Using molecular testing and whole-genome sequencing for tuberculosis diagnosis in a low-burden setting: a cost-effectiveness analysis using transmission-dynamic modelling

Targeted next-generation sequencing to diagnose drug-resistant tuberculosis: a systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Targeted next-generation sequencing (NGS) can rapidly and simultaneously detect mutations associated with resistance to tuberculosis drugs across multiple gene targets. The use of targeted NGS to diagnose drug-resistant tuberculosis, as described in publicly available data, has not been comprehensively reviewed. We aimed to identify targeted NGS assays that diagnose drug-resistant tuberculosis, determine how widely this technology has been used, and assess the diagnostic accuracy of these assays.

METHODS

In this systematic review and meta-analysis, we searched MEDLINE, Embase, Cochrane Library, Web of Science Core Collection, Global Index Medicus, Google Scholar, ClinicalTrials.gov, and the WHO International Clinical Trials Registry Platform for published and unpublished reports on targeted NGS for drug-resistant tuberculosis from Jan 1, 2005, to Oct 14, 2022, with updates to our search in Embase and Google Scholar until Feb 13, 2024. Studies eligible for the systematic review described targeted NGS approaches to predict drug resistance in Mycobacterium tuberculosis infections using primary samples, reference strain collections, or cultured isolates from individuals with presumed or confirmed tuberculosis. Our search had no limitations on study type or language, although only reports in English, German, and French were screened for eligibility. For the meta-analysis, we included test accuracy studies that used any reference standard, and we assessed risk of bias using the Quality Assessment of Diagnostic Accuracy Studies-2 tool. The primary outcomes for the meta-analysis were sensitivity and specificity of targeted NGS to diagnose drug-resistant tuberculosis compared to phenotypic and genotypic drug susceptibility testing. We used a Bayesian bivariate model to generate summary receiver operating characteristic plots and diagnostic accuracy measures, overall and stratified by drug and sample type. This study is registered with PROSPERO, CRD42022368707.

FINDINGS

We identified and screened 2920 reports, of which 124 were eligible for our systematic review, including 37 review articles and 87 reports of studies collecting samples for targeted NGS. Sequencing was mainly done in the USA (14 [16%] of 87), western Europe (ten [11%]), India (ten [11%]), and China (nine [10%]). We included 24 test accuracy studies in the meta-analysis, in which 23 different tuberculosis drugs or drug groups were assessed, covering first-line drugs, injectable drugs, and fluoroquinolones and predominantly comparing targeted NGS with phenotypic drug susceptibility testing. The combined sensitivity of targeted NGS across all drugs was 94·1% (95% credible interval [CrI] 90·9-96·3) and specificity was 98·1% (97·0-98·9). Sensitivity for individual drugs ranged from 76·5% (52·5-92·3) for capreomycin to 99·1% (98·3-99·7) for rifampicin; specificity ranged from 93·1% (88·0-96·3) for ethambutol to 99·4% (98·3-99·8) for amikacin. Diagnostic accuracy was similar for primary clinical samples and culture isolates overall and for rifampicin, isoniazid, ethambutol, streptomycin, and fluoroquinolones, and similar after excluding studies at high risk of bias (overall sensitivity 95·2% [95% CrI 91·7-97·1] and specificity 98·6% [97·4-99·3]).

INTERPRETATION

Targeted NGS is highly sensitive and specific for detecting drug resistance across panels of tuberculosis drugs and can be performed directly on clinical samples. There is a paucity of data on performance for some currently recommended drugs. The barriers preventing the use of targeted NGS to diagnose drug-resistant tuberculosis in high-burden countries need to be addressed.

FUNDING

National Institutes of Allergy and Infectious Diseases and Swiss National Science Foundation.

