The Value of 18F-FDG PET/CT Mathematical Prediction Model in Diagnosis of Solitary Pulmonary Nodules

18F-FDG PET/CT based model for predicting malignancy in pulmonary nodules: a meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Several studies to date have reported on the development of positron emission tomography (PET)/computed tomography (CT)-based models intended to effectively distinguish between benign and malignant pulmonary nodules (PNs). This meta-analysis was designed with the goal of clarifying the utility of these PET/CT-based conventional parameter models as diagnostic tools in the context of the differential diagnosis of PNs.

METHODS

Relevant studies published through September 2023 were identified by searching the Web of Science, PubMed, and Wanfang databases, after which Stata v 12.0 was used to conduct pooled analyses of the resultant data.

RESULTS

This meta-analysis included a total of 13 retrospective studies that analyzed 1,731 and 693 malignant and benign PNs, respectively. The respective pooled sensitivity, specificity, PLR, and NLR values for the PET/CT-based studies developed in these models were 88% (95%CI: 0.86-0.91), 78% (95%CI: 0.71-0.85), 4.10 (95%CI: 2.98-5.64), and 0.15 (95%CI: 0.12-0.19). Of these endpoints, the pooled analyses of model sensitivity (I2 = 69.25%), specificity (I2 = 78.44%), PLR (I2 = 71.42%), and NLR (I2 = 67.18%) were all subject to significant heterogeneity. The overall area under the curve value (AUC) value for these models was 0.91 (95%CI: 0.88-0.93). When differential diagnosis was instead performed based on PET results only, the corresponding pooled sensitivity, specificity, PLR, and NLR values were 92% (95%CI: 0.85-0.96), 51% (95%CI: 0.37-0.66), 1.89 (95%CI: 1.36-2.62), and 0.16 (95%CI: 0.07-0.35), with all four being subject to significant heterogeneity (I2 = 88.08%, 82.63%, 80.19%, and 86.38%). The AUC for these pooled analyses was 0.82 (95%CI: 0.79-0.85).

CONCLUSIONS

These results suggest that PET/CT-based models may offer diagnostic performance superior to that of PET results alone when distinguishing between benign and malignant PNs.

Developing a multi-institutional nomogram for assessing lung cancer risk in patients with 5-30 mm pulmonary nodules: a retrospective analysis

Background

The diagnosis of benign and malignant solitary pulmonary nodules based on personal experience has several limitations. Therefore, this study aims to establish a nomogram for the diagnosis of benign and malignant solitary pulmonary nodules using clinical information and computed tomography (CT) results.

Methods

Retrospectively, we collected clinical and CT characteristics of 1,160 patients with pulmonary nodules in Guang'an People's Hospital and the hospital affiliated with North Sichuan Medical College between 2019 and 2021. Among these patients, data from 773 patients with pulmonary nodules were used as the training set. We used the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) to optimize clinical and imaging features and performed a multivariate logistic regression to identify features with independent predictive ability to develop the nomogram model. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), C-index, decision curve analysis, and calibration plot were used to evaluate the performance of the nomogram model in terms of predictive ability, discrimination, calibration, and clinical utility. Finally, data from 387 patients with pulmonary nodules were utilized for validation.

Results

In the training set, the predictors for the nomogram were gender, density of the nodule, nodule diameter, lobulation, calcification, vacuole, vascular convergence, bronchiole, and pleural traction, selected through LASSO and logistic regression analysis. The resulting model had a C-index of 0.842 (95% CI [0.812-0.872]) and AUCs of 0.842 (95% CI [0.812-0.872]). In the validation set, the C-index was 0.856 (95% CI [0.811-0.901]), and the AUCs were 0.844 (95% CI [0.797-0.891]). Results from the calibration curve and clinical decision curve analyses indicate that the nomogram has a high fit and clinical benefit in both the training and validation sets.

Conclusion

The establishment of a nomogram for predicting the benign or malignant diagnosis of solitary pulmonary nodules by this study has shown good efficacy. Such a nomogram may help to guide the diagnosis, follow-up, and treatment of patients.

