Prediction of birth weight discordance in twin pregnancies by second- and third- trimester ultrasound

Investigation of the Association of Abdominal Circumference Discord-ance and Estimated Fetal Weight Discordance in Twins with Birth Weight Discordance

Background

Twin pregnancy is associated with a high risk of mortality and morbidity. It is necessary to estimate the weight difference of the fetuses with a reliable method to prevent possible complications. This study was conducted to compare the association between the Estimated fetal weight (EFW) discord-ance and the Abdominal Circumference (AC) discordance with birth weight in twins.

Methods

This was a descriptive-analytical and retrospective study. The statistical population was all twin pregnant mothers referred to Imam Khomeini Hospital in Ahvaz from 2017 to 2019. The sample size was determined with a census (540 people). Based on AC , the size of head circumference (HC), femur length (FL), and the Biparietal Diameter (BPD), EFW was calculated. Then the EFW Dis-cordance and AC Discordance were calculated and compared with the birth weight. Data were analyzed using SPSS18. Unpaired, Two-Tailed T-test and Pearson correlation test were used.

Results

The results showed that the mean discordance of fetal weight in twin pregnancies in the EFW method was 9.25%, in the AC method was 9.89% and finally, at birth, was 10.72%. The correla-tion of the weight difference between the two embryos in the AC method with the time of birth (r = 0.922 and P < 0.001) was higher than in the EFW method with the time of birth (r = 0.69 and P < 0.001) and finally, it was found that in detecting the discordance more than 20% and 25%, AC diagnostic power was good, but EFW was moderate.

Conclusion

Therefore, to evaluate the weight and weight difference in twin embryos, the AC method has the appropriate accuracy and compatibility. Another major prospective study to evaluate the diagnostic performance of AC and EFW mismatch based on gestational age at scan, incision point, and maternal and placental characteristics to determine true ultrasound diagnostic accuracy in predict-ing growth mismatch in twin pregnancy and optimal post-case management option is needed.

The accuracy of prenatal diagnosis of selective fetal growth restriction with second trimester Doppler ultrasound in monochorionic diamniotic twin pregnancies

BACKGROUND

Selective fetal restriction growth (sFGR) is one of the common diseases of monochorionic diamniotic (MCDA) twin pregnancies, resulting in many adverse outcomes. At present, second trimester ultrasonography is widely used in the prenatal diagnosis of sFGR, but the diagnostic effectiveness is still uncertain. The aim of this study is to assess the diagnostic accuracy of second trimester Doppler ultrasound measurements for sFGR.

METHODS

A retrospective study included 280 pregnant women (118 with and 162 without sFGR) with MCDA pregnancies was conducted in the fetal medicine center from Leiden University Medical Center from January 2008 to December 2013. The women participating had already undergone an ultrasound examination in the second trimester. The postnatal criteria of sFGR was a single birth weight (BW) < 3 rd percentile in a twin, or birth weight discordance (BWD)≥25% between two twins, while the BW of the smaller twin < 10th percentile. Early prenatal diagnosis of sFGR was defined as a single EFW < 3 rd percentile in a twin, or at least 2 of the following 4 parameters must be met (fetal weight of one fetus < 10th percentile, AC of one fetus <10th percentile, EFW discordance≥25%, UA pulsatility index (PI) of the smaller fetus > 95th percentile). According to the diagnosis of sFGR after birth, we evaluate diagnostic effectiveness of Doppler ultrasound in the second trimester for sFGR.

RESULTS

Of these 280 participants, the mean age was 32.06 ± 4.76 years. About 43.9% of pregnant women were primiparas. The ability of second trimester Doppler ultrasound to accurately diagnosed sFGR is 75.4%, missed diagnosis rate and the misdiagnosis rate were 24.6% and 10.5% respectively. The ROC curve indicated that the combination of AC discordance, EFW discordance, and small fetal UA blood flow was the best diagnostic indicator of sFGR in MCDA pregnancy with the AUC was 0.882 (95%CI, 0.839-0.926).

CONCLUSIONS

Second trimester Doppler and ultrasound measurements is an effective method for early prenatal diagnosis of sFGR. The combined indicator of AC discordance, EFW discordance, and the small fetal UA blood flow reaches highest diagnostic value.

