Preoperative Neutrophil-to-Lymphocyte Ratio Plus Platelet-to-Lymphocyte Ratio Predicts the Outcomes after Curative Resection for Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Improving clinical outcomes of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma: Role of antiviral therapy, conversion therapy, and palliative therapy

In this editorial, I comment on three articles published in the recent issue of the World Journal of Gastrointestinal Oncology. Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is an important public health concern, and there are three articles on the theme of HCC in this issue. I focus on the articles by Mu et al, Chu et al, and Ma et al for this editorial. While these articles may be considered as low-quality evidence, and the results cannot be generalized to non-hepatitis-B or C virus patients, the discussion of the results is important. In addition, though all the articles are from China, the relevance of the results is not minuscule. As resection is the main form of curative treatment modality owing to a donor liver shortage, surgeons need to be aware that preoperative long-course antiviral therapy can improve clinical outcomes by reducing postoperative liver dysfunction and recurrence of HCC following resection. Similarly, patients with super-giant HCC (defined as ≥ 15 cm diameter) should also be carefully considered for liver resection, and if it is unresectable upfront, then a combination of liver-directed therapy and systemic therapy may downstage HCC. If, following downstaging, the patient qualifies for liver resection based on locally prevalent resectability criteria, then such therapy is labelled as conversion (from unresectable to resectable) therapy. In unresectable patients treated by a combination of treatment options, serological markers like neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio and alpha-fetoprotein are reported to predict treatment responses, thus enabling personalized medicine.

Prognostic Value of Liver Biomarkers in Hepatocellular Carcinoma Patients Undergoing Yttrium 90 Transarterial Radioembolization (TARE): A Retrospective Pilot Study

INTRODUCTION

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a common cause of cancer-related death worldwide. The prognosis for HCC depends on the tumor stage, and curative therapies are more accessible in the early stages. However, effective treatments are available even in advanced stages. Transarterial radioembolization (TARE) is an alternative to transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) with reduced risk and extended disease progression time. Identifying prognostic indicators and treatment response biomarkers remains crucial. The purpose of this study was to assess the association between biomarkers related to fibrosis, liver function, and immune inflammation with tumor response to yttrium 90 transarterial radiotherapy (Y90 or TARE) in patients with HCC.

METHODS

This study enrolled patients who underwent Y90 radiotherapy for bridging, downstaging, or palliative treatment after discussion in a multidisciplinary tumor board. Using the modified Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors (mRECIST), tumor response was classified into two groups: "responders" (complete and partial response) and "non-responders" (stable and progressive disease). Logistic regression analysis was used to evaluate the association between predictors, biomarkers such as aspartate aminotransferase (AST)-to-platelet ratio index (APRI), fibrosis-4 (FIB-4), albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) score, model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score, MELD sodium, and the systemic immune-inflammatory indexes, at established cut-offs and tumor response.

RESULTS

Of 35 patients, 22 (63%) were Whites and non-Hispanics, 32 (91%) were diagnosed with cirrhosis, and 14 (40%) of these had a viral etiology. According to mRECIST, 18 (51%) patients were classified as "responders." In multivariable logistic regression analysis, biomarkers associated with tumor response were ALBI score ≤-2.8 (odds ratio (OR) 6.1, 95%CI 2.7-14.4) and the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) ≤ 1.92 (OR 5.1, 95%CI 0.8-11.9). Biomarkers had moderate accuracy in predicting tumor response (C-statistic 0.75).

CONCLUSION

The ALBI score is a reliable predictor of treatment response following TARE. The NLR index may offer further prognostic information, and both biomarkers can be used in combination; however, further research in larger sample sets is needed.

Prognostic prediction of the platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio in hepatocellular carcinoma: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Background

Platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) has been used to predict the prognosis of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) with inconsistent results. This meta-analysis aimed to clarify the prognostic value of PLR in patients with HCC.

Methods

We systematically retrieved relevant literature published in the PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, and Cochrane databases up to November 20, 2021. The primary outcomes were the hazard ratios (HRs) and their 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for overall survival (OS), and secondary study outcomes were recurrence-free survival (RFS), disease-free survival (DFS), progression-free survival (PFS). All statistical analyses were conducted by Review Manager 5.4.1 and STATA 16.0 software.

Results

A total of 21 studies comprising 8,779 patients were included in this meta-analysis. Pooled results suggested that a high PLR was significantly associated with poor OS (HR: 1.34, 95% CI: 1.18-1.52, P<0.00001; I²=59%, P=0.0005), RFS or DFS (HR: 1.35, 95% CI: 1.13-1.63, P=0.001; I²=69%, P=0.002), and PFS (HR: 1.55, 95% CI: 1.09-2.22, P=0.02; I²=73%, P=0.02). The subgroup analysis for OS showed, when the PLR cutoff value was greater than 150, the heterogeneity decreased to 0 (HR: 1.48, 95% CI: 1.33-1.68, P<0.00001; I²=0%, P=0.56); when the HBsAg positive population was increased to 100%, the heterogeneity decreased to 0 (HR: 1.46, 95% CI: 1.22-1.73, P<0.0001; I²=0%, P=0.45); compared with other regions in the world, it was more significant in China (HR: 1.43, 95% CI: 1.26-1.62, P<0.00001; I²=52%, P=0.01). In addition, scatter plot showed that the HR was negatively correlated with the proportion of patients with liver cirrhosis.

Conclusions

This meta-analysis suggests that PLR is a negative correlation prognostic biomarker for HCC, high PLR values indicate poor OS, RFS, DFS and PFS, especially in hepatitis B virus (HBV) related patients.

