Artificial Neural Network-Based Ultrasound Radiomics Can Predict Large-Volume Lymph Node Metastasis in Clinical N0 Papillary Thyroid Carcinoma Patients

Development and Validation of a Computed Tomography-Based Radiomics Nomogram for the Preoperative Prediction of Central Lymph Node Metastasis in Papillary Thyroid Microcarcinoma

RATIONALE AND OBJECTIVES

This study aims to develop and validate a computed tomography (CT)-based radiomics nomogram for pre-operatively predicting central lymph node metastasis (CLNM) in patients with papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC) and explore the underlying biological basis by using RNA sequencing data.

METHODS

This study trained 452 PTMC patients across two hospitals from January 2012 to December 2020. The sets were randomly divided into the training (n = 339), internal test (n = 86), external test (n = 27) sets. Radiomics features were extracted from primary lesion's pre-operative CT images for each patient. After screening for features, five algorithms such as K-nearest neighbor, logistics regression, linear-support vector machine (SVM), Gaussian SVM, and polynomial SVM were used to establish the radiomics models. The performance of these five algorithms was evaluated and compared directly to radiologist's interpretation (CT-reported lymph node status). The radiomics signature score (Rad-score) was generated using a linear combination of the selected features. By combining the clinical risk factors and Rad score, a radiomics nomogram was established and compared with Rad-score and clinical model. The performance of the nomogram was evaluated based on the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, calibration curve, and the decision curve analysis (DCA). The potential biological basis of nomogram was revealed by performing genetic analysis based on the RNA sequencing data.

RESULTS

A total of 25 radiomic features were ultimately selected to train the machine learning models, and the five machine learning models outperformed the radiologists' interpretation by achieving area under the ROC curves (AUCs) ranging from 0.606 to 0.730 in the internal test set. By incorporating the Rad score and clinical risk factors (sex, age, tumor-diameter, and CT-reported lymph node status), this nomogram achieved AUCs of 0.800 and 0.803 in the internal and external test set, which were higher than that of the Rad-score and clinical model, respectively. Calibration curves and DCA also showed that the nomogram had good performance. As for the biological basis exploration, in patients predicted by nomogram to be PTC patients with CLMN, 109 genes were dysregulated, and some of them were associated with pathways and biological processes such as tumor angiogenesis.

CONCLUSION

This radiomics nomogram successfully identified CLNM on pretreatment imaging across multiple institutions, exceeding the diagnostic ability of radiologists and had the potential to be integrated into clinical decision making as a non-invasive pre-operative tool.

Prediction of cervical lymph node metastasis in differentiated thyroid cancer based on radiomics models

OBJECTIVE

The accurate clinical diagnosis of cervical lymph node metastasis plays an important role in the treatment of differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC). This study aimed to explore and summarize a more objective approach to detect cervical malignant lymph node metastasis of DTC via radiomics models.

METHODS

PubMed, Web of Science, MEDLINE, EMBASE, and Cochrane databases were searched for all eligible studies. Articles using radiomics models based on ultrasound, computed tomography, or magnetic resonance imaging to assess cervical lymph node metastasis preoperatively were included. Characteristics and diagnostic accuracy measures were extracted. Bias and applicability judgments were evaluated by the revised QUADAS-2 tool. The estimates were pooled using a random-effects model. Additionally, the leave-one-out method was conducted to assess the heterogeneity.

RESULTS

Twenty-nine radiomics studies with 6160 validation set patients were included in the qualitative analysis, and 11 studies with 3863 validation set patients were included in the meta-analysis. Four of them had an external independent validation set. The studies were heterogeneous, and a significant risk of bias was found in 29 studies. Meta-analysis showed that the pooled sensitivity and specificity for preoperative prediction of lymph node metastasis via US-based radiomics were 0.81 (95% CI, 0.73-0.86) and 0.87 (95% CI, 0.83-0.91), respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Although radiomics-based models for cervical lymphatic metastasis in DTC have been demonstrated to have moderate diagnostic capabilities, broader data, standardized radiomics features, robust feature selection, and model exploitation are still needed in the future.

