VICT2 Trait: Prognostic Alternative to Peritumoral Hepatobiliary Phase Hypointensity in HCC

Imaging-based prediction of early recurrence and neoadjuvant therapy outcomes for resectable beyond Milan HCC

PURPOSE

To develop and validate an MRI-based model for predicting postoperative early (≤2 years) recurrence-free survival (RFS) in patients receiving upfront surgical resection (SR) for beyond Milan hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and to assess the model's performance in separate patients receiving neoadjuvant therapy for similar-stage tumors.

METHOD

This single-center retrospective study included consecutive patients with resectable BCLC A/B beyond Milan HCC undergoing upfront SR or neoadjuvant therapy. All images were independently evaluated by three blinded radiologists. In patients receiving upfront SR, an MRI-based Early Recurrence Outside Milan (EROM) score was developed and validated for predicting early RFS via Cox regression analyses and compared with the BCLC staging system. In separate patients undergoing neoadjuvant therapy, interval tumor progression rate and postoperative early RFS were compared between EROM-predicted high- and low-risk groups.

RESULTS

279 patients (median, 56 years; 236 men) were included, 220 (78.9 %) undergoing upfront SR and 59 (21.1 %) received transarterial chemoembolization-based neoadjuvant therapy. Alpha-fetoprotein > 20 ng/mL (HR, 2.03; P = 0.007), size of the largest tumor (HR, 1.10; P = 0.016), infiltrative appearance (HR, 2.20; P = 0.032), and < 50 % arterial phase hyperenhancement (HR, 1.74; P = 0.023) formed the EROM score, with superior testing dataset C-index than the BCLC system (0.69 vs. 0.52, P < 0.001). The EROM-predicted high-risk (>15.3 points) patients had higher tumor progression (25.0 % vs. 0.0 %, P = 0.033) and lower postoperative 2-year RFS (16.0 % vs. 39.3 %, P = 0.025) rates after neoadjuvant therapy.

CONCLUSIONS

In patients with resectable beyond Milan HCC, EROM allowed noninvasive prediction of postoperative early RFS and informed interval tumor progression risks after neoadjuvant therapy.

EASL Clinical Practice Guidelines on the management of hepatocellular carcinoma

Liver cancer is the third leading cause of cancer-related deaths worldwide, with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) accounting for approximately 90% of primary liver cancers. Advances in diagnostic and therapeutic tools, along with improved understanding of their application, are transforming patient treatment. Integrating these innovations into clinical practice presents challenges and necessitates guidance. These clinical practice guidelines offer updated advice for managing patients with HCC and provide a comprehensive review of pertinent data. Key updates from the 2018 EASL guidelines include personalised surveillance based on individual risk assessment and the use of new tools, standardisation of liver imaging procedures and diagnostic criteria, use of minimally invasive surgery in complex cases together with updates on the integrated role of liver transplantation, transitions between surgical, locoregional, and systemic therapies, the role of radiation therapies, and the use of combination immunotherapies at various stages of disease. Above all, there is an absolute need for a multiparametric assessment of individual risks and benefits, considering the patient's perspective, by a multidisciplinary team encompassing various specialties.

A Nomogram Based on MRI Visual Decision Tree to Evaluate Vascular Endothelial Growth Factor in Hepatocellular Carcinoma

BACKGROUNDS

Anti-vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF) therapy has been developed and recognized as an effective treatment for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). However, there remains a lack of noninvasive methods in precisely evaluating VEGF expression in HCC.

PURPOSE

To establish a visual noninvasive model based on clinical indicators and MRI features to evaluate VEGF expression in HCC.

STUDY TYPE

Retrospective.

POPULATION

One hundred forty HCC patients were randomly divided into a training (N = 98) and a test cohort (N = 42).

FIELD STRENGTH/SEQUENCE

3.0 T, T2WI, T1WI including pre-contrast, dynamic, and hepatobiliary phases.

ASSESSMENT

The fusion model constructed by history of smoking, albumin-to-globulin ratio (AGR) and the Radio-Tree model was visualized by a nomogram.

STATISTICAL TESTS

Performances of models were assessed by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves. Student's t-test, Mann-Whitney U-test, chi-square test, Fisher's exact test, univariable and multivariable logistic regression analysis, DeLong's test, integrated discrimination improvement (IDI), Hosmer-Lemeshow test, and decision curve analysis were performed. P < 0.05 was considered statistically significant.

