Can Current Preoperative Imaging Be Used to Detect Microvascular Invasion of Hepatocellular Carcinoma?

Alpha-fetoprotein combined with initial tumor shape irregularity in predicting the survival of patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma treated with immune-checkpoint inhibitors: a retrospective multi-center cohort study

BACKGROUND

Immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) are playing a significant role in the treatment of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). This study aims to explore the prognostic value of alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) and initial tumor shape irregularity in patients treated with ICIs.

METHODS

In this retrospective, multi-center study, 296 HCC patients were randomly divided into the training set and the validation set in a 3:2 ratio. The training set was used to evaluate prognostic factors and to develop an easily applicable ATSI (AFP and Tumor Shape Irregularity) score, which was verified in the validation set.

RESULTS

The ATSI score was developed from two independent prognostic risk factors: baseline AFP ≥ 400 ng/ml (HR 1.73, 95% CI 1.01-2.96, P = 0.046) and initial tumor shape irregularity (HR 1.94, 95% CI 1.03-3.65, P = 0.041). The median overall survival (OS) was not reached (95% CI 28.20-NA) in patients who met no criteria (0 points), 25.8 months (95% CI 14.17-NA) in patients who met one criterion (1 point), and 17.03 months (95% CI 11.73-23.83) in patients who met two criteria (2 points) (P = 0.001). The median progression-free survival (PFS) was 10.83 months (95% CI 9.27-14.33) for 0 points, 8.03 months (95% CI 6.77-10.57) for 1 point, and 5.03 months (95% CI 3.83-9.67) for 2 points (P < 0.001). The validation set effectively verified these results (median OS, 37.43/24.27/14.03 months for 0/1/2 points, P = 0.028; median PFS, 13.93/8.30/4.90 months for 0/1/2 points, P < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

The ATSI score can effectively predict prognosis in HCC patients receiving ICIs.

MRI-based intra-tumoral ecological diversity features and temporal characteristics for predicting microvascular invasion in hepatocellular carcinoma

Objective

To investigate the predictive value of radiomics models based on intra-tumoral ecological diversity (iTED) and temporal characteristics for assessing microvascular invasion (MVI) in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

Material and Methods

We retrospectively analyzed the data of 398 HCC patients who underwent dynamic contrast-enhanced MRI with Gd-EOB-DTPA (training set: 318; testing set: 80). The tumors were segmented into five distinct habitats using case-level clustering and a Gaussian mixture model was used to determine the optimal clusters based on the Bayesian information criterion to produce an iTED feature vector for each patient, which was used to assess intra-tumoral heterogeneity. Radiomics models were developed using iTED features from the arterial phase (AP), portal venous phase (PVP), and hepatobiliary phase (HBP), referred to as MiTED-AP, MiTED-PVP, and MiTED-HBP, respectively. Additionally, temporal features were derived by subtracting the PVP features from the AP features, creating a delta-radiomics model (MDelta). Conventional radiomics features were also extracted from the AP, PVP, and HBP images, resulting in three models: MCVT-AP, MCVT-PVP, and MCVT-HBP. A clinical-radiological model (CR model) was constructed, and two fusion models were generated by combining the radiomics or/and CR models using a stacking algorithm (fusion_R and fusion_CR). Model performance was evaluated using AUC, accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity.

Results

The MDelta model demonstrated higher sensitivity compared to the MCVT-AP and MCVT-PVP models. No significant differences in performance were observed across different imaging phases for either conventional radiomics (p = 0.096-0.420) or iTED features (p = 0.106-0.744). Similarly, for images from the same phase, we found no significant differences between the performance of conventional radiomics and iTED features (AP: p = 0.158; PVP: p = 0.844; HBP: p = 0.157). The fusion_R and fusion_CR models enhanced MVI discrimination, achieving AUCs of 0.823 (95% CI: 0.816-0.831) and 0.830 (95% CI: 0.824-0.835), respectively.

Conclusion

Delta radiomics features are temporal and predictive of MVI, providing additional predictive information for MVI beyond conventional AP and PVP features. The iTED features provide an alternative perspective in interpreting tumor characteristics and hold the potential to replace conventional radiomics features to some extent for MVI prediction.

Predicting Microvascular Invasion and Early Recurrence in Hepatocellular Carcinoma Using DeepLab V3+ Segmentation of Multiregional MR Habitat Images

RATIONALE AND OBJECTIVES

Accurate identification of microvascular invasion (MVI) in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is crucial for treatment and prognosis. Single-modality and feature fusion models using manual segmentation fail to provide insights into MVI. This study aims to develop a DeepLab V3+ model for automated segmentation of HCC magnetic resonance (MR) images and a decision fusion model to predict MVI and early recurrence (ER).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This retrospective study included 209 HCC patients (146 in the training and 63 in the test cohorts). The performance of DeepLab V3+ for HCC MR image segmentation was evaluated using Dice Loss and F1 score. Intraclass correlation coefficients (ICCs) assessed feature extraction reliability. Spearman's correlation analyzed the relationship between tumor volumes from automated and manual segmentation, with agreement evaluated using Bland-Altman plots. Model performance was assessed using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC), calibration curves, and decision curve analysis. A nomogram predicted ER of HCC after surgery, with Kaplan-Meier analysis for 2-year recurrence-free survival (RFS).

RESULTS

The DeepLab V3+ model demonstrated high segmentation accuracy, with strong agreement in feature extraction (ICC: 0.802-0.999). The decision fusion model achieved AUCs of 0.968 and 0.878 for MVI prediction, and the nomogram for predicting ER yielded AUCs of 0.782 and 0.690 in the training and test cohorts, respectively, with significant RFS differences between the risk groups.

CONCLUSION

The DeepLab V3+ model accurately segmented HCC. The decision fusion model significantly improved MVI prediction, and the nomogram offered valuable insights into recurrence risk for clinical decision-making.

AVAILABILITY OF DATA AND MATERIALS

The datasets used and/or analyzed during the current study are available from the corresponding author upon reasonable request.

Impact of microvascular invasion risk on tumor progression of hepatocellular carcinoma after conventional transarterial chemoembolization

OBJECTIVE

To assess tumor progression in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) without macrovascular invasion who underwent treatment with conventional transarterial chemoembolization (cTACE) based on microvascular invasion (MVI) risk within 2 years.

METHODS

This retrospective investigation comprised adult patients with HCC who had either liver resection or cTACE as their first treatment from January 2016 to December 2021. A predictive model for MVI was developed and validated using preoperative clinical and MRI data from patients with HCC treated with liver resection. The MVI predictive model was applied to patients with HCC receiving cTACE, and differences in tumor progression between the MVI high- and low-risk groups were examined throughout 2 years.

RESULTS

The MVI prediction model incorporated nonsmooth margin, intratumoral artery, incomplete or absent tumor capsule, and tumor DWI/T2WI mismatch. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) for the prediction model, in the training cohort, was determined to be 0.904 (95% CI, 0.862-0.946), while in the validation cohort, it was 0.888 (0.782-0.994). Among patients with HCC undergoing cTACE, those classified as high risk for MVI possessed a lower rate of achieving a complete response after the first tumor therapy and a higher risk of tumor progression within 2 years.

CONCLUSIONS

The MVI prediction model developed in this study demonstrates a considerable degree of accuracy. Patients at high risk for MVI who underwent cTACE treatment exhibited a higher risk of tumor progression within 2 years.

Predicting the early therapeutic response to hepatic artery infusion chemotherapy in patients with unresectable HCC using a contrast-enhanced computed tomography-based habitat radiomics model: a multi-center retrospective study

OBJECTIVE

Predicting the therapeutic response before initiation of hepatic artery infusion chemotherapy (HAIC) with fluorouracil, leucovorin, and oxaliplatin (FOLFOX) remains challenging for patients with unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Herein, we investigated the potential of a contrast-enhanced CT-based habitat radiomics model as a novel approach for predicting the early therapeutic response to HAIC-FOLFOX in patients with unresectable HCC.

METHODS

A total of 148 patients with unresectable HCC who received HAIC-FOLFOX combined with targeted therapy or immunotherapy at three tertiary care medical centers were enrolled retrospectively. Tumor habitat features were extracted from subregion radiomics based on CECT at different phases using k-means clustering. Logistic regression was used to construct the model. This CECT-based habitat radiomics model was verified by bootstrapping and compared with a model based on clinical variables. Model performance was evaluated using the area under the curve (AUC) and a calibration curve.

RESULTS

Three intratumoral habitats with high, moderate, and low enhancement were identified to construct a habitat radiomics model for therapeutic response prediction. Patients with a greater proportion of high-enhancement intratumoral habitat showed better therapeutic responses. The AUC of the habitat radiomics model was 0.857 (95% CI: 0.798-0.916), and the bootstrap-corrected concordance index was 0.842 (95% CI: 0.785-0.907), resulting in a better predictive value than the clinical variable-based model, which had an AUC of 0.757 (95% CI: 0.679-0.834).

CONCLUSION

The CECT-based habitat radiomics model is an effective, visualized, and noninvasive tool for predicting the early therapeutic response of patients with unresectable HCC to HAIC-FOLFOX treatment and could guide clinical management and decision-making.

EASL Clinical Practice Guidelines on the management of hepatocellular carcinoma

Liver cancer is the third leading cause of cancer-related deaths worldwide, with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) accounting for approximately 90% of primary liver cancers. Advances in diagnostic and therapeutic tools, along with improved understanding of their application, are transforming patient treatment. Integrating these innovations into clinical practice presents challenges and necessitates guidance. These clinical practice guidelines offer updated advice for managing patients with HCC and provide a comprehensive review of pertinent data. Key updates from the 2018 EASL guidelines include personalised surveillance based on individual risk assessment and the use of new tools, standardisation of liver imaging procedures and diagnostic criteria, use of minimally invasive surgery in complex cases together with updates on the integrated role of liver transplantation, transitions between surgical, locoregional, and systemic therapies, the role of radiation therapies, and the use of combination immunotherapies at various stages of disease. Above all, there is an absolute need for a multiparametric assessment of individual risks and benefits, considering the patient's perspective, by a multidisciplinary team encompassing various specialties.

Predictive value of a constructed artificial neural network model for microvascular invasion in hepatocellular carcinoma: A retrospective study

BACKGROUND

Microvascular invasion (MVI) is a significant risk factor for recurrence and metastasis following hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) surgery. Currently, there is a paucity of preoperative evaluation approaches for MVI.

AIM

To investigate the predictive value of texture features and radiological signs based on multiparametric magnetic resonance imaging in the non-invasive preoperative prediction of MVI in HCC.

METHODS

Clinical data from 97 HCC patients were retrospectively collected from January 2019 to July 2022 at our hospital. Patients were classified into two groups: MVI-positive (n = 57) and MVI-negative (n = 40), based on postoperative pathological results. The correlation between relevant radiological signs and MVI status was analyzed. MaZda4.6 software and the mutual information method were employed to identify the top 10 dominant texture features, which were combined with radiological signs to construct artificial neural network (ANN) models for MVI prediction. The predictive performance of the ANN models was evaluated using area under the curve, sensitivity, and specificity. ANN models with relatively high predictive performance were screened using the DeLong test, and the regression model of multilayer feedforward ANN with backpropagation and error backpropagation learning method was used to evaluate the models' stability.

