An Artificial Intelligence Model for Predicting 1-Year Survival of Bone Metastases in Non-Small-Cell Lung Cancer Patients Based on XGBoost Algorithm

Application of machine learning for lung cancer survival prognostication-A systematic review and meta-analysis

Introduction

Machine learning (ML) techniques have gained increasing attention in the field of healthcare, including predicting outcomes in patients with lung cancer. ML has the potential to enhance prognostication in lung cancer patients and improve clinical decision-making. In this systematic review and meta-analysis, we aimed to evaluate the performance of ML models compared to logistic regression (LR) models in predicting overall survival in patients with lung cancer.

Methods

We followed the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analysis (PRISMA) statement. A comprehensive search was conducted in Medline, Embase, and Cochrane databases using a predefined search query. Two independent reviewers screened abstracts and conflicts were resolved by a third reviewer. Inclusion and exclusion criteria were applied to select eligible studies. Risk of bias assessment was performed using predefined criteria. Data extraction was conducted using the Critical Appraisal and Data Extraction for Systematic Reviews of Prediction Modeling Studies (CHARMS) checklist. Meta-analytic analysis was performed to compare the discriminative ability of ML and LR models.

Results

The literature search resulted in 3,635 studies, and 12 studies with a total of 211,068 patients were included in the analysis. Six studies reported confidence intervals and were included in the meta-analysis. The performance of ML models varied across studies, with C-statistics ranging from 0.60 to 0.85. The pooled analysis showed that ML models had higher discriminative ability compared to LR models, with a weighted average C-statistic of 0.78 for ML models compared to 0.70 for LR models.

Conclusion

Machine learning models show promise in predicting overall survival in patients with lung cancer, with superior discriminative ability compared to logistic regression models. However, further validation and standardization of ML models are needed before their widespread implementation in clinical practice. Future research should focus on addressing the limitations of the current literature, such as potential bias and heterogeneity among studies, to improve the accuracy and generalizability of ML models for predicting outcomes in patients with lung cancer. Further research and development of ML models in this field may lead to improved patient outcomes and personalized treatment strategies.

The future of artificial intelligence in thoracic surgery for non-small cell lung cancer treatment a narrative review

Objectives

To present a comprehensive review of the current state of artificial intelligence (AI) applications in lung cancer management, spanning the preoperative, intraoperative, and postoperative phases.

Methods

A review of the literature was conducted using PubMed, EMBASE and Cochrane, including relevant studies between 2002 and 2023 to identify the latest research on artificial intelligence and lung cancer.

Conclusion

While AI holds promise in managing lung cancer, challenges exist. In the preoperative phase, AI can improve diagnostics and predict biomarkers, particularly in cases with limited biopsy materials. During surgery, AI provides real-time guidance. Postoperatively, AI assists in pathology assessment and predictive modeling. Challenges include interpretability issues, training limitations affecting model use and AI's ineffectiveness beyond classification. Overfitting and global generalization, along with high computational costs and ethical frameworks, pose hurdles. Addressing these challenges requires a careful approach, considering ethical, technical, and regulatory factors. Rigorous analysis, external validation, and a robust regulatory framework are crucial for responsible AI implementation in lung surgery, reflecting the evolving synergy between human expertise and technology.

The value of machine learning for prognosis prediction of diphenhydramine exposure: National analysis of 50,000 patients in the United States

Background

Diphenhydramine (DPH) is an antihistamine medication that in overdose can result in anticholinergic symptoms and serious complications, including arrhythmia and coma. We aimed to compare the value of various machine learning (ML) models, including light gradient boosting machine (LGBM), logistic regression (LR), and random forest (RF), in the outcome prediction of DPH poisoning.

Materials and Methods

We used the National Poison Data System database and included all of the human exposures of DPH from January 01, 2017 to December 31, 2017, and excluded those cases with missing information, duplicated cases, and those who reported co-ingestion. Data were split into training and test datasets, and three ML models were compared. We developed confusion matrices for each, and standard performance metrics were calculated.

Results

Our study population included 53,761 patients with DPH exposure. The most common reasons for exposure, outcome, chronicity of exposure, and formulation were captured. Our results showed that the average precision-recall area under the curve (AUC) of 0.84. LGBM and RF had the highest performance (average AUC of 0.91), followed by LR (average AUC of 0.90). The specificity of the models was 87.0% in the testing groups. The precision of models was 75.0%. Recall (sensitivity) of models ranged between 73% and 75% with an F1 score of 75.0%. The overall accuracy of LGBM, LR, and RF models in the test dataset was 74.8%, 74.0%, and 75.1%, respectively. In total, just 1.1% of patients (mostly those with major outcomes) received physostigmine.

Conclusion

Our study demonstrates the application of ML in the prediction of DPH poisoning.