RESULTS

History of smoking and AGR ≤1.5 were clinical independent risk factors of the VEGF expression. In training cohorts, values of area under the curve (AUCs) of Radio-Tree model, Clinical-Radiological (C-R) model, fusion model which combined history of smoking and AGR with Radio-Tree model were 0.821, 0.748, and 0.871. In test cohort, the fusion model showed highest AUC (0.844) than Radio-Tree and C-R models (0.819, 0.616, respectively). DeLong's test indicated that the fusion model significantly differed in performance from the C-R model in training cohort (P = 0.015) and test cohort (P = 0.007).

DATA CONCLUSION

The fusion model combining history of smoking, AGR and Radio-Tree model established with ML algorithm showed the highest AUC value than others.

EVIDENCE LEVEL

4 TECHNICAL EFFICACY: Stage 2.

Intertumoral Heterogeneity Based on MRI Radiomic Features Estimates Recurrence in Hepatocellular Carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) heterogeneity impacts prognosis, and imaging is a potential indicator.

PURPOSE

To characterize HCC image subtypes in MRI and correlate subtypes with recurrence.

STUDY TYPE

Retrospective.

POPULATION

A total of 440 patients (training cohort = 213, internal test cohort = 140, external test cohort = 87) from three centers.

FIELD STRENGTH/SEQUENCE

1.5-T/3.0-T, fast/turbo spin-echo T2-weighted, spin-echo echo-planar diffusion-weighted, contrast-enhanced three-dimensional gradient-recalled-echo T1-weighted with extracellular agents (Gd-DTPA, Gd-DTPA-BMA, and Gd-BOPTA).

ASSESSMENT

Three-dimensional volume-of-interest of HCC was contoured on portal venous phase, then coregistered with precontrast and late arterial phases. Subtypes were identified using non-negative matrix factorization by analyzing radiomics features from volume-of-interests, and correlated with recurrence. Clinical (demographic and laboratory data), pathological, and radiologic features were compared across subtypes. Among clinical, radiologic features and subtypes, variables with variance inflation factor above 10 were excluded. Variables (P < 0.10) in univariate Cox regression were included in stepwise multivariate analysis. Three recurrence estimation models were built: clinical-radiologic model, subtype model, hybrid model integrating clinical-radiologic characteristics, and subtypes.

STATISTICAL TESTS

Mann-Whitney U test, Kruskal-Wallis H test, chi-square test, Fisher's exact test, Kaplan-Meier curves, log-rank test, concordance index (C-index). Significance level: P < 0.05.

RESULTS

Two subtypes were identified across three cohorts (subtype 1:subtype 2 of 86:127, 60:80, and 36:51, respectively). Subtype 1 showed higher microvascular invasion (MVI)-positive rates (53%-57% vs. 26%-31%), and worse recurrence-free survival. Hazard ratio (HR) for the subtype is 6.10 in subtype model. Clinical-radiologic model included alpha-fetoprotein (HR: 3.01), macrovascular invasion (HR: 2.32), nonsmooth tumor margin (HR: 1.81), rim enhancement (HR: 3.13), and intratumoral artery (HR: 2.21). Hybrid model included alpha-fetoprotein (HR: 2.70), nonsmooth tumor margin (HR: 1.51), rim enhancement (HR: 3.25), and subtypes (HR: 5.34). Subtype model was comparable to clinical-radiologic model (C-index: 0.71-0.73 vs. 0.71-0.73), but hybrid model outperformed both (C-index: 0.77-0.79).

CONCLUSION

MRI radiomics-based clustering identified two HCC subtypes with distinct MVI status and recurrence-free survival. Hybrid model showed superior capability to estimate recurrence.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

3 TECHNICAL EFFICACY STAGE: 2.

Deep learning-based 3D quantitative total tumor burden predicts early recurrence of BCLC A and B HCC after resection

OBJECTIVES

This study aimed to evaluate the potential of deep learning (DL)-assisted automated three-dimensional quantitative tumor burden at MRI to predict postoperative early recurrence (ER) of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This was a single-center retrospective study enrolling patients who underwent resection for BCLC A and B HCC and preoperative contrast-enhanced MRI. Quantitative total tumor volume (cm3) and total tumor burden (TTB, %) were obtained using a DL automated segmentation tool. Radiologists' visual assessment was used to ensure the quality control of automated segmentation. The prognostic value of clinicopathological variables and tumor burden-related parameters for ER was determined by Cox regression analyses.