RESULTS

The absence of a pseudocapsule, an incomplete pseudocapsule, and the presence of tumor blood vessels were identified as independent predictors of HCC MVI. The ANN model constructed using the dominant features of the combined group (pseudocapsule status + tumor blood vessels + arterial phase + venous phase) demonstrated the best predictive performance for MVI status and was found to be automated, highly operable, and very stable.

CONCLUSION

The ANN model constructed using the dominant features of the combined group can be recommended as a non-invasive method for preoperative prediction of HCC MVI status.

Correlation Between Dynamic Contrast-Enhanced CT Imaging Signs and Differentiation Grade and Microvascular Invasion of Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Objective

This study aimed to investigate how dynamic contrast-enhanced CT imaging signs correlate with the differentiation grade and microvascular invasion (MVI) of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), and to assess their predictive value for MVI when combined with clinical characteristics.

Methods

We conducted a retrospective analysis of clinical data from 232 patients diagnosed with HCC at our hospital between 2021 and 2022. All patients underwent preoperative enhanced CT scans, laboratory tests, and postoperative pathological examinations. Among the 232 patients, 89 were identified as MVI-positive and 143 as MVI-negative. Regarding tumor differentiation, 56 patients were well-differentiated, 145 moderately, and 31 poorly. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was employed to establish a prediction model for variables showing significant differences. Additionally, the diagnostic performance of various indicators were evaluated using ROC analysis.

Results

Among the qualitative data, significant differences (P<0.05) were observed between the MVI-positive and MVI-negative groups in 5 items such as peritumoral enhancement. In terms of quantitative data, the MVI-positive group exhibited higher maximum tumor length, AST, ALT, AFP levels and the ALBI score (P<0.05). Conversely, CT values in the arterial phase (AP), portal venous phase (PVP), and PT levels were lower in the MVI-positive group (P<0.05). Multivariate Logistic regression analysis identified ALBI score, PT level, CT value in PVP, and tumor capsule as independent risk factors for MVI occurrence (AUC: 0.71, 0.58, 0.66, and 0.60). The combined diagnostic AUC value was 0.82 (95% CI: 0.76-0.87). Significant differences were found among different differentiation grade groups in 10 items such as non-smooth tumor margin (P<0.05).

Conclusion

Preoperative dynamic contrast-enhanced CT examination in patients with HCC can be utilized to predict the presence of MVI. When combined with clinical characteristics, these imaging signs demonstrate good predictive performance for MVI status. Furthermore, this approach has significant implications for determining the differentiation grade of tumors.

Development of a Better Nomogram for Prediction of Preoperative Microvascular Invasion and Postoperative Prognosis in Hepatocellular Carcinoma Patients: A Comparison Study

OBJECTIVE

Personalized precision medicine can be facilitated by clinically available preoperative microvascular invasion (MVI) prediction models that are reliable and postoperative MVI pathological grade-related recurrence prediction models that are accurate. In this study, we aimed to compare different mathematical models to derive the best preoperative prediction and postoperative recurrence prediction models for MVI.

METHODS

A total of 143 patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) whose clinical, laboratory, imaging, and pathological data were available were included in the analysis. Logistic regression, Cox proportional hazards regression, LASSO regression with 10-fold cross-validation, stepwise regression, and random forest methods were used for variable screening and predictive modeling. The accuracy and validity of seven preoperative MVI prediction models and five postoperative recurrence prediction models were compared in terms of C-index, net reclassification improvement, and integrated discrimination improvement.

RESULTS

Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that a preoperative nomogram model with the variables cirrhosis diagnosis, alpha-fetoprotein > 400, and diameter, shape, and number of lesions can predict MVI in patients with HCC reliably. Postoperatively, a nomogram model with MVI grade, number of lesions, capsule involvement status, macrovascular invasion, and shape as the variables was selected after LASSO regression and 10-fold cross-validation analysis to accurately predict the prognosis for different MVI grades. The number and shape of the lesions were the most common predictors of MVI preoperatively and recurrence postoperatively.

CONCLUSIONS

Our study identified the best statistical approach for the prediction of preoperative MVI as well as postoperative recurrence in patients with HCC based on clinical, imaging, and laboratory tests results. This could expedite preoperative treatment decisions and facilitate postoperative management.

Preoperative detection of hepatocellular carcinoma's microvascular invasion on CT-scan by machine learning and radiomics: A preliminary analysis

INTRODUCTION

Microvascular invasion (MVI) is the main risk factor for overall mortality and recurrence after surgery for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).The aim was to train machine-learning models to predict MVI on preoperative CT scan.

METHODS

3-phases CT scans were retrospectively collected among 4 Italian centers. DICOM files were manually segmented to detect the liver and the tumor(s). Radiomics features were extracted from the tumoral, peritumoral and healthy liver areas in each phase. Principal component analysis (PCA) was performed to reduce the dimensions of the dataset. Data were divided between training (70%) and test (30%) sets. Random-Forest (RF), fully connected MLP Artificial neural network (neuralnet) and extreme gradient boosting (XGB) models were fitted to predict MVI. Prediction accuracy was estimated in the test set.

RESULTS

Between 2008 and 2022, 218 preoperative CT scans were collected. At the histological specimen, 72(33.02%) patients had MVI. First and second order radiomics features were extracted, obtaining 672 variables. PCA selected 58 dimensions explaining >95% of the variance.In the test set, the XGB model obtained Accuracy = 68.7% (Sens: 38.1%, Spec: 83.7%, PPV: 53.3% and NPV: 73.4%). The neuralnet showed an Accuracy = 50% (Sens: 52.3%, Spec: 48.8%, PPV: 33.3%, NPV: 67.7%). RF was the best performer (Acc = 96.8%, 95%CI: 0.91-0.99, Sens: 95.2%, Spec: 97.6%, PPV: 95.2% and NPV: 97.6%).

CONCLUSION

Our model allowed a high prediction accuracy of the presence of MVI at the time of HCC diagnosis. This could lead to change the treatment allocation, the surgical extension and the follow-up strategy for those patients.

Development and validation of a cross-modality tensor fusion model using multi-modality MRI radiomics features and clinical radiological characteristics for the prediction of microvascular invasion in hepatocellular carcinoma

OBJECTIVES

To develop and validate a cross-modality tensor fusion (CMTF) model using multi-modality MRI radiomics features and clinical radiological characteristics for the prediction of microvascular invasion (MVI) in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This study included 174 HCC patients (47 MVI-positive and 127 MVI-negative) confirmed by postoperative pathology. The synthetic minority over-sampling technique was used to augment MVI-positive samples. The amplified dataset of 254 samples (127 MVI-positive and 127 MVI-negative) was randomly divided into training and test cohorts in a 7:3 ratio. Radiomics features were respectively extracted from arterial phase, delayed phase, diffusion-weighted imaging, and fat-suppressed T2-weighted imaging. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator was used for feature selection. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were employed to identify clinical and radiological independent predictors. The selected multi-modality MRI radiomics features, clinical and radiological characteristics were used to construct the CMTF model, single modality (SM) model, early fusion (EF) model.

RESULTS

The CMTF model demonstrated superior performance in predicting MVI compared to the SM and EF models. When integrating four MRI modalities, the CMTF model achieved a high area under the curve (AUC) with 95 % confidence interval (95 % CI) of 0.894 (0.820-0.968). Additionally, incorporating clinical and radiological characteristics further enhanced the predictive performance of CMTF model, the AUC (95 % CI) value increased to 0.945 (0.892-0.998).

CONCLUSION

The CMTF model showed promising performance in preoperative MVI prediction, providing a more effective non-invasive detection tool for HCC patients.

MRI-based prediction of microvascular invasion/high tumor grade and adjuvant therapy benefit for solitary HCC ≤ 5 cm: a multicenter cohort study

OBJECTIVES

To develop and externally validate an MRI-based diagnostic model for microvascular invasion (MVI) or Edmondson-Steiner G3/4 (i.e., high-risk histopathology) in solitary BCLC 0/A hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) ≤ 5 cm and to assess its performance in predicting adjuvant therapy benefits.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This multicenter retrospective cohort study included 577 consecutive adult patients who underwent contrast-enhanced MRI and subsequent curative resection or ablation for solitary BCLC 0/A HCC ≤ 5 cm (December 2011 to January 2024) from four hospitals. For resection-treated patients, a diagnostic model integrating clinical and 50 semantic MRI features was developed against pathology with logistic regression analyses on the training set (center 1) and externally validated on the testing dataset (centers 2-4), with its utilities in predicting posttreatment recurrence-free survival (RFS) and adjuvant therapy benefit evaluated by Cox regression analyses.

RESULTS

Serum α-fetoprotein > 100 ng/mL (odds ratio (OR), 1.94; p = 0.006), non-simple nodular growth subtype (OR, 1.69; p = 0.03), and the VICT2 trait (OR, 4.49; p < 0.001) were included in the MVI or high-grade (MHG) trait, with testing set AUC, sensitivity, and specificity of 0.832, 74.0%, and 82.5%, respectively. In the multivariable Cox analysis, the MHG-positive status was associated with worse RFS (resection testing set HR, 3.55, p = 0.02; ablation HR, 3.45, p < 0.001), and adjuvant therapy was associated with improved RFS only for the MHG-positive patients (resection HR, 0.39, p < 0.001; ablation HR, 0.30, p = 0.005).

CONCLUSION

The MHG trait effectively predicted high-risk histopathology, RFS and adjuvant therapy benefit among patients receiving curative resection or ablation for solitary BCLC 0/A HCC ≤ 5 cm.

KEY POINTS

Question Despite being associated with increased recurrence and potential benefit from adjuvancy in HCC, microvascular invasion or Edmondson-Steiner grade 3/4 are hardly assessable noninvasively. Findings We developed and externally validated an MRI-based model for predicting high-risk histopathology, post-resection/ablation recurrence-free survival, and adjuvant therapy benefit in solitary HCC ≤ 5 cm. Clinical relevance Among patients receiving curative-intent resection or ablation for solitary HCC ≤ 5 cm, noninvasive identification of high-risk histopathology (MVI or high-grade) using our proposed MRI model may help improve individualized prognostication and patient selection for adjuvant therapies.

Noninvasive identification of proliferative hepatocellular carcinoma on multiphase dynamic CT: quantitative and LI-RADS lexicon-based evaluation

OBJECTIVE

To identify proliferative hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) preoperatively using quantitative measurements combined with the updated standard 2021 LI-RADS universal lexicon-based qualitative features on multiphase dynamic CT (MDCT).

METHODS

We retrospectively analyzed 273 patients (102 proliferative HCCs) who underwent preoperative MDCT with surgically confirmed HCC in two medical centers. Imaging features were evaluated according to the updated 2021 LI-RADS universal lexicon, and quantitative measurements were analyzed. All MDCT findings and clinical factors were compared. Four predictive models (clinical, CT quantitative-clinical, CT qualitative-clinical, and combinational models) were developed and validated in an external cohort for identifying proliferative HCC. ROC analysis was used to assess model performances. All models were tested in a subgroup of patients with a single lesion ≤ 5 cm (n = 124).

