Comparison of Prasugrel and Clopidogrel in Thrombotic Stroke Patients with Risk Factors for Ischemic Stroke Recurrence: An Integrated Analysis of PRASTRO-I, PRASTRO-II, and PRASTRO-III

INTRODUCTION

Patients with stroke are at a high risk of recurrence, and although they receive antiplatelet therapies such as clopidogrel for secondary prevention of non-cardioembolic stroke, the recurrence rate remains high. Three phase 3 trials (PRASTRO-I/II/III) were conducted to determine the efficacy of prasugrel in preventing recurrent stroke. Here, we performed an integrated analysis of these studies to confirm the generalizability of the PRASTRO-III findings and to supplement the small sample size of the study.

METHODS

Patients from PRASTRO-I, PRASTRO-II, and PRASTRO-III with ischemic stroke (large-artery atherosclerosis or small-artery occlusion) and at least one of the following were included: hypertension, dyslipidemia, diabetes mellitus, chronic kidney disease, or ischemic stroke history. The primary efficacy endpoint was the composite incidence of ischemic stroke, myocardial infarction (MI), and death from other vascular causes in the intention-to-treat population. Bleeding events (life-threatening bleeding, major bleeding, and clinically relevant bleeding) were evaluated as the primary safety endpoint. Cumulative incidences and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated for the study outcomes using the Kaplan-Meier method. Hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% CIs were calculated using the Cox regression model.

RESULTS

The data of 2,184, 274, and 230 patients from PRASTRO-I, PRASTRO-II, and PRASTRO-III, respectively, were analyzed (N = 2,688; prasugrel, N = 1,337; clopidogrel, N = 1,351). Stroke at enrollment was classified as large-artery atherosclerosis in 49.3% of patients and small-artery occlusion in 50.7% of patients. The primary efficacy endpoint composite incidence (prasugrel vs. clopidogrel) was 3.4% versus 4.3% (HR: 0.771, 95% CI: 0.522-1.138). The incidence of each component of the primary efficacy endpoint for prasugrel versus clopidogrel was 3.1% (n = 41) versus 4.1% (n = 55) for ischemic stroke, 0.3% (n = 4) versus 0.2% (n = 3) for MI, and no events of death from other vascular causes. For the primary safety endpoint, bleeding events were reported in 6.0% of patients in the prasugrel group versus 5.5% of patients in the clopidogrel group (HR: 1.074, 95% CI: 0.783-1.473).

CONCLUSIONS

This integrated analysis supports the findings of PRASTRO-III. Prasugrel is a promising treatment that results in a numerical reduction in the composite incidence of ischemic stroke, MI, and death from other vascular causes in patients with ischemic stroke who are at a high risk of stroke recurrence. No major safety issues were observed for prasugrel.

Stroke Recurrence among Stroke Patients Referred for Driving Assessment and Rehabilitation: A Cohort Study

Returning to driving is one of the priorities for stroke survivors. However, the fear of the risk of recurrent stroke has led to concern about allowing driving post-stroke. This study was performed to study the impact of various vascular risk factors on stroke recurrence among drivers referred to our national referral center for Driving Assessment and Rehabilitation Program (DARP). Medical records of subjects who were diagnosed to have a stroke and were referred to DARP were retrospectively reviewed. Data on demographics (age and gender) and vascular risk factors (hypertension-HT, diabetes mellitus-DM, hyperlipidemia-HL, cigarette smoking-SM, previous stroke-PS, and heart disease-HD) were collected. Subjects were contacted and records scrutinized for a report of recurrent stroke. A total of 133 subjects were recruited, median 54 years (range 20-77 years), 95.5% male, 59.4% had HT, 32.3% DM, 65.4% HL, 43.6% SM, 3.8% PS, and 8.3% HD. Over a median follow-up of 30 months (range 1-78 months), the recurrence rate of stroke was 11.3%, 3.69/100 patient-years. On uni-variable analysis, the risk of stroke recurrence rose with age (HR 1.08, 95%CI 1.02-1.15, p = 0.01) and heart disease (HR 5.77, 95%CI 1.46-22.83, p = 0.01). On multivariable analysis, only age remained significant (HR 1.07, 95%CI 1.00-1.13, p = 0.045). Among those aged > 60 years, the HR was 3.88 (95%CI 1.35-11.20, p = 0.012). The risk of stroke recurrence is higher among older drivers and is not influenced by other vascular factors.

Day-by-Day Blood Pressure Variability in the Subacute Stage of Ischemic Stroke and Long-Term Recurrence

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

This study aimed to determine whether variability of day-by-day blood pressure (BP) during the subacute stage of acute ischemic stroke is predictive of long-term stroke recurrence.

