Feng X, Zhang Y, Vaselkiv JB, Li R, Nguyen PL, Penney KL, Giovannucci EL, Mucci LA, Stopsack KH. Modifiable risk factors for subsequent lethal prostate cancer among men with an initially negative prostate biopsy.
Br J Cancer 2023;
129:1988-2002. [PMID:
37898724 PMCID:
PMC10703766 DOI:
10.1038/s41416-023-02472-y]
[Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/19/2023] [Revised: 10/06/2023] [Accepted: 10/17/2023] [Indexed: 10/30/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND
Previously suggested modifiable risk factors for prostate cancer could have resulted from detection bias because diagnosis requires a biopsy. We investigated modifiable risk factors for a subsequent cancer diagnosis among men with an initially negative prostate biopsy.
METHODS
In total, 10,396 participants of the Health Professionals Follow-up Study with an initial negative prostate biopsy after 1994 were followed for incident prostate cancer until 2017. Potential risk factors were based on previous studies in the general population. Outcomes included localised, advanced, and lethal prostate cancer.
RESULTS
With 1851 prostate cancer cases (168 lethal) diagnosed over 23 years of follow-up, the 20-year risk of any prostate cancer diagnosis was 18.5% (95% CI: 17.7-19.3). Higher BMI and lower alcohol intake tended to be associated with lower rates of localised disease. Coffee, lycopene intake and statin use tended to be associated with lower rates of lethal prostate cancer. Results for other risk factors were less precise but compatible with and of similar direction as for men in the overall cohort.
CONCLUSIONS
Risk factors for future prostate cancer among men with a negative biopsy were generally consistent with those for the general population, supporting their validity given reduced detection bias, and could be actionable, if confirmed.
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