Ultrasound for diagnosis of birth weight discordance in twin pregnancies

BACKGROUND

There is a need to standardize monitoring in obstetric research of twin pregnancies. Identification of birth weight discordance (BWD), defined as a difference in the birth weights of twins, is a well-documented phenomenon in twin pregnancies. Ultrasound for the diagnosis of BWD informs complex decision making including whether to intervene medically (via laser photo coagulation) or deliver the twins to avoid fetal morbidities or even death. The question is, how accurate is this measurement?

OBJECTIVES

To determine the diagnostic accuracy (sensitivity and specificity) of ultrasound estimated fetal weight discordance (EFWD) of 20% and 25% using different estimated biometric ultrasound measurements compared with the actual BWD as the reference standard in twin pregnancies.

SEARCH METHODS

The search for this review was performed on 15 March 2019. We searched CENTRAL, MEDLINE (Ovid), Embase (Ovid), seven other databases, conference proceedings, reference lists and contacted experts. There were no language or date restrictions applied to the electronic searches, and no methodological filters to maximize sensitivity.

SELECTION CRITERIA

We selected cohort-type studies with delayed verification that evaluated the accuracy of biometric measurements at ultrasound scanning of twin pregnancies that had been proposed for the diagnosis of estimated BWD, compared to BWD measurements after birth as a reference standard. In addition, we only selected studies that considered twin pregnancies and applied a reference standard for EFWD for the target condition of BWD.

DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS

We screened all titles generated by electronic database searches. Two review authors independently assessed the abstracts of all potentially relevant studies. We assessed the identified full papers for eligibility, and extracted data to create 2 × 2 tables. Two review authors independently performed quality assessment using the QUADAS-2 tool. We excluded studies that did not report data in sufficient detail to construct 2 × 2 tables, and where this information was not available from the primary investigators. We assessed the certainty of the evidence using the GRADE approach.

MAIN RESULTS

We included 39 eligible studies with a median study sample size of 140. In terms of risk of bias, there were many unclear statements regarding patient selection, index test and use of proper reference standard. Twenty-one studies (53%) were of methodological concern due to flow and timing. In terms of applicability, most studies were of low concern. Ultrasound for diagnosis of BWD in twin pregnancies at 20% cut-off Twenty-two studies provided data for a BWD of 20% and the summary estimate of sensitivity was 0.51 (95% CI 0.42 to 0.60), and the summary estimate of specificity was 0.91 (95% CI 0.89 to 0.93) (8005 twin pregnancies; very low-certainty evidence). Ultrasound for diagnosis of BWD in twin pregnancies at 25% cut-off Eighteen studies provided data using a BWD discordance of 25%. The summary estimate of sensitivity was 0.46 (95% CI 0.26 to 0.66), and the summary estimate of specificity was 0.93 (95% CI 0.89 to 0.96) (6471 twin pregnancies; very low-certainty evidence). Subgroup analyses were possible for both BWD of 20% and 25%. The diagnostic accuracy did not differ substantially between estimation by abdominal circumference and femur length but femur length had a trend towards higher sensitivity and specificity. Subgroup analyses were not possible by sex of twins, chorionicity or gestational age due to insufficient data.

AUTHORS' CONCLUSIONS

Very low-certainty evidence suggests that EFWD identified by ultrasound has low sensitivity but good specificity in detecting BWD in twin pregnancies. There is uncertain diagnostic value of EFWD; this review suggests there is insufficient evidence to support this index as the sole measure for clinical decision making to evaluate the prognosis of twins with growth discordance. The diagnostic accuracy of other measures including amniotic fluid index and umbilical artery Doppler resistive indices in combination with ultrasound for clinical intervention requires evaluation. Future well-designed studies could also evaluate the impact of chorionicity, sex and gestational age in the diagnostic accuracy of ultrasound for EFWD.

