HbA1C Variability Is Strongly Associated with Development of Macroalbuminuria in Normal or Microalbuminuria in Patients with Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus: A Six-Year Follow-Up Study

Construction of Risk Prediction Model of Type 2 Diabetic Kidney Disease Based on Deep Learning

BACKGRUOUND

This study aimed to develop a diabetic kidney disease (DKD) prediction model using long short term memory (LSTM) neural network and evaluate its performance using accuracy, precision, recall, and area under the curve (AUC) of the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve.

METHODS

The study identified DKD risk factors through literature review and physician focus group, and collected 7 years of data from 6,040 type 2 diabetes mellitus patients based on the risk factors. Pytorch was used to build the LSTM neural network, with 70% of the data used for training and the other 30% for testing. Three models were established to examine the impact of glycosylated hemoglobin (HbA1c), systolic blood pressure (SBP), and pulse pressure (PP) variabilities on the model's performance.

RESULTS

The developed model achieved an accuracy of 83% and an AUC of 0.83. When the risk factor of HbA1c variability, SBP variability, or PP variability was removed one by one, the accuracy of each model was significantly lower than that of the optimal model, with an accuracy of 78% (P<0.001), 79% (P<0.001), and 81% (P<0.001), respectively. The AUC of ROC was also significantly lower for each model, with values of 0.72 (P<0.001), 0.75 (P<0.001), and 0.77 (P<0.05).

CONCLUSION

The developed DKD risk predictive model using LSTM neural networks demonstrated high accuracy and AUC value. When HbA1c, SBP, and PP variabilities were added to the model as featured characteristics, the model's performance was greatly improved.

Baroreflex Sensitivity as a Surrogate Biomarker for Concurrently Assessing the Severity of Arterial Stiffness and Cardiovascular Autonomic Neuropathy in Individuals with Type 2 Diabetes

This study aimed to investigate whether baroreflex sensitivity (BRS) could serve as a reliable metric for assessing cardiovascular autonomic neuropathy (CAN) and concurrently act as a surrogate biomarker for evaluating the severity of arterial stiffness and CAN in individuals diagnosed with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). Participants underwent brachial-ankle pulse wave velocity (baPWV) as well as autonomic function evaluations encompassing the Sudoscan-based modified composite autonomic scoring scale (CASS), baroreflex sensitivity, and heart rate variability in time domains and frequency domains. Linear regression analysis was performed to evaluate the influence of independent variables on baPWV and modified CASS. Participants with higher baPWV values were older, with longer diabetes duration, lower body weight, body mass index, waist circumference, elevated systolic and diastolic blood pressure, and mean arterial blood pressure. They also exhibited a higher prevalence of retinopathy as the underlying disease and reduced estimated glomerular filtration rate. Multiple linear regression analysis revealed that age and BRS were significantly associated with baPWV while diabetes duration, UACR, and BRS were significantly associated with modified CASS. Our study confirms the significant association of BRS with baPWV and modified CASS in T2DM, highlighting its pivotal role in linking microvascular and macrovascular complications. This supports BRS as a surrogate marker for assessing both the severity of arterial stiffness and cardiovascular autonomic neuropathy in T2DM, enabling the early identification of complications.

Predictive value of heart rate variability and electrochemical skin conductance measurements for cardiovascular autonomic neuropathy persistence in type 2 diabetes and prediabetes: A 3-year follow-up study

OBJECTIVE

The study aimed to explore risk stratification approaches for cardiovascular autonomic neuropathy (CAN) in individuals with prediabetes and type 2 diabetes (T2DM) over a three-year follow-up period.

METHODS

Participants underwent evaluations of autonomic function encompassing cardiovascular autonomic reflex tests (CARTs), baroreflex sensitivity (BRS), heart rate variability (HRV) in time domains (standard deviation of all normal RR intervals (SDNN)) and frequency domains (high frequency/low frequency ratio), and electrochemical skin conductance (ESC). The diagnosis of CAN relied on abnormal CART results. Subjects were categorized into 4 groups, based on their assessment of cardiac autonomic function at 3-year follow-up, relative to the presence or absence of CAN at baseline assessment: Persistent absence of CAN; Resolution of CAN; Progression to CAN; and Persistent CAN.

