Clinical Significance of the Relationship between Progression-Free Survival or Postprogression Survival and Overall Survival in Patients with Extensive Disease-Small-Cell Lung Cancer Treated with Carboplatin plus Etoposide

Berzosertib Plus Topotecan vs Topotecan Alone in Patients With Relapsed Small Cell Lung Cancer: A Randomized Clinical Trial

Importance

Patients with relapsed small cell lung cancer (SCLC), a high replication stress tumor, have poor prognoses and few therapeutic options. A phase 2 study showed antitumor activity with the addition of the ataxia telangiectasia and Rad3-related kinase inhibitor berzosertib to topotecan.

Objective

To investigate whether the addition of berzosertib to topotecan improves clinical outcomes for patients with relapsed SCLC.

Design, Setting, and Participants

Between December 1, 2019, and December 31, 2022, this open-label phase 2 randomized clinical trial recruited 60 patients with SCLC and relapse after 1 or more prior therapies from 16 US cancer centers. Patients previously treated with topotecan were not eligible.

Interventions

Eligible patients were randomly assigned to receive topotecan alone (group 1), 1.25 mg/m2 intravenously on days 1 through 5, or with berzosertib (group 2), 210 mg/m2 intravenously on days 2 and 5, in 21-day cycles. Randomization was stratified by tumor sensitivity to first-line platinum-based chemotherapy.

Main Outcomes and Measures

The primary end point was progression-free survival (PFS) in the intention-to-treat population. Secondary end points included overall survival (OS) in the overall population and among patients with platinum-sensitive or platinum-resistant tumors. The PFS and OS for each treatment group were estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method. The log-rank test was used to compare PFS and OS between the 2 groups, and Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate the treatment hazard ratios (HRs) and the corresponding 2-sided 95% CI.

Results

Of 60 patients (median [range] age, 59 [34-79] years; 33 [55%] male) included in this study, 20 were randomly assigned to receive topotecan alone and 40 to receive a combination of topotecan with berzosertib. After a median (IQR) follow-up of 21.3 (18.1-28.3) months, there was no difference in PFS between the 2 groups (median, 3.0 [95% CI, 1.2-5.1] months for group 1 vs 3.9 [95% CI, 2.8-4.6] months for group 2; HR, 0.80 [95% CI, 0.46-1.41]; P = .44). Overall survival was significantly longer with the combination therapy (5.4 [95% CI, 3.2-6.8] months vs 8.9 [95% CI, 4.8-11.4] months; HR, 0.53 [95% CI, 0.29-0.96], P = .03). Adverse event profiles were similar between the 2 groups (eg, grade 3 or 4 thrombocytopenia, 11 of 20 [55%] vs 20 of 40 [50%], and any grade nausea, 9 of 20 [45%] vs 14 of 40 [35%]).

Conclusions and Relevance

In this randomized clinical trial, treatment with berzosertib plus topotecan did not improve PFS compared with topotecan therapy alone among patients with relapsed SCLC. However, the combination treatment significantly improved OS.

Trial Registration

ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT03896503.

Post-progression survival after atezolizumab plus carboplatin and etoposide as first-line chemotherapy in small cell lung cancer has a significant impact on overall survival

BACKGROUND

The effect of first-line chemotherapy on overall survival (OS) may be significantly influenced by subsequent therapy for patients with extensive disease small cell lung cancer (ED-SCLC). Therefore, we evaluated the relationship between progression-free survival (PFS), post-progression survival (PPS), and OS of ED-SCLC patients treated with atezolizumab plus carboplatin and etoposide as first-line therapy.

METHODS

We analyzed the data of 57 patients with relapsed ED-SCLC treated with atezolizumab plus carboplatin and etoposide (AteCE) as first-line chemotherapy between August 2019 and September 2020. The respective correlations between PFS-OS and PPS-OS following first-line AteCE treatment were examined at the individual patient level.

