Mortality of Multiple Sclerosis in Spain: Demonstration of a North-South Gradient

Prevalence of multiple sclerosis in France in 2021: Data from the French health insurance database

BACKGROUND

France is among the countries with high prevalence of multiple sclerosis (MS). The most recent estimates are from 2012 and need to be updated because MS prevalence has increased worldwide.

OBJECTIVE

To estimate MS prevalence in France on December 31, 2021 and to describe the characteristics of the French MS population using data from the French national health insurance database (SNDS).

MATERIAL AND METHODS

Persons with MS (PwMS) were identified in the SNDS database (99% of national coverage) using an algorithm with three criteria: long-term disease status, hospitalizations, and MS-specific drug reimbursements. Crude and sex- and age-stratified prevalence rates were calculated with their 95% confidence intervals as well as the standardized prevalence stratified on the region of residence.

RESULTS

In total, 134,062 PwMS were identified (71.8% of women, median age 53.0±14.8years) yielding a prevalence of 197.6 per 100,000 (95% CI [196.5-198.7]). Prevalence rates in women and men were respectively 274.9 (95% CI [273.2-276.6]) and 115.2 (95% CI [114.0-116.4]). In metropolitan France, the highest prevalence rates were observed in the northeastern regions (e.g.>230 PwMS per 100,000 in Grand Est and Hauts-de-France), and the lowest rates in the southwestern regions (∼180 PwMS per 100,000 in Nouvelle-Aquitaine and Occitanie). Overall, 32.1% of PwMS had another long-term disease and 51.8% received at least one MS-specific drug in 2021.

CONCLUSION

MS prevalence in France has increased by ∼30% in the last 10years. This increase is probably linked to population ageing, longer survival of PwMS, and the long observation period. The part attributable to a possible increase in MS risk remains to be determined with incidence studies.

Use of geographical information systems in multiple sclerosis research: A systematic scoping review

INTRODUCTION

Geographical information system (GIS) and spatial analysis have an emerging role in the understanding and management of health-related outcomes. However, there is a knowledge gap about the extent to which GIS has supported multiple Sclerosis (MS) research. Therefore, this review aimed to explore the types of GIS applications and the complexity of their visualisation in MS research.

METHODS

A systematic scoping review was conducted based on York's five-stage framework. PubMed, Scopus and Web of Science were searched for relevant studies published between 2000 and 2020 using a comprehensive search strategy based on the main concepts related to GIS and MS. Grounded, inductive analysis was conducted to organize studies into meaningful application areas. Further, we developed a tool to assess the visualisation complexity of the selected papers.

RESULTS

Of 3,723 identified unique citations, 42 papers met our inclusion criteria for the final review. One or more of the following types of GIS applications were reported by these studies: (a) thematic mapping (37 papers); (b) spatial cluster detection (16 papers); (c) risk factors detection (16 papers); and (d) health access and planning (two papers). In the majority of studies (88%), the score of visualisation complexity was relatively low: three or less from the range of zero to six.

CONCLUSIONS

Although the number of studies using GIS techniques has dramatically increased in the last decade, the use of GIS in the areas of MS access and planning is still under-researched. Additionally, the capacity of GIS in visualising complex nature of MS care system is not yet fully investigated.

Mortality in multiple sclerosis: meta-analysis of standardised mortality ratios

OBJECTIVE

There are inconsistent data on mortality in people with multiple sclerosis (MS). We performed a meta-analysis of all-cause, cause-specific and gender-specific crude mortality rates (CMRs), and standardised mortality ratios (SMRs) in MS, and estimated the rate of change of CMR and SMR over the past 50 years.

METHODS

Medline, Embase and the Cochrane Library were searched.

KEYWORDS

'Multiple Sclerosis' and ('standardised mortality' or 'standardized mortality').

INCLUSION CRITERIA

availability of data on the number of deaths; mean or median patient follow-up or reports of SMRs; being a longitudinal study. 12 studies were included covering the period 1949-2012 (27 423 patients; 6628 deaths; 437 832 person-years follow-up). CMR was calculated. SMRs were extracted. CMRs and natural logarithm of SMRs were pooled by the method of the inverse of the variance. Meta-regression models were used to investigate the secular trends.