METHODS

We analyzed 7665 patients (mean±SD age: 72.9±13.1 years; women: 42.4%) hospitalized for first-ever ischemic stroke in 7 stroke centers in Fukuoka, Japan, from June 2007 to November 2018. BP was measured daily during the subacute stage (4-10 days after onset). Its mean and coefficient of variation (CV) values were calculated and divided into 4 groups according to the quartiles of these BP parameters. Patients were prospectively followed up for recurrent stroke or all-cause death. The cumulative event rate was calculated with the Kaplan-Meier method. We estimated the hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals of the events of interest after adjusting for potential confounders and mean BP values using Cox proportional hazards models. The Fine-Gray model was also used to account for the competing risk of death.

RESULTS

With a mean (±SD) follow-up duration of 3.9±3.2 years, the rates of recurrent stroke and all-cause death were 3.9 and 9.9 per 100 patient-years, respectively. The cumulative event rates of recurrent stroke and all-cause death increased with increasing CVs of systolic BP and diastolic BP. The systolic BP CV was significantly associated with an increased risk of recurrent stroke after adjusting for multiple confounders and mean BP (hazard ratio [95% CI] for fourth quartile versus first quartile, 1.26 [1.05-1.50]); the risk of recurrent stroke also increased with an increasing systolic BP CV for nonfatal strokes (1.26 [1.05-1.51]) and when death was regarded as a competing risk (1.21 [1.02-1.45]). Similar associations were observed for the diastolic BP CV.

CONCLUSIONS

Day-by-day variability of BP during the subacute stage of acute ischemic stroke was associated with an increased long-term risk of recurrent stroke.

The CD14 gene -159C/T polymorphism and the risk of ischemic stroke: a meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

To investigate the association between the CD14 -159C/T polymorphism and ischemic stroke (IS).

METHODS

Relevant literature was searched by retrieving EMBASE, Web of Science, Chinese National Knowledge Infrastructure, and PubMed databases. R version 3.33 software was applied to calculate pooled odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs).

RESULTS

Seven qualified studies with a total of 2058 IS patients and 2123 controls were included. There was no significant association between the CD14 -159C/T polymorphism and IS risk in the total population (TT vs CC: OR = 0.84, 95% CI = 0.58-1.20; CT vs CC: OR = 0.96, 95% CI = 0.82-1.12; dominant model: OR = 1.02, 95% CI = 0.80-1.30; recessive model: OR = 0.82, 95% CI = 0.57-1.19). Similarly, subgroup analysis according to ethnicity and Hardy-Weinberg equilibrium also found no significant interrelation.

CONCLUSION

Our findings suggest that the CD14 -159C/T polymorphism does not contribute to the risk of IS. Well-designed studies with more subjects are required to further validate these results.

Essen Risk Score in Prediction of Myocardial Infarction After Transient Ischemic Attack or Ischemic Stroke Without Prior Coronary Artery Disease

Background and Purpose- More intensive secondary prevention with newer drugs may be cost-effective in patients with coronary artery disease (CAD). Whether some subgroups of patients who had a transient ischemic attack (TIA) or ischemic stroke, but no prior CAD are at similar high risk of myocardial infarction as those with prior CAD remains unclear. We determined whether the Essen score identified a subset of TIA/stroke patients without known prior CAD who, nevertheless, had a high risk of myocardial infarction on current secondary prevention management. Methods- In a population-based cohort (Oxford Vascular Study) of consecutive TIA or ischemic stroke patients recruited from 2002 to 2014, 10-year actuarial risks of myocardial infarction and of recurrent ischemic stroke were determined by face-to-face follow-up in patients with and without prior CAD using Kaplan-Meier analyses. Predictive value of the Essen score was assessed with C statistic. Results- Of 2555 patients with TIA/stroke (13 070 patient-years of follow-up), 10-year risk of myocardial infarction in those without prior CAD (n=2017, 78.9%) ranged from 0.9% (95% CI, 0-1.9) at Essen score ≤1 to 29.8% (95% CI, 7.7-46.6) in those with a score ≥5 (C statistic =0.64 [95% CI, 0.57-0.71]; P<0.001). The score tended to be less predictive (difference: P=0.0460) for the risk of recurrent ischemic stroke (C statistic =0.57 [95% CI, 0.54-0.60]). Compared with patients with prior CAD (n=538, 21.1%), an Essen risk score of ≥4 (n=294, 11.5%) in those without prior CAD identified a subgroup at similar high 10-year risks of myocardial infarction (17.2% [95% CI, 6.9-26.3] versus 16.9% [95% CI, 11.5-22.0]) and of recurrent stroke (40.4% [95% CI, 26.7-51.6] versus 32.4% [95% CI, 25.2-38.8]). Conclusions- The Essen score is a simple clinical score to risk-stratify patients with TIA/stroke without prior CAD and to identify subsets who may be at sufficiently high risk of myocardial infarction and recurrent stroke to justify more intensive treatment or inclusion in trials.