RESULTS

A total of 592 patients were included, with 525 and 67 patients assigned to BCLC A and B, respectively (2-year ER rate: 30.0% vs. 45.3%; hazard ratio (HR) = 1.8; p = 0.007). TTB was the most important predictor of ER (HR = 2.2; p < 0.001). Using 6.84% as the threshold of TTB, two ER risk strata were obtained in overall (p < 0.001), BCLC A (p < 0.001), and BCLC B (p = 0.027) patients, respectively. The BCLC B low-TTB patients had a similar risk for ER to BCLC A patients and thus were reassigned to a BCLC An stage; whilst the BCLC B high-TTB patients remained in a BCLC Bn stage. The 2-year ER rate was 30.5% for BCLC An patients vs. 58.1% for BCLC Bn patients (HR = 2.8; p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

TTB determined by DL-based automated segmentation at MRI was a predictive biomarker for postoperative ER and facilitated refined subcategorization of patients within BCLC stages A and B.

CLINICAL RELEVANCE STATEMENT

Total tumor burden derived by deep learning-based automated segmentation at MRI may serve as an imaging biomarker for predicting early recurrence, thereby improving subclassification of Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer A and B hepatocellular carcinoma patients after hepatectomy.

KEY POINTS

Total tumor burden (TTB) is important for Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) staging, but is heterogenous. TTB derived by deep learning-based automated segmentation was predictive of postoperative early recurrence. Incorporating TTB into the BCLC algorithm resulted in successful subcategorization of BCLC A and B patients.

MRI-based prediction of microvascular invasion/high tumor grade and adjuvant therapy benefit for solitary HCC ≤ 5 cm: a multicenter cohort study

OBJECTIVES

To develop and externally validate an MRI-based diagnostic model for microvascular invasion (MVI) or Edmondson-Steiner G3/4 (i.e., high-risk histopathology) in solitary BCLC 0/A hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) ≤ 5 cm and to assess its performance in predicting adjuvant therapy benefits.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This multicenter retrospective cohort study included 577 consecutive adult patients who underwent contrast-enhanced MRI and subsequent curative resection or ablation for solitary BCLC 0/A HCC ≤ 5 cm (December 2011 to January 2024) from four hospitals. For resection-treated patients, a diagnostic model integrating clinical and 50 semantic MRI features was developed against pathology with logistic regression analyses on the training set (center 1) and externally validated on the testing dataset (centers 2-4), with its utilities in predicting posttreatment recurrence-free survival (RFS) and adjuvant therapy benefit evaluated by Cox regression analyses.

RESULTS

Serum α-fetoprotein > 100 ng/mL (odds ratio (OR), 1.94; p = 0.006), non-simple nodular growth subtype (OR, 1.69; p = 0.03), and the VICT2 trait (OR, 4.49; p < 0.001) were included in the MVI or high-grade (MHG) trait, with testing set AUC, sensitivity, and specificity of 0.832, 74.0%, and 82.5%, respectively. In the multivariable Cox analysis, the MHG-positive status was associated with worse RFS (resection testing set HR, 3.55, p = 0.02; ablation HR, 3.45, p < 0.001), and adjuvant therapy was associated with improved RFS only for the MHG-positive patients (resection HR, 0.39, p < 0.001; ablation HR, 0.30, p = 0.005).

CONCLUSION

The MHG trait effectively predicted high-risk histopathology, RFS and adjuvant therapy benefit among patients receiving curative resection or ablation for solitary BCLC 0/A HCC ≤ 5 cm.

KEY POINTS

Question Despite being associated with increased recurrence and potential benefit from adjuvancy in HCC, microvascular invasion or Edmondson-Steiner grade 3/4 are hardly assessable noninvasively. Findings We developed and externally validated an MRI-based model for predicting high-risk histopathology, post-resection/ablation recurrence-free survival, and adjuvant therapy benefit in solitary HCC ≤ 5 cm. Clinical relevance Among patients receiving curative-intent resection or ablation for solitary HCC ≤ 5 cm, noninvasive identification of high-risk histopathology (MVI or high-grade) using our proposed MRI model may help improve individualized prognostication and patient selection for adjuvant therapies.

Advancing Hepatocellular Carcinoma Management Through Peritumoral Radiomics: Enhancing Diagnosis, Treatment, and Prognosis

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the most common primary liver cancer and is associated with high mortality rates due to late detection and aggressive progression. Peritumoral radiomics, an emerging technique that quantitatively analyzes the tissue surrounding the tumor, has shown significant potential in enhancing the management of HCC. This paper examines the role of peritumoral radiomics in improving diagnostic accuracy, guiding personalized treatment strategies, and refining prognostic assessments. By offering unique insights into the tumor microenvironment, peritumoral radiomics enables more precise patient stratification and informs clinical decision-making. However, the integration of peritumoral radiomics into routine clinical practice faces several challenges. Addressing these challenges through continued research and innovation is crucial for the successful implementation of peritumoral radiomics in HCC management, ultimately leading to improved patient outcomes.