Placental T2* estimated by magnetic resonance imaging and fetal weight estimated by ultrasound in the prediction of birthweight differences in dichorionic twin pairs

INTRODUCTION

Intertwin birthweight (BW) difference is associated with an increased risk of adverse outcome. Ultrasound estimated fetal weight (EFW) is the current method to predict intertwin BW difference, however, the sensitivity is poor. Therefore, new methods are needed. Placental T2* estimated by magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) provides non-invasive information about the placental function. This study aimed to investigate placental T2* difference as a new predictor of BW difference, and to compare it to the EFW.

METHODS

We included 25 dichorionic twin pairs at 19-38 weeks' gestation. Placental T2* was obtained by MRI and EFW by ultrasound. Correlations between each predictor and BW difference were examined by simple linear regression, and the combined model was analyzed by multiple linear regression and likelihood ratio test.

RESULTS

Strong positive correlations were demonstrated between intertwin differences in placental T2* and BW (r = 0.80, p < 0.005), and EFW and BW (r = 0.64, p < 0.005). Placental T2* difference was a strong independent predictor of BW difference (p < 0.001), and the combined model performed better than each predictor alone (p < 0.0001).

DISCUSSION

This pilot study demonstrates that placental T2* difference may be a predictor of intertwin BW difference irrespectively of fetal size. The clinical potential of this method deserves further investigation in a larger clinical study.

The value of ultrasound in predicting isolated inter-twin discordance and adverse perinatal outcomes

PURPOSE

To investigate the value of ultrasound approaching delivery to predict isolated inter-twin discordance and adverse perinatal outcomes.

METHODS

We retrospectively included twin pregnancies with sonography approaching delivery in ten maternal-foetal medicine centres in China from 2013 to 2014. Estimated foetal weight (EFW) and inter-twin EFW disparity (EFWD) were calculated based on biometry parameters. Percentage errors between EFW and actual birthweight or between EFWD and actual inter-twin disparity were calculated. ROC curves and multiple logistic regression were applied to evaluate the ability of EFWD to predict inter-twin disparity ≥ 25%, stillbirth, asphyxia and admission to a neonatal intensive unit (NICU). Chorionicity-stratified analysis was further performed.

RESULTS

Two hundred sixty-six monochorionic and 760 dichorionic twin pregnancies were analysed. The percentage errors in foetal weight estimations were 7-13%, whereas percentage errors in the estimation of inter-twin disparity were nearly 100%. Among eight formulas, Hadlock1 performed best, with a detectable rate of 65% and a false positive rate of 5% when predicting inter-twin disparity ≥ 25%. EFWD ≥ 22% was strongly associated with stillbirth (OR = 4.17, 95% CI 1.40-12.40) and NICU admission (OR = 3.48, 95% CI 2.03-5.97) after adjustment for gestational age, parity and abnormal umbilical systolic/diastolic ratio. Ultrasound had better predictive ability in monochorionic twins.

CONCLUSION

The predictive value of ultrasound for isolated inter-twin discordance and adverse perinatal outcomes was limited, which was possibly due to the magnifying of systematic errors in the disparity estimation compared with weight estimation. Despite this, abnormal biometry was an independent contributor for the poor prognosis of neonates.

Birth-weight discordance and neonatal morbidity in twin pregnancy: analysis of STORK multiple pregnancy cohort

OBJECTIVES

To investigate the relationship between weight discordance and neonatal morbidity in twin pregnancy progressing to at least 34 weeks of gestation. The secondary aim was to determine the predictive accuracy of different weight discordance cut-offs in predicting neonatal morbidity in twin pregnancy.

METHODS

This was a retrospective multicenter cohort study of all twin pregnancies booked for antenatal care at four hospitals in the Southwest Thames region of London Obstetric Research Collaborative (STORK) over a period of 10 years. Ultrasound data were obtained by a search of each hospital's obstetric ultrasound computer database, while outcome details were obtained from the computerized maternity and neonatal records. The primary outcome was incidence of composite neonatal morbidity in twin pregnancy with birth-weight discordance. Logistic regression was used to identify and adjust for potential confounders, while a receiver-operating characteristics (ROC) curve was used to determine predictive accuracy.