RESULTS

Spearman's rank correlation analysis and linear regression analysis showed that PPS strongly correlated with OS (r = 0.93, p < 0.05, R²  = 0.85) and that PFS moderately correlated with OS (r = 0.55, p < 0.05, R²  = 0.28). Performance status at relapse (0-1/≥2), number of cycles of atezolizumab maintenance therapy (<3/≥3), and platinum rechallenge chemotherapy all significantly positively correlated with PPS (p < 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

Upon comparing OS-PFS and OS-PPS in this patient population, OS and PPS were found to have a stronger correlation. These results suggest that performance status at relapse, atezolizumab maintenance, or chemotherapy rechallenge could affect PPS.

Analysis of a Real-World Progression Variable and Related Endpoints for Patients with Five Different Cancer Types

Introduction

We previously demonstrated that real-world progression (rwP) can be ascertained from unstructured electronic health record (EHR)-derived documents using a novel abstraction approach for patients with advanced non-small cell lung cancer (base case). The objective of this methodological study was to assess the reliability, clinical relevance, and the need for disease-specific adjustments of this abstraction approach in five additional solid tumor types.

Methods

Patients with metastatic breast cancer (mBC), advanced melanoma (aMel), small cell lung cancer (SCLC), metastatic renal cell carcinoma (mRCC), and advanced gastric/esophageal cancer (aGEC) were selected from a real-world database. Disease-specific additions to the base case were implemented as needed. The resulting abstraction approach was applied to each disease cohort to capture rwP events and dates. To provide comprehensive clinical context, real-world progression-free survival (rwPFS) and time to progression (rwTTP) were compared to real-world overall survival (rwOS), time to next treatment (rwTTNT), and time to treatment discontinuation (rwTTD). Endpoint estimates were assessed using the Kaplan–Meier method. Correlations between real-world endpoints and rwOS were calculated using Spearman’s ρ.

Results

Additions to the base-case rwP abstraction approach were required for mBC, aMel, and SCLC. Inter-abstractor agreement for rwP occurrence, irrespective of date, ranged from 88% to 97%. Occurrence of clinically relevant downstream events (new antineoplastic systemic therapy start, antineoplastic systemic therapy end, or death relative to the rwP event) ranged from 59% (aMel) to 72% (mBC). Median rwPFS ranged from 3.7 (aMel) to 7.7 (mBC) months, and median rwTTP ranged from 4.6 (aMel) to 8.3 (mRCC) months. Correlations between rwOS and rwPFS ranged from 0.52 (aMel) to 0.82 (SCLC). The correlation between rwOS and rwTTD was often lower relative to other comparisons (range 0.40–0.62).

Conclusion

Derivation of a rwP variable from EHR documentation is feasible and reliable across the five solid tumors. Endpoint analyses show that rwP produces clinically meaningful information.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s12325-022-02091-8.

Post-Progression Survival Influences Overall Survival among Patients with Advanced Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer Undergoing First-Line Pembrolizumab Monotherapy

BACKGROUND

Among patients with non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC), the impact of first-line treatment on overall survival (OS) may be influenced by subsequent therapies. Thus, using patient-level data, we assessed the relationships of progression-free survival (PFS) and post-progression survival (PPS) with OS among patients with high-programmed death-ligand 1 (PD-L1) expression undergoing first-line pembrolizumab monotherapy for NSCLC.

METHODS

We reviewed data from 133 patients with high PD-L1 expression undergoing first-line pembrolizumab monotherapy for NSCLC at 6 Japanese centers between February 2017 and December 2018. The correlations of PFS and PPS with OS were evaluated at the patient level.

RESULTS

Linear regression analyses and Spearman's rank correlation coefficient revealed that PPS was strongly correlated with OS (r = 0.76, p < 0.05, R2 = 0.65), while PFS was only moderately correlated with OS (r = 0.71, p < 0.05, and R2 = 0.4). Furthermore, PPS was significantly associated with performance status at the end of pembrolizumab monotherapy, as well as the use of platinum-based combination chemotherapy after pembrolizumab monotherapy (both p < 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

Among patients with high PD-L1 expression undergoing first-line pembrolizumab monotherapy for NSCLC, PPS was more strongly correlated with OS, relative to the relationship between PFS and OS. Therefore, subsequent treatment appears to significantly influence OS in patients with disease progression following first-line pembrolizumab monotherapy.

