Use of a Radiomics Model to Predict Tumor Invasiveness of Pulmonary Adenocarcinomas Appearing as Pulmonary Ground-Glass Nodules

Predicting lymphovascular invasion in N0 stage non-small cell lung cancer: A nomogram based on Dual-energy CT imaging and clinical findings

PURPOSE

To construct a nomogram for predicting lymphovascular invasion (LVI) in N0 stage non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) using dual-energy computed tomography (DECT) findings combined with clinical findings.

METHODS

We retrospectively recruited 135 patients with N0 stage NSCLC from two hospitals underwent DECT before surgery and were divided into development cohort (n = 107) and validation cohort (n = 28). The clinical findings (baseline characteristics, biochemical markers, serum tumor markers and Immunohistochemical markers), DECT-derived parameters (iodine concentration [IC], effective atomic number [Eff-Z] and normalized iodine concentration [NIC], iodine enhancement [IE] and NIC ratio [NICr]) and Fractal dimension (FD) were collected and measured. A nomogram was constructed using significant findings to predict LVI in N0 stage NSCLC and was externally validated.

RESULTS

Multivariable analysis revealed that lymphocyte count (LYMPH, odds ratio [OR]: 3.71, P=0.014), IC in arterial phase (ICa, OR: 1.25, P=0.021), NIC in venous phase (NICv, OR: 587.12, P=0.009) and FD (OR: 0.01, P=0.033) were independent significant factors for predicting LVI in N0 stage NSCLC, and were used to construct a nomogram. The nomogram exhibited robust predictive capabilities in both the development and validation cohort, with AUCs of 0.819 (95 % CI: 72.6-90.4) and 0.844 (95 % CI: 68.2-95.8), respectively. The calibration plots showed excellent agreement between the predicted probabilities and the actual rates of positive LVI, on external validation.

CONCLUSIONS

Combination of clinical and DECT imaging findings could aid in predicting LVI in N0 stage NSCLC using significant findings of LYMPH, ICa, NICv and FD.

Left atrial appendage thrombus is associated with a higher fractal dimension in patients with atrial fibrillation

PURPOSE

To assess the anatomical complexity of the left atrial appendage (LAA) using fractal dimension (FD) based on cardiac computed tomography angiography (CTA) and the association between LAA FD and LAA thrombosis.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) who underwent both cardiac CTA and transesophageal echocardiography (TEE) between December 2018 and December 2022 were retrospectively analyzed. Patients were categorized into normal (n = 925), circulatory stasis (n = 82), and thrombus groups (n = 76) based on TEE results and propensity score matching (PSM) was performed for subsequent analysis. FD was calculated to quantify the morphological heterogeneity of LAA. Independent risk factors for thrombus were screened using logistic regression. The diagnostic performance of FD and CHA2DS2-VaSc score for predicting thrombus was evaluated using the area under the receiver operating characteristics curve (AUC).

RESULTS

LAA FD was higher in the thrombus group (1.61 [1.49, 1.70], P < 0.001) than in the circulatory stasis (1.33 [1.18, 1.47]) and normal groups (1.30 [1.18, 1.42]) both before and after PSM. LAA FD was also an independent risk factor in the thrombus (OR [odds ratio] = 570,861.15 compared to normal, 41,122.87 compared to circulatory stasis; all P < 0.001) and circulatory stasis group (OR = 98.87, P = 0.001) after PSM. The diagnostic performance of LAA FD was significantly better than the CHA2DS2-VaSc score in identifying thrombus.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with high LAA FD are more likely to develop LAA thrombus, and the use of FD provides an effective method for assessing the risk of thrombosis in AF patients, thereby guiding individualized clinical treatment.

A clinical-radiological predictive model for solitary pulmonary nodules and the relationship between radiological features and pathological subtype

AIM

To develop a clinical-radiological model to predict the malignancy of solitary pulmonary nodules (SPNs) and to evaluate the accuracy of chest computed tomography imaging characteristics of SPN in diagnosing pathological type.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

The predictive model was developed using a retrospective cohort of 601 SPN patients (Group A) between July 2015 and July 2020. The established model was tested using a second retrospective cohort of 124 patients between August 2020 and August 2021 (Group B). The radiological characteristics of all adenocarcinomas in two groups were analysed to determine the correlation between radiological and pathological characteristics.

RESULTS

Malignant nodules were found in 78.87% of cases and benign in 21.13%. Two clinical characteristics (age and gender) and four radiological characteristics (calcification, vascular convergence, pleural retraction sign, and density) were identified as independent predictors of malignancy in patients with SPN using logistic regression analysis. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (0.748) of the present model was greater than the other two reported models. Diameter, spiculation, lobulation, vascular convergence, and pleural retraction signs differed significantly among pre-invasive lesions, minimally invasive adenocarcinoma, and invasive adenocarcinoma. Only diameter and density were significantly different among invasive adenocarcinoma subtypes.

CONCLUSIONS

Older age, male gender, no calcification, vascular convergence, pleural contraction sign, and lower density were independent malignancy predictors of SPNs. Furthermore, the pathological classification can be clarified based on the radiological characteristics of SPN, providing a new option for the prevention and treatment of early lung cancer.

Artificial intelligence system-based histogram analysis of computed tomography features to predict tumor invasiveness of ground-glass nodules

Background

The use of an artificial intelligence (AI)-based diagnostic system can significantly aid in analyzing the histogram of pulmonary nodules. The aim of our study was to evaluate the value of computed tomography (CT) histogram indicators analyzed by AI in predicting the tumor invasiveness of ground-glass nodules (GGNs) and to determine the added value of contrast-enhanced CT (CECT) compared with nonenhanced CT (NECT) in this prediction.

Methods

This study enrolled patients with persistent GGNs who underwent preoperative NECT and CECT scanning. AI-based histogram analysis was performed for pathologically confirmed GGNs, which was followed by screening invasiveness-related factors via univariable analysis. Multivariable logistic models were developed based on candidate CT histogram indicators measured on either NECT or CECT. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and precision-recall (PR) curve were used to evaluate the models' performance.