Development and validation of an XGBoost model to predict 5-year survival in elderly patients with intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma after surgery: a SEER-based study

Background

Nomograms have been established to predict survival in postoperative or elderly intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) patients. There are no models to predict postoperative survival in elderly ICC patients. Extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) can adjust the errors generated by existing models. This retrospective cohort study aimed to develop and validate an XGBoost model to predict postoperative 5-year survival in elderly ICC patients.

Methods

The Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) program provided data on elderly ICC patients aged 60 years or older and undergoing surgery. The median follow-up time was 20 months. Totally 1,055 patients were classified as training (n=738) and testing (n=317) sets at a ratio of 7:3. The outcome was postoperative 5-year survival. Demographic, tumor-related and treatment-related variables were collected. Variables were screened using the XGBoost model. The predictive performance of the model was assessed by the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC), sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), negative predictive value (NPV), and Kaplan-Meier curve. Cox regression analysis was conducted to estimate the risk of death in the predicted populations. The predictive abilities of the XGBoost model and the American Joint Commission on Cancer (AJCC) system (7th edition) were compared.

Results

The XGBoost model achieved an AUC of 0.811, a sensitivity of 0.573, a specificity of 0.890, and a PPV of 0.849 in the training set. In the testing set, the model had an AUC of 0.713, a sensitivity of 0.478, a specificity of 0.814, and a PPV of 0.726. The 5-year mortality risk of patients predicted to die was 2.91 times that of patients predicted to survive [hazard ratio (HR) =2.91, 95% confidence interval (CI): 2.42-3.50]. The XGBoost model showed a better predictive performance than the AJCC staging system both in the training and testing sets. AJCC stage, multiple (satellite) tumors/nodules, tumor-node-metastasis (TNM) stage, more than one lobe invaded, direct invasion of adjacent organs, tumor size, and radiotherapy were relatively important features in survival prediction.

Conclusions

The XGBoost model exhibited some predictive capacity, which may be applied to predict postoperative 5-year survival for elderly ICC patients.

Artificial intelligence in clinical applications for lung cancer: diagnosis, treatment and prognosis

Artificial Intelligence (AI) is a branch of computer science that includes research in robotics, language recognition, image recognition, natural language processing, and expert systems. AI is poised to change medical practice, and oncology is not an exception to this trend. As the matter of fact, lung cancer has the highest morbidity and mortality worldwide. The leading cause is the complexity of associating early pulmonary nodules with neoplastic changes and numerous factors leading to strenuous treatment choice and poor prognosis. AI can effectively enhance the diagnostic efficiency of lung cancer while providing optimal treatment and evaluating prognosis, thereby reducing mortality. This review seeks to provide an overview of AI relevant to all the fields of lung cancer. We define the core concepts of AI and cover the basics of the functioning of natural language processing, image recognition, human-computer interaction and machine learning. We also discuss the most recent breakthroughs in AI technologies and their clinical application regarding diagnosis, treatment, and prognosis in lung cancer. Finally, we highlight the future challenges of AI in lung cancer and its impact on medical practice.

Stratification From Heterogeneity of the Cell-Death Signal Enables Prognosis Prediction and Immune Microenvironment Characterization in Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma

Esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) is the primary subtype of esophageal cancer (EC) characterized by a high incidence rate and extremely poor prognosis worldwide. Previous studies suggested that the specific cell death signal was linked to different immune subtypes in multiple cancers, while a comprehensive investigation on ESCC is to be performed yet. In the current study, we dissected different cell death signals in ESCC tumors and then integrated that functional information to stratify ESCC patients into different immunogenic cell death (ICD) subtypes. By systematically analyzing the transcriptomes of 857 patients and proteomic profile of 124 patients, we found that the signals of necroptosis, pyroptosis, and ferroptosis are positively associated with activated immunity in ESCC. We identified two ICD pattern terms, namely, ICD-high and ICD-low subtypes that positively correlated to both progression-free survival and overall survival. In addition, cell fraction deconvolution analysis revealed that more infiltrated leukocytes were enriched in ICD-high types, especially antigen-presenting cells, such as dendritic cells and macrophages. With the XGBoost algorithm, we further developed a 14-gene signature which can simplify the subtyping for allocating new samples, by which we validated the prognosis value of the signature and proved that the ICD score scheme could serve as a promising biomarker for stratifying patients with immunotherapy in several immune checkpoint blockade treatment cohorts. Collectively, we successfully constructed the ICD scheme, which enables predicting of the prognosis or immunotherapy efficacy in ESCC patients and uncovered the critical interplay between cell death signals and immune status in ESCC.