Combination of Preoperative Circulating Tumor Cell Count and Neutrophil-Lymphocyte Ratio for Prognostic Prediction in Hepatocellular Carcinoma Patients after Curative Hepatectomy

Background

Both the preoperative neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and circulating tumor cell count (CTC) are associated with poor prognosis in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). The purpose of this study was to explore the prognostic value of these two indices (CTC-NLR) in HCC.

Methods

We retrospectively collected demographic and clinical data, including NLR and CTC, from 97 patients with HCC who underwent curative hepatectomy at our institution from March 2014 to May 2017. X-Tile software was used to confirm the optimal cut-off value of NLR and CTC for predicting overall survival (OS) in this study. OS were also analyzed using Kaplan-Meier and Cox regression methods. Based on preoperative CTC and NLR, patients were divided into three groups: CTC-NLR (0), CTC-NLR (1), and CTC-NLR (2). Relationships of CTC-NLR with clinicopathological factors and survival were evaluated.

Results

Preoperatively, CTC positively correlated with NLR. Patients with NLR and CTC higher than the cut-offs had shorter OS than patients with low NLR and CTC. Kaplan-Meier analysis, and log-rank tests revealed significantly lower OS among patients with CTC-NLR scores of 0, 1, and 2. Uni- and multivariate analyses showed that CTC-NLR (hazard ratio 2.050, P = 0.005), CTC (hazard ratio 2.285, P = 0.032), and NLR (hazard ratio 1.902, P = 0.048) were independent predictor of OS. A time-dependent ROC curve indicated that the prognostic efficacy of the CTC-NLR at 1 year (0.714) was better than that of NLR (0.687) and CTC (0.590); the prognostic efficacy of the CTC-NLR at 2 years (0.746) was better than that of NLR (0.711) and CTC (0.601); the prognostic efficacy of the CTC-NLR at 3 years (0.742) was better than that of NLR (0.694) and CTC (0.629).

Conclusions

HCC patients with higher NLR and CTC tend to show shorter OS. Preoperative CTC-NLR may be associated with poor survival and might be a reliable prognostic predictor in HCC after curative hepatectomy.

Outcomes of surgical resection of super-giant (≥15 cm) hepatocellular carcinoma: Volume does matter, if not the size

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Resection for giant hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) (≥10 cm) is deemed safe and feasible. However, a super-giant HCC (≥15 cm) poses unique technical complexity for hepatectomy with limited data suggesting feasibility and oncologic efficiency. This study aims to evaluate the short-term and long-term outcomes of hepatectomy in patients with super-giant HCC.

METHODS

A retrospective review was conducted on patients with super-giant HCC who underwent hepatectomy from 2011 to 2021. We report perioperative and oncologic outcomes such as length of stay (LOS), 30-day readmission, 90-day mortality, and cumulative survival rate.

RESULTS

Of the 18 patients, the median tumor diameter was 172.5 mm (range 150-250). The most common risk factor was chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection (n=7, 38.9%). Most of the patients were Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) Stage B (n=14, 77.8%) and Hong Kong Liver Cancer (HKLC) Stage IIb (n=15, 83.3%). Extended right hepatectomy was the most common procedure. The median LOS was 11 days (range 3-90). The most common post-operative complication was pneumonia (n=4, 22.2%). Fourteen patients were discharged well without any need for invasive therapy (n=7, 38.9% no complications, n=1, 5.6% Clavien Grade I, n=6, 33.3% Clavien Grade II). Thirty-day readmission rate was 5.6% (n=1) and 90-day mortality rate was 5.6% (n=1). There were 12 patients (66.7%) with microvascular invasion and three patients (16.7%) with macrovascular invasion. Most patients had Grade III (poorly differentiated) HCC (n=9, 50%). At a median follow-up of 11 months (range 2-95), 12 (66.7%) patients had local recurrence, and 9 (50%) developed distant metastasis. The 1-, 2-, and 3-year cumulative disease-free survival (DFS) was 36%, 18%, and 18%, respectively. The 1-, 2-, and 3-year cumulative overall survival was 49% and 39%, and 29%, respectively.

CONCLUSION

Primary hepatic resection is safe in patients with super-giant HCC. However, long-term outcomes are poor, and high tumor volume may be associated with inferior oncological outcomes in HCC.

RELEVANCE FOR PATIENTS

The presentation of super-giant HCCs may be asymptomatic and some patients are diagnosed late with limited treatment options. In some centers, this group of patients are denied surgical resection and recommended for only locoregional therapies like TACE. This paper demonstrates that hepatic resection is safe and may be an option in patients who present at an advanced stage with a high tumor burden.

Platelet-Lymphocyte and Neutrophil-Lymphocyte Ratio for Prediction of Hospital Outcomes in Patients with Abdominal Trauma

Background

The platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) reflect the patient inflammatory and immunity status. We investigated the role of on-admission PLR and NLR in predicting massive transfusion protocol (MTP) activation and mortality following abdominal trauma.

Methods

A 4-year retrospective analysis of all adult abdominal trauma patients was conducted. Patients were classified into survivors and nonsurvivors and low vs. high PLR. The discriminatory power for PLR and NLR to predict MTP and mortality was determined. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was performed for predictors of mortality.

