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Chouillard MA, Hobeika C. Risk predictors of post-hepatectomy liver failure: unraveling complexities and navigating challenges in clinical application. Hepatobiliary Surg Nutr 2024; 13:500-504. [PMID: 38911195 PMCID: PMC11190505 DOI: 10.21037/hbsn-24-81] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/10/2024] [Accepted: 04/22/2024] [Indexed: 06/25/2024]
Affiliation(s)
- Marc-Anthony Chouillard
- Département de Chirurgie Hépato-Bilio-Pancréatique et de Transplantation Hépatique, Hôpital Beaujon, AP-HP, Université Paris-Cité, Clichy, France
| | - Christian Hobeika
- Département de Chirurgie Hépato-Bilio-Pancréatique et de Transplantation Hépatique, Hôpital Beaujon, AP-HP, Université Paris-Cité, Clichy, France
- UMR Inserm 1275 CAP Paris-Tech, Hôpital Lariboisière, Université Paris-Cité, Paris, France
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Cai W, Lin X, Guo Y, Lin X, Chen C. A nomogram for predicting prognosis in patients with transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt creation based on deep learning-derived spleen volume-to-platelet ratio. Br J Radiol 2024; 97:600-606. [PMID: 38288507 DOI: 10.1093/bjr/tqad064] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/03/2023] [Revised: 11/09/2023] [Accepted: 12/21/2023] [Indexed: 03/01/2024] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVES The objective of our study was to develop a nomogram to predict post-transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) survival in patients with cirrhosis based on CT images. METHODS This retrospective cohort study included patients who had received TIPS operation at the Wenzhou Medical University First Affiliated Hospital between November 2013 and April 2017. To predict prognosis, a nomogram and Web-based probability were developed to assess the overall survival (OS) rates at 1, 3, and 5 years based on multivariate analyses. With deep learning algorithm, the automated measurement of liver and spleen volumes can be realized. We assessed the predictive accuracy and discriminative ability of the nomogram using the concordance index (C-index), receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, calibration curve, and decision curve analysis (DCA). RESULTS Age, total bilirubin, and spleen volume-to-platelet ratio (SVPR) were identified as the independent risk factors for OS. The nomogram was constructed based on the above risk factors. The C-index (0.80, 0.74, 0.70), ROC curve (area under curve: 0.828, 0.761, 0.729), calibration curve, and DCA showed that nomogram good at predictive value, stability, and clinical benefit in the prediction of 1-, 3-, 5-year OS in patients with TIPS creation. CONCLUSIONS We constructed a nomogram for predicting prognosis in patients with TIPS creation based on risk factors. The nomogram can help clinicians in identifying patients with poor prognosis, eventually facilitating earlier treatment and selecting suitable patients before TIPS. ADVANCES IN KNOWLEDGE This study developed the first nomogram based on SVPR to predict the prognosis of patients treated with TIPS. The nomogram could help clinician in non-invasive decision-making.
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Affiliation(s)
- Weimin Cai
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou 325000, China
| | - Xinran Lin
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou 325000, China
| | - Yu Guo
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou 325000, China
| | - Xiuqing Lin
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou 325000, China
| | - Chao Chen
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou 325000, China
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Gradel KO. Interpretations of the Role of Plasma Albumin in Prognostic Indices: A Literature Review. J Clin Med 2023; 12:6132. [PMID: 37834777 PMCID: PMC10573484 DOI: 10.3390/jcm12196132] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/07/2023] [Revised: 09/18/2023] [Accepted: 09/21/2023] [Indexed: 10/15/2023] Open
Abstract
This review assesses how publications interpret factors that influence the serum or plasma albumin (PA) level in prognostic indices, focusing on inflammation and nutrition. On PubMed, a search for "albumin AND prognosis" yielded 23,919 results. From these records, prognostic indices were retrieved, and their names were used as search strings on PubMed. Indices found in 10 or more original research articles were included. The same search strings, restricted to "Review" or "Systematic review", retrieved yielded on the indices. The data comprised the 10 latest original research articles and up to 10 of the latest reviews. Thirty indices had 294 original research articles (6 covering two indices) and 131 reviews, most of which were from recent years. A total of 106 articles related the PA level to inflammation, and 136 related the PA level to nutrition. For the reviews, the equivalent numbers were 54 and 65. In conclusion, more publications mention the PA level as a marker of nutrition rather than inflammation. This is in contrast to several general reviews on albumin and nutritional guidelines, which state that the PA level is a marker of inflammation but not nutrition. Hypoalbuminemia should prompt clinicians to focus on the inflammatory aspects in their patients.