Recent Applications of Artificial Intelligence in Radiotherapy: Where We Are and Beyond

In recent decades, artificial intelligence (AI) tools have been applied in many medical fields, opening the possibility of finding novel solutions for managing very complex and multifactorial problems, such as those commonly encountered in radiotherapy (RT). We conducted a PubMed and Scopus search to identify the AI application field in RT limited to the last four years. In total, 1824 original papers were identified, and 921 were analyzed by considering the phase of the RT workflow according to the applied AI approaches. AI permits the processing of large quantities of information, data, and images stored in RT oncology information systems, a process that is not manageable for individuals or groups. AI allows the iterative application of complex tasks in large datasets (e.g., delineating normal tissues or finding optimal planning solutions) and might support the entire community working in the various sectors of RT, as summarized in this overview. AI-based tools are now on the roadmap for RT and have been applied to the entire workflow, mainly for segmentation, the generation of synthetic images, and outcome prediction. Several concerns were raised, including the need for harmonization while overcoming ethical, legal, and skill barriers.

Artificial intelligence applied to musculoskeletal oncology: a systematic review

Developments in artificial intelligence have the potential to improve the care of patients with musculoskeletal tumors. We performed a systematic review of the published scientific literature to identify the current state of the art of artificial intelligence applied to musculoskeletal oncology, including both primary and metastatic tumors, and across the radiology, nuclear medicine, pathology, clinical research, and molecular biology literature. Through this search, we identified 252 primary research articles, of which 58 used deep learning and 194 used other machine learning techniques. Articles involving deep learning have mostly involved bone scintigraphy, histopathology, and radiologic imaging. Articles involving other machine learning techniques have mostly involved transcriptomic analyses, radiomics, and clinical outcome prediction models using medical records. These articles predominantly present proof-of-concept work, other than the automated bone scan index for bone metastasis quantification, which has translated to clinical workflows in some regions. We systematically review and discuss this literature, highlight opportunities for multidisciplinary collaboration, and identify potentially clinically useful topics with a relative paucity of research attention. Musculoskeletal oncology is an inherently multidisciplinary field, and future research will need to integrate and synthesize noisy siloed data from across clinical, imaging, and molecular datasets. Building the data infrastructure for collaboration will help to accelerate progress towards making artificial intelligence truly useful in musculoskeletal oncology.

A Convolutional Neural Network-Based Intelligent Medical System with Sensors for Assistive Diagnosis and Decision-Making in Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer

In many regions of the world, early diagnosis of non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) is a major challenge due to the large population and lack of medical resources, which is difficult toeffectively address via limited physician manpower alone. Therefore, we developed a convolutional neural network (CNN)-based assisted diagnosis and decision-making intelligent medical system with sensors. This system analyzes NSCLC patients' medical records using sensors to assist staging a diagnosis and provides recommended treatment plans to physicians. To address the problem of unbalanced case samples across pathological stages, we used transfer learning and dynamic sampling techniques to reconstruct and iteratively train the model to improve the accuracy of the prediction system. In this paper, all data for training and testing the system were obtained from the medical records of 2,789,675 patients with NSCLC, which were recorded in three hospitals in China over a five-year period. When the number of case samples reached 8000, the system achieved an accuracy rate of 0.84, which is already close to that of the doctors (accuracy: 0.86). The experimental results proved that the system can quickly and accurately analyze patient data and provide decision information support for physicians.

XGBoost Algorithm Prediction of Critical Care Outcome for Adult Patients Presenting to Emergency Department Using Initial Triage Information

Background

The emergency department (ED) triage system to classify and prioritize patients from high risk to less urgent continues to be a challenge.

Objective

This study, comprising 80,433 patients, aims to develop a machine learning algorithm prediction model of critical care outcomes for adult patients using information collected during ED triage and compare the performance with that of the baseline model using the Korean Triage and Acuity Scale (KTAS).

Methods

To predict the need for critical care, we used 13 predictors from triage information: age, gender, mode of ED arrival, the time interval between onset and ED arrival, reason of ED visit, chief complaints, systolic blood pressure, diastolic blood pressure, pulse rate, respiratory rate, body temperature, oxygen saturation, and level of consciousness. The baseline model with KTAS was developed using logistic regression, and the machine learning model with 13 variables was generated using extreme gradient boosting (XGB) and deep neural network (DNN) algorithms. The discrimination was measured by the area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) curve. The ability of calibration with Hosmer–Lemeshow test and reclassification with net reclassification index were evaluated. The calibration plot and partial dependence plot were used in the analysis.

Results

The AUROC of the model with the full set of variables (0.833-0.861) was better than that of the baseline model (0.796). The XGB model of AUROC 0.861 (95% CI 0.848-0.874) showed a higher discriminative performance than the DNN model of 0.833 (95% CI 0.819-0.848). The XGB and DNN models proved better reclassification than the baseline model with a positive net reclassification index. The XGB models were well-calibrated (Hosmer-Lemeshow test; P>.05); however, the DNN showed poor calibration power (Hosmer-Lemeshow test; P<.001). We further interpreted the nonlinear association between variables and critical care prediction.

Conclusions

Our study demonstrated that the performance of the XGB model using initial information at ED triage for predicting patients in need of critical care outperformed the conventional model with KTAS.