Association of CYP2J2 gene polymorphisms with ischemic stroke and stroke subtypes in Chinese population

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Ischemic stroke (IS) is the main cause of mortality and disability among the old people in China and is a multifactorial disease influenced by many factors including genetic factors like the allele for CYP 2J2. It has been demonstrated that CYP2J2 polymorphisms alter the transcriptional activity. However, studies on the association between CYP2J2-50G/T polymorphism and IS have reported conflicting results. Thus, our study aimed to examine the association between 4 variants in the CYP2J2 gene and the risk of IS and its subtypes, in the Chinese population.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

In this study, genotyping was performed by using polymerase chain reaction (PCR) sequencing for 202 IS patients and 206 age- and sex-matched controls. Odds ratios (ORs) and confidence interval (CI) were estimated by multivariate logistic regression and PCR results were confirmed by DNA sequencing. A meta-analysis was conducted to evaluate the association of CYP2J2-50G>T polymorphism with the risk of IS in Chinese population by calculating pooled OR.

RESULTS

We found this polymorphism was significantly associated with IS (17.82% vs. 10.68%, P = 0.039). Multiple logistic regression analysis revealed that GT genotype was associated with a significantly high risk of IS (OR = 2.32, 95% CI: 1.21-4.45, P = 0. 011) after adjustment for other confounding factors such as hypertension, diabetes, heart disease, smoking habit, family history, triglyceride and low-density lipoprotein levels. We also found a significant association of GT genotype with small artery occlusion (SAA) (P < 0.05; OR = 2.22; 95% CI: 1.043-4.72). Meta-analysis results also showed that the GT genotype carriers had a negative effect on the risk of IS in Chinese population with overall OR of 1.40 (95% CI: 1.06-1.84).

CONCLUSION

The findings of the present study suggested that polymorphism in -50G/T position of CYP2J2 gene might be a risk factor for IS in Chinese population. Further large prospective studies were required to confirm these findings.

Kidney Dysfunction Increases Mortality and Incident Events after Young Stroke: The FUTURE Study

Background: In about 30% of young stroke patients, no cause can be identified. In elderly patients, kidney dysfunction has been suggested as a contributing risk factor for mortality as well as stroke. There are hypotheses that novel non-traditional risk factors, like chronic inflammation and oxidative stress, are involved in chronic kidney disease, affecting the cerebral microvasculature that would in turn lead to stroke. Our objective is to investigate the influence of kidney dysfunction on long-term mortality and incident vascular events after stroke in young adults aged 18 through 50 and if this relationship would be independent of other cardiovascular risk factors. Methods: We prospectively included 460 young stroke patients with an ischemic stroke or transient ischemic attack admitted to our department between January 1, 1980 and November 1, 2010. Follow-up was done between 2014 and 2015. Estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) was calculated from baseline creatinine levels and was divided in 3 subgroups: eGFR <60, 60-120 and >120 ml/min/1.73 m2. Cox proportional hazard models were used to determine the effect of kidney dysfunction on mortality and incident vascular events, adjusting for cardiovascular risk factors. Results: An eGFR <60 (HR 4.6; 95% CI 2.6-8.2) was associated with an increased risk of death and an increased risk of incident stroke (HR 4.1; 95% CI 1.9-9.0) independent of cardiovascular risk factors, but it was not associated with other vascular events. The point estimate for the 15-year cumulative mortality was 70% (95% CI 46-94) for patients with a low eGFR, 24% (95% CI 18-30) for patients with a normal eGFR and 30% (95% CI 12-48) for patients with a high eGFR. The point estimate for the 15-year cumulative risk of incident stroke was 45% (95% CI 16-74) for patients with a low eGFR, 13% (95% CI 9-17) for patients with a normal eGFR and 8% (95% CI 0-18) for patients with a high eGFR. Conclusions: Kidney dysfunction is related to long-term mortality and stroke recurrence, but not to incident cardiovascular disease, on average 11 years after young stroke. This warrants a more intensive follow-up of young stroke patients with signs of kidney dysfunction in the early phase. In addition, the clear association between kidney dysfunction and incident stroke seen in our young stroke population might be a first step in the recognition of kidney dysfunction as a new risk factor for the development of stroke at young age. Also, it can lead to new insights in the etiological differences between cardiovascular and cerebrovascular disease.

