients with BAO with EVT and the Thrombolysis in Cerebral Infarction score of ≥2b were included in the National Advanced Stroke Center of Nanjing First Hospital (China) from October 2016 to June 2021. The exclusion criteria were lacking the 3-month Modified Rankin Scale (mRS), age &lt;18 years, the premorbid mRS score &gt;2, and unavailable baseline CT imaging. Potential predictors were selected for the construction of the nomogram model and the predictive and calibration capabilities of the model were assessed.

Results

A total of 84 patients with BAO were finally enrolled in this study, and patients with futile recanalization accounted for 50.0% (42). The area under the curve (AUC) of the nomogram model was 0.866 (95% CI, 0.786–0.946). The mean squared error, an indicator of the calibration ability of our prediction model, was 0.025. A web-based nomogram model for broader and easier access by clinicians is available online at https://trend.shinyapps.io/DynNomapp/.

Conclusion

We constructed a visualized nomogram model to accurately and online predict the risk of futile recanalization for patients with BAO, as well as assist in the selection of appropriate candidates for EVT.

Machine learning to predict futile recanalization of large vessel occlusion before and after endovascular thrombectomy

Background and purpose

Futile recanalization occurs when the endovascular thrombectomy (EVT) is a technical success but fails to achieve a favorable outcome. This study aimed to use machine learning (ML) algorithms to develop a pre-EVT model and a post-EVT model to predict the risk of futile recanalization and to provide meaningful insights to assess the prognostic factors associated with futile recanalization.

Methods

Consecutive acute ischemic stroke patients with large vessel occlusion (LVO) undergoing EVT at the National Advanced Stroke Center of Nanjing First Hospital (China) between April 2017 and May 2021 were analyzed. The baseline characteristics and peri-interventional characteristics were assessed using four ML algorithms. The predictive performance was evaluated by the area under curve (AUC) of receiver operating characteristic and calibration curve. In addition, the SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) approach and partial dependence plot were introduced to understand the relative importance and the influence of a single feature.

Results

A total of 312 patients were included in this study. Of the four ML models that include baseline characteristics, the “Early” XGBoost had a better performance {AUC, 0.790 [95% confidence intervals (CI), 0.677–0.903]; Brier, 0.191}. Subsequent inclusion of peri-interventional characteristics into the “Early” XGBoost showed that the “Late” XGBoost performed better [AUC, 0.910 (95% CI, 0.837–0.984); Brier, 0.123]. NIHSS after 24 h, age, groin to recanalization, and the number of passages were the critical prognostic factors associated with futile recanalization, and the SHAP approach shows that NIHSS after 24 h ranks first in relative importance.

Conclusions

The “Early” XGBoost and the “Late” XGBoost allowed us to predict futile recanalization before and after EVT accurately. Our study suggests that including peri-interventional characteristics may lead to superior predictive performance compared to a model based on baseline characteristics only. In addition, NIHSS after 24 h was the most important prognostic factor for futile recanalization.

CT Hyperdense Artery Sign and the Effect of Alteplase in Endovascular Thrombectomy after Acute Stroke