Post-Progression Survival Is Strongly Associated with Overall Survival in Patients Exhibiting Postoperative Relapse of Non-Small-Cell Lung Cancer Harboring Sensitizing EGFR Mutations

Background and Objective: Patients with advanced non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC) harboring sensitizing epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) mutations show a good response to EGFR-tyrosine kinase inhibitors (EGFR-TKIs). The subsequent treatments influence the evaluability of the efficacy of front-line therapy on overall survival (OS). Consequently, we evaluated the associations of relapse-free survival (RFS) and post-progression survival (PPS) with OS in patients who exhibited postoperative relapse of EGFR-mutated NSCLC. Materials and Methods: We analyzed the data of 35 patients with EGFR-mutated NSCLC who underwent complete resection between January 2007 and June 2019. The correlations of RFS and PPS with OS were evaluated at the individual patient level. Results: Linear regression and Spearman’s rank correlation analyses demonstrated that the PPS highly correlated with OS (r = 0.91, p < 0.05, R² = 0.85), whereas the RFS weakly associated with OS (r = 0.36, p < 0.05, R² = 0.25). Age and performance status at relapse were significantly associated with PPS. Conclusion: Overall, PPS was more strongly and significantly associated with OS than RFS. These results suggest that the OS of our cohort may be affected by treatments, besides postoperative relapse. However, larger-scale prospective studies are needed to confirm these results.

Veliparib in Combination with Carboplatin and Etoposide in Patients with Treatment-Naïve Extensive-Stage Small Cell Lung Cancer: A Phase 2 Randomized Study

PURPOSE

This study investigated the efficacy and safety of oral PARP inhibitor veliparib, plus carboplatin and etoposide in patients with treatment-naïve, extensive-stage small cell lung cancer (ED-SCLC).

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Patients were randomized 1:1:1 to veliparib [240 mg twice daily (BID) for 14 days] plus chemotherapy followed by veliparib maintenance (400 mg BID; veliparib throughout), veliparib plus chemotherapy followed by placebo (veliparib combination only), or placebo plus chemotherapy followed by placebo (control). Patients received 4-6 cycles of combination therapy, then maintenance until unacceptable toxicity/progression. The primary endpoint was progression-free survival (PFS) with veliparib throughout versus control.

RESULTS

Overall (N = 181), PFS was improved with veliparib throughout versus control [hazard ratio (HR), 0.67; 80% confidence interval (CI), 0.50-0.88; P = 0.059]; median PFS was 5.8 and 5.6 months, respectively. There was a trend toward improved PFS with veliparib throughout versus control in SLFN11-positive patients (HR, 0.6; 80% CI, 0.36-0.97). Median overall survival (OS) was 10.1 versus 12.4 months in the veliparib throughout and control arms, respectively (HR, 1.43; 80% CI, 1.09-1.88). Grade 3/4 adverse events were experienced by 82%, 88%, and 68% of patients in the veliparib throughout, veliparib combination-only and control arms, most commonly hematologic.

CONCLUSIONS

Veliparib plus platinum chemotherapy followed by veliparib maintenance demonstrated improved PFS as first-line treatment for ED-SCLC with an acceptable safety profile, but there was no corresponding benefit in OS. Further investigation is warranted to define the role of biomarkers in this setting.

Clinical impact of post-progression survival on overall survival in patients receiving nivolumab monotherapy as a second-line treatment for advanced non-small cell lung cancer

Background

The effect of second‐line treatment on overall survival (OS) may be affected by subsequent treatment in patients with non‐small cell lung cancer (NSCLC); however, in such patients, the correlation between post‐progression survival (PPS) and OS is unclear. Our study assessed the correlation of progression‐free survival (PFS) and PPS with OS, using individual patient data, in advanced NSCLC patients who were treated with second‐line nivolumab monotherapy,

Methods

Between January 2016 and March 2019, we evaluated 92 NSCLC patients who received second‐line nivolumab treatment after first‐line platinum‐based combination chemotherapy. Using individual patient data, the correlations of PFS and PPS with OS were examined.