Results

A total of 1199 abdominal trauma patients were included (18.7% of all the trauma admissions). Low PLR was associated with more severe injuries and greater rates of hospital complications including mortality in comparison to high PLR. On-admission PLR and NLR were higher in the survivors than in nonsurvivors (149.3 vs. 76.3 (p = 0.001) and 19.1 vs. 13.7 (p = 0.009), respectively). Only PLR significantly correlated with injury severity score, revised trauma score, TRISS, serum lactate, shock index, and FASILA score. Optimal cutoffs of PLR and NLR for predicting mortality were 98.5 and 18.5, respectively. The sensitivity and specificity of PLR were 81.3% and 61.1%, respectively, and 61.3% and 51.3%, respectively, for NLR. The AUROC for predicting MTP was 0.69 (95% CI: 0.655–0.743) for PLR and 0.55 (95% CI: 0.510–0.598) for NLR. To predict hospital mortality, the area under the curve (AUROC) for PLR was 0.77 (95% CI: 0.712–0.825) and 0.59 (95% CI: 0.529–0.650) for the NLR. On multivariate logistic regression analysis, the age, Glasgow Coma Scale, sepsis, injury severity score, and PLR were independent predictors of mortality.

Conclusion

On-admission PLR but not NLR helps early risk stratification and timely management and predicts mortality in abdominal trauma patients. Further prospective studies are required.

A Non-Invasive Nomogram for Preoperative Prediction of Microvascular Invasion Risk in Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Background

Microvascular invasion (MVI) is a significant predictive factor for early recurrence, metastasis, and poor prognosis of hepatocellular carcinoma. The aim of the present study is to identify preoperative factors for predicting MVI, in addition to develop and validate non-invasive nomogram for predicting MVI.

Methods

A total of 381 patients with resected HCC were enrolled and divided into a training cohort (n = 267) and a validation cohort (n = 114). Serum VEGF-A level was examined by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA). Risk factors for MVI were assessed based on univariate and multivariate analyses in the training cohort. A nomogram incorporating independent risk predictors was established and validated.

Result

The serum VEGF-A levels in the MVI positive group (n = 198) and MVI negative group (n = 183) were 215.25 ± 105.68 pg/ml and 86.52 ± 62.45 pg/ml, respectively (P <0.05). Serum VEGF-A concentration ≥138.30 pg/ml was an independent risk factor of MVI (OR: 33.088; 95%CI: 12.871–85.057; P <0.001). Higher serum concentrations of AFP and VEGF-A, lower lymphocyte count, peritumoral enhancement, irregular tumor shape, and intratumoral artery were identified as significant predictors for MVI. The nomogram indicated excellent predictive performance with an AUROC of 0.948 (95% CI: 0.923–0.973) and 0.881 (95% CI: 0.820–0.942) in the training and validation cohorts, respectively. The nomogram showed a good model fit and calibration.

Conclusions

Higher serum concentrations of AFP and VEGF-A, lower lymphocyte count, peritumoral enhancement, irregular tumor shape, and intratumoral artery are promising markers for MVI prediction in HCC. A reliable non-invasive nomogram which incorporated blood biomarkers and imaging risk factors was established and validated. The nomogram achieved desirable effectiveness in preoperatively predicting MVI in HCC patients.

The Prognostic Values of Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte Ratio and Platelet-to-Lymphocyte Ratio at Baseline in Predicting the In-hospital Mortality in Black African Patients with Advanced Hepatocellular Carcinoma in Palliative Treatment: A Comparative Cohort Study

Background

The prognostic values of the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and the platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) in predicting the in-hospital mortality of Black African patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in palliative treatment is unknown.

Aim

To determine the prognostic value of NLR and PLR compared with that of Child–Turcotte–Pugh (CTP), model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) scores and the Barcelona clinic liver cancer staging system (BCLC).

Methods

The cutoffs, accuracies and association with the mortality of these prognostic scores were determined using a time-dependent area under receiver operating characteristic curves (AUC), the log rank test and Cox proportional hazards ratio.

Results

A total of 104 patients with advanced HCC (median age=49.5 years, males=58.7%) were enrolled. All were hospitalized for an enlarged liver mass of at least 15.4 cm in size in the right thoracic quadrant. Overall, 46 (44.2%) patients died in hospital during follow-up. Patients with NLR >2.5 (log rank test=7.11, p=0.01) or PLR >92 (log rank test=5.63, p=0.02) had poor survival. Factors associated with the in-hospital mortality were the MELD score (p=0.01), NLR (p=0.03) and hemoglobin level (p=0.02). NLR exhibits better and stable accuracy in predicting the in hospital mortality at time points of 30 (AUC=0.618), 60 (AUC=0.680) and 90 (AUC=0.613) days of follow-up, compared with CTP, MELD scores, BCLC and PLR. However, PLR displayed an enhanced accuracy over 90 days of follow up (AUC=0.688).

Conclusion

NLR is useful in predicting the in-hospital mortality in Black African patients with advanced stage HCC in clinical practice. NLR and PLR may be used concomitantly for long-term follow-up.

Usefulness of neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) as a prognostic predictor after treatment of hepatocellular carcinoma." Review article

The neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) is an inflammatory marker which has been investigated as a prognostic indicator in post-therapeutic recurrence and survival of patients with HCC. Our aim was to review all studies that assessed the prognostic value of pre-treatment NLR in predicting patient survival, cancer recurrence, and graft survival in patients undergoing various therapies for HCC. We searched the database of PubMed and Google Scholar to review all studies that have the word "NLR" and the word "HCC." We included all studies that assessed pre-treatment NLR as a prognostic factor in predicting outcomes in HCC patients. We excluded studies that assessed the correlation between post-treatment NLR or dynamic changes in NLR after treatment and HCC outcomes in an effort to minimize the confounding effect of each treatment on NLR. We reviewed 123 studies that studied the correlation between pre-treatment NLR and patient survival, 72 studies that evaluated the correlation between pre-treatment NLR and tumor recurrence, 21 studies that evaluated the correlation between NLR and tumor behavior, and 4 studies that assessed the correlation between NLR and graft survival. We found a remarkable heterogeneity between the methods of the studies, which is likely responsible for the differences in outcomes. The majority of the studies suggested a correlation between higher levels of pre-treatment NLR and poor outcomes. We concluded that NLR is a reliable and inexpensive biomarker and should be incorporated into other prognostic models to help determine outcomes following HCC treatment.

