Predicting mortality and readmission based on chief complaint in emergency department patients: a cohort study

Decrease of haemoconcentration reliably detects hydrostatic pulmonary oedema in dyspnoeic patients in the emergency department - a machine learning approach

BACKGROUND

Haemoglobin variation (ΔHb) induced by fluid transfer through the intestitium has been proposed as a useful tool for detecting hydrostatic pulmonary oedema (HPO). However, its use in the emergency department (ED) setting still needs to be determined.

METHODS

In this observational retrospective monocentric study, ED patients admitted for acute dyspnoea were enrolled. Hb values were recorded both at ED presentation (T0) and after 4 to 8 h (T1). ΔHb between T1 and T0 (ΔHbT1-T0) was calculated as absolute and relative value. Two investigators, unaware of Hb values, defined the cause of dyspnoea as HPO and non-HPO. ΔHbT1-T0 ability to detect HPO was evaluated. A machine learning approach was used to develop a predictive tool for HPO, by considering the ability of ΔHb as covariate, together with baseline patient characteristics.

RESULTS

Seven-hundred-and-six dyspnoeic patients (203 HPO and 503 non-HPO) were enrolled over 19 months. Hb levels were significantly different between HPO and non-HPO patients both at T0 and T1 (p < 0.001). ΔHbT1-T0 were more pronounced in HPO than non-HPO patients, both as relative (-8.2 [-11.2 to -5.6] vs. 0.6 [-2.1 to 3.3] %) and absolute (-1.0 [-1.4 to -0.8] vs. 0.1 [-0.3 to 0.4] g/dL) values (p < 0.001). A relative ΔHbT1-T0 of -5% detected HPO with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) of 0.901 [0.896-0.906]. Among the considered models, Gradient Boosting Machine showed excellent predictive ability in identifying HPO patients and was used to create a web-based application. ΔHbT1-T0 was confirmed as the most important covariate for HPO prediction.

CONCLUSIONS

ΔHbT1-T0 in patients admitted for acute dyspnoea reliably identifies HPO in the ED setting. The machine learning predictive tool may represent a performing and clinically handy tool for confirming HPO.

Effect of a Point-of-Care Ultrasound-Driven vs Standard Diagnostic Pathway on 24-Hour Hospital Stay in Emergency Department Patients with Dyspnea-Protocol for A Randomized Controlled Trial

Purpose

Point-of-care ultrasound (POCUS) helps emergency department (ED) physicians make prompt and appropriate decisions, but the optimal diagnostic integration and potential clinical benefits remain unclear. We describe the protocol and statistical analysis plan for a randomized controlled trial. The objective is to determine the effect of a POCUS-driven diagnostic pathway in adult dyspneic ED patients on the proportion of patients having a hospital stay of less than 24 hours when compared to the standard diagnostic pathway.

Patients and Methods

This is a multicenter, randomized, investigator-initiated, open-labeled, pragmatic, controlled trial. Adult ED patients with chief complaint dyspnea are eligible. Patients are randomized (1:1) to the POCUS-driven diagnostic pathway or standard diagnostic pathway, with 337 patients in each group. The primary outcome is the proportion of patients having a hospital stay (from ED arrival to hospital discharge) of less than 24 hours. Key secondary outcomes include hospital length-of-stay, 72-hour revisits, and 30-day hospital-free days.

Conclusion

Sparse evidence exists for any clinical benefit from a POCUS-integrated diagnostic pathway. The results from this trial will help clarify the promising signals for POCUS to influence patient care among ED patients with dyspnea.

The Use of High-Flow Nasal Cannula in the Emergency Department and a Comparison of Its Efficacy With Noninvasive Ventilation

BACKGROUND

 High-flow nasal cannula (HFNC) oxygenation has emerged as a convenient and handy oxygenation mode over the past few years, especially during the COVID-19 pandemic. HFNC is designed to provide humidified oxygen at high flow rates to subjects in a much more patient-compliant method. Noninvasive ventilation (NIV) has been a powerful tool in treating dyspneic patients of different etiologies, yielding positive outcomes over many decades. HFNC has the potential to serve as an alternative to NIV for acutely breathless patients, offering better patient compliance.

METHODS

 A prospective observational study was conducted with a population size of 100 patients. The patients were randomly assigned to HFNC and NIV groups and further compared based on the clinical criteria, arterial oxygen pressure (PaO2)/fraction of inspired oxygen (FiO2) ratios, and modified Borg score. Simple proportions, mean, standard deviation, and chi-square tests were used. The chi-square test was applied to determine the association between the two attributes.