Results

Linear regression and Spearman rank correlation analysis demonstrated that PPS was strongly correlated with OS (r = 0.85, p < 0.05, R² = 0.75), while PFS was moderately correlated with OS (r = 0.65, p < 0.05, R² = 0.42). Performance status at the beginning of second‐line treatment, immune checkpoint inhibitor rechallenge, and the number of treatment regimens used post‐progression, after the second‐line treatment significantly correlated with PPS (p < 0.05). In advanced NSCLC patients who underwent second‐line treatment with nivolumab, in comparison to PFS, there was a stronger correlation between PPS and OS.

Conclusions

Our findings suggest that subsequent treatment for disease progression after a second‐line nivolumab treatment had a significant impact on OS.

Post-progression survival is highly linked to overall survival in patients with non-small-cell lung cancer harboring sensitive EGFR mutations treated with first-line epidermal growth factor receptor-tyrosine kinase inhibitors

Background

In patients with epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR)‐mutated advanced non‐small‐cell lung cancer (NSCLC), epidermal growth factor receptor‐tyrosine kinase inhibitor (EGFR‐TKI) treatment has shown a good response. Subsequent treatments jeopardize the ability to determine the effect of first‐line chemotherapy on overall survival (OS). Therefore, using patient‐level data, we aimed to study the associations of progression‐free survival (PFS) and post‐progression survival (PPS) with OS after first‐line EGFR‐TKI treatment in patients with EGFR‐mutated NSCLC.

Methods

Between November 2006 and December 2016, we analyzed 92 patients with EGFR‐mutated NSCLC treated with first‐line EGFR‐TKI. The correlations of PFS and PPS with OS were analyzed for each patient.

Results

Spearman's rank correlation and linear regression analyzes showed that PPS correlated highly with OS (r = 0.85, P < 0.05, R² = 0.75), whereas PFS correlated weakly with OS (r = 0.76, P < 0.05, R² = 0.50). The best responses after first‐line and second‐line treatments were significantly associated with PPS.

Conclusions

PPS has a higher impact on OS than PFS in patients with EGFR‐mutated NSCLC treated with first‐line EGFR‐TKIs. These outcomes suggest that the OS in this patient group may be affected by treatments following first‐line chemotherapy; however, this remains to be verified in prospective trials.

Diagnostic value of ProGRP for small cell lung cancer in different stages

Background

To investigate the roles of gastrin-releasing peptide (ProGRP) in the diagnosis of small cell lung cancer (SCLC).

Methods

We retrospectively analyzed data from 11,206 patients with clinical suspicion of lung cancer from January 1, 2015 to May 31, 2018. ProGRP and neuron-specific enolase (NSE) were detected in peripheral blood, and receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) was used for analysis.

Results

ROC indicated that the cutoff values of ProGRP and NSE were 66 ng/L and 18 µg/L respectively, and the diagnosis efficacy of ProGRP was greater than that of NSE (sensitivity: 86.5% vs. 78.8%; specificity: 96.5% vs. 86.3%, respectively) in the diagnosis of SCLC. Moreover, the median level of ProGRP in SCLC increased with the accompanying stages (P<0.001). Further analysis showed that diagnostic efficacy can be improved by using different cutoff values in different stages, but not stage I and II. The cut-off values of ProGRP in the diagnosis of SCLC in stage I-II, III and IV were 56, 71 and 99 ng/L respectively. In addition, the sensitivity (96.6% vs. 95.8% and 98.3% vs. 94.8%) and concordance rate (χ² =1,526.9 and 988.7, both P<0.001) of detecting SCLC was improved by using different cutoff values compared with the only criteria of ProGRP being ≥66 ng/L in stage III and IV, but not stage I-II. Additionally in stage III and IV, the concordance rates of ProGRP ≥71 ng/L and ProGRP ≥99 ng/L were also higher than ProGRP ≥300 ng/L (both P<0.001), which was conventionally indicated for SCLC.

Conclusions

ProGRP has significantly higher sensitivity and specificity than NSE in the diagnosis of SCLC. Furthermore, special thresholds for every stage may be more reasonable for the diagnosis of SCLC.