A Combination of Blood Lymphocytes and AST Levels Distinguishes Patients with Small Hepatocellular Carcinomas from Non-cancer Patients

PURPOSE

HCC patients typically present at an advanced tumor stage, in which surgical therapies cannot be used. Screening ultrasound exams can increase the numbers of patients diagnosed with small tumors, but are often not used in patients at risk for HCC. We evaluated clinically available and cheap potential blood tests as biomarkers for screening patients at risk for HCC.

METHODS

A comparison was made of commonly used blood count and liver function parameters in a group of patients (n = 101) with small HCCs (≤ 3 cm) or without HCC (n = 275), who presented for liver transplantation in our institute.

RESULTS

Significant differences were found for blood lymphocytes and AST levels. This 2-parameter combination was found to be significantly different between patients with small HCCs versus no HCC. Using the combination of lymphocytes and AST levels to dichotomize the HCC patients, only blood levels of alpha-fetoprotein among the tumor characteristics were found to be significantly different among the 2 HCC groups, as well as levels of blood total bilirubin, ALKP, and PLR ratio. The results were confirmed using a separate smaller cohort of non-transplanted small size HCC patients.

CONCLUSION

The combination of elevated blood levels of lymphocyte counts and AST levels holds promise for screening of patients with chronic liver disease who are at risk for HCC.

Immunological Markers, Prognostic Factors and Challenges Following Curative Treatments for Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is one of the leading causes of cancer-related mortalities worldwide. Patients with early-stage HCC are eligible for curative treatments, such as surgical resection, liver transplantation (LT) and percutaneous ablation. Although curative treatments provide excellent long-term survival, almost 70–80% of patients experience HCC recurrence after curative treatments. Tumor-related factors, including tumor size, number and differentiation, and underlying liver disease, are well-known risk factors for recurrence following curative therapies. Moreover, the tumor microenvironment (TME) also plays a key role in the recurrence of HCC. Many immunosuppressive mechanisms, such as an increase in regulatory T cells and myeloid-derived suppressor cells with a decrease in cytotoxic T cells, are implicated in HCC recurrence. These suppressive TMEs are also modulated by several factors and pathways, including mammalian target of rapamycin signaling, vascular endothelial growth factor, programmed cell death protein 1 and its ligand 1. Based on these mechanisms and the promising results of immune checkpoint blockers (ICBs) in advanced HCC, there have been several ongoing adjuvant studies using a single or combination of ICB following curative treatments in HCC. In this review, we strive to provide biologic and immunological markers, prognostic factors, and challenges associated with clinical outcomes after curative treatments, including resection, LT and ablation.

Nomogram Based on Neutrophil-to-Lymphocyte Ratio and Platelet-to-Lymphocyte Ratio to Predict Recurrence in Patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma after Radiofrequency Ablation

OBJECTIVES

To investigate the prognostic value of pre-procedure neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) and construct a nomogram to predict disease-free survival (DFS) in patients receiving radiofrequency ablation (RFA) for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) within Milan criteria.

METHODS

The data of 515 patients of HCC within Milan criteria receiving RFA were retrospectively collected. The patients were divided into two groups: the training group (n = 382) and the validation group (n = 133). Several preprocedural variables were analyzed in the two groups to determine the prognostic factors.

RESULTS

The median DFS time of the training and validation group was 28.4 months and 24.5 months, respectively. Multivariate analyses showed that number of lesions, alpha-feto protein levels, NLR and PLR were independent risk factors of DFS. According to the time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curve (t-ROC), the optimal cutoff value of the NLR and PLR was 1.55 and 75.30, respectively, with sensitivity of 0.737 and 0.648 and specificity of 0.541 and 0.508, respectively. The area under curve (AUC) of the t-ROC curves for the NLR was 0.662 and PLR was 0.597. The DFS was significantly higher in the NLR ≤ 1.55 group compared to NLR > 1.55 group and the PLR ≤ 75.30 group compared to PLR > 75.30 group in both training and validation datasets. Nomogram was developed based on the prognostic factors indicated by the Cox regression to predict 1-, 2-, 3- and 5-year DFS probabilities.

CONCLUSIONS

The cutoff value of the NLR and PLR was 1.55 and 75.30. This new nomogram based on NLR and PLR may provide good and individualized prediction of recurrence for HCC patients within Milan criteria after RFA.

Platelet to Lymphocyte Ratio Associated with Prolonged Hospital Length of Stay Postpeptic Ulcer Perforation Repair: An Observational Descriptive Analysis

BACKGROUND

The predictive role of platelet to lymphocyte ratio (P/LR) in patients with perforated peptic ulcer (PPU) is not well-studied. We aimed to investigate the association between the P/LR ratio and the hospital length of stay (HLOS) for surgically treated PPU.

METHOD

This is a retrospective observational study for surgically treated adult cases of PPU at Hamad Medical Corporation during the period from January 2012 to August 2017. Patients were categorized into two groups based on their HLOS (I week). The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was plotted to determine the cutoff value for lymphocyte count, neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio, and P/LR ratio for predicting the prolonged hospitalization.