Exploring diagnostic methods for drug-resistant tuberculosis: A comprehensive overview

Despite available global efforts and funding, Tuberculosis (TB) continues to affect a considerable number of patients worldwide. Policy makers and stakeholders set clear goals to reduce TB incidence and mortality, but the emergence of multidrug-resistant TB (MDR-TB) and extensively drug-resistant TB (XDR-TB) complicate the reach of these goals. Drug-resistance TB needs to be diagnosed rapidly and accurately to effectively treat patients, prevent the transmission of MDR-TB, minimise mortality, reduce treatment costs and avoid unnecessary hospitalisations. In this narrative review, we provide a comprehensive overview of laboratory methods for detecting drug resistance in MTB, focusing on phenotypic, molecular and other drug susceptibility testing (DST) techniques. We found a large variety of methods used, with the BACTEC MGIT 960 being the most common phenotypic DST and the Xpert MTB/RIF being the most common molecular DST. We emphasise the importance of integrating phenotypic and molecular DST to address issues like resistance to new drugs, heteroresistance, mixed infections and low-level resistance mutations. Notably, most of the analysed studies adhered to the outdated definition of XDR-TB and did not consider the pre-XDR definition, thus posing challenges in aligning diagnostic methods with the current landscape of TB resistance.

A Case of Multi-Organ Tuberculosis Misdiagnosed as Lung Cancer and a Literature Review

Background

Tuberculosis (TB) is a very common and easily diagnosed as a malignancy. However, studies have described the difference between TB and lung cancer. Single-organ TB and lung cancer are often easily distinguished clinically. Atypical systemic hematogenous disseminated TB (HDTB) is uncommon, including rare cases involving multiple organs such as cervical lymph nodes, pleura, liver, and lung TB simultaneously, which are more confusing and easily misdiagnosed in clinical practice.

Case Presentation

A HIV-negative 56-year-old male was hospitalized for chest disease with main symptoms of chest tightness, chest pain, fatigue, anorexia, and weight loss. Heart rate 109 times/min, the computed tomography (CT) scans of the neck, chest, and abdomen revealed multiple nodules in the right pleura, right pleural encapsulated effusion, and limited, incomplete expansion of the middle and lower lobes of the right lung, enlarged lymph nodes in the right hilar and mediastinal and diaphragm groups, and multiple slightly low-density nodules in the liver, bone destruction in the 2nd thoracic vertebra, raising the possibility of multiple liver metastases of right lung cancer and malignant pleural fluid. The lymph nodes in the neck, mediastinum, abdomen, and pelvis were enlarged bilaterally. After comprehensive analysis, the patient was diagnosed with atypical systemic HDTB. After three months of conventional anti-TB treatment, the patient refused our hospital follow-up, and his symptoms improved significantly during the telephone follow-up.

Conclusion

Most previous TB misdiagnoses involved a single organ, and this case enriches the clinical experience of diagnosing atypical HDTB. We encourage clinicians to establish a dynamic diagnostic and therapeutic mindset, emphasizing the value of biopsy and pathology.

Economic evaluation of novel Mycobacterium tuberculosis specific antigen-based skin tests for detection of TB infection: A modelling study

Evidence on the economic impact of novel skin tests for tuberculosis infection (TBST) is scarce and limited by study quality. We used estimates on the cost-effectiveness of the use of TBST compared to current tuberculosis infection (TBI) tests to assess whether TBST are affordable and feasible to implement under different country contexts. A Markov model parametrised to Brazil, South Africa and the UK was developed to compare the cost-effectiveness of three TBI testing strategies: (1) Diaskintest (DST), (2) TST test, and (3) IGRA QFT test. Univariate and probabilistic sensitivity analyses over unit costs and main parameters were performed. Our modelling results show that Diaskintest saves $5.60 and gains 0.024 QALYs per patient and $8.40, and 0.01 QALYs per patient in Brazil, compared to TST and IGRA respectively. In South Africa, Diaskintest is also cost-saving at $4.39, with 0.015 QALYs per patient gained, compared to TST, and $64.41, and 0.007 QALYs per patient, compared to IGRA. In the UK, Diaskintest saves $73.33, and gaines 0.0351 QALYs per patient, compared to TST. However, Diaskintest, compared to IGRA, showed an incremental cost of $521.45 (95% CI (500.94-545.07)) per QALY, below the willingness-to-pay threshold of $20.223 per QALY. Diaskintest potentially saves costs and results in greater health gains than the TST and IGRA tests in Brazil and South Africa. In the UK Diaskintest would gain health but also be more costly. Our results have potential external validity because TBST remained cost-effective despite extensive sensitivity analyses.