ADVANCES IN KNOWLEDGE

The radiomics models showed great potential in detecting malignant lymph nodes in thyroid cancer.

Nomogram model based on preoperative clinical characteristics of unilateral papillary thyroid carcinoma to predict contralateral medium-volume central lymph node metastasis

Objectives

To explore the preoperative high-risk clinical factors for contralateral medium-volume central lymph node metastasis (conMVCLNM) in unilateral papillary thyroid carcinoma (uPTC) and the indications for dissection of contralateral central lymph nodes (conCLN).

Methods

Clinical and pathological data of 204 uPTC patients who underwent thyroid surgery at the Hangzhou First People's Hospital from September 2010 to October 2022 were collected. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were conducted to determine the independent risk factors for contralateral central lymph node metastasis (conCLNM) and conMVCLNM in uPTC patients based on the preoperative clinical data. Predictive models for conCLNM and conMVCLNM were constructed using logistic regression analyses and validated using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, concordance index (C-index), calibration curves, and decision curve analysis (DCA).

Results

Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses showed that gender (P < 0.001), age (P < 0.001), tumor diameter (P < 0.001), and multifocality (P = 0.008) were independent risk factors for conCLNM in uPTC patients. Gender(P= 0.026), age (P = 0.010), platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) (P =0.003), and tumor diameter (P = 0.036) were independent risk factors for conMVCLNM in uPTC patients. A predictive model was established to assess the risk of conCLNM and conMVCLNM, with ROC curve areas of 0.836 and 0.845, respectively. The C-index, the calibration curve, and DCA demonstrated that the model had good diagnostic value.

Conclusion

Gender, age, tumor diameter, and multifocality are high-risk factors for conCLNM in uPTC patients. Gender, age, tumor diameter, and PLR are high-risk factors for conMVCLNM in uPTC patients, and preventive conCLN dissection should be performed.

Development and Validation of a Dual-Energy CT-Based Model for Predicting the Number of Central Lymph Node Metastases in Clinically Node-Negative Papillary Thyroid Carcinoma

RATIONALE AND OBJECTIVES

This study aimed to develop and validate a dual-energy CT (DECT)-based model for preoperative prediction of the number of central lymph node metastases (CLNMs) in clinically node-negative (cN0) papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) patients.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Between January 2016 and January 2021, 490 patients who underwent lobectomy or thyroidectomy, CLN dissection, and preoperative DECT examinations were enrolled and randomly allocated into the training (N = 345) and validation cohorts (N = 145). The patients' clinical characteristics and quantitative DECT parameters obtained on primary tumors were collected. Independent predictors of> 5 CLNMs were identified and integrated to construct a DECT-based prediction model, for which the area under the curve (AUC), calibration, and clinical usefulness were assessed. Risk group stratification was performed to distinguish patients with different recurrence risks.

RESULTS

More than 5 CLNMs were found in 75 (15.3%) cN0 PTC patients. Age, tumor size, normalized iodine concentration (NIC), normalized effective atomic number (nZeff) and the slope of the spectral Hounsfield unit curve (λHu) in the arterial phase were independently associated with> 5 CLNMs. The DECT-based nomogram that incorporated predictors demonstrated favorable performance in both cohorts (AUC: 0.842 and 0.848) and significantly outperformed the clinical model (AUC: 0.688 and 0.694). The nomogram showed good calibration and added clinical benefit for predicting> 5 CLNMs. The KaplanMeier curves for recurrence-free survival showed that the high- and low-risk groups stratified by the nomogram were significantly different.

CONCLUSION

The nomogram based on DECT parameters and clinical factors could facilitate preoperative prediction of the number of CLNMs in cN0 PTC patients.

