Development and Validation of a Radiomics Nomogram for Prognosis Prediction of Patients with Acute Paraquat Poisoning: A Retrospective Cohort Study

Utility of Clinical Variables for Deciding Palliative Care in Paraquat Poisoning: A Retrospective Study

Background

Patients with paraquat poisoning (PP) have a mortality rate comparable to that of advanced malignancies, yet palliative care is seldom considered in these patients. This audit aimed to identify triggers for early palliative care referral in critically ill patients with PP.

Methods

Medical records of patients with PP were audited. Predictors of mortality within 48 hours of hospitalization and 24 hours of intensive care unit (ICU) admission were considered as triggers for palliative care referral.

Results

Among 108 patients, 84 complete records were analyzed, and 53 out of 84 (63.1%) expired. Within 48 hours after hospitalization, the lowest oxygen partial pressure in arterial blood to a fraction of inspired oxygen [the ratio of partial pressure of oxygen in arterial blood (PaO2) to the fraction of inspiratory oxygen concentration (FiO2) (PaO2/FiO2)] was the independent predictor of mortality, cut-off ≤ 197; the area under the curve (AUC), 0.924; sensitivity, 97%; specificity, 78%; p <0.001; and 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.878-0.978. Kaplan-Meier survival plot showed that the mean survival time of patients with the lowest PaO2/FiO2, ≤197, was 4.64 days vs 17.20 days with PaO2/FiO2 >197 (log-rank p < 0.001). Sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) score within 24 hours of ICU admission had a cut-off ≥9; AUC, 0.980; p < 0.001; 95% CI: 0.955-1.000; 91% sensitivity; and 90% specificity for mortality prediction. Out of the total of 84 patients with PP analyzed, there were 11 patients admitted to the high dependency units (13.1%) and 73 patients admitted to the ICU (86.9%). Out of the total of 84 patients of PP in whom data was analyzed, 53 (63.1%) patients required ventilator support. All the 53 patients who required ventilator support due to worsening hypoxemia, eventually expired.

Conclusion

The lowest PaO2/FiO2 ≤ 197 within 48 hours of hospitalization, SOFA score ≥9 within 24 hours of ICU admission or need for mechanical ventilation are predictors of mortality in PP patients, who might benefit from early palliative care.

How to cite this article

Rao S, Maddani SS, Chaudhuri S, Bhatt MT, Karanth S, Damani A, et al. Utility of Clinical Variables for Deciding Palliative Care in Paraquat Poisoning: A Retrospective Study. Indian J Crit Care Med 2024;28(5):453-460.

Development and validation of a prognostic nomogram for predicting in-hospital mortality of patients with acute paraquat poisoning

This study aimed to develop and validate a predictive model to determine the risk of in-hospital mortality in patients with acute paraquat poisoning. This retrospective observational cohort study included 724 patients with acute paraquat poisoning whose clinical data were collected within 24 h of admission. The primary outcome was in-hospital mortality. Patients were randomly divided into training and validation cohorts (7/3 ratio). In the training cohort, the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression models were used for data dimension reduction and feature selection. Multivariate logistic regression was used to generate a predictive nomogram for in-hospital mortality. The prediction model was assessed for both the training and validation cohorts. In the training cohort, decreased level of consciousness (Glasgow Coma Scale score < 15), neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, alanine aminotransferase, creatinine, carbon dioxide combining power, and paraquat plasma concentrations at admission were identified as independent predictors of in-hospital mortality in patients with acute paraquat poisoning. The calibration curves, decision curve analysis, and clinical impact curves indicated that the model had a good predictive performance. It can be used on admission to the emergency department to predict mortality and facilitate early risk stratification and actionable measures in clinical practice after further external validation.

Development and validation of a risk prediction nomogram for disposition of acute clozapine intoxicated patients to intensive care unit

BACKGROUND

Clozapine is an atypical antipsychotic drug used for the treatment of refractory schizophrenia. It is reported as the most toxic in its class. Using serum clozapine level as a severity indicator is doubtful and unfeasible, particularly in low resourced countries.

METHODS

This is an extended two-phase retrospective study that utilized medical records of patients diagnosed with acute clozapine intoxication and admitted to Tanta University Poison Control Center, Egypt during the past 6 years. Two hundred and eight medical records were used to establish and validate a nomogram for predicting the need for intensive care unit (ICU) admission in acute clozapine intoxicated patients.

RESULTS

A reliable simple bedside nomogram was developed and proved its significant ability to predict the need for ICU admission, with an area under the curve (AUC) of 83.9% and 80.8% accuracy. It encompassed the age of admitted patients (AUC = 64.8%, p = .003), respiratory rate (AUC = 74.7%, p < .001), O₂ saturation (AUC = 71.7%, p < .001), and random blood glucose level upon admission (AUC = 70.5%, p < .001). External validation of the proposed nomogram showed a high AUC (99.2%) with an overall accuracy of 96.2%.

CONCLUSION

There is a need to develop a reliable objective tool predicting the severity and need for ICU admission in acute clozapine intoxication. The proposed nomogram is a substantially valuable tool to estimate ICU admission probabilities among patients with acute clozapine intoxication and will help clinical toxicologists make rapid decisions for ICU admission, especially in countries with low resources.

Identification of differentially expressed genes and pathways in diquat and paraquat poisoning using bioinformatics analysis

[Objective] In this study, differentially expressed genes (DEGs) and signaling pathways involved in diquat (DQ) and paraquat (PQ) poisoning were identified via bioinformatics analysis, in order to inform the development of novel clinical treatments. [Methods] Raw data from GSE153959 were downloaded from the Gene Expression Omnibus database. DEGs of the DQ vs. control (CON) and PQ vs. CON comparison groups were identified using R, and DEGs shared by the two groups were identified using TBtools. Subsequently, the shared DEGs were searched in the Gene Ontology and Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes (KEGG) databases, using the Database for Annotation, Visualization, and Integrated Discovery. A protein-protein interaction (PPI) network was constructed, and hub genes were identified using the cytoHubba plug-in in Cytoscape software. Finally, Circos and contrast plots showing the DEGs shared between mouse and human chromosomes were constructed using TBtools. [Results] Thirty- one DEGs shared by the DQ and PQ groups were identified. Enriched biological process terms included positive regulation of cell proliferation and translation. Enriched cellular component terms included extracellular region, intracellular membrane- bounded organelle and mitochondrion. Enriched molecular function terms included transcription factor activity and sequence-specific double-stranded DNA binding. Enriched KEGG pathways included the interleukin- 17 signaling pathway, tumor necrosis factor signaling pathway, and human T- cell leukemia virus 1 infection. The top ten hub genes in the PPI network were Ptgs2, Cxcl2, Csf2, Mmp13, Areg, Plaur, Fosl1, Ereg, Atf3, and Tfrc. Cxcl2, Csf2, and Atf3 played important roles in the mitogen- activated protein kinase signaling pathway. [Conclusions] These pathways and DEGs may serve as targets for gene therapy.