RESULTS

Both the CT quantitative-clinical and CT qualitative-clinical models effectively identified proliferative HCC in the training and external validation cohorts (all AUCs > 0.79). The combinational model, integrating one clinical (AFP ≥ 200 ng/mL), three qualitative (rim arterial phase hyperenhancement (APHE), non-smooth tumor margin, and incomplete or absent capsule), and one quantitative feature (standardized tumor-to-aorta density ratio in portal venous phase ≤ (- 0.13), showed significant improvement in the training cohort (AUC 0.871) and comparable performance in the validation cohort (AUC 0.870). Additionally, AFP ≥ 200 ng/mL and Rim APHE were significantly associated with HCC recurrence (p < 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

The combinational model, integrating clinical, CT quantitative, and qualitative features, shows potential for the noninvasively preoperative prediction of proliferative HCC. Further validation is needed to establish its broader clinical utility.

KEY POINTS

Question Preoperative identification of proliferative HCC could influence patient treatment and prognosis, yet there is no CT-based universally applicable model to identify this subtype. Findings The updated standard 2021 LI-RADS universal lexicon-based features, in combination with quantitative MDCT measurements, could aid in the noninvasive detection of proliferative HCC. Clinical relevance The updated standard 2021 LI-RADS universal lexicon-based CT qualitative features and quantitative measurements may aid in identifying proliferative HCC and tumor recurrence, offering potential guidance for personalized treatment. Further studies are required to assess their generalizability to different clinical scenarios.

Virtual MR Elastography and Multi-b-value DWI Models for Predicting Microvascular Invasion in Solitary BCLC Stage A Hepatocellular Carcinoma

RATIONALE AND OBJECTIVES

To evaluate the performance of virtual MR elastography (vMRE) for predicting microvascular invasion (MVI) in Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) stage A (≤ 5.0 cm) hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and to construct a combined nomogram based on vMRE, multi-b-value DWI models, and clinical-radiological (CR) features.

METHODS

Consecutive patients with suspected HCC who underwent multi-b-value DWI examinations were prospectively collected. Quantitative parameters from vMRE, mono-exponential, intravoxel incoherent motion, and diffusion kurtosis imaging models were obtained. Multivariate logistic regression was used to identify independent MVI predictors and build prediction models. A combined MRI_Score was constructed using independent quantitative parameters. A visualized nomogram was built based on significant CR features and MRI_Score. The predictive performance of quantitative parameters and models was evaluated.

RESULTS

The study included 103 patients (median age: 56 years; range: 35-70 years; 87 males and 16 females). Diffusion-based shear modulus (μDiff) exhibited a predictive performance for MVI with area under the curve (AUC) of 0.735. The MRI_Score was developed employing true diffusion coefficient (D), mean kurtosis (MK), and μDiff. CR model and MRI_Score achieved AUCs of 0.787 and 0.840, respectively. The combined nomogram based on AFP, corona enhancement, tumor capsule, TTPVI, and MRI_Score significantly improved the predictive performance to an AUC of 0.931 (Delong test p < 0.05).

CONCLUSION

vMRE exhibited great potential for predicting MVI in BCLC stage A HCC. The combined nomogram integrating CR features, vMRE, and quantitative diffusion parameters significantly improved the predictive accuracy and could potentially assist clinicians in identifying appropriate treatment options.

Imaging Prognostic Biomarkers in Hepatocellular Carcinoma: A Comprehensive Review

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a leading cause of cancer-related mortality worldwide with its incidence on the rise globally. This paper provides a comprehensive review of prognostic imaging markers in HCC, emphasizing their role in risk stratification and clinical decision-making. We explore quantitative and qualitative criteria derived from imaging studies, such as computed tomography (CT) and magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), which can offer valuable insights into the biological behavior of the tumor. While many of these markers are not yet widely integrated into current clinical guidelines, they represent a promising future direction for approaching this highly heterogeneous cancer. However, standardization and validation of these markers remain important challenges. We conclude by emphasizing the importance of ongoing research to enhance clinical practices and improve outcomes for patients with HCC.

Three-Dimensional Multifrequency MR Elastography for Microvascular Invasion and Prognosis Assessment in Hepatocellular Carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Pretreatment identification of microvascular invasion (MVI) in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is important when selecting treatment strategies.

PURPOSE

To improve models for predicting MVI and recurrence-free survival (RFS) by developing nomograms containing three-dimensional (3D) MR elastography (MRE).

STUDY TYPE

Prospective.

POPULATION

188 patients with HCC, divided into a training cohort (n = 150) and a validation cohort (n = 38). In the training cohort, 106/150 patients completed a 2-year follow-up.

FIELD STRENGTH/SEQUENCE

1.5T 3D multifrequency MRE with a single-shot spin-echo echo planar imaging sequence, and 3.0T multiparametric MRI (mp-MRI), consisting of diffusion-weighted echo planar imaging, T2-weighted fast spin echo, in-phase out-of-phase T1-weighted fast spoiled gradient-recalled dual-echo and dynamic contrast-enhanced gradient echo sequences.

ASSESSMENT

Multivariable analysis was used to identify the independent predictors for MVI and RFS. Nomograms were constructed for visualization. Models for predicting MVI and RFS were built using mp-MRI parameters and a combination of mp-MRI and 3D MRE predictors.

STATISTICAL TESTS

Student's t-test, Mann-Whitney U test, chi-squared or Fisher's exact tests, multivariable analysis, area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), DeLong test, Kaplan-Meier analysis and log rank tests. P < 0.05 was considered significant.

RESULTS

Tumor c and liver c were independent predictors of MVI and RFS, respectively. Adding tumor c significantly improved the diagnostic performance of mp-MRI (AUC increased from 0.70 to 0.87) for MVI detection. Of the 106 patients in the training cohort who completed the 2-year follow up, 34 experienced recurrence. RFS was shorter for patients with MVI-positive histology than MVI-negative histology (27.1 months vs. >40 months). The MVI predicted by the 3D MRE model yielded similar results (26.9 months vs. >40 months). The MVI and RFS nomograms of the histologic-MVI and model-predicted MVI-positive showed good predictive performance.

DATA CONCLUSION

Biomechanical properties of 3D MRE were biomarkers for MVI and RFS. MVI and RFS nomograms were established.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

2 TECHNICAL EFFICACY: Stage 2.

Gd-EOB-DTPA-enhanced MR imaging features of hepatocellular carcinoma in non-cirrhotic liver

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate clinical, pathological and gadolinium-ethoxybenzyl-diethylenetriamine pentaacetic acid-enhanced magnetic resonance imaging (Gd-EOB-DTPA-enhanced MRI) findings of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in non-cirrhotic livers and compare with HCC in cirrhotic livers.

METHODS

This retrospective study included patients with pathologically confirmed HCC who underwent preoperative Gd-EOB-DTPA-enhanced MRI between January 2015 and October 2021. Propensity scores were utilized to match non-cirrhotic HCCs (NCHCCs) patients with cirrhotic HCCs (CHCCs) patients. The clinical, pathological and MR imaging features of NCHCCs were compared with CHCCs. Correlation between these features and the presence of NCHCCs were analyzed by logistic regression analysis. The predictive efficacy was evaluated using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) was used to compare performance, and the Delong test was used to compare AUCs.

RESULTS

After propensity score matching (1:3), a total of 144 patients with HCCs (36 NCHCCs and 108 CHCCs) were included. NCHCCs were larger in tumor size than CHCCs (P < 0.001, Cohen's d = 0.737). NCHCCs were more common in patients who have hepatitis C (5.6 % vs 1.9 %, P > 0.05) or have no known liver disease (11.1 % vs 0.9 %, P = 0.004), while hepatitis B was more common in CHCC patients (83.3 % vs 97.2 %, P = 0.003). Compared with CHCCs, NCHCCs more frequently demonstrated non-smooth tumor margin (P = 0.001, Cramer's V = 0.273), peri-tumoral hyperintensity (P < 0.05, Cramer's V = 0.185), hyperintense and heterogeneous signals in hepatobiliary phase (HBP) (P < 0.05). CHCCs were more likely to have satellite nodules compared to NCHCCs (33.3 % vs 57.4 %, P < 0.05, Cramer's V = 0.209). Based on the univariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis, the tumor size, non-smooth tumor margin, heterogeneous intensity in HBP and satellite nodule were significantly correlated to NCHCCs (P all <0.05). ROC curve analysis demonstrated that tumor size and non-smooth tumor margin were potential imaging predictors for the diagnosis of NCHCC, with AUC values of 0.715 and 0.639, respectively. The combination of the two imaging features for identifying NCHCC achieved an AUC value of 0.761, with a sensitivity of 0.889 and a specificity of 0.630.

CONCLUSION

NCHCCs were more likely to show larger tumor size, non-smooth tumor margin, peri-tumoral hyperintensity, as well as hyperintense and heterogeneous signals in HBP at Gd-EOB-DTPA-enhanced MR imaging compared with NCHCCs. Tumor size and non-smooth tumor margin in HBP may help to discriminate NCHCCs.

Liver tumor imaging staging: a multi-institutional study of a preoperative staging tool for hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND & AIMS

The current staging system has limitations in preoperatively assessing hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and in precise detailed treatment allocation. This study aims to propose a new Liver Tumor Imaging Staging (LTIS) method for HCC.

METHODS

1295 patients who underwent CT or MRI and curative liver resection during January 2012 and October 2020 were retrospectively recruited from three independent institutions. All images were interpreted by two abdominal and a board-certified radiologist. LTIS was designed to discriminate low-grade (absence of microvascular invasion [MVI] and Edmondson-Steiner grade III/IV), intermediate (MVI + or Edmondson-Steiner grade III/IV but not both) and high-grade HCC (MVI + and Edmondson-Steiner grade III/IV) upon CT and MRI. Model was constructed in 578 derivation cohort (center 1) and validated in internal center 1 test cohort (n = 291), and external center 2 (n = 226) and center 3 (n = 200), respectively. Cronbach's alpha statistics were determined to assess interobserver agreement. Net clinical benefit of LTIS on recurrence-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS) was analyzed with a Cox proportional hazards model.

RESULTS

LTIS shows good inter-reader agreements in both CT and MRI datasets, with a Cronbach's alpha coefficient of 0.86 and 0.85, respectively. In independent test, LTIS achieved agreement of 73.2% (281/384), 18.9% (100/528), and 69.2% (265/383) for determining low, intermediate, and high-grade HCCs with "ground truth" results. In the Cox analysis, LTIS was comparable to "ground truth" grade for predicting RFS (hazards ratio (HR), 1.30 vs. ground truth grade, 1.36 and 1.56) and OS (HR, 1.76 vs. ground truth grade, 2.00 and 3.03) of patients after surgery. In patients conventionally classified as having low-grade tumors (serum α-fetoprotein < 400 ng/mL, stage T1), 47.4% and 35.6% were reclassified as high-grade tumors upon LTIS restaging. The resulting LTIS subgroups showed a significant difference in RFS and OS at Kaplan-Meier analysis (Log-rank test, p < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

LTIS provides a potential noninvasive way to precisely stage HCC using CT and MRI.

Prediction of microvascular invasion in hepatocellular carcinoma with conventional ultrasound, Sonazoid-enhanced ultrasound, and biochemical indicator: a multicenter study

PURPOSE

To develop and validate a preoperative prediction model based on multimodal ultrasound and biochemical indicator for identifying microvascular invasion (MVI) in patients with a single hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) ≤ 5 cm.

