Tendencias en cirugía coronaria: cambios en el perfil del paciente quirúrgico

Trends in coronary artery bypass surgery: impact on early outcomes

BACKGROUND

improvements in nonsurgical revascularization have left a group of higher-risk patients presenting for operation in a later stage of coronary artery disease. We undertook this study to analyze temporal changes in demographic and clinical profiles and outcomes of cardiac surgical patients.

METHODS

we identified and retrieved preoperative, intraoperative, and postoperative variables for 3064 consecutive patients who underwent myocardial revascularization at the Aga Khan University Hospital between 2006 and 2011. Mortality and morbidity outcomes were compared using univariate and multivariate analyses.

RESULTS

mean age, prevalence of left ventricular systolic dysfunction, unstable angina, mean number of occluded vessels, and arrhythmias at presentation increased steadily over time. The prevalence of diabetes, chronic lung disease, peripheral vascular disease, prior stroke, prior myocardial infarction, and left main disease declined. Operative mortality did not change significantly (3.5% vs. 3.8%, p = 0.512). Determinants of operative mortality included older age, female sex, renal insufficiency, left ventricular systolic dysfunction, and longer bypass and crossclamp times.

CONCLUSION

coronary operations are increasingly performed in higher-risk patients with greater comorbidities. Despite this, operative mortality has not increased.

[Trends of risk factors in coronary surgery]

INTRODUCTION

In current era of widespread use of percutaneous coronary interventions (PCI), it is debatable whether coronary artery by-pass graft (CABG) patients are at higher risk.

OBJECTIVE

The aim of the study was to evaluate trends in risk profile of isolated CABG patients.

METHODS

By analysing the EuroSCORE and its risk factors, we reviewed a consecutive group of 4675 isolated CABG patients, operated on during the last 8 years (2001-2008) at our Clinic. The number of PCI patients was compared to the number of CABG patients. For statistical analyses, Pearson's chi-square and ANOVA tests were used.

RESULTS

The number of PCI increased from 159 to 1595 (p < 0.001), and the number of CABG from 557 to 656 (p < 0.001). The mean EuroSCORE increased from 2.74 to 2.92 (p = 0.06). The frequency of the following risk factors did not change over years: female gender, previous cardiac surgery, serum creatinine > 200 micromol/l, left ventricular dysfunction and postinfarct ventricular septal rupture. Chronic pulmonary disease, neurological dysfunction, and unstable pectoral angina declined significantly (p < 0.001). Critical preoperative care declined from 3.1% in 2001 to 0.5% in 2005, than increased and during the last 3 years did not change (2.3%). The mean age increased from 56.8 to 60.7 (p < 0.001) and extracardiac arteriopathy increased from 9.2% to 22.9% (p < 0.001). Recent preoperative myocardial infarction increased from 11% to 15.1% (p = 0.021), while emergency operations increased from 0.9% to 4.0% (p = 0.001).

CONCLUSION

The number of CABG increases despite the enlargement of PCI. The risk for isolated CABG given by EuroSCORE increases over years. The risk factors, significantly contributing to higher EuroSCORE are: older age, extracardiac arteriopathy, recent myocardial infarction and emergency operation.

Valor predictivo del modelo EuroSCORE en la cirugía cardíaca de nuestro centro

OBJECTIVE

The use of risk prediction models in cardiac surgery makes it possible to compare and evaluate health care quality between different institutions in countries. This study aimed to assess the performance of the European System for Cardiac Operative Risk Evaluation (EuroSCORE) model in estimating the risk of mortality of cardiac surgery patients of our hospital.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

The additive and logistic EuroSCORE models were applied to all patients who underwent cardiac surgery with extracorporeal circulation from the time the cardiac surgery unit was opened in our center in November 2002 until February 2006. All data were obtained prospectively when the patients were admitted to the Intensive Care Unit. Mortality observed was compared with that estimated in the following subgroups: global cardiac surgery, isolated coronary surgery, isolated valvular surgery, combined valvular and coronary surgery and thoracic aorta surgery. Model discrimination was tested by determining the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve.

RESULTS

We studied 1,053 patients who had several differences with the EuroScore model population. Overall observed mortality was 2.2% (95% CI 1.2 - 3.1). The EuroSCORE models overestimated mortality (additive predicted 5%, logistic predicted 4.6%). Mortality of coronary bypass graft surgery was 1.2% and both EuroSCORE models overestimated it. Discriminative power of both models was good with an Area under ROC curve for both models of 0.78 and 0.79.

CONCLUSIONS

The use of both EuroSCORE models overestimated overall observed mortality and that of the different surgical subgroups of cardiac surgery performed in our institution.

Is pre-operative anaemia a risk marker for in-hospital mortality and morbidity after valve replacement?

AIMS

To assess the level of pre-operative haemoglobin (HB) as a risk marker for morbidity and mortality in the early post-operative period of patients who underwent elective valve replacement.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Between January 1998 and March 2004, clinical and outcomes data were collected for the 201 patients who had elective valve replacement. For each gender, the criterion to choose the best cut-off point was that which achieved the maximum likelihood after several General Additive Model models performed in a Bootstrap procedure. The best cut-off point obtained for pre-operative HB was 12 g/dL. Overall peri-operative mortality (deaths occurring during hospital period or within 30 days) was 9.5%. After adjusting well-known independent pre-operative risk factors for operative mortality, pre-operative HB <12 g/dL was identified as an independent predictor for in-hospital mortality (OR, 3.23; 95% CI, 1.09-9.55; P = 0.03). Also adjusting for EuroScore, pre-operative HB remained significant (OR, 3.64; 95% CI, 1.32-10.06; P = 0.01). The same model was applied to post-operative morbidity, and pre-operative HB <12 g/dL was identified as an independent predictor with and without EuroScore (OR, 4.67; 95% CI, 2.03-10.71; P < 0.001), (OR, 5.18; 95% CI, 2.18-12.3; P < 0.001), respectively.

CONCLUSION

In patients undergoing elective valve replacement pre-operative HB <12 g/dL is a risk marker of in-hospital mortality and serious adverse outcomes.