RESULTS

Nine hundred and thirty-nine twin pregnancies (760 dichorionic, 179 monochorionic) were included. Gestational age at birth and birth-weight decile were significantly lower in pregnancies complicated by neonatal morbidity compared with those which were not (P < 0.001 for both). On multivariable logistic regression analysis, gestational age at birth (P < 0.001), birth-weight decile (P = 0.029) and birth-weight discordance (P = 0.019), but not chorionicity (P = 0.477) or presence of at least one small-for-gestational-age (SGA) twin (P = 0.245), were associated independently with the risk of neonatal morbidity. There was a progressive increase in the risk of neonatal morbidity with increasing birth-weight discordance. Despite this association, birth-weight discordance showed an overall poor predictive accuracy for neonatal morbidity, with an area under the ROC curve of 0.58 (95% CI, 0.53-0.63) with an optimal cut-off of 17.6%, showing sensitivity and specificity of 35.2% (95% CI, 27.8-43.2%) and 83.2% (95% CI, 80.4-85.8%), respectively.

CONCLUSION

Intertwin birth-weight discordance is associated independently with the risk of neonatal morbidity in twins born after 34 weeks' gestation, irrespective of chorionicity or diagnosis of SGA in either twin. However, its predictive accuracy for neonatal morbidity is poor. Copyright © 2017 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.

Diagnostic accuracy of ultrasound in predicting birth-weight discordance in twin pregnancy: systematic review and meta-analysis

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the diagnostic performance of ultrasound in predicting birth-weight (BW) discordance in twin pregnancy.

METHODS

Electronic databases PubMed, EMBASE and CINAHL were searched using combinations of MeSH terms 'birth weight', 'discordance', 'twins' and 'ultrasound'. Summary estimates of sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative likelihood ratios and diagnostic odds ratios for the predictive accuracy of sonographically estimated fetal-weight (EFW) discordance and abdominal-circumference (AC) discordance in predicting BW discordance were computed using hierarchical summary receiver-operating characteristics curves.

RESULTS

Twenty studies (including 5826 twin pregnancies) were included. EFW discordance ≥ 20% had a sensitivity of 65.4% and specificity of 90.8% in predicting BW discordance ≥ 20%. The predictive performance of ultrasound performed within 1 month, 2 weeks and 3 days before birth was 61.4%, 72.3% and 78.9%, respectively. EFW discordance ≥ 25% had a sensitivity of 57.7% and specificity of 95.2% in predicting BW discordance ≥ 25%. The sensitivity of EFW discordance ≥ 25% detected within 1 month, 2 weeks and 3 days before birth was 60.0%, 75.0% and 60.3%, respectively, while the corresponding values for specificity were 97.7%, 96.2% and 87.3%, respectively. In view of the different cut-offs reported among studies, it was not possible to perform comprehensive data synthesis for each AC discordance cut-off. The optimal diagnostic performance of AC discordance was for prediction of BW discordance ≥ 25%, with a sensitivity of 70.8% and specificity of 86.4%.

CONCLUSION

Ultrasound EFW discordance has an overall moderate accuracy in predicting BW discordance in twin pregnancy. Copyright © 2016 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.

Prediction of birth weight discordance from fetal weight estimations at 21-24 weeks' scans in monochorionic and dichorionic twins

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate if inter-twin estimated fetal weight (EFW) differences at 21-24 weeks' scans predict birth weight discordance in monochorionic and dichorionic twins born at three gestational age periods.

METHODS

We counted the number of pairs with discordant EFWs (EFWs greater than the mean + 1SD; i.e. a difference above 12% in dichorionic and 21% in monochorionic twins) derived during a 21-24 weeks' scan as compared to actual discordant birth weight (>25%) in monochorionic and dichorionic pairs born at ≤32, 33-36 and >36 weeks.

RESULTS

We studied 416 dichorionic and 244 monochorionic twins. The frequency of EFWs discordance at 21-24 weeks was the same for dichorionic and monochorionic twins but the total number of birth weight discordant pairs was significantly smaller among dichorionic twins (OR 0.2, 95% CI 0.1, 0.6). Generally, the positive predictive values for birth weight discordance by using the EFWs difference were quite poor, but always better in monochorionic than in dichorionic twins. Whereas the negative predictive value and hence the sensitivity for monochorionic twins was 100% irrespective of gestational age at birth, it was much lower in the dichorionic pairs.