Impact of 5A/6A polymorphism of matrix metalloproteinase-3 on recurrent atherosclerotic ischemic stroke in Chinese

Little is known about the impact of the 5A/6A polymorphism of matrix metalloproteinase-3 (MMP-3) on recurrence of atherosclerotic ischemic stroke in Chinese. The aim of this study was to investigate the association of MMP-3 serum level and 5A/6A genetic polymorphism with the recurrence of atherosclerotic ischemic stroke in the Chinese Han population. We analyzed 106 large artery atherosclerosis (LAA) recurrent ischemic stroke patients and 545 LAA first onset ischemic stroke patients from January 2009 to June 2014. Serum MMP-3 concentrations were measured with an enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay. The genotypes of MMP-3 promoter polymorphism (-1171 5A/6A) were determined using polymerase chain reaction-restriction fragment length polymorphism. The frequencies of MMP-3 5A/6A+5A/5A (32.08% vs. 21.47%, p = 0.02) genotype and 5A (16.98% vs. 11.01%, p = 0.01) allele in the recurrent group was significantly higher than those in the first onset group. After adjustment for vascular risk factors, multivariate logistic regression analysis suggested that the MMP-3 5A/6A+5A/5A genotype was an independent risk factor for LAA recurrent ischemic stroke (odds ratio [OR], 1.74; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.09-2.79, p = 0.021). No significant difference was observed for the MMP-3 serum concentrations between the recurrent group and the first onset group (22.23 ± 8.31 vs. 21.49 ± 7.89 ng/ul, t = 0.88, p = 0.38). The MMP-3 (-1171 5A/6A) polymorphism may contribute to LAA recurrent ischemic stroke susceptibility. Analysis of 5A/6A polymorphism in MMP-3 may identify patients at higher risk for LAA ischemic stroke recurrence, who may be selected for intensive preventive therapy.

Correlates of former smoking in patients with cerebrovascular disease: a cross-sectional study

OBJECTIVE

To identify multilevel correlates of former smoking in patients with cerebrovascular disease.

DESIGN

Secondary data analysis of the Canadian Community Health Survey.

METHODS

We used data from the 2007-2008 Canadian Community Health Survey (CCHS). Smoking status (former smoking vs smoker) was described by multilevel correlates of former smoking. A multilevel approach for variable selection for this study was used to understand how multiple levels in society can have an impact on former smoking. The study sample was selected from those respondents of the CCHS that reported they suffered from stroke symptoms. Logistic regression was used to predict former smoking in patients with cerebrovascular disease while controlling for multilevel confounders. Proportions were weighted to reflect the Canadian population.

RESULTS

There were 172 355 respondents who reported to suffer from stroke. From this sample, 36.5% were smokers and 63.5% were former smokers. Age groups 55-69 and 70-80 and higher education (secondary education +) were positively related to former smoking. Household and vehicle smoking restrictions significantly predicted former smoking. Counselling advice from a physician and having access to a general practitioner were correlates of former smoking. Finally, the use of buproprion was positively related to former smoking.

CONCLUSIONS

There are multilevel correlates of former smoking in smokers with reported stroke symptoms. These correlates include older age groups, higher education, household and vehicle smoking restrictions, pharmacotherapy use (bupropion), access to a general practitioner and counselling advice from a physician.

Protocol for Cilostazol Stroke Prevention Study for Antiplatelet Combination (CSPS.com): a randomized, open-label, parallel-group trial

Rationale and aims

Monotherapy with antiplatelet agents is only modestly effective in secondary prevention of ischemic stroke (IS), particularly in patients with multiple risk factors such as cervicocephalic arterial stenosis, diabetes, and hypertension. While dual antiplatelet therapy (DAPT) with aspirin and clopidogrel reduced IS recurrence, particularly in the early stages after IS, it increased the risk of bleeding. Compared with aspirin, cilostazol prevented IS recurrence without increasing the incidence of serious bleeds. In patients with intracranial arterial stenosis, no significant increase in bleeding events was observed for DAPT with cilostazol and aspirin, compared to that for aspirin monotherapy. DAPT involving cilostazol may therefore be safer than conventional DAPT. These findings prompted us to conduct the Cilostazol Stroke Prevention Study for Antiplatelet Combination (CSPS.com; ClinicalTrials.gov identifier: NCT01995370) to evaluate the safety and efficacy of DAPT involving cilostazol for secondary IS prevention, in comparison with that of antiplatelet monotherapy.