RESULTS

Pooled CMR was 9.78/1000 person-years (95% CI 6.81 to 14.02). Pooled all-cause SMR was 2.80 (95% CI 2.74 to 2.87). All-cause SMR was 2.56 (95% CI 2.47 to 2.66) in males and 3.06 (95% CI 2.97 to 3.17) in females. SMR due to cancer was 0.89 (95% CI 0.83 to 0.97). SMRs due to cardiovascular diseases, suicide, infection and respiratory diseases were 1.29 (95% CI 1.20 to 1.38), 2.13 (95% CI 1.80 to 2.51) and 2.91 (95% CI 2.60 to 3.26). There was no trend in CMRs, all-cause, and gender-specific SMRs.

CONCLUSIONS

The excess mortality in MS relative to the general population has not changed over the past 50 years. Female patients with MS have higher survival disadvantage compared to that of males. Death due to cardiovascular diseases, suicide and infection is higher in patients with MS compared to the general population.

Occupational exposure and risk of central nervous system demyelination

Inconsistent evidence exists regarding the association between work-related factors and risk of multiple sclerosis (MS). We examined the association between occupational exposures and risk of a first clinical diagnosis of central nervous system demyelination (FCD), which is strongly associated with progression to MS, in a matched case-control study of 276 FCD cases and 538 controls conducted in Australia (2003-2006). Using a personal residence and work calendar, information on occupational history and exposure to chemicals and animals was collected through face-to-face interviews. Few case-control differences were noted. Fewer cases had worked as professionals (≥6 years) than controls (adjusted odds ratio (AOR) = 0.60, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.37, 0.96). After further adjustment for number of children, cases were more likely to have ever been exposed to livestock than controls (AOR = 1.54, 95% CI: 1.03, 2.29). Among women, there was an increase in FCD risk associated with 10 or more years of exposure to livestock (AOR = 2.78, 95% CI: 1.22, 6.33) or 6 or more years of farming (AOR = 2.00, 95% CI: 1.23, 3.25; also adjusted for number of children). Similar findings were not evident among men. Thus, farming and exposure to livestock may be important factors in the development of FCD among women, with this finding further revealed after the confounding effect of parity or number of children is considered.

Vitamin D-gene interactions in multiple sclerosis

Vitamin D has been studied for over a century and its functions related to calcium homeostasis are well established. Over the last 30 years or so it has become increasingly clear that it has a wider role in physiology and, importantly, also in disease. Vitamin D deficiency has been linked to multiple sclerosis (MS); however the molecular mechanisms of this association were poorly understood. Recent technological advances have provided major insights as to how vitamin D may exert its role, particularly through the actions of the vitamin D receptor (VDR). In this review we aim to highlight the importance of the interaction between vitamin D and MS associated genes which provide a biological basis for the association between vitamin D and MS risk.

Vitamin D for the management of multiple sclerosis

BACKGROUND

Multiple sclerosis is a disease of the central nervous system characterized by demyelination of the nerve sheaths which can result in varying levels of disability. Disease occurrence and progression are considered by some to be associated with low serum levels of vitamin D. Studies investigating vitamin D supplementation in MS patients have illustrated a noticeable improvement in the course of the disease.

OBJECTIVES

To evaluate the safety and effectiveness of vitamin D in the management of multiple sclerosis.

SEARCH STRATEGY

We searched the Cochrane Multiple Sclerosis Group Trials Register comprising references identified from comprehensive electronic database searches and hand searches of relevant journals and abstract books of conferences.

SELECTION CRITERIA

Randomised and quasi-randomised controlled trials comparing vitamin D with placebo or any other treatment for the management of multiple sclerosis.

DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS

Two review authors selected trials for inclusion, assessed the risk of bias and extracted data independently. Disagreements were resolved by consensus. Trialists were contacted for clarification of study details.

MAIN RESULTS

We included a single trial (49 participants) conducted over 52 weeks, which treated 25 patients with escalating doses of vitamin D compared with control (24). The trial provided some evidence of the potential benefit of the intervention on several outcomes i.e. the annualised relapse rate; EDSS scores; suppression of T-cell proliferation and illustrated a measure of comparative safety in the relative absence of any adverse events or of high serum calcium levels over the study period. This was a low powered trial with a potential high risk of bias which may ultimately impose limits on the applicability of the available evidence to the MS population as a whole.

AUTHORS' CONCLUSIONS

The current level of evidence for the effectiveness of vitamin D supplementation in the management of people with MS is based on a single RCT with potential high risk of bias, which does not at present allow confident decision-making about the use of Vitamin D in MS. Therefore, until further high quality evidence is available, clinicians may wish to consider relevant MS guidelines on vitamin D supplementation when making decisions about the care of people with multiple sclerosis. Adequately powered, multi-centred RCTs with a focus on clinical as well as immunological and MRI outcomes that are meaningful to people with MS, and are able to provide insight into the benefits of Vitamin D in people with MS, are still required.