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Affiliation(s)
- Kim Oren Gradel
- Center for Clinical Epidemiology, Odense University Hospital, 5000 Odense, Denmark; ; Tel.: +45-21-15-80-85
- Research Unit of Clinical Epidemiology, Department of Clinical Research, University of Southern Denmark, 5000 Odense, Denmark
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Ota M, Komeda K. ASO Author Reflections: The Prognostic Value of Preoperative Serum Markers and Risk Classification of Patients With Hepatocellular Carcinoma. Ann Surg Oncol 2023; 30:2816-2817. [PMID: 36735081 DOI: 10.1245/s10434-022-13063-1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/27/2022] [Accepted: 12/27/2022] [Indexed: 02/04/2023]
Affiliation(s)
- Masato Ota
- Department of General and Gastroenterological Surgery, Osaka Medical and Pharmaceutical University, Osaka, Japan.
| | - Koji Komeda
- Department of General and Gastroenterological Surgery, Osaka Medical and Pharmaceutical University, Osaka, Japan
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Ota M, Komeda K, Iida H, Ueno M, Kosaka H, Nomi T, Tanaka S, Nakai T, Hokutou D, Matsumoto M, Hirokawa F, Lee SW, Kaibori M, Kubo S. The Prognostic Value of Preoperative Serum Markers and Risk Classification in Patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma. Ann Surg Oncol 2023; 30:2807-2815. [PMID: 36641514 DOI: 10.1245/s10434-022-13007-9] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/27/2022] [Accepted: 12/10/2022] [Indexed: 01/16/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Complex hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) prognostic biomarkers have been reported in various studies. We aimed to establish biomarkers that could predict prognosis, and formulate a simple classification using non-invasive preoperative blood test data. METHODS We retrospectively identified 305 patients for a discovery cohort who had undergone HCC-related hepatectomy at four Japanese university hospitals between January 1, 2011 and December 31, 2013. Preoperative blood test parameter optimal cut-off values were determined using receiver operating characteristic curve analysis. Cox uni- and multivariate analyses were used to determine independent prognostic factors. Risk classifications were established using classification and regression tree (CART) analysis. Validation was performed with 267 patients from three other hospitals. RESULTS In multivariate analysis, α-fetoprotein (AFP, p < 0.001), protein induced by vitamin K absence or antagonist-II (PIVKA-II, p = 0.006), and C-reactive protein (CRP, p < 0.001) were independent prognostic factors for overall survival (OS). AFP (p = 0.007), total bilirubin (p = 0.001), and CRP (p = 0.003) were independent recurrent risk factors for recurrence-free survival (RFS). CART analysis results formed OS (CRP, AFP, and albumin) and RFS (PIVKA-II, CRP, and total bilirubin) decision trees, based on machine learning using preoperative serum markers, with three risk classifications. Five-year OS (low risk, 80.0%; moderate risk, 56.3%; high risk, 25.2%; p < 0.001) and RFS (low risk, 43.4%; moderate risk, 30.8%; high risk, 16.6%; p < 0.001) risks differed significantly. These classifications also stratified OS and RFS risk in the validation cohort. CONCLUSION Three simple risk classifications using preoperative non-invasive prognostic factors could predict prognosis.