Economic evaluations of whole-genome sequencing for pathogen identification in public health surveillance and health-care-associated infections: a systematic review

Whole-genome sequencing (WGS) has resulted in improvements to pathogen characterisation for the rapid investigation and management of disease outbreaks and surveillance. We conducted a systematic review to synthesise the economic evidence of WGS implementation for pathogen identification and surveillance. Of the 2285 unique publications identified through online database searches, 19 studies met the inclusion criteria. The economic evidence to support the broader application of WGS as a front-line pathogen characterisation and surveillance tool is insufficient and of low quality. WGS has been evaluated in various clinical settings, but these evaluations are predominantly investigations of a single pathogen. There are also considerable variations in the evaluation approach. Economic evaluations of costs, effectiveness, and cost-effectiveness are needed to support the implementation of WGS in public health settings.

Advancing tuberculosis management: the role of predictive, preventive, and personalized medicine

Tuberculosis is a major global health issue, with approximately 10 million people falling ill and 1.4 million dying yearly. One of the most significant challenges to public health is the emergence of drug-resistant tuberculosis. For the last half-century, treating tuberculosis has adhered to a uniform management strategy in most patients. However, treatment ineffectiveness in some individuals with pulmonary tuberculosis presents a major challenge to the global tuberculosis control initiative. Unfavorable outcomes of tuberculosis treatment (including mortality, treatment failure, loss of follow-up, and unevaluated cases) may result in increased transmission of tuberculosis and the emergence of drug-resistant strains. Treatment failure may occur due to drug-resistant strains, non-adherence to medication, inadequate absorption of drugs, or low-quality healthcare. Identifying the underlying cause and adjusting the treatment accordingly to address treatment failure is important. This is where approaches such as artificial intelligence, genetic screening, and whole genome sequencing can play a critical role. In this review, we suggest a set of particular clinical applications of these approaches, which might have the potential to influence decisions regarding the clinical management of tuberculosis patients.

Evaluating the Value for Money of Precision Medicine from Early Cycle to Market Access: A Comprehensive Review of Approaches and Challenges

OBJECTIVES

This study aimed to perform a comprehensive review of modeling approaches and methodological and policy challenges in the economic evaluation (EE) of precision medicine (PM) across clinical stages.

METHODS

First, a systematic review was performed to assess the approaches of EEs in the past 10 years. Next, a targeted review of methodological articles was conducted for methodological and policy challenges in performing EEs of PM. All findings were synthesized into a structured framework that focused on patient population, Intervention, Comparator, Outcome, Time, Equity and ethics, Adaptability and Modeling aspects, named the "PICOTEAM" framework. Finally, a stakeholder consultation was conducted to understand the major determinants of decision making in PM investment.

RESULTS

In 39 methodological articles, we identified major challenges to the EE of PM. These challenges include that PM applications involve complex and evolving clinical decision space, that clinical evidence is sparse because of small subgroups and complex pathways in PM settings, a one-time PM application may have lifetime or intergenerational impacts but long-term evidence is often unavailable, and that equity and ethics concerns are exceptional. In 275 EEs of PM, current approaches did not sufficiently capture the value of PM compared with targeted therapies, nor did they differentiate Early EEs from Conventional EEs. Finally, policy makers perceived the budget impact, cost savings, and cost-effectiveness of PM as the most important determinants in decision making.

CONCLUSIONS

There is an urgent need to modify existing guidelines or develop a new reference case that fits into the new healthcare paradigm of PM to guide decision making in research and development and market access.

Complexities and benefits of adopting next-generation sequencing-based tuberculosis diagnostics: a qualitative study among stakeholders in low and high-income countries

OBJECTIVES

To clarify perceived benefits, barriers and facilitators of Mycobacterium tuberculosis next-generation sequencing implementation in Madagascar and Canada, towards informing implementation of this diagnostic technology in public health agencies and clinical settings in and beyond these settings.