Optimizing predictions: improved performance of preoperative gadobenate-enhanced MRI hepatobiliary phase features in predicting vessels encapsulating tumor clusters in hepatocellular carcinoma-a multicenter study

BACKGROUND

Vessels Encapsulating Tumor Clusters (VETC) are now recognized as independent indicators of recurrence and overall survival in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients. However, there has been limited investigation into predicting the VETC pattern using hepatobiliary phase (HBP) features from preoperative gadobenate-enhanced MRI.

METHODS

This study involved 252 HCC patients with confirmed VETC status from three different hospitals (Hospital 1: training set with 142 patients; Hospital 2: test set with 64 patients; Hospital 3: validation set with 46 patients). Independent predictive factors for VETC status were determined through univariate and multivariate logistic analyses. Subsequently, these factors were used to construct two distinct VETC prediction models. Model 1 included all independent predictive factors, while Model 2 excluded HBP features. The performance of both models was assessed using the Area Under the Curve (AUC), Decision Curve Analysis, and Calibration Curve. Prediction accuracy between the two models was compared using Net Reclassification Improvement (NRI) and Integrated Discriminant Improvement (IDI).

RESULTS

CA199, IBIL, shape, peritumoral hyperintensity on HBP, and arterial peritumoral enhancement were independent predictors of VETC. Model 1 showed robust predictive performance, with AUCs of 0.836 (training), 0.811 (test), and 0.802 (validation). Model 2 exhibited moderate performance, with AUCs of 0.813, 0.773, and 0.783 in the respective sets. Calibration and decision curves for both models indicated consistent predictions between predicted and actual VETC, benefiting HCC patients. NRI showed Model 1 increased by 0.326, 0.389, and 0.478 in the training, test, and validation sets compared to Model 2. IDI indicated Model 1 increased by 0.036, 0.028, and 0.025 in the training, test, and validation sets compared to Model 2.

CONCLUSION

HBP features from preoperative gadobenate-enhanced MRI can enhance the predictive performance of VETC in HCC.

Intraindividual comparison of prognostic imaging features of HCCs between MRIs with extracellular and hepatobiliary contrast agents

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Accumulating evidence suggests that certain imaging features of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) may have prognostic implications. This study aimed to intraindividually compare MRIs with extracellular contrast agent (ECA-MRI) and hepatobiliary agent (HBA-MRI) for prognostic imaging features of HCC and to compare the prediction of microvascular invasion (MVI) and early recurrence between the two MRIs.

METHODS

The present study included 102 prospectively enrolled at-risk patients (median age, 61.0 years; 83 men) with surgically resected single HCC with both preoperative ECA-MRI and HBA-MRI between July 2019 and June 2023. The McNemar test was used to compare each prognostic imaging feature between the two MRIs. Significant imaging features associated with MVI were identified by multivariable logistic regression analysis, and early recurrence rates (<2 years) were compared between the two MRIs.

RESULTS

The frequencies of prognostic imaging features were not significantly different between the two MRIs (p = .07 to >.99). Non-smooth tumour margin (ECA-MRI, odds ratio [OR] = 5.30; HBA-MRI, OR = 7.07) and peritumoral arterial phase hyperenhancement (ECA-MRI, OR = 4.26; HBA-MRI, OR = 4.43) were independent factors significantly associated with MVI on both MRIs. Two-trait predictor of venous invasion (presence of internal arteries and absence of hypoattenuating halo) on ECA-MRI (OR = 11.24) and peritumoral HBP hypointensity on HBA-MRI (OR = 20.42) were other predictors of MVI. Early recurrence rates of any two or more significant imaging features (49.8% on ECA-MRI vs 51.3% on HBA-MRI, p = .75) were not significantly different between the two MRIs.

CONCLUSION

Prognostic imaging features of HCC may be comparable between ECA-MRI and HBA-MRI.

"Very early" intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (≤ 2.0 cm): MRI manifestation and prognostic potential

AIMS

To explore the MRI characteristics and clinical outcome of the "very early" intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (iCCA) ≤2.0cm.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Totally 213 pathologically confirmed iCCAs (44 ≤ 2.0cm and 169 of 2.0-5.0cm) from two institutes were included. Forty-four matching non-iCCA malignancies ≤2.0cm were also enrolled. Recurrence-free survival (RFS) was estimated and compared between iCCAs ≤2.0cm and 2.0-5.0cm. MRI features were analyzed and compared between iCCAs ≤2.0cm and 2.0-5.0cm, as well as between iCCAs ≤2.0cm and non-iCCAs ≤2.0cm. Univariate and multivariate regression analyses were performed to identify independent imaging features for discrimination. An MRI-based diagnostic model for iCCA ≤2.0cm was constructed by incorporating the independent imaging features.