CONCLUSION

Concordant EFWs at 21-24 weeks exclude discordant birth weight in monochorionic twins whereas discordant EFWs are poor predictors of birth weight discordance especially in dichorionic twins irrespective when the twins were born.

Discordance in fetal biometry and Doppler are independent predictors of the risk of perinatal loss in twin pregnancies

OBJECTIVE

Impaired fetal growth might be better evaluated in twin pregnancies by assessing the intertwin discordance rather than the individual fetal size. The aim of this study was to investigate the prediction of perinatal loss in twin pregnancy using discordance in fetal biometry and Doppler.

STUDY DESIGN

This was a retrospective cohort study in a tertiary referral center. The estimated fetal weight (EFW), umbilical artery (UA) pulsatility index (PI), middle cerebral artery (MCA) PI, cerebroplacental ratio (CPR), and their discordance recorded at the last ultrasound assessment before delivery or demise of one or both fetuses were converted into centiles or multiples of the median (MoM). The discordance was calculated as the larger value-smaller value/larger value. A logistic regression analysis was performed to identify, and adjust for, potential confounders. The predictive accuracy was assessed using receiver-operating characteristic curve analysis.

RESULTS

The analysis included 620 (464 dichorionic diamniotic and 156 monochorionic diamniotic) twin pregnancies (1240 fetuses). Perinatal loss of one or both fetuses complicated 16 pregnancies (2.6%). The combination of EFW discordance and CPR discordance had the best predictive performance (area under the curve, 0.96; 95% confidence interval, 0.92-1.00) for perinatal mortality. The detection rate, false-positive rate, positive likelihood ratio, and negative likelihood ratio were 87.5%, 6.7%, 13.08, and 0.13, respectively. The EFW centile, EFW below the 10th centile (small for gestational age), UA PI discordance, MCA PI discordance, and MCA PI MoM were significantly associated with the risk of perinatal loss on univariate analysis, but these associations became nonsignificant after adjusting for other confounders (P = .097, P = .090, P = .687, P = .360, and P = .074, respectively). The UA PI MoM, CPR MoM, EFW discordance, and CPR discordance were all independent predictors of the risk of perinatal loss, even after adjusting for potential confounders (P = .022, P = .002, P < .001, and P = .010, respectively).

CONCLUSION

EFW discordance and CPR discordance are independent predictors of the risk of perinatal loss in twin pregnancies. Their combination could identify the majority of twin pregnancies at risk of perinatal loss. These findings highlight the importance of discordance in Doppler indices of fetal hypoxia, as well as fetal size, in assessing the risk of perinatal mortality.

Accuracy of Predicting Fetal Loss in Twin Pregnancies Using Gestational Age-Dependent Weight Discordance Cut-Offs: Analysis of the STORK Multiple Pregnancy Cohort

Objectives: A third-trimester fetal weight discordance of 25% has been proposed as an independent predictor of fetal loss in twin pregnancies. As fetal weight gain at this stage of pregnancy increases exponentially, it is not entirely certain whether a single cut-off for inter-twin weight discordance is appropriate. The aim of this study was to investigate whether a single weight discordance cut-off can be used or whether different cut-offs should be adopted according to the gestational age at assessment. Methods: This was a retrospective study of all twin pregnancies of known chorionicity from a large regional cohort over a 10-year period. Receiver operating characteristic curve and logistic regression analyses were used to explore the relation between estimated fetal weight (EFW) discordance detected within 4 weeks from the occurrence of the outcome and single fetal loss at different gestational age windows. Results: 957 twin pregnancies (173 monochorionic and 784 dichorionic) were included in the analysis. EFW discordance was independently associated with the occurrence of single fetal loss in twin pregnancies in each gestational age window. Ultrasound EFW discordance had an area under the curve of 0.77 (95% CI: 0.67-0.87) for the prediction of single fetal loss in the third trimester of pregnancy, with an optimal cut-off of around 25% (23.2%). The optimal cut-offs of EFW discordance for the prediction of single fetal loss were different in each gestational age window. Conclusion: The accuracy of EFW discordance in predicting single fetal loss in twin pregnancies varies during the third trimester of pregnancy. The degree of fetal weight discordance associated with fetal loss decreases during the third trimester, suggesting that the weight discordance threshold for intervention should vary according to gestational age.