Results

A total of 116 patients comprising 121 GGNs were included and divided into the precancerous lesion and adenocarcinoma groups based on invasiveness. In the AI-based histogram analysis, the mean CT value [NECT: odds ratio (OR) =1.009; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.004-1.013; P<0.001] and solid component volume (NECT: OR =1.005; 95% CI: 1.000-1.010; P=0.032) were associated with the adenocarcinoma and used for multivariable logistic modeling. The area under ROC curve (AUC) and PR curve (AUPR) were not significantly different between the NECT model (AUC =0.765, 95% CI: 0.679-0.837; AUPR =0.907, 95% CI: 0.825-0.953) and the optimal CECT model (delayed phase: AUC =0.772, 95% CI: 0.687-0.843; AUPR =0.895, 95% CI: 0.812-0.944). No significantly different metrics were observed between the NECT and CECT models (precision: 0.707 vs. 0.742; P=0.616).

Conclusions

The AI diagnostic system can help in the diagnosis of GGNs. The system displayed decent performance in GGN detection and alert to malignancy. Mean CT value and solid component volume were independent predictors of tumor invasiveness. CECT provided no additional improvement in diagnostic performance as compared with NECT.

Dual-energy CT-based radiomics for predicting invasiveness of lung adenocarcinoma appearing as ground-glass nodules

Objectives

To explore the value of radiomics based on Dual-energy CT (DECT) for discriminating preinvasive or MIA from IA appearing as GGNs before surgery.

Methods

The retrospective study included 92 patients with lung adenocarcinoma comprising 30 IA and 62 preinvasive-MIA, which were further divided into a training (n=64) and a test set (n=28). Clinical and radiographic features along with quantitative parameters were recorded. Radiomics features were derived from virtual monoenergetic images (VMI), including 50kev and 150kev images. Intraclass correlation coefficients (ICCs), Pearson's correlation analysis and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) penalized logistic regression were conducted to eliminate unstable and redundant features. The performance of the models was evaluated by area under the curve (AUC) and the clinical utility was assessed using decision curve analysis (DCA).

Results

The DECT-based radiomics model performed well with an AUC of 0.957 and 0.865 in the training and test set. The clinical-DECT model, comprising sex, age, tumor size, density, smoking, alcohol, effective atomic number, and normalized iodine concentration, had an AUC of 0.929 in the training and 0.719 in the test set. In addition, the radiomics model revealed a higher AUC value and a greater net benefit to patients than the clinical-DECT model.

Conclusion

DECT-based radiomics features were valuable in predicting the invasiveness of GGNs, yielding a better predictive performance than the clinical-DECT model.

Artificial-intelligence-based computed tomography histogram analysis predicting tumor invasiveness of lung adenocarcinomas manifesting as radiological part-solid nodules

Background

Tumor invasiveness plays a key role in determining surgical strategy and patient prognosis in clinical practice. The study aimed to explore artificial-intelligence-based computed tomography (CT) histogram indicators significantly related to the invasion status of lung adenocarcinoma appearing as part-solid nodules (PSNs), and to construct radiomics models for prediction of tumor invasiveness.

Methods

We identified surgically resected lung adenocarcinomas manifesting as PSNs in Peking University People's Hospital from January 2014 to October 2019. Tumors were categorized as adenocarcinoma in situ (AIS), minimally invasive adenocarcinoma (MIA), and invasive adenocarcinoma (IAC) by comprehensive pathological assessment. The whole cohort was randomly assigned into a training (70%, n=832) and a validation cohort (30%, n=356) to establish and validate the prediction model. An artificial-intelligence-based algorithm (InferRead CT Lung) was applied to extract CT histogram parameters for each pulmonary nodule. For feature selection, multivariate regression models were built to identify factors associated with tumor invasiveness. Logistic regression classifier was used for radiomics model building. The predictive performance of the model was then evaluated by ROC and calibration curves.

Results

In total, 299 AIS/MIAs and 889 IACs were included. In the training cohort, multivariate logistic regression analysis demonstrated that age [odds ratio (OR), 1.020; 95% CI, 1.004-1.037; p=0.017], smoking history (OR, 1.846; 95% CI, 1.058-3.221; p=0.031), solid mean density (OR, 1.014; 95% CI, 1.004-1.024; p=0.008], solid volume (OR, 5.858; 95% CI, 1.259-27.247; p = 0.037), pleural retraction sign (OR, 3.179; 95% CI, 1.057-9.559; p = 0.039), variance (OR, 0.570; 95% CI, 0.399-0.813; p=0.002), and entropy (OR, 4.606; 95% CI, 2.750-7.717; p<0.001) were independent predictors for IAC. The areas under the curve (AUCs) in the training and validation cohorts indicated a better discriminative ability of the histogram model (AUC=0.892) compared with the clinical model (AUC=0.852) and integrated model (AUC=0.886).

Conclusion

We developed an AI-based histogram model, which could reliably predict tumor invasiveness in lung adenocarcinoma manifesting as PSNs. This finding would provide promising value in guiding the precision management of PSNs in the daily practice.

Clinical and radiomic factors for predicting invasiveness in pulmonary ground‑glass opacity

Patients with preinvasive or invasive pulmonary ground-glass opacity (GGO) often face different clinical treatments and prognoses. The present study aimed to identify the invasiveness of pulmonary GGO by analysing clinical and radiomic features. Patients with pulmonary GGOs who were treated between January 2014 and February 2019 were included. Clinical features were collected, while radiomic features were extracted from computed tomography records using the three-dimensional Slicer software. Predictors of GGO invasiveness were selected by least absolute shrinkage and selection operator logistic regression analysis, and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were drawn for each prediction model. A total of 194 patients with pulmonary GGOs were included in the present study. The maximum diameter of the solid component, waveletHLL_ngtdm_Coarseness (P=0.03), waveletLHH_firstorder_Maximum (P<0.01) and waveletLLH_glrlm_LongRunEmphasis (P<0.01) were significant predictors of invasive lung GGOs. The area under the ROC curve (AUC) for the prediction models of clinical features and radiomic features was 0.755 and 0.719, respectively, whereas the AUC for the combined prediction model was 0.864 (95% CI, 0.802-0.926). Finally, a nomogram was established for individualized prediction of invasiveness. The combination of radiomic and clinical features can enable the differentiation between preinvasive and invasive GGOs. The present results can provide some basis for the best choice of treatment in patients with lung GGOs.