RESULTS

ICCAs ≤2.0cm had a significantly longer RFS than those of 2.0-5.0cm (log rank P=0.014). Imaging features of homogeneous signal (odds ratio (OR) = 6.677, P<0.001) and lack of vessel invasion (OR=7.56, P<0.001) were more frequently displayed in iCCAs ≤2.0cm compared to iCCAs of 2.0-5.0cm independently. In the small lesions ≤2.0cm, imaging features of progressive or persistent enhancement pattern (OR=27.78, P=0.002) and rim diffusion restriction (OR=5.70, P=0.027) were independent imaging features suggestive of iCCA over non-iCCA malignancy; their combination yielded an area under the curve value of 0.824, with a sensitivity of 97.73%.

CONCLUSION

The "very early" iCCA ≤2.0cm was associated with a favorable outcome after surgery, it displayed different and relatively atypical imaging manifestations compared with those of 2.0-5.0cm. Furthermore, in the small lesions ≤ 2.0cm, MRI can be served as a useful non-invasive diagnostic tool for iCCA in clinical screening with high sensitivity.

Magnetic Resonance Deep Learning Radiomic Model Based on Distinct Metastatic Vascular Patterns for Evaluating Recurrence-Free Survival in Hepatocellular Carcinoma

BACKGROUND

The metastatic vascular patterns of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) are mainly microvascular invasion (MVI) and vessels encapsulating tumor clusters (VETC). However, most existing VETC-related radiological studies still focus on the prediction of VETC status.

PURPOSE

This study aimed to build and compare VETC-MVI related models (clinical, radiomics, and deep learning) associated with recurrence-free survival of HCC patients.

STUDY TYPE

Retrospective.

POPULATION

398 HCC patients (349 male, 49 female; median age 51.7 years, and age range: 22-80 years) who underwent resection from five hospitals in China. The patients were randomly divided into training cohort (n = 358) and test cohort (n = 40).

FIELD STRENGTH/SEQUENCE

3-T, pre-contrast T1-weighted imaging spoiled gradient recalled echo (T1WI SPGR), T2-weighted imaging fast spin echo (T2WI FSE), and contrast enhanced arterial phase (AP), delay phase (DP).

ASSESSMENT

Two radiologists performed the segmentation of HCC on T1WI, T2WI, AP, and DP images, from which radiomic features were extracted. The RFS related clinical characteristics (VETC, MVI, Barcelona stage, tumor maximum diameter, and alpha fetoprotein) and radiomic features were used to build the clinical model, clinical-radiomic (CR) nomogram, deep learning model. The follow-up process was done 1 month after resection, and every 3 months subsequently. The RFS was defined as the date of resection to the date of recurrence confirmed by radiology or the last follow-up. Patients were followed up until December 31, 2022.

STATISTICAL TESTS

Univariate COX regression, least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO), Kaplan-Meier curves, log-rank test, C-index, and area under the curve (AUC). P < 0.05 was considered statistically significant.

RESULTS

The C-index of deep learning model achieved 0.830 in test cohort compared with CR nomogram (0.731), radiomic signature (0.707), and clinical model (0.702). The average RFS of the overall patients was 26.77 months (range 1-80 months).

DATA CONCLUSION

MR deep learning model based on VETC and MVI provides a potential tool for survival assessment.

EVIDENCE LEVEL

3 TECHNICAL EFFICACY: Stage 3.

Role of peritumoral tissue analysis in predicting characteristics of hepatocellular carcinoma using ultrasound-based radiomics

Predicting the biological characteristics of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is essential for personalized treatment. This study explored the role of ultrasound-based radiomics of peritumoral tissues for predicting HCC features, focusing on differentiation, cytokeratin 7 (CK7) and Ki67 expression, and p53 mutation status. A cohort of 153 patients with HCC underwent ultrasound examinations and radiomics features were extracted from peritumoral tissues. Subgroups were formed based on HCC characteristics. Predictive modeling was carried out using the XGBOOST algorithm in the differentiation subgroup, logistic regression in the CK7 and Ki67 expression subgroups, and support vector machine learning in the p53 mutation status subgroups. The predictive models demonstrated robust performance, with areas under the curves of 0.815 (0.683-0.948) in the differentiation subgroup, 0.922 (0.785-1) in the CK7 subgroup, 0.762 (0.618-0.906) in the Ki67 subgroup, and 0.849 (0.667-1) in the p53 mutation status subgroup. Confusion matrices and waterfall plots highlighted the good performance of the models. Comprehensive evaluation was carried out using SHapley Additive exPlanations plots, which revealed notable contributions from wavelet filter features. This study highlights the potential of ultrasound-based radiomics, specifically the importance of peritumoral tissue analysis, for predicting HCC characteristics. The results warrant further validation of peritumoral tissue radiomics in larger, multicenter studies.