Second-trimester discordance and adverse perinatal outcome in twins: the STORK multiple pregnancy cohort

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this study was to determine the association between biometry discordance at the time of the anomaly scan and adverse perinatal outcomes in twin pregnancies.

DESIGN

Retrospective cohort study.

SETTING

Nine hospitals in the Southwest Thames Region of London Obstetric Research Collaborative (STORK).

POPULATION OR SAMPLE

Population multicentre retrospective study of all twin pregnancies booked for antenatal care in nine hospitals over a period of 10 years. Methods Logistic regression and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analyses were performed to evaluate the association between abdominal circumference (AC) and estimated fetal weight (EFW) discordance, recorded between 20 and 22 weeks of gestation, and adverse pregnancy outcomes.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Stillbirth, neonatal mortality, preterm birth (PTB) at <34 weeks of gestation, and birthweight (BW) discordance ≥25%.

RESULTS

A total of 2399 twin pregnancies [457 monochorionic (MC) and 1942 dichorionic (DC)] were included in the study. The predictive accuracy of the EFW discordance was poor for fetal loss after 22 weeks of gestation (area under the curve, AUC 0.54, 95% CI 0.46-0.64), fetal loss beyond 28 weeks of gestation (AUC 0.42, 95% CI 0.31-0.52), perinatal loss (AUC 0.51, 95% CI 0.44-0.57), BW discordance (AUC 0.63, 95% CI 0.56-0.65), and PTB before 34 weeks of gestation (AUC 0.52, 95% CI 0.49-0.55). There was no significant difference in the prediction of these outcomes when using EFW discordance or AC discordance.

CONCLUSIONS

Once structural malformations, chromosomal abnormalities, and twin-to-twin transfusion syndrome have been excluded, second-trimester EFW and AC discordance have poor predictive value for adverse perinatal outcomes in twin pregnancy.

Weight discordance and perinatal mortality in twins: analysis of the Southwest Thames Obstetric Research Collaborative (STORK) multiple pregnancy cohort

OBJECTIVES

The degree of actual intertwin birth weight (BW) or ultrasound estimated fetal weight (EFW) discordance that justifies elective delivery is yet to be established. The main aim of this study was to ascertain the performance of BW and ultrasound EFW discordance in the prediction of perinatal loss in twin pregnancies.

METHODS

This was a retrospective study of all twin pregnancy births from a large regional cohort of nine hospitals over a 10-year period. Intertwin BW and ultrasound EFW discordance were analyzed in relation to the occurrence of stillbirth or neonatal death of one or both twins from 26 weeks' gestation as obtained from a mandatory national register. Receiver-operating characteristics (ROC), survival and logistic regression analyses were performed to evaluate the contribution of weight discordance in determining perinatal loss.

RESULTS

A total of 2161 twin pregnancies were included in the analysis. The area under the ROC curve for the prediction of perinatal loss was similar for BW and ultrasound EFW discordance (P = 0.62). Kaplan-Meier analysis showed that twins with BW or EFW of ≥ 25% discordance had a significantly lower survival trend than did those with lesser degrees of discordance (P < 0.001). The hazard ratios for the risk of total perinatal loss in twins with a BW or EFW discordance of ≥ 25% were 7.29 (95% CI, 4.37-12.00) and 7.28 (95% CI, 4.46-11.92), respectively. Logistic regression analysis demonstrated that BW discordance and gestational age, but not chorionicity or individual fetal size percentile, were independently associated with perinatal mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

An EFW discordance of ≥ 25% represents the optimal cut-off for the prediction of stillbirth and neonatal mortality irrespective of chorionicity or individual fetal size. A policy of increased fetal surveillance commencing from 26 weeks' gestation might be reasonable for pregnancies beyond this cut-off, but this would require confirmation in large-scale prospective trials.