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Affiliation(s)
- Masato Ota
- Department of General and Gastroenterological Surgery, Osaka Medical and Pharmaceutical University, Takatsuki, Osaka, Japan.
| | - Koji Komeda
- Department of General and Gastroenterological Surgery, Osaka Medical and Pharmaceutical University, Takatsuki, Osaka, Japan
| | - Hiroya Iida
- Department of Surgery, Shiga University of Medical Science, Shiga, Shiga, Japan
| | - Masaki Ueno
- Second Department of Surgery, Wakayama Medical University, Wakayama, Wakayama, Japan
| | - Hisashi Kosaka
- Department of Surgery, Kansai Medical University, Hirakata, Osaka, Japan
| | - Takeo Nomi
- Department of Surgery, Nara Medical University, Kashihara, Nara, Japan.,Department of Surgery, Uji-Tokusyukai Medical Center, Uji, Kyoto, Japan
| | - Shogo Tanaka
- Department of Hepato-Biliary-Pancreatic Surgery, Osaka Metropolitan University of Graduate School of Medicine, Osaka, Osaka, Japan
| | - Takuya Nakai
- Department of Surgery, Faculty of Medicine, Kindai University, Higashiosaka, Osaka, Japan
| | - Daisuke Hokutou
- Department of Surgery, Nara Medical University, Kashihara, Nara, Japan
| | - Masataka Matsumoto
- Department of Surgery, Faculty of Medicine, Kindai University, Higashiosaka, Osaka, Japan
| | - Fumitoshi Hirokawa
- Department of General and Gastroenterological Surgery, Osaka Medical and Pharmaceutical University, Takatsuki, Osaka, Japan
| | - Sang-Woong Lee
- Department of General and Gastroenterological Surgery, Osaka Medical and Pharmaceutical University, Takatsuki, Osaka, Japan
| | - Masaki Kaibori
- Department of Surgery, Kansai Medical University, Hirakata, Osaka, Japan
| | - Shoji Kubo
- Department of Hepato-Biliary-Pancreatic Surgery, Osaka Metropolitan University of Graduate School of Medicine, Osaka, Osaka, Japan
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Wang Q, Qiao W, Zhang H, Liu B, Li J, Zang C, Mei T, Zheng J, Zhang Y. Nomogram established on account of Lasso-Cox regression for predicting recurrence in patients with early-stage hepatocellular carcinoma. Front Immunol 2022; 13:1019638. [PMID: 36505501 PMCID: PMC9726717 DOI: 10.3389/fimmu.2022.1019638] [Citation(s) in RCA: 23] [Impact Index Per Article: 11.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/15/2022] [Accepted: 10/31/2022] [Indexed: 11/24/2022] Open
Abstract
Purpose To investigate the risk factors for recurrence in patients with early-stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after minimally invasive treatment with curative intent, then to construct a prediction model based on Lasso-Cox regression and visualize the model built. Methods Clinical data were collected from 547 patients that received minimally invasive treatment in our hospital from January 1, 2012, to December 31, 2016. Lasso regression was used to screen risk factors for recurrence. Then we established Cox proportional hazard regression model and random survival forest model including several parameters screened by Lasso regression. An optimal model was selected by comparing the values of C-index, then the model was visualized and the nomogram was finally plotted. Results The variables screened by Lasso regression including age, gender, cirrhosis, tumor number, tumor size, platelet-albumin-bilirubin index (PALBI), and viral load were incorporated in the Cox model and random survival forest model (P<0.05). The C-index of these two models in the training sets was 0.729 and 0.708, and was 0.726 and 0.700 in the validation sets, respectively. So we finally chose Lasso-Cox regression model, and the calibration curve in the validation set performed well, indicating that the model built has a better predictive ability. And then a nomogram was plotted based on the model chosen to visualize the results. Conclusions The present study established a nomogram for predicting recurrence in patients with early-stage HCC based on the Lasso-Cox regression model. This nomogram was of some guiding significance for screening populations at high risk of recurrence after treatment, by which doctors can formulate individualized follow-up strategies or treatment protocols according to the predicted risk of relapse for patients to improve the long-term prognosis.