Design

The CSPS.com is a multicenter, randomized, open-label, parallel-group trial. A total of 4000 high-risk patients with noncardioembolic IS will be randomized 8–180 days after onset to receive aspirin or clopidogrel monotherapy, or DAPT with cilostazol and aspirin or clopidogrel for at least one-year.

Study outcomes

The primary outcome is IS recurrence. Secondary outcomes are composite occurrences of any stroke, death from any cause, myocardial infarction, vascular death, and other vascular events.

Discussion

The CSPS.com is expected to provide evidence indicating whether secondary IS prevention in high-risk patients can be improved by using DAPT involving cilostazol.

Brain natriuretic peptide level on admission predicts recurrent stroke after discharge in stroke survivors with atrial fibrillation

OBJECTIVE

We investigated whether brain natriuretic peptide (BNP) levels could be used as a marker to predict recurrent stroke in ischemic stroke survivors.

METHODS

From April 2007 to March 2011, consecutive patients within 24h of onset of ischemic stroke were prospectively enrolled, and admission plasma BNP levels were measured. Survivors were followed up to 12 months after stroke onset. Patients were divided into two groups: the recurrence group and the non-recurrence group. Factors associated with stroke recurrence were investigated by multiple logistic regression analysis.

RESULTS

A total of 793 patients who were alive at hospital discharge were included; 42 (5%) patients had recurrent stroke. There were no differences in BNP levels between groups. With respect to 257 patients with atrial fibrillation (AF), BNP levels were significantly higher in the recurrence group than in the non-recurrence group (426.0 vs. 192.0 pg/mL, P = 0.0007). The optimal cutoff level, sensitivity, and specificity of BNP levels to distinguish the recurrence group from the non-recurrence group were 300.0 pg/mL, 80%, and 73%, respectively. After adjustment for age and sex, plasma BNP ≥ 300.0 pg/mL (OR, 9.2; 95% CI, 1.87-45.01, P = 0.0062) was found to be independently associated with recurrent stroke in stroke survivors with AF.

CONCLUSION

Admission BNP levels can predict recurrent stroke in stroke survivors with AF.

Evaluation of influence of chronic kidney disease and sodium disturbances on clinical course of acute and sub-acute stage first-ever ischemic stroke

BACKGROUND

Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is an independent risk factor for cardiovascular morbidity and mortality. Hyponatremia is the most common electrolyte disturbance encountered in the neurological and neurosurgical intensive care units, and can exacerbate existing neurological deficits. The objective of this study was to observe the influences of chronic kidney disease and sodium disturbances on the clinical course of acute and sub-acute stages of first-ever ischemic stroke.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

464 patients with previously diagnosed chronic kidney disease (aged 70.42±11.49 years; 250 women) who had experienced their first-ever ischemic stroke were qualified. The following examinations were performed: serum levels of sodium, creatinine, lipids, estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), neurological state on 1st day of stroke (according to National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale), functional state measured with the Rankin scale, (RS) and mortality rate at 1 month after stroke.

RESULTS

The neurological state on 1st day of stroke was worse and the median RS (30 days after stroke) was higher in patients with eGFR ≤60 ml/ (min×1.73). Men with eGFR ≤60 ml had greater neurological deficits and increased mortality within 1 month. In patients with eGFR >60 ml/, male sex was more often associated with worse outcomes at 1 month after ischemic stroke. Hyponatremia was associated with a more severe state in both the acute and sub-acute stages of stroke, with higher incidence of death within 1 month after stroke. Men with hyponatremia had greater neurological deficits on the 1st day and increased mortality within 1 month.

CONCLUSIONS

Renal impairment and hyponatremia are associated with worse neurological outcomes in patients in the acute stage of their first-ever stroke and within 1 month after the event. Males with impaired kidney function and hyponatremia have a more severe course in their first-ever ischemic stroke, as well as having increased mortality.

Gastrointestinal bleeding in acute ischemic stroke: recent trends from the fukuoka stroke registry

BACKGROUND

Gastrointestinal (GI) hemorrhage is a potentially serious complication of acute stroke, but its incidence appears to be decreasing. The aim of this study was to elucidate the etiology of GI bleeding and its impact on clinical outcomes in patients with acute ischemic stroke in recent years.

METHODS

Using the database of the Fukuoka Stroke Registry, 6,529 patients with acute ischemic stroke registered between June 2007 and December 2012 were included in this study. We recorded clinical data including any previous history of peptic ulcer, prestroke drug history including the use of antiplatelets, anticoagulants, steroids and nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs), and poststroke treatment with suppressing gastric acidity. GI bleeding was defined as any episode of hematemesis or melena on admission or during hospitalization. The cause and origin of bleeding were diagnosed endoscopically. Logistic regression analysis was used to identify risk factors for GI bleeding and its influence on deteriorating neurologic function, death, and poor outcome.