RESULTS

One hundred and fifty-two patients were included in the study. The majority were young males. The mean age was 38.3 ± 12.7 years. Perforated duodenal ulcer (139 patients) exceeded perforated gastric ulcer (13 patients). The HLOS > 1 week was observed in 14.5% of cases. Older age (p = 0.01), higher preoperative WBC (p = 0.03), lower lymphocyte count (p = 0.01), and higher P/LR ratio (p = 0.005) were evident in the HLOS > 1 week group. The optimal cutoff value of P/LR was 311.2 with AUC 0.702 and negative predictive value of 93% for the prediction of prolonged hospitalization. Two patients died with a mean P/LR ratio of 640.8 ± 135.5 vs. 336.6 ± 258.9 in the survivors.

CONCLUSION

High preoperative P/LR value predicts prolonged HLOS in patients with repaired perforated peptic ulcer. Further larger multicenter studies are needed to support the study findings.

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Predictors of 90-Day Mortality following Hepatic Resection for Hepatocellular Carcinoma

BACKGROUND/PURPOSE

90-day mortality is a key performance indicator for short-term perioperative outcome of hepatic resection (HR). Although many preoperative, intraoperative, and postoperative variables predict 90-day mortality following elective HR, only few are specific to hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). This study aims to determine the predictors of 90-day mortality following elective HR for HCC.

METHODS

We report a retrospective analysis of patients who underwent elective HR between January 1, 2007, and December 31, 2017. Health status, perioperative variables, and the presence of post-hepatectomy liver failure (PHLF) were studied. Cox's regression evaluated factors predicting 90-day mortality.

RESULTS

Two hundred and forty-four patients diagnosed with HCC underwent HR; 102 (41.8%) underwent a major HR. The postoperative 90-day mortality rate was 5.3%. Multivariate analysis demonstrated that Child-Pugh score (p < 0.001), intraoperative blood loss (p = 0.013), the 50-50 criteria for PHLF (p < 0.001) on postoperative day 5, and peak serum bilirubin >119 µmol/L (p = 0.007) on postoperative day 3 predict 90-day mortality.

CONCLUSION

In patients with HCC undergoing HR, Child-Pugh score, intraoperative blood loss, the 50-50 criteria for PHLF on postoperative day 5, and peak serum bilirubin >119 µmol/L on postoperative day 3 predict 90-day mortality following elective HR for HCC.

Prediction of Patient Survival Following Hepatic Resection in Early-Stage Hepatocellular Carcinoma with Indexed Ratios of Aspartate Aminotransferase to Platelets: A Retrospective Cohort Study

Purpose

To predict patient survival in early-stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) following hepatic resection. We evaluated the prognostic potential of the aspartate aminotransferase to platelet ratio index (APRI) in order to use it to model a nomogram.

Patients and Methods

We randomized 901 early-stage HCC patients treated with hepatic resection at our center into training and validation cohorts that were followed from January 2009 to December 2012. X-tile software was used to establish the APRI cut-off threshold in the training cohort. The validation cohort was subsequently assessed to determine threshold value accuracy. Data generated from the multivariate analysis in the training cohort were used to design a prognostic nomogram. Decision curve analyses (DCA), concordance index values (C-index) and calibration curves were used to determine the performance of the nomogram.

Results

X-tile software revealed that the optimal APRI cut-off threshold in the training cohort that distinguished between patients with different prognoses was 0.9. We, therefore, validated its prognostic value. Multivariate analyses showed that poor overall survival was associated with APRI above 0.9, blood loss of more than 400 mL, liver cirrhosis, multiple tumors, tumor size greater than 5 cm, microvascular invasion and satellite lesions. When the independent risk factors were integrated into the prognostic nomogram, it performed well with accurate predictions. Indeed, the performance was better than comparative prognosticators (P<0.05 for all) with 0.752 as the C-index (95% CI: 0.706–0.798). These results were verified by the validation cohort.

Conclusion

APRI was a noninvasive and accurate predictive indicator for patients with early-stage HCC. Following hepatic resection to treat early-stage HCC, individualized patient survival predictions can be aided by the nomogram based on APRI.

Prognostic Value of Preoperative Prognostic Nutritional Index and Body Mass Index Combination in Patients with Unresectable Hepatocellular Carcinoma After Transarterial Chemoembolization

Background

The aim of our study was to validate the value of combined preoperative prognostic nutritional index and body mass index in predicting overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) in patients who underwent treatment of transarterial chemoembolization.

Methods

A single-centered retrospective study of 285 unresectable HCC patients who received treatment of transarterial chemoembolization from January 2013 to June 2015 was conducted. In our retrospective analysis, preoperative PNI and BMI data of patients were calculated and analyzed. The data of patient demographic, clinical, pathological and hematological characteristics were also systematically acquired and analyzed.

Results

Low PNI was correlated with cirrhosis, AFP ≥ 200 mg/L, Child-Pugh class B, ALT and AST ≥ 40 IU/L, TBIL≥21μmol/L, vascular invasion, tumor size ≥5 cm BCLC A/B and TNM III–IV stages (all p < 0.05). Likewise, low BMI was related to AFP ≥ 200 mg/L, Child-Pugh class B, AST ≥ 40IU/L, tumor size ≥5 cm, vascular invasion, BCLC C and TNM III–IV stages (all p < 0.05). In our multivariate analysis, AFP levels, tumor size, PNI and BMI were identified as independent predictive factors for OS and PFS of patients (all p < 0.05). Prominently, low PNI combined with low BMI adversely affected the overall survival and disease-free survival and the combination of PNI-BMI scores was proved to be the superior distinguished capacity compared with PNI or BMI alone because of higher area under the curve.