Radiomics diagnostic performance in predicting lymph node metastasis of papillary thyroid carcinoma: A systematic review and meta-analysis

PURPOSE

To evaluate the diagnostic performance of radiomics in lymph node metastasis (LNM) prediction in patients with papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) through a systematic review and meta-analysis.

METHOD

A literature search of PubMed, EMBASE, and Web of Science was conducted to find relevant studies published until February 18th, 2023. Studies that reported the accuracy of radiomics in different imaging modalities for LNM prediction in PTC patients were selected. The methodological quality of included studies was evaluated by radiomics quality score (RQS) and quality assessment of diagnostic accuracy studies (QUADAS-2) tools. General characteristics and radiomics accuracy were extracted. Overall sensitivity, specificity, and area under the curve (AUC) were calculated for diagnostic accuracy evaluation. Spearman correlation coefficient and subgroup analysis were performed for heterogeneity exploration.

RESULTS

In total, 25 studies were included, of which 22 studies provided adequate data for meta-analysis. We conducted two types of meta-analysis: one focused solely on radiomics features models and the other combined radiomics and non-radiomics features models in the analysis. The pooled sensitivity, specificity, and AUC of radiomics and combined models were 0.75 [0.68, 0.80] vs. 0.77 [0.74, 0.80], 0.77 [0.74, 0.81] vs. 0.83 [0.78, 0.87] and 0.80 [0.73, 0.85] vs 0.82 [0.75, 0.88], respectively. The analysis showed a high heterogeneity level among the included studies. There was no threshold effect. The subgroup analysis demonstrated that utilizing ultrasonography, 2D segmentation, central and lateral LNM detection, automatic segmentation, and PyRadiomics software could slightly improve diagnostic accuracy.

CONCLUSIONS

Our meta-analysis shows that the radiomics has the potential for pre-operative LNM prediction in PTC patients. Although methodological quality is sufficient but we still need more prospective studies with larger sample sizes from different centers.

Establishment of a Prediction Model for Overall Survival after Stereotactic Body Radiation Therapy for Primary Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer Using Radiomics Analysis

Simple Summary

Lung cancer remains the leading cause of cancer-related mortality worldwide. Although early-stage non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) is likely to be controlled with stereotactic body radiation therapy (SBRT), approximately 18% of patients lead to recurrence. The aim of this study was to identify prognostic factors and establish a predictive model for survival outcomes of patients with non-metastatic NSCLC treated with SBRT. Several radiomic features were selected as predictive factors and two prediction models were established from the pre-treatment computed tomography images of 250 patients in the training cohort. One radiomic factor remained a significant prognostic factor of overall survival (OS) (p = 0.044), and one predicting model could estimate OS time (mean: 37.8 months) similar to the real OS time (33.7 months). In this study, we identified one radiomic factor and one prediction model that can be widely used.

Abstract

Stereotactic body radiation therapy (SBRT) for early-stage non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) leads to recurrence in approximately 18% of patients. We aimed to extract the radiomic features, with which we predicted clinical outcomes and to establish predictive models. Patients with primary non-metastatic NSCLC who were treated with SBRT between 2002 and 2022 were retrospectively reviewed. The 358 primary tumors were randomly divided into a training cohort of 250 tumors and a validation cohort of 108 tumors. Clinical features and 744 radiomic features derived from primary tumor delineation on pre-treatment computed tomography were examined as prognostic factors of survival outcomes by univariate and multivariate analyses in the training cohort. Predictive models of survival outcomes were established from the results of the multivariate analysis in the training cohort. The selected radiomic features and prediction models were tested in a validation cohort. We found that one radiomic feature showed a significant difference in overall survival (OS) in the validation cohort (p = 0.044) and one predicting model could estimate OS time (mean: 37.8 months) similar to the real OS time (33.7 months). In this study, we identified one radiomic factor and one prediction model that can be widely used.