Predictive value of intratumoral-metabolic heterogeneity derived from 18F-FDG PET/CT in distinguishing microsatellite instability status of colorectal carcinoma

Purpose/background

Microsatellite instability (MSI) status is a significant biomarker for the response to immune checkpoint inhibitors, response to 5-fluorouracil-based adjuvant chemotherapy, and prognosis in colorectal carcinoma (CRC). This study investigated the predictive value of intratumoral-metabolic heterogeneity (IMH) and conventional metabolic parameters derived from 18F-FDG PET/CT for MSI in patients with stage I-III CRC.

Methods

This study was a retrospective analysis of 152 CRC patients with pathologically proven MSI who underwent 18F-FDG PET/CT examination from January 2016 to May 2022. Intratumoral-metabolic heterogeneity (including heterogeneity index [HI] and heterogeneity factor [HF]) and conventional metabolic parameters (standardized uptake value [SUV], metabolic tumor volume [MTV], and total lesion glycolysis [TLG]) of the primary lesions were determined. MTV and SUVmean were calculated on the basis of the percentage threshold of SUVs at 30%-70%. TLG, HI, and HF were obtained on the basis of the above corresponding thresholds. MSI was determined by immunohistochemical evaluation. Differences in clinicopathologic and various metabolic parameters between MSI-High (MSI-H) and microsatellite stability (MSS) groups were assessed. Potential risk factors for MSI were assessed by logistic regression analyses and used for construction of the mathematical model. Area under the curve (AUC) were used to evaluate the predictive ability of factors for MSI.

Results

This study included 88 patients with CRC in stages I-III, including 19 (21.6%) patients with MSI-H and 69 (78.4%) patients with MSS. Poor differentiation, mucinous component, and various metabolic parameters including MTV30%, MTV40%, MTV50%, and MTV60%, as well as HI50%, HI60%, HI70%, and HF in the MSI-H group were significantly higher than those in the MSS group (all P < 0.05). In multivariate logistic regression analyses, post-standardized HI60% by Z-score (P = 0.037, OR: 2.107) and mucinous component (P < 0.001, OR:11.394) were independently correlated with MSI. AUC of HI60% and our model of the HI60% + mucinous component was 0.685 and 0.850, respectively (P = 0.019), and the AUC of HI30% in predicting the mucinous component was 0.663.

Conclusions

Intratumoral-metabolic heterogeneity derived from 18F-FDG PET/CT was higher in MSI-H CRC and predicted MSI in stage I-III CRC patients preoperatively. HI60% and mucinous component were independent risk factors for MSI. These findings provide new methods to predict the MSI and mucinous component for patients with CRC.

Differentiation Between Malignant and Benign Pulmonary Nodules by Using Automated Three-Dimensional High-Resolution Representation Learning With Fluorodeoxyglucose Positron Emission Tomography-Computed Tomography

Background

The investigation of incidental pulmonary nodules has rapidly become one of the main indications for 18F-fluorodeoxyglucose (FDG) positron emission tomography (PET), currently combined with computed tomography (PET-CT). There is also a growing trend to use artificial Intelligence for optimization and interpretation of PET-CT Images. Therefore, we proposed a novel deep learning model that aided in the automatic differentiation between malignant and benign pulmonary nodules on FDG PET-CT.

Methods

In total, 112 participants with pulmonary nodules who underwent FDG PET-CT before surgery were enrolled retrospectively. We designed a novel deep learning three-dimensional (3D) high-resolution representation learning (HRRL) model for the automated classification of pulmonary nodules based on FDG PET-CT images without manual annotation by experts. For the images to be localized more precisely, we defined the territories of the lungs through a novel artificial intelligence-driven image-processing algorithm, instead of the conventional segmentation method, without the aid of an expert; this algorithm is based on deep HRRL, which is used to perform high-resolution classification. In addition, the 2D model was converted to a 3D model.

Results

All pulmonary lesions were confirmed through pathological studies (79 malignant and 33 benign). We evaluated its diagnostic performance in the differentiation of malignant and benign nodules. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of the deep learning model was used to indicate classification performance in an evaluation using fivefold cross-validation. The nodule-based prediction performance of the model had an AUC, sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy of 78.1, 89.9, 54.5, and 79.4%, respectively.