Conclusion

Preoperative PNI and BMI are independent predictors for prognosis in intermediate or advanced hepatocellular carcinoma patients after transarterial chemoembolization treatment. The PNI and BMI combination can promote the accuracy of prognostic prediction for patients with HCC compared with single score.

Impaired Handgrip Strength Does Not Predict Postoperative Morbidity in Major Hepatobiliary Surgery

BACKGROUND

Assessment of preoperative handgrip strength (HGS) is an objective and inexpensive bedside tool, which has been investigated to predict morbidity risk in elective surgery. However, its use is not validated in patients undergoing major elective hepatobiliary surgery (MEHS). The aim of this study is to investigate the use of HGS to predict morbidity in patients undergoing MEHS.

METHODS

This is a single-center prospective study involving 81 patients who underwent MEHS over 21 mo from July 2014 to March 2016. MEHS was defined as any hepatobiliary surgery expected to last more than 2 h and/or with an anticipated blood loss of ≥500 mL. HGS was assessed in both dominant and nondominant hands with standardization and subsequently recorded and expressed as a percentage of a general, age- and gender-matched normative values.

RESULTS

The mean age was 65.2 ± 9.5 y with male predominance (n = 52, 64.2%). Approximately, half of the patients underwent liver resection (n = 43, 53.1%). There was no difference in the incidence of Clavien-Dindo ≥ grade IIIA in both dominant HGS (impaired HGS 8/33 [24.2%], normal HGS 6/48 [12.5%]; P = 0.170) and nondominant HGS (impaired HGS 8/33 [21.1%], normal HGS 6/43 [14%]; P = 0.399). Dominant and nondominant HGS showed poor discriminatory ability in the prediction of Clavien-Dindo ≥ grade IIIA complications (dominant HGS area under the curve [AUC] = 0.572; nondominant HGS AUC 0.545). However, the use of dominant HGS showed moderate discriminatory ability to predict the length of hospital stay ≥21 d (AUC = 0.759).

CONCLUSIONS

The use of HGS may not predict Clavien-Dindo ≥ grade IIIA complications, but predicts a prolonged length of hospital stay ≥21 d.

The prognostic significance of inflammation-based scores in patients with ampullary carcinoma after pancreaticoduodenectomy

Background

Growing evidence indicates that the systemic inflammatory response plays an important role in cancer development and progression. Several inflammatory markers have been reported to be associated with clinical outcomes in patients with various types of cancer. This study was designed to evaluate the prognostic value of inflammatory indexes in patients with ampullary cancer (AC) who underwent pancreaticoduodenectomy (PD).

Methods

We retrospectively reviewed the data of 358 patients with AC who underwent PD between 2009 and 2018. R software was used to compare the area under the time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves (AUROCs) of the inflammation-based indexes, including the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), modified Glasgow Prognostic Score (mGPS), prognostic nutritional index (PNI) and prognostic index (PI), in terms of their predictive value for survival. The survival differences of these indexes were compared by the Kaplan-Meier method and univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to determine the prognostic factors of disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS).

Results

The estimated 1-, 2-, and 3-year OS and DFS rates were 83.9, 65.8, and 55.2% and 58.0, 42.8, and 37.8%, respectively, for the entire cohort. The survival differences were significant in terms of OS and DFS when patients were stratified by these inflammation-based indexes. The comparisons of the AUROCs of these inflammation-based indexes illustrated that NLR and PI displayed the highest prognostic value, compared to the other indexes. When NLR and PI were combined, NLR-PI showed even higher AUROC values and was identified as a significant prognostic factor for OS and DFS.

Conclusion

Specific inflammatory indexes, such as NLR, PLR and dNLR, were found to be able to predict the OS or DFS of patients. As a novel inflammatory index, the level of NLR-PI, which can be regarded as a more useful prognostic index, exhibited strong predictive power for predicting the prognosis of patients with AC after the PD procedure.

Fibrinogen/Lymphocyte Count Ratio Can Be Used as a New Indicator of Prognosis in Patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma After Radical Resection

Purpose

Preoperative fibrinogen levels are associated with the development, recurrence and metastasis of malignant tumors. This study was designed to investigate the clinical value of preoperative fibrinogen/lymphocyte count ratio (FLR) index in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

Patients and Methods

The clinical data of 479 patients with HCC who underwent radical resection were retrospectively analyzed. The correlation between FLR and clinicopathological features was analyzed by chi-square test or non-parametric test. The overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) were analyzed by Kaplan–Meier method.

Results

The optimal cut-off value of FLR was determined as 1.6 according to the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) analysis, in order to predict prognosis for HCC patients after radical resection. It was further found that FLR level was correlated with tumor size, TNM stage, microvascular invasion and prognosis. Multivariate Cox regression analyses found that FLR was an independent predictor for postoperative OS (overall survival) (p = 0.002) and PFS (progression-free survival) (p = 0.001) in patients with HCC; and the 1-, 3- and 5-year OS and PFS of HCC patients in the FLR ≤1.6 level group were significantly higher than those in the FLR >1.6 level group.

Conclusion

Preoperative FLR level is a novel and effective predictor of prognosis in patients with HCC, and elevated FLR level is associated with poor prognosis in patients with HCC.

Neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio and albumin bilirubin grade in hepatocellular carcinoma: A systematic review

BACKGROUND

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a frequent cause of cancer related death globally. Neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and albumin bilirubin (ALBI) grade are emerging prognostic indicators in HCC.

AIM

To study published literature of NLR and ALBI over the last five years, and to validate NLR and ALBI locally in our centre as indicators of HCC survival.

