Predictive Factors of Early Recurrence in Patients with Distal Cholangiocarcinoma after Pancreaticoduodenectomy

Novel insights into the intraepithelial spread of extrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma: clinicopathological study of 382 cases on extrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma

Background

Extrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (eCCA) is a rare and aggressive disease and consisted of conventional eCCA and intraductal papillary neoplasm of the bile duct (IPNB). Intraepithelial spread (IES) of cancer cells beyond the invasive area is often observed in IPNBs; however, the prevalence of IES remains to be examined in conventional eCCAs. Here, we evaluated the clinicopathological features of eCCAs according to tumor location, with a focus on the presence of IES. The IES extension was also compared among biliary tract cancers (BTCs).

Methods

We examined the prevalence and clinicopathological significance of IES in eCCAs (n=382) and the IES extension of BTCs, including gallbladder (n=172), cystic duct (n=20), and ampullary cancers (n=102).

Results

Among the invasive eCCAs, IPNB had a higher rate of IES (89.2%) than conventional eCCAs (57.0%). Among conventional eCCAs, distal eCCAs (75.4%) had a significantly higher prevalence of IES than perihilar eCCAs (41.3%). The presence of IES was associated with a significantly higher survival rate in patients with distal eCCAs (P=0.030). Extension of the IES into the cystic duct (CyD) in distal eCCAs that cancer cells reached the junction of the CyD was a favorable prognostic factor (P<0.001). The association of survival with IES, either on the extrahepatic bile duct or on the CyD, differed depending on the tumor location and type of eCCA. The extension properties of IES were also dependent on different types of tumors among BTCs; usually, the IES incidence became higher than 50% in the tissues that the tumor developed, whereas IES extension to other tissues decreased the incidence.

Conclusion

Thus, eCCAs have different clinicopathological characteristics depending on the tumor location and type.

Distal Bile Duct Cancer: Radical (R0 > 1 mm) Resection Achieves Favorable Survival

OBJECTIVE

Evaluation of the outcome after resection for distal bile duct cancer (DBC) with focus on the impact of microscopic histopathological resection status R0 (>1 mm) versus R1 (≤1 mm) vs R1 (direct).

SUMMARY BACKGROUND DATA

DBC is a rare disease for which oncologic resection offers the only chance of cure.

METHODS

Prospectively collected data of consecutive patients undergoing pancreaticoduodenectomy for DBC were analyzed. Histopathological resection status was classified according to the Leeds protocol for pancreatic ductal adeno carcinoma (PDAC) (PDAC; R0 >1 mm margin clearance vs R1 ≤1 mm vs R1 direct margin involvement).

RESULTS

A total of 196 patients underwent pancreaticoduodenectomy for DBC. Microscopic complete tumor clearance (R0>1 mm) was achieved in 113 patients (58%). Median overall survival (OS) of the entire cohort was 37 months (5- and 10-year OS rate: 40% and 31%, respectively). After R0 resection, median OS increased to 78 months with a 5-year OS rate of 52%. Negative prognostic factors were age >70 years ( P < 0.0001, hazard ratio (HR) 2.48), intraoperative blood loss >1000 mL ( P = 0.0009, HR 1.99), pN1 and pN2 status ( P = 0.0052 and P = 0.0006, HR 2.14 and 2.62, respectively) and American Society of Anesthesiologists score >II ( P = 0.0259, HR 1.61).

CONCLUSIONS

This is the largest European single-center study of surgical treatment for DBC and the first to investigate the prognostic impact of the revised PDAC resection status definition in DBC. The results show that this definition is valid in DBC and that "true" R0 resection (>1 mm) is a key factor for excellent survival. In contrast to PDAC, there was no survival difference between R1 (≤1 mm) and R1 (direct).

Lymph Node Ratio Nomogram-Based Prognostic Model for Resected Distal Cholangiocarcinoma

BACKGROUND

Several variables have been described as prognostic factors for resected distal cholangiocarcinoma (dCC), including lymph node metastases (N status) and lymph node ratio (LNR). The present study aimed to evaluate the prognostic value of LNR on survival and to establish a novel prognostic nomogram to predict the cancer-specific recurrence-free survival (RFS) of dCC.

STUDY DESIGN

Between December 2006 and September 2020, 415 consecutive patients who underwent pancreaticoduodenectomy (PD) for dCC in 10 centers were identified. Multivariate Cox analysis was used to identify all independent risk factors among several prognostic factors. A nomogram was then developed and assessed by integrating the independent prognostic factors into the model, and the concordance index (C-index) was used to evaluate its performance.