Feasibility of Using High-Resolution Computed Tomography Features for Invasiveness Differentiation of Malignant Nodules Manifesting as Ground-Glass Nodules

Ground-glass nodule (GGN)-like adenocarcinoma is a special subtype of lung cancer. The invasiveness of the nodule correlates well with the patient’s prognosis. This study aimed to establish a radiomic model for invasiveness differentiation of malignant nodules manifesting as ground glass on high-resolution computed tomography (HRCT). Between January 2014 and July 2019, 276 pulmonary nodules manifesting as GGNs on preoperative HRCTs, whose histological results were available, were collected. The nodules were randomly classified into training (n = 221) and independent testing (n = 55) cohorts. Three logistic models using features derived from HRCT were fit in the training cohort and validated in both aforementioned cohorts for invasive adenocarcinoma and preinvasive-minimally invasive adenocarcinoma (MIA) differentiation. The model with the best performance was presented as a nomogram and was validated using a calibration curve before performing a decision curve analysis. The benefit of using the proposed model was also shown by groups of management strategies recommended by The Fleischner Society. The combined model showed the best differentiation performance (area under the curve (AUC), training set = 0.89, and testing set = 0.92). The quantitative texture model showed better performance (AUC, training set = 0.87, and testing set = 0.91) than the semantic model (AUC, training set = 0.83, and testing set = 0.79). Of the 94 type 2 nodules that were IACs, 66 were identified by this model. Models using features derived from imaging are effective for differentiating between preinvasive-MIA and IACs among lung adenocarcinomas appearing as GGNs on CT images.

Diagnostic value of double low-dose targeted perfusion CT imaging for the diagnosis of invasive and preinvasive pulmonary ground-glass nodules: systematic review and meta-analysis

Background

This study aimed to systematically evaluate and compare the diagnostic value of bubble lucency, interface, lobulated margin and spiculation in distinguishing early invasive and preinvasive intrapulmonary ground-glass nodules (GGNs) using evidence-based meta-analysis methods. Dual low-dose targeted perfusion computed tomography (CT) imaging is controversial in the diagnosis of invasive and preinvasive ground-glass nodules. Different studies have different views and opinions. Therefore, it is necessary to conduct a systematic review of this subject in the form of meta-analysis to guide clinical diagnosis and treatment.

Methods

PubMed, Web of Science, Cochrane library and Embase were searched for recent documentation on the diagnostic value of different signs in invasive and preinvasive pulmonary GGNs. CT imaging signs of bubble lucency, speculation, interface, lobulated margin, and spiculation were used as diagnostic references to discriminate pre-invasive and invasive disease. The sensitivity, specificity, summary receiver operating characteristic (SROC) curves, and the area under the SROC curve (AUC) were calculated to evaluate diagnostic efficiency.

Results

The diagnostic sensitivity and specificity using bubble lucency as a reference of invasive ground-glass opacity (GGO) discrimination was 0.33 (0.24-0.44) and 0.74 (0.62-0.83) respectively. For interface, lobulated margin, and speculation, the diagnostic sensitivity were 0.30 (0.21-0.41), 0.49 (0.39-0.60) and 0.22 (0.14-0.33); and the specificity were 0.83 (0.74-0.89), 0.66 (0.49-0.80) and 0.86 (0.67-0.95). The pooled ROC curve was drawn by sensitivity against 1-specificity using Stata version 15.0. The area under the ROC curve (AUC) values were 0.53, 0.60, 0.58, and 0.43 for bubble lucency, speculation, lobulated margin, and pleural indentation of GGO for discriminating pre-invasive and invasive disease.

Conclusions

The diagnostic value of a single CT imaging sign of GGO, such as bubble lucency, speculation, interface, lobulated margin, and spiculation is limited for discriminating pre-invasive and invasive disease because of low sensitivity, specificity, and AUC.

Combined Radiomic and Visual Assessment for Improved Detection of Lung Adenocarcinoma Invasiveness on Computed Tomography Scans: A Multi-Institutional Study

Objective

The timing and nature of surgical intervention for semisolid abnormalities are dependent upon distinguishing between adenocarcinoma-in-situ (AIS), minimally invasive adenocarcinoma (MIA), and invasive adenocarcinoma (INV). We sought to develop and evaluate a quantitative imaging method to determine invasiveness of small, ground-glass lesions on computed tomography (CT) chest scans.

Methods

The study comprised 268 patients from 4 institutions with resected (<=3 cm) semisolid lesions with confirmed histopathological diagnosis of MIA/AIS or INV. A total of 248 radiomic texture features from within the tumor nodule (intratumoral) and adjacent to the nodule (peritumoral) were extracted from manually annotated lung nodules of chest CT scans. The datasets were randomly divided, with 40% of patients used for training and 60% used for testing the machine classifier (Training D_Train, N=106; Testing, D_Test, N=162).

Results

The top five radiomic stable features included four intratumoral (Laws and Haralick feature families) and one peritumoral feature within 3 to 6 mm of the nodule (CoLlAGe feature family), which successfully differentiated INV from MIA/AIS nodules with an AUC of 0.917 [0.867-0.967] on D_Train and 0.863 [0.79-0.931] on D_Test. The radiomics model successfully differentiated INV from MIA cases (<1 cm AUC: 0.76 [0.53-0.98], 1-2 cm AUC: 0.92 [0.85-0.98], 2-3 cm AUC: 0.95 [0.88-1]). The final integrated model combining the classifier with the radiologists’ score gave the best AUC on D_Test (AUC=0.909, p<0.001).

