Interobserver Variability in CT-based Morphologic Tumor Response Assessment of Colorectal Liver Metastases

Prognostic value of the tumor-to-liver density ratio in patients with metastatic colorectal cancer treated with bevacizumab-based chemotherapy. A post-hoc study of the STIC-AVASTIN trial

BACKGROUND

The Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors (RECIST) are often inadequate for the early assessment of the response to cancer therapy, particularly bevacizumab-based chemotherapy. In a first cohort of patients with colorectal cancer liver metastases (CRLM), we showed that variations of the tumor-to-liver density (TTLD) ratio and modified size-based criteria determined using computed tomography (CT) data at the first restaging were better prognostic criteria than the RECIST. The aims of this study were to confirm the relevance of these radiological biomarkers as early predictors of the long-term clinical outcome and to assess their correlation with contrast-enhanced ultrasound (CEUS) parameters in a new patient cohort.

METHODS

In this post-hoc study of the multicenter STIC-AVASTIN trial, we retrospectively reviewed CT data of patients with CRLM treated with bevacizumab-based regimens. We determined the size, density and TTLD ratio of target liver lesions at baseline and at the first restaging and also performed a morphologic evaluation according to the MD Anderson criteria. We assessed the correlation of these parameters with progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) using the log-rank test and a Cox proportional hazard model. We also examined the association between TTLD ratio and quantitative CEUS parameters.

RESULTS

This analysis concerned 79 of the 137 patients included in the STIC-AVASTIN trial. PFS and OS were significantly longer in patients with tumor size reduction > 15% at first restaging, but were not correlated with TTLD ratio variations. However, PFS was longer in patients with TTLD ratio > 0.6 at baseline and first restaging than in those who did not reach this threshold. In the multivariate analysis, only baseline TTLD ratio > 0.6 was a significant survival predictor. TTLD ratio > 0.6 was associated with improved perfusion parameters.

CONCLUSIONS

Although TTLD ratio variations did not correlate with the long-term clinical outcomes, TTLD absolute values remained a good predictor of survival at baseline and first restaging, and may reflect tumor microvascular features that might influence bevacizumab-based treatment efficiency.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

NCT00489697, registration number of the STIC-AVASTIN trial.

Extracellular volume fraction can predict the treatment response and survival outcome of colorectal cancer liver metastases

OBJECTIVE

To assess the prognostic value of pre- and post-therapeutic changes in extracellular volume (ECV) fraction of liver metastases (LMs) for treatment response (TR) and survival outcomes in colorectal cancer liver metastases (CRLM).

METHODS

186 LMs were confirmed by pathology or follow-up (Training: 130; Test: 56). We analyzed the changes in ECV fraction of LMs before and after 2 cycles of chemotherapy combined with bevacizumab. After 12 cycles, we evaluated the TR on LMs based on the RECIST v1.1. Relative changes in ECV fraction and Hounsfield Units (HU), defined as ΔECV and ΔHU, were associated with progression-free survival (PFS), overall survival (OS), and TR. We identified TR predictors with multivariate logistic regression and PFS, OS risk factors with COX analysis.

RESULTS

186 LMs were classified as TR lesions (TR+: 84) and non-TR lesions (TR-:102). ΔECV, ΔHUA-E, and texture could distinguish the TR of LMs in training and test set (P < 0.05). ΔECV [Odds ratio (OR): 1.03; 95% Confidence interval (CI): 1.02-1.05, P < 0.01] was an independent predictor of TR-. Area under the curve (AUC), sensitivity and specificity of TR model in training and test set were 0.87, 0.84, 90.14%, 90.32%, 72.88%, 64.00%, respectively. High CRD_score indicates that patients have shorter PFS [Hazard ratio (HR): 2.01; 95%CI: 1.02-3.98, P = 0.045)] and OS (HR: 1.89, 95%CI: 1.04-3.42, P = 0.038).

CONCLUSION

ΔECV can be used as an independent predictor of TR of CRLM chemotherapy combined with bevacizumab.