METHODS

A systematic review of the published literature on PubMed of NLR and ALBI in HCC over the last five years. The search followed the guidelines of the preferred reporting items for systematic reviews and meta-analyses. Additionally, we also investigated HCC cases between December 2013 and December 2018 in our centre.

RESULTS

There were 54 studies describing the relation between HCC and NLR and 95 studies describing the relation between HCC and ALBI grade over the last five years. Our local cohort of patients showed NLR to have a significant negative relationship to survival (P = 0.011). There was also significant inverse relationship between the size of the largest HCC nodule and survival (P = 0.009). Median survival with alpha fetoprotein (AFP) < 10 KU/L was 20 mo and with AFP > 10 KU/L was 5 mo. We found that AFP was inversely related to survival, this relationship was not statically significant (P = 0.132). Mean survival for ALBI grade 1 was 37.7 mo, ALBI grade 2 was 13.4 months and ALBI grade 3 was 4.5 mo. ALBI grades performed better than Child Turcotte Pugh score in detecting death from HCC.

CONCLUSION

NLR and ALBI grade in HCC predict survival better than the conventional alpha fetoprotein. ALBI grade performs better than Child Turcotte Pugh score. These markers are done as part of routine clinical care and in cases of normal alpha fetoprotein, these markers could give a better understanding of the patient disease progression. NLR and ALBI grade could have a role in modified easier to learn staging and prognostic systems for HCC.

Monocyte-to-lymphocyte ratio as a prognostic factor in peripheral whole blood samples of colorectal cancer patients

BACKGROUND

Colorectal cancer is the third most common malignancy worldwide. Therefore, it is critically important to identify new useful markers that can be easily obtained in routine practice. Inflammation is a crucial issue in the pathogenesis and development of cancer.

AIM

To evaluate the prognostic value of absolute monocyte count, monocyte to lymphocyte ratio (MLR), the combination of neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio and platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR-PLR), and combined platelet and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLT-NLR) in peripheral blood samples of patients with colorectal cancer undergoing surgery.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective study of 160 patients with colorectal cancer who underwent surgery, and 42 healthy controls. The status of absolute monocyte count, MLR, NLR-PLR and PLT-NLR was calculated on the basis of blood samples obtained before and after surgery. Haematologic factors were examined in correlation with the type of tumour growth, tumour size, histological type, percentage of mucinous component, grade of malignancy, Tumour-Node-Metastasis stage, venous, lymphatic and perineural invasion of cancer cells, status of lymph node invasion and the presence of cancer cell deposits. The Kaplan-Meier method and the long-rank test were used to compare survival curves. To determine independent prognostic factors, univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression models were applied.

RESULTS

The PLT-NLR status was correlated with tumour size and the presence of perineural invasion (P = 0.015; P = -0.174, P = 0.037). Moreover, high NLR-PLR and PLR-NLR ratios in the blood samples obtained after surgery were positively associated with histological type of cancer and percentage of the mucinous component (NLR-PLR: P = 0.002; P = 0.009; PLR-NLR status: P = 0.002; P = 0.007). The analysis of 5-year disease-free survival showed that the MLR of whole blood obtained after surgery [HR = 2.903, 95%CI: (1.368-6.158), P = 0.005] and the status of lymph node metastasis [HR = 0.813, 95%CI: (0.653-1.013), P = 0.050] were independent prognostic factors in colorectal cancer patients.

CONCLUSION

The postoperative MLR in whole blood samples can be used as an independent prognostic factor in patients diagnosed with colorectal cancer.

Associated liver partition and portal vein ligation for staged hepatectomy: a review

Outcomes of liver resection have improved with advances in surgical techniques, improvements in critical care and expansion of resectability criteria. However, morbidity and mortality following liver resection continue to plague surgeons. Post-hepatectomy liver failure (PHLF) due to inadequate future liver remnant (FLR) is an important cause of morbidity and mortality following liver resection. Associating liver partition and portal vein ligation for staged hepatectomy (ALPPS) is a novel two-staged procedure described in 2012, which aims to induce rapid hypertrophy of the FLR unlike conventional two-stage hepatectomy, which require a longer time for FLR hypertrophy. Careful patient selection and modifications in surgical technique has improved morbidity and mortality rates in ALPPS. Colorectal liver metastases (CRLM) confers the best outcomes post-ALPPS. Patients <60 years old and low-grade fibrosis with underlying hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) are also eligible for ALPPS. Evidence for other types of cancers is less promising. Current studies, though limited, demonstrate that ALPPS has comparable oncological outcomes with conventional two-stage hepatectomy. Modifications such as partial-ALPPS and mini-ALPPS have shown improved morbidity and mortality compared to classic ALPPS. ALPPS may be superior to conventional two-stage hepatectomy in carefully selected groups of patients and has a promising outlook in liver surgery.

The efficacy, safety, and predictors of outcomes of transarterial radioembolization for hepatocellular carcinoma: a retrospective study

OBJECTIVES

Yttrium-90 transarterial radioembolization (TARE) is a safe, effective modality of locoregional therapy for intermediate and advanced-stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). We aim to identify novel predictors of important outcomes of TARE therapy.

METHODS

A single-center retrospective study of 166 patients treated with TARE for HCC at Mayo Clinic Rochester between 2005-2015 and followed until December 2017. Multivariate logistic and stepwise regression analysis models were used to identify variables associated with overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS).