Conclusions

Addition of advanced image analysis via radiomics to the routine visual assessment of CT scans help better differentiate adenocarcinoma subtypes and can aid in clinical decision making. Further prospective validation in this direction is warranted.

A Multi-Classification Model for Predicting the Invasiveness of Lung Adenocarcinoma Presenting as Pure Ground-Glass Nodules

Objectives

To establish a multi-classification model for precisely predicting the invasiveness (pre-invasive adenocarcinoma, PIA; minimally invasive adenocarcinoma, MIA; invasive adenocarcinoma, IAC) of lung adenocarcinoma manifesting as pure ground-glass nodules (pGGNs).

Methods

By the inclusion and exclusion criteria, this retrospective study enrolled 346 patients (female, 297, and male, 49; age, 55.79 ± 10.53 (24-83)) presenting as pGGNs from 1292 consecutive patients with pathologically confirmed lung adenocarcinoma. A total of 27 clinical were collected and 1409 radiomics features were extracted by PyRadiomics package on python. After feature selection with L2,1-norm minimization, logistic regression (LR), extra w(ET) and gradient boosting decision tree (GBDT) were used to construct the three-classification model. Then, an ensemble model of the three algorithms based on model ensemble strategy was established to further improve the classification performance.

Results

After feature selection, a hybrid of 166 features consisting of 1 clinical (short-axis diameter, ranked 27th) and 165 radiomics (4 shape, 71 intensity and 90 texture) features were selected. The three most important features are wavelet-HLL_firstorder_Minimum, wavelet-HLL_ngtdm_Busyness and square_firstorder_Kurtosis. The hybrid-ensemble model based on hybrid clinical-radiomics features and the ensemble strategy showed more accurate predictive performance than other models (hybrid-LR, hybrid-ET, hybrid-GBDT, clinical-ensemble and radiomics-ensemble). On the training set and test set, the model can obtain the accuracy values of 0.918 ± 0.022 and 0.841, and its F1-scores respectively were 0.917 ± 0.024 and 0.824.

Conclusion

The multi-classification of invasive pGGNs can be precisely predicted by our proposed hybrid-ensemble model to assist patients in the early diagnosis of lung adenocarcinoma and prognosis.

Radiomics in Early Lung Cancer Diagnosis: From Diagnosis to Clinical Decision Support and Education

Lung cancer is the most frequent cause of cancer-related death around the world. With the recent introduction of low-dose lung computed tomography for lung cancer screening, there has been an increasing number of smoking- and non-smoking-related lung cancer cases worldwide that are manifesting with subsolid nodules, especially in Asian populations. However, the pros and cons of lung cancer screening also follow the implementation of lung cancer screening programs. Here, we review the literature related to radiomics for early lung cancer diagnosis. There are four main radiomics applications: the classification of lung nodules as being malignant/benign; determining the degree of invasiveness of the lung adenocarcinoma; histopathologic subtyping; and prognostication in lung cancer prediction models. In conclusion, radiomics offers great potential to improve diagnosis and personalized risk stratification in early lung cancer diagnosis through patient–doctor cooperation and shared decision making.

Prediction of the Invasiveness of Ground-Glass Nodules in Lung Adenocarcinoma by Radiomics Analysis Using High-Resolution Computed Tomography Imaging

Background

Pure ground-glass nodules (pGGNs) have been considered inert tumors due to their biological behavior; however, their prognosis is not completely consistent because of differences in internal pathological component. The aim of this study was to explore whether radiomics can be used to identify the invasiveness of pGGNs.

Methods

The retrospective study received the relevant ethical approval. After postoperative pathological confirmation, sixty-five patients with lung adenocarcinoma pGGNs (≤30 mm) were enrolled in this study from January 2015 to October 2018. All the cases were randomly divided into training and test groups in a 7:3 ratio. In total, 385 radiomics features were obtained from HRCT images, and then least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) logistic regression was applied to the training group to obtain optimal features to distinguish the invasion degree of lesions. The diagnostic efficiency of the radiomics model was estimated by the area under the curve (AUC) of the receiver operating curve (ROC), and verified by the test group.

Results

The optimal features (“GLCMEntropy_angle135_offset1” and “Sphericity”) were selected after applying the LASSO regression to develop the proposed radiomics model. This prediction model exhibited good differentiation between pre-invasive and invasive lesions. The AUC for the test group was 0.824 (95%CI: 0.599-1.000), indicating that the radiomics model has some prediction ability.

Conclusion

The HRCT radiomics features can discriminate pre-invasive from invasive lung adenocarcinoma pGGNs. This non-invasive method can provide more information for surgeons before operation, and can also predict the prognosis of patients to some extent.

Detailed Analysis and Radiomic Prediction of First Progression Sites of First-Line Targeted Therapy for EGFR-Mutant Lung Adenocarcinoma Patients With Systemic Metastasis

Background

We aimed to analyze the first progression sites of first-line tyrosine kinase inhibitor (TKI) treatment for EGFR-mutant lung adenocarcinoma patients with systemic metastasis to recognize the potential candidates who might benefit from radiotherapy and establish a radiomic-based model to predict the first progression sites.

Materials and Methods

We retrospectively collected the clinical information and pre-treatment chest CT images of patients in Shanghai Chest Hospital from 2013 to 2017. All patients were diagnosed with stage IV EGFR-mutant lung adenocarcinoma and received TKI as first-line treatment. The first progression sites and survival were analyzed. The pre-treatment chest non-contrast CT images were utilized to establish a radiomic-based model to predict the first progression sites.

Results

We totally collected 233 patients with systemic metastasis, among whom, there were 84 (36.1%) and 149 (63.9%) patients developing first progression in original lesions (OP) and new lesions (NP), respectively. The PFS and OS of patients with OP were longer than those with NP (PFS 11 months vs. 8 months, p = 0.03, OS 50 months vs. 35 months, p = 0.046). For 67.9% of the patients with OF, disease progressed within five sites (oligoprogression). The radiomic-based model could predict the progression sites with an AUC value of 0.736, a specificity of 0.60, and a sensitivity of 0.750 in the independent validation set.