METHODS

From May 2022 to November 2023, a total of 318 patients with pathologically confirmed single HCC ≤ 5 cm from three institutions were enrolled. All of them underwent preoperative biochemical, conventional ultrasound (US), and contrast-enhanced ultrasound (CEUS) (Sonazoid, 0.6 mL, bolus injection) examinations. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses on clinical information, biochemical indicator, and US imaging features were performed in the training set to seek independent predictors for MVI-positive. The models were constructed and evaluated using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), calibration curve, and decision curve analysis in both validation and test sets. Subgroup analyses in patients with different liver background and tumor sizes were conducted to further investigate the model's performance.

RESULTS

Logistic regression analyses showed that obscure tumor boundary in B-mode US, intra-tumoral artery in pulsed-wave Doppler US, complete Kupffer-phase agent clearance in Sonazoid-CEUS, and biomedical indicator PIVKA-II were independently correlated with MVI-positive. The combined model comprising all predictors showed the highest AUC, which were 0.937 and 0.893 in the validation and test sets. Good calibration and prominent net benefit were achieved in both sets. No significant difference was found in subgroup analyses.

CONCLUSIONS

The combination of biochemical indicator, conventional US, and Sonazoid-CEUS features could help preoperative MVI prediction in patients with a single HCC ≤ 5 cm.

CRITICAL RELEVANCE STATEMENT

Investigation of imaging features in conventional US, Sonazoid-CEUS, and biochemical indicators showed a significant relation with MVI-positivity in patients with a single HCC ≤ 5 cm, allowing the construction of a model for preoperative prediction of MVI status to help treatment decision making.

KEY POINTS

MVI status is important for patients with a single HCC ≤ 5 cm. The model based on conventional US, Sonazoid-CEUS and PIVKA-II performs best for MVI prediction. The combined model has potential for preoperative prediction of MVI status.

Decision Fusion Model for Predicting Microvascular Invasion in Hepatocellular Carcinoma Based on Multi-MR Habitat Imaging and Machine-Learning Classifiers

RATIONALE AND OBJECTIVES

Accurate prediction of microvascular invasion (MVI) in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is crucial for guiding treatment. This study evaluates and compares the performance of clinicoradiologic, traditional radiomics, deep-learning radiomics, feature fusion, and decision fusion models based on multi-region MR habitat imaging using six machine-learning classifiers.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We retrospectively included 300 HCC patients. The intratumoral and peritumoral regions were segmented into distinct habitats, from which radiomics and deep-learning features were extracted using arterial phase MR images. To reduce feature dimensionality, we applied intra-class correlation coefficient (ICC) analysis, Pearson correlation coefficient (PCC) filtering, and recursive feature elimination (RFE). Based on the selected optimal features, prediction models were constructed using decision tree (DT), K-nearest neighbors (KNN), logistic regression (LR), random forest (RF), support vector machine (SVM), and XGBoost (XGB) classifiers. Additionally, fusion models were developed utilizing both feature fusion and decision fusion strategies. The performance of these models was validated using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC), calibration curves, and decision curve analysis.

RESULTS

The decision fusion model (VOI-Peri10-1) using LR and integrating clinicoradiologic, radiomics, and deep-learning features achieved the highest AUC of 0.808 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.807-0.912) in the test cohort, with good calibration (Hosmer-Lemeshow test, P > 0.050) and clinical net benefit.

CONCLUSION

The LR-based decision fusion model integrating clinicoradiologic, radiomics, and deep-learning features shows promise for preoperative prediction of MVI in HCC, aiding in patient outcome predictions and personalized treatment planning.

Comparison of the diagnostic efficacy between imaging features and iodine density values for predicting microvascular invasion in hepatocellular carcinoma

Background

In recent years, studies have confirmed the predictive capability of spectral computer tomography (CT) in determining microvascular invasion (MVI) in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Discrepancies in the predicted MVI values between conventional CT imaging features and spectral CT parameters necessitate additional validation.

Methods

In this retrospective study, 105 cases of small HCC were reviewed, and participants were divided into MVI-negative (n=53, Male:48 (90.57%); mean age, 59.40 ± 11.79 years) and MVI-positive (n=52, Male:50(96.15%); mean age, 58.74 ± 9.21 years) groups using pathological results. Imaging features and iodine density (ID) obtained from three-phase enhancement spectral CT scans were gathered from all participants. The study evaluated differences in imaging features and ID values of HCC between two groups, assessing their diagnostic accuracy in predicting MVI occurrence in HCC patients. Furthermore, the diagnostic efficacy of imaging features and ID in predicting MVI was compared.

Results

Significant differences were noted in the presence of mosaic architecture, nodule-in-nodule architecture, and corona enhancement between the groups, all with p-values < 0.001. There were also notable disparities in IDs between the two groups across the arterial phase, portal phase, and delayed phases, all with p-values < 0.001. The imaging features of nodule-in-nodule architecture, corona enhancement, and nonsmooth tumor margin demonstrate significant diagnostic efficacy, with area under the curve (AUC) of 0.761, 0.742, and 0.752, respectively. In spectral CT analysis, the arterial, portal, and delayed phase IDs exhibit remarkable diagnostic accuracy in detecting MVI, with AUCs of 0.821, 0.832, and 0.802, respectively. Furthermore, the combined models of imaging features, ID, and imaging features with ID reveal substantial predictive capabilities, with AUCs of 0.846, 0.872, and 0.904, respectively. DeLong test results indicated no statistically significant differences between imaging features and IDs.

Conclusions

Substantial differences were noted in imaging features and ID between the MVI-negative and MVI-positive groups in this study. The ID and imaging features exhibited a robust diagnostic precision in predicting MVI. Additionally, our results suggest that both imaging features and ID showed similar predictive efficacy for MVI.

Intraindividual comparison of prognostic imaging features of HCCs between MRIs with extracellular and hepatobiliary contrast agents

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Accumulating evidence suggests that certain imaging features of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) may have prognostic implications. This study aimed to intraindividually compare MRIs with extracellular contrast agent (ECA-MRI) and hepatobiliary agent (HBA-MRI) for prognostic imaging features of HCC and to compare the prediction of microvascular invasion (MVI) and early recurrence between the two MRIs.

METHODS

The present study included 102 prospectively enrolled at-risk patients (median age, 61.0 years; 83 men) with surgically resected single HCC with both preoperative ECA-MRI and HBA-MRI between July 2019 and June 2023. The McNemar test was used to compare each prognostic imaging feature between the two MRIs. Significant imaging features associated with MVI were identified by multivariable logistic regression analysis, and early recurrence rates (<2 years) were compared between the two MRIs.

RESULTS

The frequencies of prognostic imaging features were not significantly different between the two MRIs (p = .07 to >.99). Non-smooth tumour margin (ECA-MRI, odds ratio [OR] = 5.30; HBA-MRI, OR = 7.07) and peritumoral arterial phase hyperenhancement (ECA-MRI, OR = 4.26; HBA-MRI, OR = 4.43) were independent factors significantly associated with MVI on both MRIs. Two-trait predictor of venous invasion (presence of internal arteries and absence of hypoattenuating halo) on ECA-MRI (OR = 11.24) and peritumoral HBP hypointensity on HBA-MRI (OR = 20.42) were other predictors of MVI. Early recurrence rates of any two or more significant imaging features (49.8% on ECA-MRI vs 51.3% on HBA-MRI, p = .75) were not significantly different between the two MRIs.

CONCLUSION

Prognostic imaging features of HCC may be comparable between ECA-MRI and HBA-MRI.

Development and validation of a digital biopsy model to predict microvascular invasion in hepatocellular carcinoma

Background

Microvascular invasion is a major histopathological risk factor of postoperative recurrence in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma. This study aimed to develop and validate a digital biopsy model using imaging features to predict microvascular invasion before hepatectomy.

Methods

A total of 217 consecutive patients who underwent hepatectomy for resectable hepatocellular carcinoma were enrolled at two tertiary-care reference centers. An imaging-based digital biopsy model was developed and internally validated using logistic regression analysis with adjustments for age, sex, etiology of disease, size and number of lesions.

Results

Three imaging features, i.e., non-smoothness of lesion margin (OR = 16.40), ill-defined pseudocapsula (OR = 4.93), and persistence of intratumoral internal artery (OR = 10.50), were independently associated with microvascular invasion and incorporated into a prediction model. A scoring system with 0 - 3 points was established for the prediction model. Internal validation confirmed an excellent calibration of the model. A cutoff of 2 points indicates a high risk of microvascular invasion (area under the curve 0.87). The overall survival and recurrence-free survival stratified by the risk model was significantly shorter in patients with high risk features of microvascular invasion compared to those patients with low risk of microvascular invasion (overall survival: median 35 vs. 75 months, P = 0.027; recurrence-free survival: median 17 vs. 38 months, P < 0.001)).

Conclusion

A preoperative assessment of microvascular invasion by digital biopsy is reliable, easily applicable, and might facilitate personalized treatment strategies.

Inter-observer reliability and predictive values of triphasic computed tomography for microvascular invasion in hepatocellular carcinoma

Background

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the most frequent primary liver tumor globally and a leading cause of mortality in cirrhotic patients. Our study aimed to estimate the diagnostic performance of triphasic CT and inter-observer reliability in the preoperative detection of microvascular invasion (MVI) in HCC. Two independent radiologists accomplished a retrospective analysis for 99 patients with HCC to assess the CT features for MVI in each lesion. Postoperative histopathology was considered the gold standard.

Results

Multivariate regression analysis revealed that incomplete or absent tumor capsules, presence of TTPV, and absence of hypodense halo were statistically significant independent predictors of MVI. There was excellent agreement among observers in evaluating peritumoral enhancement, identifying intratumoral arteries, hypodense halo, TTPV, and macrovascular invasion. Also, our results revealed moderate agreement in assessing the tumor margin and tumor capsule.

Conclusion

Triphasic CT features of MVI are reliable imaging predictors that may be helpful for standard preoperative interpretation of HCC.

Multimodal imaging-based prediction of recurrence for unresectable HCC after downstage and resection-cohort study

BACKGROUND

Surgical resection (SR) following transarterial chemoembolization (TACE)-based downstaging is a promising treatment for unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (uHCC), and identification of patients at high-risk of postoperative recurrence may assist individualized treatment.

PURPOSE

To develop and externally validate preoperative and postoperative prognostic models integrating multimodal CT and digital subtraction angiography features as well as clinico-therapeutic-pathological features for predicting disease-free survival (DFS) after TACE-based downstaging therapy.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

From March 2008 to August 2022, 488 consecutive patients with Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) A/B uHCC receiving TACE-based downstaging therapy and subsequent SR were included from four tertiary-care hospitals. All CT and digital subtraction angiography images were independently evaluated by two blinded radiologists. In the derivation cohort ( n =390), the XGBoost algorithm was used for feature selection, and Cox regression analysis for developing nomograms for DFS (time from downstaging to postoperative recurrence or death). In the external testing cohort ( n =98), model performances were compared with five major staging systems.