RESULTS

According to Cox regression multivariate analysis, a nomogram based on independent prognostic factor for RFS was performed including LNR 15 (hazard ratio [HR] 2.442, 95% CI 1.348-4.425, p = 0.003), perineural invasion (HR 3.100, 95% CI 1.183-8.122, p = 0.025), differentiation grade (HR 2.100, 95% CI 1.172-4.143, p = 0.021), and radicality of PD (HR 2.276, 95% CI 1.223-4.234, p = 0.009). The C-index of the nomogram, tailored based on the previous significant factors, was 0.8.

CONCLUSIONS

LNR15 yields a high prognostic efficiency for RFS. The nomogram based on LNR can provide an accurate prognosis assessment for patients with resected dCC.

Surgical Treatment of Distal Cholangiocarcinoma

Distal cholangiocarcinoma (dCCA) is a rare malignancy arising from the epithelial cells of the distal biliary tract and has a poor prognosis. dCCA is often clinically silent and patients commonly present with locally advanced and/or distant disease. For patients identified with early stage, resectable disease, surgical resection with negative margins remains the only curative treatment strategy available. However, despite appropriate treatment and diligent surveillance, risk of recurrence remains high with nearly 50% of patients experiencing recurrence at 5 years subsequent to surgical resection; therefore, it is prudent to continue to optimize neoadjuvant and adjuvant therapies in order to reduce the risk of recurrence and improve overall survival. In this review, we discuss the clinical presentation, workup and surgical treatment of dCCA.

Comparison of Four Lymph Node Stage Methods for Predicting the Prognosis of Distal Cholangiocarcinoma Patients After Surgery

Background

The metastatic status of regional lymph nodes is an effective risk factor for the prognosis of distal cholangiocarcinoma (dCCA). But existing lymph node staging is not accurate enough and is susceptible to interference. This study aims to explore the predictive ability of the log odds of positive lymph nodes (LODDS) staging system of dCCA compared with existing lymph node staging systems.

Methods

A total of 928 dCCA patients were selected from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database as the training cohort, and 207 dCCA patients from West China Hospital who underwent surgery were reviewed as the validation cohort. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) and multivariate Cox regression were conducted to identify the most meaningful factors relevant to prognosis. The performance of four lymph node stage systems was compared by a model-based approach.

Result

Age at diagnosis, pathological grade, American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) tumor 7th T stage, tumor size, radiotherapy, chemotherapy, and lymph node stage system were independent prognostic factors. The model with the LODDS system had a better model fit with the highest C-index (0.679) and 1-/3-/5- area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) (0.739/0.671/0.658) as well as the lowest Akaike information criterion (AIC) (5,020.52). External validation results from 207 dCCA patients showed a C-index of 0.647 and 1-/3-/5-AUC of 0.740/0.683/0.589. Compared with the lymph node ratio (LNR), AJCC 8th N system, and 7th N system, the 5-year net reclassification improvement (NRI) of the LODDS system was 0.030 (95% CI: -0.079 to 0.147), 0.042 (95% CI: -0.062 to 0.139), and 0.040 (95% CI: -0.057 to 0.146), respectively. The integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) of LODDS improved compared with the LNR model (0.016; 95% CI: -0.001 to 0.036), AJCC 8th N system (0.020; 95% CI: 0.003-0.037), and AJCC 7th N system (0.019; 95% CI: 0.002-0.036). Decision curve analysis (DCA) also shows a greater net benefit of LODDS. In lymph node-negative patients, LODDS reveals a positive linear relationship with the hazard ratio (HR). The stage capacity of LODDS in a subgroup analysis stratified by examined lymph node number (ELNN) was consistent.

Conclusions

The LODDS lymph node stage system has superior predictive performance as compared with the LNR, AJCC 7th, and 8th lymph node stage systems. Meanwhile, LODDS has a more detailed staging ability and good stability.

A Nomogram Based on the Log Odds of Positive Lymph Nodes Predicts the Prognosis of Patients With Distal Cholangiocarcinoma After Surgery

Background: Lymph node (LN) metastasis is considered one of the most important risk factors affecting the prognosis of distal cholangiocarcinoma (DCC). This study aimed to demonstrate the superiority of log odds of positive lymph nodes (LODDS) compared with other LN stages, and to establish a novel prognostic nomogram to predict the cancer-specific survival (CSS) of DCC.