Conclusion

Among patients with systemic metastasis, there were 36.1% of patients developing OP at first progression who had a better prognosis than those developing NP. Patients with OP may be potential candidates who might benefit from radiotherapy. Radiomics is a useful method to distinguish patients developing OP and could provide some indications for radiotherapy.

A predictive nomogram for two-year growth of CT-indeterminate small pulmonary nodules

OBJECTIVES

Lung cancer is the most common cancer and the leading cause of cancer-related death worldwide. The optimal management of computed tomography (CT)-indeterminate pulmonary nodules is important. To optimize individualized follow-up strategies, we developed a radiomics nomogram for predicting 2-year growth in case of indeterminate small pulmonary nodules.

METHODS

A total of 215 histopathology-confirmed small pulmonary nodules (21 benign and 194 malignant) in 205 patients with ultra-high-resolution CT (U-HRCT) were divided into growth and nongrowth nodules and were randomly allocated to the primary (n = 151) or validation (n = 64) group. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) method was used for radiomics feature selection and radiomics signature determination. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was used to develop a radiomics nomogram that integrated the radiomics signature with significant clinical parameters (sex and nodule type). The area under the curve (AUC) was applied to assess the predictive performance of the radiomics nomogram. The net benefit of the radiomics nomogram was assessed using a clinical decision curve.

RESULTS

The radiomics signature and nomogram yielded AUCs of 0.892 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.843-0.940) and 0.911 (95% CI: 0.867-0.955), respectively, in the primary group and 0.826 (95% CI: 0.727-0.926) and 0.843 (95% CI: 0.749-0.937), respectively, in the validation group. The clinical usefulness of the nomogram was demonstrated by decision curve analysis.

CONCLUSIONS

A radiomics nomogram was developed by integrating the radiomics signature with clinical parameters and was easily used for the individualized prediction of two-year growth in case of CT-indeterminate small pulmonary nodules.

KEY POINTS

• A radiomics nomogram was developed for predicting the two-year growth of CT-indeterminate small pulmonary nodules. • The nomogram integrated a CT-based radiomics signature with clinical parameters and was valuable in developing an individualized follow-up strategy for patients with indeterminate small pulmonary nodules.

Radiomics-based machine learning differentiates "ground-glass" opacities due to COVID-19 from acute non-COVID-19 lung disease

Ground-glass opacities (GGOs) are a non-specific high-resolution computed tomography (HRCT) finding tipically observed in early Coronavirus disesase 19 (COVID-19) pneumonia. However, GGOs are also seen in other acute lung diseases, thus making challenging the differential diagnosis. To this aim, we investigated the performance of a radiomics-based machine learning method to discriminate GGOs due to COVID-19 from those due to other acute lung diseases. Two sets of patients were included: a first set of 28 patients (COVID) diagnosed with COVID-19 infection confirmed by real-time polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) between March and April 2020 having (a) baseline HRCT at hospital admission and (b) predominant GGOs pattern on HRCT; a second set of 30 patients (nCOVID) showing (a) predominant GGOs pattern on HRCT performed between August 2019 and April 2020 and (b) availability of final diagnosis. Two readers independently segmented GGOs on HRCTs using a semi-automated approach, and radiomics features were extracted using a standard open source software (PyRadiomics). Partial least square (PLS) regression was used as the multivariate machine-learning algorithm. A leave-one-out nested cross-validation was implemented. PLS β-weights of radiomics features, including the 5% features with the largest β-weights in magnitude (top 5%), were obtained. The diagnostic performance of the radiomics model was assessed through receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis. The Youden's test assessed sensitivity and specificity of the classification. A null hypothesis probability threshold of 5% was chosen (p < 0.05). The predictive model delivered an AUC of 0.868 (Youden's index = 0.68, sensitivity = 93%, specificity 75%, p = 4.2 × 10-7). Of the seven features included in the top 5% features, five were texture-related. A radiomics-based machine learning signature showed the potential to accurately differentiate GGOs due to COVID-19 pneumonia from those due to other acute lung diseases. Most of the discriminant radiomics features were texture-related. This approach may assist clinician to adopt the appropriate management early, while improving the triage of patients.

Evaluation of the Radiomics Method for the Prediction of Atypical Adenomatous Hyperplasia in Patients With Subcentimeter Pulmonary Ground-Glass Nodules

Objectives

We aimed to develop a prediction model to distinguish atypical adenomatous hyperplasia (AAH) from early lung adenocarcinomas in patients with subcentimeter pulmonary ground-glass nodules (GGNs), which may help avoid aggressive surgical resection for patients with AAH.

Methods

Surgically confirmed cases of AAH and lung adenocarcinomas manifesting as GGNs of less than 1 cm were retrospectively collected. A prediction model based on radiomics and clinical features identified from a training set of cases was built to differentiate AAH from lung adenocarcinomas and tested on a validation set.

Results

Four hundred and eighty-five eligible cases were included and randomly assigned to the training (n = 339) or the validation sets (n = 146). The developed radiomics prediction model showed good discrimination performance to distinguish AAH from adenocarcinomas in both the training and the validation sets, with, respectively, 84.1% and 82.2% of accuracy, and AUCs of 0.899 (95% CI: 0.867–0.931) and 0.881 (95% CI: 0.827–0.936).

Conclusion

The prediction model based on radiomics and clinical features can help differentiate AAH from adenocarcinomas manifesting as subcentimeter GGNs and may prevent aggressive resection for AAH patients, while reserving this treatment for adenocarcinomas.