RESULTS

The preoperative nomogram included over three tumors [hazard ratio (HR), 1.42; P =0.003], intratumoral artery (HR, 1.38; P =0.006), TACE combined with tyrosine kinase inhibitor (HR, 0.46; P <0.001) and objective response to downstaging therapy (HR, 1.60; P <0.001); while the postoperative nomogram included over three tumors (HR, 1.43; P =0.013), intratumoral artery (HR, 1.38; P =0.020), TACE combined with tyrosine kinase inhibitor (HR, 0.48; P <0.001), objective response to downstaging therapy (HR, 1.69; P <0.001) and microvascular invasion (HR, 2.20; P <0.001). The testing dataset C-indexes of the preoperative (0.651) and postoperative (0.687) nomograms were higher than all five staging systems (0.472-0.542; all P <0.001). Two prognostically distinct risk strata were identified according to these nomograms (all P <0.001).

CONCLUSION

Based on 488 patients receiving TACE-based downstaging therapy and subsequent SR for BCLC A/B uHCCs, the authors developed and externally validated two nomograms for predicting DFS, with superior performances than five major staging systems and effective survival stratification.

Clinical Nomogram Model for Pre-Operative Prediction of Microvascular Invasion of Hepatocellular Carcinoma before Hepatectomy

Background and Objectives: Microvascular invasion (MVI) significantly impacts recurrence and survival rates after liver resection in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Pre-operative prediction of MVI is crucial in determining the treatment strategy. This study aims to develop a nomogram model to predict the probability of MVI based on clinical features in HCC patients. Materials and Methods: A total of 489 patients with a pathological diagnosis of HCC were enrolled from our hospital. Those registered from 2012-2015 formed the derivation cohort, and those from 2016-2019 formed the validation cohort for pre-operative prediction of MVI. A nomogram model for prediction was created using a regression model, with risk factors derived from clinical and tumor-related features before surgery. Results: Using the nomogram model to predict the odds ratio of MVI before hepatectomy, the AFP, platelet count, GOT/GPT ratio, albumin-alkaline phosphatase ratio, ALBI score, and GNRI were identified as significant variables for predicting MVI. The Youden index scores for each risk variable were 0.287, 0.276, 0.196, 0.185, 0.115, and 0.112, respectively, for the AFP, platelet count, GOT/GPT ratio, AAR, ALBI, and GNRI. The maximum value of the total nomogram scores was 220. An increase in the number of nomogram points indicated a higher probability of MVI occurrence. The accuracy rates ranged from 55.9% to 64.4%, and precision rates ranged from 54.3% to 68.2%. Overall survival rates were 97.6%, 83.4%, and 73.9% for MVI(-) and 80.0%, 71.8%, and 41.2% for MVI(+) (p < 0.001). The prognostic effects of MVI(+) on tumor-free survival and overall survival were poor in both the derivation and validation cohorts. Conclusions: Our nomogram model, which integrates clinical factors, showed reliable calibration for predicting MVI and provides a useful tool enabling surgeons to estimate the probability of MVI before resection. Consequently, surgical strategies and post-operative care programs can be adapted to improve the prognosis of HCC patients where possible.

Dual-energy computed tomography iodine quantification combined with laboratory data for predicting microvascular invasion in hepatocellular carcinoma: a two-centre study

OBJECTIVES

Microvascular invasion (MVI) is a recognized biomarker associated with poorer prognosis in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma. Dual-energy computed tomography (DECT) is a highly sensitive technique that can determine the iodine concentration (IC) in tumour and provide an indirect evaluation of internal microcirculatory perfusion. This study aimed to assess whether the combination of DECT with laboratory data can improve preoperative MVI prediction.

METHODS

This retrospective study enrolled 119 patients who underwent DECT liver angiography at 2 medical centres preoperatively. To compare DECT parameters and laboratory findings between MVI-negative and MVI-positive groups, Mann-Whitney U test was used. Additionally, principal component analysis (PCA) was conducted to determine fundamental components. Mann-Whitney U test was applied to determine whether the principal component (PC) scores varied across MVI groups. Finally, a general linear classifier was used to assess the classification ability of each PC score.

RESULTS

Significant differences were noted (P < .05) in alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) level, normalized arterial phase IC, and normalized portal phase IC between the MVI groups in the primary and validation datasets. The PC1-PC4 accounted for 67.9% of the variance in the primary dataset, with loadings of 24.1%, 16%, 15.4%, and 12.4%, respectively. In both primary and validation datasets, PC3 and PC4 were significantly different across MVI groups, with area under the curve values of 0.8410 and 0.8373, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

The recombination of DECT IC and laboratory features based on varying factor loadings can well predict MVI preoperatively.

ADVANCES IN KNOWLEDGE

Utilizing PCA, the amalgamation of DECT IC and laboratory features, considering diverse factor loadings, showed substantial promise in accurately classifying MVI. There have been limited endeavours to establish such a combination, offering a novel paradigm for comprehending data in related research endeavours.

Preoperative prediction of microvascular invasion risk in hepatocellular carcinoma with MRI: peritumoral versus tumor region

OBJECTIVES

To explore the predictive performance of tumor and multiple peritumoral regions on dynamic contrast-enhanced magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), to identify optimal regions of interest for developing a preoperative predictive model for the grade of microvascular invasion (MVI).

METHODS

A total of 147 patients who were surgically diagnosed with hepatocellular carcinoma, and had a maximum tumor diameter ≤ 5 cm were recruited and subsequently divided into a training set (n = 117) and a testing set (n = 30) based on the date of surgery. We utilized a pre-trained AlexNet to extract deep learning features from seven different regions of the maximum transverse cross-section of tumors in various MRI sequence images. Subsequently, an extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) classifier was employed to construct the MVI grade prediction model, with evaluation based on the area under the curve (AUC).

RESULTS

The XGBoost classifier trained with data from the 20-mm peritumoral region showed superior AUC compared to the tumor region alone. AUC values consistently increased when utilizing data from 5-mm, 10-mm, and 20-mm peritumoral regions. Combining arterial and delayed-phase data yielded the highest predictive performance, with micro- and macro-average AUCs of 0.78 and 0.74, respectively. Integration of clinical data further improved AUCs values to 0.83 and 0.80.

CONCLUSION

Compared with those of the tumor region, the deep learning features of the peritumoral region provide more important information for predicting the grade of MVI. Combining the tumor region and the 20-mm peritumoral region resulted in a relatively ideal and accurate region within which the grade of MVI can be predicted.

CLINICAL RELEVANCE STATEMENT

The 20-mm peritumoral region holds more significance than the tumor region in predicting MVI grade. Deep learning features can indirectly predict MVI by extracting information from the tumor region and directly capturing MVI information from the peritumoral region.

KEY POINTS

We investigated tumor and different peritumoral regions, as well as their fusion. MVI predominantly occurs in the peritumoral region, a superior predictor compared to the tumor region. The peritumoral 20 mm region is reasonable for accurately predicting the three-grade MVI.

MR radiomics to predict microvascular invasion status and biological process in combined hepatocellular carcinoma-cholangiocarcinoma

OBJECTIVES

To establish an MRI-based radiomics model for predicting the microvascular invasion (MVI) status of cHCC-CCA and to investigate biological processes underlying the radiomics model.

METHODS

The study consisted of a retrospective dataset (82 in the training set, 36 in the validation set) and a prospective dataset (25 patients in the test set) from two hospitals. Based on the training set, logistic regression analyses were employed to develop the clinical-imaging model, while radiomic features were extracted to construct a radiomics model. The diagnosis performance was further validated in the validation and test sets. Prognostic aspects of the radiomics model were investigated using the Kaplan-Meier method and log-rank test. Differential gene expression analysis and gene ontology (GO) analysis were conducted to explore biological processes underlying the radiomics model based on RNA sequencing data.

RESULTS

One hundred forty-three patients (mean age, 56.4 ± 10.5; 114 men) were enrolled, in which 73 (51.0%) were confirmed as MVI-positive. The radiomics model exhibited good performance in predicting MVI status, with the area under the curve of 0.935, 0.873, and 0.779 in training, validation, and test sets, respectively. Overall survival (OS) was significantly different between the predicted MVI-negative and MVI-positive groups (median OS: 25 vs 18 months, p = 0.008). Radiogenomic analysis revealed associations between the radiomics model and biological processes involved in regulating the immune response.

CONCLUSION

A robust MRI-based radiomics model was established for predicting MVI status in cHCC-CCA, in which potential prognostic value and underlying biological processes that regulate immune response were demonstrated.

CRITICAL RELEVANCE STATEMENT

MVI is a significant manifestation of tumor invasiveness, and the MR-based radiomics model established in our study will facilitate risk stratification. Furthermore, underlying biological processes demonstrated in the radiomics model will offer valuable insights for guiding immunotherapy strategies.

KEY POINTS

MVI is of prognostic significance in cHCC-CCA, but lacks reliable preoperative assessment. The MRI-based radiomics model predicts MVI status effectively in cHCC-CCA. The MRI-based radiomics model demonstrated prognostic value and underlying biological processes. The radiomics model could guide immunotherapy and risk stratification in cHCC-CCA.

Decision-Tree Models Indicative of Microvascular Invasion on MRI Predict Survival in Patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma Following Tumor Ablation

Purpose

Histological microvascular invasion (MVI) is a risk factor for poor survival and early recurrence in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after surgery. Its prognostic value in the setting of locoregional therapies (LRT), where no tissue samples are obtained, remains unknown. This study aims to establish CT-derived indices indicative of MVI on liver MRI with superior soft tissue contrast and evaluate their association with patient survival after ablation via interstitial brachytherapy (iBT) versus iBT combined with prior conventional transarterial chemoembolization (cTACE).

Patients and Methods

Ninety-five consecutive patients, who underwent ablation via iBT alone (n = 47) or combined with cTACE (n = 48), were retrospectively included between 01/2016 and 12/2017. All patients received contrast-enhanced MRI prior to LRT. Overall (OS), progression-free survival (PFS), and time-to-progression (TTP) were assessed. Decision-tree models to determine Radiogenomic Venous Invasion (RVI) and Two-Trait Predictor of Venous Invasion (TTPVI) on baseline MRI were established, validated on an external test set (TCGA-LIHC), and applied in the study cohorts to investigate their prognostic value for patient survival. Statistics included Fisher's exact and t-test, Kaplan-Meier and cox-regression analysis, area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC-ROC) and Pearson's correlation.

Results

OS, PFS, and TTP were similar in both treatment groups. In the external dataset, RVI showed low sensitivity but relatively high specificity (AUC-ROC = 0.53), and TTPVI high sensitivity but only low specificity (AUC-ROC = 0.61) for histological MVI. In patients following iBT alone, positive RVI and TTPVI traits were associated with poorer OS (RVI: p < 0.01; TTPVI: p = 0.08), PFS (p = 0.04; p = 0.04), and TTP (p = 0.14; p = 0.03), respectively. However, when patients with combined cTACE and iBT were stratified by RVI or TTPVI, no differences in OS (p = 0.75; p = 0.55), PFS (p = 0.70; p = 0.43), or TTP (p = 0.33; p = 0.27) were observed.

Conclusion

The study underscores the role of non-invasive imaging biomarkers indicative of MVI to identify patients, who would potentially benefit from embolotherapy via cTACE prior to ablation rather than ablation alone.