Machine learning slice-wise whole-lung CT emphysema score correlates with airway obstruction

OBJECTIVES

Quantitative CT imaging is an important emphysema biomarker, especially in smoking cohorts, but does not always correlate to radiologists' visual CT assessments. The objectives were to develop and validate a neural network-based slice-wise whole-lung emphysema score (SWES) for chest CT, to validate SWES on unseen CT data, and to compare SWES with a conventional quantitative CT method.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Separate cohorts were used for algorithm development and validation. For validation, thin-slice CT stacks from 474 participants in the prospective cross-sectional Swedish CArdioPulmonary bioImage Study (SCAPIS) were included, 395 randomly selected and 79 from an emphysema cohort. Spirometry (FEV1/FVC) and radiologists' visual emphysema scores (sum-visual) obtained at inclusion in SCAPIS were used as reference tests. SWES was compared with a commercially available quantitative emphysema scoring method (LAV950) using Pearson's correlation coefficients and receiver operating characteristics (ROC) analysis.

RESULTS

SWES correlated more strongly with the visual scores than LAV950 (r = 0.78 vs. r = 0.41, p < 0.001). The area under the ROC curve for the prediction of airway obstruction was larger for SWES than for LAV950 (0.76 vs. 0.61, p = 0.007). SWES correlated more strongly with FEV1/FVC than either LAV950 or sum-visual in the full cohort (r =  - 0.69 vs. r =  - 0.49/r =  - 0.64, p < 0.001/p = 0.007), in the emphysema cohort (r =  - 0.77 vs. r =  - 0.69/r =  - 0.65, p = 0.03/p = 0.002), and in the random sample (r =  - 0.39 vs. r =  - 0.26/r =  - 0.25, p = 0.001/p = 0.007).

CONCLUSION

The slice-wise whole-lung emphysema score (SWES) correlates better than LAV950 with radiologists' visual emphysema scores and correlates better with airway obstruction than do LAV950 and radiologists' visual scores.

CLINICAL RELEVANCE STATEMENT

The slice-wise whole-lung emphysema score provides quantitative emphysema information for CT imaging that avoids the disadvantages of threshold-based scores and is correlated more strongly with reference tests than LAV950 and reader visual scores.

KEY POINTS

• A slice-wise whole-lung emphysema score (SWES) was developed to quantify emphysema in chest CT images. • SWES identified visual emphysema and spirometric airflow limitation significantly better than threshold-based score (LAV950). • SWES improved emphysema quantification in CT images, which is especially useful in large-scale research.

Is CT or FDG-PET more useful for evaluation of the treatment response in metastatic HER2-positive breast cancer? a case report and literature review

Response evaluation criteria in solid tumors version 1.1 (RECIST ver1.1) has been widely adopted to evaluate treatment efficacy in solid tumors, including breast cancer (BC), in clinical trials and clinical practice. RECIST is based mainly on computed tomography (CT) images, and the role of fluorodeoxyglucose-positron emission tomography (FDG-PET) is limited. However, because the rate of tumor shrinkage on CT does not necessarily reflect the potential remaining tumor cells, there may be a discrepancy between the treatment response and prognosis in some cases. Here we report a case of metastatic human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2)-positive BC where FDG-PET was preferable to CT for evaluation of the treatment response. A 40-year-old woman became aware of a lump in her right breast in September 201X. She was pregnant and underwent further examinations, including a biopsy, in November. The diagnosis was HER2-positive BC (cT2N2bM1, stage IV). Trastuzumab plus pertuzumab plus docetaxel (TPD) therapy was initiated in December 201X. CT performed in February 201X+1 showed cystic changes in the metastatic lesions in the liver, and the treatment response was stable disease (SD) according to RECIST. However, FDG-PET in March 201X+1 did not detect abnormal uptake of FDG in the hepatic lesions. The disease remained stable thereafter. Thus, tumor shrinkage may not be apparent in situations where the response to treatment results in rapid changes in blood flow within the tumor, which is associated with cystic changes. When patients with hypervascular liver metastases receive treatment with highly effective regimens, the target lesion may show cystic changes rather than shrinkage, as observed in the present case. Therefore, FDG-PET is sometimes superior to CT in judging a tumor response.