Radiomics nomogram: A noninvasive tool for preoperative evaluation of the invasiveness of pulmonary adenocarcinomas manifesting as ground-glass nodules

In this study, we aimed to establish a radiomics nomogram that noninvasively evaluates the invasiveness of pulmonary adenocarcinomas manifesting as ground-glass nodules (GGNs). Computed tomography (CT) images of 509 patients manifesting as GGNs were collected: 70% of cases were included in the training cohort and 30% in the validation cohort. The Max-Relevance and Min-Redundancy (mRMR) and the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) algorithm were used to select the radiomics features and construct a radiomics signature. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression were used to select the invasiveness-related clinical and CT morphological predictors. Age, smoking history, long diameter, and average CT value were retained as independent predictors of GGN invasiveness. A radiomics nomogram was established by integrating clinical and CT morphological features with the radiomics signature. The radiomics nomogram showed good predictive ability in the training set (area under the curve [AUC], 0.940; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.916-0.964) and validation set (AUC, 0.946; 95% CI, 0.907-0.986). This radiomics nomogram may serve as a noninvasive and accurate predictive tool to determine the invasiveness of GGNs prior to surgery and assist clinicians in creating personalized treatment strategies.

18F-FDG PET-based radiomics model for predicting occult lymph node metastasis in clinical N0 solid lung adenocarcinoma

Background

This study aimed to develop a preoperative positron emission tomography (PET)-based radiomics model for predicting occult lymph node metastasis (OLM) in clinical N0 (cN0) solid lung adenocarcinoma.

Methods

The preoperative fluorine-18-fludeoxyglucose (¹⁸F-FDG) PET images of 370 patients with cN0 lung adenocarcinoma confirmed by histopathological examination were retrospectively reviewed. Patients were divided into training and validation sets. Radiomics features and relevant data were extracted from PET images. A nomogram was developed in a training set via univariate and multivariate logistic analyses, and its performance was assessed by concordance-index (C-index), calibration curves, and decision curve analysis (DCA) in the training and validation sets.

Results

The multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that only carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA), metabolic tumor volume (MTV), and the radiomics signature had statistically significant differences between patients with and without OLM (P<0.05). A nomogram was developed based on the logistic analyses, and its C-index was 0.769 in the training set and 0.768 in the validation set. The calibration curve demonstrated good consistency between the nomogram-predicted probability of OLM and the actual rate. The DCA also confirmed the clinical utility of the nomogram.

Conclusions

A PET/computed tomography (CT)-based radiomics model including CEA, MTV, and the radiomics signature was developed and demonstrated adequate predictive accuracy and clinical net benefit in the present study, and was conveniently used to facilitate the individualized preoperative prediction of OLM.

A radiomics study to predict invasive pulmonary adenocarcinoma appearing as pure ground-glass nodules

AIM

To establish a machine-learning model to differentiate adenocarcinoma in situ (AIS) or minimally invasive adenocarcinoma (MIA) from invasive adenocarcinoma (IAC) appearing as pure ground-glass nodules (pGGNs).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This retrospective study enrolled 136 patients with histopathologically diagnosed with AIS, MIA, and IAC. All pGGNs were divided randomly into a training and a testing dataset at a ratio of 7 : 3. Radiomics features were extracted based on the unenhanced computed tomography (CT) images derived from the last preoperative CT examination of each patient. The F-test and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) logistic regression were applied to select the most valuable features to establish a support vector machine (SVM) model. The performance of the model was evaluated using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC), and the accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity were calculated to compare the diagnostic performance of radiologists and the SVM model.

RESULTS

Six significant radiomics features were selected to develop the SVM model and showed excellent ability to differentiate AIS/MIA from IAC in both the training dataset (AUROC=0.950, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.886-0.984) and the testing dataset (AUROC=0.945, 95% CI: 0.826-0.992). Compared with two radiologists, the proposed model possessed significant advantages with higher accuracy (90.24% versus 75.61% and 80.49%), sensitivity (91.67% versus 50% and 75%), and specificity (89.66% versus 86.21% and 82.76%).

CONCLUSION

A machine-learning model based on radiomics features exhibits superior diagnostic performance in differentiating AIS/MIA from IAC appearing as pGGNs.

Radiomics for lung adenocarcinoma manifesting as pure ground-glass nodules: invasive prediction

Objectives

To investigate the value of radiomics based on CT imaging in predicting invasive adenocarcinoma manifesting as pure ground-glass nodules (pGGNs).

Methods

This study enrolled 395 pGGNs with histopathology-confirmed benign nodules or adenocarcinoma. A total of 396 radiomic features were extracted from each labeled nodule. A Rad-score was constructed with the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) in the training set. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was conducted to establish the radiographic model and the combined radiographic–radiomics model. The predictive performance was validated by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. Based on the multivariate logistic regression analysis, an individual prediction nomogram was developed and the clinical utility was assessed.

Results

Five radiomic features and four radiographic features were selected for predicting the invasive lesions. The combined radiographic–radiomics model (AUC 0.77; 95% CI, 0.69–0.86) performed better than the radiographic model (AUC 0.71; 95% CI, 0.62–0.81) and Rad-score (AUC 0.72; 95% CI, 0.63–0.81) in the validation set. The clinical utility of the individualized prediction nomogram developed using the Rad-score, margin, spiculation, and size was confirmed in the validation set. The decision curve analysis (DCA) indicated that using a model with Rad-score to predict the invasive lesion would be more beneficial than that without Rad-score and the clinical model.

Conclusions

The proposed radiomics-based nomogram that incorporated the Rad-score, margin, spiculation, and size may be utilized as a noninvasive biomarker for the assessment of invasive prediction in patients with pGGNs.

Key Points

• CT-based radiomics analysis helps invasive prediction manifested as pGGNs.

• The combined radiographic–radiomics model may be utilized as a noninvasive biomarker for predicting invasive lesion for pGGNs.

• Radiomics-based individual nomogram may serve as a vital decision support tool to identify invasive pGGNs, obviating further workup and blind follow-up.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (10.1007/s00330-020-06776-y) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

A Subsolid Nodules Imaging Reporting System (SSN-IRS) for Classifying 3 Subtypes of Pulmonary Adenocarcinoma

OBJECTIVES

To develop an imaging reporting system for the classification of 3 adenocarcinoma subtypes of computed tomography (CT)-detected subsolid pulmonary nodules (SSNs) in clinical patients.