Nomogram for preoperative estimation of microvascular invasion risk in hepatocellular carcinoma

Microvascular invasion (MVI) is an adverse prognostic indicator of tumor recurrence after surgery for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Therefore, developing a nomogram for estimating the presence of MVI before liver resection is necessary. We retrospectively included 260 patients with pathologically confirmed HCC at the Fifth Medical Center of Chinese PLA General Hospital between January 2021 and April 2024. The patients were randomly divided into a training cohort (n = 182) for nomogram development, and a validation cohort (n = 78) to confirm the performance of the model (7:3 ratio). Significant clinical variables associated with MVI were then incorporated into the predictive nomogram using both univariate and multivariate logistic analyses. The predictive performance of the nomogram was assessed based on its discrimination, calibration, and clinical utility. Serum carnosine dipeptidase 1 ([CNDP1] OR 2.973; 95 % CI 1.167-7.575; p = 0.022), cirrhosis (OR 8.911; 95 % CI 1.922-41.318; p = 0.005), multiple tumors (OR 4.095; 95 % CI 1.374-12.205; p = 0.011), and tumor diameter ≥3 cm (OR 4.408; 95 % CI 1.780-10.919; p = 0.001) were independent predictors of MVI. Performance of the nomogram based on serum CNDP1, cirrhosis, number of tumors and tumor diameter was achieved with a concordance index of 0.833 (95 % CI 0.771-0.894) and 0.821 (95 % CI 0.720-0.922) in the training and validation cohorts, respectively. It fitted well in the calibration curves, and the decision curve analysis further confirmed its clinical usefulness. The nomogram, incorporating significant clinical variables and imaging features, successfully predicted the personalized risk of MVI in HCC preoperatively.

Comparative analysis of the performance of hepatobiliary agents in depicting MRI features of microvascular infiltration in hepatocellular carcinoma

OBJECTIVE

To compare the ability to depict MRI features of hepatobiliary agents in microvascular infiltration (MVI) of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) during different stages of dynamic enhancement MRI.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A retrospective study included 111 HCC lesions scanned with either Gd-EOB-DTPA or Gd-BOPTA. All cases underwent multiphase dynamic contrast-enhanced scanning before surgery, including arterial phase (AP), portal venous phase (PVP), transitional phase (TP), delayed phase (DP), and hepatobiliary phase (HBP). Two abdominal radiologists independently evaluated MRI features of MVI in HCC, such as peritumoral hyperenhancement, incomplete capsule, non-smooth tumor margins, and peritumoral hypointensity. Finally, the results were reviewed by the third senior abdominal radiologist. Chi-square (χ2) Inspection for comparison between groups. P < 0.05 is considered statistically significant. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to evaluate correlation with pathology, and the area under the curve (AUC) and 95% confidence interval (95% CI) were calculated.

RESULTS

Among the four MVI evaluation signs, Gd-BOPTA showed significant differences in displaying two signs in the HBP (P < 0.05:0.000, 0.000), while Gd-EOB-DTPA exhibited significant differences in displaying all four signs (P < 0.05:0.005, 0.006, 0.000, 0.002). The results of the evaluations of the two contrast agents in the DP phase with incomplete capsulation showed the highest correlation with pathology (AUC: 0.843, 0.761). By combining the four MRI features, Gd-BOPTA and Gd-EOB-DTPA have correlated significantly with pathology, and Gd-BOPTA is better (AUC: 0.9312vs0.8712).

CONCLUSION

The four features of hepatobiliary agent dynamic enhancement MRI demonstrate a good correlation with histopathological findings in the evaluation of MVI in HCC, and have certain clinical significance.

MRI-based clinical-radiomics nomogram model for predicting microvascular invasion in hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Preoperative microvascular invasion (MVI) of liver cancer is an effective method to reduce the recurrence rate of liver cancer. Hepatectomy with extended resection and additional adjuvant or targeted therapy can significantly improve the survival rate of MVI+ patients by eradicating micrometastasis. Preoperative prediction of MVI status is of great clinical significance for surgical decision-making and the selection of other adjuvant therapy strategies to improve the prognosis of patients.

PURPOSE

Established a radiomics machine learning model based on multimodal MRI and clinical data, and analyzed the preoperative prediction value of this model for microvascular invasion (MVI) of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

METHOD

The preoperative liver MRI data and clinical information of 130 HCC patients who were pathologically confirmed to be pathologically confirmed were retrospectively studied. These patients were divided into MVI-positive group (MVI+) and MVI-negative group (MVI-) based on postoperative pathology. After a series of dimensionality reduction analysis, six radiomic features were finally selected. Then, linear support vector machine (linear SVM), support vector machine with rbf kernel function (rbf-SVM), logistic regression (LR), Random forest (RF) and XGBoost (XGB) algorithms were used to establish the MVI prediction model for preoperative HCC patients. Then, rbf-SVM with the best predictive performance was selected to construct the radiomics score (R-score). Finally, we combined R-score and clinical-pathology-image independent predictors to establish a combined nomogram model and corresponding individual models. The predictive performance of individual models and combined nomogram was evaluated and compared by receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC).

RESULT

Alpha-fetoprotein concentration, peritumor enhancement, maximum tumor diameter, smooth tumor margins, tumor growth pattern, presence of intratumor hemorrhage, and RVI were independent predictors of MVI. Compared with individual models, the final combined nomogram model (AUC: 0.968, 95% CI: 0.920-1.000) constructed by radiometry score (R-score) combined with clinicopathological parameters and apparent imaging features showed the optimal predictive performance.

CONCLUSION

This multi-parameter combined nomogram model had a good performance in predicting MVI of HCC, and had certain auxiliary value for the formulation of surgical plan and evaluation of prognosis.

Radiomics-Based Prediction of Microvascular Invasion Grade in Nodular Hepatocellular Carcinoma Using Contrast-Enhanced Magnetic Resonance Imaging

Objective

The aim of this study is to develop and verify a magnetic resonance imaging (MRI)-based radiomics model for predicting the microvascular invasion grade (MVI) before surgery in individuals diagnosed with nodular hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

Methods

A total of 198 patients were included in the study and were randomly stratified into two groups: a training group consisting of 139 patients and a test group comprising 59 patients. The tumor lesion was manually segmented on the largest cross-sectional slice using ITK SNAP, with agreement reached between two radiologists. The selection of radiomics features was carried out using the LASSO (Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator) algorithm. Radiomics models were then developed through maximum correlation, minimum redundancy, and logistic regression analyses. The performance of the models in predicting MVI grade was assessed using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and metrics derived from the confusion matrix.

Results

There were no notable statistical differences in sex, age, BMI (body mass index), tumor size, and location between the training and test groups. The AP and PP radiomic model constructed for predicting MVI grade demonstrated an AUC of 0.83 (0.75-0.88) and 0.73 (0.64-0.80) in the training group and an AUC of 0.74 (0.61-0.85) and 0.62 (0.48-0.74) in test group, respectively. The combined model consists of imaging data and clinical data (age and AFP), achieved an AUC of 0.85 (0.78-0.91) and 0.77 (0.64-0.87) in the training and test groups, respectively.

Conclusion

A radiomics model utilizing-contrast-enhanced MRI demonstrates strong predictive capability for differentiating MVI grades in individuals with nodular HCC. This model could potentially function as a dependable and resilient tool to support hepatologists and radiologists in their preoperative decision-making processes.

Bi-regional dynamic contrast-enhanced MRI for prediction of microvascular invasion in solitary BCLC stage A hepatocellular carcinoma

OBJECTIVES

To construct a combined model based on bi-regional quantitative dynamic contrast-enhanced magnetic resonance imaging (DCE-MRI), as well as clinical-radiological (CR) features for predicting microvascular invasion (MVI) in solitary Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) stage A hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), and to assess its ability for stratifying the risk of recurrence after hepatectomy.

METHODS

Patients with solitary BCLC stage A HCC were prospective collected and randomly divided into training and validation sets. DCE perfusion parameters were obtained both in intra-tumoral region (ITR) and peritumoral region (PTR). Combined DCE perfusion parameters (CDCE) were constructed to predict MVI. The combined model incorporating CDCE and CR features was developed and evaluated. Kaplan-Meier method was used to investigate the prognostic significance of the model and the survival benefits of different hepatectomy approaches.

RESULTS

A total of 133 patients were included. Total blood flow in ITR and arterial fraction in PTR exhibited the best predictive performance for MVI with areas under the curve (AUCs) of 0.790 and 0.792, respectively. CDCE achieved AUCs of 0.868 (training set) and 0.857 (validation set). A combined model integrated with the α-fetoprotein, corona enhancement, two-trait predictor of venous invasion, and CDCE could improve the discrimination ability to AUCs of 0.966 (training set) and 0.937 (validation set). The combined model could stratify the prognosis of HCC patients. Anatomical resection was associated with a better prognosis in the high-risk group (p < 0.05).

CONCLUSION

The combined model integrating DCE perfusion parameters and CR features could be used for MVI prediction in HCC patients and assist clinical decision-making.

CRITICAL RELEVANCE STATEMENT

The combined model incorporating bi-regional DCE-MRI perfusion parameters and CR features predicted MVI preoperatively, which could stratify the risk of recurrence and aid in optimizing treatment strategies.

KEY POINTS

Microvascular invasion (MVI) is a significant predictor of prognosis for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Quantitative DCE-MRI could predict MVI in solitary BCLC stage A HCC; the combined model improved performance. The combined model could help stratify the risk of recurrence and aid treatment planning.

Development of a predictive nomogram for in-hospital death risk in multimorbid patients with hepatocellular carcinoma undergoing Palliative Locoregional Therapy

Patients diagnosed with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) often present with multimorbidity, significantly contributing to adverse outcomes, particularly in-hospital mortality. This study aimed to develop a predictive nomogram to assess the impact of comorbidities on in-hospital mortality risk in HCC patients undergoing palliative locoregional therapy. We retrospectively analyzed data from 345 hospitalized HCC patients who underwent palliative locoregional therapy between January 2015 and December 2022. The nomogram was constructed using independent risk factors such as length of stay (LOS), hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection, hypertension, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), anemia, thrombocytopenia, liver cirrhosis, hepatic encephalopathy (HE), N stage, and microvascular invasion. The model demonstrated high predictive accuracy with an AUC of 0.908 (95% CI: 0.859-0.956) for the overall dataset, 0.926 (95% CI: 0.883-0.968) for the training set, and 0.862 (95% CI: 0.728-0.994) for the validation set. Calibration curves indicated a strong correlation between predicted and observed outcomes, validated by statistical tests. Decision curve analysis (DCA) and clinical impact curves (CIC) confirmed the model's clinical utility in predicting in-hospital mortality. This nomogram offers a practical tool for personalized risk assessment in HCC patients undergoing palliative locoregional therapy, facilitating informed clinical decision-making and improving patient management.

The Value of LI-RADS and Radiomic Features from MRI for Predicting Microvascular Invasion in Hepatocellular Carcinoma within 5 cm

RATIONALE AND OBJECTIVES

To explore and compare the performance of LI-RADS® and radiomics from multiparametric MRI in predicting microvascular invasion (MVI) preoperatively in patients with solitary hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC)< 5 cm.

METHODS

We enrolled 143 patients with pathologically proven HCC and randomly stratified them into training (n = 100) and internal validation (n = 43) cohorts. Besides, 53 patients were enrolled to constitute an independent test cohort. Clinical factors and imaging features, including LI-RADS and three other features (non-smooth margin, incomplete capsule, and two-trait predictor of venous invasion), were reviewed and analyzed. Radiomic features from four MRI sequences were extracted. The independent clinic-imaging (clinical) and radiomics model for MVI-prediction were constructed by logistic regression and AdaBoost respectively. And the clinic-radiomics combined model was further constructed by logistic regression. We assessed the model discrimination, calibration, and clinical usefulness by using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), calibration curve, and decision-curve analysis respectively.