RESULTS

Participants with T2DM/prediabetes (n = 91/7) were categorized as: Persistent absence of CAN (n = 25), Resolution of CAN (n = 10), Progression to CAN (n = 18), and Persistent CAN (n = 45) groups. The Persistent absence of CAN group showed significant associations with SDNN. The Resolution of CAN group exhibited notable associations with mean HbA1C (follow-up), while the Progression to CAN group displayed a significant link with baseline estimated glomerular filtration rate. The Persistent CAN group demonstrated significant associations with SDNN and Sudoscan CAN risk score. Screening recommendations involve biennial to annual assessments based on risk levels, aiding in CAN detection and subsequent comprehensive and time-intensive autonomic function tests for confirmation. The study's findings offer improved risk categorization approaches for detecting CAN, which has relevance for shaping public health strategies.

Correlation between long-term glycemic variability and cognitive function in middle-aged and elderly patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus: a retrospective study

Objective

To investigate the correlation between long-term glycemic variability and cognitive function in middle-aged and elderly patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM).

Methods

This retrospective analysis includes 222 patients hospitalized at Second Affiliated Hospital of Anhui Medical University from June 2021 to June 2023. Cognitive function was assessed using the Montreal Cognitive Assessment (MoCA) and Mini-Mental State Examination (MMSE). All patients were categorized into the MCI group and the non-MCI group based on their MoCA score. Long-term blood glucose fluctuations were measured using glycated hemoglobin A1c standard deviation (HbA1c-SD) and fasting plasma glucose standard deviation (FPG-SD). The study compared general clinical data, blood biochemical indicators, and glycemic variability indicators between the two groups. The differences between the groups were compared using t-test, Chi-Square Test, or Mann-Whitney U test. Kendall's correlation analysis, multivariate logistic regression analysis and ROC curve correlation analysis were further used to analyze the correlation and diagnostic power.

Results

The differences in age, MoCA scores, MMSE scores, HOMA-β, HbA1c-M, HbA1c-SD, FPG-M, FPG-SD, eGFR, Smoking, GLP-1RA and SGLT-2i usage were statistically significant between the two groups (P < 0.05). Kendall's correlation analysis showed that age, HbA1c-M, HbA1c-SD, FPG-M, and FPG-SD was negatively correlated with MoCA scores; meanwhile, the HOMA-β, and eGFR was positively correlated with MoCA scores. Multiple logistic regression analysis revealed that HbA1c-SD, FPG-SD and Smoking were risk factors for cognitive dysfunction, while eGFR, GLP-1RA and SGLT-2i usage was a protective effect. The area under the curve (AUC) values for predicting MCI prevalence were 0.830 (95% CI [0.774-0.877], P < 0.001) for HbA1c-SD, 0.791 (95% CI [0.655-0.808], P < 0.001) for FPG-SD, and 0.698 (95% CI [0.633-0.757], P < 0.001) for eGFR. The optimal diagnostic values were 0.91, 1.32, and 74.81 ml/min/1.73 m2 for HbA1c-SD, FPG-SD, and eGFR, respectively.

Conclusions

Cognitive function in middle-aged and elderly T2DM patients is influenced by long-term blood glucose variability, with poorer cognitive function observed in individuals with higher blood glucose variability. The impact of HbA1c-SD on MCI exhibited a greater magnitude compared to that of PFG-SD and smoking. Additionally, renal function, GLP-1RA and SGLT-2i usage exert positive effects on cognitive function.

Impacts of Chemerin Levels and Antioxidant Capacity on the Severity of Cardiovascular Autonomic Neuropathy in Patients with Type 2 Diabetes and Prediabetes