Methods: From the Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) database, the data of 676 patients after DCC radical operation were screened, and patients were randomly divided into training (n = 474) and validation sets (n = 474). The prognostic evaluation performance of the LODDS and American Joint Commission on Cancer (AJCC) N stage and lymph node ratio (LNR) were compared using the Akaike information criteria, receiver operating characteristic area under the curve (AUC), and C-index. Multivariate Cox analysis was used to screen independent risk factors, and a LODDS-based nomogram prognostic staging model was established. The nomogram's precision was verified by C-index, calibration curves, and AUC, and the results were compared with those of the AJCC TNM staging system.

Results:Compared with the other two stages of LN metastasis, LODDS was most effective in predicting CSS in patients with DCC. Multivariate analysis proved that LODDS, histologic grade, SEER historic stage, and tumor size were independent risk factors for DCC. The C-index of the nomogram, based on the above factors, in the validation set was 0.663. The 1-, 3-, and 5-y AUCs were 0.735, 0.679, and 0.745, respectively. Its good performance was also verified by calibration curves. In addition, the C-index and Kaplan-Meier analysis showed that the nomogram performed better than the AJCC TNM staging system.

Conclusion:For postoperative patients with DCC, the LODDS stage yielded better prognostic efficiency than the AJCC N and LNR stages. Compared with the AJCC TNM staging system, the nomogram, based on the LODDS, demonstrated superior performance.

Development and validation of an online calculator to predict early recurrence and long-term survival in patients with distal cholangiocarcinoma after pancreaticoduodenectomy

BACKGROUND

Distal cholangiocarcinoma (DCC) is a malignancy associated with a short survival time. In this study, we aimed to create an online nomogram calculator to predict early recurrence and long-term survival in patients with DCC after pancreaticoduodenectomy.

METHODS

A total of 486 patients with DCC were included. An online nomogram calculator was developed and validated in training, internal validation and external validation cohorts, respectively.

RESULTS

Of the 486 patients who met the inclusion criteria, we allocated 240, 120, and 126 patients to the training, internal validation, and external validation cohorts, respectively. Multivariable analysis showed that preoperative CA19-9, maximum tumor diameter, perineural invasion, and tumor differentiation were significant risk factors for early recurrence in patients with DCC. Incorporating these four factors, the nomogram achieved good AUC values of 0.788, 0.771, and 0.723 for predicting early recurrence in the training, internal validation, and external validation cohorts, respectively. Notably, this nomogram also had good power to predict overall survival. The discrimination ability of the nomogram was evaluated by dividing the predicted probabilities of early recurrence and survival into two risk groups in the training cohort (low risk ≤ 132; high risk > 132; P < .001). Time-dependent ROC and decision curve analysis further revealed that the nomogram provided higher diagnostic capacity and superior net benefit compared to other staging systems.

CONCLUSION

This study developed and validated a web-based nomogram calculator that was capable of predicting early recurrence and long-term prognosis in patients with DCC after pancreaticoduodenectomy with high degrees of stability and accuracy.

Integration of global metabolomics and lipidomics approaches reveals the molecular mechanisms and the potential biomarkers for postoperative recurrence in early-stage cholangiocarcinoma

Background

Cholangiocarcioma (CCA) treatment is challenging because most of the patients are diagnosed when the disease is advanced, and cancer recurrence is the main problem after treatment, leading to low survival rates. Therefore, our understanding of the mechanism underlying CCA recurrence is essential in order to prevent CCA recurrence and improve patient outcomes.

Methods

We performed ¹H-NMR and UPLC-MS-based metabolomics on the CCA serum. The differential metabolites were further analyzed using pathway analysis and potential biomarker identification.

Results

At an early stage, the metabolites involved in energy metabolisms, such as pyruvate metabolism, and the TCA cycle, are downregulated, while most lipids, including TGs, PCs, PEs, and PAs, are upregulated in recurrence patients. This metabolic feature has been described in cancer stem-like cell (CSC) metabolism. In addition, the CSC markers CD44v6 and CD44v8-10 are associated with CD36 (a protein involved in lipid uptake) as well as with recurrence-free survival. We also found that citrate, sarcosine, succinate, creatine, creatinine and pyruvate, and TGs have good predictive values for CCA recurrence.

Conclusion

Our study demonstrates the possible molecular mechanisms underlying CCA recurrence, and these may associate with the existence of CSCs. The metabolic change involved in the recurrence pathway might be used to determine biomarkers for predicting CCA recurrence.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s40170-021-00266-5.