RESULTS

GI bleeding occurred in 89 patients (1.4%) under the condition that 66% of the total patients received acid-suppressing agents after admission. Multivariate analysis revealed that GI bleeding was associated with the absence of dyslipidemia (p = 0.03), a previous history of peptic ulcer (p < 0.001), and the severity of baseline neurologic deficit (p = 0.002) but not with antiplatelet drugs, anticoagulants, and NSAIDs. The source was the upper GI tract in 51% of the cases; causes included peptic ulceration (28%) and malignancies (12%), and other or unidentified causes accounted for 60%. GI bleeding mostly occurred within 1 week after stroke onset. Hemoglobin concentration fell by a median value of 2.5 g/dl in patients with GI bleeding. Among them, 28 patients underwent blood transfusion (31.5%). After adjustment for confounding factors, GI bleeding was independently associated with neurologic deterioration (OR 3.9, 95% CI 2.3-6.6, p < 0.001), in-hospital death (OR 6.1, 95% CI 3.1-12.1, p < 0.001), and poor outcome at 3 months (OR 6.8, 95% CI 3.7-12.7, p < 0.001). These associations were significant irrespective of whether patients underwent red blood cell transfusion.

CONCLUSIONS

GI bleeding infrequently occurred in patients with acute ischemic stroke, which was mostly due to etiologies other than peptic ulcer. GI bleeding was associated with poor clinical outcomes including neurologic deterioration, in-hospital mortality, and poor functional outcome.

The Combination of Elevated Triglycerides and Abnormal Fasting Glucose Increases Risk of Cerebral Infarction in Patients With Mild to Moderate Hypercholesterolemia

Background:

While triglycerides (TGs) and diabetes increase the risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD), their combined effects have not been quantified. We explored the combined effect of elevated TGs and glucose on CVD in a post hoc analysis of the large-scale Management of Elevated Cholesterol in the Primary Prevention Group of Adult Japanese (MEGA) Study. Material and Methods: In the MEGA Study, 8214 patients with mild to moderate hypercholesterolemia were randomly allocated to the diet alone group or diet plus pravastatin group and followed for 5 years. Of those, 7832 patients included in the intention-to-treat analysis were stratified into 4 groups: abnormal fasting glucose (AFG) plus high TGs, high TGs alone, AFG alone, and normal fasting glucose plus normal TGs (reference). Cox proportional hazard models were used to compare the incidence of and mortality from CVD in the 4 groups.

Results:

Incidence of CVD and coronary heart disease was significantly higher in the groups with AFG alone (hazard ratio [HR], 2.02 and 3.38; P < .01, respectively) and AFG plus high TGs (HR, 2.87 and 3.87; P < .01, respectively) than the reference group. A similar relation was found in models adjusting for high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C). Although the incidence of cerebral infarction was significantly higher only in the group with AFG plus high TGs (HR, 2.16; P = .01), it was marginally significantly higher than the reference group after adjustment for HDL-C (HR, 1.86; P = .06). Diet plus pravastatin treatment reduced the risk of cerebral infarction by 66% in the group with AFG plus high TGs ( P = .03).

Conclusions:

Our findings contribute to the formulation of the hypothesis that patients with hypercholesterolemia having AFG plus high TGs have an increased risk of cerebral infarction. These are compatible with the result from the main study that patients with hypercholesterolemia randomized to diet plus pravastatin had a reduced risk of cerebral infarction.

Formal and informal prediction of recurrent stroke and myocardial infarction after stroke: a systematic review and evaluation of clinical prediction models in a new cohort

BACKGROUND

The objective of this study was to: (1) systematically review the reporting and methods used in the development of clinical prediction models for recurrent stroke or myocardial infarction (MI) after ischemic stroke; (2) to meta-analyze their external performance; and (3) to compare clinical prediction models to informal clinicians' prediction in the Edinburgh Stroke Study (ESS).

METHODS

We searched Medline, EMBASE, reference lists and forward citations of relevant articles from 1980 to 19 April 2013. We included articles which developed multivariable clinical prediction models for the prediction of recurrent stroke and/or MI following ischemic stroke. We extracted information to assess aspects of model development as well as metrics of performance to determine predictive ability. Model quality was assessed against a pre-defined set of criteria. We used random-effects meta-analysis to pool performance metrics.