Tumor size and lymph node metastasis are prognostic markers of small cell lung cancer in a Chinese population

Small cell lung cancer (SCLC) is a high-grade neuroendocrine tumor characterized by rapid growth, early metastatic spread, and poor prognosis. This study aimed to explore the prognosis factors of survival in Chinese SCLC patients.A total of 78 patients with stage IIIA SCLC (mean age: 53.9 years, 65 males and 13 females) were enrolled in this retrospective study. At least of 5 years follow-up was performed.The survival time of these patients ranged from 1 month to 66 months with a median survival time of 11 months. Kaplan-Meier method with log-rank test was performed and showed that survival time in patients with tumor size ≤4 cm (median: 16 months) was significantly longer (P < .001) than that in patients with tumor size > 4 cm (median: 8 months); the median survival time of the patients with single lymph node metastasis was significantly longer than that in patients with multiple lymph node metastasis (P = .043). Combined multiple lymph node metastasis and tumor size >4 cm presented the worst survival outcome than others. Multivariate analysis by Cox Hazard model shows that the lymph node metastasis and tumors size were prognostic factors independent of age, sex, smoke, surgery, and treatment regimen (P < .05).Results showed that larger tumor size and multiple lymph node metastasis were associated with the poor survival in SCLC.

Clinical significance of post-progression survival in lung cancer

Progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) are two common endpoints in cancer trials. OS is usually preferred, because it is reliable, precise, meaningful, and can easily be documented. However, subsequent lines of therapy might confound the effects of first-line treatment on OS. Whether PFS or OS is the more appropriate endpoint in clinical trials of metastatic cancer remains controversial. Previous reports on lung cancer have shown that an increase in PFS does not necessarily result in an increase in OS; however, post-progression survival (PPS) is strongly associated with OS after early-line treatment. The significance of PPS after first and second-line therapy at the individual level in patients with advanced lung cancer has also recently been reported. Findings of previous reports indicate that PPS is highly associated with OS after first and second-line chemotherapy in patients with advanced non-small cell lung cancer and small cell lung cancer, whereas PFS is only moderately associated with OS. Therefore, subsequent treatment after disease progression following early-line treatments may greatly influence OS. This review demonstrates that even in advanced lung cancer, PPS, rather than PFS, has become more strongly associated with OS over the years, potentially because of intensive post-study treatments. As a result of the increasing impact of PPS on OS, a PFS-related advantage does not necessarily indicate an OS-related advantage. Thus, the prolongation of PPS might limit the classical role of OS for assessing true efficacy derived from early-line chemotherapy in future clinical trials.

Post-Progression Survival Associated with Overall Survival in Patients with Advanced Non-Small-Cell Lung Cancer Receiving Docetaxel Monotherapy as Second-Line Chemotherapy

BACKGROUND

In patients with non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC), the effects of second-line chemotherapy on overall survival (OS) might be confounded by subsequent therapies. Therefore, using individual-level data, we aimed to determine the relationships between progression-free survival (PFS) and post-progression survival (PPS) with OS in patients with advanced NSCLC treated with docetaxel monotherapy as second-line chemotherapy.

METHODS

Between April 2002 and December 2014, data from 86 patients with advanced NSCLC who underwent second-line docetaxel monotherapy following first-line treatment with platinum combination chemotherapy were analyzed. The relationships of PFS and PPS with OS were analyzed at the individual level.

RESULTS

Spearman rank correlation and linear regression analyses showed that PPS was strongly associated with OS (r = 0.86, p < 0.05, R2 = 0.93), whereas PFS was moderately correlated with OS (r = 0.50, p < 0.05, R2 = 0.21). Performance status at the end of second-line treatment and the number of regimens after progression beyond second-line chemotherapy were significantly associated with PPS (p < 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

In patients with advanced NSCLC with unknown oncogenic driver mutations undergoing docetaxel monotherapy as second-line chemotherapy, when compared with PFS, PPS had a stronger association with OS. This finding suggests that subsequent treatment after disease progression following second-line docetaxel monotherapy has a significant influence on OS.