RESULTS

Incomplete tumor capsule, corona enhancement, and radiomic features were related to MVI in solitary HCC＜5 cm. The clinical model achieved AUC of 0.694/0.661 (training/internal validation). The single-sequence-based radiomic model's AUCs were 0.753-0.843/0.698-0.767 (training/internal validation). The combination model exhibited superior diagnostic performance to the clinical model (AUC: 0.895/0.848 [training/ internal validation]) and yielded an AUC of 0.858 in an independent test cohort.

CONCLUSION

Incomplete tumor capsule and corona enhancement on preoperative MRI were significantly related to MVI in solitary HCC＜5 cm. Multiple-sequence radiomic features potentially improve MVI-prediction-model performance, which could potentially help determining HCC's appropriate therapy.

Efficacy and Safety of Local Liver Radioablation in Hepatocellular Carcinoma Lesions within and beyond Limits of Thermal Ablation

INTRODUCTION

CT-guided interstitial brachytherapy (iBT) radiotherapy has been established in the treatment of liver tumors. With iBT, hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) lesions can be treated beyond the limits of thermal ablation (i.e., size and location). However, a comprehensive analysis of the efficacy of iBT in patients within and beyond thermal ablation limits is lacking.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A total of 146 patients with 216 HCC lesions have been analyzed retrospectively. Clinical and imaging follow-up data has been collected. Lesions were evaluated in terms of suitability for thermal ablation or not. The correlation between local tumor control (LTC), time to progression (TTP), overall survival (OS), and clinical and imaging parameters have been evaluated using univariable and multivariable Cox regression analyses.

RESULTS

LTC rates at 12 months, 24 months, and 36 months were 87%, 75%, and 73%, respectively. 65% of lesions (n = 141) were not suitable for radiofrequency ablation (RFA). The median TTP was 13 months, and the median OS was not reached (3-year OS rate: 70%). No significant difference in LTC, TTP, or OS regarding RFA suitability existed. However, in the overall multivariable analysis, lesion diameter >5 cm was significantly associated with lower LTC (HR: 3.65, CI [1.60-8.31], p = 0.002) and shorter TTP (HR: 2.08, CI [1.17-3.70], p = 0.013). Advanced BCLC stage, Child-Pugh Stage, and Hepatitis B were associated with shorter OS.

CONCLUSION

iBT offers excellent LTC rates and OS in local HCC treatment regardless of the limits of thermal ablation, suggesting further evidence of its alternative role to thermal ablation in patients with early-stage HCC.

Multiparametric assessment of microvascular invasion in hepatocellular carcinoma using gadoxetic acid-enhanced MRI

PURPOSE

To elucidate how precisely microvascular invasion (MVI) in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) can be predicted using multiparametric assessment of gadoxetic acid-enhanced MRI.

METHODS

In this retrospective single-center study, patients who underwent liver resection or transplantation of HCC were evaluated. Data obtained in patients who underwent liver resection were used as the training set. Nine kinds of MR findings for predicting MVI were compared between HCCs with and without MVI by univariate analysis, followed by multiple logistic regression analysis. Using significant findings, a predictive formula for diagnosing MVI was obtained. The diagnostic performance of the formula was investigated in patients who underwent liver resection (validation set 1) and in patients who underwent liver transplantation (validation set 2) using a receiver operating characteristic curve analysis. The area under the curves (AUCs) of these three groups were compared.

RESULTS

A total of 345 patients with 356 HCCs were selected for analysis. Tumor diameter (D) (P = 0.021), tumor washout (TW) (P < 0.01), and peritumoral hypointensity in the hepatobiliary phase (PHH) (P < 0.01) were significantly associated with MVI after multivariate analysis. The AUCs for predicting MVI of the predictive formula were as follows: training set, 0.88 (95% confidence interval (CI) 0.82,0.93); validation set 1, 0.81 (95% CI 0.73,0.87); validation set 2, 0.67 (95% CI 0.51,0.80). The AUCs were not significantly different among three groups (training set vs validation set 1; P = 0.15, training set vs validation set 2; P = 0.09, validation set 1 vs validation set 2; P = 0.29, respectively).

CONCLUSION

Our multiparametric assessment of gadoxetic acid-enhanced MRI performed quite precisely and with good reproducibility for predicting MVI.

Prognostic MRI features to predict postresection survivals for very early to intermediate stage hepatocellular carcinoma

OBJECTIVES

Contrast-enhanced MRI can provide individualized prognostic information for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). We aimed to investigate the value of MRI features to predict early (≤ 2 years)/late (> 2 years) recurrence-free survival (E-RFS and L-RFS, respectively) and overall survival (OS).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Consecutive adult patients at a tertiary academic center who received curative-intent liver resection for very early to intermediate stage HCC and underwent preoperative contrast-enhanced MRI were retrospectively enrolled from March 2011 to April 2021. Three masked radiologists independently assessed 54 MRI features. Uni- and multivariable Cox regression analyses were conducted to investigate the associations of imaging features with E-RFS, L-RFS, and OS.

RESULTS

This study included 600 patients (median age, 53 years; 526 men). During a median follow-up of 55.3 months, 51% of patients experienced recurrence (early recurrence: 66%; late recurrence: 34%), and 17% died. Tumor size, multiple tumors, rim arterial phase hyperenhancement, iron sparing in solid mass, tumor growth pattern, and gastroesophageal varices were associated with E-RFS and OS (largest p = .02). Nonperipheral washout (p = .006), markedly low apparent diffusion coefficient value (p = .02), intratumoral arteries (p = .01), and width of the main portal vein (p = .03) were associated with E-RFS but not with L-RFS or OS, while the VICT2 trait was specifically associated with OS (p = .02). Multiple tumors (p = .048) and radiologically-evident cirrhosis (p < .001) were the only predictors for L-RFS.

CONCLUSION

Twelve visually-assessed MRI features predicted postoperative E-RFS (≤ 2 years), L-RFS (> 2 years), and OS for very early to intermediate-stage HCCs.

CLINICAL RELEVANCE STATEMENT

The prognostic MRI features may help inform personalized surgical planning, neoadjuvant/adjuvant therapies, and postoperative surveillance, thus may be included in future prognostic models.

KEY POINTS

• Tumor size, multiple tumors, rim arterial phase hyperenhancement, iron sparing, tumor growth pattern, and gastroesophageal varices predicted both recurrence-free survival within 2 years and overall survival. • Nonperipheral washout, markedly low apparent diffusion coefficient value, intratumoral arteries, and width of the main portal vein specifically predicted recurrence-free survival within 2 years, while the VICT2 trait specifically predicted overall survival. • Multiple tumors and radiologically-evident cirrhosis were the only predictors for recurrence-free survival beyond 2 years.

A novel stratification scheme combined with internal arteries in CT imaging for guiding postoperative adjuvant transarterial chemoembolization in hepatocellular carcinoma: a retrospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

Although postoperative adjuvant transarterial chemoembolization (PA-TACE) improves survival outcomes in a subset of patients with resected hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), the lack of reliable biomarkers for patient selection remains a significant challenge. The present study aimed to evaluate whether computed tomography imaging can provide more value for predicting benefits from PA-TACE and to establish a new scheme for guiding PA-TACE benefits.

METHODS

In this retrospective study, patients with HCC who had undergone preoperative contrast-enhanced computed tomography and curative hepatectomy were evaluated. Inverse probability of treatment weight was performed to balance the difference of baseline characteristics. Cox models were used to test the interaction among PA-TACE, imaging features, and pathological indicators. An HCC imaging and pathological classification (HIPC) scheme incorporating these imaging and pathological indicators was established.

RESULTS

This study included 1488 patients [median age, 52 years (IQR, 45-61 years); 1309 male]. Microvascular invasion (MVI) positive, and diameter >5 cm tumors achieved a higher recurrence-free survival (RFS), and overall survival (OS) benefit, respectively, from PA-TACE than MVI negative, and diameter ≤5 cm tumors. Patients with internal arteries (IA) positive benefited more than those with IA-negative in terms of RFS ( P =0.016) and OS ( P =0.018). PA-TACE achieved significant RFS and OS improvements in HIPC3 (IA present and diameter >5 cm, or two or three tumors) patients but not in HIPC1 (diameter ≤5 cm, MVI negative) and HIPC2 (other single tumor) patients. Our scheme may decrease the number of patients receiving PA-TACE by ~36.5% compared to the previous suggestion.

CONCLUSIONS

IA can provide more value for predicting the benefit of PA-TACE treatment. The proposed HIPC scheme can be used to stratify patients with and without survival benefits from PA-TACE.

The potential of 18F-FDG PET/CT metabolic parameter-based nomogram in predicting the microvascular invasion of hepatocellular carcinoma before liver transplantation

PURPOSE

Microvascular invasion (MVI) is a critical factor in predicting the recurrence and prognosis of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after liver transplantation (LT). However, there is a lack of reliable preoperative predictors for MVI. The purpose of this study is to evaluate the potential of an 18F-FDG PET/CT-based nomogram in predicting MVI before LT for HCC.

METHODS

83 HCC patients who obtained 18F-FDG PET/CT before LT were included in this retrospective research. To determine the parameters connected to MVI and to create a nomogram for MVI prediction, respectively, Logistic and Cox regression models were applied. Analyses of the calibration curve and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were used to assess the model's capability to differentiate between clinical factors and metabolic data from PET/CT images.

RESULTS

Among the 83 patients analyzed, 41% were diagnosed with histologic MVI. Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that Child-Pugh stage, alpha-fetoprotein, number of tumors, CT Dmax, and Tumor-to-normal liver uptake ratio (TLR) were significant predictors of MVI. A nomogram was constructed using these predictors, which demonstrated strong calibration with a close agreement between predicted and actual MVI probabilities. The nomogram also showed excellent differentiation with an AUC of 0.965 (95% CI 0.925-1.000).

CONCLUSION

The nomogram based on 18F-FDG PET/CT metabolic characteristics is a reliable preoperative imaging biomarker for predicting MVI in HCC patients before undergoing LT. It has demonstrated excellent efficacy and high clinical applicability.

Prognostic Value of Preoperative MRI-derived 3D Quantitative Tumor Arterial Burden in Patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma Receiving Transarterial Chemoembolization

Purpose To investigate the association of tumor arterial burden (TAB) on preoperative MRI with transarterial chemoembolization refractoriness (TACER) and progression-free survival (PFS) in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Materials and Methods This retrospective study included patients with HCC who underwent repeated transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) treatments between January 2013 and December 2020. HCC was confirmed with pathology or imaging, and patients with other tumors, lost follow-up, or with a combination of other treatments were excluded. TACER was defined as viable lesions of more than 50% or increase in tumor number after two or more consecutive TACE treatments, continuous elevation of tumor markers, extrahepatic spread, or vascular invasion. TAB assessed with preoperative MRI was divided into high and low groups according to the median. A Cox proportional hazards model was used to determine the predictors of TACER and PFS. Results A total of 355 patients (median age, 61 years [IQR, 54-67]; 306 [86.2%] men, 49 [13.8%] women) were included. During a median follow-up of 32.7 months, the high TAB group had significantly faster TACER and decreased PFS than the low TAB group (all log-rank P < .001). High TAB was the strongest independent predictor of TACER and PFS in multivariable Cox regression analyses (hazard ratio [HR], 2.23 [95% CI: 1.51, 3.29]; HR, 2.30 [95% CI: 1.61, 3.27], respectively), especially in patients with Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stage A or a single tumor. The restricted cubic spline plot demonstrated that the HR of TACER and PFS continuously increased with increasing TAB. Conclusion High preoperative TAB at MRI was a risk factor for faster refractoriness and progression in patients with HCC treated with TACE. Keywords: Interventional-Vascular, MR Angiography, Hepatocellular Carcinoma, Transarterial Chemoembolization, Progression-free Survival, MRI Supplemental material is available for this article. © RSNA, 2024.