Prognostic MRI features to predict postresection survivals for very early to intermediate stage hepatocellular carcinoma

OBJECTIVES

Contrast-enhanced MRI can provide individualized prognostic information for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). We aimed to investigate the value of MRI features to predict early (≤ 2 years)/late (> 2 years) recurrence-free survival (E-RFS and L-RFS, respectively) and overall survival (OS).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Consecutive adult patients at a tertiary academic center who received curative-intent liver resection for very early to intermediate stage HCC and underwent preoperative contrast-enhanced MRI were retrospectively enrolled from March 2011 to April 2021. Three masked radiologists independently assessed 54 MRI features. Uni- and multivariable Cox regression analyses were conducted to investigate the associations of imaging features with E-RFS, L-RFS, and OS.

RESULTS

This study included 600 patients (median age, 53 years; 526 men). During a median follow-up of 55.3 months, 51% of patients experienced recurrence (early recurrence: 66%; late recurrence: 34%), and 17% died. Tumor size, multiple tumors, rim arterial phase hyperenhancement, iron sparing in solid mass, tumor growth pattern, and gastroesophageal varices were associated with E-RFS and OS (largest p = .02). Nonperipheral washout (p = .006), markedly low apparent diffusion coefficient value (p = .02), intratumoral arteries (p = .01), and width of the main portal vein (p = .03) were associated with E-RFS but not with L-RFS or OS, while the VICT2 trait was specifically associated with OS (p = .02). Multiple tumors (p = .048) and radiologically-evident cirrhosis (p < .001) were the only predictors for L-RFS.

CONCLUSION

Twelve visually-assessed MRI features predicted postoperative E-RFS (≤ 2 years), L-RFS (> 2 years), and OS for very early to intermediate-stage HCCs.

CLINICAL RELEVANCE STATEMENT

The prognostic MRI features may help inform personalized surgical planning, neoadjuvant/adjuvant therapies, and postoperative surveillance, thus may be included in future prognostic models.

KEY POINTS

• Tumor size, multiple tumors, rim arterial phase hyperenhancement, iron sparing, tumor growth pattern, and gastroesophageal varices predicted both recurrence-free survival within 2 years and overall survival. • Nonperipheral washout, markedly low apparent diffusion coefficient value, intratumoral arteries, and width of the main portal vein specifically predicted recurrence-free survival within 2 years, while the VICT2 trait specifically predicted overall survival. • Multiple tumors and radiologically-evident cirrhosis were the only predictors for recurrence-free survival beyond 2 years.

MRI-Based Radiomics and Deep Learning in Biological Characteristics and Prognosis of Hepatocellular Carcinoma: Opportunities and Challenges

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the fifth most common malignancy and the third leading cause of cancer-related death worldwide. HCC exhibits strong inter-tumor heterogeneity, with different biological characteristics closely associated with prognosis. In addition, patients with HCC often distribute at different stages and require diverse treatment options at each stage. Due to the variability in tumor sensitivity to different therapies, determining the optimal treatment approach can be challenging for clinicians prior to treatment. Artificial intelligence (AI) technology, including radiomics and deep learning approaches, has emerged as a unique opportunity to improve the spectrum of HCC clinical care by predicting biological characteristics and prognosis in the medical imaging field. The radiomics approach utilizes handcrafted features derived from specific mathematical formulas to construct various machine-learning models for medical applications. In terms of the deep learning approach, convolutional neural network models are developed to achieve high classification performance based on automatic feature extraction from images. Magnetic resonance imaging offers the advantage of superior tissue resolution and functional information. This comprehensive evaluation plays a vital role in the accurate assessment and effective treatment planning for HCC patients. Recent studies have applied radiomics and deep learning approaches to develop AI-enabled models to improve accuracy in predicting biological characteristics and prognosis, such as microvascular invasion and tumor recurrence. Although AI-enabled models have demonstrated promising potential in HCC with biological characteristics and prognosis prediction with high performance, one of the biggest challenges, interpretability, has hindered their implementation in clinical practice. In the future, continued research is needed to improve the interpretability of AI-enabled models, including aspects such as domain knowledge, novel algorithms, and multi-dimension data sources. Overcoming these challenges would allow AI-enabled models to significantly impact the care provided to HCC patients, ultimately leading to their deployment for clinical use. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: 5 TECHNICAL EFFICACY: Stage 2.