Conclusion

Our results suggest that a deep learning algorithm using HRRL without manual annotation from experts might aid in the classification of pulmonary nodules discovered through clinical FDG PET-CT images.

Solitary pulmonary nodule malignancy predictive models applicable to routine clinical practice: a systematic review

BACKGROUND

Solitary pulmonary nodule (SPN) is a common finding in routine clinical practice when performing chest imaging tests. The vast majority of these nodules are benign, and only a small proportion are malignant. The application of predictive models of nodule malignancy in routine clinical practice would help to achieve better diagnostic management of SPN. The present systematic review was carried out with the purpose of critically assessing studies aimed at developing predictive models of solitary pulmonary nodule (SPN) malignancy from SPN incidentally detected in routine clinical practice.

METHODS

We performed a search of available scientific literature until October 2020 in Pubmed, SCOPUS and Cochrane Central databases. The inclusion criteria were observational studies carried out in low-risk population from 35 years old onwards aimed at constructing predictive models of malignancy of pulmonary solitary nodule detected incidentally in routine clinical practice. Studies had to be published in peer-reviewed journals, either in Spanish, Portuguese or English. Exclusion criteria were non-human studies, or predictive models based in high-risk populations, or models based on computational approaches. Exclusion criteria were non-human studies, or predictive models based in high-risk populations, or models based on computational approaches (such as radiomics). We used The Transparent Reporting of a multivariable Prediction model for Individual Prognosis Or Diagnosis (TRIPOD) statement, to describe the type of predictive model included in each study, and The Prediction model Risk Of Bias ASsessment Tool (PROBAST) to evaluate the quality of the selected articles.

RESULTS

A total of 186 references were retrieved, and after applying the exclusion/inclusion criteria, 15 articles remained for the final review. All studies analysed clinical and radiological variables. The most frequent independent predictors of SPN malignancy were, in order of frequency, age, diameter, spiculated edge, calcification and smoking history. Variables such as race, SPN growth rate, emphysema, fibrosis, apical scarring and exposure to asbestos, uranium and radon were not analysed by the majority of the studies. All studies were classified as high risk of bias due to inadequate study designs, selection bias, insufficient population follow-up and lack of external validation, compromising their applicability for clinical practice.

CONCLUSIONS

The studies included have been shown to have methodological weaknesses compromising the clinical applicability of the evaluated SPN malignancy predictive models and their potential influence on clinical decision-making for the SPN diagnostic management.

SYSTEMATIC REVIEW REGISTRATION

PROSPERO CRD42020161559.

Role of 18F-FDG PET/CT Radiomics Features in the Differential Diagnosis of Solitary Pulmonary Nodules: Diagnostic Accuracy and Comparison between Two Different PET/CT Scanners

The aim of this retrospective study was to investigate the ability of 18 fluorine-fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography/CT (¹⁸F-FDG-PET/CT) metrics and radiomics features (RFs) in predicting the final diagnosis of solitary pulmonary nodules (SPN). We retrospectively recruited 202 patients who underwent a ¹⁸F-FDG-PET/CT before any treatment in two PET scanners. After volumetric segmentation of each lung nodule, 8 PET metrics and 42 RFs were extracted. All the features were tested for significant differences between the two PET scanners. The performances of all features in predicting the nature of SPN were analyzed by testing three classes of final logistic regression predictive models: two were built/trained through exploiting the separate data from the two scanners, and the other joined the data together. One hundred and twenty-seven patients had a final diagnosis of malignancy, while 64 were of a benign nature. Comparing the two PET scanners, we found that all metabolic features and most of RFs were significantly different, despite the cross correlation being quite similar. For scanner 1, a combination between grey level co-occurrence matrix (GLCM), histogram, and grey-level zone length matrix (GLZLM) related features presented the best performances to predict the diagnosis; for scanner 2, it was GLCM and histogram-related features and metabolic tumour volume (MTV); and for scanner 1 + 2, it was histogram features, standardized uptake value (SUV) metrics, and MTV. RFs had a significant role in predicting the diagnosis of SPN, but their accuracies were directly related to the scanner.