Dynamic radiomics based on contrast-enhanced MRI for predicting microvascular invasion in hepatocellular carcinoma

OBJECTIVE

To exploit the improved prediction performance based on dynamic contrast-enhanced (DCE) MRI by using dynamic radiomics for microvascular invasion (MVI) in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

METHODS

We retrospectively included 175 and 75 HCC patients who underwent preoperative DCE-MRI from September 2019 to August 2022 in institution 1 (development cohort) and institution 2 (validation cohort), respectively. Static radiomics features were extracted from the mask, arterial, portal venous, and equilibrium phase images and used to construct dynamic features. The static, dynamic, and dynamic-static radiomics (SR, DR, and DSR) signatures were separately constructed based on the feature selection method of LASSO and classification algorithm of logistic regression. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves and the area under the curve (AUC) were plotted to evaluate and compare the predictive performance of each signature.

RESULTS

In the three radiomics signatures, the DSR signature performed the best. The AUCs of the SR, DR, and DSR signatures in the training set were 0.750, 0.751 and 0.805, respectively, while in the external validation set, the corresponding AUCs were 0.706, 0756 and 0.777. The DSR signature showed significant improvement over the SR signature in predicting MVI status (training cohort: P = 0.019; validation cohort: P = 0.044). After external validation, the AUC value of the SR signature decreased from 0.750 to 0.706, while the AUC value of the DR signature did not show a decline (AUCs: 0.756 vs. 0.751).

CONCLUSIONS

The dynamic radiomics had an improved effect on the MVI prediction in HCC, compared with the static DCE MRI-based radiomics models.

TACE-assisted multi-image guided radiofrequency ablation for the treatment of single hepatocellular carcinoma ≤ 5 cm: a retrospective study

Background/Objective

Treatment of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) with ablation alone often results in high rates of recurrence and metastasis, reaching up to 25.9% within two years. Therefore, this study aimed to examine the efficacy and safety of transarterial chemoembolization (TACE)-assisted multi-image guided radiofrequency ablation (RFA) for the treatment of stage Ia HCC according to the China liver cancer staging (CNLC).

Methods

This study enrolled and analyzed a total of 118 patients diagnosed with HCC, each with a single nodular lesion no larger than 5 cm, who received TACE-RFA as first-line therapy between February 1, 2014, and December 31, 2021. The median/mean follow-up period was 29.0 months [95% confidence interval (CI): 21.8-36.2 months] and 31.8 months (95% CI: 27.5-36.0 months), respectively. We assessed the treatment's effectiveness, potential complications, and survival rate.

Results

The technical success rate was 100% (118/118) after the initial treatment. Out of the total, 3 out of 118 patients (2.5%) developed local tumor progression (LTP) during the follow-up period. The median time for LTP was 29.0 months (95%CI: 21.9-36.1 months; mean: 31.5 months; range 1-92 months). At 1, 3, 5, and 7 years after treatment, the cumulative LTP rates were 0%, 4.6%, 4.6%, and 4.6%, respectively. The overall survival rates at 1, 3, 5, and 7 years were 100%, 95.2%, 95.2%, and 95.2%, respectively. In total, 28 patients experienced minor Grade B complications, and no major complications or treatment-related mortality occurred.

Conclusion

The treatment of CNLC stage Ia HCC using TACE-assisted multi-image-guided RFA was found to be both safe and feasible.

Preoperative Prediction of Microvascular Invasion with Gadoxetic Acid-Enhanced Magnetic Resonance Imaging in Patients with Single Hepatocellular Carcinoma: The Implication of Surgical Decision on the Extent of Liver Resection

Introduction

Microvascular invasion (MVI) is one of the most important prognostic factors for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) recurrence, but its application in preoperative clinical decisions is limited. This study aimed to identify preoperative predictive factors for MVI in HCC and further evaluate oncologic outcomes of different types and extents of hepatectomy according to stratified risk of MVI.

Methods

Patients with surgically resected single HCC (≤5 cm) who underwent preoperative gadoxetic acid-enhanced magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) were included in a single-center retrospective study. Two radiologists reviewed the images with no clinical, pathological, or prognostic information. Significant predictive factors for MVI were identified using logistic regression analysis against pathologic MVI and used to stratify patients. In the subgroup analysis, long-term outcomes of the stratified patients were analyzed using the Kaplan-Meier method with log-rank test and compared between anatomical and nonanatomical or major and minor resection.

Results

A total of 408 patients, 318 men and 90 women, with a mean age of 56.7 years were included. Elevated levels of tumor markers (alpha-fetoprotein [α-FP] ≥25 ng/mL and PIVKA-II ≥40 mAU/mL) and three MRI features (tumor size ≥3 cm, non-smooth tumor margin, and arterial peritumoral enhancement) were independent predictive factors for MVI. As the MVI risk increased from low (no predictive factor) and intermediate (1-2 factors) to high-risk (3-4 factors), recurrence-free and overall survival of each group significantly decreased (p = 0.001). In the high MVI risk group, 5-year cumulative recurrence rate was significantly lower in patients who underwent major compared to minor hepatectomy (26.6 vs. 59.8%, p = 0.027).

Conclusion

Tumor markers and MRI features can predict the risk of MVI and prognosis after hepatectomy. Patients with high MVI risk had the worst prognosis among the three groups, and major hepatectomy improved long-term outcomes in these high-risk patients.

Predicting microvascular invasion in small (≤ 5 cm) hepatocellular carcinomas using radiomics-based peritumoral analysis

OBJECTIVE

We assessed the predictive capacity of computed tomography (CT)-enhanced radiomics models in determining microvascular invasion (MVI) for isolated hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) ≤ 5 cm within peritumoral margins of 5 and 10 mm.

METHODS

Radiomics software was used for feature extraction. We used the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) algorithm to establish an effective model to predict patients' preoperative MVI status.

RESULTS

The area under the curve (AUC) values in the validation sets for the 5- and 10-mm radiomics models concerning arterial tumors were 0.759 and 0.637, respectively. In the portal vein phase, they were 0.626 and 0.693, respectively. Additionally, the combined radiomics model for arterial tumors and the peritumoral 5-mm margin had an AUC value of 0.820. The decision curve showed that the combined tumor and peritumoral radiomics model exhibited a somewhat superior benefit compared to the traditional model, while the fusion model demonstrated an even greater advantage, indicating its significant potential in clinical application.

CONCLUSION

The 5-mm peritumoral arterial model had superior accuracy and sensitivity in predicting MVI. Moreover, the combined tumor and peritumoral radiomics model outperformed both the individual tumor and peritumoral radiomics models. The most effective combination was the arterial phase tumor and peritumor 5-mm margin combination. Using a fusion model that integrates tumor and peritumoral radiomics and clinical data can aid in the preoperative diagnosis of the MVI of isolated HCC ≤ 5 cm, indicating considerable practical value.

CRITICAL RELEVANCE STATEMENT

The radiomics model including a 5-mm peritumoral expansion is a promising noninvasive biomarker for preoperatively predicting microvascular invasion in patients diagnosed with a solitary HCC ≤ 5 cm.

KEY POINTS

• Radiomics features extracted at a 5-mm distance from the tumor could better predict hepatocellular carcinoma microvascular invasion. • Peritumoral radiomics can be used to capture tumor heterogeneity and predict microvascular invasion. • This radiomics model stands as a promising noninvasive biomarker for preoperatively predicting MVI in individuals.

Development and external validation of MRI-based RAS mutation status prediction model for liver metastases of colorectal cancer

BACKGROUND

The mutation status of rat sarcoma viral oncogene homolog (RAS) has prognostic significance and serves as a key predictive biomarker for the effectiveness of antiepidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) therapy. However, there remains a lack of effective models for predicting RAS mutation status in colorectal liver metastases (CRLMs). This study aimed to construct and validate a diagnostic model for predicting RAS mutation status among patients undergoing hepatic resection for CRLMs.

METHODS

A diagnostic multivariate prediction model was developed and validated in patients with CRLMs who had undergone hepatectomy between 2014 and 2020. Patients from Institution A were assigned to the model development group (i.e., Development Cohort), while patients from Institutions B and C were assigned to the external validation groups (i.e., Validation Cohort_1 and Validation Cohort_2). The presence of CRLMs was determined by examination of surgical specimens. RAS mutation status was determined by genetic testing. The final predictors, identified by a group of oncologists and radiologists, included several key clinical, demographic, and radiographic characteristics derived from magnetic resonance images. Multiple imputation was performed to estimate the values of missing non-outcome data. A penalized logistic regression model using the adaptive least absolute shrinkage and selection operator penalty was implemented to select appropriate variables for the development of the model. A single nomogram was constructed from the model. The performance of the prediction model, discrimination, and calibration were estimated and reported by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and calibration plots. Internal validation with a bootstrapping procedure and external validation of the nomogram were assessed. Finally, decision curve analyses were used to characterize the clinical outcomes of the Development and Validation Cohorts.

RESULTS

A total of 173 patients were enrolled in this study between January 2014 and May 2020. Of the 173 patients, 117 patients from Institution A were assigned to the Model Development group, while 56 patients (33 from Institution B and 23 from Institution C) were assigned to the Model Validation groups. Forty-six (39.3%) patients harbored RAS mutations in the Development Cohort compared to 14 (42.4%) in Validation Cohort_1 and 8 (34.8%) in Validation Cohort_2. The final model contained the following predictor variables: time of occurrence of CRLMs, location of primary lesion, type of intratumoral necrosis, and early enhancement of liver parenchyma. The diagnostic model based on clinical and MRI data demonstrated satisfactory predictive performance in distinguishing between mutated and wild-type RAS, with AUCs of 0.742 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.651─0.834), 0.741 (95% CI: 0.649─0.836), 0.703 (95% CI: 0.514─0.892), and 0.708 (95% CI: 0.452─0.964) in the Development Cohort, bootstrapping internal validation, external Validation Cohort_1 and Validation Cohort_2, respectively. The Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit values for the Development Cohort, Validation Cohort_1 and Validation Cohort_2 were 2.868 (p = 0.942), 4.616 (p = 0.465), and 6.297 (p = 0.391), respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Integrating clinical, demographic, and radiographic modalities with a magnetic resonance imaging-based approach may accurately predict the RAS mutation status of CRLMs, thereby aiding in triage and possibly reducing the time taken to perform diagnostic and life-saving procedures. Our diagnostic multivariate prediction model may serve as a foundation for prognostic stratification and therapeutic decision-making.