Background Recent evidence suggests that presence of an intracranial arterial thrombus with a hyperdense artery sign (HAS) at noncontrast CT (NCCT) is associated with better response to intravenous alteplase. Patients with HAS may benefit more from combined intravenous alteplase and endovascular treatment (EVT). Purpose To investigate whether HAS at NCCT modifies the treatment effect of adding intravenous alteplase on clinical outcome in patients with acute large-vessel occlusion undergoing EVT. Materials and Methods This study is a secondary analysis of a prospective randomized trial (Direct Intra-arterial thrombectomy in order to Revascularize AIS patients with large-vessel occlusion Efficiently in Chinese Tertiary hospitals: A Multicenter randomized clinical Trial [DIRECT-MT]), which compared adding alteplase to EVT versus EVT alone in participants with acute large-vessel occlusion between February 2018 and July 2019. Participants with catheter angiograms and adequate NCCT for HAS evaluation were included. HAS was determined visually by two independent investigators at baseline NCCT. Treatment effect of intravenous alteplase administration according to presence of HAS on the primary clinical outcome (modified Rankin Scale [mRS] score at 90 days) and secondary and safety outcomes were assessed using adjusted multivariable regression models. Results Among 633 included participants (356 men [56%]; median age, 69 years), HAS was observed in 283 participants (45%): 142 of 313 participants (45%) in the EVT-only group and 141 of 320 participants (44%) in the group with added intravenous alteplase. Treatment-by-HAS interaction was observed for the primary outcome (P < .001), whereby a shift in favor of better outcomes with added intravenous alteplase occurred in participants with HAS (adjusted odds ratio [OR]: 1.82; 95% CI: 1.18, 2.79), while an adverse effect was seen in participants without HAS (adjusted OR: 0.62; 95% CI: 0.42, 0.91). This also held true for three secondary outcomes (excellent outcome [mRS score of 0-1 at 90 days], P = .005; good outcome [mRS score of 0-2 at 90 days], P = .008; final successful reperfusion, P = .04) in the adjusted models. Conclusion After acute ischemic stroke, presence of hyperdense artery sign (HAS) at baseline noncontrast CT indicated better outcomes when alteplase was added to endovascular treatment, but adding alteplase to endovascular treatment resulted in worse outcomes in participants without HAS. Clinical trial registration no. NCT03469206 © RSNA, 2022 Online supplemental material is available for this article.

Plasma Lipid Mediators Associate With Clinical Outcome After Successful Endovascular Thrombectomy in Patients With Acute Ischemic Stroke

Background

Neuroinflammatory response contributes to early neurological deterioration (END) and unfavorable long-term functional outcome in patients with acute ischemic stroke (AIS) who recanalized successfully by endovascular thrombectomy (EVT), but there are no reliable biomarkers for their accurate prediction. Here, we sought to determine the temporal plasma profiles of the bioactive lipid mediators lipoxin A4 (LXA4), resolvin D1 (RvD1), and leukotriene B4 (LTB4) for their associations with clinical outcome.

Methods

We quantified levels of LXA4, RvD1, and LTB4 in blood samples retrospectively and longitudinally collected from consecutive AIS patients who underwent complete angiographic recanalization by EVT at admission (pre-EVT) and 24 hrs post-EVT. The primary outcome was unfavorable long-term functional outcome, defined as a 90-day modified Rankin Scale score of 3-6. Secondary outcome was END, defined as an increase in National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) score ≥4 points at 24 hrs post-EVT.

Results

Eighty-one consecutive AIS patients and 20 healthy subjects were recruited for this study. Plasma levels of LXA4, RvD1, and LTB4 were significantly increased in post-EVT samples from AIS patients, as compared to those of healthy controls. END occurred in 17 (20.99%) patients, and 38 (46.91%) had unfavorable 90-day functional outcome. Multiple logistic regression analyses demonstrated that post-EVT levels of LXA4 (adjusted odd ratio [OR] 0.992, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.987-0.998), ΔLXA4 (adjusted OR 0.995, 95% CI 0.991-0.999), LTB4 (adjusted OR 1.003, 95% CI 1.001-1.005), ΔLTB4 (adjusted OR 1.004, 95% CI 1.002-1.006), and post-EVT LXA4/LTB4 (adjusted OR 0.023, 95% CI 0.001-0.433) and RvD1/LTB4 (adjusted OR 0.196, 95% CI 0.057-0.682) ratios independently predicted END, and post-EVT LXA4 levels (adjusted OR 0.995, 95% CI 0.992-0.999), ΔLXA4 levels (adjusted OR 0.996, 95% CI 0.993-0.999), and post-EVT LXA4/LTB4 ratio (adjusted OR 0.285, 95% CI 0.096-0.845) independently predicted unfavorable 90-day functional outcome. These were validated using receiver operating characteristic curve analyses.

Conclusions

Plasma lipid mediators measured 24 hrs post-EVT were independent predictors for early and long-term outcomes. Further studies are needed to determine their causal-effect relationship, and whether the imbalance between anti-inflammatory/pro-resolving and pro-inflammatory lipid mediators could be a potential adjunct therapeutic target.