Existing evidence supports an association between chemerin levels and cardiovascular risk, while reduced thiol levels are linked to diabetes mellitus. It is hypothesized that chemerin may contribute to autonomic dysfunction and cardiovascular risk in type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM), potentially mediated by the antioxidant capacity of patients with well-controlled T2DM and prediabetes. Comprehensive cardiovascular autonomic testing and biomarker assessments were conducted for all participants. The severity of cardiovascular autonomic neuropathy (CAN) was evaluated using the composite autonomic scoring scale (CASS). A mediation model was employed to explore the potential relationships among chemerin levels, antioxidant capacity (indicated by thiol levels), and CAN severity (indicated by CASS values). A total of 184 participants were enrolled in this study, comprising 143 individuals with T2DM and 40 individuals with prediabetes. The findings reveal a significant negative association between thiols levels (r = -0.38, p < 0.0001) and the CASS values, while a positive association is observed between chemerin levels (r = 0.47, p < 0.0001) and the CASS values. Linear regression analysis identified chemerin and thiols as independent variables significantly associated with CASS values. Subsequent mediation analysis elucidated that thiols levels act as mediators in the relationship between elevated chemerin levels and an increased CASS value. This study shows that poor cardiovascular function, higher chemerin levels, and reduced antioxidant capacity coexist in individuals with T2DM and prediabetes. Mediation analysis suggests a pathophysiological link between high chemerin levels and low antioxidant capacity, adversely impacting CAN severity.

Quantitative thermal testing as a screening and follow-up tool for diabetic sensorimotor polyneuropathy in patients with type 2 diabetes and prediabetes

Introduction

The diagnosis and assessment of neuropathy severity of diabetic sensorimotor polyneuropathy (DSPN) are mainly based on clinical neuropathy scores and electrophysiologic studies. This study aimed to determine whether quantitative thermal testing (QTT) can be used as a screening and follow-up tool for DSPN of prediabetes and type 2 diabetes at baseline and at 1-year follow-up.

Methods

All patients were assessed using the Toronto Clinical Neuropathy Score (TCNS) and underwent electrophysiological testing, including a nerve conduction study (NCS) and QTT, at baseline and at a 1-year follow-up. The TCNS and the composite scores of nerve conduction were used to assess the severity of DSPN. The DSPN status at the 1-year follow-up was classified as remaining no DSPN, remaining DSPN, regression to no DSPN, or progression to DSPN.

Results

Diabetic sensorimotor polyneuropathy was initially diagnosed in 89 patients with prediabetes and type 2 diabetes (22%). The regressed to no DSPN in 29 patients and progressed to DSPN in 20 patients at the 1-year follow-up. TCNS was significantly correlated with composite scores of nerve conduction, hand cold detection threshold (CDT), hand warm detection threshold (WDT), foot CDT, and foot WDT. Stepwise logistic regression demonstrated that the foot CDT (p &lt; 0.0001) was independently associated with the presence of DSPN. The TCNS, composite scores of the nerve conduction, hand WDT, hand CDT, foot WDT, and foot CDT were all statistically significant among the four different DSPN status groups at two different time periods (baseline and the 1-year follow-up).

Conclusion

The foot CDT can be used as an initial screening tool for DSPN alternatively. The characteristics of nerve damage after 1 year of DSPN can be progressive or reversible, and the neurological functions of large and small fibers have a parallel trend, which can be objectively measured by NCS and QTT.

Glycaemic variability and progression of chronic kidney disease in people with diabetes and comorbid kidney disease: Retrospective cohort study

AIM

To investigate the association between glycaemic variability and the development of End-Stage-Kidney-Disease (ESKD) among individuals with diabetes and chronic kidney disease.

METHODS

A cohort study using UK electronic primary care health records from the Clinical Practice Research Datalink. Glycaemic variability was assessed using a variability score and intra-individual coefficient of variation (CV) of HbA1c. We calculated sub-distribution hazard ratios (sHR) for developing ESKD using competing risk regression analysis.

RESULTS

There were 37,222 eligible participants (45.5 % male), with a mean age of 76.4 years (SD ± 9.2), and a mean baseline eGFR 40.7 (±10.7) ml/min/1.73 m². There were 5,086 incidents of ESKD in the follow-up period. The adjusted sHR (95 %CI) for each variability score group, were as follows: 21-40, 1.38 (1.27-1.50); 41-60, 1.54 (1.41-1.68); 61-80, 1.61 (1.45-1.79); and 81-100, 1.42 (1.19-1.68), compared with the group (score 0-20) with least variability. The adjusted sHR for CV were as follows: 6.7-9.9, 1.29 (1.15-1.45); 10.0-13.9, 1.55 (1.39-1.74); 14.0-20.1, 1.79 (1.60-2.01) and ≥20.2, 2.10 (1.88-2.34) compared to reference group 0-6.6.

CONCLUSIONS

Glycaemic variability was strongly associated with the development of ESKD in people with diabetes and CKD.