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Affiliation(s)
- Qi Wang
- Research Center for Biomedical Resources, Beijing You’an Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China
| | - Wenying Qiao
- Research Center for Biomedical Resources, Beijing You’an Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China
| | - Honghai Zhang
- Interventional Therapy Center for Oncology, Beijing You’an Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China
| | - Biyu Liu
- Research Center for Biomedical Resources, Beijing You’an Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China
| | - Jianjun Li
- Interventional Therapy Center for Oncology, Beijing You’an Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China
| | - Chaoran Zang
- Research Center for Biomedical Resources, Beijing You’an Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China
| | - Tingting Mei
- Research Center for Biomedical Resources, Beijing You’an Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China
| | - Jiasheng Zheng
- Interventional Therapy Center for Oncology, Beijing You’an Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China
| | - Yonghong Zhang
- Research Center for Biomedical Resources, Beijing You’an Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China,Interventional Therapy Center for Oncology, Beijing You’an Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China,*Correspondence: Yonghong Zhang,
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Wong WG, Perez Holguin RA, Tarren AY, Shen C, Vining C, Peng JS, Dixon ME. Albumin-bilirubin score is superior to platelet-albumin-bilirubin score and model for end-state liver disease sodium for predicting posthepatectomy liver failure. J Surg Oncol 2022; 126:667-679. [PMID: 35726364 DOI: 10.1002/jso.26981] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/23/2022] [Revised: 05/04/2022] [Accepted: 05/29/2022] [Indexed: 12/22/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Risk stratification for patients undergoing hepatectomy can be attempted using established models. This study compares the platelet-albumin-bilirubin (PALBI) score with albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) and model for end-stage liver disease sodium (MELD-Na) for predicting posthepatectomy liver failure (PHLF) and 30-day mortality. METHODS The 2014-2018 NSQIP database was queried for patients who underwent elective hepatectomy. Multivariable logistic regressions assessed associations of posthepatectomy outcomes with patient and clinical characteristics. Predictive accuracy of the grading systems was evaluated using receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curves and calculating area under the curve (AUC). RESULTS Severe PHLF (Grade B/C) and mortality were present in 2.58% (N = 369) and 1.2% (N = 171) of patients who underwent hepatectomy (N = 13 925), respectively. ALBI Grade 2/3 had a stronger association with severe PHLF (odds ratio [OR] = 1.62, p < 0.01) and mortality (OR = 2.06, p < 0.005) than PALBI Grade 2/3 (OR = 1.14, p = 0.43 for PHLF and OR = 2.01, p < 0.005 for mortality) or MELD-Na ≥10 (OR = 1.29, p = 0.25 for PHLF and OR = 1.84, p < 0.03). ALBI had a higher AUC (0.671) than PALBI (0.625) and MELD-Na (0.627) for predicting severe PHLF. ALBI had a higher AUC (0.695) than PALBI (0.642) for predicting 30-day mortality. CONCLUSIONS ALBI was a more accurate predictor of severe PHLF and 30-day mortality than MELD-Na and PALBI for patients who underwent hepatectomy.