METHODS

Between November 2011 and October 2017, 437 pathologically confirmed SSNs were retrospectively identified. SSNs were randomly divided 2:1 into a training group (291 cases) and a testing group (146 cases). CT-imaging characteristics were analyzed using multinomial univariable and multivariable logistic regression analysis to identify discriminating factors for the 3 adenocarcinoma subtypes (pre-invasive lesions, minimally invasive adenocarcinoma, and invasive adenocarcinoma). These factors were used to develop a classification and regression tree model. Finally, an SSN Imaging Reporting System (SSN-IRS) was constructed based on the optimized classification model. For validation, the classification performance was evaluated in the testing group.

RESULTS

Of the CT-derived characteristics of SSNs, qualitative density (nonsolid or part-solid), core (non-core or core), semantic features (pleural indentation, vacuole sign, vascular invasion), and diameter of solid component (≤6 mm or >6 mm), were the most important factors for the SSN-IRS. The total sensitivity, specificity, and diagnostic accuracy of the SSN-IRS was 89.0% (95% confidence interval [CI], 84.8%-92.4%), 74.6% (95% CI, 70.8%-78.1%), and 79.4% (95% CI, 76.5%-82.0%) in the training group and 84.9% (95% CI, 78.1%-90.3%), 68.5% (95% CI, 62.8%-73.8%), and 74.0% (95% CI, 69.6%-78.0%) in the testing group, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

The SSN-IRS can classify 3 adenocarcinoma subtypes using CT-based characteristics of subsolid pulmonary nodules. This classification tool can help clinicians to make follow-up recommendations or decisions for surgery in clinical patients with SSNs.

Towards clinical application of image mining: a systematic review on artificial intelligence and radiomics

PURPOSE

The aim of this systematic review was to analyse literature on artificial intelligence (AI) and radiomics, including all medical imaging modalities, for oncological and non-oncological applications, in order to assess how far the image mining research stands from routine medical application. To do this, we applied a trial phases classification inspired from the drug development process.

METHODS

Among the articles we considered for inclusion from PubMed were multimodality AI and radiomics investigations, with a validation analysis aimed at relevant clinical objectives. Quality assessment of selected papers was performed according to the QUADAS-2 criteria. We developed the phases classification criteria for image mining studies.

RESULTS

Overall 34,626 articles were retrieved, 300 were selected applying the inclusion/exclusion criteria, and 171 high-quality papers (QUADAS-2 ≥ 7) were identified and analysed. In 27/171 (16%), 141/171 (82%), and 3/171 (2%) studies the development of an AI-based algorithm, radiomics model, and a combined radiomics/AI approach, respectively, was described. A total of 26/27(96%) and 1/27 (4%) AI studies were classified as phase II and III, respectively. Consequently, 13/141 (9%), 10/141 (7%), 111/141 (79%), and 7/141 (5%) radiomics studies were classified as phase 0, I, II, and III, respectively. All three radiomics/AI studies were categorised as phase II trials.

CONCLUSIONS

The results of the studies are promising but still not mature enough for image mining tools to be implemented in the clinical setting and be widely used. The transfer learning from the well-known drug development process, with some specific adaptations to the image mining discipline could represent the most effective way for radiomics and AI algorithms to become the standard of care tools.

CT radiomics and PET radiomics: ready for clinical implementation?

INTRODUCTION

Today, rapid technical and clinical developments result in an increasing number of treatment options for oncological diseases. Thus, decision support systems are needed to offer the right treatment to the right patient. Imaging biomarkers hold great promise in patient-individual treatment guidance. Routinely performed for diagnosis and staging, imaging datasets are expected to hold more information than used in the clinical practice. Radiomics describes the extraction of a large number of meaningful quantitative features from medical images, such as computed tomography (CT) and positron emission tomography (PET). Due to the non-invasive nature and ability to capture 3D image-based heterogeneity, radiomic features are potential surrogate markers of the cancer phenotype. Several radiomic studies are published per day, owing to encouraging results of many radiomics-based patient outcome models. Despite this comparably large number of studies, radiomics is mainly studied in proof of principle concept. Hence, a translation of radiomics from a hot topic research field into an essential clinical decision-making tool is lacking, but of high clinical interest.

EVIDENCE ACQUISITION

Herein, we present a literature review addressing the clinical evidence of CT and PET radiomics. An extensive literature review was conducted in PubMed, including papers on robustness and clinical applications.

EVIDENCE SYNTHESIS

We summarize image-modality related influences on the robustness of radiomic features and provide an overview of clinical evidence reported in the literature. Today, more evidence has been provided for CT imaging, however, PET imaging offers the promise of direct imaging of biological processes and functions. We provide a summary of future research directions, which needs to be addressed in order to successfully introduce radiomics into clinical medicine. In comparison to CT, more focus should be directed towards harmonization of PET acquisition and reconstruction protocols, which is important for transferable modelling.

CONCLUSIONS

Both CT and PET radiomics are promising pre-treatment and intra-treatment biomarkers for outcome prediction. Most studies are performed in retrospective setting, however their validation in prospective data collections is ongoing.

A radiomics model for determining the invasiveness of solitary pulmonary nodules that manifest as part-solid nodules

AIM

A nomogram model was developed to predict the histological subtypes of lung invasive adenocarcinomas (IAs) and minimally invasive adenocarcinomas (MIAs) that manifest as part-solid ground-glass nodules (GGNs).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This retrospective study enrolled 119 patients with histopathologically confirmed part-solid GGNs assigned to the training (n=83) or testing cohorts (n=36). Radiomic features were extracted based on the unenhanced computed tomography (CT) images. R software was applied to process the qualitative and quantitative data. The CT features model, radiomic signature model, and combined prediction model were constructed and compared.