DESIGN

This qualitative study involved conducting semistructured interviews with key stakeholders engaged with next-generation sequencing implementation in Madagascar and Canada. Team-based descriptive analysis supported by Nvivo V.12.0 was used to identify key themes.

SETTING

The study was conducted with participants involved at the clinical, diagnostic and surveillance levels of tuberculosis (TB) management from Madagascar and Canada.

PARTICIPANTS

Eighteen participants were interviewed (nine Madagascar and nine Canada) and included individuals purposively sampled based on involvement with TB surveillance, laboratory diagnosis and clinical management.

RESULTS

The following five themes emerged in the analysis of Malagasy and Canadian interviews: (1) heterogeneity in experience with established TB diagnostics, (2) variable understanding of new sequencing-based diagnostics potential; (3) further evidence as being key to expand adoption; (4) ethical arguments and concerns; (5) operational and system-level considerations.

CONCLUSION

There persists important lack of familiarity with TB next-generation sequencing (TB NGS) applications among stakeholders in Canada and Madagascar. This translates into skepticism on the evidence underlying its use and its true potential value added within global public health systems. If deployed, TB NGS testing should be integrated with clinical and surveillance programmes. Although this is perceived as a priority, leadership and funding responsibilities for this integration to happen remains unclear to clinical, laboratory and public health stakeholders.

Clinical implications of molecular drug resistance testing for Mycobacterium tuberculosis: a 2023 TBnet/RESIST-TB consensus statement

Drug-resistant tuberculosis is a substantial health-care concern worldwide. Despite culture-based methods being considered the gold standard for drug susceptibility testing, molecular methods provide rapid information about the Mycobacterium tuberculosis mutations associated with resistance to anti-tuberculosis drugs. This consensus document was developed on the basis of a comprehensive literature search, by the TBnet and RESIST-TB networks, about reporting standards for the clinical use of molecular drug susceptibility testing. Review and the search for evidence included hand-searching journals and searching electronic databases. The panel identified studies that linked mutations in genomic regions of M tuberculosis with treatment outcome data. Implementation of molecular testing for the prediction of drug resistance in M tuberculosis is key. Detection of mutations in clinical isolates has implications for the clinical management of patients with multidrug-resistant or rifampicin-resistant tuberculosis, especially in situations when phenotypic drug susceptibility testing is not available. A multidisciplinary team including clinicians, microbiologists, and laboratory scientists reached a consensus on key questions relevant to molecular prediction of drug susceptibility or resistance to M tuberculosis, and their implications for clinical practice. This consensus document should help clinicians in the management of patients with tuberculosis, providing guidance for the design of treatment regimens and optimising outcomes.

A systematic review of economic evaluations of whole-genome sequencing for the surveillance of bacterial pathogens

Whole-genome sequencing (WGS) has unparalleled ability to distinguish between bacteria, with many public health applications. The generation and analysis of WGS data require significant financial investment. We describe a systematic review summarizing economic analyses of genomic surveillance of bacterial pathogens, reviewing the evidence for economic viability. The protocol was registered on PROSPERO (CRD42021289030). Six databases were searched on 8 November 2021 using terms related to 'WGS', 'population surveillance' and 'economic analysis'. Quality was assessed with the Drummond-Jefferson checklist. Following data extraction, a narrative synthesis approach was taken. Six hundred and eighty-one articles were identified, of which 49 proceeded to full-text screening, with 9 selected for inclusion. All had been published since 2019. Heterogeneity was high. Five studies assessed WGS for hospital surveillance and four analysed foodborne pathogens. Four were cost-benefit analyses, one was a cost-utility analysis, one was a cost-effectiveness analysis, one was a combined cost-effectiveness and cost-utility analysis, one combined cost-effectiveness and cost-benefit analyses and one was a partial analysis. All studies supported the use of WGS as a surveillance tool on economic grounds. The available evidence supports the use of WGS for pathogen surveillance but is limited by marked heterogeneity. Further work should include analysis relevant to low- and middle-income countries and should use real-world effectiveness data.