RESULTS

 Both HFNC and NIV subset populations have shown substantial improvement in their clinical criteria in terms of respiratory rate, heart rate, oxygen saturation, PaO2/FiO2 ratios, and modified Borg score over two and six hours with statistically significant improvement in oxygen saturations among HFNC subset in comparison to NIV subset (at two hours, p = 0.004; at six hours, p = 0.022). Secondary outcomes like the need for intubation (14% in HFNC, 22% in NIV) and mortality (4% in HFNC, 6% in NIV group) were noted, which were statistically insignificant in comparing their efficacy.

CONCLUSION

 The study concluded that HFNC resulted in better clinical parameters than NIV, but the difference was statistically insignificant except for oxygen saturation. Similarly, HFNC resulted in a decreased need for intubation and less mortality compared to NIV.

Precision emergency medicine

BACKGROUND

Precision health is a burgeoning scientific discipline that aims to incorporate individual variability in biological, behavioral, and social factors to develop personalized health solutions. To date, emergency medicine has not deeply engaged in the precision health movement. However, rapid advances in health technology, data science, and medical informatics offer new opportunities for emergency medicine to realize the promises of precision health.

METHODS

In this article, we conceptualize precision emergency medicine as an emerging paradigm and identify key drivers of its implementation into current and future clinical practice. We acknowledge important obstacles to the specialty-wide adoption of precision emergency medicine and offer solutions that conceive a successful path forward.

RESULTS

Precision emergency medicine is defined as the use of information and technology to deliver acute care effectively, efficiently, and authentically to individual patients and their communities. Key drivers and opportunities include leveraging human data, capitalizing on technology and digital tools, providing deliberate access to care, advancing population health, and reimagining provider education and roles. Overcoming challenges in equity, privacy, and cost is essential for success. We close with a call to action to proactively incorporate precision health into the clinical practice of emergency medicine, the training of future emergency physicians, and the research agenda of the specialty.

CONCLUSIONS

Precision emergency medicine leverages new technology and data-driven artificial intelligence to advance diagnostic testing, individualize patient care plans and therapeutics, and strategically refine the convergence of the health system and the community.

Chief complaints and computed tomography results in the emergency department: a three-year retrospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

Computed tomography (CT) is frequently performed in the patients who admitted to the emergency department (ED), discharged but returned to ED within 72 h. It is unknown whether the main complaints of patients assist physicians to use CT effectively. This study aimed to find the association between chief complaints and the CT results.

METHODS

This three-year retrospective cohort study was conducted in the ED of a tertiary medical center. Adult patients who returned to the ED after the index visit were included from 2019 to 2021. Demographics, pre-existing diseases, chief complaints, and CT region were recorded by independent ED physicians. A logistic regression model with an odds ratio (OR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) was used to determine the relationship between chief complaints and positive CT results.

RESULTS

In total, 7,699 patients revisited ED after the index visit; 1,202 (15.6%) received CT. The top chief complaints in patients who received CT were abdominal pain, dizziness, and muscle weakness. Patients with abdominal pain or gastrointestinal symptoms had a significantly higher rate of positive abdominopelvic CT than those without it (OR 2.83, 95% CI 1.98-4.05, p < 0.001), while the central nervous system and cardiopulmonary chief complaints were not associated (or negatively associated) with new positive CT findings.

CONCLUSION

Chief complaints of patients on revisit to the ED are associated with different yields of new findings when CT scans of the chest, abdomen and head are performed. Physicians should consider these differential likelihoods of new positive findings based on these data.

Estimation of racial and language disparities in pediatric emergency department triage using statistical modeling and natural language processing

OBJECTIVES

The study aims to assess racial and language disparities in pediatric emergency department (ED) triage using analytical techniques and provide insights into the extent and nature of the disparities in the ED setting.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

The study analyzed a cross-sectional dataset encompassing ED visits from January 2019 to April 2021. The study utilized analytical techniques, including K-mean clustering (KNN), multivariate adaptive regression splines (MARS), and natural language processing (NLP) embedding. NLP embedding and KNN were employed to handle the chief complaints and categorize them into clusters, while the MARS was used to identify significant interactions among the clinical features. The study also explored important variables, including age-adjusted vital signs. Multiple logistic regression models with varying specifications were developed to assess the robustness of analysis results.

RESULTS

The study consistently found that non-White children, especially African American (AA) and Hispanic, were often under-triaged, with AA children having >2 times higher odds of receiving lower acuity scores compared to White children. While the results are generally consistent, incorporating relevant variables modified the results for specific patient groups (eg, Asians).

DISCUSSION

By employing a comprehensive analysis methodology, the study checked the robustness of the analysis results on racial and language disparities in pediatric ED triage. The study also recognized the significance of analytical techniques in assessing pediatric health conditions and analyzing disparities.

CONCLUSION

The study's findings highlight the significant need for equal and fair assessment and treatment in the pediatric ED, regardless of their patients' race and language.