Study of the association between GLIS3 rs10758593 and type 2 diabetes mellitus in Egyptian population

Background

GLIS3 (Gli-similar 3), a transcription factor, is involved in the maturation of pancreatic beta cells in fetal life, maintenance of cell mass as well as the control of insulin gene expression in adults. As a result, GLIS3 was reported as a susceptibility gene for type 1 diabetes, type 2 diabetes, and neonatal diabetes. Therefore, the goal of this study was to look into the association between the rs10758593 single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) in the GLIS3 gene and T2DM in the Egyptian population.

Methods

Frequencies of the rs10758593 (A/G) SNPs were determined in 100 T2DM patients (cases) and in 100 non-diabetic healthy subjects (controls) using real-time PCR.

Results

The prevalence of the mutant genotypes, AA and AG, differed significantly between patients and controls. The AA genotype was more prevalent in the patients' group. The (AA) was found in 39% of the patients and 18% of the controls. While AG (heterozygous) genotype was found in 61% of the patients and 81% of the controls (p = 0.003). The AA genotype was significantly associated with T2DM. Moreover, The GLIS3 rs 10758593 mutation was found to be associated with the presence of diabetic retinopathy and nephropathy. In diabetic patients, a significant correlation between HbA1c with fasting glucose, fasting insulin, and HOMA-IR was found.

Conclusion

The rs10758593 polymorphism of the GLIS3 gene was found to be significantly associated with T2DM in an Egyptian population sample. Additionally, significant association between GLIS3 rs 10758593 mutation and the glycemic control was found.

The Association of Postprandial Triglyceride Variability with Renal Dysfunction and Microalbuminuria in Patients with Type 2 Diabetic Mellitus: A Retrospective and Observational Study

OBJECTIVE

We examined whether or not day-to-day variations in lipid profiles, especially triglyceride (TG) variability, were associated with the exacerbation of diabetic kidney disease.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective and observational study. First, 527 patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (DM) who had had their estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) checked every 6 months since 2012 for over 5 years were registered. Variability in postprandial TG was determined using the standard deviation (SD), SD adjusted (Adj-SD) for the number of measurements, and maximum minus minimum difference (MMD) during the first three years of follow-up. The endpoint was a ≥40% decline from baseline in the eGFR, initiation of dialysis or death. Next, 181 patients who had no micro- or macroalbuminuria in February 2013 were selected from among the 527 patients for an analysis. The endpoint was the incidence of microalbuminuria, initiation of dialysis, or death.

RESULTS

Among the 527 participants, 110 reached a ≥40% decline from baseline in the eGFR or death. The renal survival was lower in the higher-SD, higher-Adj-SD, and higher-MMD groups than in the lower-SD, lower-Adj-SD, and lower-MMD groups, respectively (log-rank test p = 0.0073, 0.0059, and 0.0195, respectively). A lower SD, lower Adj-SD, and lower MMD were significantly associated with the renal survival in the adjusted model (hazard ratio, 1.62, 1.66, 1.59; 95% confidence intervals, 1.05-2.53, 1.08-2.58, 1.04-2.47, respectively). Next, among 181 participants, 108 developed microalbuminuria or death. The nonincidence of microalbuminuria was lower in the higher-SD, higher-Adj-SD, and higher-MMD groups than in the lower-SD, lower-Adj-SD, and lower-MMD groups, respectively (log-rank test p = 0.0241, 0.0352, and 0.0474, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

Postprandial TG variability is a novel risk factor for eGFR decline and the incidence of microalbuminuria in patients with type 2 DM.

Fasting Glucose Variability as a Risk Indicator for End-Stage Kidney Disease in Patients with Diabetes: A Nationwide Population-Based Study

Given the fact that diabetes remains a leading cause of end-stage kidney disease (ESKD), multi-aspect approaches anticipating the risk for ESKD and timely correction are crucial. We investigated whether fasting glucose variability (FGV) could anticipate the development of ESKD and identify the population prone to the harmful effects of GV. We included 777,192 Koreans with diabetes who had undergone health examinations more than three times in 2005-2010. We evaluated the risk of the first diagnosis of ESKD until 2017, according to the quartile of variability independent of the mean (VIM) of FG using multivariate-adjusted Cox proportional hazards analyses. During the 8-year follow-up, a total of 7290 incidents of ESKD were found. Subjects in the FG VIM quartile 4 had a 27% higher risk for ESKD compared to quartile 1, with adjustment for cardiovascular risk factors and the characteristics of diabetes. This effect was more distinct in patients aged < 65 years; those with a long duration of diabetes; the presence of hypertension or dyslipidemia; and prescribed angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors, metformin, sulfonylurea, α-glucosidase inhibitors, and insulin. In contrast, the relationship between baseline FG status and ESKD risk showed a U-shaped association. FGV is an independent risk factor for kidney failure regardless of FG.