Latitudinal variation in incidence and type of first central nervous system demyelinating events

Increasing prevalence and variable geographic patterns of occurrence of multiple sclerosis suggest an environmental role in causation. There are few descriptive, population-level, data on whether such variability applies to first demyelinating events (FDEs). We recruited 216 adults (18-59 years), with a FDE between 1 November 2003 and 31 December 2006 in a multi-center incident case-control study in four locations on the south-eastern and eastern seaboard of Australia, spanning latitudes 27 degrees south to 43 degrees south. Population denominators were obtained from the Australian Bureau of Statistics censuses of 2001 and 2006. Age and sex adjusted FDE incidence rates increased by 9.55% (95% confidence interval (CI) 7.37-11.78, p < 0.001) per higher degree of latitude. The incidence rate gradient per higher degree of latitude varied by gender (male: 14.69% (95% CI 9.68-19.94, p < 0.001); female 8.13% (95% CI 5.69-10.62, p < 0.001)); and also by the presenting FDE type: optic neuritis 11.39% (95% CI 7.15-15.80, p < 0.001); brainstem/cerebellar syndrome 9.47% (95% CI 5.18-13.93, p < 0.001); and spinal cord syndrome 5.36% (95% CI 1.78-9.06, p = 0.003). Differences in incidence rate gradients were statistically significant between males and females (p = 0.02) and between optic neuritis and spinal cord syndrome (p = 0.04). The male to female ratio varied from 1 : 6.7 at 27 degrees south to 1 : 2.5 at 43 degrees south. The study establishes a positive latitudinal gradient of FDE incidence in Australia. The latitude-related factor(s) influences FDE incidence variably according to subtype and gender, with the strongest influence on optic neuritis presentations and for males. These descriptive case analyses show intriguing patterns that could be important for understanding the etiology of multiple sclerosis.

[Meteorological variables do not explain the North-South gradient in mortality from multiple sclerosis in Spain]

OBJECTIVES

To determine whether weather conditions explain the North-South gradient in multiple sclerosis (MS) mortality described in Spain.

METHODS

The age-adjusted MS mortality rate by Spanish provinces from 1975 to 1998 was correlated with several climatic variables.

RESULTS

MS mortality was negatively correlated with minimum, average and maximum temperatures, the mean number of hours of sunshine, and the mean number of sunny days. A positive correlation was found with the average amount of rain. Most correlations disappeared after adjusting by latitude. However, MS mortality was associated with latitude after adjusting by climatic factors.

CONCLUSIONS

The North-South gradient in MS mortality in Spain cannot be fully explained by weather differences. Therefore, other hypotheses are required to explain this association.

Environmental discontinuity hypothesis: Buffer dysfunctions as a source of human disease

Adaptive physiologic buffers enable organisms to respond to environmental variation with appropriate plasticity. Modern humans have substantially remodeled their environment such that many interactions with the environment have become relatively discontinuous functions compared to the past. Examples include sunlight, temperature, and altitude. We propose that environmental discontinuity represents a Darwinian maladaptation and may promote disease by inducing buffer dysfunctions. Skin pigmentation is an adaptive, dynamic buffer that normalizes sunlight exposure to balance the potential harm of damaging rays with the importance of sunlight in driving systemic biologic functions such as melatonin and vitamin D. Due to lifestyle characteristics such as indoor-outdoor living, well-intended sun-avoidance campaigns, and inhomogeneous use of apparel and sunblock techniques, modern humans increasingly experience sunlight variation as a discontinuous function. The resulting skin pigmentation buffer dysfunction may promote diseases associated with over- or under-exposure to sunlight, the most striking example being melanoma. In addition to promoting discontinuity of sunlight exposure, sun-avoidance campaigns may undermine sun-dependent biologic pathways such as melatonin and vitamin D that appear to protect against cancer. These issues may partly explain the rise in melanoma rates despite the implementation of sun-avoidance campaigns. Also discussed is the potential role that discontinuous temperature variation associated with modern lifestyles plays in diseases such as viral infection, heart failure, and acute coronary syndromes. Acute discontinuous changes in pressure and oxygen levels related to air travel may contribute to autonomic dysfunction, venous thromboembolism, and viral infections. Therapeutic implications are discussed.