RESULTS

A total of 396 radiomic features were extracted from the preoperative CT images, four features including MaxIntensity, RMS, ZonePercentage, and LongRunEmphasis_angle0_offset7 were indicated to be the best discriminators to establish the radiomic signature model. The performance of the model was satisfactory in both the training and testing set with areas under the curve (AUCs) of 0.854 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.774 to 0.934) and 0.813 (95% CI: 0.670 to 0.955), respectively. The CT morphology of the lesion shape and diameter of the solid component were confirmed to be a significant feature for building the CT features model, which had an AUC of 0.755 (95% CI: 0.648 to 0.843). A nomogram that integrated lesion shape and radiomic signature was constructed, which contributed an AUC of 0.888 (95% CI: 0.82 to 0.955).

CONCLUSIONS

The radiomic signature could provide an important reference for differentiating IAs from MIAs, and could be significantly enhanced by the addition of CT morphology. The nomogram may be highly informative for making clinical decisions.

Treatment response prediction of rehabilitation program in children with cerebral palsy using radiomics strategy: protocol for a multicenter prospective cohort study in west China

Background

Cerebral palsy (CP) is a major cause of chronic childhood disability worldwide, causing activity limitation as well as impairments in sensation, cognition, and communication. Leveraging biomarkers to establish individualized predictions of future treatment responses will be of great value. We aim to develop and validate a model that can be used to predict the individualized treatment response in Children with CP.

Methods

A multicenter prospective cohort study will be conducted in 4 hospitals in west China. One hundred and thirty children with CP will be recruited and undergo clinical assessment using the Peabody Developmental Motor Scales, Manual Ability Classification System (MACS), Hand Assessment for Infants (HAI), Assisting Hand Assessment (AHA), and Gross Motor Function Classification System (GMFCS). The data collected will include MRI image, clinical status, and socioeconomic status. The clinical information and MRI features extracted using radiomics strategy will be combined for exploratory analysis. The accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity of the model will be assessed using multiple modeling methodologies. Internal and external validation will be used to evaluate the performance of the radiomics model.

Discussion

We hypothesized that the findings from this study could provide a critical step towards the prediction of treatment response in children with CP, which could also complement other biomarkers in the development of precision medicine approaches for this severe disorder.

Trial registration

The study was registered with clinicaltrials.gov (NCT02979743).

Small Cell Lung Cancer Therapeutic Responses Through Fractal Measurements: From Radiology to Mitochondrial Biology

Small cell lung cancer (SCLC) is an aggressive neuroendocrine disease with an overall 5 year survival rate of ~7%. Although patients tend to respond initially to therapy, therapy-resistant disease inevitably emerges. Unfortunately, there are no validated biomarkers for early-stage SCLC to aid in early detection. Here, we used readouts of lesion image characteristics and cancer morphology that were based on fractal geometry, namely fractal dimension (FD) and lacunarity (LC), as novel biomarkers for SCLC. Scanned tumors of patients before treatment had a high FD and a low LC compared to post treatment, and this effect was reversed after treatment, suggesting that these measurements reflect the initial conditions of the tumor, its growth rate, and the condition of the lung. Fractal analysis of mitochondrial morphology showed that cisplatin-treated cells showed a discernibly decreased LC and an increased FD, as compared with control. However, treatment with mdivi-1, the small molecule that attenuates mitochondrial division, was associated with an increase in FD as compared with control. These data correlated well with the altered metabolic functions of the mitochondria in the diseased state, suggesting that morphological changes in the mitochondria predicate the tumor’s future ability for mitogenesis and motogenesis, which was also observed on the CT scan images. Taken together, FD and LC present ideal tools to differentiate normal tissue from malignant SCLC tissue as a potential diagnostic biomarker for SCLC.

Predicting the Development of Normal-Appearing White Matter With Radiomics in the Aging Brain: A Longitudinal Clinical Study

Background: Normal-appearing white matter (NAWM) refers to the normal, yet diseased tissue around the white matter hyperintensities (WMH) on conventional MR images. Radiomics is an emerging quantitative imaging technique that provides more details than a traditional visual analysis. This study aims to explore whether WMH could be predicted during the early stages of NAWM, using a textural analysis in the general elderly population.

Methods: Imaging data were obtained from PACS between 2012 and 2017. The subjects (≥60 years) received two or more MRI exams on the same scanner with time intervals of more than 1 year. By comparing the baseline and follow-up images, patients with noted progression of WMH were included as the case group (n = 51), while age-matched subjects without WMH were included as the control group (n = 51). Segmentations of the regions of interest (ROIs) were done with the ITK software. Two ROIs of developing NAWM (dNAWM) and non-developing NAWM (non-dNAWM) were drawn separately on the FLAIR images of each patient. dNAWM appeared normal on the baseline images, yet evolved into WMH on the follow-up images. Non-dNAWM appeared normal on both the baseline and follow-up images. A third ROI of normal white matter (NWM) was extracted from the control group, which was normal on both baseline and follow-up images. Textural features were dimensionally reduced with ANOVA+MW, correlation analysis, and LASSO. Three models were built based on the optimal parameters of dimensional reduction, including Model 1 (NWM vs. dNAWM), Model 2 (non-dNAWM vs. dNAWM), and Model 3 (NWM vs. non-dNAWM). The ROC curve was adopted to evaluate the classification validity of these models.

Results: Basic characteristics of the patients and controls showed no significant differences. The AUC of Model 1 in training and test groups were 0.967 (95% CI: 0.831–0.999) and 0.954 (95% CI: 0.876–0.989), respectively. The AUC of Model 2 were 0.939 (95% CI: 0.856–0.982) and 0.846 (95% CI: 0.671–0.950). The AUC of Model 3 were 0.713 (95% CI: 0.593–0.814) and 0.667 (95% CI: 0.475–0.825).

Conclusion: Radiomics textural analysis can distinguish dNAWM from non-dNAWM on FLAIR images, which could be used for the early detection of NAWM lesions before they develop into visible WHM.