RESULTS

The median OS and the median PFS were12.9  (95% CI: 11.0-17.3), and 8 months (95% CI: 6-11), respectively. Macrovascular invasion (HR: 1.9 [1.3-2.8]), Child-Pugh score (CPS) B or C vs. A (HR: 1.8 [1.2-2.7]), Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group Performance status (ECOG-PS) 2 or 1 vs. 0 (HR: 1.6 [1.1-2.4]) and activity (A) of administered radiation dose (HR: 1.005[1.00-1.010), independently correlated with poorer OS. Infiltrative HCC (HR: 2.4 [1.3-4.5), macrovascular invasion (HR: 1.6 [1.1-2.7]), and high activity of administered radiation dose (HR: 1.005 [1.00-1.010) were associated with worse PFS.

CONCLUSION

In HCC patients treated with TARE; macrovascular invasion, the activity of radiation dose, CPS, ECOG-PS, and infiltrative HCC predict OS and PFS.

Predictors of post-operative complications after surgical resection of hepatocellular carcinoma and their prognostic effects on outcome and survival: A propensity-score matched and structural equation modelling study

INTRODUCTION

Although hepatectomy is the mainstay of curative therapy for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), post-operative complications remain high. Presently there is conflicting data on the impact of morbidity on oncologic outcomes. We sought to identify predictors for the occurrence of post-hepatectomy complications, as well as to analyse the impact on overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We performed a retrospective review of 888 patients who underwent resection for HCC from 2001 to 2016 in our institution.

RESULTS

A total of 237 patients (26.7%) developed 254 complications of Clavien-Dindo Grade ≥2. Hepatitis B (p = 0.0397), elevated ASA score (p = 0.0002), higher platelet counts (p = 0.0277), raised pre-operative APRI scores (p = 0.0105) and bloodloss (p < 0.0001) were independently associated with the development of complications. After propensity-score matching, 458 patients were compared in a 1:1 ratio (229 with complications versus 229 without). Patients with complications had significantly longer median length of stay (9 days [IQR 7-15] versus 6 days [IQR 5-8], p < 0.0001), higher 90-day mortality rates as well as inferior OS (p = 0.0139), but there was no difference in RFS (p = 0.4577). Age (p = 0.0006), elevated Child Pugh points (p < 0.0001), microvascular invasion (p = 0.0002), multifocal tumours (p = 0.0002), R1 resection (p = 0.0443) and development of complications (p = 0.0091) were independent predictors of inferior OS.

CONCLUSION

Post-operative morbidity affected both short-term and OS outcomes after hepatectomy for HCC. Hepatitis B, higher ASA scores, elevated preoperative APRI and increased blood loss were found to predict a higher likelihood of developing complications. This may potentially be mitigated by careful patient selection and adopting strict measures to minimise intraoperative bleeding.

Combination of the gamma-glutamyltransferase-to-prealbumin ratio and other indicators may be a novel marker for predicting the prognosis of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma undergoing locoregional ablative therapies

Objective

The aim of this study was to investigate the prognostic significance of the serum γ-glutamyltransferase (γ-GT)-to-prealbumin ratio (GPR) and whether combining this ratio with other parameters can lead to an improved prognostic value for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) undergoing transcatheter arterial chemoembolization (TACE) combined with local ablation therapy.

Methods

A total of 235 HCC patients who were treated with combined therapies were retrospectively analyzed. The demographic data and clinicopathological data were collected. A fibrinogen (Fib)-GPR score of 2 was assigned to patients with elevated Fib and GPR values, and a score of 1 or 0 was assigned to patients with one or neither of these two markers, respectively. In addition, an N-score of 2 was assigned to patients with low neutrophil and high GPR values, and a score of 1 or 0 was assigned to patients with one or neither of these two markers, respectively. The optimal cutoff values and prognostic roles of GPR and other markers were identified according to the time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves and Youden’s index.

Results

Multiple tumors, high levels of α-fetoprotein (AFP) and Fib, as well as a high GPR, were found to be independent risk factors in recurrent patients, while multiple tumors, a low neutrophil count, and a high GPR were associated with reduced overall survival (OS) in patients with HCC who received combined therapies. Patients with a Fib-GPR score of 2 and N-GPR score of 2 had poor recurrence-free survival (RFS) and OS, respectively.

Conclusions

Fib-GPR and N-GPR scores may be helpful in predicting both recurrence and the prognosis of HCC patients, thereby assisting in the process to make a true clinical decision and optimize therapeutic options.

Prognostic significance of lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio and platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma undergoing transcatheter arterial chemoembolization and radiofrequency ablation

Background

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) ranks fifth among malignancies globally. Previous studies have shown that systemic inflammatory response, platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), and lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio (LMR) are associated with poor prognosis of various types of cancer.

Materials and methods

Radiofrequency ablation (RFA) was performed using an internal cooling electrode with a 2- or 3-cm exposed tip. The LMR was calculated as the ratio of lymphocytes to monocytes. In order to explore the influence of pretreatment with PLR and LMR on survival of HCC patients undergoing transcatheter arterial chemoembolization (TACE) and RFA, 204 cases with HCC which accepted RFA and TACE were retrospectively analyzed and assigned into 2 groups based on optimal cutoff values for LMR (low: ≤2.13 or high: >2.13) and PLR (low: ≤95.65 or high: >95.65).

Results

Patients with a lower PLR had a longer overall survival (OS) compared to those with a higher PLR (median OS, 20 versus 13 months), and patients with a higher LMR had a longer OS than those with a lower LMR (OS, 22 versus 10 months). Multivariate logistic regression analysis was performed using Cox proportional hazards regression analysis for multiple prognostic factors and identified PLR and LMR as prognostic factors for OS of HCC cases.

Conclusion

We conclude that PLR and LMR, whose detection is generally available and affordable, may be novel noninvasive circulating markers to potentially assist doctors assess the prognosis of patients.