Extracellular contrast agent-enhanced MRI is as effective as gadoxetate disodium-enhanced MRI for predicting microvascular invasion in HCC

PURPOSE

To compare the performances of gadoxetate disodium-enhanced MRI (EOB-MRI) and extracellular contrast agent-enhanced MRI (ECA-MRI) for predicting microvascular invasion (MVI) in HCC.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

From November 2009 to December 2021, consecutive HCC patients who underwent preoperative contrast-enhanced MRI were retrospectively enrolled into either an ECA-MRI or EOB-MRI cohort. In the ECA-MRI cohort, a preoperative MVI score was constructed in the training dataset using a logistic regression model that evaluated pathological type. In a propensity score-matched testing dataset of the ECA-MRI cohort, the MVI score was validated and compared with a previously proposed EOB-MRI-based MVI score calculated in the EOB-MRI cohort. Time-to-early recurrence survival was evaluated by the Kaplan-Meier method with the log-rank test.

RESULTS

A total of 536 patients were included (478 men; 53 years, interquartile range, 46-62 years), 322 (60.1 %) with pathologically confirmed MVI. Based on the training dataset, independent variables associated with MVI included serum alpha-fetoprotein > 400 ng/ml (odds ratio [OR] = 2.3), infiltrative appearance (OR = 4.9), internal artery (OR = 2.5) and nodule-in-nodule architecture (OR = 2.4), which were incorporated into the ECA-MRI-based MVI score. The testing dataset AUC of the ECA-MRI score was 0.720, which was comparable to that of the EOB-MRI-based MVI score (AUC = 0.721; P =.99). Patients from either the ECA-MRI or the EOB-MRI cohort with model-predicted MVI had significantly shorter time-to-early recurrence than those without MVI (P <.001).

CONCLUSION

Based on the preoperative serum alpha-fetoprotein and three MRI features, ECA-MRI demonstrated comparable performance to EOB-MRI for predicting MVI in HCC.

Hepatocellular Carcinoma: Optimal Radiological Evaluation before Liver Transplantation

Liver transplantation (LT) is the recommended curative-intent treatment for patients with early or intermediate-stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) who are ineligible for resection. Imaging plays a central role in staging and for selecting the best LT candidates. This review will discuss recent developments in pre-LT imaging assessment, in particular LT eligibility criteria on imaging, the technical requirements and the diagnostic performance of imaging for the pre-LT diagnosis of HCC including the recent Liver Imaging Reporting and Data System (LI-RADS) criteria, the evaluation of the response to locoregional therapy, as well as the non-invasive prediction of HCC aggressiveness and its impact on the outcome of LT. We will also briefly discuss the role of nuclear medicine in the pre-LT evaluation and the emerging role of artificial intelligence models in patients with HCC.

Development of a Model including MRI Features for Predicting Advanced-stage Recurrence of Hepatocellular Carcinoma after Liver Resection

Background Identifying patients at high risk for advanced-stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) recurrence after liver resection may improve patient survival. Purpose To develop a model including MRI features for predicting postoperative advanced-stage HCC recurrence. Materials and Methods This single-center, retrospective study includes consecutive adult patients who underwent preoperative contrast-enhanced MRI and curative-intent resection for early- to intermediate-stage HCC (from December 2011 to April 2021). Three radiologists evaluated 52 qualitative features on MRI scans. In the training set, Fine-Gray proportional subdistribution hazard analysis was performed to identify clinical, laboratory, imaging, pathologic, and surgical variables to include in the predictive model. In the test set, the concordance index (C-index) was computed to compare the developed model with current staging systems. The Kaplan-Meier survival curves were compared using the log-rank test. Results The study included 532 patients (median age, 54 years; IQR, 46-62 years; 465 male patients), 302 patients from the training set (median age, 54 years; IQR, 46-63 years; 265 male patients), and 128 patients from the test set (median age, 53 years; IQR, 46-63 years; 108 male patients). Advanced-stage recurrence was observed in 38 of 302 (12.6%) and 15 of 128 (11.7%) of patients from the training and test sets, respectively. Serum neutrophil count (109/L), tumor size (in centimeters), and arterial phase hyperenhancement proportion on MRI scans were associated with advanced-stage recurrence (subdistribution hazard ratio range, 1.16-3.83; 95% CI: 1.02, 7.52; P value range, <.001 to .02) and included in the predictive model. The model showed better test set prediction for advanced-stage recurrence than four staging systems (2-year C-indexes, 0.82 [95% CI: 0.74, 0.91] vs 0.63-0.68 [95% CI: 0.52, 0.82]; P value range, .001-.03). Patients at high risk for HCC recurrence (model score, ≥15 points) showed increased advanced-stage recurrence and worse all-stage recurrence-free survival (RFS), advanced-stage RFS, and overall survival than patients at low risk for HCC recurrence (P value range, <.001 to .02). Conclusion A model combining serum neutrophil count, tumor size, and arterial phase hyperenhancement proportion predicted advanced-stage HCC recurrence better than current staging systems and may identify patients at high risk. Published under a CC BY 4.0 license. Supplemental material is available for this article. See also the editorial by Tsai and Mellnick in this issue.