RESULTS

We identified twelve model development studies and eleven evaluation studies. Investigators often did not report effective sample size, regression coefficients, handling of missing data; typically categorized continuous predictors; and used data dependent methods to build models. A meta-analysis of the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROCC) was possible for the Essen Stroke Risk Score (ESRS) and for the Stroke Prognosis Instrument II (SPI-II); the pooled AUROCCs were 0.60 (95% CI 0.59 to 0.62) and 0.62 (95% CI 0.60 to 0.64), respectively. An evaluation among minor stroke patients in the ESS demonstrated that clinicians discriminated poorly between those with and those without recurrent events and that this was similar to clinical prediction models.

CONCLUSIONS

The available models for recurrent stroke discriminate poorly between patients with and without a recurrent stroke or MI after stroke. Models had a similar discrimination to informal clinicians' predictions. Formal prediction may be improved by addressing commonly encountered methodological problems.

Impact of the 1425G/A polymorphism of PRKCH on the recurrence of ischemic stroke: Fukuoka Stroke Registry

BACKGROUND

Epidemiologic studies have elucidated that the 1425G/A single-nucleotide polymorphism (rs2230500 single-nucleotide polymorphism) in exon 9 of the protein kinase C eta (PRKCH) gene is an independent risk factor for ischemic stroke: stroke incidence is significantly higher in the subjects with AA than those with AG or GG genotype. However, its impact on stroke recurrence remains unknown. The aim of the present study was to clarify whether the polymorphism is also a risk factor for recurrent stroke in patients with acute ischemic stroke.

METHODS

We enrolled 2418 consecutive patients with acute and first-ever ischemic stroke and investigated the 1425G/A polymorphism of PRKCH. Patients were followed up for a median of 733 days. The association between the polymorphism and stroke recurrence was investigated using the Cox proportional hazard model.

RESULTS

In the enrolled patients, the GG genotype was the most prevalent (63%), followed by AG (32%) and AA genotypes (5%). Recurrent stroke occurred in 302 patients during the follow-up period. Kaplan-Meier analyses revealed no difference in the rate of recurrent stroke after first-ever stroke among the 3 genotypes. The incidence of recurrent stroke was not significantly different in patients with AA (hazard ratio [HR] 1.02, 95% confidence interval .59-1.64, P=.94) or AG (HR .89, 95% confidence interval .69-1.14, P=.36) genotypes compared with those with the GG genotype after adjusting for multiple confounders.

CONCLUSIONS

The 1425G/A polymorphism in PRKCH is not a significant predictor of stroke recurrence in patients with acute ischemic stroke during a 2-year follow-up period.

Post-stroke depression and depression-executive dysfunction syndrome are associated with recurrence of ischaemic stroke

BACKGROUND

Depression and depression-executive dysfunction syndrome (DES) are common neuropsychiatric consequences of stroke. We hypothesized that if stroke as a cerebrovascular event causes depression, this so-called post-stroke depression will further increase the risk of recurrent stroke. The objective of the study was to investigate whether patients with post-stroke depression or DES have increased rates of stroke recurrence.

METHODS

We included 223 patients from the Helsinki Stroke Aging Memory cohort (n = 486) admitted to Helsinki University Central Hospital with a follow-up of 12 years. We included only patients with first-ever ischaemic stroke who were testable for depression and executive dysfunction. For follow-up, national register data were reviewed for all diagnosis codes of ischaemic stroke, survival data and causes of death. Neuropsychological and neuropsychiatric evaluations for depression and executive functions were performed 12-20 weeks after the index stroke. Univariate analysis was performed using χ(2), Mantel-Haenszel, ANOVA, and Kaplan-Meier log rank analyses. A Cox multivariable model with forced entry was used to adjust for stroke risk factors (age, gender, smoking, atrial fibrillation, hypertension, diabetes, peripheral arterial disease, hypercholesterolaemia).

RESULTS

The mean time to first recurrent stroke was shorter for the depressed patient group (8.15, 95% CI 7.11-9.19 vs. 9.63, 8.89-10.38 years) and even shorter for patients with DES (7.15, 5.55-8.75 vs. 9.75, 9.09-10.41 years) compared to the remaining groups, respectively. The cumulative risk for recurrent ischaemic stroke in the 12-year follow-up was higher for the depression group (log rank p = 0.04) and for the DES group (log rank p = 0.01) compared to the remaining groups, respectively. Cox multivariable analyses revealed that the older age of the patient (1.05; 1.01-1.08/year), the absence of hypercholesterolaemia (0.24; 0.09-0.59), depression (1.68; 1.07-2.63), and DES (1.95; 1.14-3.33) were all associated with recurrent stroke.