Re-appraising the role of lymph node status in predicting survival in resected distal cholangiocarcinoma - A meta-analysis and systematic review

This systematic review and meta-analysis aimed to confirm the prognostic value of lymph node ratio (LNR), and determine an optimal LNR cut-off for overall survival (OS) in patients with distal cholangiocarcinoma (DCC) undergoing curative surgery. We additionally aimed to provide a consolidated review of current evidence regarding prognostic significance of positive lymph node count (PLNC) and total lymph node count (TLNC). A systematic search of PubMed, EMBASE and Cochrane Library was conducted from inception to October 2020. Studies were included into meta-analysis if there was histological diagnosis, curative surgery, restriction to DCC and relevant LNR results. Quality assessment was performed using the Newcastle Ottawa Scale. Findings for 1228 patients were pooled across 6 studies. Meta-analysis delineated a dose-effect gradient in which higher LNR cut-offs correlated with larger pooled hazard ratios: 0<LNR<0.2 (HR 1.54; 95% CI 1.08-2.20; p = 0.02), LNR>0.2 (HR 3.26; 95% CI 2.07-5.13; p < 0.00001) and LNR>0.4 (HR 3.59; 95% CI 2.31-5.58; p < 0.00001) when compared against a control group of LNR = 0. LNR of 0.2 (HR 2.12; 95% CI: 1.57-2.86; p < 0.0001) was found to be a significant and ideal cut-off for prognostication of poorer OS. A review of current literature reveals an ongoing debate regarding the comparative prognostic value of differing PLNC cut-offs (0/1/3 versus 0/1/4). TLNC of 10-13 is widely reported to be the minimum necessary to ensure improved long term outcomes. PLNC and LNR are strong prognostic factors for OS in DCC. An ideal LNR cut-off of 0.2 is most significantly associated with poorer OS.

A panel of protein kinase high expression is associated with postoperative recurrence in cholangiocarcinoma

Background

Cancer recurrence is one of the most concerning clinical problems of cholangiocarcinoma (CCA) patients after treatment. However, an identification of predictive factor on Opisthorchis viverrini (OV)-associated CCA recurrence is not well elucidated. In the present study, we aimed to investigate the correlation of twelve targeted protein kinases with CCA recurrence.

Methods

Twelve protein kinases, epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR), human epidermal growth factor receptor 2, 3, 4 (HER2, HER3, HER4), vascular endothelial growth factor receptor 3 (VEGFR3), vascular endothelial growth factor-C (VEGF-C), erythropoietin-producing hepatocellular carcinoma receptor type-A3 (EphA3), EphrinA1, phosphor-serine/threonine kinase 1 (p-Akt1), serine/threonine kinase 1 (Akt1), beta-catenin and protein Wnt5a (Wnt5a) were examined using immunohistochemistry. Pre-operative serum tumor markers, CA19–9 and CEA were also investigated.

Results

Among twelve protein kinases, EGFR, HER4, and EphA3 were associated with tumor recurrence status, recurrence-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS). Multivariate cox regression demonstrated that EGFR, HER4, EphA3 or the panel of high expression of these proteins was an independent prognostic factor for tumor recurrence. The combination of high expression of these proteins with a high level of CA19–9 could improve the predictive ability on tumor recurrence. Moreover, the patients were stratified more accurately when analyzed using the combination of high expression of these proteins with primary tumor (T) or lymph node metastasis (N) status.

Conclusion

EGFR, HER4, EphA3 or the panel of high expression of these proteins is an independent prognostic factor for post-operative CCA recurrence.

Predictors of postoperative early recurrence of extrahepatic bile duct cancer

PURPOSES

Resected bile duct cancers often relapse during postoperative follow-up. The aim of this study was to detect predictors of early recurrence in patients with extrahepatic bile duct cancer.

METHODS

Consecutive cases (n = 162) of extrahepatic bile duct cancer in which R0 or R1 resection was achieved in Kobe University Hospital between 2000 and 2016 were divided into three groups [early recurrence (ER), within 6 months of surgery, late recurrence (LR), and no recurrence (NR)] and their clinicopathological features were compared.

RESULTS

Twenty-two patients (14%) developed ER and 69 (43%) developed LR after surgery. The rates of lymph node metastasis and residual cancer status were similar in all three groups. Liver metastasis was more common in the ER group than in the LR group (59% vs. 32%, p = 0.02). ER had a significantly worse prognosis than LR and NR (7% vs. 44% vs. 85% at 1 year, p < 0.01, respectively). Multivariate analysis showed that age > 75 years, serum CA19-9 > 1008 U/ml and perineural invasion were independent predictors of early recurrence.

CONCLUSIONS

High serum CA19-9 values (> 1008 U/ml) were an independent predictor of early recurrence. Neoadjuvant therapy and aggressive adjuvant therapy may be beneficial for patients who show highly elevated CA19-9 values before surgery.