Microvascular invasion-negative hepatocellular carcinoma: Prognostic value of qualitative and quantitative Gd-EOB-DTPA MRI analysis

OBJECTIVES

The purpose of this study was to establish a model for predicting the prognosis of patients with microvascular invasion (MVI)-negative hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) based on qualitative and quantitative analyses of Gd-EOB-DTPA magnetic resonance imaging (MRI).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Consecutive patients with MVI-negative HCC who underwent preoperative Gd-EOB-DTPA MRI between January 2015 and December 2019 were retrospectively enrolled.In total, 122 patients were randomly assigned to the training and validation groups at a ratio of 7:3. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed to identify significant clinical parameters and MRI features, including quantitative and qualitative parameters associated with prognosis, which were incorporated into a predictive nomogram. The end-point of this study was recurrence-free survival. Outcomes were compared between groups using the Kaplan-Meier method with the log-rank test.

RESULTS

During a median follow-up period of 58.86 months, 38 patients (31.15 %) experienced recurrence. Multivariate analysis revealed that lower relative enhancement ratio (RER), hepatobiliary phase hypointensity without arterial phase hyperenhancement, Liver Imaging Reporting and Data System category, mild-moderate T2 hyperintensity, and higher aspartate aminotransferase levels were risk factors associated with prognosis and then incorporated into the prognostic model. C-indices for training and validation groups were 0.732 and 0.692, respectively. The most appropriate cut-off value for RER was 1.197. Patients with RER ≤ 1.197 had significantly higher postoperative recurrence rates than those with RER > 1.197 (p = 0.004).

CONCLUSION

The model integrating qualitative and quantitative imaging parameters and clinical parameters satisfactorily predicted the prognosis of patients with MVI-negative HCC.

MRI Features for Predicting Microvascular Invasion and Postoperative Recurrence in Hepatocellular Carcinoma Without Peritumoral Hypointensity

Purpose

To identify MRI features of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) that predict microvascular invasion (MVI) and postoperative intrahepatic recurrence in patients without peritumoral hepatobiliary phase (HBP) hypointensity.

Patients and Methods

One hundred and thirty patients with HCC who underwent preoperative gadoxetate-enhanced MRI and curative hepatic resection were retrospectively reviewed. Two radiologists reviewed all preoperative MR images and assessed the radiological features of HCCs. The ability of peritumoral HBP hypointensity to identify MVI and intrahepatic recurrence was analyzed. We then assessed the MRI features of HCC that predicted the MVI and intrahepatic recurrence-free survival (RFS) in the subgroup without peritumoral HBP hypointensity. Finally, a two-step flowchart was constructed to assist in clinical decision-making.

Results

Peritumoral HBP hypointensity (odds ratio, 3.019; 95% confidence interval: 1.071-8.512; P=0.037) was an independent predictor of MVI. The sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, negative predictive value, and AUROC of peritumoral HBP hypointensity in predicting MVI were 23.80%, 91.04%, 71.23%, 55.96%, and 0.574, respectively. Intrahepatic RFS was significantly shorter in patients with peritumoral HBP hypointensity (P<0.001). In patients without peritumoral HBP hypointensity, the only significant difference between MVI-positive and MVI-negative HCCs was the presence of a radiological capsule (P=0.038). Satellite nodule was an independent risk factor for intrahepatic RFS (hazard ratio,3.324; 95% CI: 1.733-6.378; P<0.001). The high-risk HCC detection rate was significantly higher when using the two-step flowchart that incorporated peritumoral HBP hypointensity and satellite nodule than when using peritumoral HBP hypointensity alone (P<0.001).

Conclusion

In patients without peritumoral HBP hypointensity, a radiological capsule is useful for identifying MVI and satellite nodule is an independent risk factor for intrahepatic RFS.