Feasibility of combining heart rate variability and electrochemical skin conductance as screening and severity evaluation of cardiovascular autonomic neuropathy in type 2 diabetes

AIMS/INTRODUCTION

Clinical studies show that either heart rate variability (HRV) or electrochemical skin conductance (ESC) alone can serve as a simple and objective method for screening cardiovascular autonomic neuropathy (CAN). We tested the hypothesis that combining these two quantitative approaches can not only reinforce accuracy in CAN screening but also provide a better estimate of CAN severity in patients with type 2 diabetes (T2DM) who had already had CAN in outpatient clinics.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Each patient received a complete battery of cardiovascular autonomic reflex tests (CARTs), with ESC measured by SUDOSCAN, time domain of HRV measured by standard deviation of all normal RR intervals (SDNN) and frequency domain of HRV (low frequency [LF], high frequency [HF], and LF/HF ratio), and peripheral blood studies for vascular risk factors. Severity of CAN was measured by CAN score.

RESULTS

The 90 T2DM patients included 50 males and 40 females. Those with more severe CAN had lower values in feet ESC (P = 0.023) and SDNN (P < 0.0001). Multiple linear regression analysis also showed that feet ESC and SDNN value (P = 0.003 and P < 0.0001) were significantly associated with CAN score. Combining SDNN and feet ESC also can increase the diagnostic accuracy of CAN with respective to sensitivity and specificity by using receiver operating characteristic analysis.

CONCLUSIONS

Combining the results of SDNN and feet ESC can not only assess, but also quantitatively reflect the progress or improvement of autonomic nerve function (including sympathetic and parasympathetic activity) in patients with T2DM.

Glycemic Variability, Oxidative Stress, and Impact on Complications Related to Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus

Chronic hyperglycemia is an established risk factor for the development of complications in both type 1 and type 2 diabetes, but glycemic variability has emerged as a possible independent risk factor for diabetes complications, possibly through oxidative stress. In this review, methods to access glycemic variability and oxidative stress, as well as their correlations, are discussed. Non-pharmacological and pharmacological strategies are also debated to achieve better glycemic control, not only by HbA1c target but also with reduced glycemic fluctuations, possibly minimizing the risk of diabetes complications.

Leptin mediate central obesity on the severity of cardiovascular autonomic neuropathy in well-controlled type 2 diabetes and prediabetes

BACKGROUND

Evidences support the view that central obesity is an independently cardiovascular risk. It is thought that leptin contributes to autonomic dysfunction and cardiovascular risks in type 1 and type 2 diabetes mellitus (T1DM and T2DM). This raises the possibility that leptin might mediate the relationship between central obesity and the severity of cardiovascular autonomic neuropathy (CAN) in patients with well-controlled T2DM and prediabetes.

METHODS

The complete cardiovascular reflex tests and biomarkers were assessed for each patient. The severity of CAN was assessed using composite autonomic scoring scale (CASS). A single-level three-variable mediation model was used to investigate the possible relationships among central obesity [as indicated by waist circumference (WC)], leptin level, and severity of CAN (as indicated by CASS value).

RESULTS

A total of 107 patients were included in this study: 90 with diabetes and 17 with prediabetes. The results demonstrate that increased WC is associated with increased severity of CAN (r = 0.242, P = 0.017). We further discovered that leptin level is positively correlated with WC (r = 0.504, P < 0.0001) and the CASS value (r = 0.36, P < 0.0001). Further mediation analysis shows that leptin level serves as mediators between higher WC and higher CASS.

CONCLUSIONS

Our results highlighted the relationship among leptin, central obesity, and severity of CAN. As the leptin level serves as mediator between central obesity and severity of CAN, a longitudinal study is needed to confirm that control of WC can decrease leptin levels and can be effective in reducing CAN progression.