CONCLUSIONS

Depression and especially DES are associated with a shorter interval to recurrence of ischaemic stroke but executive dysfunction alone is not associated with a more rapid stroke recurrence. Diagnosis and treatment of depressive syndromes should be considered as a part of secondary prevention in patients with ischaemic stroke.

Statins and the risks of stroke recurrence and death after ischemic stroke: the Fukuoka Stroke Registry

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

The findings of recent clinical trials suggest that treatment with high-dose statins reduces the risk of stroke recurrence. However, the doses approved in Japan are much lower than those in the previous studies. This study aimed to elucidate whether prescribed doses of statins reduce the risks of cerebrovascular events (CVEs: stroke recurrence or transient ischemic attack) and all-cause mortality in a cohort of Japanese patients with first-ever ischemic stroke.

METHODS

The 2822 eligible patients registered in the Fukuoka Stroke Registry with first-ever acute ischemic stroke from June 2007 to February 2011 were classified into statin users (n = 993) and non-users (n = 1829) at discharge, and followed up until March 2012. We assessed the cumulative risks of CVE and all-cause mortality by the Kaplan-Meier method, and calculated hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidential intervals (CIs) using the Cox proportional hazards model.

RESULTS

During the follow-up time (median, 2.0 years), 305 patients had CVEs and 345 died. The cumulative risks of CVE and death after 4 years were significantly lower in statin users than in non-users (13.8% versus 19.5%, P = 0.005 for CVE; 11.8% versus 21.7%, P < 0.001 for death). After adjusting for multiple confounding factors, statin treatment significantly reduced the risks of CVE (HR, 0.70; 95% CI, 0.53 to 0.92; P = 0.011) and all-cause mortality (HR, 0.67; 95% CI, 0.50 to 0.89; P = 0.006).

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings suggest that low-dose statin may reduce the risks of CVE and death in Japanese patients with acute ischemic stroke.

Do patients who take part in stroke research differ from non-participants? Implications for generalizability of results

BACKGROUND

Stroke is one of the most disabling neurological conditions. Clinical research is vital for expanding knowledge of treatment effectiveness among stroke patients. However, evidence begins to accumulate that stroke patients who take part in research represent only a small proportion of all stroke patients. Research participants may also differ from the broader patient population in ways that could potentially distort treatment effects reported in therapeutic trials. The aims of this study were to estimate the proportion of stroke patients who take part in clinical research studies and to compare demographic and clinical profiles of research participants and non-participants.

METHODS

5,235 consecutive patients admitted to the Stroke Care Unit of the Royal Melbourne Hospital, Melbourne, Australia, for stroke or transient ischaemic attack between January 2004 and December 2011 were studied. The study used cross-sectional design. Information was collected on patients' demographic and socio-economic characteristics, risk factors, and comorbidities. Associations between research participation and patient characteristics were initially assessed using χ(2) or Mann-Whitney tests, followed by a multivariable logistic regression analysis. The logistic regression analysis was carried out using generalised estimating equations approach, to account for patient readmissions during the study period.

RESULTS

558 Stroke Care Unit patients (10.7%) took part in at least one of the 33 clinical research studies during the study period. Transfer from another hospital (OR = 0.35, 95% CI 0.22-0.55), worse premorbid function (OR = 0.61, 95% CI 0.54-0.70), being single (OR = 0.61, 95% CI 0.44-0.84) or widowed (OR = 0.77, 95% CI 0.60-0.99), non-English language (OR = 0.67, 95% CI 0.53-0.85), high socio-economic status (OR = 0.74, 95% CI 0.59-0.93), residence outside Melbourne (OR = 0.75, 95% CI 0.60-0.95), weekend admission (OR = 0.78, 95% CI 0.64-0.94), and a history of atrial fibrillation (OR = 0.79, 95% CI 0.63-0.99) were associated with lower odds of research participation. A history of hypertension (OR = 1.50, 95% CI 1.08-2.07) and current smoking (OR = 1.23, 95% CI 1.01-1.50) on the other hand were associated with higher odds of research participation.

CONCLUSIONS

The results of this study indicate that stroke patients who take part in clinical research do not represent 'typical' patient admitted to a stroke unit. The imbalance of prognostic factors between stroke participants and non-participants has serious implications for interpretation of research findings reported in stroke literature. This study provides insights into clinical, demographic, and socio-economic characteristics of stroke patients that could potentially be targeted to enhance generalizability of stroke research studies. Given the imbalance of prognostic factors between research participants and non-participants, future studies need to examine differences in stroke outcomes of these groups of patients.