[Advances and Clinical Application of Malignant Probability Prediction Models for Solitary Pulmonary Nodule]

随着计算机断层扫描（computed tomography, CT）的普及，孤立性肺结节（solitary pulmonary nodule, SPN）发病率明显上升。肺结节良恶性评估对肺结节诊治决策至关重要。许多肺结节恶性概率预测模型已被开发，这些模型基于患者临床和影像学特征来评估肺结节恶性概率。近年来，肺结节恶性概率预测模型在国内逐渐引起关注。本文基于肺结节恶性概率预测模型研究，重点关注在中国患者群体中模型的建立或验证情况，综述肺结节恶性概率预测模型的研究进展和临床应用情况，并为模型未来发展提出思路。

Liquid biopsies to distinguish malignant from benign pulmonary nodules

Over the past decades, low-dose computed tomography (LD-CT) screening has been widely used for the early detection of lung cancer. Increasing numbers of indeterminate pulmonary nodules are now being discovered. However, it remains challenging to distinguish malignant from benign pulmonary nodules, especially those considered to be small or ground-glass (GGN) nodules. Liquid biopsies have been successfully applied in the diagnosis of advanced lung cancer, and the potential value for early detection of lung cancer has made great progress. Recent studies have demonstrated the value of various blood-based tumor biomarkers in determining the nature of pulmonary nodules, including cell-free DNA (cfDNA), microRNAs (miRNAs), circulating tumor cells (CTCs) and tumor-associated autoantibodies (AAbs). In this review, we summarize the latest progress of liquid biopsies, and their potential applications and challenges in the diagnosis of malignant pulmonary nodules.

Value of Shape and Texture Features from 18F-FDG PET/CT to Discriminate between Benign and Malignant Solitary Pulmonary Nodules: An Experimental Evaluation

In this paper, we investigate the role of shape and texture features from 18F-FDG PET/CT to discriminate between benign and malignant solitary pulmonary nodules. To this end, we retrospectively evaluated cross-sectional data from 111 patients (64 males, 47 females, age = 67.5 ± 11.0) all with histologically confirmed benign (n=39) or malignant (n=72) solitary pulmonary nodules. Eighteen three-dimensional imaging features, including conventional, texture, and shape features from PET and CT were tested for significant differences (Wilcoxon-Mann-Withney) between the benign and malignant groups. Prediction models based on different feature sets and three classification strategies (Classification Tree, k-Nearest Neighbours, and Naïve Bayes) were also evaluated to assess the potential benefit of shape and texture features compared with conventional imaging features alone. Eight features from CT and 15 from PET were significantly different between the benign and malignant groups. Adding shape and texture features increased the performance of both the CT-based and PET-based prediction models with overall accuracy gain being 3.4-11.2 pp and 2.2-10.2 pp, respectively. In conclusion, we found that shape and texture features from 18F-FDG PET/CT can lead to a better discrimination between benign and malignant lung nodules by increasing the accuracy of the prediction models by an appreciable margin.

Comparison of the diagnostic accuracy of diffusion-weighted magnetic resonance imaging and positron emission tomography/computed tomography in pulmonary nodules: a prospective study

Purpose

Computed tomography (CT) and positron emission tomography (PET) are the mainstay imaging methods in the evaluation and follow-up of pulmonary nodules. But they both have high radiation risk for patients. Diffusion- weighted magnetic resonance imaging (DW-MRI), on the other hand, is a radiation free imaging method that gives information about the biological structure of tissues at the molecular level by measuring random movement of water in biological tissues. In this prospective study we aimed to compare the computed tomography characteristics of the nodules in terms of malignancy and to compare the accuracy of DW-MRI and PET/CT results in those patients.

Material and methods

Seventy-six patients suspicious for lung cancer on thorax CT imaging were prospectively further evaluated by thorax diffusion-weighted imaging and PET/CT. Pulmonary lesion characteristics, apparent diffusion coefficient (ADC), and maximum standardised uptake values (SUV_max) were compared with histopathological results.

Results

There was statistically significant moderate negative correlation between PET-SUV_max and ADC values of lung lesions. ADC values below the cut-off was 97.1%, specificity was 97.6%, positive predictive value was 97.1%, and the negative predictive value was 97.6%.

Conclusions

DAG-MRI and PET/CT have similar success in the differentiation of benign and malignant lung lesions.