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Affiliation(s)
- William G Wong
- Department of Surgery, College of Medicine, The Pennsylvania State University, Hershey, Pennsylvania, USA
| | - Rolfy A Perez Holguin
- Department of Surgery, College of Medicine, The Pennsylvania State University, Hershey, Pennsylvania, USA
| | - Anna Y Tarren
- Department of Surgery, College of Medicine, The Pennsylvania State University, Hershey, Pennsylvania, USA
| | - Chan Shen
- Division of Outcomes Research and Quality, Department of Surgery, Penn State Hershey Medical Center, Hershey, Pennsylvania, USA.,Division of Health Services and Behavioral Research, Department of Public Health Sciences, Penn State College of Medicine, Hershey, Pennsylvania, USA
| | - Charles Vining
- Division of Surgical Oncology, Department of Surgery, Penn State Hershey Medical Center, Hershey, Pennsylvania, USA
| | - June S Peng
- Division of Surgical Oncology, Department of Surgery, Penn State Hershey Medical Center, Hershey, Pennsylvania, USA
| | - Matthew E Dixon
- Division of Surgical Oncology, Department of Surgery, Penn State Hershey Medical Center, Hershey, Pennsylvania, USA
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Lei Z, Cheng N, Si A, Yang P, Guo G, Ma W, Yu Q, Wang X, Cheng Z. A Novel Nomogram for Predicting Postoperative Liver Failure After Major Hepatectomy for Hepatocellular Carcinoma. Front Oncol 2022; 12:817895. [PMID: 35359352 PMCID: PMC8964030 DOI: 10.3389/fonc.2022.817895] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/18/2021] [Accepted: 02/14/2022] [Indexed: 01/27/2023] Open
Abstract
Background Post-hepatectomy liver failure (PHLF) is the most common cause of mortality after major hepatectomy in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients. We aim to develop a nomogram to preoperatively predict grade B/C PHLF defined by the International Study Group on Liver Surgery Grading (ISGLS) in HCC patients undergoing major hepatectomy. Study Design The consecutive HCC patients who underwent major hepatectomy at the Eastern Hepatobiliary Surgery Hospital between 2008 and 2013 served as a training cohort to develop a preoperative nomogram, and patients from 2 other hospitals comprised an external validation cohort. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) logistic regression was applied to identify preoperative predictors of grade B/C PHLF. Multivariable logistic regression was utilized to establish a nomogram model. Internal and external validations were used to verify the performance of the nomogram. The accuracy of the nomogram was also compared with the conventional scoring models, including MELD and ALBI score. Results A total of 880 patients who underwent major hepatectomy (668 in the training cohort and 192 in the validation cohort) were enrolled in this study. The independent risk factors of grade B/C PHLF were age, gender, prothrombin time, total bilirubin, and CSPH, which were incorporated into the nomogram. Good prediction discrimination was achieved in the training (AUROC: 0.73) and validation (AUROC: 0.72) cohorts. The calibration curve also showed good agreement in both training and validation cohorts. The nomogram has a better performance than MELD and ALBI score models. Conclusion The proposed nomogram showed more accurate ability to individually predict grade B/C PHLF after major hepatectomy in HCC patients than MELD and ALBI scores.
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Affiliation(s)
- Zhengqing Lei
- Hepato-Pancreato-Biliary Center, Zhongda Hospital, School of Medicine, Southeast University, Nanjing, China
- Department of Hepatic Surgery IV, the Eastern Hepatobiliary Surgery Hospital, Naval Medical University, Shanghai, China
| | - Nuo Cheng
- School of Medicine, Nanjing University of Chinese Medicine, Nanjing, China
| | - Anfeng Si
- Department of Surgical Oncology, Qin Huai Medical District of Jinling Hospital, Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, China
| | - Pinghua Yang
- Department of Minimally Invasive Surgery, the Eastern Hepatobiliary Surgery Hospital, Naval Medical University, Shanghai, China
| | - Guangmeng Guo
- Hepato-Pancreato-Biliary Center, Zhongda Hospital, School of Medicine, Southeast University, Nanjing, China
| | - Weihu Ma
- Hepato-Pancreato-Biliary Center, Zhongda Hospital, School of Medicine, Southeast University, Nanjing, China
| | - Qiushi Yu
- Hepato-Pancreato-Biliary Center, Zhongda Hospital, School of Medicine, Southeast University, Nanjing, China
| | - Xuan Wang
- Department of Surgical Oncology, Qin Huai Medical District of Jinling Hospital, Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, China
| | - Zhangjun Cheng
- Hepato-Pancreato-Biliary Center, Zhongda Hospital, School of Medicine, Southeast University, Nanjing, China
- Department of Hepatic Surgery IV, the Eastern Hepatobiliary Surgery Hospital, Naval Medical University, Shanghai, China
- *Correspondence: Zhangjun Cheng,
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