Cardiac Troponin T and NT-proBNP for Prediction of 30-Day Readmission or Death in Patients with Acute Dyspnea: Data from the Akershus Cardiac Examination 2 Study

INTRODUCTION

N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) and cardiac troponin T (cTnT) measurements are recommended in patients with acute dyspnea. We aimed to assess the prognostic merit of cTnT compared to NT-proBNP for 30-day readmission or death in patients hospitalized with acute dyspnea.

METHODS

We measured cTnT and NT-proBNP within 24 h in 314 patients hospitalized with acute dyspnea and adjudicated the cause of the index admission. Time to first event of readmission or death ≤30 days after hospital discharge was recorded, and cTnT and NT-proBNP measurements were compared head-to-head.

RESULTS

Patients who died (12/314) or were readmitted (71/314) within 30 days had higher cTnT concentrations (median: 32.6, Q1-Q3: 18.4-74.2 ng/L vs. median: 19.4, Q1-Q3: 8.4-36.1 ng/L; p for comparison <0.001) and NT-proBNP concentrations (median: 1,753.6, Q1-Q3: 464.2-6,862.0 ng/L vs. median 984, Q1-Q3 201-3,600 ng/L; for comparison p = 0.027) compared to patients who survived and were not readmitted. cTnT concentrations were associated with readmission or death within 30 days after discharge both in the total cohort (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR]: 1.64, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.30-2.05) and in patients with heart failure (HF) (aHR: 1.58, 95% CI: 1.14-2.18). In contrast, NT-proBNP concentrations were not associated with short-term events, neither in the total cohort (aHR: 1.10, 95% CI: 0.94-1.30) nor in patients with adjudicated HF (aHR: 1.06, 95% CI: 0.80-1.40).

CONCLUSION

cTnT concentrations are associated with 30-day readmission or death in patients hospitalized with acute dyspnea, as well as in patients adjudicated HF.

Acute dyspnea in the emergency department: a clinical review

Acute dyspnea represents one of the most frequent symptoms leading to emergency room evaluation. Its significant prognostic value warrants a careful evaluation. The differential diagnosis of dyspnea is complex due to the lack of specificity and the loose association between its intensity and the severity of the underlying pathological condition. The initial assessment of dyspnea calls for prompt diagnostic evaluation and identification of optimal monitoring strategy and provides information useful to allocate the patient to the most appropriate setting of care. In recent years, accumulating evidence indicated that lung ultrasound, along with echocardiography, represents the first rapid and non-invasive line of assessment that accurately differentiates heart, lung or extra-pulmonary involvement in patients with dyspnea. Moreover, non-invasive respiratory support modalities such as high-flow nasal oxygen and continuous positive airway pressure have aroused major clinical interest, in light of their efficacy and practicality to treat patients with dyspnea requiring ventilatory support, without using invasive mechanical ventilation. This clinical review is focused on the pathophysiology of acute dyspnea, on its clinical presentation and evaluation, including ultrasound-based diagnostic workup, and on available non-invasive modalities of respiratory support that may be required in patients with acute dyspnea secondary or associated with respiratory failure.

Point-of-care ultrasound improves clinical outcomes in patients with acute onset dyspnea: a systematic review and meta-analysis

The early, appropriate management of acute onset dyspnea is important but often challenging. The aim of this study was to investigate the effects of the use of Point-of-Care Ultrasound (PoCUS) versus conventional management on clinical outcomes in patients with acute onset dyspnea. The Cochrane Library, MEDLINE, EMBASE and reference lists were searched to identify eligible trials (inception to October 14, 2021). There were no language restrictions. Randomized controlled trials (RCTs), and prospective and retrospective cohort studies that compared PoCUS with conventional diagnostic modalities (controls) in patients with acute onset dyspnea were included. Two independent reviewers extracted data and assessed the risk of bias. Disagreements were resolved by consensus. The primary study outcomes were time to diagnosis, time to treatment, and length of stay (LOS). Secondary outcomes included rate of appropriate treatment, 30-day re-admission rate, and mortality. We included eight RCTs and six observational studies with a total of 5393 participants. Heterogeneity across studies was variable (from low to considerable), with overall low or moderate study quality and low or moderate risk of bias (except one article with serious risk of bias). Time to diagnosis (mean difference [MD], - 63 min; 95% CI, - 115 to - 11 min] and time to treatment (MD, - 27 min; 95% CI - 43 to - 11 min) were significantly shorter in the PoCUS group. In-hospital LOS showed no differences between the two groups, but LOS in the Intensive Care Unit (MD, - 1.27 days; - 1.94 to - 0.61 days) was significantly shorter in the PoCUS group. Patients in the PoCUS group showed significantly higher odds of receiving appropriate therapy compared to controls (odds ratio [OR], 2.31; 95% CI, 1.61-3.32), but there was no significant effect on 30-day re-admission rate and in-hospital or 30-day mortality. Our results indicate that PoCUS use contributes to early diagnosis and better outcomes compared to conventional methods in patients admitted with acute onset dyspnea.