Bedaquiline resistance probability to guide treatment decision making for rifampicin-resistant tuberculosis: insights from a qualitative study

BACKGROUND

Bedaquiline (BDQ) is a core drug for rifampicin-resistant tuberculosis (RR-TB) treatment. Accurate prediction of a BDQ-resistant phenotype from genomic data is not yet possible. A Bayesian method to predict BDQ resistance probability from next-generation sequencing data has been proposed as an alternative.

METHODS

We performed a qualitative study to investigate the decision-making of physicians when facing different levels of BDQ resistance probability. Fourteen semi-structured interviews were conducted with physicians experienced in treating RR-TB, sampled purposefully from eight countries with varying income levels and burden of RR-TB. Five simulated patient scenarios were used as a trigger for discussion. Factors influencing the decision of physicians to prescribe BDQ at macro-, meso- and micro levels were explored using thematic analysis.

RESULTS

The perception and interpretation of BDQ resistance probability values varied widely between physicians. The limited availability of other RR-TB drugs and the high cost of BDQ hindered physicians from altering the BDQ-containing regimen and incorporating BDQ resistance probability in their decision-making. The little experience with BDQ susceptibility testing and whole-genome sequencing results, and the discordance between phenotypic susceptibility and resistance probability were other barriers for physicians to interpret the resistance probability estimates. Especially for BDQ resistance probabilities between 25% and 70%, physicians interpreted the resistance probability value dynamically, and other factors such as clinical and bacteriological treatment response, history of exposure to BDQ, and resistance profile were often considered more important than the BDQ probability value for the decision to continue or stop BDQ. In this grey zone, some physicians opted to continue BDQ but added other drugs to strengthen the regimen.

CONCLUSIONS

This study highlights the complexity of physicians' decision-making regarding the use of BDQ in RR-TB regimens for different levels of BDQ resistance probability.. Ensuring sufficient access to BDQ and companion drugs, improving knowledge of the genotype-phenotype association for BDQ resistance, availability of a rapid molecular test, building next-generation sequencing capacity, and developing a clinical decision support system incorporating BDQ resistance probability will all be essential to facilitate the implementation of BDQ resistance probability in personalizing treatment for patients with RR-TB.

The 2021 WHO catalogue of Mycobacterium tuberculosis complex mutations associated with drug resistance: A genotypic analysis

Background

Molecular diagnostics are considered the most promising route to achieving rapid, universal drug susceptibility testing for Mycobacterium tuberculosiscomplex (MTBC). We aimed to generate a WHO endorsed catalogue of mutations to serve as a global standard for interpreting molecular information for drug resistance prediction.

Methods

A candidate gene approach was used to identify mutations as associated with resistance, or consistent with susceptibility, for 13 WHO endorsed anti-tuberculosis drugs. 38,215 MTBC isolates with paired whole-genome sequencing and phenotypic drug susceptibility testing data were amassed from 45 countries. For each mutation, a contingency table of binary phenotypes and presence or absence of the mutation computed positive predictive value, and Fisher's exact tests generated odds ratios and Benjamini-Hochberg corrected p-values. Mutations were graded as Associated with Resistance if present in at least 5 isolates, if the odds ratio was >1 with a statistically significant corrected p-value, and if the lower bound of the 95% confidence interval on the positive predictive value for phenotypic resistance was >25%. A series of expert rules were applied for final confidence grading of each mutation.

Findings

15,667 associations were computed for 13,211 unique mutations linked to one or more drugs. 1,149/15,667 (7·3%) mutations were classified as associated with phenotypic resistance and 107/15,667 (0·7%) were deemed consistent with susceptibility. For rifampicin, isoniazid, ethambutol, fluoroquinolones, and streptomycin, the mutations' pooled sensitivity was >80%. Specificity was over 95% for all drugs except ethionamide (91·4%), moxifloxacin (91·6%) and ethambutol (93·3%). Only two resistance mutations were classified for bedaquiline, delamanid, clofazimine, and linezolid as prevalence of phenotypic resistance was low for these drugs.

Interpretation

This first WHO endorsed catalogue of molecular targets for MTBC drug susceptibility testing provides a global standard for resistance interpretation. Its existence should encourage the implementation of molecular diagnostics by National Tuberculosis Programmes.

Funding

UNITAID, Wellcome, MRC, BMGF.